Predicting viral load suppression by self-reported adherence, pharmacy refill counts and real time medication monitoring among people living with HIV in Tanzania.

INTRODUCTION: Monitoring of adherence to antiretroviral treatment (ART) is of utmost importance to prevent treatment failure. Several measures to monitor adherence have been applied in low-resource settings and they all have pros and cons. Our objective was to examine whether any of the following adherence measures is a better predictor of participants' viral load suppression: (1) self-report, (2) pharmacy refill count, (3) Real Time Medication Monitoring (RTMM), (4) a combination of self-report and pharmacy refill count or (5) all three adherence assessment methods combined. METHODOLOGY: This was a post-hoc analysis of data from our 48-week REMIND-HIV randomized controlled trial in which adherence to ART was measured using self-report, pharmacy refill counts and RTMM among ART-experienced adults living with HIV subjectively judged to be nonadherent to ART. For each adherence measure, we calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for predicting virological failure defined as a viral load (VL) of > 20 copies/mL. To determine at which percentage of adherence the prediction was strongest, we evaluated adherence cut-offs of 80%, 85%, 90%, 95% and 100% using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. VL data were obtained after 48 weeks of follow-up in the trial. RESULTS: A total of 233 people living with HIV (PLHIV) were included in this analysis. When comparing the ability of self-reported adherence with pharmacy refill count and RTMM adherence to predict viral load > 20 copies/ml, self-reported adherence had the lowest sensitivity, ranging from 6 to 17%, but the highest specificity, ranging from 100 to 86%, depending on cut-off values from 80 to 100%. Area under the ROC curves (AUC) were 0.54 for RTMM, 0.56 for pharmacy refill count and 0.52 for self-report, indicating low discriminatory capacity for each of the adherence measures. When we combined the self-report and pharmacy refill count measures, sensitivity increased, ranging from 28 to 57% but specificity decreased, ranging from 83 to 53%. When all three measures were combined, we observed the highest value of sensitivity, ranging from 46 to 92%, and PPV, ranging from 32 to 36%, at high cut-offs ranging from 80 to 100%. Upon combination of three adherence measures, the AUC increased to 0.59. CONCLUSION: Our results show that adherence assessed exclusively by self-report, pharmacy refill count or RTMM were insufficiently sensitive to predict virologic failure. Sensitivity markedly improved by combining all three measures, but the practical feasibility of such an approach would need to be studied.

Forgetting to Take Medication, Treatment Adherence and Their Relationship with Viral Load Suppression Among People Living with HIV in the Kilimanjaro Region, Tanzania.

Background: Antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence is crucial for virological suppression and positive treatment outcomes among people living with HIV (PLHIV), but remains a challenge in ensuring patients achieve and sustain viral load suppression. Despite the recommended use of digital tools medications uptake reminders, the contribution of forgetting to take medication is unknown. This study investigated the contribution of forgetting to take medication on the total missed medication and its effects on detectable viral load (VL). Methods: This mixed-method research was conducted among children, adolescents, pregnant, and breastfeeding women living with HIV on ART in northern Tanzania. Forgetting to take medication constituted reporting to have missed medication due to forgetfulness. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to estimate the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) to determine the contribution of forgetting medication intakes on total missed medication and other factors associated with having a detectable VL. Results: Of 427 respondents, 33.3% were children, 33.4% adolescents, and 33.3% pregnant and breastfeeding women, whose median age (interquartile range) was 9 (7-12), 18 (16-18), and 31 (27-36) years, respectively. Ninety-two (22.3%) reported missing medication over the past month, of which 72 (17.9%) was due to forgetting. Forgetting to take medication (AOR: 1.75 95% CI: 1.01-3.06) and being on second-line regimen (AOR: 2.89 95% CI: 1.50-5.55) increased the chances of a detectable VL, while females had lower chances of detectable VL (AOR: 0.62 95% CI: 0.41-0.98). The themes on the reasons for forgetting to take medication from qualitative results included being busy with work and the importance of reminders. Conclusion: Forgetting to take medication is common among PLHIV and an important predictor of a detectable VL. This calls for the use of automated short message services (SMS) reminders or Digital Adherence Tools with reminders to improve and promote good ART adherence among PLHIV.

Effect of a customized digital adherence tool on retention in care and adherence to antiretroviral treatment in breastfeeding women, children and adolescents living with HIV in Tanzania: a mixed-methods study followed by clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Adherence to antiretroviral (ARV) treatment for HIV infection is challenging because of many factors. The World Health Organization (WHO) has recommended using digital adherence technologies (DATs). However, there is limited evidence on how DATs improve adherence. Wisepill® is an internet-enabled medication dispenser found feasible and acceptable in several studies. However, limited evidence is available on its effectiveness in improving ART adherence, specifically among children and adolescents. Furthermore, DATs are often developed without involving the target groups. We propose a two-stage project consisting of a formative study to customize an existing Wisepill DAT intervention and a randomized clinical trial to investigate the effectiveness of DAT combined with reminder cues and tailored feedback on adherence to ARV treatment among children and adolescents living with HIV and retention in care among breastfeeding women living with HIV in Kilimanjaro and Arusha Region, Tanzania. METHODS: We will conduct a formative mixed-methods study and three sub-trials in Kilimanjaro and Arusha Regions among (1) children aged 0-14 years and their caregivers, (2) adolescents aged 15-19 years and (3) breastfeeding women and their HIV-negative infants. In the formative study, we will collect and analyse data on needs and contents for DATs, including the contents of short message service (SMS) texts and tailored feedback. The results will inform the customization of the DAT to be tested in the sub-trials. In the trials, participants will be randomized in the intervention arm, where the DAT will be implemented or the control arm, where standard care will be followed. Participants in the intervention arm will take their medication from the Wisepill box and receive daily reminder texts and tailored feedback during clinic visits. DISCUSSION: If the intervention improves adherence to ART and the devices are acceptable, accurate and sustainable, the intervention can be scaled up within the National Aids Control Programmes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PACTR202301844164954, date 27 January 2023.