Development and Internal Validation of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Mortality After Hip Fracture with Machine Learning Techniques.

In order to estimate the likelihood of 1, 3, 6 and 12 month mortality in patients with hip fractures, we applied a variety of machine learning methods using readily available, preoperative data. We used prospectively collected data from a single university hospital in Copenhagen, Denmark for consecutive patients with hip fractures, aged 60 years and older, treated between September 2008 to September 2010 (n = 1186). Preoperative biochemical and anamnestic data were used as predictors and outcome was survival at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after the fracture. After feature selection for each timepoint a stratified split was done (70/30) before training and validating Random Forest models, extreme gradient boosting (XGB) and Generalized Linear Models. We evaluated and compared each model using receiver operator characteristic (ROC), calibration slope and intercept, Spiegelhalter's z- test and Decision Curve Analysis. Using combinations of between 10 and 13 anamnestic and biochemical parameters we were able to successfully estimate the likelihood of mortality with an area under the curve on ROC curves of 0.79, 0.80, 0.79 and 0.81 for 1, 3, 6 and 12 month, respectively. The XGB was the overall best calibrated and most promising model. The XGB model most successfully estimated the likelihood of mortality postoperatively. An easy-to-use model could be helpful in perioperative decisions concerning level of care, focused research and information to patients. External validation is necessary before widespread use and is currently underway, an online tool has been developed for educational/experimental purposes ( https://hipfx.shinyapps.io/hipfx/ ).

Two novel prehabilitation apps to help patients stop smoking and risky drinking prior to hip and knee arthroplasty.

PURPOSE: Daily smoking or risky drinking increases the risk of complications after surgery by ~50%. Intensive prehabilitation aimed at complete cessation reduces the complication rate but is time-consuming. The purpose of this study was to carry out preoperative pilot tests (randomized design) of the feasibility (1A) and validation (1B) of two novel prehabilitation apps, habeat® (Ha-app) or rehaviour® (Re-app). METHODS: Patients scheduled for hip or knee arthroplasty with daily smoking, risky drinking, or both were randomised to one of the two apps. In part 1A, eight patients and their staff measured feasibility on a visual analog scale (VAS) and were interviewed about what worked well and the challenges requiring improvement. In part 1B, seven patients and their staff tested the improved apps for up to two weeks before validating the understanding, usability, coverage, and empowerment on a VAS and being interviewed. RESULTS: In 1A, all patients and staff returned scores of ≥5 for understanding the apps and mostly suggested technical improvements. In 1B, the scores varied widely for both apps, with no consensus achieved. Two of four patients (Ha-app) and one-third of the patients (Re-app) found the apps helpful for reducing smoking, but without successful quitting. The staff experienced low app competencies among patients and high time consumption. Specifically, patients most often needed help for the Ha-app, and the staff most often for Re-app; however, the staff reported the Re-app dashboard was more user-friendly. Support and follow-up from an addiction specialist staff member were suggested to complement the apps, thereby increasing the time consumption for staff. CONCLUSIONS: This pilot study to test prototype apps generated helpful feedback for the app developers. Based on the patient and staff comments, multiple improvements in functionality seem required before scaling up the evaluation for effect on prehabilitation and postoperative complications.

Minor effect of patient education for alcohol cessation intervention on outcomes after acute fracture surgery: a randomized trial of 70 patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: High alcohol intake is associated with increased risk of postoperative complications. Alcohol cessation intervention is recommended prior to elective surgery. We investigated short- and long-term effects of perioperative intensive alcohol intervention in relation to acute ankle fracture surgery. PATIENTS AND METHODS: 70 patients requiring ankle fracture surgery and consuming ≥ 21 drinks weekly (1 drink = 12 g ethanol) were randomized to a manual-based 6-week intensive standardized alcohol cessation program, the Gold Standard Program (GSP-A), or treatment as usual (TAU), on the day of operation. GSP-A included 5 personal meetings, patient education, and motivational and pharmacological support (alcohol withdrawal prophylaxis, B vitamins, and low-dose disulfiram). Complications requiring treatment were measured after 6 weeks and 1 year. Alcohol intake was validated by biomarkers. Quality of life (QoL) was measured by the SF-36. Hospital costs were obtained from the National Hospital Costs Register. RESULTS: Postoperatively, complete alcohol cessation was higher in the GSP-A than in the TAU group (18/35 vs. 5/35, number needed to treat = 3, p ≤ 0.001), but not lowrisk consumption in the long term (10/35 vs. 7/33, p = 0.5). Number of complications in the short and long term (12/35 vs. 14/33, 16/35 vs. 18/33), the SF-36 score, or hospital costs in the short and long term (€6,294 vs. €8,024, €10,662 vs. €12,198), were similar between the groups. INTERPRETATION: Despite an effect on alcohol cessation and a positive tendency as regards the other outcomes, the postoperative complications, QoL, and costs were similar. Better perioperative strategies for acute surgical patients with high alcohol intake therefore need to be developed.

Comorbidity and mortality after hip fracture in nineteen thousand six hundred and eighty two patients aged eighteen to sixty five years in Denmark from 1996 to 2012.

PURPOSE: This nationwide study assessed associations between comorbidity and mortality after hip fracture in young and middle-aged patients. METHODS: Data on 19,682 patients aged 18 to 65 years were extracted from Danish registries out of 154,047 patients who experienced a hip fracture between 1996 and 2012. Mortality and comorbidity were assessed using information on vital status, hospital admissions, and prescriptions. RESULTS: Of the 19,682 patients 17,722 (90.0%) were middle-aged (40-65 years) and 1960 (10.0%) were young (18-39 years). The 30-day mortality rates were 3.2% (n = 570) and 1.6% (n = 32), respectively. Indicators of multi-trauma (hazard ratio (HR), 3.5 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.6-7.8], n = 2056) and having diabetes (HR, 4.4 [1.2-11.3], n = 59) and heart disease (HR, 4.4[1.3-14.8], n = 57) increased 30-day mortality in the young patients, while having cancer (HR, 5.0 [4.2-5.9], n = 1958) increased 30-day mortality in the middle-aged patients. CONCLUSION: Heart disease and diabetes were associated with high mortality in the young patients while having cancer was associated with high mortality in the middle-aged patients.

Hyperkalemia is Associated with Increased 30-Day Mortality in Hip Fracture Patients.

Abnormal plasma concentrations of potassium in the form of hyper- and hypokalemia are frequent among hospitalized patients and have been linked to poor outcomes. In this study, we examined the prevalence of hypo- and hyperkalemia in patients admitted with a fractured hip as well as the association with 30-day mortality in these patients. A total of 7293 hip fracture patients (aged 60 years or above) with admission plasma potassium measurements were included. Data on comorbidity, medication, and death was retrieved from national registries. The association between plasma potassium and mortality was examined using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, and comorbidities. The prevalence of hypo- and hyperkalemia on admission was 19.8% and 6.6%, respectively. The 30-day mortality rates were increased for patients with hyperkalemia (21.0%, p < 0.0001) compared to normokalemic patients (9.5%), whereas hypokalemia was not significantly associated with mortality. After adjustment for age, sex, and individual comorbidities, hyperkalemia was still associated with increased risk of death 30 days after admission (HR = 1.93 [1.55-2.40], p < 0.0001). After the same adjustments, hypokalemia remained non-associated with increased risk of 30-day mortality (HR = 1.06 [0.87-1.29], p = 0.6). Hyperkalemia, but not hypokalemia, at admission is associated with increased 30-day mortality after a hip fracture.

Temporal trends in the use of antithrombotics at admission.

Background and purpose - Currently, no clear evidence exists on the pattern of use of antithrombotics at admission in hip fracture patients and how this has changed over time. We investigated temporal trends in-and factors associated with-the use of antithrombotics in patients admitted with a fractured hip. Patients and methods - This was a population-based cohort study including all patients aged 18 years or above who were admitted with a hip fracture in Denmark from 1996 to 2012. The Danish national registries were used to collect information on medication use, vital status, and comorbidity. Results - From 1996 to 2012, the proportion of patients using antithrombotics in general increased by a factor of 2.3 from 19% to 43% (p < 0.001). More specifically, the use of anticoagulants increased by a factor of 6.8 and the use of antiplatelets increased by a factor of 2.1. When we adjusted for possible confounders, the use of antithrombotics still increased for every calendar year (relative risk (RR) = 1.03, CI: 1.03-1.04; p < 0.001). Age, sex, and Charlson comorbidity index were all associated with the use of antithrombotics (all p < 0.001). Interpretation - The proportion of hip fracture patients using antithrombotics at admission has increased substantially in Denmark over the last 2 decades. This highlights the need for evidence-based guidelines on how to handle patients using antithrombotics to ensure safe surgery and to avoid surgical delay.

Patient education for alcohol cessation intervention at the time of acute fracture surgery: study protocol for a randomised clinical multi-centre trial on a gold standard programme (Scand-Ankle).

BACKGROUND: Patients with hazardous alcohol intake are overrepresented in emergency departments and surgical wards. These patients have an increased risk of postoperative complications with prolonged hospital stays and admissions to intensive care unit after surgery. In elective surgery, preoperative alcohol cessation interventions can reduce postoperative complications, but no studies have investigated the effect of alcohol cessation intervention at the time of acute fracture surgery. This protocol describes a randomised clinical trial that aims to evaluate the effect of a new gold standard programme for alcohol cessation intervention in the perioperative period regarding postoperative complications, alcohol intake and cost-effectiveness. METHODS/DESIGN: Patients with hazardous alcohol intake undergoing ankle fracture surgery will be recruited into the trial from multiple orthopaedic wards at university hospitals in Denmark, Sweden and Norway. Included patients will be randomly allocated to either standard care or the gold standard programme aimed at complete alcohol abstinence before, during and 6 weeks after surgery. It includes a structured patient education programme and weekly interventions meetings at the orthopaedic outpatient clinic. Furthermore, patients are provided with thiamine and B-vitamins, alcohol withdrawal prophylaxis and treatment, and disulfiram to support abstinence. Alcohol intake is biochemically validated (blood, urine and breath tests) at the weekly intervention meetings and follow-up visits. Follow-up assessments will be conducted 6 weeks and 3, 6, 9 and 12 months after surgery for all patients. The effect of the gold standard programme will be assessed comparing the outcome measures between the intervention and control group at each follow-up point. DISCUSSION: The study will provide new knowledge about how to prevent alcohol-related postoperative complications at the time of acute fracture surgery. If effective, the results will be a benefit for the clinical course, patients and society alike. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The protocol is registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (Id: NCT00986791 ).

Preoperative factors associated with red blood cell transfusion in hip fracture patients.

INTRODUCTION: Red blood cell (RBC) transfusion is a frequently used treatment in patients admitted with a fractured hip, but the use remains an area of much debate. The aim of this study was to determine preoperative factors associated with the risk of receiving a red blood cell transfusion in hip fracture patients. METHOD: The study included 986 consecutive hip fracture patients (aged 60 years or above). The patients were identified from a database of all hip fracture patients admitted to Bispebjerg University Hospital. Data for the database are collected via chart review and data extraction from the hospitals laboratory system, public registries and from the Capital Region Blood Bank Database. RESULTS: Overall transfusion rate was 58.7 %. The univariate analyses showed that transfusion rate was higher among women (p = 0.004), older patients (p < 0.0001), patients with high ASA scores (p < 0.0001), patients with more severe fractures (p < 0.0001), patients with lower admission haemoglobin levels (p < 0.0001), patients not admitted from own home (p = 0.02) and patients taking aspirin (p = 0.007) or other platelet inhibitors (p = 0.01) on admission. In the multivariate analysis, increasing age, ASA ≥3, being admitted from own home, extracapsular fractures, decreasing admission haemoglobin and use of platelet inhibitors were all significantly associated with the risk of receiving a RBC transfusion. CONCLUSION: Several readily available preoperative factors in the form of age, residence, ASA, admission haemoglobin, medication and type of fracture were independently associated with the likelihood of receiving a red blood cell transfusion in patients admitted with a fractured hip.

Clinical and radiological signs of bone healing in conservatively treated fractures in adults.

Traumatic fractures are often treated conservatively. Bone healing is a complex process and the complexities of a fracture, bone quality, treatment, and patient factors are all crucial. Routine X-rays and clinical follow-ups are a significant cost to society as well as exposing the patient to increased radiation and should only be performed if there is a risk of complications that may impact the treatment. It is difficult to assess on X-rays alone, whether there is sufficient bone healing and X-rays are therefore always recommended in conjunction with clinical examination.

Obesity variants in the GIPR gene do not associate with risk of fracture or bone mineral density.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to investigate the risk of fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) of sequence variants in GIPR that reduce the activity of the GIPR receptor and have been associated with reduced body mass index (BMI). METHODS: We analysed the association of three missense variants in GIPR, a common variant, rs1800437 (p.Glu354Gln), and two rare variants, rs139215588 (p.Arg190Gln) and rs143430880 (p.Glu288Gly), as well as a burden of predicted loss of function (LoF) variants with risk of fracture and with BMD in a large meta-analysis of up to 1.2 million participants. We analysed associations with fractures at different skeletal sites in the general population; any fractures, hip fractures, vertebral fractures and forearm fractures, and specifically non-vertebral and osteoporotic fractures in postmenopausal women. We also evaluated associations with BMD at the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and total body measured with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), and with BMD estimated from heel ultrasound (eBMD). RESULTS: None of the three missense variants in GIPR associated significantly with increased risk of fractures or with lower BMD. Burden of LoF variants in GIPR were not associated with fractures or with BMD measured with clinically validated DXA, but associated with eBMD. CONCLUSION: Missense variants in GIPR, or burden of LoF variants in the gene, do not associate with risk of fractures or with lower BMD.

Causes of death among 93.637 hip fracture patients- data based on the Danish National Registry of causes of death.

PURPOSE: Excess mortality among hip fracture patients is well documented. Less is known, however, about the causes of death in this group of patients, although existing literature suggests that bronchopneumonia and cardiovascular diseases constitute the leading causes of death. In this study, we investigated the causes of death in Danish hip fracture patients, who died within 30-days after sustaining a hip fracture, with a focus on differences in causes of death between men and women and between different age groups. Furthermore, the frequency of potentially preventable causes of death such as pneumonia, urinary tract infections and thromboembolic events was examined. METHODS: All Danish patients aged 18 or more suffering from a hip fracture in the period 2002-2012 were examined for inclusion into the study. Data were collected from the Danish National Patient registry. The last month of 2012 being December was left out since we were looking at 30-days mortality. Logistic regression analysis was used to test the association between 30-day mortality with each of the causes of death adjusted for age, sex and CCI in multivariable models with results presented as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: During this period, 93,637 patients sustained a hip fracture. Of these, 9504 patients died within 30-days and were included in the study. For patients dead within 30-days after sustaining a hip fracture, the two leading medical causes of death were cardiovascular disease (21.1%) and pneumonia (10.5%) when looking at both genders. A frequent cause of death especially in the younger age group of women less than 50 years old were infections (other than pneumonia) (18.2%) especially urinary tract infections. Pulmonary embolism accounted for 3.9% of causes of deaths in hip fracture patients. CONCLUSION: In this study, cardiovascular disease and pneumonia were overall the leading medical causes of death in patients dead within 30-days after sustaining a hip fracture. Apart from pneumonia, another potentially preventable infection in younger female hip fracture patients was urinary tract infections. Pulmonary embolism, another potentially preventable cause of death might be underreported in Danish death certificates.

Mortality among hip fracture patients infected with COVID-19 perioperatively.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in an overall decline in fractures. However, the amount of hip fractures has remained relatively stable throughout the period. The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of perioperative COVID-19 infections on mortality among hip fracture patients. METHODS: A meta-analysis was performed by collecting current data available through a systematic literature search in the PubMed database. The search was performed Oct 18 2020. RESULTS: The meta-analysis was conducted on a trial population consisting of 1.272 hip fracture patients with a pooled prevalence of COVID-19 of 18%. Mortality among hip fracture patients without a perioperative COVID-19 infection was 7.49%. Mortality among hip fracture patients infected with COVID-19 perioperatively was associated with an odds ratio of 6.70 [(95% CI 4.64-9.68), p < 0.00001, I2 = 41%]. A sensitivity analysis showed no major impact of assumptions regarding varying definitions of COVID-19 statuses among the included studies. CONCLUSION: Perioperative infections with COVID-19 in hip fracture patients are correlated with a significantly increased mortality. The meta-analysis showed a pooled odds ratio of 6.70 [(95% CI 4.64-9.68), p < 0.00001, I2 = 41%].

Re-amputations and mortality after below-knee, through-knee and above-knee amputations.

INTRODUCTION: From January 2013, we changed the surgical strategy in our department and ceased to perform the through-knee amputation (TKA). The primary aim of this study was to investigate re-amputation rates ≤ 90 days after non-traumatic major lower-extremity amputations performed before and after this change of practice. Furthermore, we reported mortality before and after the change of practice. METHODS: All non-traumatic major lower-extremity amputations performed in a single centre in two study periods (before and after the change of practice); 2009-2012 (cohort A) and 2014-2015 (cohort B) were included. Re-amputations and all-cause mortality ≤ 90 days after the index amputations were analysed. RESULTS: Cohort A: Included 180 amputations with 27 below-knee amputations (BKA), 68 TKAs and 85 above-knee amputations (AKA). 86.7% of patients were American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score 3-5. The re-amputation rate ≤ 90 days was 29.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 12.7-47.3%) after BKA, 33.8% (95% CI: 22.7-45.3%) after TKA, 9.4% (95% CI: 2.9-15.1%) after AKA and 21.6% (95% CI: 15.6-27.6%) overall. The overall mortality ≤ 90 days was 35.2% (95% CI: 26.2-44.2%). Cohort B: Included 116 amputations with 21 BKA and 95 AKA. 92.7% of patients were ASA score 3-5. The re-amputation rate ≤ 90 days was 19.1% (95% CI: 7.7-40.0%) after BKA, 2.1% (95% CI: 0.6-7.4%) after AKA and 5.2% (95% CI: 2.4-10.8%) overall. The overall mortality ≤ 90 days was 32.8% (95% CI: 26.2-44.2%). CONCLUSIONS: The overall re-amputation rate ≤ 90 days following major lower-extremity amputation decreased significantly from 22% to 5% after cessation of the TKA procedures, but mortality remained unchanged. FUNDING: none. TRIAL REGISTRATION: not relevant.

Mapping the imprint of bone remodeling by atomic force microscopy.

Understanding bone remodeling is essential for understanding bone as a whole. Bone remodeling takes place through a stepwise cellular process, with osteoclasts carving small cavities, also known as resorption pits, into the surface of trabecular bone, followed by osteoblasts, which refill the pits with new soft bone collagen matrix tissue (osteoid). The detailed structure of the surface in the frontier of a resorption pit before, during, and after the osteoid is being laid down is not well known. We present detailed atomic force microscope (AFM) images from the edge, the front end, and the bottom of a resorption pit in a human trabecular bone sample that showed signs of incomplete remodeling. The images reveal a scalloped surface left behind by the osteoclasts and the surface morphology of preexisting bone tissue and new bone tissue. In addition, we display the bone formation front in the pit showing the anchor points between the new bone and the existing bone. We also found evidence of microcracking in the front end of the pit, suggesting that microcracking was the initiator of this particular resorption pit. We anticipate that AFM may initiate a more detailed understanding of the influence of the remodeling process on the structure of bone, as well as a better understanding of the surface on which new bone tissue can be anchored.

Opioid Usage During Admission in Hip Fracture Patients-The Effect of the Continuous Femoral Nerve Block.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to investigate whether there was a difference in opioid usage during admission for hip fracture patients with continuous femoral nerve block (cFNB) when compared to patients nonfemoral nerve block (nFNB). METHODS AND MATERIALS: Patients were identified from the local database on all hip fracture patients admitted to Bispebjerg University Hospital, Denmark. Four hundred fifty-six hip fracture patients were included during the period September 2008 to October 2010. RESULTS: Three hundred sixty-six hip fracture patients had cFNB. The mean time with cFNB was 3.4 days. There were no significant differences in gender, length of stay, time to surgery, mortality rate, in-hospital falls, or resurgery rates during admission between the 2 groups. The nFNB group had an insignificant higher use of morphine as needed during the first 5 days of admission (nFNB: 53.1 mg, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 34.4-71.7; cFNB: 47.7 mg, 95% CI: 40.7-64.3; P = .54) and during the whole admission (cFNB: 34.3 mg, 95% CI: 23.2-45.5; cFNB: 30.3 mg, 95% CI: 26.6-33.0; P = .4). Some 8.47% of the total morphine consumption during admission was morphine as needed for the nFNB group and 9.89% for the cFNB group. CONCLUSION: Patients with cFNB did only have a marginally lower opioid usage during admission when compared to patients without the block, with no significance between the 2 groups. This could indicate that the cFNB is an ineffective analgesic strategy, especially in the postoperative period, but larger randomized studies are needed in order to clarify this.

Orthogeriatric Service Reduces Mortality in Patients With Hip Fracture.

INTRODUCTION: Orthogeriatric service has been shown to improve outcomes in patients with hip fracture. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of orthogeriatrics at Bispebjerg University Hospital, Denmark. The primary outcome is mortality inhospital and after 1, 3, and 12 months for patients with hip fracture. The secondary outcome is mortality for home dwellers and nursing home inhabitants. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective clinical cohort study with an historic control group including all patients with hip fracture admitted from 2007 to 2011. Patients with hip fracture are registered in a local database, and data are retrieved retrospectively using the Danish Civil Registration Number. RESULTS: We included 993 patients in the intervention group and 989 patients in the control group. A univariate analysis showed only significantly decreased mortality inhospital 6.3% vs 3.1% (P = .009) after orthogeriatrics. However, when adjusting for age, gender, and American Society of Anaesthesiologists (ASA) score in a multivariate analysis, including all patients with hip fracture, we find significantly reduced mortality inhospital (odds ratio [OR] 0.35), after 30 [OR 0.66] and 90 days [OR 0.72] and 1 year [OR 0.79]). When using a univariate analysis for home-dwelling patients, we found significantly reduced mortality inhospital (8.3-2.0%, P < .0001), after 30 days (12.2-6.8%, P = .004) and 90 days (20.5-13.0%, P = .002). One-year mortality was not significant. Patients from nursing homes had no significant decreasing mortality at any point of time in the univariate analysis. CONCLUSION: We have shown significant decreases for inhospital, 30 day, 90 day, and 1-year mortality after implementation of orthogeriatric service at Bispebjerg Hospital when adjusting for age, gender, and ASA score. Future trials should include frail patients with other fracture types who can benefit from orthogeriatrics.

[Blunt diaphragmatic rupture following low-energy trauma]. / Diafragmaruptur som følge af lavenergifaldtraume.

Traumatic rupture of the diaphragm following blunt trauma is rare. It is most commonly seen in high-velocity impact from motor vehicle accidents. However, we present a case report of a 17-year-old man who sustained an isolated left-sided diaphragmatic rupture with visceral herniation as a result of a low-velocity fall. Consequently blunt diaphragmatic rupture should be suspected in every case of blunt trauma.

Metaanalysis of risk factors for mortality in patients with hip fracture.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this meta-analysis is to assess the association of three different clinical score systems with the mortality in hip fracture patients. METHODS: A literature search was conducted on November 13, 2011 using PubMed and Embase. The search yielded 315 publications which were reviewed on the basis of the inclusion criteria. RESULTS: Thirteen studies were included for further processing. The following clinical score systems were found to be of prognostic value for mortality in hip fracture patients: a high American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score of three or above (odds ratio (OR): 3.07; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.78-3.38; p < 0.00001, 15,625 study participants included), a Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score of one or more (OR: 2.05; 95% CI: 1.79-2.34; p < 0.00001, 13,570 study participants included) and dementia (assessed with Mini Mental State Examination or obtained from journal extraction) (OR: 2.73; 95% CI: 1.64-4.57; p = 0.0001; 1,782 study participants included). CONCLUSION: The present meta-analysis showed that the ASA score, the CCI score and assessment of preexisting dementia are useful in predicting the mortality of hip fracture patients.

Secondary hyperparathyroidism and mortality in hip fracture patients compared to a control group from general practice.

INTRODUCTION: Previously, little attention has been paid as to how disturbances in the parathyroid hormone (PTH)-calcium-vitamin D-axis, such as secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT), relate to mortality amongst hip fracture patients. This study aimed to (1) determine if SHPT is associated with mortality in this group of patients, (2) investigate the association between serum (s-) PTH, s-total calcium, s-25-hydroxyvitamin D (s-25(OH)D) and mortality and (3) determine the prevalence of SHPT amongst hip fracture patients and a control group. METHOD: The study included 562 hip fracture patients (HF) (age ≥ 70 years) admitted to a Danish university hospital. The hip fracture patients were prospectively enrolled in a dedicated hip fracture database. Each hip fracture patient was exactly matched according to age and sex with two controls randomly chosen from a control population of 21,778 subjects who had s-PTH, s-total calcium and s-25(OH)D measured at the Copenhagen General Practitioners Laboratory after referral from their general practitioner. The control group (Con) thus consisted of 1124 subjects. RESULTS: General 1-year mortality: Con-female 8.4%, Con-male 15.3%, HF-female 24.6%, HF-male 33.3%, p<0.0001 (log rank). SHPT AND RELATED 1-YEAR MORTALITY: Con-no SHPT 8.9%, Con-SHPT 16.8%, HF-no SHPT 22.7%, HF-SHPT 34.9%, p<0.0001 (log rank). The mortality rates were higher for controls with SHPT (OR 2.06, 95% CI: 1.32-3.23), hip fracture patients without SHPT (OR 3.00, 95% CI: 2.14-4.20) and hip fracture patients with SHPT (OR 5.46, 95% CI: 3.32-8.97) compared to the controls without SHPT. PREVALENCE OF SHPT: Con 16%, HF 20%, p=0.09 (Chi-square). CONCLUSIONS: Our study clearly shows that SHPT is significantly associated with mortality in both hip fracture patients and the control group. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, s-PTH and s-total calcium were both significantly associated with mortality, whereas s-25(OH)D was not associated with mortality in this analysis. Our study furthermore indicates that SHPT is almost equally prevalent amongst the hip fracture patients and the control group.