Influence of Sleep Stage on LH Pulse Initiation in the Normal Late Follicular Phase and in Polycystic Ovary Syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: During the early follicular phase, sleep-related luteinizing hormone (LH) pulse initiation is positively associated with brief awakenings but negatively associated with rapid eye movement (REM) sleep. The relationship between sleep architecture and LH pulse initiation has not been assessed in other cycle stages or in women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). DESIGN AND METHODS: We performed concomitant frequent blood sampling (LH pulse analysis) and polysomnography on 8 normal women (cycle day 7-11) and 7 women with PCOS (at least cycle day 7). RESULTS: In the normal women, the 5 min preceding LH pulses contained more wake epochs and fewer REM epochs than the 5 min preceding randomly determined time points (wake: 22.3 vs. 9.1%, p = 0.0111; REM: 4.4 vs. 18.8%, p = 0.0162). However, LH pulse initiation was not related to wake or REM epochs in PCOS; instead, the 5 min preceding LH pulses contained more slow-wave sleep (SWS) than the 5 min before random time points (20.9 vs. 6.7%, p = 0.0089). Compared to the normal subjects, the women with PCOS exhibited a higher REM-associated LH pulse frequency (p = 0.0443) and a lower proportion of wake epochs 0-5 min before LH pulses (p = 0.0205). CONCLUSIONS: Sleep-related inhibition of LH pulse generation during the later follicular phase is normally weakened by brief awakenings and strengthened by REM sleep. In women with PCOS, LH pulse initiation is not appropriately discouraged by REM sleep and may be encouraged by SWS; these abnormalities may contribute to a high sleep-related LH pulse frequency in PCOS.

GnRH-agonist triggering for final oocyte maturation in GnRH-antagonist IVF cycles induces decreased LH pulse rate and amplitude in early luteal phase: a possible luteolysis mechanism.

The use of GnRH agonist to trigger final oocyte maturation in GnRH-antagonist in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles has been shown to significantly reduce or even eliminate the risk of ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS) by inducing rapid luteolysis early in the luteal phase. The exact mechanism of this early luteolysis is still widely unknown. Since luteinizing hormone (LH) has a major role in corpus luteum support, we sought to explore the pattern of LH secretion early in the luteal phase. Ten high risk patients for developing OHSS and triggered with GnRH agonist were included. Frequent blood sampling (every 20 min for 6 h) to measure LH, estradiol and progesterone was done on the day of oocyte collection (n = 5, Group 1) and on the day of embryo transfer, 48 h after oocyte collection (n = 5, Group 2). We found that the mean LH concentration and its secretion rate decreased significantly in Group 2 compared to Group 1. Both groups had similar number of LH pulses characterized by very small amplitude. In Group 2, there was a steady significant decrease in estradiol and progesterone over time. The results of this study show that LH secretion deviates significantly from normal physiologic pattern, which can explain, at least in part, the post-GnRH-agonist trigger early luteolysis mechanism.

Vitamin D Insufficiency and Epistemic Humility: An Endocrine Society Guideline Communication.

A long-held precept is that vitamin D supplementation primarily, if not exclusively, benefits individuals with low circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) concentrations at baseline. However, the most appropriate 25(OH)D threshold to distinguish unacceptably low vs reliably adequate concentrations remains controversial. Such threshold proposals have largely been based on observational studies, which provide less robust evidence compared to randomized clinical trials (RCTs). Since the Endocrine Society's first vitamin D-related guideline was published in 2011, several large vitamin D-related RCTs have been published, and a newly commissioned guideline development panel (GDP) prioritized 4 clinical questions related to the benefits and harms of vitamin D supplementation in generally healthy individuals with 25(OH)D levels below a threshold. The GDP determined that available clinical trial evidence does not permit the establishment of 25(OH)D thresholds that specifically predict meaningful benefit with vitamin D supplementation. The panel noted important limitations in the available evidence, and the panel's overall certainty in the available evidence was very low. Nonetheless, based on the GDP's analyses and judgments, the Endocrine Society no longer endorses its previously proposed definition of vitamin D "sufficiency" (ie, at least 30 ng/mL [75 nmol/L]) or its previously proposed definition of vitamin D "insufficiency" (ie, greater than 20 ng/mL [50 nmol/L] but lower than 30 ng/mL [75 nmol/L]). The Endocrine Society's rationale for such is the subject of this Guideline Communication.

Spironolactone metabolite causes falsely increased progesterone in the Abbott Architect immunoassay.

BACKGROUND: Immunoassays are important for routine clinical testing and medical diagnosis. However, they are limited by cross-reactivity especially at low analyte concentrations. There is a critical need to investigate compounds that can interfere with immunoassays. Herein, we describe the identification of canrenone, a spironolactone metabolite that falsely increases progesterone concentrations on the Abbott Architect i2000 Immunoassay. METHODS: Serum samples and assay diluents were spiked with spironolactone or canrenone and progesterone concentrations were measured on the Architect i2000 and Immulite XPi immunoassay platforms. Blood samples from patients taking spironolactone were analyzed with liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry to evaluate the intrinsic response of progesterone concentrations to the presence of canrenone. RESULTS: We measured approximately 10-fold higher progesterone concentrations on the Abbott Architect i2000 compared to reference immunoassay analyzers (Siemens Immulite XPi and Roche Cobas e601/602), suggesting an analytical error which is unique to the Architect i2000 antibody and/or assay conditions. By measuring serum progesterone after addition of spironolactone or canrenone to serum samples, we found that canrenone falsely increased progesterone on the Architect i2000 immunoassay. However, this interference was more pronounced at low serum progesterone concentrations. Moreover, a strong positive correlation was seen between canrenone and measured serum progesterone concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Our investigations are important for individuals who require progesterone measurements using the Architect i2000 immunoassay, especially because it is unlikely for clinicians to order canrenone measurements alongside progesterone measurements for individuals taking spironolactone. Further research is needed to determine whether canrenone can influence progesterone measurements on other immunoassay systems.

Navigating Complexities: Vitamin D, Skin Pigmentation, and Race.

Vitamin D plays a critical role in many physiological functions, including calcium metabolism and musculoskeletal health. This commentary aims to explore the intricate relationships among skin complexion, race, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) levels, focusing on challenges the Endocrine Society encountered during clinical practice guideline development. Given that increased melanin content reduces 25(OH)D production in the skin in response to UV light, the guideline development panel addressed the potential role for 25(OH)D screening in individuals with dark skin complexion. The panel discovered that no randomized clinical trials have directly assessed vitamin D related patient-important outcomes based on participants' skin pigmentation, although race and ethnicity often served as presumed proxies for skin pigmentation in the literature. In their deliberations, guideline panel members and selected Endocrine Society leaders underscored the critical need to distinguish between skin pigmentation as a biological variable and race and ethnicity as socially determined constructs. This differentiation is vital to maximize scientific rigor and, thus, the validity of resulting recommendations. Lessons learned from the guideline development process emphasize the necessity of clarity when incorporating race and ethnicity into clinical guidelines. Such clarity is an essential step toward improving health outcomes and ensuring equitable healthcare practices.

Vitamin D for the Prevention of Disease: An Endocrine Society Clinical Practice Guideline.

BACKGROUND: Numerous studies demonstrate associations between serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) and a variety of common disorders, including musculoskeletal, metabolic, cardiovascular, malignant, autoimmune, and infectious diseases. Although a causal link between serum 25(OH)D concentrations and many disorders has not been clearly established, these associations have led to widespread supplementation with vitamin D and increased laboratory testing for 25(OH)D in the general population. The benefit-risk ratio of this increase in vitamin D use is not clear, and the optimal vitamin D intake and the role of testing for 25(OH)D for disease prevention remain uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To develop clinical guidelines for the use of vitamin D (cholecalciferol [vitamin D3] or ergocalciferol [vitamin D2]) to lower the risk of disease in individuals without established indications for vitamin D treatment or 25(OH)D testing. METHODS: A multidisciplinary panel of clinical experts, along with experts in guideline methodology and systematic literature review, identified and prioritized 14 clinically relevant questions related to the use of vitamin D and 25(OH)D testing to lower the risk of disease. The panel prioritized randomized placebo-controlled trials in general populations (without an established indication for vitamin D treatment or 25[OH]D testing), evaluating the effects of empiric vitamin D administration throughout the lifespan, as well as in select conditions (pregnancy and prediabetes). The panel defined "empiric supplementation" as vitamin D intake that (a) exceeds the Dietary Reference Intakes (DRI) and (b) is implemented without testing for 25(OH)D. Systematic reviews queried electronic databases for publications related to these 14 clinical questions. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology was used to assess the certainty of evidence and guide recommendations. The approach incorporated perspectives from a patient representative and considered patient values, costs and resources required, acceptability and feasibility, and impact on health equity of the proposed recommendations. The process to develop this clinical guideline did not use a risk assessment framework and was not designed to replace current DRI for vitamin D. RESULTS: The panel suggests empiric vitamin D supplementation for children and adolescents aged 1 to 18 years to prevent nutritional rickets and because of its potential to lower the risk of respiratory tract infections; for those aged 75 years and older because of its potential to lower the risk of mortality; for those who are pregnant because of its potential to lower the risk of preeclampsia, intra-uterine mortality, preterm birth, small-for-gestational-age birth, and neonatal mortality; and for those with high-risk prediabetes because of its potential to reduce progression to diabetes. Because the vitamin D doses in the included clinical trials varied considerably and many trial participants were allowed to continue their own vitamin D-containing supplements, the optimal doses for empiric vitamin D supplementation remain unclear for the populations considered. For nonpregnant people older than 50 years for whom vitamin D is indicated, the panel suggests supplementation via daily administration of vitamin D, rather than intermittent use of high doses. The panel suggests against empiric vitamin D supplementation above the current DRI to lower the risk of disease in healthy adults younger than 75 years. No clinical trial evidence was found to support routine screening for 25(OH)D in the general population, nor in those with obesity or dark complexion, and there was no clear evidence defining the optimal target level of 25(OH)D required for disease prevention in the populations considered; thus, the panel suggests against routine 25(OH)D testing in all populations considered. The panel judged that, in most situations, empiric vitamin D supplementation is inexpensive, feasible, acceptable to both healthy individuals and health care professionals, and has no negative effect on health equity. CONCLUSION: The panel suggests empiric vitamin D for those aged 1 to 18 years and adults over 75 years of age, those who are pregnant, and those with high-risk prediabetes. Due to the scarcity of natural food sources rich in vitamin D, empiric supplementation can be achieved through a combination of fortified foods and supplements that contain vitamin D. Based on the absence of supportive clinical trial evidence, the panel suggests against routine 25(OH)D testing in the absence of established indications. These recommendations are not meant to replace the current DRIs for vitamin D, nor do they apply to people with established indications for vitamin D treatment or 25(OH)D testing. Further research is needed to determine optimal 25(OH)D levels for specific health benefits.

Cardiovascular risk and combined oral contraceptives: clinical decisions in settings of uncertainty.

Although generally safe, combined oral contraceptives (COCs) are associated with risks, including an estimated 2-fold increased relative risk of cardiovascular events. For most women taking COCs for contraception, absolute cardiovascular risks are very low, and the overall risks of COCs are outweighed by the risks of unwanted pregnancy. Nonetheless, risks of COCs may be excessive in some women, and both the American College of Obstetricians (ACOG) and the World Health Organization (WHO) have offered contraindications for COC use. Complicating this issue, COCs are commonly used for reasons other than contraception (eg, polycystic ovary syndrome, which is associated with subfertility and cardiovascular risk factors). Thus, in some clinical scenarios, ACOG and WHO guidelines may offer incomplete guidance regarding whether COC use would be associated with an unacceptable risk-benefit ratio. We propose that cardiovascular risk calculators may be helpful in some patients, as an adjunct to ACOG and WHO guidelines, by allowing physicians to estimate the attributable risk of COC-related cardiovascular events.

Differential sleep-wake sensitivity of gonadotropin-releasing hormone secretion to progesterone inhibition in early pubertal girls.

CONTEXT: Early pubertal luteinizing hormone (LH), and by inference gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH), pulse secretion is marked by high nocturnal but low daytime frequency; however, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Plasma concentrations of progesterone, the major regulator of GnRH frequency in women, increase in the early morning in early pubertal girls and may help slow daytime GnRH frequency. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of progesterone on LH pulse frequency in early to mid-pubertal girls. DESIGN: Controlled interventional study. SETTING: General clinical research center. PARTICIPANTS: Eighteen non-obese, non-hyperandrogenemic Tanner 1-3 girls. INTERVENTION: Twelve-hour (19:00-07:00 h) blood sampling with or without oral progesterone administration (25-50 mg at 16:00 and 20:00 h). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: LH pulse frequency. RESULTS: Girls receiving progesterone (n = 5) exhibited lower 12-hour LH pulse frequency than controls (n = 13), but this difference was not statistically significant (average interpulse intervals 196.0 ± 61.9 and 160.4 ± 67.1 min, respectively; p = 0.2793). In contrast to controls, however, girls receiving progesterone exhibited no LH pulses during waking hours (19:00-23:00 h; estimated interpulse interval 326.0 ± 52.7 vs. 212.0 ± 120.9 min; p = 0.0376), while nighttime (23:00-07:00 h) interpulse intervals were similar (174.8 ± 62.0 vs. 167.5 ± 76.9 min, respectively; p = 0.7750). CONCLUSIONS: Exogenous progesterone acutely suppressed daytime, but not nocturnal, LH pulse frequency in early to mid-pubertal girls, suggesting that GnRH pulse frequency is differentially regulated by progesterone depending on sleep status.

Non-PCOS Hyperandrogenic Disorders in Adolescents.

Hyperandrogenism-clinical features resulting from increased androgen production and/or action-is not uncommon in peripubertal girls. Hyperandrogenism affects 3 to 20% of adolescent girls and often is associated with hyperandrogenemia. In prepubertal girls, the most common etiologies of androgen excess are premature adrenarche (60%) and congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH; 4%). In pubertal girls, polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS; 20-40%) and CAH (14%) are the most common diagnoses related to androgen excess. Androgen-secreting ovarian or adrenal tumors are rare (0.2%). Early pubic hair, acne, and/or hirsutism are the most common clinical manifestations, but signs of overt virilization in adolescent girls-rapid progression of pubic hair or hirsutism, clitoromegaly, voice deepening, severe cystic acne, growth acceleration, increased muscle mass, and bone age advancement past height age-should prompt detailed evaluation. This article addresses the clinical manifestations of and management considerations for non-PCOS-related hyperandrogenism in adolescent girls. We propose an algorithm to aid diagnostic evaluation of androgen excess in this specific patient population.

Acute progesterone feedback on gonadotropin secretion is not demonstrably altered in estradiol-pretreated women with polycystic ovary syndrome.

Women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) demonstrate gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) pulse generator resistance to suppression with 7 days of progesterone and estradiol administration. It remains unknown whether such women demonstrate impairments in acute progesterone negative feedback on LH pulse frequency or progesterone positive feedback on gonadotropin release. This was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled crossover study designed to test the hypothesis that acute, progesterone-related suppression of LH pulse frequency and progesterone-related augmentation of gonadotropin release are impaired in PCOS. Twelve normally cycling women and 12 women with PCOS completed study. Volunteers were pretreated with transdermal estradiol (0.2 mg/day) for 3 days and then underwent a frequent blood sampling study (20:00-20:00 h), during which they received micronized progesterone (100 mg) or placebo at 06:00 h. In a second study admission, volunteers received the intervention they did not receive during the first admission, but the protocol was otherwise identical. The primary outcome measures were LH secretory characteristics and circulating gonadotropin concentrations. Exogenous progesterone did not reduce LH pulse frequency in either group. Mean LH, pulsatile LH secretion, LH pulse mass, and mean FSH increased more with progesterone compared to placebo in both groups. Although trends toward less pronounced changes in LH pulse mass and pulsatile LH secretion were observed in the PCOS group, these differences were not statistically significant. In summary, exogenous progesterone did not suppress LH pulse frequency within 12 hours in estradiol-pretreated women, and the positive feedback effect of progesterone on gonadotropin release was not demonstrably impaired in PCOS. NEW & NOTEWORTHY: This study indicated that exogenous progesterone does not reduce LH pulse frequency within 12 h in women with PCOS, but progesterone acutely increased gonadotropin in these women. This study suggested that progesterone-related augmentation of gonadotropin release may be impaired in PCOS compared to normally cycling women, but this finding was not statistically significant.

The role of gonadotropin-releasing hormone neurons in polycystic ovary syndrome.

Given the critical central role of gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) neurons in fertility, it is not surprising that the GnRH neural network is implicated in the pathology of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), the most common cause of anovulatory infertility. Although many symptoms of PCOS relate most proximately to ovarian dysfunction, the central reproductive neuroendocrine system ultimately drives ovarian function through its regulation of anterior pituitary gonadotropin release. The typical cyclical changes in frequency of GnRH release are often absent in women with PCOS, resulting in a persistent high-frequency drive promoting gonadotropin changes (i.e., relatively high luteinizing hormone and relatively low follicle-stimulating hormone concentrations) that contribute to ovarian hyperandrogenemia and ovulatory dysfunction. However, the specific mechanisms underpinning GnRH neuron dysfunction in PCOS remain unclear. Here, we summarize several preclinical and clinical studies that explore the causes of aberrant GnRH secretion in PCOS and the role of disordered GnRH secretion in PCOS pathophysiology.

Enhancing the Trustworthiness of the Endocrine Society's Clinical Practice Guidelines.

In an effort to enhance the trustworthiness of its clinical practice guidelines, the Endocrine Society has recently adopted new policies and more rigorous methodologies for its guideline program. In this Clinical Practice Guideline Communication, we describe these recent enhancements-many of which reflect greater adherence to the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach to guideline development-in addition to the rationale for such changes. Improvements to the Society's guideline development practices include, but are not limited to, enhanced inclusion of nonendocrinologist experts, including patient representatives, on guideline development panels; implementation of a more rigorous conflict/duality of interest policy; a requirement that all formal recommendations must be demonstrably underpinned by systematic evidence review; the explicit use of GRADE Evidence-to-Decision frameworks; greater use and explanation of standardized guideline language; and a more intentional approach to guideline updating. Lastly, we describe some of the experiential differences our guideline readers are most likely to notice.

Polycystic Ovary Syndrome: Ontogeny in Adolescence.

The pathophysiology of symptomatic polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) often unfolds across puberty, but the ontogeny of PCOS is difficult to study because, in general, its pathophysiology is well entrenched before the diagnosis can be confirmed. However, the study of high-risk groups (daughters of women with PCOS, girls with premature pubarche, and girls with obesity) can offer insight in this regard. Available data support the hypothesis that the pubertal development of PCOS involves various combinations of genetic predisposition, intrauterine programming, hyperinsulinism, and numerous other abnormalities that provoke reproductive symptoms (eg, hyperandrogenism, ovulatory dysfunction) in response to the pubertal increase in gonadotropin secretion.

Obesity and the pubertal transition in girls and boys.

Childhood obesity has become a major health concern in recent decades, especially with regard to metabolic abnormalities that impart a high risk for future cardiovascular disease. Recent data suggest that excess adiposity during childhood may influence pubertal development as well. In particular, excess adiposity during childhood may advance puberty in girls and delay puberty in boys. Obesity in peripubertal girls may also be associated with hyperandrogenemia and a high risk of adolescent polycystic ovary syndrome. How obesity may perturb various hormonal aspects of pubertal development remains unclear, but potential mechanisms are discussed herein. Insulin resistance and compensatory hyperinsulinemia may represent a common thread contributing to many of the pubertal changes reported to occur with childhood obesity. Our understanding of obesity's impact on pubertal development is in its infancy, and more research into pathophysiological mechanisms and longer-term sequelae is important.

Abnormal GnRH Pulsatility in Polycystic Ovary Syndrome: Recent Insights.

Although the fundamental symptoms of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) relate most directly to ovarian dysfunction, central neuroendocrine systems play a prominent role in its pathophysiology. Gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) pulse generator resistance to negative feedback contributes to rapid GnRH pulse secretion, which promotes gonadotropin abnormalities that foster ovarian hyperandrogenemia and ovulatory dysfunction. The causes of GnRH neuron dysfunction, however, have remained enigmatic. In this review, we highlight a number of recent preclinical and clinical studies pertinent to the neuroendocrine abnormalities of PCOS, including those that have provided important insights into the relevance of animal models with PCOS-like features, the potential roles of kisspeptin and γ-aminobutyric acid (GABA)-ergic neurons, and the potential role of anti-Müllerian hormone.

Maturation of luteinizing hormone (gonadotropin-releasing hormone) secretion across puberty: evidence for altered regulation in obese peripubertal girls.

CONTEXT: Peripubertal obesity (body mass index-for-age >or= 95%) in girls is associated with hyperandrogenemia. LH likely contributes to this relationship, but overnight LH secretion in obese girls is poorly characterized. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to evaluate LH pulse characteristics in obese girls throughout pubertal maturation. DESIGN: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis. SETTING: The study was performed in a general clinical research center. PARTICIPANTS: Eight nonobese and five obese Tanner 1-2 girls participated, as well as 32 nonobese and 12 obese Tanner 3-5 girls. INTERVENTION: Blood samples were collected every 10 min overnight (from 1900 to 0700 h). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: LH pulse frequency, amplitude, and mean LH were measured in three 4-h time blocks (block 1, 1900-2300 h; block 2, 2300-0300 h; and block 3, 0300-0700 h). RESULTS: Tanner stage 1-2 nonobese girls demonstrated nocturnal increases of LH frequency (P < 0.01, block 1 vs. 2) and mean LH (P < 0.05, block 1 vs. 2 and 3). Obese Tanner 1-2 girls had lower 12-h LH frequency and LH amplitude (P < 0.05 for both), with no overnight changes of LH pulse parameters. Compared to normal, LH frequency was elevated in Tanner 3-5 obese girls (P < 0.01 in all blocks), whereas LH amplitude was low (P < 0.05 in all blocks). Overnight increases of LH amplitude were observed in nonobese Tanner 3-5 girls (P < 0.0001), but not in obese Tanner 3-5 girls. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity in prepubertal and early pubertal girls is associated with reduced LH secretion and reduced nocturnal changes of LH. In later pubertal girls, obesity is linked with reduced LH amplitude, but elevated LH frequency; the latter may reflect effects of hyperandrogenemia.

Decision analysis of discordant thyroid nodule biopsy guideline criteria.

CONTEXT: Recently published guidelines are discordant regarding diagnostic approaches to small (10-14 mm) thyroid nodules. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to explore the relative desirability of alternative diagnostic approaches to small thyroid nodules using decision analysis. DESIGN: Four diagnostic approaches to a 10- to 14-mm thyroid nodule are modeled: 1) observation only, consistent with American Thyroid Association guidelines; 2) routine fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB), an approach traditionally chosen by many endocrinologists and consistent with American Thyroid Association guidelines; 3) FNAB only when microcalcifications are present, as recommended by Society of Radiologists in Ultrasound guidelines; and 4) FNAB only when the nodule is hypoechoic and has at least one other ultrasonographic risk factor, as endorsed by American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists guidelines. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Measures included expected values; a priori likelihoods of prespecified outcomes; and two-way sensitivity analyses based on the utility of observation only in the setting of thyroid cancer and thyroid surgery for benign, asymptomatic thyroid disease. RESULTS: Expected values (EVs) were similar among decision alternatives modeling Society of Radiologists in Ultrasound guidelines, American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists guidelines, and routine observation (EVs from 0.912 to 0.927). Routine FNAB had the lowest EV (0.757-0.861), primarily related to a high a priori likelihood of having surgery for a benign nodule. CONCLUSIONS: As a general approach to 10- to 14-mm thyroid nodules, routine FNAB appears to be the least desirable. This analysis offers additional data that physicians can use when choosing diagnostic approaches to small thyroid nodules based on perceived risks of delayed cancer diagnosis and unnecessary thyroid surgery.