Modeling individual and relative accuracy of screening tools in geriatric oncology.

BACKGROUND: Classification probabilities reflect to what degree a screening test represents the true disease state and include true positive (TPF) and false positive fractions (FPF). With two tests, one can compare TPF and FPF using relative probabilities which offer advantages in terms of interpretation and statistical modeling. Our objective was to highlight how individual and relative TPF and FPF can be easily estimated and compared within a regression modeling framework. This allows the modeling of tests' accuracy while adjusting for multiple covariates, and thus provides valuable information in addition to the crude TPF and FPF. We illustrate our purpose with the G8 and VES-13 screening tests aimed at identifying elderly cancer patients in need for a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA). METHODS: Prospective cohort with a paired design. TPF and FPF of each test, as well as relative TPF and FPF were modeled using log-linear models. RESULTS: G8 detected patients in need for CGA better than VES-13 at the expense of misclassifying a large number of normal patients. Both tests had better TPF with older age and poorer performance status (PS), and for all cancer subtypes compared with prostate cancer. Effect of age and PS on TPF was more pronounced with VES-13. Age affected FPF, but not differentially. CONCLUSIONS: Regression modeling helps provide a thorough assessment of the accuracy of diagnostic tests and should be used more frequently. In the context of screening, we encourage the use of G8 as failing to identify patients in need of a CGA might be more problematic than over-detection. Moreover, although we identified variables associated with the sensitivity of these tests, this association was less pronounced for the G8.

Predictive factors of depressive symptoms of elderly patients with cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Depression is the most common psychiatric disorder in geriatrics and oncology. For elderly cancer patients, it has a significant impact on quality of life, morbidity, and mortality. Nevertheless, depression is under-diagnosed and under-treated. Cancer management is key in improving the quality of care in this population. We aim to identify sociodemographic, clinical, and treatment-related factors of depression in elderly patients during chemotherapy, thus allowing early detection of patients in need of specific treatment. Further, we investigate whether chemotherapy efficacy and safety are associated with depression. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A prospective multicenter cohort composed of incident cases of cancer diagnosed in patients 70 years and older, receiving first-line chemotherapy. Depressive symptoms were measured by the Geriatric Depression Scale at baseline and after four chemotherapy cycles. Associations between depressive symptoms during chemotherapy and patients' clinical and treatment characteristics were identified by logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 344 patients measured for depression before chemotherapy, 260 had a second assessment at the fourth treatment cycle. At baseline, 45.4% were depressed, and 44.6% were depressed after the fourth cycle. Independent factors of depression were depressive symptoms at baseline (odds ratio (OR) = 6.7, p < 0.001), malnutrition (OR = 5.1, p = 0.014), and risk of malnutrition (OR = 1.6, p = 0.014). After controlling for missing data, effective chemotherapy was associated with a lower risk of depression (OR = 0.4, p = 0.018). CONCLUSION: We highlight the role of depressive symptoms and nutritional status at baseline, on the occurrence of depressive symptoms during chemotherapy. These factors should be taken into account in any pre-treatment consultation and appropriate nutritional and psychiatric preventative measures established. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Estimating attributable fraction of lung cancer linked to smoking in Morocco.

The objective of this research was to estimate the attributable fraction (AF) of lung cancer linked to smoking in Morocco. The estimation was based on the SAMMEC (Adult Smoking-Attributable Mortality, Morbidity and Economic Costs) method based on the Levin formula to calculate AF linked to tobacco. Data about frequencies, association measures and relative risks were taken from available sources. The AF of lung cancer linked to smoking was about 87%, and around 3049 cases of this cancer in men could be avoided if tobacco use could be prevented. About a 10% reduction in smoking prevalence would result in a reduction of 346 lung cancer cases. Our study provides additional important elements for further advocacy to policy-makers to implement a tobacco control strategy based on a prevention policy in line with the epidemiological situation which could avoid a huge burden on the country.

A new approach to integrate toxicity grade and repeated treatment cycles in the analysis and reporting of phase I dose-finding trials.

BACKGROUND: Safety assessment beyond the dose-limiting toxicity evaluation period provides relevant information to define the recommended phase II dose (RP2D) of a new treatment. We retrospectively analyzed three phase I trials to illustrate two indicators: per-cycle probability of graded toxicity and cumulative probability of severe toxicity over the treatment period. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data were collected from two continual reassessment method (CRM) trials (T1: aviscumine in solid tumors with short time on treatment; T2: erlotinib + radiotherapy in brainstem gliomas with longer time on treatment) and one 3 + 3 design (T3: liposomal doxorubicin + cyclophosphamide combination in ovarian carcinoma). The probability of severe and moderate or severe toxicity per cycle was estimated at each dose level with mixed proportional odds model. The cumulative probability of severe toxicity was also estimated with the time-to-event CRM. RESULTS: Eighty-three patients were included in the three trials; 94, 96 and 72 treatment cycles were administered, in T1, T2 and T3, respectively. Moderate toxicities were at least twice as frequent as severe toxicities. An increased probability of toxicity over time was detected in T3 [P = 0.04; per-cycle probability of severe toxicity: 27% (cycle 1) to 59% (cycle 6) at the RP2D]. At the RP2D, 37% of patients experienced at least one severe toxicity over the first six cycles in T2, and 78% in T3. CONCLUSIONS: Dedicated methods can be used to analyze toxicities from all cycles of treatment. They do not delay accrual and should be integrated in the analysis and reporting of phase I dose-finding trials.

Guidelines for time-to-event end point definitions in sarcomas and gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) trials: results of the DATECAN initiative (Definition for the Assessment of Time-to-event Endpoints in CANcer trials)†.

BACKGROUND: The use of potential surrogate end points for overall survival, such as disease-free survival (DFS) or time-to-treatment failure (TTF) is increasingly common in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in cancer. However, the definition of time-to-event (TTE) end points is rarely precise and lacks uniformity across trials. End point definition can impact trial results by affecting estimation of treatment effect and statistical power. The DATECAN initiative (Definition for the Assessment of Time-to-event End points in CANcer trials) aims to provide recommendations for definitions of TTE end points. We report guidelines for RCT in sarcomas and gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). METHODS: We first carried out a literature review to identify TTE end points (primary or secondary) reported in publications of RCT. An international multidisciplinary panel of experts proposed recommendations for the definitions of these end points. Recommendations were developed through a validated consensus method formalizing the degree of agreement among experts. RESULTS: Recommended guidelines for the definition of TTE end points commonly used in RCT for sarcomas and GIST are provided for adjuvant and metastatic settings, including DFS, TTF, time to progression and others. CONCLUSION: Use of standardized definitions should facilitate comparison of trials' results, and improve the quality of trial design and reporting. These guidelines could be of particular interest to research scientists involved in the design, conduct, reporting or assessment of RCT such as investigators, statisticians, reviewers, editors or regulatory authorities.

Guidelines for time-to-event end point definitions in breast cancer trials: results of the DATECAN initiative (Definition for the Assessment of Time-to-event Endpoints in CANcer trials)†.

BACKGROUND: Using surrogate end points for overall survival, such as disease-free survival, is increasingly common in randomized controlled trials. However, the definitions of several of these time-to-event (TTE) end points are imprecisely which limits interpretation and cross-trial comparisons. The estimation of treatment effects may be directly affected by the definitions of end points. The DATECAN initiative (Definition for the Assessment of Time-to-event Endpoints in CANcer trials) aims to provide recommendations for definitions of TTE end points. We report guidelines for randomized cancer clinical trials (RCTs) in breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A literature review was carried out to identify TTE end points (primary or secondary) reported in publications of randomized trials or guidelines. An international multidisciplinary panel of experts proposed recommendations for the definitions of these end points based on a validated consensus method that formalize the degree of agreement among experts. RESULTS: Recommended guidelines for the definitions of TTE end points commonly used in RCTs for breast cancer are provided for non-metastatic and metastatic settings. CONCLUSION: The use of standardized definitions should facilitate comparisons of trial results and improve the quality of trial design and reporting. These guidelines could be of particular interest to those involved in the design, conducting, reporting, or assessment of RCT.

Quality of reporting of phase II trials: a focus on highly ranked oncology journals.

BACKGROUND: Phase II trials represent an essential step in the development of anticancer drugs. This study assesses the quality of their reporting in highly ranked oncology journals, investigates predictive factors of quality, and proposes reporting guidelines. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We reviewed the table of contents of all volumes of eight peer-reviewed oncology journals published in English between January and December 2011 with a 2011 impact factor (IF)>4. Two reviewers assessed the quality of each report by using a 44-point overall quality score (OQS). Primary end point definition, justification of sample size, and definition of the evaluable population, were assessed separately to establish a 3-point key methodological score (KMS). Exploratory analyses identified predictive factors associated with scores. RESULTS: One hundred fifty-six articles were included. The median OQS was 28 (range: 9-35). OQS subsection analysis showed that reporting of statistical methods was low with a median OQS of 3. Median KMS was 2 (range 0-3). Primary end point definition, justification of sample size and definition of the evaluable population were reported in only 107 (68.6%), 121 (77.6%), and 52 (33.3%) cases, respectively. At multivariate analysis, registration on clinicaltrials.gov and IF>10 were associated with improved OQS. No associations for KMS were observed. CONCLUSION: Phase II trial reporting is still poor even in journals with strict editorial policies. This may lead to biased interpretation of phase II trial results. Besides using a checklist during the preparation of their manuscript, authors should also provide reviewers and readers with the last version of the study's protocol.

Adherence to consensus-based diagnosis and treatment guidelines in adult soft-tissue sarcoma patients: a French prospective population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Soft-tissue sarcomas (STSs) are rare tumors with varied histological presentations. Management and treatment are thus complex, but crucial for patient outcomes. We assess adherence to adult STS management guidelines across two French regions (10% of the French population). We also report standardized incidence. PATIENTS AND METHODS: STS patients diagnosed from 1 November 2006 to 31 December 2007 were identified from pathology reports, medical hospital records, and cancer registries. Guideline adherence was assessed by 23 criteria (validated by Delphi consensus method), and age and sex-standardized incidence rates estimated. Associations between patient, treatment, and institutional factors and adherence with three major composite criteria relating to diagnostic imaging and biopsy as well as multidisciplinary team (MDT) case-review are reported. RESULTS: Two hundred and seventy-four patients were included (57.7% male, mean age 60.8 years). Practices were relatively compliant overall, with over 70% adherence for 10 criteria. Three criteria with perfect Delphi consensus had low adherence: receiving histological diagnosis before surgery, adequacy of histological diagnosis (adherence around 50% for both), and MDT discussion before surgery (adherence <30%). Treatment outside of specialized centers was associated with lower adherence for all three composite criteria, and specific tumor sites and/or features were associated with lower adherence for diagnostic imaging, methods, and MDT meetings. STS standardized incidence rates were 4.09 (European population) and 3.33 (World) /100 000 inhabitants. CONCLUSIONS: Initial STS diagnosis and treatment across all stages (imaging, biopsy, and MDT meetings) need improving, particularly outside specialized centers. Educational interventions to increase surgeon's sarcoma awareness and knowledge and to raise patients' awareness of the importance of seeking expert care are necessary.

Screening older cancer patients: first evaluation of the G-8 geriatric screening tool.

BACKGROUND: Development of a geriatric screening tool is necessary to identify elderly cancer patients who would benefit from comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA). We develop and evaluate the G-8 screening tool against various reference tests. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Analyses were based on 364 cancer patients aged>70 years scheduled to receive first-line chemotherapy included in a multicenter prospective study. The G-8 consists of seven items from the Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA) questionnaire and age. Our primary reference test is based on a set of seven CGA scales: Activities Daily Living (ADL), Instrumental ADL, MNA, Mini-Mental State Exam, Geriatric Depression Scale, Cumulative Illness Rating Scale-Geriatrics, and Timed Get Up and Go. We considered the presence of at least one questionnaire with an impaired score as an abnormal reference exam. Additional reference exams are also discussed. RESULTS: The prevalence of being at risk varied from 60% to 94% according to the various definitions of the reference test. When considering the primary reference test, a cut-off value of 14 for the G-8 tool provided a good sensitivity estimate (85%) without deteriorating the specificity excessively (65%). CONCLUSION: The G-8 shows good screening properties for identifying elderly cancer patients who could benefit from CGA.

High-dose chemotherapy consolidation for chemosensitive advanced soft tissue sarcoma patients: an open-label, randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Metastatic soft tissue sarcoma (STS) prognosis remains poor and few cytotoxic agents offer proven efficacy. This randomized open phase III study examines whether high-dose (HD) chemotherapy with peripheral blood stem cells (PBSCs) could improve overall survival (OS) of chemosensitive patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Advanced STS patients aged 18-65 years received four courses of standard mesna, adryamycin, ifosfamide and dacarbazine (MAID) treatment. Chemotherapy-responding patients and patients with at least stable disease amenable to complete surgical resection were randomized to receive standard dose (SD) with two successive MAID cycles or HD treatments of one MAID then MICE intensification: mesna (3.6 g/m(2), day 1-5), ifosfamide (2.5 g/m(2), day 1-4), carboplatin [area under the curve (AUC) 5/day 2-4] and etoposide (300 mg/m(2), day 1-4) with PBSC reinjection at day 7. RESULTS: From 2000 to 2008, 207 patients received four cycles of MAID and 87 assessable patients were randomly assigned to receive the following: 46 SD, 41 HD, with 45 and 38 maintained for analyses after secondary centralized histological review. Futility analyses led to study closure in November 2008. Three-year OS was 49.4% for the SD group versus 32.7% for HD arm, hazard ratio= 1.26, 95% confidence interval 0.70-2.29; progression-free survival was 32.4% and 14.0%, respectively. HD treatment led to higher grades 3-4 toxicity. CONCLUSION: This study failed to show an OS advantage for advanced STS patients treated with dose-intensified chemotherapy with PBSC.

Sarcoma: concordance between initial diagnosis and centralized expert review in a population-based study within three European regions.

BACKGROUND: Sarcomas represent a heterogeneous group of tumors. Accurate determination of histological diagnosis and prognostic factors is critical for the delineation of treatment strategies. The contribution of second opinion (SO) to improve diagnostic accuracy has been suggested for sarcoma but has never been established in population-based studies. METHODS: Histological data of patients diagnosed with sarcoma in Rhone-Alpes (France), Veneto (Italy) and Aquitaine (France) over a 2-year period were collected. Initial diagnoses were systematically compared with SO from regional and national experts. RESULTS: Of 2016 selected patients, 1463 (73%) matched the inclusion criteria and were analyzed. Full concordance between primary diagnosis and SO (the first pathologist and the expert reached identical conclusions) was observed in 824 (56%) cases, partial concordance (identical diagnosis of connective tumor but different grade or histological subtype) in 518 (35%) cases and complete discordance (benign versus malignant, different histological type or invalidation of the diagnosis of sarcoma) in 121 (8%) cases. The major discrepancies were related to histological grade (n = 274, 43%), histological type (n = 144, 24%), subtype (n = 18, 3%) and grade plus subtype or grade plus histological type (n = 178, 29%). CONCLUSION: More than 40% of first histological diagnoses were modified at second reading, possibly resulting in different treatment decisions.

Performance status is the most powerful risk factor for early death among patients with advanced soft tissue sarcoma: the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer-Soft Tissue and Bone Sarcoma Group (STBSG) and French Sarcoma Group (FSG) study.

BACKGROUND: We investigated prognostic factors (PFs) for 90-day mortality in a large cohort of advanced/metastatic soft tissue sarcoma (STS) patients treated with first-line chemotherapy. METHODS: The PFs were identified by both logistic regression analysis and probability tree analysis in patients captured in the Soft Tissue and Bone Sarcoma Group (STBSG) database (3002 patients). Scores derived from the logistic regression analysis and algorithms derived from probability tree analysis were subsequently validated in an independent study cohort from the French Sarcoma Group (FSG) database (404 patients). RESULTS: The 90-day mortality rate was 8.6 and 4.5% in both cohorts. The logistic regression analysis retained performance status (PS; odds ratio (OR)=3.83 if PS=1, OR=12.00 if PS ≥2), presence of liver metastasis (OR=2.37) and rare site metastasis (OR=2.00) as PFs for early death. The CHAID analysis retained PS as a major discriminator followed by histological grade (only for patients with PS ≥2). In both models, PS was the most powerful PF for 90-day mortality. CONCLUSION: Performance status has to be taken into account in the design of further clinical trials and is one of the most important parameters to guide patient management. For those patients with poor PS, expected benefits from therapy should be weighed up carefully against the anticipated toxicities.

Effect of adjuvant chemotherapy on survival in FNCLCC grade 3 soft tissue sarcomas: a multivariate analysis of the French Sarcoma Group Database.

BACKGROUND: The predictive value of grade for benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) in soft tissue sarcoma (STS) patients has never been explored. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From 1980 to 1999, 1513 adult patients with non-metastatic STS were included prospectively in the French Sarcoma Group database. Grade was assessed according to the Fédération Nationale des Centres de Lutte Contre le Cancer (FNCLCC) system after central review. RESULTS: AC was delivered to 13 grade 1 patients (3%), 145 grade 2 patients (35%) and 262 grade 3 patients (62%). Young age, non-well-differentiated liposarcoma histology, deep location, bone and/or neurovascular invasion and grade 2 or 3 were significantly associated with a higher likelihood to receive AC. Median follow-up was 9 years. On multivariate analysis, AC was significantly associated with improved metastasis-free survival (MFS) [5-year MFS: 58% versus 49%, hazard ratio (HR) 0.7 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.6-0.9), P = 0.01] and overall survival (OS) [5-year OS: 58% versus 45%, HR 0.6 (95% CI 0.5-0.8), P = 0.0002] in grade 3 patients. This was not observed in grade 2 patients [5-year MFS: 76% versus 73%, HR 0.8 (95% CI 0.5-1.2), P = 0.27; 5-year OS: 75% versus 65%, HR 0.8 (95% CI 0.6-1.1), P = 0.15]. CONCLUSION: This large cohort-based analysis with long-term follow-up indicates that patients with FNCLCC grade 3 disease may benefit from AC.

Evidence-based data and rare cancers: The need for a new methodological approach in research and investigation.

Rare cancers are not so rare, their incidence is increasing and, as a group, they have worse survival than the common cancers. These factors emphasise the societal need to ensure sufficient focus on research into their biological basis, aetiological factors, new more effective therapies and organisation of healthcare to improve access to best practice and innovation. Accuracy of diagnosis is one of the first hurdles to be overcome, with around one third of tumours being reclassified - by type or risk group - when subject to a centralised pathology review process. Timely access to appropriate expert knowledge is a second challenge for patients - in Europe this is being addressed by the establishment of European Reference Networks (ERNs) as part of the EU cross border healthcare initiative. There are ERNs for adult solid and haematological cancers and childhood cancers, all of which are individually rare. These ERNs will facilitate creation of large databases of rare tumours that will incorporate knowledge of their molecular features and build an evidence base for the effectiveness of innovative, biology-directed therapies. With an increasing focus on 'real world' outcome data, research methodologies are evolving, to include randomised registry trials and data linkage approaches that exploit the ever-richer information held on patients in routine health care data. The inclusion of genomic analysis into cancer diagnosis, treatment and risk prediction raises many issues for the conduct of clinical research and cohort studies and personal data sharing. Sophisticated means of pseudonymisation, together with full involvement of affected and 'at risk' patients, are supporting novel research designs and access to data that will continue to build the evidence base to improve outcomes for patients with rare cancers.

Contrast-enhanced intra-operative ultrasound as a clinical decision making tool during surgery for colorectal liver metastases: The ULIIS study.

BACKGROUND: Detecting more colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs) during surgery may help optimise strategy and improve outcomes. Our objective was to determine clinical utility (CU) of contrast-enhanced intra-operative ultrasound (CE-IOUS) using sulphur hexafluoride microbubbles during CRLM surgery. METHOD: A prospective phase II trial performed at two comprehensive cancer research centres. Patients operated for CRLMs were eligible and assessable if intra-operative ultrasound (IOUS) and CE-IOUS had been performed and pathological results were available and/or 3-month imaging. CU was defined as the justified change in planned surgical strategy or procedure using CE-IOUS. RESULTS: Out of the 68 patients enrolled, 54 were eligible and assessable. 43 patients underwent pre-operative chemotherapy. The median number of CRLMs was 2 (range, 1-11). Pre-operative staging was performed using MRI. IOUS allowed identification of 45 new CRLMs in 13 (24.7%) patients. Compared to IOUS, CE-IOUS allowed identification of 10 additional CRLMs in 9 (16.7%) patients. Surgery was altered and justified in 4 patients only, leading to a CU rate of 7.70% (95 CI, [3.2, 18.6]). No missing CRLMs were identified by CE-IOUS. CONCLUSIONS: Although the primary endpoint was not met for one protocol violation, secondary endpoints indicate that CE-IOUS has an intermediate added-value for surgeons treating CRLMs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01880554 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/).

Impact of immunohistochemical markers, CK5/6 and E-cadherin on diagnostic agreement in non-invasive proliferative breast lesions.

AIMS: To assess the impact of cytokeratin (CK) 5/6 and E-cadherin immunohistochemistry on diagnostic agreement of non-invasive proliferative breast lesions. METHODS AND RESULTS: Twenty pathologists classified 105 cases of non-invasive proliferative breast lesions into 10 diagnostic categories. One haematoxylin and eosin (H&E) slide of each case was analysed on a first round and one H&E slide with corresponding CK5/6 and E-cadherin immunohistochemistry was analysed on a second round. Interobserver reproducibility for category-specific and management-specific lesions was measured on each round. CK5/6 and E-cadherin had little impact on diagnostic agreement, which remained moderate between the first and second rounds (overall kappa coefficients of 0.47 and 0.53, respectively, P = NS). Levels of agreement slightly improved for lesions with specific CK5/6 and E-cadherin immunoprofiles (usual ductal hyperplasia, atypical ductal hyperplasia, atypical lobular hyperplasia, lobular carcinoma in situ, non-high-grade ductal carcinoma in situ), but the differences observed were not statistically significant. However, diagnostic agreement improved when lesions were grouped according to their management category (overall kappa coefficients of 0.58 and 0.66 in the first and second rounds, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: CK5/6 and E-cadherin immunohistochemistry has little impact on interobserver reproducibility for non-invasive breast lesions. Diagnostic agreement can, however, be improved by grouping lesions in management categories.

Alterations in comprehensive geriatric assessment decrease survival of elderly patients with cancer.

INTRODUCTION: A comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) evaluating several domains of health is recommended for elderly patients with cancer. Effects of altered domains on the risk of death in this population need to be clarified. The aim of this study was to estimate the independent association of each CGA domain to overall survival (OS). METHOD: Patients included in the ONCODAGE cohort completed a CGA at baseline. Cox models (one per domain) estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of death for each CGA domain. Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) selected specific sets of adjustment factors for each model. RESULTS: The analysis included 1264 patients (mean age: 78 years, women: 70%). Median follow-up was 5.2 years, and 446 patients died. Each altered domain had a detrimental effect on survival, sometimes dependent on gender, age, education or time from inclusion. Nutritional status had a time-varying effect, with higher mortality rates if altered only within the first 3 years of follow-up. In case of altered mobility, the risk of death was higher only for the youngest patients and, in case of altered autonomy, only for the youngest women. An altered neurological state led to higher mortality rates; this effect increased with the level of education. Patients with altered psychological status or more than four comorbidities at baseline had also higher mortality rates. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with an altered CGA domain have a higher risk of death than those without any alteration. The effect of some alterations is different in some subgroups or at a given time of the treatments.