Machine learning models are superior to noninvasive tests in identifying clinically significant stages of NAFLD and NAFLD-related cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We assessed the performance of machine learning (ML) models in identifying clinically significant NAFLD-associated liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We implemented ML models including logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and artificial neural network to predict histological stages of fibrosis using 17 demographic/clinical features in 1370 patients with NAFLD who underwent liver biopsy, FibroScan, and labs within a 6-month period at multiple U.S. centers. Histological stages of fibrosis (≥F2, ≥F3, and F4) were predicted using ML, FibroScan liver stiffness measurements, and Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). NASH with significant fibrosis (NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2) was assessed using ML, FibroScan-AST (FAST) score, FIB-4, and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). We used 80% of the cohort to train and 20% to test the ML models. For ≥F2, ≥F3, F4, and NASH + NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2, all ML models, especially RF, had primarily higher accuracy and AUC compared with FibroScan, FIB-4, FAST, and NFS. AUC for RF versus FibroScan and FIB-4 for ≥F2, ≥F3, and F4 were (0.86 vs. 0.81, 0.78), (0.89 vs. 0.83, 0.82), and (0.89 vs. 0.86, 0.85), respectively. AUC for RF versus FAST, FIB-4, and NFS for NASH + NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2 were (0.80 vs. 0.77, 0.66, 0.63). For NASH + NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2, all ML models had lower/similar percentages within the indeterminate zone compared with FIB-4 and NFS. Overall, ML models performed better in sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value compared with traditional noninvasive tests. CONCLUSIONS: ML models performed better overall than FibroScan, FIB-4, FAST, and NFS. ML could be an effective tool for identifying clinically significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with NAFLD.

Proof-of-concept study to evaluate the safety and efficacy of saroglitazar in patients with primary biliary cholangitis.

BACKGROUND & AIM: Saroglitazar is a novel peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor (PPAR) agonist with dual agonistic properties (α/γ). Due to a strong mechanistic rationale, we aimed to test the safety and efficacy of saroglitazar in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) who were either ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) resistant or intolerant. METHODS: In this double-blind, phase II proof-of-concept trial, 37 patients with PBC were randomized to saroglitazar 4 mg (n = 13), saroglitazar 2 mg (n = 14), or placebo (n = 10) daily for 16 weeks. The primary efficacy endpoint was the reduction in alkaline phosphatase (ALP) level at Week 16. RESULTS: A significant reduction of mean ALP levels was observed at Week 16 relative to baseline in both the saroglitazar 4 mg (least-squares [LS] mean =-163.3 U/L, SE = 25.1, p <0.001) and 2 mg (LS mean =-155.8 U/L, SE = 24.4, p <0.001) groups, compared with placebo (LS mean =-21.1 U/L, SE = 28.9). Treatment with saroglitazar resulted in a rapid reduction of ALP concentration at Week 4 that was sustained through the study duration. At least 1 treatment-emergent adverse event occurred in 11 (84.6%) patients in the saroglitazar 4 mg group, in 12 (85.7%) patients in the 2 mg group and in 8 (80%) patients in the placebo group. Study drug was discontinued in 4 patients (3 patients in the 4 mg group and 1 patient in the 2 mg group) due to aminotransferase increases that promptly returned to baseline values after drug discontinuation. CONCLUSIONS: Saroglitazar at 2 mg and 4 mg daily was tolerated and resulted in rapid and sustained improvements in ALP. Further studies are underway at a daily dose of 2 mg and 1 mg due to the higher incidence of elevated liver enzymes observed with the 4 mg dose. CLINICALTRIALS. GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT03112681 LAY SUMMARY: Saroglitazar resulted in a rapid and sustained improvement in alkaline phosphatase levels in patients with primary biliary cholangitis. The mean percentage reductions in alkaline phosphatase levels were 49% and 51% in the saroglitazar 4 mg and 2 mg groups compared to 3% in the placebo group.

Durability of Hepatitis B e Antigen Seroconversion in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Treated with Entecavir or Tenofovir.

INTRODUCTION: Loss of HBeAg and development of anti-HBe (seroconversion) is seen as a milestone and endpoint in the treatment of HBeAg-positive patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Among patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs (NA), recurrent viremia is common after discontinuation of therapy. Entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir (TDF) are highly potent NA. The durability of virological response and HBeAg seroconversion in patients treated with these agents is not well studied. METHODS: We retrospectively studied the outcomes of 54 HBeAg-positive CHB patients who were treated with either ETV (n = 30) or TDF (23) or both (n = 1) that achieved virological response and underwent seroconversion and consolidation therapy before cessation of treatment. RESULTS: Only 4 (7%) patients had sustained virological, serological, and biochemical remission. Thirteen patients (24%) continued to have HBV DNA levels below 2000 IU/mL and normal alanine aminotransferase activity (ALT). Thirty-seven patients (69%) developed HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL, with 20 having elevated ALT. Among these 37 patients, 23 (62%) remained HBeAg negative/anti-HBe positive, 12 (32%) became HBeAg positive, and 2 (5%) were HBeAg and anti-HBe negative. Duration of consolidation therapy did not correlate with low versus high level of virological relapse. CONCLUSIONS: Durability of HBeAg seroconversion associated with ETV or TDF was not superior to that reported in patients treated with less potent NA. Our results, aggregated with others, suggest HBeAg seroconversion should not be considered as a treatment endpoint for most HBeAg-positive patients treated with NA. Future updates of treatment guidelines should reconsider HBeAg seroconversion as an endpoint to therapy.

Practical strategies for pruritus management in the obeticholic acid-treated patient with PBC: proceedings from the 2018 expert panel.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: This article provides expert guidance on the management of pruritus symptoms in patients receiving obeticholic acid (OCA) as treatment for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC). PBC is a chronic, autoimmune cholestatic liver disease that affects intrahepatic bile ducts. If not adequately treated, PBC can lead to cholestasis and end-stage liver disease, which may require transplant. Timely treatment is therefore vital to patient health. Pruritus is a common symptom in patients with PBC. Additionally, the use of OCA to treat PBC can contribute to increased pruritus severity in some patients, adding to patient discomfort, decreasing patient quality of life (QoL), and potentially affecting patient adherence to OCA treatment. METHODS: In May 2018, a group of physician experts from the fields of gastroenterology, hepatology, and psychiatry met to discuss the management of pruritus in OCA-treated patients with PBC. Recognizing the importance of optimizing treatment for PBC, these experts developed recommendations for managing pruritus symptoms in the OCA-treated PBC patient based on their experience in clinical practice. RESULTS: These recommendations include a comprehensive list of management strategies (including over-the-counter, prescription, and alternative therapies), guidance on titration of OCA to minimize pruritus severity, and an algorithm that outlines a practical approach to follow up with patients receiving OCA, to better assess and manage pruritus symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Pruritus associated with OCA therapy is dose dependent and often manageable, and with the proper education and tools, most pruritus cases can be effectively managed to minimize treatment discontinuation.

Fatty liver in hepatitis C patients post-sustained virological response with direct-acting antivirals.

AIM: To determine steatosis and fibrosis prevalence in hepatitis C patients after a sustained virological response achieved with direct-acting antivirals. METHODS: Transient elastography with controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) was used to assess hepatic steatosis post-sustained virological response (SVR); the CAP technology was not available in the United States at study initiation. Liver stiffness/fibrosis was measured before and 47 wk after treatment completion. Patients with genotype 3 and patients with cirrhosis were excluded. RESULTS: One hundred and one patients were included in the study. Post-SVR there were decreases from baseline in alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (63.1 to 17.8 U/L), aspartate aminotransferase (51.8 to 21.5 U/L) and fibrosis score (7.4 to 6.1 kPa) (P < 0.05). Post-SVR, 48 patients (47.5%) had steatosis on CAP; of these, 6.25% had advanced fibrosis. Patients with steatosis had higher body mass index (29.0 vs 26.1 kg/m2), glucose (107.8 vs 96.6 mg/dL), ALT (20.4 vs 15.3 mg/dL), CAP score (296.3 vs 212.4 dB/m) and fibrosis score (7.0 vs 5.3 kPa); P < 0.05. Interestingly, compared to baseline, both patients with and without steatosis had change in fibrosis score post-SVR (7.7 kPa vs 7.0 kPa and 7.0 kPa vs 5.3 kPa); alternatively, (P < 0.05) and therefore patients with steatosis continued to have clinically significant stiffness (≥ 7 kPa). CONCLUSION: Fatty liver is very common in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients post-SVR. These patients continue to have elevated mean fibrosis score (≥ 7 kPa) compared to those without fatty liver; some have advanced fibrosis. Long term follow up is needed to assess steatosis and fibrosis in HCV patients post-SVR.