Machine Learning of Plasma Proteomics Classifies Diagnosis of Interstitial Lung Disease.

RATIONALE: Distinguishing connective tissue disease associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD) from idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) can be clinically challenging. OBJECTIVES: Identify proteins that separate and classify CTD-ILD from IPF patients. METHODS: Four registries with 1247 IPF and 352 CTD-ILD patients were included in analyses. Plasma samples were subjected to high-throughput proteomics assays. Protein features were prioritized using Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) to construct a proteomic classifier. Multiple machine learning models, including Support Vector Machine, LASSO regression, Random Forest (RF), and imbalanced-RF, were trained and tested in independent cohorts. The validated models were used to classify each case iteratively in external datasets. MEASUREMENT AND MAIN RESULTS: A classifier with 37 proteins (PC37) was enriched in biological process of bronchiole development and smooth muscle proliferation, and immune responses. Four machine learning models used PC37 with sex and age score to generate continuous classification values. Receiver-operating-characteristic curve analyses of these scores demonstrated consistent Area-Under-Curve 0.85-0.90 in test cohort, and 0.94-0.96 in the single-sample dataset. Binary classification demonstrated 78.6%-80.4% sensitivity and 76%-84.4% specificity in test cohort, 93.5%-96.1% sensitivity and 69.5%-77.6% specificity in single-sample classification dataset. Composite analysis of all machine learning models confirmed 78.2% (194/248) accuracy in test cohort and 82.9% (208/251) in single-sample classification dataset. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple machine learning models trained with large cohort proteomic datasets consistently distinguished CTD-ILD from IPF. Identified proteins involved in immune pathways. We further developed a novel approach for single sample classification, which could facilitate honing the differential diagnosis of ILD in challenging cases and improve clinical decision-making.

Genetics and Genomics of Pulmonary Fibrosis: Charting the Molecular Landscape and Shaping Precision Medicine.

Recent genetic and genomic advancements have elucidated the complex etiology of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and other progressive fibrotic interstitial lung diseases (ILDs), emphasizing the contribution of heritable factors. This state-of-the-art review synthesizes evidence on significant genetic contributors to pulmonary fibrosis (PF), including rare genetic variants and common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). The MUC5B promoter variant is unusual, a common SNP that markedly elevates the risk of early and established PF. We address the utility of genetic variation in enhancing understanding of disease pathogenesis, clinical phenotypes, improving disease definitions, and informing prognosis and treatment response. Critical research gaps are highlighted, particularly the underrepresentation of non-European ancestries in PF genetic studies and the exploration of PF phenotypes beyond usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP)/IPF. We discuss the role of telomere length, often critically short in PF, and its link to progression and mortality, underscoring the genetic complexity involving telomere biology genes (TERT, TERC) and others like SFTPC and MUC5B. Additionally, we address the potential of gene-by-environment interactions to modulate disease manifestation, advocating for precision medicine in PF. Insights from gene expression profiling studies and multi-omic analyses highlight the promise for understanding disease pathogenesis and offer new approaches to clinical care, therapeutic drug development, and biomarker discovery. Finally, we discuss the ethical, legal, and social implications of genomic research and therapies in PF, stressing the need for sound practices and informed clinical genetic discussions. Looking forward, we advocate for comprehensive genetic testing panels and polygenic risk scores to improve the management of PF and related ILDs across diverse populations.

Molecular Endotypes of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: A Latent Class Analysis of Two Multicenter Observational Cohorts.

Rationale: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) causes irreversible fibrosis of the lung parenchyma. While antifibrotic therapy can slow IPF progression, treatment response is variable. There exists a critical need to develop a precision medicine approach to IPF. Objective: To identify and validate biologically driven molecular endotypes of IPF. Methods: Latent class analysis (LCA) was independently performed in prospectively recruited discovery (n=875) and validation (n=347) cohorts. Twenty-five plasma biomarkers associated with fibrogenesis served as class-defining variables. The association between molecular endotype and 4-year transplant-free survival was tested using multivariable Cox regression adjusted for baseline confounders. Endotype-dependent differential treatment response to future antifibrotic exposure was then assessed in a pooled cohort of patients naïve to antifibrotic therapy at time of biomarker measurement (n=555). Results: LCA independently identified two latent classes in both cohorts (p<0.0001). WAP four-disulfide core domain protein 2 (WFDC2) was the most important determinant of class membership across cohorts. Membership in Class 2 was characterized by higher biomarker concentrations and higher risk of death or transplantation (discovery: HR 2.02 [95% CI 1.64-2.48]; p<0.001; validation: HR 1.95 [1.34-2.82]; p<0.001). In pooled analysis, significant heterogeneity in treatment effect was observed between endotypes (pinteraction=0.030), with a favorable antifibrotic response in Class 2 (HR 0.64 [0.45-0.93]; p=0.018) but not in Class 1 (HR 1.19 [0.77-1.84]; p=0.422). Conclusions: In this multicohort study, we identified two novel molecular endotypes of IPF with divergent clinical outcomes and response to antifibrotics. Pending further validation, these endotypes could enable a precision medicine approach for future IPF clinical trials.

Biological Age, Chronological Age and Survival in Pulmonary Fibrosis: A Causal Mediation Analysis.

RATIONALE: Accelerated biological aging has been implicated in the development of interstitial lung disease (ILD) and other diseases of aging but remains poorly understood. OBJECTIVES: To identify plasma proteins that mediate the relationship between chronological age and survival association in patients with ILD. METHODS: Causal mediation analysis was performed to identify plasma proteins that mediated the chronological age-survival relationship in an idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) discovery cohort. Proteins mediating this relationship after adjustment for false discovery were advanced for testing in an independent ILD validation cohort and explored in a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) cohort. A proteomic-based measure of biological age was constructed and survival analysis performed assessing the impact of biological age and peripheral blood telomere length on the chronological age-survival relationship. RESULTS: Twenty-two proteins mediated the chronological age-survival relationship after adjustment for false discovery in the IPF discovery cohort (n=874), with nineteen remaining significant mediators of this relationship in the ILD validation cohort (n=983) and one mediating this relationship in the COPD cohort. Latent transforming growth factor beta binding protein 2 and ectodysplasin A2 receptor showed the strongest mediation across cohorts. A proteomic measure of biological age completely attenuated the chronological age-survival association and better discriminated survival than chronological age. Results were robust to adjustment for peripheral blood telomere length, which did not mediate the chronological age-survival relationship. CONCLUSIONS: Molecular measures of aging completely mediate the relationship between chronological age and survival, suggesting that chronological age has no direct effect on ILD survival.

Preacinar Arterial Dilation Mediates Outcomes of Quantitative Interstitial Abnormalities in COPDGene.

RATIONALE: Quantitative interstitial abnormalities (QIA) are a computed tomography (CT) measure of early parenchymal lung disease associated with worse clinical outcomes including exercise capacity and symptoms. The presence of pulmonary vasculopathy in QIA and its role in the QIA-outcome relationship is unknown. OBJECTIVES: To quantify radiographic pulmonary vasculopathy in quantitative interstitial abnormalities (QIA) and determine if this vasculopathy mediates the QIA-outcome relationship. METHODS: Ever-smokers with QIA, outcome, and pulmonary vascular mediator data were identified from the COPDGene cohort. CT-based vascular mediators were: right ventricle-to-left ventricle ratio (RV/LV), pulmonary artery-to-aorta ratio (PA/Ao), and pre-acinar intraparenchymal arterial dilation (PA volume 5-20mm2 in cross-sectional area, normalized to total arterial volume). Outcomes were: six-minute walk distance (6MWD) and modified Medical Council Research Council (mMRC) Dyspnea score ≥2. Adjusted causal mediation analyses were used to determine if the pulmonary vasculature mediated the QIA effect on outcomes. Associations of pre-acinar arterial dilation with select plasma biomarkers of pulmonary vascular dysfunction were examined. MAIN RESULTS: Among 8,200 participants, QIA burden correlated positively with vascular damage measures including pre-acinar arterial dilation. Pre-acinar arterial dilation mediated 79.6% of the detrimental impact of QIA on 6MWD (56.2-100%, p<0.001). PA/Ao was a weak mediator and RV/LV was a suppressor. Similar results were observed in the QIA-mMRC relationship. Pre-acinar arterial dilation correlated with increased pulmonary vascular dysfunction biomarker levels including angiopoietin-2 and NT-proBNP. CONCLUSIONS: Parenchymal quantitative interstitial abnormalities (QIA) deleteriously impact outcomes primarily through pulmonary vasculopathy. Pre-acinar arterial dilation may be a novel marker of pulmonary vasculopathy in QIA.

Meaningful Endpoints for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) Clinical Trials: Emphasis on 'Feels, Functions, Survives'. Report of a Collaborative Discussion in a Symposium with Direct Engagement from Representatives of Patients, Investigators, the National Institutes of Health, a Patient Advocacy Organization, and a Regulatory Agency.

Background: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) carries significant mortality and unpredictable progression, with limited therapeutic options. Designing trials with patient-meaningful endpoints, enhancing the reliability and interpretability of results, and streamlining the regulatory approval process are of critical importance to advancing clinical care in IPF. Methods: A landmark in-person symposium in June 2023 assembled 43 participants from the US and internationally, including patients with IPF, investigators, and regulatory representatives, to discuss the immediate future of IPF clinical trial endpoints. Patient advocates were central to discussions, which evaluated endpoints according to regulatory standards and the FDA's 'feels, functions, survives' criteria. Results: Three themes emerged: 1) consensus on endpoints mirroring the lived experiences of patients with IPF; 2) consideration of replacing forced vital capacity (FVC) as the primary endpoint, potentially by composite endpoints that include 'feels, functions, survives' measures or FVC as components; 3) support for simplified, user-friendly patient-reported outcomes (PROs) as either components of primary composite endpoints or key secondary endpoints, supplemented by functional tests as secondary endpoints and novel biomarkers as supportive measures (FDA Guidance for Industry (Multiple Endpoints in Clinical Trials) available at: https://www.fda.gov/media/162416/download). Conclusions: This report, detailing the proceedings of this pivotal symposium, suggests a potential turning point in designing future IPF clinical trials more attuned to outcomes meaningful to patients, and documents the collective agreement across multidisciplinary stakeholders on the importance of anchoring IPF trial endpoints on real patient experiences-namely, how they feel, function, and survive. There is considerable optimism that clinical care in IPF will progress through trials focused on patient-centric insights, ultimately guiding transformative treatment strategies to enhance patients' quality of life and survival.

Commensal Oral Microbiota, Disease Severity and Mortality in Fibrotic Lung Disease.

RATIONALE: Oral microbiota associate with diseases of the mouth and serve as a source of lung microbiota. However, the role of oral microbiota in lung disease is unknown. OBJECTIVES: To determine associations between oral microbiota and disease severity and death in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. METHODS: We analyzed 16S rRNA gene and shotgun metagenomic sequencing data of buccal swabs from 511 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in the multicenter CleanUP-IPF trial. Buccal swabs were collected from usual care, and antimicrobial cohorts. Microbiome data was correlated with measures of disease severity using principal component analysis and linear regression models. Associations between the buccal microbiome and mortality were determined using Cox additive models, Kaplan Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Greater buccal microbial diversity associated with lower forced vital capacity (FVC) at baseline [mean diff -3.60: 95% CI -5.92 to -1.29 percent predicted FVC per 1 unit increment]. The buccal proportion of Streptococcus correlated positively with FVC [mean diff 0.80: 95% CI 0.16-1.43 percent predicted per 10% increase] (n=490). Greater microbial diversity was associated with an increased risk of death [HR 1.73: 95% CI 1.03-2.90] while a greater proportion of Streptococcus was associated with a reduced risk of death [HR 0.85: 95% CI 0.73 to 0.99]. The Streptococcus genus was mainly comprised of Streptococcus mitis species. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing buccal microbial diversity predicts disease severity and death in IPF. The oral commensal Streptococcus mitis spp associates with preserved lung function and improved survival.

Proteomic Biomarkers of Survival in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

RATIONALE: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) causes progressive lung scarring and high mortality. Reliable and accurate prognostic biomarkers are urgently needed. OBJECTIVE: To identify and validate circulating protein biomarkers of IPF survival. METHODS: High-throughput proteomic data were generated using prospectively collected plasma samples from patients with IPF from the Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry (discovery cohort) and the Universities of California-Davis, Chicago, and Virginia (validation cohort). Proteins associated with three-year transplant-free survival (TFS) were identified using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Those associated with TFS after adjustment for false discovery in the discovery cohort were advanced for testing in the validation cohort, with proteins maintaining TFS association with consistent effect direction considered validated. After combining cohorts, functional analyses were performed, and machine learning used to derive a proteomic signature of TFS. MAIN RESULTS: Of 2921 proteins tested in the discovery cohort (n=871), 231 were associated with differential TFS. Of these, 140 maintained TFS association with consistent effect direction in the validation cohort (n=355). After combining cohorts, validated proteins with strongest TFS association were latent-transforming growth factor beta-binding protein 2 (HR 2.43, 95% CI 2.09-2.82), collagen alpha-1(XXIV) chain (HR 2.21; 95% CI 1.86-2.39) and keratin 19 (HR 1.60; 95% CI 1.47-1.74). In decision curve analysis, a proteomic signature of TFS outperformed a similarly derived clinical prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: In largest proteomic investigation of IPF outcomes performed to date, we identified and validated 140 protein biomarkers of TFS. These results shed important light on potential drivers of IPF progression.

PCSK6 and Survival in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a devastating disease characterized by limited treatment options and high mortality. A better understanding of the molecular drivers of IPF progression is needed. Objectives: To identify and validate molecular determinants of IPF survival. Methods: A staged genome-wide association study was performed using paired genomic and survival data. Stage I cases were drawn from centers across the United States and Europe and stage II cases from Vanderbilt University. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify gene variants associated with differential transplantation-free survival (TFS). Stage I variants with nominal significance (P < 5 × 10-5) were advanced for stage II testing and meta-analyzed to identify those reaching genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8). Downstream analyses were performed for genes and proteins associated with variants reaching genome-wide significance. Measurements and Main Results: After quality controls, 1,481 stage I cases and 397 stage II cases were included in the analysis. After filtering, 9,075,629 variants were tested in stage I, with 158 meeting advancement criteria. Four variants associated with TFS with consistent effect direction were identified in stage II, including one in an intron of PCSK6 (proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 6) reaching genome-wide significance (hazard ratio, 4.11 [95% confidence interval, 2.54-6.67]; P = 9.45 × 10-9). PCSK6 protein was highly expressed in IPF lung parenchyma. PCSK6 lung staining intensity, peripheral blood gene expression, and plasma concentration were associated with reduced TFS. Conclusions: We identified four novel variants associated with IPF survival, including one in PCSK6 that reached genome-wide significance. Downstream analyses suggested that PCSK6 protein plays a potentially important role in IPF progression.

Cluster analysis of transcriptomic datasets to identify endotypes of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Considerable clinical heterogeneity in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) suggests the existence of multiple disease endotypes. Identifying these endotypes would improve our understanding of the pathogenesis of IPF and could allow for a biomarker-driven personalised medicine approach. We aimed to identify clinically distinct groups of patients with IPF that could represent distinct disease endotypes. METHODS: We co-normalised, pooled and clustered three publicly available blood transcriptomic datasets (total 220 IPF cases). We compared clinical traits across clusters and used gene enrichment analysis to identify biological pathways and processes that were over-represented among the genes that were differentially expressed across clusters. A gene-based classifier was developed and validated using three additional independent datasets (total 194 IPF cases). FINDINGS: We identified three clusters of patients with IPF with statistically significant differences in lung function (p=0.009) and mortality (p=0.009) between groups. Gene enrichment analysis implicated mitochondrial homeostasis, apoptosis, cell cycle and innate and adaptive immunity in the pathogenesis underlying these groups. We developed and validated a 13-gene cluster classifier that predicted mortality in IPF (high-risk clusters vs low-risk cluster: HR 4.25, 95% CI 2.14 to 8.46, p=3.7×10-5). INTERPRETATION: We have identified blood gene expression signatures capable of discerning groups of patients with IPF with significant differences in survival. These clusters could be representative of distinct pathophysiological states, which would support the theory of multiple endotypes of IPF. Although more work must be done to confirm the existence of these endotypes, our classifier could be a useful tool in patient stratification and outcome prediction in IPF.

MUC5B, telomere length and longitudinal quantitative interstitial lung changes: the MESA Lung Study.

BACKGROUND: The MUC5B promoter variant (rs35705950) and telomere length are linked to pulmonary fibrosis and CT-based qualitative assessments of interstitial abnormalities, but their associations with longitudinal quantitative changes of the lung interstitium among community-dwelling adults are unknown. METHODS: We used data from participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis with high-attenuation areas (HAAs, Examinations 1-6 (2000-2018)) and MUC5B genotype (n=4552) and telomere length (n=4488) assessments. HAA was defined as the per cent of imaged lung with attenuation of -600 to -250 Hounsfield units. We used linear mixed-effects models to examine associations of MUC5B risk allele (T) and telomere length with longitudinal changes in HAAs. Joint models were used to examine associations of longitudinal changes in HAAs with death and interstitial lung disease (ILD). RESULTS: The MUC5B risk allele (T) was associated with an absolute change in HAAs of 2.60% (95% CI 0.36% to 4.86%) per 10 years overall. This association was stronger among those with a telomere length below an age-adjusted percentile of 5% (p value for interaction=0.008). A 1% increase in HAAs per year was associated with 7% increase in mortality risk (rate ratio (RR)=1.07, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.12) for overall death and 34% increase in ILD (RR=1.34, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.50). Longer baseline telomere length was cross-sectionally associated with less HAAs from baseline scans, but not with longitudinal changes in HAAs. CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinal increases in HAAs were associated with the MUC5B risk allele and a higher risk of death and ILD.

Associations of hiatus hernia with CT-based interstitial lung changes: the MESA Lung Study.

BACKGROUND: Hiatus hernia (HH) is prevalent in adults with pulmonary fibrosis. We hypothesised that HH would be associated with markers of lung inflammation and fibrosis among community-dwelling adults and stronger among MUC5B (rs35705950) risk allele carriers. METHODS: In the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, HH was assessed from cardiac and full-lung computed tomography (CT) scans performed at Exam 1 (2000-2002, n=3342) and Exam 5 (2010-2012, n=3091), respectively. Percentage of high attenuation areas (HAAs; percentage of voxels with attenuation between -600 and -250 HU) was measured from cardiac and lung scans. Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) were examined from Exam 5 scans (n=2380). Regression models were used to examine the associations of HH with HAAs, ILAs and serum matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7), and adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, educational attainment, smoking, height, weight and scanner parameters for HAA analysis. RESULTS: HH detected from Exam 5 scans was associated with a mean percentage difference in HAAs of 2.23% (95% CI 0.57-3.93%) and an increase of 0.48% (95% CI 0.07-0.89%) per year, particularly in MUC5B risk allele carriers (p-value for interaction=0.02). HH was associated with ILAs among those <80 years of age (OR for ILAs 1.78, 95% CI 1.14-2.80) and higher serum MMP-7 level among smokers (p-value for smoking interaction=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: HH was associated with more HAAs over time, particularly among MUC5B risk allele carriers, and ILAs in younger adults, and may be a risk factor in the early stages of interstitial lung disease.

Telomere length and immunosuppression in non-idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis interstitial lung disease.

BACKGROUND: Studies suggest a harmful pharmacogenomic interaction exists between short leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and immunosuppressants in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). It remains unknown if a similar interaction exists in non-IPF interstitial lung disease (ILD). METHODS: A retrospective, multicentre cohort analysis was performed in fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (fHP), unclassifiable ILD (uILD) and connective tissue disease (CTD)-ILD patients from five centres. LTL was measured by quantitative PCR for discovery and replication cohorts and expressed as age-adjusted percentiles of normal. Inverse probability of treatment weights based on propensity scores were used to assess the association between mycophenolate or azathioprine exposure and age-adjusted LTL on 2-year transplant-free survival using weighted Cox proportional hazards regression incorporating time-dependent immunosuppressant exposure. RESULTS: The discovery and replication cohorts included 613 and 325 patients, respectively. In total, 40% of patients were exposed to immunosuppression and 22% had LTL <10th percentile of normal. fHP and uILD patients with LTL <10th percentile experienced reduced survival when exposed to either mycophenolate or azathioprine in the discovery cohort (mortality hazard ratio (HR) 4.97, 95% CI 2.26-10.92; p<0.001) and replication cohort (mortality HR 4.90, 95% CI 1.74-13.77; p=0.003). Immunosuppressant exposure was not associated with differential survival in patients with LTL ≥10th percentile. There was a significant interaction between LTL <10th percentile and immunosuppressant exposure (discovery pinteraction=0.013; replication pinteraction=0.011). Low event rate and prevalence of LTL <10th percentile precluded subgroup analyses for CTD-ILD. CONCLUSION: Similar to IPF, fHP and uILD patients with age-adjusted LTL <10th percentile may experience reduced survival when exposed to immunosuppression.

The causal relationship between gastro-oesophageal reflux disease and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomisation study.

BACKGROUND: Gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GORD) is associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) in observational studies. It is not known if this association arises because GORD causes IPF or because IPF causes GORD, or because of confounding by factors, such as smoking, associated with both GORD and IPF. We used bidirectional Mendelian randomisation (MR), where genetic variants are used as instrumental variables to address issues of confounding and reverse causation, to examine how, if at all, GORD and IPF are causally related. METHODS: A bidirectional two-sample MR was performed to estimate the causal effect of GORD on IPF risk and of IPF on GORD risk, using genetic data from the largest GORD (78 707 cases and 288 734 controls) and IPF (4125 cases and 20 464 controls) genome-wide association meta-analyses currently available. RESULTS: GORD increased the risk of IPF, with an OR of 1.6 (95% CI 1.04-2.49; p=0.032). There was no evidence of a causal effect of IPF on the risk of GORD, with an OR of 0.999 (95% CI 0.997-1.000; p=0.245). CONCLUSIONS: We found that GORD increases the risk of IPF, but found no evidence that IPF increases the risk of GORD. GORD should be considered in future studies of IPF risk and interest in it as a potential therapeutic target should be renewed. The mechanisms underlying the effect of GORD on IPF should also be investigated.

Integrative multi-omics analysis reveals novel idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis endotypes associated with disease progression.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is characterized by the accumulation of extracellular matrix in the pulmonary interstitium and progressive functional decline. We hypothesized that integration of multi-omics data would identify clinically meaningful molecular endotypes of IPF. METHODS: The IPF-PRO Registry is a prospective registry of patients with IPF. Proteomic and transcriptomic (including total RNA [toRNA] and microRNA [miRNA]) analyses were performed using blood collected at enrollment. Molecular data were integrated using Similarity Network Fusion, followed by unsupervised spectral clustering to identify molecular subtypes. Cox proportional hazards models tested the relationship between these subtypes and progression-free and transplant-free survival. The molecular subtypes were compared to risk groups based on a previously described 52-gene (toRNA expression) signature. Biological characteristics of the molecular subtypes were evaluated via linear regression differential expression and canonical pathways (Ingenuity Pathway Analysis [IPA]) over-representation analyses. RESULTS: Among 232 subjects, two molecular subtypes were identified. Subtype 1 (n = 105, 45.3%) and Subtype 2 (n = 127, 54.7%) had similar distributions of age (70.1 +/- 8.1 vs. 69.3 +/- 7.6 years; p = 0.31) and sex (79.1% vs. 70.1% males, p = 0.16). Subtype 1 had more severe disease based on composite physiologic index (CPI) (55.8 vs. 51.2; p = 0.002). After adjusting for CPI and antifibrotic treatment at enrollment, subtype 1 experienced shorter progression-free survival (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.28,2.56; p = 0.0008) and similar transplant-free survival (HR 1.30, 95% CI 0.87,1.96; p = 0.20) as subtype 2. There was little agreement in the distribution of subjects to the molecular subtypes and the risk groups based on 52-gene signature (kappa = 0.04, 95% CI= -0.08, 0.17), and the 52-gene signature risk groups were associated with differences in transplant-free but not progression-free survival. Based on heatmaps and differential expression analyses, proteins and miRNAs (but not toRNA) contributed to classification of subjects to the molecular subtypes. The IPA showed enrichment in pulmonary fibrosis-relevant pathways, including mTOR, VEGF, PDGF, and B-cell receptor signaling. CONCLUSIONS: Integration of transcriptomic and proteomic data from blood enabled identification of clinically meaningful molecular endotypes of IPF. If validated, these endotypes could facilitate identification of individuals likely to experience disease progression and enrichment of clinical trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01915511.

Rare and Common Variants in KIF15 Contribute to Genetic Risk of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: Genetic studies of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have improved our understanding of this disease, but not all causal loci have been identified. Objectives: To identify genes enriched with rare deleterious variants in IPF and familial pulmonary fibrosis. Methods: We performed gene burden analysis of whole-exome data, tested single variants for disease association, conducted KIF15 (kinesin family member 15) functional studies, and examined human lung single-cell RNA sequencing data. Measurements and Main Results: Gene burden analysis of 1,725 cases and 23,509 control subjects identified heterozygous rare deleterious variants in KIF15, a kinesin involved in spindle separation during mitosis, and three telomere-related genes (TERT [telomerase reverse transcriptase], RTEL1 [regulator of telomere elongation helicase 1], and PARN [poly(A)-specific ribonuclease]). KIF15 was implicated in autosomal-dominant models of rare deleterious variants (odds ratio [OR], 4.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.7-8.8; P = 2.55 × 10-7) and rare protein-truncating variants (OR, 7.6; 95% CI, 3.3-17.1; P = 8.12 × 10-7). Meta-analyses of the discovery and replication cohorts, including 2,966 cases and 29,817 control subjects, confirm the involvement of KIF15 plus the three telomere-related genes. A common variant within a KIF15 intron (rs74341405; OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.4-1.9; P = 5.63 × 10-10) is associated with IPF risk, confirming a prior report. Lymphoblastoid cells from individuals heterozygous for the common variant have decreased KIF15 and reduced rates of cell growth. Cell proliferation is dependent on KIF15 in the presence of an inhibitor of Eg5/KIF11, which has partially redundant function. KIF15 is expressed specifically in replicating human lung cells and shows diminished expression in replicating epithelial cells of patients with IPF. Conclusions: Both rare deleterious variants and common variants in KIF15 link a nontelomerase pathway of cell proliferation with IPF susceptibility.

Genome-wide association study across five cohorts identifies five novel loci associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic lung condition with poor survival times. We previously published a genome-wide meta-analysis of IPF risk across three studies with independent replication of associated variants in two additional studies. To maximise power and to generate more accurate effect size estimates, we performed a genome-wide meta-analysis across all five studies included in the previous IPF risk genome-wide association studies. We used the distribution of effect sizes across the five studies to assess the replicability of the results and identified five robust novel genetic association signals implicating mTOR (mammalian target of rapamycin) signalling, telomere maintenance and spindle assembly genes in IPF risk.

Utility of whole genome sequencing in assessing risk and clinically relevant outcomes for pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Whole genome sequencing (WGS) can detect variants and estimate telomere length. The clinical utility of WGS in estimating risk, progression and survival of pulmonary fibrosis patients is unknown. METHODS: In this observational cohort study, we performed WGS on 949 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis or familial pulmonary fibrosis to determine rare and common variant genotypes, estimate telomere length and assess the association of genomic factors with clinical outcomes. RESULTS: WGS estimates of telomere length correlated with quantitative PCR (R=0.65) and Southern blot (R=0.71) measurements. Rare deleterious qualifying variants were found in 14% of the total cohort, with a five-fold increase in those with a family history of disease versus those without (25% versus 5%). Most rare qualifying variants (85%) were found in telomere-related genes and were associated with shorter telomere lengths. Rare qualifying variants had a greater effect on telomere length than a polygenic risk score calculated using 20 common variants previously associated with telomere length. The common variant polygenic risk score predicted telomere length only in sporadic disease. Reduced transplant-free survival was associated with rare qualifying variants, shorter quantitative PCR-measured telomere lengths and absence of the MUC5B promoter (rs35705950) single nucleotide polymorphism, but not with WGS-estimated telomere length or the common variant polygenic risk score. Disease progression was associated with both measures of telomere length (quantitative PCR measured and WGS estimated), rare qualifying variants and the common variant polygenic risk score. CONCLUSION: As a single test, WGS can inform pulmonary fibrosis genetic-mediated risk, evaluate the functional effect of telomere-related variants by estimating telomere length, and prognosticate clinically relevant disease outcomes.

Association of Circulating Proteins with Death or Lung Transplant in Patients with Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis in the IPF-PRO Registry Cohort.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive and ultimately fatal disease with a variable clinical course. Biomarkers that predict patient outcomes are needed. We leveraged data from 300 patients in the multicenter IPF-PRO Registry to determine associations between circulating proteins and the composite outcome of respiratory death or lung transplant. Plasma collected at enrollment was analyzed using aptamer-based proteomics (1305 proteins). Over a median follow-up of 30.4 months, there were 76 respiratory deaths and 26 lung transplants. In unadjusted univariable analyses, 61 proteins were significantly associated with the outcome (hazard ratio > 2 or < 0.5, corrected p ≤ 0.05). In multivariable analyses, a set of 4 clinical measures and 47 unique proteins predicted the probability of respiratory death or lung transplant with an optimism-corrected C-index of 0.76. Our results suggest that select circulating proteins strongly associate with the risk of mortality in patients with IPF and confer information independent of clinical measures.

Differential Responses to Targeting Matrix Metalloproteinase 9 in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: Aberrant lung remodeling in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is characterized by elevated MMP9 (matrix metalloproteinase 9) expression, but the precise role of this matrix metalloproteinase in this disease has yet to be fully elucidated.Objectives: To evaluate antifibrotic effects of MMP9 inhibition on IPF.Methods: Quantitative genomic, proteomic, and functional analyses both in vitro and in vivo were used to determine MMP9 expression in IPF cells and the effects of MMP9 inhibition on profibrotic mechanisms.Measurements and Main Results: In the present study, we demonstrate that MMP9 expression was increased in airway basal cell (ABC)-like cells from IPF lungs compared with ABC cells from normal lungs. The inhibition of MMP9 activity with an anti-MMP9 antibody, andecaliximab, blocked TGF-ß1 (transforming growth factor ß1)-induced Smad2 phosphorylation. However, in a subset of cells from patients with IPF, TGF-ß1 activation in their ABC-like cells was unaffected or enhanced by MMP9 blockade (i.e., nonresponders). Further analysis of nonresponder ABC-like cells treated with andecaliximab revealed an association with type 1 IFN expression, and the addition of IFNα to these cells modulated both MMP9 expression and TGF-ß1 activation. Finally, the inhibition of MMP9 ameliorated pulmonary fibrosis induced by responder lung cells but not a nonresponder in a humanized immunodeficient mouse model of IPF.Conclusions: Together, these data demonstrate that MMP9 regulates the activation of ABC-like cells in IPF and that targeting this MMP might be beneficial to a subset of patients with IPF who show sufficient expression of type 1 IFNs.