Assessing the safety, impact and effectiveness of RTS,S/AS01E malaria vaccine following its introduction in three sub-Saharan African countries: methodological approaches and study set-up.

BACKGROUND: Following a 30-year development process, RTS,S/AS01E (GSK, Belgium) is the first malaria vaccine to reach Phase IV assessments. The World Health Organization-commissioned Malaria Vaccine Implementation Programme (MVIP) is coordinating the delivery of RTS,S/AS01E through routine national immunization programmes in areas of 3 countries in sub-Saharan Africa. The first doses were given in the participating MVIP areas in Malawi on 23 April, Ghana on 30 April, and Kenya on 13 September 2019. The countries participating in the MVIP have little or no baseline incidence data on rare diseases, some of which may be associated with immunization, a deficit that could compromise the interpretation of possible adverse events reported following the introduction of a new vaccine in the paediatric population. Further, effects of vaccination on malaria transmission, existing malaria control strategies, and possible vaccine-mediated selective pressure on Plasmodium falciparum variants, could also impact long-term malaria control. To address this data gap and as part of its post-approval commitments, GSK has developed a post-approval plan comprising of 4 complementary Phase IV studies that will evaluate safety, effectiveness and impact of RTS,S/AS01E through active participant follow-up in the context of its real-life implementation. METHODS: EPI-MAL-002 (NCT02374450) is a pre-implementation safety surveillance study that is establishing the background incidence rates of protocol-defined adverse events of special interest. EPI-MAL-003 (NCT03855995) is an identically designed post-implementation safety and vaccine impact study. EPI-MAL-005 (NCT02251704) is a cross-sectional pre- and post-implementation study to measure malaria transmission intensity and monitor the use of other malaria control interventions in the study areas, and EPI-MAL-010 (EUPAS42948) will evaluate the P. falciparum genetic diversity in the periods before and after vaccine implementation. CONCLUSION: GSK's post-approval plan has been designed to address important knowledge gaps in RTS,S/AS01E vaccine safety, effectiveness and impact. The studies are currently being conducted in the MVIP areas. Their implementation has provided opportunities and posed challenges linked to conducting large studies in regions where healthcare infrastructure is limited. The results from these studies will support ongoing evaluation of RTS,S/AS01E's benefit-risk and inform decision-making for its potential wider implementation across sub-Saharan Africa.

Causal inference concepts applied to three observational studies in the context of vaccine development: from theory to practice.

BACKGROUND: Randomized controlled trials are considered the gold standard to evaluate causal associations, whereas assessing causality in observational studies is challenging. METHODS: We applied Hill's Criteria, counterfactual reasoning, and causal diagrams to evaluate a potentially causal relationship between an exposure and outcome in three published observational studies: a) one burden of disease cohort study to determine the association between type 2 diabetes and herpes zoster, b) one post-authorization safety cohort study to assess the effect of AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine on the risk of autoimmune diseases, and c) one matched case-control study to evaluate the effectiveness of a rotavirus vaccine in preventing hospitalization for rotavirus gastroenteritis. RESULTS: Among the 9 Hill's criteria, 8 (Strength, Consistency, Specificity, Temporality, Plausibility, Coherence, Analogy, Experiment) were considered as met for study c, 3 (Temporality, Plausibility, Coherence) for study a, and 2 (Temporary, Plausibility) for study b. For counterfactual reasoning criteria, exchangeability, the most critical assumption, could not be tested. Using these tools, we concluded that causality was very unlikely in study b, unlikely in study a, and very likely in study c. Directed acyclic graphs provided complementary visual structures that identified confounding bias and helped determine the most accurate design and analysis to assess causality. CONCLUSIONS: Based on our assessment we found causal Hill's criteria and counterfactual thinking valuable in determining some level of certainty about causality in observational studies. Application of causal inference frameworks should be considered in designing and interpreting observational studies.

Meta-analysis of the risk of autoimmune thyroiditis, Guillain-Barré syndrome, and inflammatory bowel disease following vaccination with AS04-adjuvanted human papillomavirus 16/18 vaccine.

PURPOSE: To assess the risk of three autoimmune diseases - autoimmune thyroiditis (AIT), Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS), and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) - in females following AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccination. METHODS: This meta-analysis included data from 18 randomized controlled trials, one cluster-randomized trial, two large observational retrospective cohort studies, and one case-control study. Following vaccination, a risk window of 2 years was defined for AIT and IBD and 42 days for GBS. Odds ratios (ORs) were estimated using three methods: meta-analysis inverse-variance with continuity correction (primary analysis), pooled estimate, and beta-binomial regression. RESULTS: In all studies apart from the case-control study, 154 398 exposed and 1 504 322 non-exposed subjects were included, among whom there were 141 and 1972 cases of (autoimmune) thyroiditis; 2 and 2 cases of GBS; and 43 and 401 cases of IBD, respectively. In the case-control study, there were 97 cases of AIT and 13 of GBS; matched with 802 and 130 controls, respectively. The primary analysis OR estimates were 1.46 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-1.76), 11.14 (2.00-61.92), and 1.11 (0.75-1.66) for (autoimmune) thyroiditis, GBS, and IBD, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis did not show an increased risk of IBD following vaccination with AS04-HPV-16/18. The 1.5-fold increased risk of (autoimmune) thyroiditis does not allow us to conclude about a causal association. For GBS, the very low number of cases and wide 95% CIs negate any firm conclusion.

Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine Effectiveness and Potential Herd Immunity for Reducing Oncogenic Oropharyngeal HPV-16 Prevalence in the United Kingdom: A Cross-sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Oropharyngeal cancer incidence is rapidly rising due to human papillomavirus (HPV) type 16 infection. The dearth of data on effectiveness of national female-only vaccination programs in preventing oral HPV infection and potential herd immunity in unvaccinated males has resulted in considerable controversy regarding the need to vaccinate males, especially in countries with high female vaccination coverage. METHODS: Subjects aged 0-65 years undergoing tonsillectomy for nonmalignant indications were recruited in 6 hospitals in the United Kingdom. Oral samples were collected as follows: oral rinse, tongue base, and pharyngeal wall brushes, then tonsil tissue (tonsillectomy). Vaccination data were obtained from regional health authorities. All samples were centrally tested for HPV DNA by polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS: Of 940 subjects, 243 females and 69 males were aged 12-24 years (median age, 18.6 years), with 189 (78%) females and no males vaccinated against HPV. Overall, oropharyngeal HPV-16 prevalence was significantly lower in vaccinated versus unvaccinated females (0.5% vs 5.6%, P = .04). In contrast, prevalence of any oropharyngeal HPV type was similar in vaccinated and unvaccinated females (19% vs 20%, P = .76). Oropharyngeal HPV-16 prevalence in unvaccinated males was similar to vaccinated females (0% vs 0.5%, P > .99), and lower than unvaccinated females (0% vs 5.6%, P = .08). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that the UK female-only vaccination program is associated with significant reductions in oropharyngeal HPV-16 infections. These are also the first data to suggest potential herd immunity from female-only vaccination against oropharyngeal HPV infection in contemporaneously aged males.

Risk of HPV-16/18 Infections and Associated Cervical Abnormalities in Women Seropositive for Naturally Acquired Antibodies: Pooled Analysis Based on Control Arms of Two Large Clinical Trials.

Background: Studies on the role of antibodies produced after infection with human papillomavirus 18 (HPV-18) and subsequent protection from HPV-18 infection have been conflicting, mainly due to inadequate sample size. Methods: We pooled data from the control arms of the Costa Rica Vaccine Trial and the PATRICIA trial. Using Poisson regression we compared the risk of newly detected 1-time HPV-18 infection, HPV-18 1-year persistent infection (12MPI), and HPV-18-associated atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance or greater (ASC-US+) lesions between HPV-18 seropositive and seronegative women. Results: High HPV-18 antibodies at enrollment was associated with reduced subsequent HPV-18 detection (P trend = 0.001; relative rate [RR] = 0.69; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47-1.01 for the third quartile; RR = 0.63; 95% CI, 0.43-0.94 for the fourth quartile, compared to seronegative). The risk of 12MPI showed a decreasing trend with increasing antibodies (P trend = 0.06; RR = 0.72; 95% CI, 0.29-1.77; RR = 0.42; 95% CI, 0.13-1.32 for the third and fourth quartiles, respectively). Lastly, we observed a significant decreased risk of HPV-18 ASC-US+ with increasing antibody (P trend = 0.01; RR = 0.46; 95% CI, 0.21-0.97 for the fourth quartile). We also observed a significant decreased risk of HPV-16 infection, 12MPI, and ASC-US+ with increasing HPV-16 antibody level. Conclusions: High HPV-18 naturally acquired antibodies were associated with partial protection from future HPV-18 infections and associated lesions. Clinical Trials Registration: NCT00128661 and NCT001226810.

Progression of HPV infection to detectable cervical lesions or clearance in adult women: Analysis of the control arm of the VIVIANE study.

The control arm of the phase III VIVIANE (Human PapillomaVIrus: Vaccine Immunogenicity ANd Efficacy; NCT00294047) study in women >25 years was studied to assess risk of progression from cervical HPV infection to detectable cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN). The risk of detecting CIN associated with the same HPV type as the reference infection was analysed using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox models. Infections were categorised depending upon persistence as 6-month persistent infection (6MPI) or infection of any duration. The 4-year interim analysis included 2,838 women, of whom 1,073 (37.8%) experienced 2,615 infections of any duration and 708 (24.9%) experienced 1,130 6MPIs. Infection with oncogenic HPV types significantly increased the risk of detecting CIN grade 2 or greater (CIN2+) versus non-oncogenic types. For 6MPI, the highest risk was associated with HPV-33 (hazard ratio [HR]: 31.9 [8.3-122.2, p < 0.0001]). The next highest risk was with HPV-16 (21.1 [6.3-70.0], p < 0.0001). Similar findings were seen for infections of any duration. Significant risk was also observed for HPV-18, HPV-31, and HPV-45. Concomitant HPV infection or CIN grade 1 or greater associated with a different oncogenic HPV type increased risk. Most women (79.3%) with an HPV infection at baseline cleared detectable infections of any duration, and 69.9% cleared a 6MPI. The risk of progression of HPV infection to CIN2+ in women >25 years in this study was similar to that in women 15-25 years in PATRICIA.

Importance of feasibility assessments before implementing non-interventional pharmacoepidemiologic studies of vaccines: lessons learned and recommendations for future studies.

PURPOSE: Investigational and marketed vaccines are increasingly evaluated, and manufacturers are required to put in place mechanisms to monitor long-term benefit-risk profiles. However, generating such evidence in real-world settings remains challenging, especially when rare adverse events are assessed. Planning of an appropriate study design is key to conducting a valid study. The aim of this paper is to illustrate how feasibility assessments support the generation of robust pharmacoepidemiological data. METHODS: Following an initiative launched by the International Society for Pharmacoepidemiology in May 2014, a working group including members of the private and public sectors, was formed to assess the value of conducting feasibility assessments as a necessary step before embarking on larger-scale post-licensure studies. Based on five real-life examples of feasibility assessments, lessons learned and recommendations were issued by the working group to support scientific reasoning and decision making when designing pharmacoepidemiologic vaccine studies. RESULTS: The working group developed a toolbox to provide a pragmatic approach to conducting feasibility assessments. The toolbox contains two main components: the scientific feasibility and the operational feasibility. Both components comprise a series of specific questions aimed at overcoming methodological and operational challenges. CONCLUSIONS: A feasibility assessment should be formalized as a necessary step prior to the actual start of any pharmacoepidemiologic study. It should remain a technical evaluation and not a hypothesis testing. The feasibility assessment report may facilitate communication with regulatory agencies toward improving the quality of study protocols and supporting the endorsement of study objectives and methods addressing regulatory commitments. © 2016 The Authors. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Validation of current procedural terminology codes for rotavirus vaccination among infants in two commercially insured US populations.

PURPOSE: We validated procedure codes used in health insurance claims for reimbursement of rotavirus vaccination by comparing claims for monovalent live-attenuated human rotavirus vaccine (RV1) and live, oral pentavalent rotavirus vaccine (RV5) to medical records. METHODS: Using administrative data from two commercially insured United States populations, we randomly sampled vaccination claims for RV1 and RV5 from a cohort of infants aged less than 1 year from an ongoing post-licensure safety study of rotavirus vaccines. The codes for RV1 and RV5 found in claims were confirmed through medical record review. The positive predictive value (PPV) of the Current Procedural Terminology codes for RV1 and RV5 was calculated as the number of medical record-confirmed vaccinations divided by the number of medical records obtained. RESULTS: Medical record review confirmed 92 of 104 RV1 vaccination claims (PPV: 88.5%; 95% CI: 80.7-93.9%) and 98 of 113 RV5 vaccination claims (PPV: 86.7%; 95% CI: 79.1-92.4%). Among the 217 medical records abstracted, only three (1.4%) of vaccinations were misclassified in claims-all were RV5 misclassified as RV1. The medical records corresponding to 9 RV1 and 15 RV5 claims contained insufficient information to classify the type of rotavirus vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: Misclassification of rotavirus vaccines is infrequent within claims. The PPVs reported here are conservative estimates as those with insufficient information in the medical records were assumed to be incorrectly coded in the claims. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Human papillomavirus prevalence and type-distribution in cervical glandular neoplasias: Results from a European multinational epidemiological study.

Cervical glandular neoplasias (CGN) present a challenge for cervical cancer prevention due to their complex histopathology and difficulties in detecting preinvasive stages with current screening practices. Reports of human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence and type-distribution in CGN vary, providing uncertain evidence to support prophylactic vaccination and HPV screening. This study [108288/108290] assessed HPV prevalence and type-distribution in women diagnosed with cervical adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS, N = 49), adenosquamous carcinoma (ASC, N = 104), and various adenocarcinoma subtypes (ADC, N = 461) from 17 European countries, using centralised pathology review and sensitive HPV testing. The highest HPV-positivity rates were observed in AIS (93.9%), ASC (85.6%), and usual-type ADC (90.4%), with much lower rates in rarer ADC subtypes (clear-cell: 27.6%; serous: 30.4%; endometrioid: 12.9%; gastric-type: 0%). The most common HPV types were restricted to HPV16/18/45, accounting for 98.3% of all HPV-positive ADC. There were variations in HPV prevalence and ADC type-distribution by country. Age at diagnosis differed by ADC subtype, with usual-type diagnosed in younger women (median: 43 years) compared to rarer subtypes (medians between 57 and 66 years). Moreover, HPV-positive ADC cases were younger than HPV-negative ADC. The six years difference in median age for women with AIS compared to those with usual-type ADC suggests that cytological screening for AIS may be suboptimal. Since the great majority of CGN are HPV16/18/45-positive, the incorporation of prophylactic vaccination and HPV testing in cervical cancer screening are important prevention strategies. Our results suggest that special attention should be given to certain rarer ADC subtypes as most appear to be unrelated to HPV.

Risk of newly detected infections and cervical abnormalities in women seropositive for naturally acquired human papillomavirus type 16/18 antibodies: analysis of the control arm of PATRICIA.

BACKGROUND: We examined risk of newly detected human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and cervical abnormalities in relation to HPV type 16/18 antibody levels at enrollment in PATRICIA (Papilloma Trial Against Cancer in Young Adults; NCT00122681). METHODS: Using Poisson regression, we compared risk of newly detected infection and cervical abnormalities associated with HPV-16/18 between seronegative vs seropositive women (15-25 years) in the control arm (DNA negative at baseline for the corresponding HPV type [HPV-16: n = 8193; HPV-18: n = 8463]). RESULTS: High titers of naturally acquired HPV-16 antibodies and/or linear trend for increasing antibody levels were significantly associated with lower risk of incident and persistent infection, atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance or greater (ASCUS+), and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grades 1/2 or greater (CIN1+, CIN2+). For HPV-18, although seropositivity was associated with lower risk of ASCUS+ and CIN1+, no association between naturally acquired antibodies and infection was demonstrated. Naturally acquired HPV-16 antibody levels of 371 (95% confidence interval [CI], 242-794), 204 (95% CI, 129-480), and 480 (95% CI, 250-5756) EU/mL were associated with 90% reduction of incident infection, 6-month persistent infection, and ASCUS+, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Naturally acquired antibodies to HPV-16, and to a lesser extent HPV-18, are associated with some reduced risk of subsequent infection and cervical abnormalities associated with the same HPV type.

Risk of first cervical HPV infection and pre-cancerous lesions after onset of sexual activity: analysis of women in the control arm of the randomized, controlled PATRICIA trial.

BACKGROUND: More information is needed about time between sexual initiation and human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and development of cervical precancer. METHODS: The objectives were to investigate the time between first sexual activity and detection of first cervical HPV infection or development of first cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN), and associated factors in women from the double-blind, multinational, 4-year PATRICIA trial. PATRICIA enroled women aged 15-25 years with no more than 6 lifetime sexual partners. Women were randomized 1:1 to the HPV-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccine or to control, but only women from the control arm who began sexual intercourse during the study or within 6 months before enrolment, and had no HPV infection detected before the recorded date of their first sexual intercourse, were included in the present analysis. The time between onset of sexual activity and detection of the first cervical HPV infection or development of the first CIN lesion was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and univariate and multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models. RESULTS: A total of 9337 women were enroled in the control arm of PATRICIA of whom 982 fulfilled the required inclusion criteria for analysis. A cumulative total of 28%, 44%, and 62% of the subjects had HPV infection within 12, 24, and 48 months, respectively. The overall incidence rate was 27.08 per 100 person-years. The most common oncogenic types associated with 6-month persistent infection were HPV-16 (incidence rate: 2.74 per 100 person-years), HPV-51 (2.70), HPV-52 (1.66), HPV-66 (1.14), and HPV-18 (1.09). Increased infection risk was associated with more lifetime sexual partners, being single, Chlamydia trachomatis history, and duration of hormone use. CIN1+ and CIN2+ lesions were most commonly associated with HPV-16, with an overall incidence rate of 1.87 and 1.07 per 100 person-years, respectively. Previous cervical HPV infection was most strongly associated with CIN development. CONCLUSIONS: More than 25% of women were infected with HPV within 1 year of beginning sexual activity. Without underestimating the value of vaccination at older ages, our findings emphasize its importance before sexual initiation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov: NCT00122681 .

Differences in human papillomavirus type distribution in high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and invasive cervical cancer in Europe.

Knowledge of differences in human papillomavirus (HPV)-type prevalence between high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (HG-CIN) and invasive cervical cancer (ICC) is crucial for understanding the natural history of HPV-infected cervical lesions and the potential impact of HPV vaccination on cervical cancer prevention. More than 6,000 women diagnosed with HG-CIN or ICC from 17 European countries were enrolled in two parallel cross-sectional studies (108288/108290). Centralised histopathology review and standardised HPV-DNA typing were applied to formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded cervical specimens dated 2001-2008. The pooled prevalence of individual HPV types was estimated using meta-analytic methods. A total of 3,103 women were diagnosed with HG-CIN and a total of 3,162 with ICC (median ages: 34 and 49 years, respectively), of which 98.5 and 91.8% were HPV-positive, respectively. The most common HPV types in women with HG-CIN were HPV16/33/31 (59.9/10.5/9.0%) and in ICC were HPV16/18/45 (63.3/15.2/5.3%). In squamous cell carcinomas, HPV16/18/33 were most frequent (66.2/10.8/5.3%), and in adenocarcinomas, HPV16/18/45 (54.2/40.4/8.3%). The prevalence of HPV16/18/45 was 1.1/3.5/2.5 times higher in ICC than in HG-CIN. The difference in age at diagnosis between CIN3 and squamous cervical cancer for HPV18 (9 years) was significantly less compared to HPV31/33/'other' (23/20/17 years), and for HPV45 (1 year) than HPV16/31/33/'other' (15/23/20/17 years). In Europe, HPV16 predominates in both HG-CIN and ICC, whereas HPV18/45 are associated with a low median age of ICC. HPV18/45 are more frequent in ICC than HG-CIN and associated with a high median age of HG-CIN, with a narrow age interval between HG-CIN and ICC detection. These findings support the need for primary prevention of HPV16/18/45-related cervical lesions.

Effectiveness of maternal immunisation with a three-component acellular pertussis vaccine at preventing pertussis in infants in the United States: Post-hoc analysis of a case-control study using Bayesian dynamic borrowing.

BACKGROUND: Immunisation during pregnancy with a tetanus toxoid, reduced diphtheria toxoid and acellular pertussis (Tdap) vaccine can protect infants against pertussis between birth and paediatric vaccination. We aimed to estimate the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of third-trimester pregnancy immunisation with the three-component acellular pertussis (Td3ap) vaccine at preventing pertussis in infants <2 months in the United States (US), to support a label update. METHODS: We performed a post-hoc sub-analysis of a case-control study conducted in six US Emerging Infections Program Network states between 2011 and 2014. Our analysis included only cases and controls whose mothers were either vaccinated with Td3ap or did not receive any Tdap vaccine. The association between Td3ap maternal immunisation and pertussis in infants was assessed for US data using a frequentist method with conditional logistic regression. A robustified analysis was conducted using Bayesian dynamic borrowing of non-US data, considering a mixing-weighted prior of 90% for historical non-US VE data, and of 10% for a vague prior. VE was estimated as (1-odds ratio) × 100%. Sensitivity analyses accounting for the impact of each non-US study, different mixing weights and missing/ambiguous data were performed. RESULTS: We included 108 cases and 183 controls. Based on US data, the estimated VE of third-trimester maternal immunisation with Td3ap at preventing pertussis in infants <2 months was 78.0% (95% confidence interval: -38.0; 96.5). VE estimated by Bayesian dynamic borrowing of non-US data (with a 90% weight for historical data) was 83.4% (95% credible interval: 55.7; 92.5); sensitivity analyses produced similar VE estimates. CONCLUSIONS: Effectiveness of third-trimester pregnancy immunisation with Td3ap at preventing infant pertussis in the US is very likely to be ≥ 50% and is most likely âˆ¼ 80%. Bayesian dynamic borrowing of non-US VE data allowed overcoming the limited power (due to small sample size) of a brand-specific sub-analysis by considering additional evidence.

Challenges in synthesis of real-world vaccine effects on meningococcal serogroup B disease for 4CMenB vaccine post-licensure effectiveness studies: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Real-world studies on vaccine effects are diverse in terms of objectives, study setting and design, data type and scope, and analysis methods. In this review, we describe and discuss four-component meningococcal serogroup B vaccine (4CMenB vaccine, Bexsero) real-world studies with the aim of synthesizing their findings with application of standard methods. METHODS: We performed a systematic literature review of all real-world studies on 4CMenB vaccine effects on meningococcal serogroup B disease, with no restriction for population age, vaccination schedule and/or type of vaccine effect evaluated (vaccine effectiveness [VE] and vaccine impact [VI] outcomes) published since its licensure in 2013 (from January 2014 until July 2021) in PubMed, Cochrane and the grey literature. We then aimed to synthesize the findings of the identified studies through application of standard synthesis methods. RESULTS: According to reported criteria we retrieved five studies presenting estimates on 4CMenB vaccine effectiveness and impact. These studies showed great diversity in population, vaccination schedule and analysis methods mainly due to diversity in vaccine strategies and recommendations in the study settings. Directed by this diversity, no quantitative pooling methods to synthesize findings could be applied; instead we descriptively assessed study methods. We report VE estimates ranging from 59% to 94% and VI estimates ranging from 31% to 75%, representing diverse age groups, vaccination schedules and analysis methods. CONCLUSION: Both vaccine outcomes showed real-life effectiveness of 4CMenB vaccine despite differences in study methodologies and vaccination strategies. Based on appraisal of study methods, we highlighted the need for an adapted tool which facilitates synthesis of heterogenic real-world vaccine studies when quantitative pooling methods are not applicable.

MOnitoring human papillomavirus Vaccine effect on Infection and cErvical diseases (MOVIE): Protocol for a cohort study using electronic health records from Yinzhou, China.

Cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer in women, with a high disease burden worldwide. Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination reduces HPV-related infection and associated cervical lesions and cancers. Few studies have explored HPV vaccination impact in real-world settings in China. This study aims to monitor HPV vaccine uptake and its effects on HPV-related diseases, evaluating vaccine effectiveness in a real-world context and complementing clinical trial results. Electronic health records (EHRs) from 2010 to 2020 from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform (YRHIP) will be queried/extracted to identify and monitor HPV vaccine uptake in females aged 9-45 years, and HPV-related screening and prevalence (i.e., cervical HPV infection, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia [CIN] grades 1-3, and cervical cancer) in a cohort of females aged 9-70 years. Cervical cancer screening guidelines and expert consultation will be used for intra-database validation, to determine the best algorithm for identifying HPV-related disease. Pre-launch (2010-2016) and post-launch (2018-2020) periods are predefined. A time trend analysis will be performed to describe the vaccination impact on disease prevalence and, if prerequisite conditions are met, vaccine effectiveness will be computed using logistic regression, adjusting for age, calendar year, history of screening and HPV infection. Cohort study design, outcomes validation, data linkage, and multi-step statistical analyses could provide valuable experience for designing other real-world studies in the future. The study outcomes can help inform policy-makers about uptake and HPV vaccination policy in girls and women in Yinzhou District, and provide insights on progress toward achieving goals set by the World Health Organization.

Prospective, multi-center post-marketing surveillance cohort study to monitor the safety of the human papillomavirus-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccine in Chinese girls and women aged 9 to 45 years, 2018-2020.

Following the approval of Cervarix for the immunization of girls and women in China against high-risk human papillomavirus types 16 and 18, a non-interventional post-authorization safety study was performed. A multi-center prospective cohort study assessed safety following Cervarix vaccination of Chinese girls and women aged 9-45 years between 31 May 2018 and 3 December 2020. Adverse events following immunization (AEFIs), potential immune-mediated diseases (pIMDs), and pregnancy-related outcomes were collected up to 12 months from the third immunization or 24 months from the first immunization, whichever came first. Among 3,013 women who received 8,839 Cervarix doses, 167 (5.5%) reported ≥ 1 any AEFI, and 22 (0.7%) reported 40 serious AEFIs. During the 30 days after each dose, 147 women (4.9%) reported 211 medically attended AEFIs, including 3 serious AEFIs reported by 1 woman (0.03%). One woman reported a pIMD. Cervarix was inadvertently administered to 65 women (2.2%) within 60 days before conception or during pregnancy. Of these women, 34 (52.3%) gave birth to live infant(s) with no apparent congenital anomalies, and 1 (1.5%) woman gave birth to a live infant with a congenital anomaly. No serious AEFIs or pIMDs were considered to be related to the vaccination. In Chinese women aged 9-45 years, immunization with the Cervarix three-dose schedule was well tolerated. Overall, no safety concerns were identified, although rare adverse events may have been missed due to the study sample size.Clinical trial registration: NCT03438006.

Infection with high-risk human papillomavirus is a prerequisite for cervical cancerCervarix is a human papillomavirus-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccineMulti-centre prospective cohort study to monitor safety of Cervarix immunisationSafety was monitored in 3,013 girls/women aged 9­45 years in China (8,839 doses)Cervarix was well tolerated, and no safety concerns were identified.

Investigating Tetanus, Diphtheria, Acellular Pertussis Vaccination During Pregnancy and Risk of Congenital Anomalies.

INTRODUCTION: This observational retrospective matched cohort study evaluated the safety of a prenatal tetanus, diphtheria, acellular pertussis (Tdap) vaccination, Boostrix. We previously reported on the risk of maternal and neonatal outcomes; here we report on the risk of congenital anomalies in infants at birth through 6 months of age. METHODS: The study included pregnant Kaiser Permanente Southern California members. Women who received the Tdap vaccine on or after the 27th week of pregnancy between January 2018 and January 2019 were matched to women who were pregnant between January 2012 and December 2014 and were not vaccinated with Tdap during pregnancy. Unadjusted and adjusted relative risks (aRRs) with 95% confidence intervals were estimated by Poisson regression. Quantitative secular trend analyses, from 2011 to 2017, were conducted on congenital anomalies with a statistically significant aRR > 1. RESULTS: The analysis consisted of 16,350 and 16,088 live-born infants in the Tdap-exposed and unexposed cohorts, respectively. Of the 14 congenital anomaly body systems evaluated, 8 (eye, ear/face/neck, respiratory, upper gastrointestinal, genital, renal, musculoskeletal, integument) had statistically significant elevated aRRs, with point estimates ranging from 1.17 to 2.02. The observed elevated aRRs were consistent with their respective secular increases over time. CONCLUSION: Cautious interpretation of these findings is warranted as these increases may have resulted from improved identification and diagnosis. Furthermore, the biological plausibility of an association between maternal vaccine exposure in the third trimester of pregnancy and birth defects is low. The overall study findings support the safety of maternal immunization with Boostrix during the third trimester of pregnancy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT03463577.

Progression from human papillomavirus (HPV) infection to cervical lesion or clearance in women (18-25 years): Natural history study in the control arm subjects of AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine efficacy study in China between 2008 and 2016.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer is the third most frequent cancer in Chinese women aged 15-44 years old. Human papillomavirus (HPV) is recognized as the main etiologic agent of cervical carcinomas. This study aims to better understand the natural history of HPV infections in Chinese women aged 18-25 years. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Data from 3,025 control arm women (AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine trial) were analyzed to assess the probability of progression or clearance from a 6-month persistent infection (6MPI) to a cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or greater (CIN2+), and the association with clinical determinants. Data were analyzed using univariate and multivariable Cox models. RESULTS: A total of 1,324 women with 3,814 HPV infections were included, and 65.7% of the women had at least one 6MPI. Among those 6MPI, 5.0% progressed to CIN2+, while 61.0% cleared within 6 months. The risk of progression from 6MPI to CIN2+ was substantially higher for oncogenic versus non-oncogenic HPV types. CONCLUSIONS: Oncogenic HPV infections showed lower clearance and higher risk to progress to CIN2 +. These findings observed in a population of Chinese women, confirmed previous findings from multinational studies. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The PATRICIA and AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine trials are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT00779766 and NCT00122681).

Safety of tetanus, diphtheria, acellular pertussis (Tdap) vaccination during pregnancy.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the safety of prenatal tetanus, diphtheria, acellular pertussis (Tdap) vaccination. This cohort study was conducted among pregnant members at Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC). The exposed cohort consisted of women who received Tdap vaccine on or after the 27th week of pregnancy between January 2018 and January 2019. The unexposed cohort consisted of matched women who were pregnant between January 2012 and December 2014 and were not vaccinated with any Tdap vaccine throughout their pregnancy. Maternal and infant characteristics and pre-specified endpoints were collected through automated data and review of the electronic health records. Unadjusted and adjusted relative risks (aRRs) with confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated by Poisson regression. Non-inferiority testing (i.e., to rule out a two-fold increase) was conducted for primary endpoints with adjustment for multiplicity. Superiority testing was conducted without multiplicity adjustment for secondary endpoints. The analysis consisted of 16,606 pairs of Tdap recipients and unexposed pregnant women. For the primary endpoints, the aRR for preeclampsia/eclampsia was 1.38 (98.75% CI:1.21-1.58) and the aRR for intrauterine infection was 1.28 (98.75% CI:1.12-1.47). These increases were consistent with the background increasing trend of these diagnoses among all pregnant women at KPSC since 2011, and the upper limit of the 98.75% CI of both aRRs did not exceed the pre-specified threshold of 2. No increased risks of small for gestational age (aRR = 1.04, 98.75% CI:0.94-1.16) or preterm delivery (aRR = 0.71, 98.75% CI:0.64-0.78) were observed. No evidence of increased risks for secondary endpoints, including poor fetal growth, preterm pre-labor rupture of membranes, stillbirth/fetal death, placental abruption, transfusion during delivery hospitalization, and neonatal death, was observed. Prenatal Tdap vaccination after the 27th week of pregnancy was not associated with increased risks of pre-specified maternal and infant outcomes, supporting the safety of Tdap vaccination during pregnancy.

Post-licensure observational safety study after meningococcal B vaccine 4CMenB (Bexsero) vaccination within the routine UK immunisation program.

The study investigated the safety of 4-component meningococcal serogroup B vaccination (4CMenB) in routine care. 4CMenB exposure and seizures, febrile seizures and Kawasaki disease were identified from The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database of UK electronic primary healthcare records, 2015-2018. A self-controlled case series analysis was completed. Anaphylaxis, Guillain-Barré syndrome and acute disseminated encephalomyelitis were secondary outcomes. A total of 107,231 children aged 1-18 months received ≥1 doses of 4CMenB vaccination. Most 4CMenB exposure (93%) was on the same day as other vaccines within a complete national immunisation program stage. With day 0 as day of vaccination, 43 seizures occurred in days 0-6 after 239,505 doses, and 23 febrile seizures occurred in days 0-6, and 4 Kawasaki disease cases in days 1-28 after 194,929 4CMenB doses. Adjusted incidence rate ratios including all 4CMenB exposures were 1.43 (95%CI: 1.02-2.02) for seizures and 1.72 (95%CI: 1.08-2.75) for febrile seizures. There were insufficient cases to model Kawasaki disease, and no cases of the secondary outcomes in risk periods when they may be associated with the vaccination. This study shows few cases of the outcomes after vaccination including 4CMenB with an increased risk of seizures and febrile seizures. It is not possible to attribute the finding to one specific vaccination as the majority of 4CMenB was given with other vaccinations. Trial registration: NA.