Questioning a Sensible Result.

Contemporary data collection strategies, storage capabilities, and modern statistical methodology have made retrospective analyses of observational databases commonplace. Such databases afford opportunities to learn about the effectiveness and risks of interventions or health behaviors that generally cannot be randomized. In this issue of NEJM Evidence, Cho et al.1 assemble survey data and cohort data from four countries to quantify the association between age-sex-specific smoking cessation and mortality. The authors conclude that smoking cessation at any age is associated with lower excess overall mortality risk and lower death from diseases made more common by smoking. It is difficult to argue with this conclusion - to question the magnitude of the associations is not.

Classification Algorithm to Distinguish Between Type 1 and Type 2 Myocardial Infarction in Administrative Claims Data.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 myocardial infarction (T2MI) and type 1 myocardial infarction (T1MI) differ with respect to demographics, comorbidities, treatments, and clinical outcomes. Reliable quality and outcomes assessment depends on the ability to distinguish between T1MI and T2MI in administrative claims data. As such, we aimed to develop a classification algorithm to distinguish between T1MI and T2MI that could be applied to claims data. METHODS: Using data for beneficiaries in a Medicare accountable care organization contract in a large health care system in New England, we examined the distribution of MI diagnosis codes between 2018 to 2021 and the patterns of care and coding for beneficiaries with a hospital discharge diagnosis International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision code for T2MI, compared with those for T1MI. We then assessed the probability that each hospitalization was for a T2MI versus T1MI and examined care occurring in 2017 before the introduction of the T2MI code. RESULTS: After application of inclusion and exclusion criteria, 7759 hospitalizations for myocardial infarction remained (46.5% T1MI and 53.5% T2MI; mean age, 79±10.3 years; 47% female). In the classification algorithm, female gender (odds ratio, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.11-1.44]), Black race relative to White race (odds ratio, 2.48 [95% CI, 1.76-3.48]), and diagnoses of COVID-19 (odds ratio, 1.74 [95% CI, 1.11-2.71]) or hypertensive emergency (odds ratio, 1.46 [95% CI, 1.00-2.14]) were associated with higher odds of the hospitalization being for T2MI versus T1MI. When applied to the testing sample, the C-statistic of the full model was 0.83. Comparison of classified T2MI and observed T2MI suggest the possibility of substantial misclassification both before and after the T2MI code. CONCLUSIONS: A simple classification algorithm appears to be able to differentiate between hospitalizations for T1MI and T2MI before and after the T2MI code was introduced. This could facilitate more accurate longitudinal assessments of acute myocardial infarction quality and outcomes.

Trends in Use of Telemedicine for Stimulant Initiation Among Children and Adults.

OBJECTIVE: The authors sought to examine trends in stimulant initiation and follow-up care for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) via telemedicine. METHODS: This retrospective longitudinal study used national, deidentified commercial health insurance outpatient claims among children (ages 2-17 years; N=535,629) and adults (ages 18-64 years; N=2,116,160) from January 2019 through April 2022. Regression analyses were used to examine risk for stimulant initiation, whether initiation occurred via telemedicine or in-person care, and receipt of a follow-up visit. RESULTS: The mean monthly adjusted number of stimulant initiations per 100,000 enrollees was similar for children before and during the COVID-19 pandemic (prepandemic, 57 initiations; during pandemic, 56 initiations) but increased for adults (prepandemic, 27 initiations; during pandemic, 33 initiations). Initiations via telemedicine peaked at 53%-57% in April 2020 and dropped to about 14% among children and 28% among adults in April 2022. Telemedicine initiations were significantly more common among psychiatrists than among other prescribers (OR=3.70, 95% CI=3.38-4.06 [children]; OR=3.02, 95% CI=2.87-3.17 [adults]) and less common for rural residents (OR=0.57, 95% CI=0.40-0.82 [children]; OR=0.75, 95% CI=0.61-0.92 [adults]). Follow-up care was significantly more common among individuals whose care was initiated via telemedicine than among those receiving in-person care (OR=1.09, 95% CI=1.00-1.19 [children]; OR=1.61, 95% CI=1.53-1.69 [adults]). CONCLUSIONS: Many stimulant treatments were initiated via telemedicine. Proposed rules to prohibit controlled substance prescribing without an in-person evaluation would require significant changes in current practice, potentially limiting access to stimulant medications for ADHD.

Revisiting diabetes risk of olanzapine versus aripiprazole in serious mental illness care.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to second-generation antipsychotics (SGAs) carries a risk of type 2 diabetes, but questions remain about the diabetogenic effects of SGAs. AIMS: To assess the diabetes risk associated with two frequently used SGAs. METHOD: This was a retrospective cohort study of adults with schizophrenia, bipolar I disorder or severe major depressive disorder (MDD) exposed during 2008-2013 to continuous monotherapy with aripiprazole or olanzapine for up to 24 months, with no pre-period exposure to other antipsychotics. Newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes was quantified with targeted minimum loss-based estimation; risk was summarised as the restricted mean survival time (RMST), the average number of diabetes-free months. Sensitivity analyses were used to evaluate potential confounding by indication. RESULTS: Aripiprazole-treated patients had fewer diabetes-free months compared with olanzapine-treated patients. RMSTs were longer in olanzapine-treated patients, by 0.25 months [95% CI: 0.14, 0.36], 0.16 months [0.02, 0.31] and 0.22 months [0.01, 0.44] among patients with schizophrenia, bipolar I disorder and severe MDD, respectively. Although some sensitivity analyses suggest a risk of unobserved confounding, E-values indicate that this risk is not severe. CONCLUSIONS: Using robust methods and accounting for exposure duration effects, we found a slightly higher risk of type 2 diabetes associated with aripiprazole compared with olanzapine monotherapy regardless of diagnosis. If this result was subject to unmeasured selection despite our methods, it would suggest clinician success in identifying olanzapine candidates with low diabetes risk. Confirmatory research is needed, but this insight suggests a potentially larger role for olanzapine in the treatment of well-selected patients, particularly for those with schizophrenia, given the drug's effectiveness advantage among them.

Racial and Ethnic Differences in Telemedicine Use.

Importance: Individuals of racial and ethnic minority groups may be less likely to use telemedicine in part due to lack of access to technology (ie, digital divide). To date, some studies have found less telemedicine use by individuals of racial and ethnic minority groups compared with White individuals, and others have found the opposite. What explains these different findings is unclear. Objective: To quantify racial and ethnic differences in the receipt of telemedicine and total visits with and without accounting for demographic and clinical characteristics and geography. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study included individuals who were continuously enrolled in traditional Medicare from March 2020 to February 2022 or until death. Exposure: Race and ethnicity, which was categorized as Black non-Hispanic, Hispanic, White non-Hispanic, other (defined as American Indian/Pacific Islander, Alaska Native, and Asian), and unknown/missing. Main Outcomes and Measures: Total telemedicine visits (audio-video or audio); total visits (telemedicine or in-person) per individual during the study period. Multivariable models were used that sequentially adjusted for demographic and clinical characteristics and geographic area to examine their association with differences in telemedicine and total visit utilization by documented race and ethnicity. Results: In this national sample of 14 305 819 individuals, 7.4% reported that they were Black, 5.6% Hispanic, and 4.2% other race. In unadjusted results, compared with White individuals, Black individuals, Hispanic individuals, and individuals of other racial groups had 16.7 (95% CI, 16.1-17.3), 32.9 (95% CI, 32.3-33.6), and 20.9 (95% CI, 20.2-21.7) more telemedicine visits per 100 beneficiaries, respectively. After adjustment for clinical and demographic characteristics and geography, compared with White individuals, Black individuals, Hispanic individuals, and individuals of other racial groups had 7.9 (95% CI, -8.5 to -7.3), 13.2 (95% CI, -13.9 to -12.6), and 9.2 (95% CI, -10.0 to -8.5) fewer telemedicine visits per 100 beneficiaries, respectively. In unadjusted and fully adjusted models, and in 2019 and the second year of the COVID-19 pandemic, Black individuals, Hispanic individuals, and individuals of other racial groups continued to have fewer total visits than White individuals. Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this cross-sectional study of US Medicare enrollees suggest that although nationally, Black individuals, Hispanic individuals, and individuals of other racial groups received more telemedicine visits during the pandemic and disproportionately lived in geographic regions with higher telemedicine use, after controlling for geographic region, Black individuals, Hispanic individuals, and individuals of other racial groups received fewer telemedicine visits than White individuals.

Learning implementation of a guideline based decision support system to improve hypertension treatment in primary care in China: pragmatic cluster randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of a clinical decision support system (CDSS) in improving the use of guideline accordant antihypertensive treatment in primary care settings in China. DESIGN: Pragmatic, open label, cluster randomised trial. SETTING: 94 primary care practices in four urban regions of China between August 2019 and July 2022: Luoyang (central China), Jining (east China), and Shenzhen (south China, including two regions). PARTICIPANTS: 94 practices were randomised (46 to CDSS, 48 to usual care). 12 137 participants with hypertension who used up to two classes of antihypertensives and had a systolic blood pressure <180 mm Hg and diastolic blood pressure <110 mm Hg were included. INTERVENTIONS: Primary care practices were randomised to use an electronic health record based CDSS, which recommended a specific guideline accordant regimen for initiation, titration, or switching of antihypertensive (the intervention), or to use the same electronic health record without CDSS and provide treatment as usual (control). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was the proportion of hypertension related visits during which an appropriate (guideline accordant) treatment was provided. Secondary outcomes were the average reduction in systolic blood pressure and proportion of participants with controlled blood pressure (<140/90 mm Hg) at the last scheduled follow-up. Safety outcomes were patient reported antihypertensive treatment related events, including syncope, injurious fall, symptomatic hypotension or systolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg, and bradycardia. RESULTS: 5755 participants with 23 113 visits in the intervention group and 6382 participants with 27 868 visits in the control group were included. Mean age was 61 (standard deviation 13) years and 42.5% were women. During a median 11.6 months of follow-up, the proportion of visits at which appropriate treatment was given was higher in the intervention group than in the control group (77.8% (17 975/23 113) v 62.2% (17 328/27 868); absolute difference 15.2 percentage points (95% confidence interval (CI) 10.7 to 19.8); P<0.001; odds ratio 2.17 (95% CI 1.75 to 2.69); P<0.001). Compared with participants in the control group, those in the intervention group had a 1.6 mm Hg (95% CI -2.7 to -0.5) greater reduction in systolic blood pressure (-1.5 mm Hg v 0.3 mm Hg; P=0.006) and a 4.4 percentage point (95% CI -0.7 to 9.5) improvement in blood pressure control rate (69.0% (3415/4952) v 64.6% (3778/5845); P=0.07). Patient reported antihypertensive treatment related adverse effects were rare in both groups. CONCLUSIONS: Use of a CDSS in primary care in China improved the provision of guideline accordant antihypertensive treatment and led to a modest reduction in blood pressure. The CDSS offers a promising approach to delivering better care for hypertension, both safely and efficiently. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03636334.