National surveillance using a clinical quality indicator for prolonged antipsychotic use among older Australians with dementia who access aged care services.

OBJECTIVES: Dementia guidelines recommend antipsychotics are only used for behavioral and psychological symptoms when non-drug interventions fail, and to regularly review use. Population-level clinical quality indicators (CQIs) for dementia care in permanent residential aged care (PRAC) typically monitor prevalence of antipsychotic use but not prolonged use. This study aimed to develop a CQI for antipsychotic use >90 days and examine trends, associated factors, and variation in CQI incidence; and examine duration of the first episode of use among individuals with dementia accessing home care packages (HCPs) or PRAC. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study, including older individuals with dementia who accessed HCPs (n = 50,257) or PRAC (n = 250,196). Trends in annual CQI incidence (2011-12 to 2015-16) and associated factors were determined using Poisson regression. Funnel plots examined geographical and facility variation. Time to antipsychotic discontinuation was estimated among new antipsychotic users accessing HCP (n = 2367) and PRAC (n = 15,597) using the cumulative incidence function. RESULTS: Between 2011-12 and 2015-16, antipsychotic use for >90 days decreased in HCP recipients from 10.7% (95% CI 10.2-11.1) to 10.1% (95% CI 9.6-10.5, adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.98)), and in PRAC residents from 24.5% (95% CI 24.2-24.7) to 21.8% (95% CI 21.5-22.0, aIRR 0.97 (95% CI 0.96-0.98)). Prior antipsychotic use (both cohorts) and being male and greater socioeconomic disadvantage (PRAC cohort) were associated with higher CQI incidence. Little geographical/facility variation was observed. Median treatment duration in HCP and PRAC was 334 (interquartile range [IQR] 108-958) and 555 (IQR 197-1239) days, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: While small decreases in antipsychotic use >90 days were observed between 2011-12 and 2015-16, findings suggest antipsychotic use among aged care recipients with dementia can be further minimized.

Quantifying the effects of sleep on sensor-derived variables from upper limb accelerometry in people with and without upper limb impairment.

BACKGROUND: Despite the promise of wearable sensors for both rehabilitation research and clinical care, these technologies pose significant burden on data collectors and analysts. Investigations of factors that may influence the wearable sensor data processing pipeline are needed to support continued use of these technologies in rehabilitation research and integration into clinical care settings. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of one such factor, sleep, on sensor-derived variables from upper limb accelerometry in people with and without upper limb impairment and across a two-day wearing period. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of data collected during a prospective, longitudinal cohort study (n = 127 individuals, 62 with upper limb impairment and 65 without). Participants wore a wearable sensor on each wrist for 48 h. Five upper limb sensor variables were calculated over the full wear period (sleep included) and with sleep time removed (sleep excluded): preferred time, non-preferred time, use ratio, non-preferred magnitude and its standard deviation. Linear mixed effects regression was used to quantify the effect of sleep on each sensor variable and determine if the effect differed between people with and without upper limb impairment and across a two-day wearing period. RESULTS: There were significant differences between sleep included and excluded for the variables preferred time (p < 0.001), non-preferred time (p < 0.001), and non-preferred magnitude standard deviation (p = 0.001). The effect of sleep was significantly different between people with and without upper limb impairment for one variable, non-preferred magnitude (p = 0.02). The effect of sleep was not substantially different across wearing days for any of the variables. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the effects of sleep on sensor-derived variables of upper limb accelerometry are small, similar between people with and without upper limb impairment and across a two-day wearing period, and can likely be ignored in most contexts. Ignoring the effect of sleep would simplify the data processing pipeline, facilitating the use of wearable sensors in both research and clinical practice.

Investigating community-based care service factors delaying residential care home admission of community dwelling older adults and cost consequence.

OBJECTIVES: To examine factors contributing to delaying care home admission; and compare the rates of care home admission and cost consequence between two government subsidised programmes, Veterans' Affairs Community Nursing (VCN) and Home Care Package (HCP). METHODS: Our national, population-based retrospective cohort study and cost analysis used existing, de-identified veterans' claims databases (2010-19) and the Registry of Senior Australians Historical Cohort (2010-17), plus aggregate programme expenditure data. This involved 21,636 VCN clients (20,980 aged 65-100 years), and an age- and sex-matched HCP cohort (N = 20,980). RESULTS: Service factors associated with lower risk of care home admission in the VCN cohort were periodic (versus continuous) service delivery (HR 0.27 [95%CI, 0.24-0.31] for ≤18 months; HR 0.89 [95%CI, 0.84-0.95] for >18 months), and majority care delivered by registered nurses (versus personal care workers) (HR 0.86 [95%CI, 0.75-0.99] for ≤18 months; HR 0.91 [95%CI, 0.85-0.98] for >18 months). In the matched cohorts, the time to care home admission for VCN clients (median 28 months, IQR 14-42) was higher than for HCP clients (14, IQR 6-27). Within 5 years of service access, 57.6% (95%CI, 56.9-58.4) of HCP clients and 26.6% (95%CI, 26.0-27.2) of VCN clients had care home admission. The estimated cost saving for VCN recipients compared to HCP recipients over 5 years for relevant government providers was over A$1 billion. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to an HCP model, individuals receiving VCN services remained at home longer, with potentially significant cost savings. This new understanding suggests timely opportunity for many countries' efforts to enhance community-based care services.

Death by suicide among aged care recipients in Australia 2008-2017.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the features of aged care users who died by suicide and examine the use of mental health services and psychopharmacotherapy in the year before death. DESIGN: Population-based, retrospective exploratory study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Individuals who died while accessing or waiting for permanent residential aged care (PRAC) or home care packages in Australia between 2008 and 2017. MEASUREMENTS: Linked datasets describing aged care use, date and cause of death, health care use, medication use, and state-based hospital data collections. RESULTS: Of 532,507 people who died, 354 (0.07%) died by suicide, including 81 receiving a home care package (0.17% of all home care package deaths), 129 in PRAC (0.03% of all deaths in PRAC), and 144 approved for but awaiting care (0.23% of all deaths while awaiting care). Factors associated with death by suicide compared to death by another cause were male sex, having a mental health condition, not having dementia, less frailty, and a hospitalization for self-injury in the year before death. Among those who were awaiting care, being born outside Australia, living alone, and not having a carer were associated with death by suicide. Those who died by suicide more often accessed Government-subsidized mental health services in the year before their death than those who died by another cause. CONCLUSIONS: Older men, those with diagnosed mental health conditions, those living alone and without an informal carer, and those hospitalized for self-injury are key targets for suicide prevention efforts.

3Rs implementation in veterinary vaccine batch-release testing: Current state-of-the-art and future opportunities. A webinar and workshop report.

Regulatory authorities require veterinary batch-release testing to confirm vaccine potency and safety, but these tests have traditionally relied on large numbers of laboratory animals. Advances in vaccine research and development offer increasing opportunities to replace in vivo testing, and some stakeholders have made significant progress in incorporating 3Rs elements in quality control strategies. A three-part event series entitled "3Rs Implementation in Veterinary Vaccine Batch-Release Testing: Current state-of-the-art and future opportunities" was jointly organized by the Animal-Free Safety Assessment Collaboration, HealthforAnimals, and the International Alliance of Biological Standardization. Two webinars and a workshop aimed to outline the state-of-the-art non-animal approaches for veterinary batch-release testing. The events included information on the state of the deletion of obsolete safety testing and the current initiatives implemented by European, North American, and Asian-Pacific stakeholders on 3Rs implementation and regulatory acceptance. The events contributed to a better understanding of the barriers to 3Rs implementation. Participants highlighted the need for open communication, continued collaboration between stakeholders, and international harmonization of regulatory requirements to help accelerate acceptance. Despite the challenges, the countries represented at this three-part event have shared their commitments to advancing the acceptance of alternative methods.

Cohort profile: GRACE - a residential aged care cohort examining factors influencing antimicrobial resistance carriage.

BACKGROUND: The emergence of antimicrobial-resistant bacteria represents a considerable threat to human health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as those living in residential aged care. However, antimicrobial resistance carriage and modes of transmission remain incompletely understood. The Generating evidence on antimicrobial Resistance in the Aged Care Environment (GRACE) study was established to determine principal risk factors of antimicrobial resistance carriage and transmission in residential aged care facilities (RACFs). This article describes the cohort characteristics, national representation, and planned analyses for this study. METHODS: Between March 2019 and March 2020, 279 participants were recruited from five South Australian RACFs. The median age was 88.6 years, the median period in residence was 681 days, and 71.7% were female. A dementia diagnosis was recorded in 54.5% and more than two thirds had moderate to severe cognitive impairment (68.8%). 61% had received at least one course of antibiotics in the 12 months prior to enrolment. RESULTS: To investigate the representation of the GRACE cohort to Australians in residential aged care, its characteristics were compared to a subset of the historical cohort of the Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA). This included 142,923 individuals who were permanent residents of RACFs on June 30th, 2017. GRACE and ROSA cohorts were similar in age, sex, and duration of residential care, prevalence of health conditions, and recorded dementia diagnoses. Differences were observed in care requirements and antibiotic exposure (both higher for GRACE participants). GRACE participants had fewer hospital visits compared to the ROSA cohort, and a smaller proportion were prescribed psycholeptic medications. CONCLUSIONS: We have assembled a cohort of aged care residents that is representative of the Australian aged care population, and which provides a basis for future analyses. Metagenomic data isolated from participants and built environments will be used to determine microbiome and resistome characteristics of an individual and the facility. Individual and facility risk exposures will be aligned with metagenomic data to identify principal determinants for antimicrobial resistance carriage. Ultimately, this analysis will inform measures aimed at reducing the emergence and spread of antimicrobial resistant pathogens in this high-risk population.

Predicting later categories of upper limb activity from earlier clinical assessments following stroke: an exploratory analysis.

BACKGROUND: Accelerometers allow for direct measurement of upper limb (UL) activity. Recently, multi-dimensional categories of UL performance have been formed to provide a more complete measure of UL use in daily life. Prediction of motor outcomes after stroke have tremendous clinical utility and a next step is to explore what factors might predict someone's subsequent UL performance category. PURPOSE: To explore how different machine learning techniques can be used to understand how clinical measures and participant demographics captured early after stroke are associated with the subsequent UL performance categories. METHODS: This study analyzed data from two time points from a previous cohort (n = 54). Data used was participant characteristics and clinical measures from early after stroke and a previously established category of UL performance at a later post stroke time point. Different machine learning techniques (a single decision tree, bagged trees, and random forests) were used to build predictive models with different input variables. Model performance was quantified with the explanatory power (in-sample accuracy), predictive power (out-of-bag estimate of error), and variable importance. RESULTS: A total of seven models were built, including one single decision tree, three bagged trees, and three random forests. Measures of UL impairment and capacity were the most important predictors of the subsequent UL performance category, regardless of the machine learning algorithm used. Other non-motor clinical measures emerged as key predictors, while participant demographics predictors (with the exception of age) were generally less important across the models. Models built with the bagging algorithms outperformed the single decision tree for in-sample accuracy (26-30% better classification) but had only modest cross-validation accuracy (48-55% out of bag classification). CONCLUSIONS: UL clinical measures were the most important predictors of the subsequent UL performance category in this exploratory analysis regardless of the machine learning algorithm used. Interestingly, cognitive and affective measures emerged as important predictors when the number of input variables was expanded. These results reinforce that UL performance, in vivo, is not a simple product of body functions nor the capacity for movement, instead being a complex phenomenon dependent on many physiological and psychological factors. Utilizing machine learning, this exploratory analysis is a productive step toward the prediction of UL performance. Trial registration NA.

The ENIGMA Stroke Recovery Working Group: Big data neuroimaging to study brain-behavior relationships after stroke.

The goal of the Enhancing Neuroimaging Genetics through Meta-Analysis (ENIGMA) Stroke Recovery working group is to understand brain and behavior relationships using well-powered meta- and mega-analytic approaches. ENIGMA Stroke Recovery has data from over 2,100 stroke patients collected across 39 research studies and 10 countries around the world, comprising the largest multisite retrospective stroke data collaboration to date. This article outlines the efforts taken by the ENIGMA Stroke Recovery working group to develop neuroinformatics protocols and methods to manage multisite stroke brain magnetic resonance imaging, behavioral and demographics data. Specifically, the processes for scalable data intake and preprocessing, multisite data harmonization, and large-scale stroke lesion analysis are described, and challenges unique to this type of big data collaboration in stroke research are discussed. Finally, future directions and limitations, as well as recommendations for improved data harmonization through prospective data collection and data management, are provided.

Provision of a comprehensive medicines review is associated with lower mortality risk for residents of aged care facilities: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: no studies have examined the impact of residential medication management review (RMMR, a 24-year government subsidised comprehensive medicines review program) in Australian residential aged care facilities (RACFs) on hospitalisation or mortality. OBJECTIVE: to examine associations between RMMR provision in the 6-12 months after RACF entry and the 12-month risk of hospitalisation and mortality among older Australians in RACFs. DESIGN: retrospective cohort study. SUBJECTS: individuals aged 65-105 years taking at least one medicine, who entered an RACF in three Australian states between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2015 and spent at least 6 months in the RACF (n = 57,719). METHODS: Cox regression models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between RMMR provision and mortality. Adjusted subdistribution hazard ratios were estimated for associations between RMMR provision and next (i) emergency department (ED) presentation or unplanned hospitalisation or (ii) fall-related ED presentation or hospitalisation. RESULTS: there were 12,603 (21.8%) individuals who received an RMMR within 6-12 months of RACF entry, of whom 22.2% (95%CI 21.4-22.9) died during follow-up, compared with 23.3% (95%CI 22.9-23.7) of unexposed individuals. RMMR provision was associated with a lower risk of death due to any cause over 12-months (aHR 0.96, 95%CI 0.91-0.99), but was not associated with ED presentations or hospitalisations for unplanned events or falls. CONCLUSIONS: provision of an RMMR in the 6-12 months after RACF entry is associated with a 4.4% lower mortality risk over 12-months but was not associated with changes in hospitalisations for unplanned events or falls.

Accuracy of an Algorithm in Predicting Upper Limb Functional Capacity in a United States Population.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the accuracy of an algorithm, using clinical measures only, on a sample of persons with first-ever stroke in the United States (US). It was hypothesized that algorithm accuracy would fall in a range of 70%-80%. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of prospective, observational, longitudinal cohort; 2 assessments were done: (1) within 48 hours to 1 week poststroke and (2) at 12 weeks poststroke. SETTING: Recruited from a large acute care hospital and followed over the first 6 months after stroke. PARTICIPANTS: Adults with first-ever stroke (N=49) with paresis of the upper limb (UL) at ≤48 hours who could follow 2-step commands and were expected to return to independent living at 6 months. INTERVENTION: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The overall accuracy of the algorithm with clinical measures was quantified by comparing predicted (expected) and actual (observed) categories using a correct classification rate. RESULTS: The overall accuracy (61%) and weighted κ (62%) were significant. Sensitivity was high for the Excellent (95%) and Poor (81%) algorithm categories. Specificity was high for the Good (82%), Limited (98%), and Poor (95%) categories. Positive predictive value (PPV) was high for Poor (82%) and negative predictive value (NPV) was high for all categories. No differences in participant characteristics were found between those with accurate or inaccurate predictions. CONCLUSIONS: The results of the present study found that use of an algorithm with clinical measures only is better than chance alone (chance=25% for each of the 4 categories) at predicting a category of UL capacity at 3 months post troke. The moderate to high values of sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV demonstrates some clinical utility of the algorithm within health care settings in the US.

Medicines use before and after comprehensive medicines review among residents of long-term care facilities: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Residential Medication Management Review (RMMR) is a subsidized comprehensive medicines review program for individuals in Australian residential aged care facilities (RACFs). This study examined weekly trends in medicines use in the four months before and after an RMMR and among a comparison group of residents who did not receive an RMMR. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included individuals aged 65 to 105 years who first entered permanent care between 1/1/2012 and 31/12/2016 in South Australia, Victoria, or New South Wales, and were taking at least one medicine. Individuals with an RMMR within 12 months of RACF entry were classified into one of three groups: (i) RMMR within 0 to 3 months, (ii) 3 to 6 months, or (iii) within 6 to 12 months of RACF entry. Individuals without RMMRs were included in the comparison group. Weekly trends in the number of defined daily doses per 1000 days were determined in the four months before and after the RMMR (or assigned index date in the comparison group) for 14 medicine classes. RESULTS: 113909 individuals from 1979 RACFs were included, of whom 55021 received an RMMR. Across all three periods examined, decreased use of statins and proton pump inhibitors was observed post-RMMR in comparison to those without RMMRs. Decreases in calcium channel blockers, benzodiazepines/zopiclone, and antidepressants were observed following RMMR provision in the 3-6 and 6-12 months after RACF entry. Negligible changes in antipsychotic use were also observed following an RMMR in the 6-12 months after RACF entry by comparison to those without RMMRs. No changes in use of opioids, ACE inhibitors/sartans, beta blockers, loop diuretics, oral anticoagulants, or medicines for osteoporosis, diabetes or the cognitive symptoms of dementia were observed post-RMMR. CONCLUSIONS: For six of the 14 medicine classes investigated, modest changes in weekly trends in use were observed after the provision of an RMMR in the 6-12 months after RACF entry compared to those without RMMRs. Findings suggest that activities such as medicines reconciliation may be prioritized when an RMMR is provided on RACF entry, with deprescribing more likely after an RMMR the longer a resident has been in the RACF.

Clinical Performance Measures for Stroke Rehabilitation: Performance Measures From the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association.

The American Heart Association/American Stroke Association released the adult stroke rehabilitation and recovery guidelines in 2016. A working group of stroke rehabilitation experts reviewed these guidelines and identified a subset of recommendations that were deemed suitable for creating performance measures. These 13 performance measures are reported here and contain inclusion and exclusion criteria to allow calculation of rates of compliance in a variety of settings ranging from acute hospital care to postacute care and care in the home and outpatient setting.

Contribution of facility level factors to variation in antibiotic use in long-term care facilities: a national cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine national variation in systemic antibiotic use in long-term care facilities (LTCFs) and identify facility characteristics associated with antibiotic utilization. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 312 375 residents of 2536 Australian LTCFs between 2011 and 2016. LTCFs were categorized as low, medium or high antibiotic use facilities according to tertiles of DDDs of systemic antibiotics dispensed per 1000 resident-days. Multivariable logistic regression estimated the associations between facility characteristics (ownership, size, location, medication quality indicator performance, prevalence of after-hours medical practitioner services) and antibiotic use (low versus high). RESULTS: LTCFs in the lowest and highest antibiotic use categories received a median of 54.3 (IQR 46.5-60.5) and 106.1 (IQR 95.9-122.3) DDDs/1000 resident-days, respectively. Compared with not-for-profit LTCFs in major cities, government-owned non-metropolitan LTCFs were less likely to experience high antibiotic use [adjusted OR (aOR) 0.47, 95% CI 0.24-0.91]. LTCFs with 69-99 residents were less likely to experience high antibiotic use (aOR 0.69, 95% CI 0.49-0.97) than those with 25-47 residents annually. Greater prevalence of medical practitioner services accessed after-hours was associated with high antibiotic use [aOR 1.10 (per 10% increase in after-hours services), 95% CI 1.01-1.21]. South Australian LTCFs (aOR 2.17, 95% CI 1.38-3.39) were more likely, while Queensland (0.43, 95% CI 0.30-0.62) and Western Australian (aOR 0.34, 95% CI 0.21-0.57) LTCFs were less likely to experience high antibiotic use than New South Wales LTCFs. CONCLUSIONS: Considerable facility level variation in systemic antibiotic use was observed across Australian LTCFs. Identification of facility characteristics associated with antibiotic use provides a basis for targeted stewardship initiatives.

Utilisation of general practice health assessments around an aged care assessment is associated with lower mortality risk in older Australians.

OBJECTIVE: (i) to describe the general practitioner utilisation of health assessments, management plans, coordination of team care arrangements and medication review item numbers within 6 months of an aged care eligibility assessment for home care packages (HCP) and (ii) investigate the impact of health assessments on the risk of mortality and entry into permanent residential aged care (PRAC) of individuals accessing HCP. DESIGN AND SETTING: retrospective cohort study utilising data from the Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA) was conducted. SUBJECTS: 75,172 individuals aged ≥75 years who received HCP between 2011 and 2015. OUTCOME MEASURE: for objective 1: the use of comprehensive assessments (Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) items 705 or 707), management plans (MBS 721), coordination of team care arrangements (MBS 723), and medication reviews (MBS 900). For objective 2: time to death and entry into PRAC. RESULTS: of the 75,172 individuals, 28.2% (95% confidence interval (CI): 27.8-8.5%) had comprehensive assessments, 36.7% (95% CI: 36.3-37.0%) had management plans, 33.0% (95% CI: 32.7-33.3%) received coordination of team care arrangements and 5.4% (95% CI: 5.2-5.5%) had medication reviews. Individuals with a comprehensive assessment had a 5% lower risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 95% CI = 0.95, 0.92-0.98) but 5% higher risk of transition to PRAC (adjusted subdistribution HRs, 95% CI = 1.05, 1.02-1.08) compared to those who did not have these services. CONCLUSION: the utilisation of health assessments was associated with a lower risk of mortality. There is an opportunity for increased use of item numbers in frailer individuals.

Health status and healthcare trends of individuals accessing Australian aged care programmes over a decade: the Registry of Senior Australians historical cohort.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the health profile, service and medicine use of Australians in the aged care sector will help inform appropriate service provision for our ageing population. AIMS: To examine the 2006-2015 trends in (i) comorbidities and frailty of individuals accessing aged care, and (ii) health services, medicine use and mortality after entry into long-term care. METHODS: Cross-sectional and population-based trend analyses were conducted using the Registry of Senior Australians. RESULTS: From 2006 to 2015, 509 944 individuals accessed permanent residential care, 206 394 home care, 283 014 respite and 124 943 transition care. Over this time, the proportion of individuals accessing permanent residential care with high frailty scores (≥0.3) increased (19.7-49.7%), as did the proportion with 5-9 comorbidities (46.4-54.5%), with similar trends observed for those accessing other services. The median number of medicines dispensed in the year after entering permanent residential care increased from 9 (interquartile range (IQR) 6-12) to 10 (IQR 7-14), while remaining stable in home care (2006: 9, IQR 5-12, 2015: 9, IQR 6-13). Short-term (within 100 days) mortality in those accessing permanent care was higher in 2006 (15.6%, 95% CI 15.2-16.0) than 2015 (14.6%, 95% CI 14.3-14.9). Longer term (101-1095 days, 2006: 44.3%, 95% CI 43.7-45.0, 2015: 46.4%, 95% CI 45.8-46.9) mortality was higher in 2015 compared to 2006. Mortality in individuals accessing home care did not change. CONCLUSION: The health of older Australians accessing aged care programmes has declined while frailty increased, with an increasing use of medicine and worse long-term mortality in some. Funding and care models need to adapt to this changing profile.

Initiation of antipsychotics after moving to residential aged care facilities and mortality: a national cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There is a high burden of antipsychotic use in residential aged care facilities (RACFs) and there is concern regarding potential inappropriate prescribing of antipsychotics in response to mild behavioural symptoms. Antipsychotic use has been associated with a higher risk of mortality in community-dwelling older adults with dementia, but few studies have examined associations upon RACF entry. AIMS: To examine associations between incident antipsychotic use and risk of mortality for people with and without diagnosed dementia in RACFs. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study, employing a new-user design (individuals did not receive an antipsychotic 6 months before enrolment) of 265,820 people who accessed RACFs in Australia between 1/4/2008 and 30/6/2015 was conducted. Cox regression models were used to examine adjusted associations between antipsychotic use in the first 100 days of RACF entry and mortality. RESULTS: In the 100 days after entering care, 29,455 residents (11.1%) were dispensed an antipsychotic. 180,956 (68.1%) residents died [38,249 (14.4%) were related to cerebrovascular causes] over a median 2.1 years (interquartile range 1.0-3.6) follow-up. Of the residents included, 119,665 (45.0%) had a diagnosis of dementia. Incident antipsychotic use was associated with higher risk of mortality in residents with dementia (adjusted hazard ratio 1.20, 95% confidence interval 1.18-1.22) and without dementia (1.28, 1.24-1.31). CONCLUSION: Initiation of antipsychotics after moving to RACFs is associated with a higher risk of mortality. Careful consideration of the potential benefits and harms should be given when starting a new prescription for antipsychotics for people moving to RACFs.

Effect of Dementia on Outcomes After Surgically Treated Hip Fracture in Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: Hip fractures are associated with increased mortality and functional limitations. However, the effect that dementia has on these outcomes in individuals in aged care settings after fracture is not well established. This study examined the association of dementia with post-hip fracture mortality, permanent residential aged care entry, transition care use, and change in activities of daily living (ADL) needs. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study using data from the Registry of Senior Australians (2003-2015) was conducted. Individuals with a hip fracture while receiving aged care services were included. Associations of dementia with mortality, risks of transition and permanent care use, and ADL needs progression were estimated using multivariable Cox, Fine-Gray, and logistic regression methods, respectively. RESULTS: Of 4771 individuals evaluated, 76% were women, the median age was 86 years (IQR 82-90), and 71% already lived in permanent residential aged care at the time of fracture. Within two years of their hip fracture, 50.4% (95% CI 48.9%-51.8%) of individuals died, 16.2% (95% CI 14.2%-18.2%) entered a transition care program, 59.1% (95% CI 56.5%-61.7%) entered permanent residential aged care, and 32% had greater ADL needs. Dementia was associated with higher risk of two-year mortality (HR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.09-1.30), 90-day entry into permanent care (sHR = 1.96, 95% CI 1.60-2.38), and increased likelihood of ADL limitations (OR = 1.36, 95% CI 1.00-1.85). Minor differences were seen in transition care use by dementia status. CONCLUSION: Dementia is a strong risk factor for mortality after hip fractures in individuals in aged care settings and associated with a high risk of entry into permanent care. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic level III.

Development and validation of a frailty index based on Australian Aged Care Assessment Program data.

OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate a frailty index, derived from aged care eligibility assessment data. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study; analysis of the historical national cohort of the Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA). PARTICIPANTS: 903 996 non-Indigenous Australians aged 65 years or more, living in the community and assessed for subsidised aged care eligibility during 2003-2013. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: 44-item frailty index; summary statistics for frailty index score distribution; predictive validity with respect to mortality and entry into permanent residential aged care during the five years after assessment. RESULTS: The mean frailty index score during 2003-2013 was 0.20 (SD, 0.07; range, 0-0.41); the proportion of assessed older people with scores exceeding 0.20 increased from 32.1% in 2003-2005 to 75.0% in 2012-2013. The risks of death and entry into permanent residential aged care at one, three and five years increased with frailty index score level (at one year, high [over 0.35] v low scores [under 0.05]: hazard ratio for death, 5.99; 95% CI, 5.69-6.31; for entry into permanent residential aged care, 8.70; 95% CI, 8.32-9.11). The predictive validity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) of Cox proportional hazard models including age, sex, and frailty index score was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.63-0.64) for death and 0.63 (95% CI, 0.62-0.63) for entry into permanent residential aged care within one year of assessment. CONCLUSIONS: We used Australian aged care eligibility assessment program data to construct and validate a frailty index. It can be employed in aged care research in Australia, but its application to aged care planning requires further investigation.

The dispensing of psychotropic medicines to older people before and after they enter residential aged care.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the prevalence of psychotropic medicine dispensing before and after older people enter residential care. DESIGN: Retrospective national cohort study; analysis of Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA) data. SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: All concession card-holding residents of government-subsidised residential aged care facilities in Australia who entered residential care for at least three months between 1 April 2008 and 30 June 2015. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportions of residents dispensed antipsychotic, benzodiazepine, or antidepressant medicines during the year preceding and the year after commencing residential care, by quarter. RESULTS: Of 322 120 included aged care residents, 68 483 received at least one antipsychotic (21.3%; 95% CI, 21.1-21.4%), 98 315 at least one benzodiazepine (30.5%; 95% CI, 30.4-30.7%), and 122 224 residents at least one antidepressant (37.9%; 95% CI, 37.8-38.1%) during their first three months of residential care; 31 326 of those dispensed antipsychotics (45.7%), 38 529 of those dispensed benzodiazepines (39.2%), and 25 259 residents dispensed antidepressants (19.8%) had not received them in the year preceding their entry into care. During the first three months of residential care, the prevalence of antipsychotic (prevalence ratio [PR], 3.37; 95% CI, 3.31-3.43) and antidepressant dispensing (PR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.04-1.07) were each higher for residents with than for those without dementia; benzodiazepine dispensing was similar for both groups (PR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.99-1.02). CONCLUSIONS: Dispensing of psychotropic medicines to older Australians is high before they enter residential care but increases markedly soon after entry into care. Non-pharmacological behavioural management strategies are important for limiting the prescribing of psychotropic medicines for older people in the community or in residential care.

Day-to-Day Variability of Walking Performance Measures in Individuals Poststroke and Individuals With Parkinson Disease.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Improvement of walking performance is a primary goal for individuals poststroke or with Parkinson disease (PD) who receive physical therapy. More data about day-to-day variability of walking performance are critical for determining if changes in performance have occurred. METHODS: Baseline assessments were utilized from an ongoing, observational, prospective cohort study including 84 individuals poststroke (n = 37) or with PD (n = 47) receiving outpatient physical therapy services to improve mobility. Participants wore step activity monitors for up to 7 days to measure walking performance (steps per day, walking duration, maximum 30-minute output, and peak activity index) in daily life. Correlation analyses evaluated relationships between both capacity and performance measures as well as the relationships between mean performance variables and day-to-day variability. Regression analyses explored factors that contribute to variability in day-to-day performance variables. RESULTS: Mean steps per day for participants poststroke (5376 ± 2804) and with PD (8149 ± 4490) were consistent with previously reported cohorts. Greater amounts of walking were related to more day-to-day variability, with moderate correlations found between the mean and day-to-day variability of each performance measure, regardless of medical diagnosis or walking speed. Day-to-day variability is large (upwards of 50% of the mean), with the amount of walking performance serving as the primary predictor of day-to-day variability in walking performance. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study elucidate the factors that are related to and predict day-to-day variability of performance. Walking performance metrics should be evaluated over multiple days and greater variability should be anticipated with greater amounts of performance.Video Abstract available for more insights from the authors (see the Video, Supplemental Digital Content 1, available at: http://links.lww.com/JNPT/A319).