Genetically identical twin-pair difference models support the amyloid cascade hypothesis.

The amyloid cascade hypothesis has strongly impacted the Alzheimer's disease research agenda and clinical trial designs over the past decades, but precisely how amyloid-ß pathology initiates the aggregation of neocortical tau remains unclear. We cannot exclude the possibility of a shared upstream process driving both amyloid-ß and tau in an independent manner instead of there being a causal relationship between amyloid-ß and tau. Here, we tested the premise that if a causal relationship exists, then exposure should be associated with outcome both at the individual level as well as within identical twin-pairs, who are strongly matched on genetic, demographic and shared environmental background. Specifically, we tested associations between longitudinal amyloid-ß PET and cross-sectional tau PET, neurodegeneration and cognitive decline using genetically identical twin-pair difference models, which provide the unique opportunity of ruling out genetic and shared environmental effects as potential confounders in an association. We included 78 cognitively unimpaired identical twins with [18F]flutemetamol (amyloid-ß)-PET, [18F]flortaucipir (tau)-PET, MRI (hippocampal volume) and cognitive data (composite memory). Associations between each modality were tested at the individual level using generalized estimating equation models, and within identical twin-pairs using within-pair difference models. Mediation analyses were performed to test for directionality in the associations as suggested by the amyloid cascade hypothesis. At the individual level, we observed moderate-to-strong associations between amyloid-ß, tau, neurodegeneration and cognition. The within-pair difference models replicated results observed at the individual level with comparably strong effect sizes. Within-pair differences in amyloid-ß were strongly associated with within-pair differences in tau (ß = 0.68, P < 0.001), and moderately associated with within-pair differences in hippocampal volume (ß = -0.37, P = 0.03) and memory functioning (ß = -0.57, P < 0.001). Within-pair differences in tau were moderately associated with within-pair differences in hippocampal volume (ß = -0.53, P < 0.001) and strongly associated with within-pair differences in memory functioning (ß = -0.68, P < 0.001). Mediation analyses showed that of the total twin-difference effect of amyloid-ß on memory functioning, the proportion mediated through pathways including tau and hippocampal volume was 69.9%, which was largely attributable to the pathway leading from amyloid-ß to tau to memory functioning (proportion mediated, 51.6%). Our results indicate that associations between amyloid-ß, tau, neurodegeneration and cognition are unbiased by (genetic) confounding. Furthermore, effects of amyloid-ß on neurodegeneration and cognitive decline were fully mediated by tau. These novel findings in this unique sample of identical twins are compatible with the amyloid cascade hypothesis and thereby provide important new knowledge for clinical trial designs.

Tau pathology as determinant of changes in atrophy and cerebral blood flow: a multi-modal longitudinal imaging study.

PURPOSE: Tau pathology is associated with concurrent atrophy and decreased cerebral blood flow (CBF) in Alzheimer's disease (AD), but less is known about their temporal relationships. Our aim was therefore to investigate the association of concurrent and longitudinal tau PET with longitudinal changes in atrophy and relative CBF. METHODS: We included 61 individuals from the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort (mean age 65.1 ± 7.5 years, 44% female, 57% amyloid-ß positive [Aß +], 26 cognitively impaired [CI]) who underwent dynamic [18F]flortaucipir PET and structural MRI at baseline and 25 ± 5 months follow-up. In addition, we included 86 individuals (68 CI) who only underwent baseline dynamic [18F]flortaucipir PET and MRI scans to increase power in our statistical models. We obtained [18F]flortaucipir PET binding potential (BPND) and R1 values reflecting tau load and relative CBF, respectively, and computed cortical thickness from the structural MRI scans using FreeSurfer. We assessed the regional associations between i) baseline and ii) annual change in tau PET BPND in Braak I, III/IV, and V/VI regions and cortical thickness or R1 in cortical gray matter regions (spanning the whole brain) over time using linear mixed models with random intercepts adjusted for age, sex, time between baseline and follow-up assessments, and baseline BPND in case of analyses with annual change as determinant. All analyses were performed in Aß- cognitively normal (CN) individuals and Aß+ (CN and CI) individuals separately. RESULTS: In Aß+ individuals, greater baseline Braak III/IV and V/VI tau PET binding was associated with faster cortical thinning in primarily frontotemporal regions. Annual changes in tau PET were not associated with cortical thinning over time in either Aß+ or Aß- individuals. Baseline tau PET was not associated with longitudinal changes in relative CBF, but increases in Braak III/IV tau PET over time were associated with increases in parietal relative CBF over time in Aß + individuals. CONCLUSION: We showed that higher tau load was related to accelerated cortical thinning, but not to decreases in relative CBF. Moreover, tau PET load at baseline was a stronger predictor of cortical thinning than change of tau PET signal.

Performance of a [18F]Flortaucipir PET Visual Read Method Across the Alzheimer Disease Continuum and in Dementia With Lewy Bodies.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Recently, the US Food and Drug Administration approved the tau-binding radiotracer [18F]flortaucipir and an accompanying visual read method to support the diagnostic process in cognitively impaired patients assessed for Alzheimer disease (AD). Studies evaluating this visual read method are limited. In this study, we evaluated the performance of the visual read method in participants along the AD continuum and dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) by determining its reliability, accordance with semiquantitative analyses, and associations with clinically relevant variables. METHODS: We included participants who underwent tau-PET at Amsterdam University Medical Center. A subset underwent follow-up tau-PET. Two trained nuclear medicine physicians visually assessed all scans. Inter-reader agreement was calculated using Cohen κ. To examine the concordance of visual read tau positivity with semiquantification, we defined standardized uptake value ratio (SUVr) positivity using different threshold approaches. To evaluate the prognostic value of tau-PET visual read, we performed linear mixed models with longitudinal Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). RESULTS: We included 263 participants (mean age 68.5 years, 45.6% female), including 147 cognitively unimpaired (CU) participants, 97 amyloid-positive participants with mild cognitive impairment or AD dementia (AD), and 19 participants with DLB. The visual read inter-reader agreement was excellent (κ = 0.95, CI 0.91-0.99). None of the amyloid-negative CU participants (0/92 [0%]) and 1 amyloid-negative participant with DLB (1/12 [8.3%]) were tau-positive. Among amyloid-positive participants, 13 CU participants (13/52 [25.0%]), 85 with AD (85/97 [87.6%]), and 3 with DLB (3/7 [42.9%]) were tau-positive. Two-year follow-up visual read status was identical to baseline. Tau-PET visual read corresponded strongly to SUVr status, with up to 90.4% concordance. Visual read tau positivity was associated with a decline on the MMSE in CU participants (ß = -0.52, CI -0.74 to -0.30, p < 0.001) and participants with AD (ß = -0.30, CI -0.58 to -0.02, p = 0.04). DISCUSSION: The excellent inter-reader agreement, strong correspondence with SUVr, and longitudinal stability indicate that the visual read method is reliable and robust, supporting clinical application. Furthermore, visual read tau positivity was associated with prospective cognitive decline, highlighting its additional prognostic potential. Future studies in unselected cohorts are needed for a better generalizability to the clinical population. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that [18F]flortaucipir visual read accurately distinguishes patients with low tau-tracer binding from those with high tau-tracer binding and is associated with amyloid positivity and cognitive decline.