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[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004238.].
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Clinicians, researchers, regulators, and other decision-makers increasingly rely on evidence from real-world data (RWD), including data routinely accumulating in health and administrative databases. RWD studies often rely on algorithms to operationalize variable definitions. An algorithm is a combination of codes or concepts used to identify persons with a specific health condition or characteristic. Establishing the validity of algorithms is a prerequisite for generating valid study findings that can ultimately inform evidence-based health care. This paper aims to systematize terminology, methods, and practical considerations relevant to the conduct of validation studies of RWD-based algorithms. We discuss measures of algorithm accuracy; gold/reference standard; study size; prioritizing accuracy measures; algorithm portability; and implication for interpretation. Information bias is common in epidemiologic studies, underscoring the importance of transparency in decisions regarding choice and prioritizing measures of algorithm validity. The validity of an algorithm should be judged in the context of a data source, and one size does not fit all. Prioritizing validity measures within a given data source depends on the role of a given variable in the analysis (eligibility criterion, exposure, outcome or covariate). Validation work should be part of routine maintenance of RWD sources.
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BACKGROUND: Knowledge about thrombocytopenia among patients with solid tumors is scarce. We examined the risk of thrombocytopenia among patients with solid tumors and its association with adverse outcomes. METHODS: Using Danish health registries, we identified all patients with incident solid tumors from 2015-2018 (n = 52,380) and a platelet count measurement within 2 weeks prior to or on their cancer diagnosis date. The risk of thrombocytopenia was categorized as grades 0 (any platelet count × 109/L): <150; 1: <100; 2: <75; 3: <50; 4: <25, and 5: <10. To study the outcomes, each patient with thrombocytopenia was matched with up to five cancer patients without thrombocytopenia by age, sex, cancer type, and stage. Cox regression was used to compute hazard ratios (HRs) of bleeding, transfusion, or death, adjusting for confounding factors. RESULTS: The 1-year risk of thrombocytopenia was 23%, increasing to 30% at 4 years. This risk was higher in patients receiving chemotherapy (43% at 1 year and 49% at 4 years). Overall, patients with thrombocytopenia had higher 30-days rates of bleeding (HR = 1.72 [95% confidence interval, CI: 1.41-2.11]). Thrombocytopenia was also associated with an increased rate of transfusion, and death, but some of the risk estimates were imprecise. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of thrombocytopenia was substantial among patients with solid tumors and associated with adverse outcomes.
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Neoplasias , Trombocitopenia , Humanos , Trombocitopenia/epidemiología , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Sistema de Registros , Recuento de Plaquetas , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto , Hemorragia/epidemiología , Hemorragia/etiología , Anciano de 80 o más AñosRESUMEN
Patient characteristics and platelet responses at romiplostim initiation according to the duration of immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) are poorly understood. Amongst romiplostim-exposed adults with ITP lasting ≥6 months during 2009-2018 in Denmark, Sweden, and Norway, we examined characteristics at romiplostim initiation, romiplostim dosage, and durable platelet response (≥75% of measurements ≥50 × 109/L at 14-24 weeks) for subcohorts with newly diagnosed (duration <3 months), persistent (3-12 months), or chronic (>12 months) ITP initiating romiplostim. The 285 romiplostim initiators comprised 81 (28%) with newly diagnosed, 47 (16%) with persistent, and 157 (55%) with chronic ITP. More patients with newly diagnosed ITP than longer ITP duration, had low comorbidity levels, two or more prior ITP therapies, and previous bleeding requiring hospitalisation. The median romiplostim doses were similar across subcohorts. During treatment, median platelet counts were similar across subcohorts (75-76 × 109/L), and the durable platelet response was 64.6%, 52.9%, and 52.7% for newly diagnosed, persistent, and chronic ITP, respectively. After treatment cessation, the median platelet count was 138 × 109/L, 68 × 109/L, and 71 × 109/L, respectively. In conclusion, newly diagnosed patients, compared with romiplostim initiators with longer disease duration, had more severe ITP, higher frequency of durable platelet response, and higher median platelet count after cessation.
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INTRODUCTION: Based on technical advancements and clinical evidence, transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has been widely adopted. New generation TAVI valve platforms are continually being developed. Ideally, new valves should be superior or at least non-inferior regarding efficacy and safety, when compared to best-in-practice contemporary TAVI valves. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The Compare-TAVI trial (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04443023) was launched in 2020, to perform a 1:1 randomized comparison of new vs contemporary TAVI valves, preferably in all comers. Consecutive cohorts will be launched with sample sizes depending on the choice of interim analyses, expected event rates, and chosen superiority or non-inferiority margins. Enrollment has just been finalized in cohort B, comparing the Sapien 3/Sapien 3 Ultra Transcatheter Heart Valve (THV) series (Edwards Lifesciences, Irvine, California, USA) and the Myval/Myval Octacor THV series (Meril Life Sciences Pvt. Ltd., Vapi, Gujarat, India) balloon expandable valves. This non-inferiority study was aimed to include 1062 patients. The 1-year composite safety and efficacy endpoint comprises death, stroke, moderate-severe aortic regurgitation, and moderate-severe valve deterioration. Patients will be followed until withdrawal of consent, death, or completion of 10-year follow-up, whichever comes first. Secondary endpoints will be monitored at 30 days, 1, 3, 5, and 10 years. SUMMARY: The Compare-TAVI organization will launch consecutive cohorts wherein patients scheduled for TAVI are randomized to one of two valves. The aim is to ensure that the short- and long-term performance and safety of new valves being introduced is benchmarked against what achieved by best-in-practice contemporary valves.
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Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica , Prótesis Valvulares Cardíacas , Reemplazo de la Válvula Aórtica Transcatéter , Humanos , Reemplazo de la Válvula Aórtica Transcatéter/métodos , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Diseño de Prótesis , Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Resultado del Tratamiento , Masculino , FemeninoRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Uterine sarcomas are a rare group of uterine malignancies. Due to the low incidence and changes in uterine sarcoma classification, risk factors are not well characterized. Our objective was to evaluate risk factors for uterine sarcoma and compare risk factors between uterine sarcoma, malignant mixed Mullerian tumors (MMMTs), and type I endometrial carcinomas. METHODS: This nested case-control study utilized linked data from population-based medical birth and cancer registries in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. Up to 10 controls were matched on country and birth year for each uterine cancer case. Using multivariable adjusted multinomial logistic regression, estimates of the associations between pregnancy-related factors and risk of uterine sarcoma, MMMTs, and type I endometrial carcinomas were determined. RESULTS: Having a very-low-birth-weight infant (< 1500 vs. 2500-3999 g: OR [95% CI] 2.83 [1.61-4.96]) was associated with an increased risk of uterine sarcoma. Whereas, having a more recent pregnancy was associated with reduced risks of MMMT (< 10 vs. ≥ 30 years: 0.66 [0.20-2.23]) and type 1 endometrial carcinomas (0.35 [0.30-0.41]) but not uterine sarcomas (1.33 [0.90-1.98], p-heterogeneity < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Our study provides evidence that risk factors for uterine sarcoma and MMMT, previously grouped with uterine sarcomas, vary substantially. Additionally, MMMT and type I endometrial carcinomas are more similar than uterine sarcoma in that pregnancy complications like gestational hypertension and preeclampsia were associated with reduced risks of both but not uterine sarcoma, suggesting different etiologies.
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Sarcoma , Neoplasias Uterinas , Humanos , Femenino , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Embarazo , Neoplasias Uterinas/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sarcoma/epidemiología , Sistema de Registros , Países Escandinavos y Nórdicos/epidemiología , Suecia/epidemiología , Anciano , Finlandia/epidemiología , Noruega/epidemiología , Dinamarca/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To define major congenital anomaly (CA) subgroups and assess outcome variability based on defined subgroups. STUDY DESIGN: This population-based cohort study used registries in Denmark for children born with a major CA between January 1997 and December 2016, with follow-up until December 2018. We performed a latent class analysis (LCA) using child and family clinical and sociodemographic characteristics present at birth, incorporating additional variables occurring until age of 24 months. Cox proportional hazards regression models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of pediatric mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions for identified LCA classes. RESULTS: The study included 27 192 children born with a major CA. Twelve variables led to a 4-class solution (entropy = 0.74): (1) children born with higher income and fewer comorbidities (55.4%), (2) children born to young mothers with lower income (24.8%), (3) children born prematurely (10.0%), and (4) children with multiorgan involvement and developmental disability (9.8%). Compared with those in Class 1, mortality and ICU admissions were highest in Class 4 (HR = 8.9, 95% CI = 6.4-12.6 and HR = 4.1, 95% CI = 3.6-4.7, respectively). More modest increases were observed among the other classes for mortality and ICU admissions (Class 2: HR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.1-2.5 and HR = 1.3, 95% CI = 1.1-1.4, respectively; Class 3: HR = 2.5, 95% CI = 1.5-4.2 and HR = 1.5, 95% CI = 1.3-1.9, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Children with a major CA can be categorized into meaningful subgroups with good discriminative ability. These groupings may be useful for risk-stratification in outcome studies.
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Anomalías Congénitas , Análisis de Clases Latentes , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Lactante , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Recién Nacido , Anomalías Congénitas/mortalidad , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Admisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Unidades de Cuidado Intensivo Pediátrico/estadística & datos numéricos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Mortalidad del Niño , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Gestational diabetes is associated with adverse outcomes such as preterm birth (<37 weeks). However, there is no international consensus on screening criteria or diagnostic levels for gestational diabetes, and it is unknown whether body mass index (BMI) or obesity modifies the relation between glucose level and preterm birth. METHODS: We studied a pregnancy cohort restricted to two Danish regions from the linked Danish Medical Birth Register to study associations between glucose measurements from the 2-hour postload 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (one-step approach) and preterm birth from 2004 to 2018. In Denmark, gestational diabetes screening is a targeted strategy for mothers with identified risk factors. We used Poisson regression to estimate rate ratios (RR) of preterm birth with z-standardized glucose measurements. We assessed effect measure modification by stratifying analyses and testing for heterogeneity. RESULTS: Among 11,337 pregnancies (6.2% delivered preterm), we observed an adjusted preterm birth RR of 1.2 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.1, 1.3) for a one-standard deviation glucose increase of 1.4 mmol/l from the mean of 6.7 mmol/l. There was evidence for effect measure modification by obesity, for example, adjusted RR for nonobese (BMI, <30): 1.2 (95% CI = 1.1, 1.3) versus obese (BMI, ≥30): 1.3 (95% CI = 1.2-1.5), P = 0.05 for heterogeneity. CONCLUSION: Among mothers screened for gestational diabetes, increased glucose levels, even those below the diagnostic level for gestational diabetes in Denmark, were associated with increased preterm birth risk. Obesity (BMI, ≥30) may be an effect measure modifier, not just a confounder, of the relation between blood glucose and preterm birth risk.
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Índice de Masa Corporal , Diabetes Gestacional , Prueba de Tolerancia a la Glucosa , Nacimiento Prematuro , Humanos , Embarazo , Femenino , Nacimiento Prematuro/epidemiología , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Adulto , Diabetes Gestacional/epidemiología , Recién Nacido , Factores de Riesgo , Obesidad/epidemiología , Glucemia/análisis , Estudios de Cohortes , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Breast cancer has an average 10-year relative survival reaching 84%. This favorable survival is due, in part, to the introduction of biomarker-guided therapies. We estimated the population-level effect of the introduction of two adjuvant therapies-tamoxifen and trastuzumab-on recurrence using the trend-in-trend pharmacoepidemiologic study design. METHODS: We ascertained data on women diagnosed with nonmetastatic breast cancer who were registered in the Danish Breast Cancer Group clinical database. We used the trend-in-trend design to estimate the population-level effect of the introduction of (1) tamoxifen for postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer in 1982, (2) tamoxifen for premenopausal women diagnosed with ER-positive breast cancer in 1999, and (3) trastuzumab for women <60 years diagnosed with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive breast cancer in 2007. RESULTS: For the population-level effect of the introduction of tamoxifen among premenopausal women diagnosed with ER-positive breast cancer in 1999, the risk of recurrence decreased by nearly one-half (OR = 0.52), consistent with evidence from clinical trials; however, the estimate was imprecise (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.25, 1.85). We observed an imprecise association between tamoxifen use and recurrence from the time it was introduced in 1982 (OR = 1.24 95% CI = 0.46, 5.11), inconsistent with prior knowledge from clinical trials. For the introduction of trastuzumab in 2007, the estimate was also consistent with trial evidence, though imprecise (OR = 0.51; 95% CI = 0.21, 22.4). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated how novel pharmacoepidemiologic analytic designs can be used to evaluate the routine clinical care and effectiveness of therapeutic advancements in a population-based setting while considering some limitations of the approach.
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Neoplasias de la Mama , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia , Tamoxifeno , Trastuzumab , Humanos , Neoplasias de la Mama/tratamiento farmacológico , Femenino , Tamoxifeno/uso terapéutico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/epidemiología , Trastuzumab/uso terapéutico , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Adulto , Receptores de Estrógenos , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Farmacoepidemiología , Anciano , Antineoplásicos Hormonales/uso terapéutico , Premenopausia , Receptor ErbB-2 , PosmenopausiaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Urticaria has been tentatively linked to cancer, but epidemiological evidence supporting this link is sparse and conflicting. We therefore conducted a population-based cohort study using healthcare databases of the Danish population (January 1980-December 2022). We followed 87,507 people for a median of 10.1 years after first hospital contact for urticaria. OBJECTIVES: To examine associations of a hospital diagnosis of urticaria with incident cancer. METHODS: We computed absolute risk of cancer and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) standardized to Danish national cancer rates. In a cross-sectional analysis, we examined whether the extent of cancer spread differed between people with vs. without a previous urticaria diagnosis. RESULTS: The overall SIR for all types of cancer was 1.09 (95% CI, 1.06-1.11) based on 7,788 observed vs. 7,161 expected cases. The risk for any cancer was 0.7% (95% CI, 0.6-0.7) for the first year of follow-up. Cancer was diagnosed in 588 people with urticaria during the first year of follow-up (SIR 1.49, 95% CI, 1.38-1.62) and in 7,200 people thereafter (SIR 1.06, 95% CI, 1.04-1.09). During the first year of follow-up, we found strong associations with hematological cancers (e.g., non-Hodgkin lymphoma SIR 2.91, 95% CI, 1.92-4.23). Cancer stage was similar in people with vs. without previous urticaria diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: At the time of urticaria diagnosis, or in the first year afterwards, we found a large increase in the risk for cancer. In subsequent years, a persistent 6% increase in risk remained. Diagnostic efforts may partly explain the elevated short-term risk, but occult cancer may promote urticaria, or cancer and urticaria share common risk factors.
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AIMS: To develop and externally validate the LIFE-T1D model for the estimation of lifetime and 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals with type 1 diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A sex-specific competing risk-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model was derived in individuals with type 1 diabetes without prior CVD from the Swedish National Diabetes Register (NDR), using age as the time axis. Predictors included age at diabetes onset, smoking status, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, glycated haemoglobin level, estimated glomerular filtration rate, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, albuminuria and retinopathy. The model was externally validated in the Danish Funen Diabetes Database (FDDB) and the UK Biobank. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11.8 years (interquartile interval 6.1-17.1 years), 4608 CVD events and 1316 non-CVD deaths were observed in the NDR (n = 39 756). The internal validation c-statistic was 0.85 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.84-0.85) and the external validation c-statistics were 0.77 (95% CI 0.74-0.81) for the FDDB (n = 2709) and 0.73 (95% CI 0.70-0.77) for the UK Biobank (n = 1022). Predicted risks were consistent with the observed incidence in the derivation and both validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The LIFE-T1D model can estimate lifetime risk of CVD and CVD-free life expectancy in individuals with type 1 diabetes without previous CVD. This model can facilitate individualized CVD prevention among individuals with type 1 diabetes. Validation in additional cohorts will improve future clinical implementation.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1 , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/sangre , Masculino , Femenino , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Medición de Riesgo , Suecia/epidemiología , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Sistema de Registros , Angiopatías Diabéticas/epidemiología , Estudios de Seguimiento , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Hemoglobina Glucada/análisis , Hemoglobina Glucada/metabolismo , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Edad de Inicio , Índice de Masa CorporalRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The use of fertility indicators to predict ovulation has largely been studied for contraceptive purposes, while less so as fertility-promoting tools. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between fertility indicators and fecundability in Danish women trying to conceive. METHODS: Web-based preconception cohort study. We analysed data from 11,328 females aged 18-49 years trying to conceive without fertility treatment for ≤6 menstrual cycles, from the Danish SnartGravid.dk and SnartForældre.dk cohorts (2007-2023). Participants reported the use of fertility indicators (counting days since the last menstrual period, cervical fluid monitoring, urinary ovulation testing, feeling ovulation, using a smartphone fertility app and measuring basal body temperature [BBT]). Time to pregnancy was measured in menstrual cycles ascertained by self-reported pregnancy status. We estimated fecundability ratios (FR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using proportional probabilities regression models adjusted for age, socio-economic position, health indicators, reproductive history and gynaecological factors. RESULTS: Fertility indicators were used by 63.3% of participants at study entry. Counting days was the most common (46.9%), while measuring BBT was the least (3.0%). Other indicators ranged from 17.0% to 23.6%, with 69.7% using more than one indicator. Compared with non-use, use of any fertility indicator was associated with greater fecundability (adjusted FR 1.14, 95% CI 1.08, 1.19). Cervical fluid monitoring showed the strongest association (aFR 1.46, 95% CI 1.03, 2.07), followed by urinary ovulation testing (aFR 1.35, 95% CI 1.16, 1.58) and counting days (aFR 1.18, 95% CI 1.09, 1.29). Feeling ovulation and fertility apps were modestly associated with fecundability, while measuring BBT was not associated. Sensitivity analysis restricting to ≤2 cycles of attempt time and two cycles of follow-up showed an aFR for any indicator use of 1.21 (95% CI 1.13, 1.31). CONCLUSION: In this Danish preconception cohort, use of fertility indicators was associated with a higher fecundability, varying by type of indicator.
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OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between vaginal bleeding (VB) in pregnancy and women's mortality, using VB-unaffected pregnancies, terminations and miscarriages as comparators. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: Nationwide registries of Denmark linked at an individual level. POPULATION OR SAMPLE: 1 354 181 women and their 3 162 317 pregnancies (1979-2017), including 70 835 VB-affected pregnancies and comparators: 2 236 359 VB-unaffected pregnancies ending in childbirth; 589 697 terminations; and 265 426 miscarriages. METHODS: We followed pregnancies until the earliest date of woman's death, emigration or end of data. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: All-cause and cause-specific mortality rates per 10 000 person-years (PY) and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted using Cox proportional hazards regression for age, calendar year, pre-existing chronic conditions and socio-economic factors. RESULTS: There were 2320 deaths from any cause among women following VB-affected pregnancy (mortality rate 15.2, 95% CI 14.6-15.9 per 10 000 PY); 55 030 deaths following VB-unaffected pregnancy (mortality rate 12.7, 95% CI 12.6-12.8); 27 500 deaths following a termination (mortality rate 21.9, 95% CI 21.6-22.1), and 10 865 deaths following a miscarriage (mortality rate 19.2, 95% CI 18.8-19.6). For comparison of VB-affected versus VB-unaffected pregnancies, associations with all-cause (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.09-1.19), natural causes (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.09-1.22) and non-natural causes (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.08-1.48) mortality were attenuated in a sensitivity analysis of pregnancies recorded in 1994-2017 (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.90-1.12, HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.85-1.14 and HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.72-1.51, respectively). Contrasts with remaining comparators did not suggest increased risks of all-cause, natural or non-natural mortality causes. CONCLUSION: We found no evidence of an increased risk of women's mortality following VB-affected versus VB-unaffected pregnancy, termination or miscarriage.
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Aborto Espontáneo , Complicaciones del Embarazo , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Aborto Espontáneo/epidemiología , Parto Obstétrico , Hemorragia UterinaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To compare stillbirth rates and risks for small for gestational age (SGA), large for gestational age (LGA) and appropriate for gestational age (AGA) pregnancies at 24-44 completed weeks of gestation using a birth-based and fetuses-at-risk approachs. DESIGN: Population-based, multi-country study. SETTING: National data systems in 15 high- and middle-income countries. POPULATION: Live births and stillbirths. METHODS: A total of 151 country-years of data, including 126 543 070 births across 15 countries from 2000 to 2020, were compiled. Births were categorised into SGA, AGA and LGA using INTERGROWTH-21st standards. Gestation-specific stillbirth rates, with total births as the denominator, and gestation-specific stillbirth risks, with fetuses still in utero as the denominator, were calculated from 24 to 44 weeks of gestation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Gestation-specific stillbirth rates and risks according to size at birth. RESULTS: The overall stillbirth rate was 4.22 per 1000 total births (95% CI 4.22-4.23) across all gestations. Applying the birth-based approach, the stillbirth rates were highest at 24 weeks of gestation, with 621.6 per 1000 total births (95% CI 620.9-622.2) for SGA pregnancies, 298.4 per 1000 total births (95% CI 298.1-298.7) for AGA pregnancies and 338.5 per 1000 total births (95% CI 337.9-339.0) for LGA pregnancies. Applying the fetuses-at-risk approach, the gestation-specific stillbirth risk was highest for SGA pregnancies (1.3-1.4 per 1000 fetuses at risk) prior to 29 weeks of gestation. The risk remained stable between 30 and 34 weeks of gestation, and then increased gradually from 35 weeks of gestation to the highest rate of 8.4 per 1000 fetuses at risk (95% CI 8.3-8.4) at ≥42 weeks of gestation. The stillbirth risk ratio (RR) was consistently high for SGA compared with AGA pregnancies, with the highest RR observed at ≥42 weeks of gestation (RR 9.2, 95% CI 15.2-13.2), and with the lowest RR observed at 24 weeks of gestation (RR 3.1, 95% CI 1.9-4.3). The stillbirth RR was also consistently high for SGA compared with AGA pregnancies across all countries, with national variability ranging from RR 0.70 (95% CI 0.43-0.97) in Mexico to RR 8.6 (95% CI 8.1-9.1) in Uruguay. No increased risk for LGA pregnancies was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Small for gestational age (SGA) was strongly associated with stillbirth risk in this study based on high-quality data from high- and middle-income countries. The highest RRs were seen in preterm gestations, with two-thirds of the stillbirths born as preterm births. To advance our understanding of stillbirth, further analyses should be conducted using high-quality data sets from low-income settings, particularly those with relatively high rates of SGA.
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IMPORTANCE: The burden of caring for children with complex medical problems such as major congenital anomalies falls principally on mothers, who in turn suffer a variety of potentially severe economic consequences. As well, health consequences of caregiving often further impact the social and economic prospects of mothers of children with major congenital anomalies (MCMCAs). Evaluating the long-term economic consequences of extensive in-home caregiving among MCMCAs can inform strategies to mitigate these effects. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether MCMCAs face reduced employment and increased need for disability benefits over a 20-year period. DESIGN: A population-based matched cohort study. SETTING: Denmark. PARTICIPANTS: All women who gave birth to a singleton child with a major congenital anomaly in Denmark between January 1, 1997 and December 31, 2017 (n = 23,637) and a comparison cohort of mothers matched by maternal age, parity, and infant's year of birth (n = 234,586). EXPOSURES: Liveborn infant with a major congenital anomaly. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was mothers' employment status, stratified by their child's age. Employment status was categorized as employed, outside the workforce (on temporary leave, holding a flexible job, or pursuing education), or unemployed; the number of weeks in each category was measured over time. The secondary outcome was time to receipt of a disability pension, which in Denmark implies permanent exit from the labor market. We used a negative binomial regression model to estimate the number of weeks in each employment category, stratified by the child's age (i.e., 0-1 year, > 1-6 years, 7-13 years, 14-18 years). A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to compute hazard ratios as a measure of the relative risk of receiving a disability pension. Rate ratios and hazard ratios were adjusted for maternal demographics, pregnancy history, health, and infant's year of birth. RESULTS: During 1-6 years after delivery, MCMCAs were outside the workforce for a median of 50 weeks (IQR, 6-107 weeks), while members of the comparison cohort were outside the workforce for a median of 48 weeks (IQR, 4-98 weeks), corresponding to an adjusted rate ratio [ARR] of 1.05 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.07). During the first year after delivery, MCMCAs were more likely to be employed than mothers in the comparison cohort (ARR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.06-1.10). At all timepoints thereafter, MCMCAs had a lower rate of workforce participation. The rate of being outside the workforce was 5% higher than mothers in the comparison cohort during 1-6 years after delivery (ARR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.04-1.07), 9% higher during 7-13 years after delivery (ARR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.06-1.12), and 12% higher during 14-18 years after delivery (ARR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.07-1.18). Overall, MCMCAs had a 20% increased risk of receiving a disability pension during follow-up than mothers in the matched comparison cohort [incidence rates 3.10 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 2.89-3.32) vs. 2.34 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 2.29-2.40), adjusted hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.11-1.29]. CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: MCMCAs were less likely to participate in the Danish workforce, less likely to be employed, and more likely to receive disability pensions than mothers of unaffected children. The rate of leaving the workforce intensified as their affected children grew older. The high demands of caregiving among MCMCAs may have long-term employment consequences even in nations with comprehensive and heavily tax-supported childcare systems, such as Denmark.
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Madres , Desempleo , Niño , Lactante , Embarazo , Humanos , Femenino , Recién Nacido , Estudios de Cohortes , Escolaridad , Dinamarca/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Revisions due to periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) are underestimated in national arthroplasty registries. Our primary objective was to assess the validity in the Danish Knee Arthroplasty Register (DKR) of revisions performed due to PJI against the Healthcare-Associated Infections Database (HAIBA). The secondary aim was to describe the cumulative incidences of revision due to PJI within 1 year of primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) according to the DKR, HAIBA, and DKR/HAIBA combined. METHODS: This longitudinal observational cohort study included 56,305 primary TKAs (2010-2018), reported in both the DKR and HAIBA. In the DKR, revision performed due to PJI was based on pre- and intraoperative assessment disclosed by the surgeon immediately after surgery. In HAIBA, PJI was identified from knee-related revision procedures coinciding with 2 biopsies with identical microbiological pathogens. We calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of revision due to PJI in the DKR (vs. HAIBA, within 1 year of TKA) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Cumulative incidences were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: The DKR's sensitivity for PJI revision was 58% (CI 53-62) and varied by TKA year (41%-68%) and prosthetic type (31% for monoblock; 63% for modular). The specificity was 99.8% (CI 99.7-99.8), PPV 64% (CI 62-72), and NPV 99.6% (CI 99.6-99.7). 80% of PJI cases not captured by the DKR were caused by non-reporting rather than misclassification. 33% of PJI cases in the DKR or HAIBA were culture-negative. Considering potential misclassifications, the best-case sensitivity was 64%. The cumulative incidences of PJI were 0.8% in the DKR, 0.9% in HAIBA, and 1.1% when combining data. CONCLUSION: The sensitivity of revision due to PJI in the DKR was 58%. The cumulative incidence of PJI within 1 year after TKA was highest (1.1%) when combining the DKR and HAIBA, showing that incorporating microbiology data into arthroplasty registries can enhance PJI validity.
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Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla , Infecciones Relacionadas con Prótesis , Humanos , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla/efectos adversos , Incidencia , Infecciones Relacionadas con Prótesis/diagnóstico , Infecciones Relacionadas con Prótesis/epidemiología , Infecciones Relacionadas con Prótesis/etiología , Sistema de Registros , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Reoperación/métodos , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The association between assisted reproductive technologies (ARTs) and the body mass index (BMI) of children remains controversial. Confounding by morbidity and other factors associated with parental infertility may have biased studies comparing children born after ART with children born after no treatment. We investigated the associations between different fertility treatments and BMI in children at age 5 to 8 years, adjusting for and stratifying by causes of parental infertility. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This Danish cohort study included 327,301 children born between 2007 and 2012 (51% males, median age at follow-up 7 years). Of these, 13,675 were born after ART, 7,728 were born after ovulation induction with or without intrauterine insemination [OI/IUI], and 305,898 were born after no fertility treatments. Using the International Obesity Task Force (IOTF) standards, we defined overweight (BMI ≥ IOTF-25) and obesity (BMI ≥ IOTF-30). We compared children born after ART versus OI/IUI; intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) versus conventional in vitro fertilization (IVF); and frozen-thawed versus fresh embryo transfer and estimated crude and adjusted prevalences of children with overweight or obesity at age 5 to 8 years, prevalence odds ratios (PORs), and differences in mean BMI z-scores. Adjustment was performed using stabilized inverse probability of treatment weights, including parity, year of conception, parental causes of infertility, age, educational level, comorbidities, maternal country of origin, BMI, and smoking as covariates. The crude prevalence of obesity was 1.9% in children born after ART, 2.0% in those born after OI/IUI, and 2.7% in those born after no fertility treatment. After adjustment, children born after ART and OI/IUI had the same prevalence of being overweight (11%; POR 1.00, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91 to 1.11; p = 0.95) or obese (1.9%; POR 1.01, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.29; p = 0.94). Comparison of ICSI with conventional IVF yielded similar pattern (POR 0.95, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.07; p = 0.39 for overweight and POR 1.16, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.61; p = 0.36 for obesity). Obesity was more prevalent after frozen-thawed (2.7%) than fresh embryo transfer (1.8%) (POR 1.54, 95% CI 1.09 to 2.17; p = 0.01). The associations between fertility treatments and BMI were only modestly different in subgroups defined by the cause of infertility. Study limitations include potential residual confounding, restriction to live births, and lack of detailed technical information about the IVF procedures. CONCLUSIONS: We found no association with BMI at age 5 to 8 years when comparing ART versus OI/IUI or when comparing ICSI versus conventional IVF. However, use of frozen-thawed embryo transfer was associated with a 1.5-fold increased risk of obesity compared to fresh embryo transfer. Despite an elevated relative risk, the absolute risk difference was low.
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Infertilidad , Obesidad Infantil , Embarazo , Femenino , Niño , Masculino , Humanos , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Obesidad Infantil/epidemiología , Obesidad Infantil/etiología , Obesidad Infantil/terapia , Sobrepeso/epidemiología , Sobrepeso/etiología , Semen , Técnicas Reproductivas Asistidas/efectos adversos , Infertilidad/epidemiología , Infertilidad/terapia , Dinamarca/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Aim: To examine whether low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels influence the cardiovascular risk associated with non-aspirin non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use after myocardial infarction (MI). Methods: Using Danish health registries, we conducted a population-based cohort study of all adult patients with first-time MI during 2010-2020 with an LDL-C value before discharge. Based on the latest LDL-C value, we categorized patients into a low and a high LDL-C group (<3.0 vs ≥3.0 mmol/L). We used time varying Cox regression to compute hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals of the association between NSAID use and a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE: recurrent MI, ischemic stroke, and all-cause death). Results: We followed 50,573 patients for a median of 3.1 years. While exposed, 521 patients experienced a MACE: 312 in the low LDL-C group and 209 in the high LDL-C group. The HRs for MACE comparing NSAID use with non-use were 1.21 (1.11-1.32) overall, 1.19 (1.06-1.33) in the low LDL-C group, and 1.23 (1.07-1.41) in the high LDL-group. The HRs for recurrent MI and ischemic stroke were comparable between the LDL-C subgroups. The HRs for all-cause death were 1.22 (1.07-1.39) in the low LDL-C group and 1.54 (1.30-1.83) in the high LDL-C group. Changing the cut-off value for LDL-C to 1.8 and 1.4 mmol/L showed consistent results. Conclusion: In patients with MI, LDL-C levels did not influence the increased risk of MACE associated with NSAID use, but might influence the association between NSAID use and all-cause death.
RESUMEN
Being able to critically evaluate modern cohort studies is important when being presented with claims based on observational evidence. In this review article, key aspects of the cohort design are presented using an example of a cohort study investigating the association between the use of SGLT2 inhibitors and gout. We describe the active comparator, new user design, modern methods used to address confounding, how to identify the most common sources of bias, and how to interpret study results appropriately.
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Inhibidores del Cotransportador de Sodio-Glucosa 2 , Humanos , Estudios de CohortesRESUMEN
The case-control design is one of the key designs used in observational research. In this review, we discuss common pitfalls of case-control studies and describe how case-control studies can be critically evaluated. We further assert that a well-conducted case-control study provides the same results, precision, and level of evidence as a corresponding cohort study.