Prediabetes is associated with increased cardiac events in patients with cancer who are prescribed anthracyclines.

BACKGROUND: Prediabetes, which is a precedent of overt diabetes, is a known risk factor for adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Its impact on adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with cancer who are prescribed anthracycline-containing chemotherapy (ACT) is uncertain. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of prediabetes with cardiovascular events in patients with cancer who are prescribed ACT. METHODS: The authors identified patients with cancer who received ACT from 2000 to 2019 from Clinical Data Analysis Reporting System of Hong Kong. Patients were divided into diabetes, prediabetes, and normoglycemia groups based on their baseline glycemic profile. The Primary outcome, a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), was the composite event of hospitalization for heart failure and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: Among 12,649 patients at baseline, 3997 had prediabetes, and 5622 had diabetes. Over median follow-up of 8.7 years, the incidence of MACE was 211 (7.0%) in the normoglycemia group, 358 (9.0%) in the prediabetes group, and 728 (12.9%) in the diabetes group. Compared with normoglycemia, prediabetes (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.43) and diabetes (adjusted HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.24-1.70) were associated with an increased risk of MACE. In the prediabetes group, 475 patients (18%) progressed to overt diabetes and exhibited a greater risk of MACE (adjusted HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.31-2.36) compared with patients who remained prediabetic. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with cancer who received ACT, those who had prediabetes at baseline and those who progressed to diabetes at follow-up had an increased risk of MACE. The optimization of cardiovascular risk factor management, including prediabetes, should be considered in patients with cancer who are treated before and during ACT to reduce cardiovascular risk. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Patients with cancer who have preexisting diabetes have a higher risk of cardiovascular events, and prediabetes is often overlooked. In this study of 12,649 patients with cancer identified in the Clinical Data Analysis Reporting System of Hong Kong who were receiving treatment with anthracycline drugs, prediabetes was correlated with increased deaths from cardiovascular disease and/or hospitalizations for heart failure. Patients who progressed from prediabetes to diabetes within 2 years had an increased risk of combined hospitalization for heart failure and death from cardiovascular disease. These findings indicate the importance of paying greater attention to cardiovascular risk factors, including how prediabetes is managed, in patients who have cancer and are receiving chemotherapy with anthracyclines, emphasizing the need for surveillance, follow-up strategies, and consideration of prediabetes management in cancer care.

Chronic kidney disease begets heart failure and vice versa: temporal associations between heart failure events in relation to incident chronic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes.

AIM: To investigate the interplay of incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) and/or heart failure (HF) and their associations with prognosis in a large, population-based cohort with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). METHODS: Patients aged ≥18 years with new-onset T2DM, without renal disease or HF at baseline, were identified from the territory-wide Clinical Data Analysis Reporting System between 2000 and 2015. Patients were followed up until December 31, 2020 for incident CKD and/or HF and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 102 488 patients (median age 66 years, 45.7% women, median follow-up 7.5 years), new-onset CKD occurred in 14 798 patients (14.4%), in whom 21.7% had HF. In contrast, among 9258 patients (9.0%) with new-onset HF, 34.6% had CKD. The median time from baseline to incident CKD or HF (4.4 vs. 4.1 years) did not differ. However, the median (interquartile range) time until incident HF after CKD diagnosis was 1.7 (0.5-3.6) years and was 1.2 (0.2-3.4) years for incident CKD after HF diagnosis (P < 0.001). The crude incidence of CKD was higher than that of HF: 17.6 (95% confidence interval [CI] 17.3-17.9) vs. 10.6 (95% CI 10.4-10.9)/1000 person-years, respectively, but incident HF was associated with a higher adjusted-mortality than incident CKD. The presence of either condition (vs. CKD/HF-free status) was associated with a three-fold hazard of death, whereas concomitant HF and CKD conferred a six to seven-fold adjusted hazard of mortality. CONCLUSION: Cardiorenal complications are common and are associated with high mortality risk among patients with new-onset T2DM. Close surveillance of these dual complications is crucial to reduce the burden of disease.

Low-dose aspirin and incidence of lung carcinoma in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Hong Kong: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Evidence suggests that chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with a higher risk of lung carcinoma. Using a territory-wide clinical electronic medical records system, we investigated the association between low-dose aspirin use (≤160 mg) among patients with COPD and incidence of lung carcinoma and the corresponding risk of bleeding. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This is a retrospective cohort study conducted utilizing Clinical Data Analysis Reporting System (CDARS), a territory-wide database developed by the Hong Kong Hospital Authority. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to balance baseline covariates between aspirin nonusers (35,049 patients) with new aspirin users (7,679 patients) among all eligible COPD patients from 2005 to 2018 attending any public hospitals. The median age of the cohort was 75.7 years (SD = 11.5), and 80.3% were male. Competing risk regression with Cox proportional hazards model were performed to estimate the subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) of lung carcinoma with low-dose aspirin and the associated bleeding events. Of all eligible patients, 1,779 (4.2%, 1,526 and 253 among nonusers and users) were diagnosed with lung carcinoma over a median follow-up period of 2.6 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 1.4 to 4.8). Aspirin use was associated with a 25% lower risk of lung carcinoma (SHR = 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65 to 0.87, p = <0.001) and 26% decrease in lung carcinoma-related mortality (SHR = 0.74, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.86, p = <0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed that aspirin was beneficial for patients aged above or below 75 years, but was also beneficial among populations who were male, nondiabetic, and nonhypertensive. Aspirin use was not associated with an increased risk of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) (SHR = 1.19, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.53, p = 0.16), but was associated with an increased risk of hemoptysis (SHR = 1.96, 95% CI 1.73 to 2.23, p < 0.001). The main limitations of the study were (i) that one group of patients may be more likely to seek additional medical attention, although this was partially mitigated by the use of propensity score analysis; and (ii) the observational nature of the study renders it unable to establish causality between aspirin use and lung carcinoma incidence. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we observed that low-dose aspirin use was associated with a lower risk of lung carcinoma and lung carcinoma-related mortality among COPD patients. While aspirin was not associated with an increased risk of UGIB, the risk of hemoptysis was elevated.

Statin associated lower cancer risk and related mortality in patients with heart failure.

AIMS: Patients with heart failure (HF) have an increased risk of incident cancer. Data relating to the association of statin use with cancer risk and cancer-related mortality among patients with HF are sparse. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using a previously validated territory-wide clinical information registry, statin use was ascertained among all eligible patients with HF (n = 87 102) from 2003 to 2015. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to balance baseline covariates between statin nonusers (n = 50 926) with statin users (n = 36 176). Competing risk regression with Cox proportional-hazard models was performed to estimate the risk of cancer and cancer-related mortality associated with statin use. Of all eligible subjects, the mean age was 76.5 ± 12.8 years, and 47.8% was male. Over a median follow-up of 4.1 years (interquartile range: 1.6-6.8), 11 052 (12.7%) were diagnosed with cancer. Statin use (vs. none) was associated with a 16% lower risk of cancer incidence [multivariable adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) = 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.80-0.89]. This inverse association with risk of cancer was duration dependent; as compared with short-term statin use (3 months to <2 years), the adjusted SHR was 0.99 (95% CI, 0.87-1.13) for 2 to <4 years of use, 0.82 (95% CI, 0.70-0.97) for 4 to <6 years of use, and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.65-0.93) for ≥6 years of use. Ten-year cancer-related mortality was 3.8% among statin users and 5.2% among nonusers (absolute risk difference, -1.4 percentage points [95% CI, -1.6% to -1.2%]; adjusted SHR = 0.74; 95% CI, 0.67-0.81). CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that statin use is associated with a significantly lower risk of incident cancer and cancer-related mortality in HF, an association that appears to be duration dependent.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and cardiac arrhythmias: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac arrhythmias are associated with poorer outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF), diabetes mellitus (DM), and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Previous studies have shown inconsistent conclusions regarding the association between sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and the risk of developing arrhythmias. This study aims to investigate the association of SGLT2i treatment with arrhythmia outcomes in clinical trials of patients with HF, DM, or CKD. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched from inception up to 27 August 2020. Randomized controlled trials that randomized patients with DM, CKD, or HF to SGLT2i or placebo were included. The outcomes of interest include atrial fibrillation (AF), embolic stroke, atrial flutter (AFL), AF/AFL, ventricular tachycardia (VT), and cardiac arrest. Relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were pooled using a random-effects model. RESULTS: Out of 4,532 citations, 22 trials with altogether 52,115 patients were included (mean age 63.2 years; 33,747 [64.8%] of participants were men). SGLT2i were associated with a lower risk of AF (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.70-0.96), embolic stroke (RR 0.32, 95% CI 0.12-0.85), AF/AFL (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.71-0.95), and VT (RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.53-0.99), while the risk reductions in AFL (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.58-1.17) and cardiac arrest (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.61-1.14) did not reach statistical significance. The associations appeared to be consistent across different baseline conditions (DM vs CKD vs HF; atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease [ASCVD] vs no ASCVD) and the SGLT2i used. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT2i reduced the risk of cardiac arrhythmias. Our study provides further evidence for recommending the use of SGLT2i in patients with DM, CKD, and HF. Further research is needed to fully elucidate the mechanism by which SGLT2i protect against arrhythmias.

A-FABP in Metabolic Diseases and the Therapeutic Implications: An Update.

Adipocyte fatty acid-binding protein (A-FABP), which is also known as ap2 or FABP4, is a fatty acid chaperone that has been further defined as a fat-derived hormone. It regulates lipid homeostasis and is a key mediator of inflammation. Circulating levels of A-FABP are closely associated with metabolic syndrome and cardiometabolic diseases with imminent diagnostic and prognostic significance. Numerous animal studies have elucidated the potential underlying mechanisms involving A-FABP in these diseases. Recent studies demonstrated its physiological role in the regulation of adaptive thermogenesis and its pathological roles in ischemic stroke and liver fibrosis. Due to its implication in various diseases, A-FABP has become a promising target for the development of small molecule inhibitors and neutralizing antibodies for disease treatment. This review summarizes the clinical and animal findings of A-FABP in the pathogenesis of cardio-metabolic diseases in recent years. The underlying mechanism and its therapeutic implications are also highlighted.

Prevalence, incidence, and survival analysis of interstitial lung diseases in Hong Kong: a 16-year population-based cohort study.

Background: Published data on the epidemiology of interstitial lung disease (ILD) in Asia is scarce. Understanding the epidemiology is important for authorities in the health management planning. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence, incidence, and survival of ILD in Hong Kong from 2005 to 2020 and evaluate the change of trend over time. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we identified ILD patients between 2005 and 2020 using a territory-wide electronic health record database. Prevalence, incidence rates, and age- and sex-standardised incidence rates with United Nations population in 2020 as a reference were estimated. Trends in prevalence and incidence were analysed using joinpoint regression and the average annual percent change (AAPC) was estimated. Median survival, and risk factors of mortality were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard regression. Findings: We identified 5924 patients and included 5884 of them for analysis. The prevalence of ILD increased from 24.7 to 33.6 per 100,000 population from 2005 to 2020 with an AAPC of 1.94 (95% confidence interval, CI: 1.69-2.34). The standardized incidence rate decreased from 5.36 to 2.57 per 100,000 person from 2005 to 2020 (AAPC -3.56, 95% CI, -4.95 to -1.78). The median survival of ILD was 2.50 (95% CI, 2.32-2.69) years. Male, older age, higher Charlson comorbidity index, and IIP subtype were associated with increased mortality with statistical significance. Interpretation: This study provided the first epidemiological evaluation of ILD in Hong Kong. Further studies on ILD in multiple Asian cities and countries are warranted. Funding: None.

Hypokalaemia associated with hydrochlorothiazide used in the treatment of hypertension in NHANES 1999-2018.

Hydrochlorothiazide is the most common thiazide diuretic used for hypertension in the US. Yet, hypokalaemia is a well-recognised adverse effect. To evaluate the prevalence and factors associated with hypokalaemia (serum potassium < 3.5 mmol/L) among hydrochlorothiazide users, we included US adults aged ≥20 years in the 1999-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Participants were categorised according to the use of hydrochlorothiazide and other antihypertensive agents. Factors associated with hypokalaemia, including demographics and prescription patterns (monotherapy vs single-pill fixed-dose combination vs polytherapy) were studied using multivariable logistic regression. Hypokalaemia was present in 12.6% of the hydrochlorothiazide users, equivalent to ~2.0 million US adults. Women (adjusted OR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.74-2.83), non-Hispanic blacks (adjusted OR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.31-2.08), underweight (adjusted OR, 4.33; 95% CI, 1.34-13.95), and participants taking hydrochlorothiazide for five years or more (adjusted OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.06-2.04) had a higher risk of hypokalaemia. Compared to monotherapy, fixed-dose combination therapy (adjusted OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.21-0.48) was associated with the lowest risk. Among those taking potassium supplements, hypokalaemia was found in 27.2% of participants on monotherapy and 17.9% on polytherapy. The prevalence of hypokalaemia among hydrochlorothiazide users was considerable, even among participants who also took potassium supplements. Women, ethnic minorities, underweight, monotherapy, and participants with long-term therapy are more likely to have hypokalaemia. Regular monitoring of potassium and combination with potassium-sparing drugs are needed.

Evolving Trends in Consumption of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in 65 Countries/Regions from 2008 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have been increasingly utilised over warfarin. However, little is known about the relative consumption trends and costs of each DOAC at the global level. METHODS: An ecological study using pharmaceutical sales data from IQVIA-MIDAS database was used to estimate consumption and cost of individual DOACs in 65 countries from 2008 to 2019. Consumption was estimated from the volume of DOACs sold, expressed as defined-daily-dose/1000-inhabitants/day (DDDTID). Compound and absolute annual growth rates were reported to quantify consumption changes over time. Costs were estimated as manufacturer price per day-of-therapy. RESULTS: Global consumption of dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban and edoxaban were 0.31, 1.05, 1.08 and 0.78 DDDTID, respectively, in Q2-2019, compared to 0.23, 0.54, 0.21 and 0.03 in Q2-2015, with highest consumption in Western Europe, Northern Europe and Oceania (18.2, 14.07, 13.14 DDDTID). In most countries (46/65, 70%), rivaroxaban contributed to most DOAC consumption (35%-100%), whereas dabigatran accounted for less than one-third. Edoxaban accounted for < 20% of the total in Northern America and Europe but contributed significant proportions in Japan (28.58%) and South Korea (31.37%). Longer median time-to-adoption from FDA approval for apixaban and edoxaban was observed. Costs of all DOACs were ~2-4 times higher in the USA, Puerto Rico and Thailand than in other countries. CONCLUSIONS: Regional differences exist in consumption pattern and trends of individual DOACs over the past decade. Consumption of rivaroxaban and apixaban overtook dabigatran in most countries, whereas use of edoxaban remains limited except in East Asian countries. The USA pays higher prices for DOACs than other countries.

Development and validation of the Chinese osteoporosis screening algorithm (COSA) in identification of people with high risk of osteoporosis.

Objectives: To enhance the public awareness and facilitate diagnosis of osteoporosis, we aim to develop a new Chinese Osteoporosis Screening Algorithm (COSA) to identify people at high risk of osteoporosis. Methods: A total of 4747 postmenopausal women and men aged ≥ 50 from the Hong Kong Osteoporosis Study were randomly split into a development (N = 2373) and an internal validation cohort (N = 2374). An external validation cohort comprising 1876 community-dwelling subjects was used to evaluate the positive predictive value (PPV). Results: Among 11 predictors included, age, sex, weight, and history of fracture were significantly associated with osteoporosis after correction for multiple testing. Age- and sex-stratified models were developed due to the presence of significant sex and age interactions. The area under the curve of the COSA in the internal validation cohort was 0.761 (95% CI, 0.711-0.811), 0.822 (95% CI, 0.792-0.851), and 0.946 (95% CI, 0.908-0.984) for women aged < 65, women aged ≥ 65, and men, respectively. The COSA demonstrated improved reclassification performance when compared to Osteoporosis Self-Assessment Tool for Asians. In the external validation cohort, the PPV of COSA was 40.6%, 59.4%, and 19.4% for women aged < 65, women aged ≥ 65, and men, respectively. In addition, COSA > 0 was associated with an increased 10-year risk of hip fracture in women ≥ 65 (OR, 4.65; 95% CI, 2.24-9.65) and men (OR, 11.51; 95% CI, 4.16-31.81). Conclusions: We have developed and validated a new osteoporosis screening algorithm, COSA, specific for Hong Kong Chinese.

Morphological and functional types of tricuspid regurgitation: prognostic value in patients undergoing tricuspid annuloplasty during left-sided valvular surgery.

BACKGROUND: The nonuniform benefit of tricuspid annuloplasty may be explained by the proportionality of tricuspid regurgitation (TR) severity to right ventricular (RV) area. The purpose of this study was to delineate distinct morphological phenotypes of functional TR and investigate their prognostic implications in patients undergoing tricuspid annuloplasty during left-sided valvular surgery. METHODS: The ratios of pre-procedural effective regurgitant orifice area (EROA) with right ventricular end-diastolic area (RVDA) were retrospectively assessed in 290 patients undergoing tricuspid annuloplasty. Based on optimal thresholds derived from penalized splines and maximally selected rank statistics, patients were stratified into proportionate (EROA/RVDA ratio ≤ 1.74) and disproportionate TR (EROA/RVDA ratio > 1.74). RESULTS: Overall, 59 (20%) and 231 (80%) patients had proportionate and disproportionate TR, respectively. Compared to those with proportionate TR, patients with disproportionate TR were older, had a higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation, lower pulmonary pressures, more impaired RV function, and larger tricuspid leaflet tenting area. Over a median follow-up of 4.1 years, 79 adverse events (47 heart failure hospitalizations and 32 deaths) occurred. Patients with disproportionate TR had higher rates of adverse events than those with proportionate TR (32% vs 10%; P = 0.001) and were independently associated with poor outcomes on multivariate analysis. TR proportionality outperformed guideline-based classification of TR severity in outcome prediction and provided incremental prognostic value to both the EuroSCORE II and STS score (incremental χ2 = 6.757 and 9.094 respectively; both P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Disproportionate TR is strongly associated with adverse prognosis and may aid patient selection and risk stratification for tricuspid annuloplasty with left-sided valvular surgery.

Prognostic value of right ventricular remodelling in patients undergoing concomitant aortic and mitral valve surgery.

AIMS: Long-term risk stratification and surgical timing remain suboptimal in concomitant aortic and mitral (double) valve surgery. This study sought to examine the predictors, changes, and prognostic implications of right ventricular (RV) remodelling in patients undergoing double-valve surgery. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 152 patients undergoing double-valve surgery, four RV remodelling patterns were characterized using transthoracic echocardiography: normal RV size and systolic function (Pattern 1); dilated RV (tricuspid annulus diameter >35 mm) with normal systolic function (Pattern 2); normal RV size with systolic dysfunction (percentage RV fractional area change <35%; Pattern 3); and dilated RV with systolic dysfunction (Pattern 4). The primary endpoint was the composite of heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality. Patterns 1, 2, 3, and 4 RV remodelling were present in 41, 20, 23, and 16% of patients, respectively. Patients with Stage 4 RV remodelling had worse renal function, higher EuroSCORE II, and impaired left ventricular ejection fraction. During a 3.7-year median follow up, 45 adverse events occurred. Patterns 3 and 4 RV remodelling were associated with significantly higher adverse event rates compared with Pattern 1 (37 and 75% vs. 11%, P < 0.01) and had incremental prognostic value when added to clinical parameters and EuroSCORE II (χ2 increased from 30 to 66, P < 0.01). At 1 year after surgery (n = 100), Patterns 3 and 4 RV remodelling had a higher risk of adverse events compared with Pattern 1. CONCLUSION: Right ventricular remodelling was strongly related to adverse outcomes and deserves consideration as part of the risk and decision-making algorithms in double-valve surgery.

Pre-admission and In-Hospital Statin Use is Associated With Reduced Short-Term Mortality in Infective Endocarditis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate for potential protective effects of statin use among patients with infective endocarditis (IE) with consideration for underlying diseases and bacterial culture - variables which have prognostic implications and show considerable geographic variation yet are unappreciated in previous pharmacoepidemiological studies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients diagnosed with IE between January 1, 1996, and December 31, 2019, were identified. We estimated the effect on mortality of pre-admission statin use (≥90 cumulative days of use before index date) and in-hospital use (use beginning within 2 days of admission), compared with nonusers and discontinued users, respectively, through propensity score analytics. RESULTS: Of 6700 IE patients (mean age, 58.0 years; 63.3% male [n=4251]), 776 patients had pre-admission statin use, with 626 continuing statin use following admission (in-hospital users). Pre-admission statin users had a 31% lower risk of 1-year mortality (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.82) compared with nonusers. In-hospital users had a 48% lower risk of 1-year mortality (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.34 to 0.78) compared with discontinued users. Subgroup analyses showed significant protective effects of statin use for patients with varying causative agents, underlying diseases, and with or without prosthetic valves. Results were consistent across different statins, and were dose-dependent. CONCLUSION: In patients with IE, pre-admission and in-hospital use of statin, when compared with statin nonusers and discontinued users, respectively, were associated with a lower risk of 1-year mortality.

Clinical Value of Computational Angiography-derived Fractional Flow Reserve in Stable Coronary Artery Disease.

The utilization of FFR remains low. Our study evaluated the per-vessel prognostic value of computational pressure-flow dynamics-derived FFR (caFFR) among patients with stable coronary artery disease. A total of 3329 vessels from 1308 patients were included and analysed. They were stratified into ischaemic (caFFR ≤ 0.8) and non-ischaemic (caFFR > 0.8) cohorts, and the associations between PCI and outcomes were evaluated. The third cohort comprised all included vessels, and the associations between treatment adherent-to-caFFR (PCI in vessels with caFFR ≤ 0.8 and no PCI in vessels with caFFR > 0.8) and outcomes were evaluated. The primary outcome was VOCE, defined as a composite of vessel-related cardiovascular mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and repeat revascularization. PCI was associated with a lower 3-year risk of VOCE in the ischaemic cohort (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.26-0.74; P = 0.002) but not in the non-ischaemic cohort. The risk of VOCE was lower in the adherent-to-caFFR group (n = 2649) (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.48-0.98; P = 0.039). A novel index that uses coronary angiography images to estimate FFR may have substantial clinical value in guiding management among patients with stable coronary artery disease.

Statin Therapy Is Associated With a Lower Risk of Heart Failure in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Whether statin use can reduce the risk of heart failure (HF) remains controversial. The present study evaluates the association between statin use and HF in patients with atrial fibrillation. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation from 2010 to 2018 were included. An inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to balance baseline covariates between statin users (n=23 239) and statin nonusers (n=29 251). The primary outcome was incident HF. Cox proportional hazard models with competing risk regression were used to evaluate the risk of HF between statin users and nonusers. The median age of the cohort was 74.7 years, and 47.3% were women. Over a median follow-up of 5.1 years, incident HF occurred in 3673 (15.8%) statin users and 5595 (19.1%) statin nonusers. Statin use was associated with a 19% lower risk of HF (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.78-0.85]). Restricted to the statin users, duration of statin use was measured during follow-up; compared with short-term use (3 months to <2 years), there was a stepwise reduction in the risk of incident HF among those with 2 to <4 years of statin use (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.84-0.88]), 4 to <6 years of statin use (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.72-0.76]), and ≥6 years of statin use (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.69-0.74]). Subgroup analysis showed consistent reductions in the risk of HF with statin use. CONCLUSIONS: Statin use was associated with a decreased risk of incident HF in a duration-dependent manner among patients with atrial fibrillation.

Prediabetes Is Associated With Increased Risk of Heart Failure Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between prediabetes and heart failure (HF) and the association of HF with changes in glycemic status. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Patients newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation (AF) between 2015 and 2018 were divided into three groups (normoglycemia, prediabetes, and type 2 diabetes) according to their baseline glycemic status. The primary outcome was incident HF. The Fine and Gray competing risks model was applied, with death defined as the competing event. RESULTS: Among 17,943 patients with AF (mean age 75.5 years, 47% female), 3,711 (20.7%) had prediabetes, and 10,127 (56.4%) had diabetes at baseline. Over a median follow-up of 4.7 years, HF developed in 518 (14%) patients with normoglycemia, 646 (15.7%) with prediabetes, and 1,795 (17.7%) with diabetes. Prediabetes was associated with an increased risk of HF compared with normoglycemia (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 1.12, 95% CI 1.03-1.22). In patients with prediabetes at baseline, 403 (11.1%) progressed to diabetes, and 311 (8.6%) reversed to normoglycemia at 2 years. Compared with remaining prediabetic, progression to diabetes was associated with an increased risk of HF (SHR 1.50, 95% CI 1.13-1.97), whereas reversion to normoglycemia was associated with a decreased risk (SHR 0.61, 95% CI 0.42-0.94). CONCLUSIONS: Prediabetes was associated with an increased risk of HF in patients with AF. Compared with patients who remained prediabetic, those who progressed to diabetes at 2 years experienced an increased risk of HF, whereas those who reversed to normoglycemia incurred a lower risk of HF.