Assessing the Risk of Further Decompensation and Survival in Patients With Cirrhosis With Variceal Bleeding as Their First Decompensation Event.

INTRODUCTION: Limited data exist on long-term outcomes of patients with compensated cirrhosis presenting with acute variceal bleeding (AVB) as an index and lone decompensating event. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of further decompensation, survival, and risk factors of mortality in these patients. METHODS: Patients with otherwise compensated cirrhosis presenting with AVB as their index decompensating event (n = 463) were analyzed in this single-center retrospective study. The incidence of individual decompensation events and survival was estimated using competing risk analysis. Risk factors for poor outcomes were identified. RESULTS: The mean age was 47.4 (13.2) years, with most patients (86.5%) being males. Alcohol-related liver disease (42.3%) and viral cirrhosis (22.4%) were the main etiologies with a median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score of 14 (11-15) at baseline. Over a median follow-up of 42 (24-62) months, 292 patients experienced further decompensations: ascites (n = 283; 96.9%), rebleeding (n = 157; 53.8%), and hepatic encephalopathy (n = 71; 24.3%). Most events occurred with similar frequency across different etiologies, except acute-on-chronic liver failure, which was more common in nonviral cirrhosis (Gray test, P = 0.042). Patients with viral and nonviral cirrhosis had similar survival (5-year survival: 91% and 80.1%, respectively; P = 0.062). Patients with early further decompensations (onset <6 weeks of index AVB event) (n = 40) had a higher mortality (52.5% vs 20.2% for late decompensations; P < 0.001). Active alcohol consumption (hazard ratio [HR]: 9 [5.31-15.3], P < 0.001), high white blood cell count at presentation (HR: 2.5 [1.4-4.4], P = 0.001), and early decompensation (HR: 6.2 [3.6-10.6], P < 0.001) predicted poor survival. DISCUSSION: Despite a high incidence of further decompensation, 5-year survival of patients at this stage of cirrhosis is more than 80% across all etiologies in the absence of early further decompensation and active alcohol consumption.

Development of a machine learning model to predict bleed in esophageal varices in compensated advanced chronic liver disease: A proof of concept.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Risk stratification beyond the endoscopic classification of esophageal varices (EVs) to predict first episode of variceal bleeding (VB) is currently limited in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). We aimed to assess if machine learning (ML) could be used for predicting future VB more accurately. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis, data from patients of cACLD with EVs, laboratory parameters and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were used to generate an extreme-gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm to predict the risk of VB. The performance characteristics of ML and endoscopic classification were compared in internal and external validation cohorts. Bleeding rates were estimated in subgroups identified upon risk stratification with combination of model and endoscopic classification. RESULTS: Eight hundred twenty-eight patients of cACLD with EVs, predominantly related to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (28.6%), alcohol (23.7%) and hepatitis B (23.1%) were included, with 455 (55%) having the high-risk varices. Over a median follow-up of 24 (12-43) months, 163 patients developed VB. The accuracy of machine learning (ML) based model to predict future VB was 98.7 (97.4-99.5)%, 93.7 (88.8-97.2)%, and 85.7 (82.1-90.5)% in derivation (n = 497), internal validation (n = 149), and external validation (n = 182) cohorts, respectively, which was better than endoscopic classification [58.9 (55.5-62.3)%] alone. Patients stratified high risk on both endoscopy and model had 1-year and 3-year bleeding rates of 31-43% and 64-85%, respectively, whereas those stratified as low risk on both had 1-year and 3-year bleeding rates of 0-1.6% and 0-3.4%, respectively. Endoscopic classification and LSM were the major determinants of model's performance. CONCLUSION: Application of ML model improved the performance of endoscopic stratification to predict VB in patients with cACLD with EVs.

Vascular complications of chronic pancreatitis: A tertiary center experience.

INTRODUCTION: Vascular complications such as venous thrombosis (VT) and pseudoaneurysm are not uncommon in patients with chronic pancreatitis (CP). The aim of this study to was to evaluate the prevalence and risk factors for vascular complications in patients with CP. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a prospectively maintained database of patients with CP presenting from January 2002 to August 2019 was performed. Venous thrombosis and pseudoaneurysm were identified using radiological imaging, and their risk factors were identified using multivariate Cox-proportional hazards. RESULTS: Of 1363 patients with CP, 166 (12.2%) had vascular complications. Isolated VT was present in 132, pseudoaneurysm in 17, and both in 17 patients. They were more commonly seen in males and alcoholic CP (ACP), and less commonly in patients with pancreatic atrophy and calcification. It involved the vessels in the closest proximity to the pancreas, VT most commonly involving the splenic vein whereas pseudoaneurysm most commonly involved the splenic artery. Alcoholic CP [odds ratio (OR) 2.1, p = 0.002], pseudocyst (OR 4.6, p < 0.001) and inflammatory head mass (OR 3.1, p = 0.006) were independent risk factors for VT, whereas ACP (OR 3.49, p = 0.006) and pseudocyst (OR 3.2, p = 0.002) were independent risk factors for pseudoaneurysm. Gastrointestinal bleed occurred in 3.5% patients, and more commonly in patients with pseudoaneurysm than VT (64.7% vs 15.9%), and in patients with ACP in comparison to other etiologies (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Vascular complications are a common complication of CP, VT being more frequent than pseudoaneurysm. Pseudocyst and ACP are independent risk factors for the development of vascular complications.

Natural course of chronic pancreatitis and predictors of its progression.

BACKGROUND: The natural course of chronic pancreatitis(CP) and its complications has been inadequately explored. We aimed to describe the natural history and factors affecting the progression of alcoholic(ACP), idiopathic juvenile(IJCP) and idiopathic senile(ISCP) variants of CP. METHODS: This study was a retrospective analysis from a prospectively maintained database of patients with CP following up at a tertiary care centre from 1998 to 2019. Cumulative rates of pain resolution, diabetes, steatorrhea, pseudocysts and pancreatic cancer were computed using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and the factors affecting their incidence were identified on multivariable-adjusted Cox-proportional-hazards model. RESULTS: A total of 1415 patients were included, with 540(38.1%) ACP, 668(47.2%) IJCP and 207(14.6%) ISCP with a median follow-up of 3.5 years(Inter-quartile range: 1.5-7.5 years). Diabetes occurred at 11.5, 28 and 5.8 years(p < 0.001) while steatorrhea occurred at 16, 24 and 18 years(p = 0.004) after onset for ACP, IJCP and ISCP respectively. Local complications including pseudocysts occurred predominantly in ACP(p < 0.001). Ten-year risk of pancreatic cancer was 0.9%, 0.2% and 5.2% in ACP, IJCP and ISCP, respectively(p < 0.001). Pain resolution occurred more frequently in patients with older age of onset[Multivariate Hazard Ratio(HR):1.7(95%CI:1.4-2.0; p < 0.001)], non-smokers[HR:0.51(95%CI:0.34-0.78); p = 0.002] and in non-calcific CP[HR:0.81(0.66-1.0); p = 0.047]. Occurrence of steatorrhea[HR:1.3(1.03-1.7); p = 0.028] and diabetes[HR:2.7(2.2-3.4); p < 0.001] depended primarily on age at onset. Occurrence of pancreatic cancer depended on age at onset[HR:12.1(4.7-31.2); p < 0.001], smoking-history[HR:6.5(2.2-19.0); p < 0.001] and non-alcoholic etiology[HR:0.14(0.05-0.4); p < 0.001]. CONCLUSION: ACP, IJCP and ISCP represent distinct entities with different natural course. Age at onset of CP plays a major prognostic role in all manifestations, with alcohol predominantly causing local inflammatory complications.

Recanalized Paraumbilical Vein Leading to Hepatic Myelopathy Causing Spastic Paraparesis in a Patient with Chronic Liver Disease.

A 34-year-old male visited our hospital with complaints of recurrent episodes of altered behavior since past 6 months along with difficulty in walking since past 3 months. He was diagnosed of chronic liver disease in the past. Examination revealed spasticity and brisk deep tendon reflexes in both the lower limbs. His blood investigations and spinal cord imaging was normal. Based on his clinical features, a possibility of portosystemic shunting leading to portosystemic encephalopathy (PSE) and shunt myelopathy was suspected. A computed tomography portography showed a recanalized paraumblical vein draining portal blood into external iliac veins. Patient underwent shunt occlusion (Figure- 2). One month after the procedure, while there was no recurrence of symptoms of PSE, those of myelopathy remained unchanged. Shunt myelopathy is a rare complication of spontaneous or iatrogenic portosystemic shunts. Unlike PSE, the management of shunt myelopathy is uncertain due to limited evidence. Limited evidence suggests reversal of myelopathy after early shunt occlusion, highlighting the irreversible changes that may set in spinal cord due to delayed diagnosis. Our case highlights an important but a rare complication of portosystemic shunting in chronic liver disease which should be kept in mind if these patients develop symptoms attributable to spinal cord disease.

Differential location of growth factors and pancreatic stellate cell activation in chronic pancreatitis.

Pancreatic fibrosis is characterized by the activation of pancreatic stellate cells leading to the expression of smooth muscle actin (α-SMA). Normal pancreatic tissue has predominantly quiescent stellate cells in periductal and perivascular locations, which do not express α-SMA. We aimed at studying the immunohistochemistry (IHC) expression pattern of α-SMA, platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF-BB) and transforming growth factor (TGF-ß) in the resected specimen of chronic pancreatitis. Twenty biopsies from resected specimens of patients with chronic pancreatitis were included. The expression was measured in comparison to positive control biopsies (breast carcinoma for PDGF-BB and TGF-ß and appendicular tissue for α-SMA) and scored based on a semi-quantitative system based on staining intensity. The percentage of positive cells was used for objective scoring, which ranged from 0 to 15. The scoring was done separately for acini, ducts, stroma and islet cell. All patients had undergone surgery for refractory pain and the median duration of symptoms was 48 months. On IHC, α-SMA was not expressed in the acini, ducts or islets, but had high expression in the stromal regions (vs. acini, ducts and islet, p < 0.05), TGF-ß1 was also expressed maximally in islet cells; however, the distribution among all locations was statistically similar. α-SMA expression in the pancreatic stroma is an indicator of the concentration of activated stellate cells in the stroma, a site for genesis of fibrosis under the influence of growth factors in the local milieu.

Falsely elevated anti-tissue transglutaminase antibodies in patients with immunoproliferative small intestinal diseases: A case series.

Immunoproliferative small intestinal disease (IPSID) is an uncommon disease of the small intestine. There is a similarity in the clinical presentations of enteropathic diseases, including celiac disease, tropical sprue, IPSID, and Whipple's disease. A differentiation between them is based on the use of a highly specific serological test for celiac disease and specific histological characteristics. We found that IgA-anti-tissue transglutaminase antibody (IgA-tTG Ab) is falsely elevated in a subset of patients with IPSID. The levels of IgA-tTG Ab fall with the treatment of IPSID. The healthcare professional should be aware of the conditions that lead to a false-positive anti-tTG Ab. Intestinal mucosal biopsies even in the presence of anti-tTG Ab should be done in endemic regions as they provide an opportunity for making a diagnosis of alternative and uncommon diseases before the diagnosis of celiac disease.

Interferon-gamma release assay has poor diagnostic accuracy in differentiating intestinal tuberculosis from Crohn's disease in tuberculosis endemic areas.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Intestinal tuberculosis (ITB) and Crohn's disease (CD) frequently present with a diagnostic dilemma because of similar presentation. Interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA) has been used in differentiating ITB from CD, but with sparse reports on its diagnostic accuracy in tuberculosis endemic regions and this study evaluated the same. METHODS: Patients with definitive diagnosis of ITB (n=59) or CD (n=49) who underwent IGRA testing (n=307) were retrospectively included at All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi (July 2014 to September 2021). CD or ITB was diagnosed as per standard criteria. IGRA was considered positive at >0.35 IU/mL. Relevant data was collected and IGRA results were compared between ITB and CD to determine its accuracy. RESULTS: Among 59 ITB patients (mean age, 32.6±13.1 years; median disease duration, 1 year; male, 59.3%), 24 were positive and 35 tested negative for IGRA. Among 49 CD patients (mean age, 37.8±14.0; median disease duration, 4 years; male, 61.2%), 12 were positive and 37 tested negative for IGRA. Hence, for diagnosing ITB, IGRA showed a sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of 40.68%, 75.51%, 66.67%, and 51.39%, respectively. The area under the curve of IGRA for ITB diagnosis was 0.66 (95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.75). In a subset (n=64), tuberculin skin test (TST) showed sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of 64.7%, 73.3%, 73.3%, and 64.71%, respectively. IGRA and TST were concordant in 38 (59.4%) patients with κ=0.17. CONCLUSIONS: In a tuberculosis endemic region, IGRA had poor diagnostic accuracy for differentiating ITB from CD, suggesting a limited value of IGRA in this setting.

Randomised clinical trial: effect of adding branched chain amino acids to exercise and standard-of-care on muscle mass in cirrhotic patients with sarcopenia.

BACKGROUND: The role of branched-chain amino acids (BCAA) in improving muscle mass in cirrhosis is presently debatable. AIMS: To evaluate the role of BCAA in improving muscle mass in a double-blind randomized placebo-controlled trial in patients with cirrhosis having sarcopenia. METHODS: Consecutive patients with cirrhosis with Child-Pugh score < 10 and sarcopenia were randomized to receive either 12 g/day of BCAA orally or a placebo (1:1) for 6 months in addition to a home-based exercise program (30 min/day), dietary counselling and standard medical therapy. Sarcopenia was defined according to gender-specific axial skeletal muscle index (SMI) cut-offs. The primary endpoint was a change in muscle mass based on CT scan (SMI) after 6 months of supplementation. RESULTS: Sixty patients [mean age 41.6 ± 9.9 years; males (66.6%) of predominantly viral (40%) and alcohol-related (31.7%) cirrhosis] were randomized. Baseline clinical and demographic characters were similar except MELD score (10.2 ± 2.8 vs. 12.2 ± 3.5, p = 0.02) and calorie intake (1838.1 kcal ± 631.5 vs. 2217.5 kcal ± 707.3, p = 0.03), both being higher in the placebo arm. After adjusting for both baseline confounders, baseline SMI and protein intake, the change in SMI at 6 months was similar in both groups [mean adjusted difference (MAD) + 0.84, CI - 2.9; + 1.2, p = 0.42] by intention-to-treat analysis. The secondary outcomes including change in handgrip strength (p = 0.65), 6-m gait speed (p = 0.20), 6-min walk distance (p = 0.39) were similar in both arms. Four patients had minor adverse events in each arm. CONCLUSION: Addition of BCAA to exercise, dietary counselling and standard medical therapy did not improve muscle mass in patients with cirrhosis having sarcopenia. (CTRI/2019/05/019269). TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: CTRI/2019/05/019269 (Clinical Trials Registry of India).

European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP2) Criteria With Population-Based Skeletal Muscle Index Best Predicts Mortality in Asians With Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Multiple definitions of sarcopenia exist and the acceptable criterion that best predicts outcome is lacking. We estimated the prevalence of sarcopenia based on four criteria and assessed their utility in predicting mortality in cirrhotics. METHODS: In a prospective observational study, consecutive Asian patients with cirrhosis underwent testing for handgrip strength (HGS) and estimation of skeletal muscle index (SMI) using computed tomography at the third lumbar vertebra. Sarcopenia was defined based on the Western cut-off (WC; SMI < 50 cm2/m2 for men and <39 cm2/m2 for women), Asian cut-off (AC; SMI < 36.5 cm2/m2 for men and 30.2 cm2/m2 for women), European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People-2nd meeting (EWGSOP2) definition incorporating low HGS (<27 kg for men and <16 kg for women) with low SMI (defined by the WC), and EWGSOP2 definition with low HGS and low SMI (defined by AC). Risk factors for mortality were assessed using multivariate Cox-proportional hazards. RESULTS: We included 219 patients with cirrhosis (168 men; mean age 42.6 years) with 50.2% patients having decompensation. Alcohol was the commonest aetiology (33.3%). The prevalence of sarcopenia was highest with the WC (men: 82.1%; women: 62.7%). There was a weak concordance among all criteria (Fleiss' kappa 0.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.10-0.37). Overall, 12-month survival was 86.1% (81.1-91.3%) over a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 12 (6-15) months. Ascites (hazards ratio [HR] 6.27 [95% CI 1.6-24.1]; P < 0.007) and SMI (HR 0.92 [0.85-0.98]; P = 0.021) were independent predictors of mortality. The 12-month mortality rate was higher in patients with sarcopenia, irrespective of criteria (log rank P < 0.05). Low HGS and low SMI (defined by AC) was the best for predicting mortality (HR 3.04 [1.43-6.43]; P = 0.004). CONCLUSION: A weak concordance exists amongst various diagnostic definitions of sarcopenia. Sarcopenia diagnosed by a combination of low HGS and population-specific SMI cut-off (AC) best predicts mortality.

Alterations in Autophagy and Mammalian Target of Rapamycin (mTOR) Pathways Mediate Sarcopenia in Patients with Cirrhosis.

Background and aims: The pathophysiology of sarcopenia in cirrhosis is poorly understood. We aimed to evaluate the histological alterations in the muscle tissue of patients with cirrhosis and sarcopenia, and identify the regulators of muscle homeostasis. Methods: Computed tomography images at third lumbar vertebral level were used to assess skeletal muscle index (SMI) in 180 patients. Sarcopenia was diagnosed based on the SMI cut-offs from a population of similar ethnicity. Muscle biopsy was obtained from the vastus lateralis in 10 sarcopenic patients with cirrhosis, and the external oblique in five controls (voluntary kidney donors during nephrectomy). Histological changes were assessed by hematoxylin and eosin staining and immunohistochemistry for phospho-FOXO3, phospho-AKT, phospho-mTOR, and apoptosis markers (annexin V and caspase 3). The messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) expressions for MSTN, FoxO3, markers of ubiquitin-proteasome pathway (FBXO32, TRIM63), and markers of autophagy (Beclin-1 and LC3) were also quantified. Results: The prevalence of sarcopenia was 14.4%. Muscle histology in sarcopenics showed atrophic angulated fibers (P = 0.002) compared to controls. Immunohistochemistry showed a significant loss of expression of phospho-mTOR (P = 0.026) and an unaltered phospho-AKT (P = 0.089) in sarcopenic patients. There were no differences in the immunostaining for annexin-V, caspase-3, and phospho-FoxO3 between the two groups. The mRNA expressions of MSTN and Beclin-1 were higher in sarcopenics (P = 0.04 and P = 0.04, respectively). The two groups did not differ in the mRNA levels for TRIM63, FBXO32, and LC3. Conclusions: Significant muscle atrophy, increase in autophagy, MSTN gene expression, and an impaired mTOR signaling were seen in patients with sarcopenia and cirrhosis.

Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy in a patient with systemic lupus erythematosus and autoimmune hepatitis.

Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) is a rare demyelinating central nervous system illness encountered in the setting of immunosuppressive conditions like human immunodeficiency virus / acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, autoimmune diseases and hematologic malignancies. We had a 54-year-old woman with systemic lupus erythematosus and coexisting autoimmune hepatitis who presented with progressive cognitive decline, right hemiparesis and ataxia who was found to have PML. She had severe CD4 lymphopenia. She was managed with low-dose prednisolone and plasma exchange after which she showed significant clinical improvement. This case highlights the diagnostic and therapeutic challenges encountered in managing a case of PML in the setting of autoimmune conditions with profound lymphopenia.

Emergence of Celiac disease and Gluten-related disorders in Asia.

Celiac disease (CeD) is a systemic, immune-mediated enteropathy, which is triggered by gluten protein in genetically susceptible individuals. CeD, once thought to be an uncommon disease, is now recognized to affect approximately 40-60 million people globally. While CeD is now well reported from a few Asian countries such as India, China, Pakistan, and Middle Eastern countries; it is still believed to be uncommon in the rest of Asia. Gluten-related diseases other than CeD, like non-celiac gluten sensitivity (NCGS) are also emerging globally. CeD and NCGS may present with either intestinal or extra-intestinal symptoms, and a proportion of them have overlapping symptoms with irritable bowel syndrome. Hence, many of them are misdiagnosed as having irritable bowel syndrome in clinical practice. In this review, we discuss the emergence of CeD and other gluten-related disorders, both globally and in Asia, the overlapping manifestations between gluten-related disorders and irritable bowel syndrome, and the challenges associated with diagnosis and management of CeD in Asia.

Systematic review and meta-analysis: Is there any role for antioxidant therapy for pain in chronic pancreatitis.

Chronic pancreatitis (CP) is an irreversible disease with increased oxidative stress. The therapeutic role of antioxidants for pain reduction in CP is debatable. A systematic review of articles in PubMed and Embase until February 2020 was performed. Only randomized controlled trials conducted on humans to evaluate the therapeutic effects of antioxidants for pain in CP were included. Studies of other design, nonhuman studies, and those that did not objectively assess pain were excluded. Twelve articles and four articles were eligible for qualitative and quantitative analysis, respectively. The four included studies had a total of 352 participants. Pain reduction as measured by a visual analog scale was not significantly different in the antioxidant group compared to placebo (standardized mean difference = -0.14 [95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.44 to 0.17]; P = 0.38). Number of pain-free participants was also similar (odds ratio [OR] = 1.59 [0.97-2.59]; P = 0.06). There was no difference in outcome when comparing different etiologies of CP or age group. The reduction in the number of analgesics used did not differ between both groups. Antioxidants were not associated with increased adverse events (OR = 2.59 [CI = 0.77-8.69]; P = 0.12). A qualitative analysis on the effect on quality of life did not suggest any significant improvement with antioxidants. There was no significant pain reduction or change in quality of life in CP patients with use of antioxidants. This makes their routine use in the management of CP questionable. However, further studies may identify a subgroup where they are more useful.