Machine Learning Approach to Metabolomic Data Predicts Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Incidence.

Metabolomics, with its wealth of data, offers a valuable avenue for enhancing predictions and decision-making in diabetes. This observational study aimed to leverage machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict the 4-year risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) using targeted quantitative metabolomics data. A cohort of 279 cardiovascular risk patients who underwent coronary angiography and who were initially free of T2DM according to American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria was analyzed at baseline, including anthropometric data and targeted metabolomics, using liquid chromatography (LC)-mass spectroscopy (MS) and flow injection analysis (FIA)-MS, respectively. All patients were followed for four years. During this time, 11.5% of the patients developed T2DM. After data preprocessing, 362 variables were used for ML, employing the Caret package in R. The dataset was divided into training and test sets (75:25 ratio) and we used an oversampling approach to address the classifier imbalance of T2DM incidence. After an additional recursive feature elimination step, identifying a set of 77 variables that were the most valuable for model generation, a Support Vector Machine (SVM) model with a linear kernel demonstrated the most promising predictive capabilities, exhibiting an F1 score of 50%, a specificity of 93%, and balanced and unbalanced accuracies of 72% and 88%, respectively. The top-ranked features were bile acids, ceramides, amino acids, and hexoses, whereas anthropometric features such as age, sex, waist circumference, or body mass index had no contribution. In conclusion, ML analysis of metabolomics data is a promising tool for identifying individuals at risk of developing T2DM and opens avenues for personalized and early intervention strategies.

Evaluation of SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels on hospital admission as a correlate of protection against mortality.

BACKGROUND: Millions of people have now been vaccinated against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). However, it is still unclear which antibody levels provide protection against mortality. It is further unknown whether measuring antibody concentrations on hospital admission allows for identifying patients with a high risk of mortality. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether anti-SARS-CoV2-spike antibodies on hospital admission predict in-hospital mortality in patients with coronavirus disease 2019. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, multicentre cohort study on 1152 hospitalized patients who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 with a polymerase chain reaction-based assay. Patients were classified by vaccination status. Anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibodies were determined on hospital admission. The investigated end point was in-hospital mortality for any cause. RESULTS: Spike antibodies on hospital admission were significantly lower in non-survivors in both non-vaccinated (73 U/ml, 95%CI 0-164 vs. 175 U/ml, 95%CI 124-235, p = 0.002) and vaccinated patients (1056 U/ml, 95%CI 701-1411 vs. 1668 U/ml, 95%CI 1580-1757, p < 0.001). Further, spike antibodies were significantly lower in fully vaccinated and boostered patients who died compared to those who survived (mean 883 U/ml, 95%CI 406-1359 vs. 1292 U/ml, 95%CI 1152-1431, p = 0.017 and 1485 U/ml, 95%CI 836-2133 vs. 2050 U/ml, 95%CI 1952-2149, p = 0.036). Patients infected with the currently prevailing Omicron variant were three times more likely to die if spike antibodies were <1200 U/ml (OR 3.458, 95%CI 1.562-7.656, p = 0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, this value increased to an aOR of 4.079 (95%CI 1.809-9.198, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Anti-SARS-CoV2 spike-antibody levels on hospital admission are inversely associated with in-hospital mortality. Hospitalized patients with lower antibody levels have a higher risk of mortality.

Empagliflozin in acute myocardial infarction: the EMMY trial.

AIMS: Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibition reduces the risk of hospitalization for heart failure and for death in patients with symptomatic heart failure. However, trials investigating the effects of this drug class in patients following acute myocardial infarction are lacking. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this academic, multicentre, double-blind trial, patients (n = 476) with acute myocardial infarction accompanied by a large creatine kinase elevation (>800 IU/L) were randomly assigned to empagliflozin 10 mg or matching placebo once daily within 72 h of percutaneous coronary intervention. The primary outcome was the N-terminal pro-hormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) change over 26 weeks. Secondary outcomes included changes in echocardiographic parameters. Baseline median (interquartile range) NT-proBNP was 1294 (757-2246) pg/mL. NT-proBNP reduction was significantly greater in the empagliflozin group, compared with placebo, being 15% lower [95% confidence interval (CI) -4.4% to -23.6%] after adjusting for baseline NT-proBNP, sex, and diabetes status (P = 0.026). Absolute left-ventricular ejection fraction improvement was significantly greater (1.5%, 95% CI 0.2-2.9%, P = 0.029), mean E/e' reduction was 6.8% (95% CI 1.3-11.3%, P = 0.015) greater, and left-ventricular end-systolic and end-diastolic volumes were lower by 7.5 mL (95% CI 3.4-11.5 mL, P = 0.0003) and 9.7 mL (95% CI 3.7-15.7 mL, P = 0.0015), respectively, in the empagliflozin group, compared with placebo. Seven patients were hospitalized for heart failure (three in the empagliflozin group). Other predefined serious adverse events were rare and did not differ significantly between groups. CONCLUSION: In patients with a recent myocardial infarction, empagliflozin was associated with a significantly greater NT-proBNP reduction over 26 weeks, accompanied by a significant improvement in echocardiographic functional and structural parameters. CLINICALTRIALS.GOV REGISTRATION: NCT03087773.

Impact of ezetimibe on markers of inflammation in patients treated with statins: a systematic review.

Statins are the primary pharmacological intervention to reduce LDL cholesterol; they significantly reduce inflammatory markers. Ezetimibe also reduces LDL cholesterol and reduces cardiovascular events when given on top of statin therapy. Whether ezetimibe, like statins, reduces markers of inflammation is less clear. We, therefore, conducted a systematic literature research addressing the impact of ezetimibe on CRP, TNFα and IL-6 when given on top of statin therapy. Our work indicates that overall ezetimibe reduces inflammation on top of statin treatment. However, available data are limited for CRP and even more so for TNFα and IL-6.

Evaluation of the associations between circulating microRNAs and kidney function in coronary angiography patients.

Circulating microRNAs (miRNAs) have been linked to chronic kidney disease. Little is known about the association between circulating miRNAs and kidney function in patients at high cardiovascular risk. We therefore investigated the association between a panel of candidate miRNAs and kidney function, based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), in two independent cohorts of patients undergoing coronary angiography. The present study totally included 438 patients undergoing coronary angiography, who were divided into a discovery cohort (n = 120) and a validation cohort (n = 318). A candidate miRNA panel comprising 50 renal miRNAs was selected from the literature, and expression levels of circulating miRNAs were determined by real-time PCR. Out of the initially tested candidate miRNAs, 38 miRNAs were sufficiently detectable in plasma. Their association with kidney function was evaluated in the discovery cohort. Associations of seven of these miRNAs with eGFR were significant after multiple testing correction via false discovery rate estimation. To verify obtained results, miRNAs with significant false discovery rates were further analyzed in the validation cohort. miR-106b-5p, miR-16-5p, miR-19b-3p, miR-20a-5p, miR-25-3p, and miR-451a proved to be significantly associated with eGFR also in the validation cohort (all P < 0.001). Association between the identified renal miRNAs and kidney function was confirmed by analysis of covariance adjusting for age, sex, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and albumin-to-creatinine ratio. In conclusion, our study showed that miR-16-5p, miR-19b-3p, miR-20a-5p, miR-25-3p, miR-106b-5p, and miR-451a are significantly linked to kidney function in patients undergoing coronary angiography.

Impact of EMpagliflozin on cardiac function and biomarkers of heart failure in patients with acute MYocardial infarction-The EMMY trial.

BACKGROUND: Sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are established antidiabetic drugs with proven cardiovascular benefit. Although growing evidence suggests beneficial effects on myocardial remodeling, fluid balance and cardiac function, the impact of empagliflozin initiated early after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has not been investigated yet. Therefore, the impact of EMpagliflozin on cardiac function and biomarkers of heart failure in patients with acute MYocardial infarction (EMMY) trial was designed to investigate the efficacy and safety of empagliflozin in diabetic and non-diabetic patients after severe AMI. METHODS: Within a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3b trial we will enroll patients with AMI and characteristics suggestive of severe myocardial necrosis are randomized in a 1:1 ratio to empagliflozin (10 mg once daily) or matching placebo. The primary endpoint is the impact of empagliflozin on changes in NT-proBNP within 6 months after AMI. Secondary endpoints include changes in echocardiographic parameters, levels of ketone body concentrations, HbA1c levels and body weight, respectively. Hospitalization rate due to heart failure or other causes, the duration of hospital stay and all-cause mortality will be assessed as exploratory secondary endpoints. DISCUSSION: The EMMY trial will test empagliflozin in patients with AMI regardless of their diabetic status. The EMMY trial may therefore underpin the concept of SGLT2 inhibition to improve cardiac remodeling, pre-and afterload reduction and cardiac metabolism regardless of its antidiabetic effects. Results will provide the rationale for the conduct of a cardiovascular outcome trial to test the effect of empagliflozin in patients with AMI.

Comparison of preoperative continuation and discontinuation of aspirin in patients undergoing total hip or knee arthroplasty.

INTRODUCTION: Preoperative discontinuation of aspirin (acetylsalicylic acid) can reduce bleeding risk but may increase the risk of perioperative cardiovascular events. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively assessed the impact of preoperative continuation versus discontinuation of aspirin compared with a control group in a cohort of 739 consecutive patients undergoing total hip (THA) (n = 396) or knee arthroplasty (TKA) (n = 343) at a tertiary hospital. Bleeding risk, local complications, orthopaedic outcome, and cardiac and cerebral complications were assessed. RESULTS: Four hundred and sixty-five patients did not receive antithrombotic or full-dose anticoagulant medication, 175 patients were taking low-dose aspirin, 99 vitamin K antagonists, clopidogrel, or a combination of these drugs. Of the patients taking aspirin, 139 discontinued and 36 continued aspirin. Blood loss and local bleeding complications were comparable in these two groups. TKA patients who continued aspirin more frequently showed marked knee swelling after 1 week than those discontinuing aspirin (35.1 vs. 81.3 %; p = 0.001). However, orthopaedic outcome did not differ significantly between the two groups. There was a trend towards an increased risk of cardiac complications in patients who discontinued aspirin (6.5 vs. 0.0 %; p = 0.107). CONCLUSIONS: Continuation or discontinuation of aspirin did not show a statistically significant difference in the risk of relevant perioperative bleeding complications in our study. Continuation of aspirin was associated with a transitory increase in knee swelling, but had no effect on orthopaedic outcome. Continuation of aspirin may be associated with a favourable perioperative cardiac outcome. Our data support perioperative continuation of aspirin intake in patients undergoing THA or TKA.

Lipid parameters in patients with acute coronary syndromes versus stable coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Differences in lipid parameters between patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) and patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD) are unclear and are addressed in this study. METHODS: We enrolled 582 patients with angiographically proven stable CAD (of whom 26·9% had diabetes mellitus type 2 (T2DM)) and 182 patients with ACS (of whom 35·8% had T2DM). RESULTS: HDL cholesterol and apolipoprotein A1 levels were significantly lower in patients with ACS than in patients with CAD (46 ± 16 mg/dL vs. 50 ± 16 mg/dL, P < 0·001, and 139 ± 30 mg/dL vs. 155 ± 31 mg/dL, P < 0·001, respectively). Analysis of covariance (ancova) adjusting for age, gender, smoking, BMI, statin therapy, alcohol use, hypertension and diabetic state confirmed an independent impact of ACS on HDL cholesterol and apolipoprotein A1 levels (F = 24·1; P < 0·001). In contrast, total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, non-HDL cholesterol and apolipoprotein B levels did not differ significantly between patients with ACS and patients with stable CAD. CONCLUSION: HDL cholesterol and apolipoprotein A1 levels are lower in patients with ACS than in patients with stable CAD.