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1.
BMC Public Health ; 18(1): 198, 2018 01 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29378557

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In South Africa, HIV is increasingly becoming a chronic disease as a result of advances in HIV treatment and prevention in the last three decades. This has changed the perception from a life threating to a potentially manageable disease. However, little is known about self-perceived health status of HIV-infected individuals. Self-rated health (SRH) has been shown to be a sensitive indicator of health-relatedchanges directly linked to HIV, but can also be influenced by differences in social and material conditions. The aim of this paper was to identify determinants of excellent/good SRH among HIV-infected individuals using socio-demographic, life style and health related data. METHODS: The study used data from the nationally representative 2012 South African population-based household survey on HIV prevalence, incidence and behaviour conducted using multi-stage stratified cluster sampling design. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify determinants of SRH among HIV-infected individuals. RESULTS: Out of a total of 2632 HIV positive participants 74.1% (95% CI: 68.4-74.2) reported excellent/good SRH. Increased likelihood of reporting excellent/good SRH was significantly associated with being Black African [OR= 1.97 (95%CI: 1.12-3.46), p = 0.019] and belonging to least poor household [OR= 3.13 (95%CI: 1.26-7.78), p = 0.014]. Decreased likelihood of reporting excellent/good SRH was significantly associated with those aged 25 to 34 years [OR= 0.49 (95% CI: 0.31-0.78), p = 0.003], 35 to 44 years[OR= 0.27 (95% CI: 0.17-0.44), p < 0.001], 45 to 54 years [OR= 0.20 (95% CI: 0.12-0.34), p < 0.001], and those 55 years and older [OR= 0.15 (95% CI: 0.09-0.26), p < 0.001], hospitalization in the past twelve months [OR= 0.40 (95% CI: 0.26-0.60), p < 0.001]. CONCLUSION: To have positive health effects and improve the perceived health status for PLWH social interventions should seek to enhance to support for the elderly HIV-positive individuals, and address the challenge of socio-economic inequalities and underlying comorbid conditions resulting in hospitalization.


Asunto(s)
Autoevaluación Diagnóstica , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/terapia , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Factores Socioeconómicos , Sudáfrica/epidemiología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Adulto Joven
2.
AIDS Care ; 20(7): 755-63, 2008 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18728983

RESUMEN

The study investigates the risk exposure to HIV infection among South African children aged 2-9 years served by public health services. Together with their biological mothers, 3471 children and were recruited from inpatient and outpatient children in the Free State Province. Blood samples were taken by professional nurses and a history taken of exposure factors associated with HIV transmission. DNA testing was used to confirm biological maternity where the child was HIV-positive and the mother HIV-negative. Mother-child pairs were stratified by mother's HIV status. Exposure factors related to the child's HIV status were examined in each stratum using a chi-square test. Independent factors were then included in a multiple logistic regression model. Having an HIV-positive mother was strongly related to HIV infection in children (OR: 310; 95%CI: 148-781). However, seven HIV-positive children had HIV-negative mothers. Transmission in this group was significantly associated with breastfeeding by a non-biological mother (OR: 437; 95%CI: 53-5020), being fed with expressed breast milk from a milk room (OR: 37.6; 95%CI: 6.2-259.0), dental injection history (OR: 31.5; 95%CI: 4.5-189.4) and visits to a dentist (OR: 26.9; 95%CI: 4.4-283.5). Although mother-to-child-transmission is shown to be the primary mode of HIV transmission in South African children, the few HIV-positive children infected by other modes of transmission suggest a potential risk of non-vertical HIV infections. These infections can be prevented through education and improved infection-control procedures.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH/transmisión , Seronegatividad para VIH , VIH-1 , Instituciones de Salud , Transmisión Vertical de Enfermedad Infecciosa/prevención & control , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo , Fármacos Anti-VIH/uso terapéutico , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Seropositividad para VIH/transmisión , Humanos , Masculino , Embarazo , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/tratamiento farmacológico , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Sudáfrica/epidemiología
3.
S Afr Med J ; 107(4): 307-314, 2017 Mar 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28395681

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Globally, family planning services are being strengthened and the range of contraceptive choices expanded. Data on contraceptive coverage and service gaps could help to shape these initiatives. OBJECTIVE: To assess contraception coverage in South Africa (SA) and identify underserved populations and aspects of programming that require strengthening. METHODS: Data from a 2012 SA household survey assessed contraception coverage among 6 296 women aged 15 - 49 years and identified underserved populations. RESULTS: Two-thirds had an unintended pregnancy in the past 5 years, a quarter of which were contraceptive failures. Most knew of injectable (92.0%) and oral contraception (89.9%), but fewer of intrauterine devices (56.1%) and emergency contraception (47.3%). Contraceptive prevalence was 49.1%, and 41.8% women used modern non-barrier methods. About half had ever used injectable contraception. Contraception was lower in black Africans and younger women, who used a limited range of methods. CONCLUSION: Contraception coverage is higher than many previous estimates. Rates of unintended pregnancy, contraceptive failure and knowledge gaps, however, demonstrate high levels of unmet need, especially among black Africans and young women.


Asunto(s)
Conducta Anticonceptiva , Adolescente , Adulto , Demografía , Composición Familiar , Femenino , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud , Necesidades y Demandas de Servicios de Salud , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sudáfrica , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
4.
Cancer Res ; 44(3): 1281-7, 1984 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-6692408

RESUMEN

Utilizing double-determinant immunoassays (DDIAs), the high-molecular-weight melanoma-associated antigen (HMW-MAA) was detected only in fetal skin and in one nipple of 54 normal tissues from adults tested, while the cytoplasmic MAA recognized by the monoclonal antibody 465. 12S was found in most of the normal tissues tested. Among malignant lesions, the HMW-MAA was found in melanomas, astrocytomas, and skin carcinomas; the cytoplasmic MAA was found in all of the malignant lesions tested, even those which originated from normal tissues without detectable cytoplasmic MAA. The levels of the HMW-MAA and of the cytoplasmic MAA showed marked variations in malignant lesions removed from various patients, as well as in autologous metastatic lesions removed from four patients with melanoma. No relationship was found between the degree of expression of the two MAA analyzed and the clinical stage of the disease. Both types of MAA were found in sera from patients with melanoma or other types of cancers, as well as in sera from healthy donors. The level of the HMW-MAA tended to be higher in patients with Stage IV melanoma.


Asunto(s)
Antígenos de Neoplasias/análisis , Melanoma/inmunología , Proteínas de Neoplasias/análisis , Neoplasias Cutáneas/inmunología , Complejo Antígeno-Anticuerpo , Línea Celular , Membrana Celular/inmunología , Femenino , Feto , Humanos , Inmunoensayo , Melanoma/patología , Antígenos Específicos del Melanoma , Peso Molecular , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Embarazo
5.
S Afr Med J ; 105(8): 664-9, 2015 Sep 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26449696

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Two additional key populations within the general population in South Africa (SA) that are at risk of HIV infection are black African women aged 20 - 34 years and black African men aged 25 - 49 years. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the social determinants of HIV serostatus for these two high-risk populations. METHODS: Data from the 2012 South African National HIV Prevalence, Incidence, and Behaviour Survey were analysed for black African women aged 20 - 34 years and black African men aged 25 - 49 years. RESULTS: Of the 6.4 million people living with HIV in SA in 2012, 1.8 million (28%) were black women aged 20 - 34 years and 1.9 million (30%) black men aged 25 - 49 years. In 2012, they constituted 58% of the total HIV-positive population and 48% of the newly infected population. Low socioeconomic status (SES) was strongly associated (p<0.001) with being HIV-positive among black women aged 20 - 34 years, and was marginally significant among black men aged 25 - 49 years (p<0.1). CONCLUSION: Low SES is a critical social determinant for HIV infection among the high-risk groups of black African women aged 20 - 34 years and black African men aged 25 - 49 years. Targeted interventions for these key populations should prioritise socioeconomic empowerment, access to formal housing and services, access to higher education, and broad economic transformation.

6.
AIDS ; 12 Suppl 2: S37-46, 1998.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9792360

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: This article summarizes issues and recommendations for conducting HIV risk behavioral surveillance surveys (BSS) based on experiences from ten BSS projects in eight countries in Asia and Africa. BACKGROUND: BSS consists of systematic and repeated cross-sectional surveys of HIV and sexually transmitted disease-related behaviors, with other knowledge and attitudinal variables added where appropriate. Its major purpose and utility is in detecting trends among selected vulnerable and high-risk population groups whose behavioral change can have the most impact on the epidemic. BSS is also useful for tracking trends in behaviors over time in regions exposed to HIV prevention activities, as a contributing component to the comprehensive monitoring and evaluation of interventions. RECOMMENDATIONS: (i) implement BSS as an essential adjunct to HIV/STD epidemiological surveillance; (ii) use BSS for evaluation purposes in combination with process data and triangulate results with qualitative research; (iii) choose sentinel groups based on epidemiological considerations, evaluation and monitoring needs, representative sampling frames, and political and cultural considerations; (iv) maintain 1-year intervals between survey waves for most groups in order to provide yearly updates on behavioral trends for programmatic adjustments; (v) use internationally standardized indicators and question wording; (vi) maintain strict quality control standards to enhance data validity and reliability; and (vii) develop a clear dissemination strategy during BSS design to increase the likelihood of utilization of BSS results. CONCLUSION: BSS represents a cost-effective way to determine whether programmatic behavioral targets and goals are being met, to identify persisting risk behaviors over time, and to indicate whether new intervention approaches are necessary.


PIP: Public health personnel have long monitored the distributions and trends of communicable and noninfectious diseases. Only recently, however, have efforts been made to monitor risk factors or behaviors which are themselves determinants of disease. Behavioral surveillance systems have been brought on line over the past 25 years to monitor risk factors such as cigarette smoking, drug and alcohol consumption, dietary factors, and physical exercise. The HIV risk behavioral surveillance survey (BSS) methodology is designed to systematically monitor trends in HIV risk behaviors over time in key, high-risk population sub-groups whose behavioral change can have the most impact upon the epidemic. BSS is conducted through repeated cross-sectional surveys conducted at regular intervals on a national or regional scale. BSS is also useful in tracking behavior trends over time in regions exposed to HIV prevention activities, as a contributing component to the comprehensive monitoring and evaluation of interventions. Recommendations for conducting BSS are drawn from the collective experiences of 10 BSS projects conducted in Thailand, the Philippines, Senegal, India, Indonesia, Cambodia, Hong Kong, and China between 1993 and 1997.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población , Asunción de Riesgos , África/epidemiología , Asia/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Dinámica Poblacional , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados
7.
AIDS ; 5(4): 437-9, 1991 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2059386

RESUMEN

Between 5 March and 12 April 1990, we assessed transfusion practices and the risk of transfusion-associated HIV transmission in all the hospitals and medical centres in Kinshasa, Zaire. Of the 733 hospitals and medical centres surveyed, 62 (8.5%) transfuse blood. Of 3741 units of blood transfused in February 1990, 1045 (27.9%) were not screened for HIV infection. Eighteen out of 62 centres (29%) received HIV test kits on a regular basis. Twenty of the centres (32.3%) recorded HIV test results. Major blood group cross-matching was done by 9.7% (six out of 62) of the centres. Bacteriological results indicated contamination in 17% (four out of 23) of stocked blood units, 6.4% (four out of 62) of solutions for disinfections, and 22% (13 out of 59) of sterilized instruments (possessed by 59 centres only). Transfusion practices in Kinshasa are associated with considerable health risks. The establishment and appropriate supervision of HIV screening facilities should be integrated into primary health-care programmes in order to increase safe transfusions in Kinshasa.


PIP: Between March 5-April 12, 1990, the authors assessed transfusion practices and the risk of transfusion-associated HIV transmission in all of the hospitals and medical centers in Kinshasa, Zaire. Of the 733 hospitals and medical centers surveyed, 62 (8.5%) transfuse blood. Of 3741 units of blood transfused in February 1990, 1045 (27.9%) were not screened for HIV infection. 18 of 62 centers (29%) received HIV test kits on a regular basis. 20 of the centers (32.3%) recorded HIV test results. Major blood group cross-matching was done by 9.7% (6 of 62) of the centers. Bacteriological results indicated contamination in 17% (4 of 23) of stocked blood units, 6.4% (4 of 62) solutions for disinfections, and 22% (13 of 59) of sterilized instruments (possessed by only 59 centers). Transfusion practices in Kinshasa are associated with considerable health risks. The establishment and appropriate supervision of HIV screening facilities should be integrated into primary healthcare programs in order to increase safe transfusions in Kinshasa.


Asunto(s)
Donantes de Sangre , Infecciones por VIH/transmisión , Seroprevalencia de VIH , Reacción a la Transfusión , Centros Médicos Académicos , República Democrática del Congo/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/diagnóstico , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Hospitales , Humanos , Factores de Riesgo
8.
AIDS ; 12 Suppl 2: S27-35, 1998.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9792359

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To introduce the newly developed AVERT model by describing the purpose, logic, advantages and limitations of the model, to validate the model's estimates against seroconversion data from a large randomized controlled trial, and to provide practical examples of its applications. DESIGN: Static, deterministic spreadsheet-type model based on per sex act HIV-1 transmission probabilities. METHODS: Data from a recently completed trial carried out in Cameroon were used to validate the estimated number of new HIV infections generated by the AVERT model. A relatively limited set of biological and behavioral parameters was used to estimate the impact of a targeted HIV/sexually transmitted disease (STD) prevention intervention in a South African mining community. RESULTS: The comparison of AVERT estimates with actual seroincidence data from the Cameroon trial not only confirmed the validity of the model's outputs but also illustrated its potential to provide additional options in data analysis. Modeling the pre-and post-intervention scenarios for the South African mining community with AVERT provided estimates of the number of HIV infections averted due to targeted periodic presumptive STD treatment and community-based peer education. CONCLUSIONS: With a small number of accessible input variables, AVERT can provide plausible and defendable impact estimates of intervention effects on the reduction of HIV transmission. The AVERT model may be a helpful tool for decision-makers and planners in setting appropriate program priorities and analysing the cost-effectiveness of different intervention packages.


Asunto(s)
Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/prevención & control , Camerún/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/transmisión , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Modelos Estadísticos , Prevalencia , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Factores de Riesgo , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/epidemiología
9.
AIDS ; 4(6): 571-4, 1990 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2386619

RESUMEN

The purpose of this study was to develop a strategy to reduce transfusion-related HIV transmission which went beyond the limits of routine HIV screening of blood donors. Current blood transfusion practices were assessed in 1044 patients for whom staff physicians had requested a transfusion between 5 September and 19 October, 1988. Children under 5 years of age with malaria, and pregnant women with acute anaemia requiring blood transfusion were the two highest risk groups. Many of the transfusions were given without an obvious medical indication; 22.7% (214 out of 955) of the recipients were transfused without prior laboratory tests [haemoglobin (Hb) or haematocrit (Hct)], 7.2% with Hb greater than 6g/100ml or Hct greater than 25% and 16.6% without clinical signs of severe anaemia (pulse less than 100/min without shortness of breath). The data of this study were used to organize a workshop for all the physicians responsible for blood transfusions in Kinshasa and two nearby health zones. A consensus statement on the indications for blood transfusion was developed. Subsequently, transfusion centres adopted this consensus statement instead of previous guidelines.


Asunto(s)
Transfusión Sanguínea , Infecciones por VIH/transmisión , Adolescente , Adulto , Anemia/complicaciones , Anemia/prevención & control , Donantes de Sangre , Preescolar , República Democrática del Congo , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Directrices para la Planificación en Salud , Hospitales , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Malaria/complicaciones , Malaria/prevención & control , Malaria/transmisión , Embarazo , Complicaciones del Embarazo , Factores de Riesgo , Reacción a la Transfusión
10.
J Invest Dermatol ; 87(2): 280-3, 1986 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-3488352

RESUMEN

Monoclonal antibody BE2 recognizes an antigen found on malignant T4+ lymphocytes from cutaneous T-cell lymphoma patients (CTCL). Normal peripheral blood lymphocytes do not express detectable levels of BE2 antigen. Forty-eight percent of patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) had lymphocyte populations that were reactive with monoclonal antibody BE2. Peripheral blood lymphocytes from healthy homosexuals, patients with classical Kaposi's sarcoma or viral syndromes, and healthy normal controls were BE2-. Double-labeling studies demonstrated that BE2+ cells were T lymphocytes. This observation demonstrates that some AIDS patients as well as CTCL patients have circulating cells that express a common lymphocyte abnormality.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/inmunología , Antígenos de Neoplasias/biosíntesis , Linfocitos T/inmunología , Anciano , Anticuerpos Monoclonales , Femenino , Homosexualidad , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Fenotipo , Sarcoma de Kaposi/inmunología , Virosis/inmunología
11.
J Virol Methods ; 66(2): 203-9, 1997 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9255731

RESUMEN

The current HIV pandemic is complicated by the spread of distinct types and subtypes of HIV. The currently used conventional diagnostic tests have shown limitations in the detection of antibodies against all HIV-1 subtypes, as demonstrated by recent identification of HIV-1 subtype O. To evaluate quantitatively the diagnostic potential of a double ELISA strategy for the detection and partial differentiation of HIV-1, HIV-1 subtype O and HIV-2 infections blood samples were examined at five different test centers: Blantyre, Malawi; Abidjan and Daloa, Ivory Coast; Yaoundé, Cameroon; Munich, Germany. All tests results, including ELISA extinction values and Western blot profiles, were forwarded to Munich for final interpretation. An indirect anti-HIV-1/2 ELISA and a competitive anti-HIV-1 ELISA were used in combination for the initial screening of blood specimens. All anti-HIV positive and anti-HIV negative samples were subjected to immunoblot analysis. Independent of the diversity of the extinction profiles, and of the test manufacturer, the quantitative evaluation of the ELISA extinction values could define two extinction areas with a 100% predictive value for HIV-1 seropositivity and HIV seronegativity; extinction values > 2 by the indirect ELISA and < 0.2 by the competitive ELISA for an anti-HIV-1 subtype A to I positive result; extinction values < 0.2 by the indirect ELISA and > 1.0 by the competitive ELISA for an anti-HIV negative result. Additionally, the quantitative evaluation of the extinction profile provides partial information on the HIV-1 subtype as far as the distinction in group M and group O is concerned. In conclusion, the quantitative evaluation of this double ELISA strategy can reduce the number of blood specimens that require additional confirmatory testing in developing countries and can be superior to the immunoblot method during early seroconversion.


Asunto(s)
Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática/métodos , Anticuerpos Anti-VIH/sangre , Infecciones por VIH/diagnóstico , VIH-1/inmunología , VIH-2/inmunología , Antígenos Virales , Infecciones por VIH/virología , Humanos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas
12.
Bull Soc Pathol Exot ; 89(1): 41-4, 1996.
Artículo en Francés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8765957

RESUMEN

AIDS is nowadays one of the major problems of public health in Burkina Faso. In order to get informations on pupils' sexual behaviour and knowledge about AIDS, we conducted a study on a representative sample from secondary schools' students in Ouagadougou (n = 466). The mean age was 18.2 years old; 48.7% among these pupils declared to have had least one sexual intercourse. The mean age of the first intercourse was 16.3 years old. For them, media was the main information source on AIDS (72.1%), whereas schools were not named. 58.4% mentioned condom as a mean of prevention and 64.1% among males who have had a sexual experience used condom. Although they were afraid of AIDS the school students asked did not think they were likely to contract the illness; but they pointed out the prostitutes as a risk behaviour group. These results are discussed according to the gravity of AIDS. So, the risky sexual behaviour, due to ignorance and/or thoughtlessness, endanger this youth and challenge all actors.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Conducta Sexual , Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/prevención & control , Adolescente , Burkina Faso , Condones , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino
19.
Sex Transm Infect ; 82 Suppl 1: i57-62, 2006 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16581762

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Second generation surveillance for HIV aims to improve the validity and utility of routine serial HIV prevalence data. It includes the collection of data on sexual behaviour and sexually transmitted disease prevalence. METHODS: This paper reviews the function of sexual behaviour data in HIV surveillance and the methods used to determine which behaviours are monitored and how changes in behaviour can be assessed. RESULTS: Sexual behaviour data provide a poor predictor of the future spread of HIV, but these data can provide corroboration of changes in HIV incidence and assist in attributing changes to particular aspects of risk. Significance tests should be used to assess changes in behaviour, but this requires transparent reporting of methods and sample sizes. CONCLUSIONS: Collection of behavioural data will provide important retrospective information about the HIV epidemic progress and should not be neglected because of the focus on improving HIV sero-surveillance.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Conducta Sexual/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/psicología , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Prevalencia , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/epidemiología
20.
Sex Transm Infect ; 82 Suppl 1: i1-8, 2006 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16581753

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether observed changes in HIV prevalence in countries with generalised HIV epidemics are associated with changes in sexual risk behaviour. METHODS: A mathematical model was developed to explore the relation between prevalence recorded at antenatal clinics (ANCs) and the pattern of incidence of infection throughout the population. To create a null model a range of assumptions about sexual behaviour, natural history of infection, and sampling biases in ANC populations were explored to determine which factors maximised declines in prevalence in the absence of behaviour change. Modelled prevalence, where possible based on locally collected behavioural data, was compared with the observed prevalence data in urban Haiti, urban Kenya, urban Cote d'Ivoire, Malawi, Zimbabwe, Rwanda, Uganda, and urban Ethiopia. RESULTS: Recent downturns in prevalence observed in urban Kenya, Zimbabwe, and urban Haiti, like Uganda before them, could only be replicated in the model through reductions in risk associated with changes in behaviour. In contrast, prevalence trends in urban Cote d'Ivoire, Malawi, urban Ethiopia, and Rwanda show no signs of changed sexual behaviour. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in patterns of HIV prevalence in urban Kenya, Zimbabwe, and urban Haiti are quite recent and caution is required because of doubts over the accuracy and representativeness of these estimates. Nonetheless, the observed changes are consistent with behaviour change and not the natural course of the HIV epidemic.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Conducta Sexual/psicología , Adolescente , Adulto , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/psicología , Haití/epidemiología , Heterosexualidad , Humanos , Kenia/epidemiología , Masculino , Prevalencia , Conducta de Reducción del Riesgo , Distribución por Sexo , Conducta Sexual/estadística & datos numéricos , Uganda/epidemiología , Salud Urbana , Zimbabwe/epidemiología
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