Sustained Effectiveness of Rotavirus Vaccine Against Very Severe Rotavirus Disease Through the Second Year of Life, Bolivia 2013-2014.

BACKGROUND: In Bolivia, monovalent rotavirus vaccine was introduced in 2008 and a previous evaluation reported a vaccine effectiveness (VE) of 77% with 2 doses of vaccine in children aged <3 years. This evaluation sought to determine if rotavirus vaccine provided protection through the second year of life against circulating genotypes. METHODS: A case-control study was performed in 5 hospitals from April 2013 to March 2014. Among enrolled participants who met study criteria and had rotavirus stool testing performed and vaccine status confirmed, we calculated VE using a logistic regression model. Subgroup analyses were performed among children aged <1 year and those aged ≥1 year, among children with severe diarrhea (Vesikari score ≥11) and very severe diarrhea (Vesikari score ≥15), and among G and P strains with at least 40 specimens. RESULTS: A total of 776 children were enrolled. For children <1 year and ≥1 year of age with severe diarrhea, VE for 2 doses was 75% (95% confidence interval [CI], 46%-88%) and 53% (95% CI, 9%-76%), respectively. For children <1 year and ≥1 year of age with very severe diarrhea, VE for 2 doses was 80% (95% CI, 44%-93%) and 74% (95% CI, 35%-90%), respectively. Genotype-specific analysis demonstrated similar VE for the 4 most common G and P types (G3, G9, P[6] and P[8]). CONCLUSIONS: A monovalent rotavirus vaccine remains effective against a broad range of circulating strains as part of a routine immunization program >5 years after its introduction in Bolivia. Although VE appears to wane in children aged ≥1 year, it still provides significant protection, and does not wane against severe disease.

Impact of rotavirus vaccination on child mortality, morbidity, and rotavirus-related hospitalizations in Bolivia.

BACKGROUND: The public health impact of rotavirus vaccination in countries with high child mortality rates remains to be established. The RV1 rotavirus vaccine was introduced in Bolivia in August 2008. This study describes the trends in deaths, hospitalizations, and healthcare visits due to acute gastroenteritis (AGE) and in rotavirus-related hospitalizations, among children <5 years of age, during the pre- and post-vaccination periods. METHODS: Data were obtained from the National Health Information System to calculate vaccine coverage and AGE-related health indicators. Trend reductions in the main health indicators were examined using the pre-vaccine period as baseline. The effect of vaccination on the epidemiology of rotavirus-related AGE was assessed using data from the active surveillance hospitals. RESULTS: Compared with the 2001-2008 pre-vaccine baseline, the mean number of rotavirus-related hospitalizations was reduced by 40.8% (95% confidence interval (CI) 21.7-66.4%) among children <5years of age in the post-vaccine period (2009-2013). Reductions were most pronounced in children <1year of age, eligible for vaccination. The mean proportions of AGE-related deaths, AGE-related hospitalizations, and AGE-related healthcare visits during 2009-2014 were reduced by 52.5% (95% CI 47.4-56.3), 30.2% (95% CI 23.5-36.1), and 12.9% (95% CI 12.0-13.2), respectively. The greatest effect in reduction of AGE-related deaths was found during the months with seasonal peaks of rotavirus disease. Over the post-vaccine period, changes in rotavirus epidemiology were observed, manifested by variations in seasonality and by a shift in the mean age of those with rotavirus infection. CONCLUSIONS: The significant decrease in main AGE-related health indicators in children <5years of age after the introduction of rotavirus vaccine provides evidence of a substantial public health impact of rotavirus vaccination in Bolivia, as a measure for protecting children against AGE.

Rotavirus genotype distribution during the pre-vaccine period in Bolivia: 2007-2008.

OBJECTIVES: Rotavirus is the most important etiology of severe diarrhea in Bolivia. The monovalent attenuated human oral rotavirus vaccine Rotarix(®) was introduced in Bolivia in 2008. We describe the molecular epidemiology of circulating rotavirus strains before vaccine introduction. METHODS: Two thousand one hundred thirty-five diarrheal samples were collected from hospitals in four Bolivian cities during 2007-2008. Forty-three percent (445 of 1030 rotavirus-positive samples) were analyzed for G and P genotypes. Among those, 331 were electropherotyped by polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis. Disease severity was quantified using a modified Vesikari scale. RESULTS: Among the 445 samples, five genotypes were found to be prevalent: G9P[8] (33%), G1P[6] (17%), G2P[4] (13%), G9P[6] (12%), and G1P[8] (4%). Co-infections with two or more strains accounted for 14% of samples. The most prevalent strain, G9, showed greater electropherotype diversity compared to other serogroups. Strain G1P[6] generally infected younger children and peaked later in the year than other strains. No particular genotype was associated with a higher severity score, though there was a significant difference in the duration of diarrhea between genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: During the 2-year pre-vaccine period, substantial diversity of rotavirus co-circulating strains was observed. These data constitute a baseline against which changes in circulating strains post-vaccine introduction can be monitored.

Effectiveness of monovalent rotavirus vaccine in Bolivia: case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of two doses of a monovalent rotavirus vaccine (RV1) against hospital admission for rotavirus in Bolivia. DESIGN: Case-control study. SETTING: Six hospitals in Bolivia, between March 2010 and June 2011. PARTICIPANTS: 400 hospital admissions for rotavirus, 1200 non-diarrhea hospital controls, and 718 rotavirus negative hospital controls. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Odds of antecedent vaccination between case patients and controls; effectiveness of vaccination ((1-adjusted odds ratio)×100), adjusted for age and other confounders; and stratified effectiveness by dose, disease severity, age group, and serotype. RESULTS: In comparison with non-diarrhea controls, case patients were more likely to be male and attend day care but less likely to have chronic underlying illness, higher level maternal education, and telephones and computers in their home. Rotavirus negative controls were somewhat more similar to case patients but also were more likely to be male and attend day care and less likely to have higher level maternal education and computers in their homes. The adjusted effectiveness of RV1 against hospital admission for rotavirus was 69% (95% confidence interval 54% to 79%) with rotavirus negative controls and 77% (65% to 84%) with non-diarrhea controls. The effectiveness of one dose of RV1 was 36% and 56%, respectively. With both control groups, protection was sustained through two years of life, with similar efficacy against hospital admission among children under 1 year (64% and 77%) and over 1 year of age (72% and 76%). RV1 provided significant protection against diverse serotypes, partially and fully heterotypic to the G1P[8] vaccine. Effectiveness using the two control groups was 80% and 85% against G9P[8], 74% and 93%% against G3P[8], 59% and 69% against G2P[4], and 80% and 87% against G9P[6] strains. CONCLUSION: The monovalent rotavirus vaccine conferred high protection against hospital admission for diarrhea due to rotavirus in Bolivian children. Protection was sustained through two years of life against diverse serotypes different from the vaccine strain.

Cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination in Bolivia from the state perspective.

BACKGROUND: In Bolivia, in 2008, the under-five mortality rate is 54 per 1000 live births. Diarrhea causes 15% of these deaths, and 40% of pediatric diarrhea-related hospitalizations are caused by rotavirus illness (RI). Rotavirus vaccination (RV), subsidized by international donors, is expected to reduce morbidity, mortality, and economic burden to the Bolivian state. Estimates of illness and economic burden of RI and their reduction by RV are essential to the Bolivian state's policies on RV program financing. The goal of this report is to estimate the economic burden of RI and the cost-effectiveness of the RV program. METHODS: To assess treatment costs incurred by the healthcare system, we abstracted medical records from 287 inpatients and 6751 outpatients with acute diarrhea between 2005 and 2006 at 5 sentinel hospitals in 4 geographic regions. RI prevalence rates were estimated from 4 years of national hospital surveillance. We used a decision-analytic model to assess the potential cost-effectiveness of universal RV in Bolivia. RESULTS: Our model estimates that, in a 5-year birth cohort, Bolivia will incur over US$3 million in direct medical costs due to RI. RV reduces, by at least 60%, outpatient visits, hospitalizations, deaths, and total direct medical costs associated with rotavirus diarrhea. Further, RV was cost-savings below a price of US$3.81 per dose and cost-effective below a price of US$194.10 per dose. Diarrheal mortality and hospitalization inputs were the most important drivers of rotavirus vaccine cost-effectiveness. DISCUSSION: Our data will guide Bolivia's funding allocation for RV as international subsidies change.