Time series analysis and short-term forecasting of monkeypox outbreak trends in the 10 major affected countries.

BACKGROUND: Considering the rapidly spreading monkeypox outbreak, WHO has declared a global health emergency. Still in the category of being endemic, the monkeypox disease shares numerous clinical characters with smallpox. This study focuses on determining the most effective combination of autoregressive integrated moving average model to encapsulate time dependent flow behaviour of the virus with short run prediction. METHODS: This study includes the data of confirmed reported cases and cumulative cases from eight most burdened countries across the globe, over the span of May 18, 2022, to December 31, 2022. The data was assembled from the website of Our World in Data and it involves countries such as United States, Brazil, Spain, France, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, United Kingdom, Germany and Canada. The job of modelling and short-term forecasting is facilitated by the employment of autoregressive integrated moving average. The legitimacy of the estimated models is argued by offering numerous model performance indices such as, root mean square error, mean absolute error and mean absolute prediction error. RESULTS: The best fit models were deduced for each country by using the data of confirmed reported cases of monkeypox infections. Based on diverse set of performance evaluation criteria, the best fit models were then employed to provide forecasting of next twenty days. Our results indicate that the USA is expected to be the hardest-hit country, with an average of 58 cases per day with 95% confidence interval of (00-400). The second most burdened country remained Brazil with expected average cases of 23 (00-130). The outlook is not much better for Spain and France, with average forecasts of 52 (00-241) and 24 (00-121), respectively. CONCLUSION: This research provides profile of ten most severely hit countries by monkeypox transmission around the world and thus assists in epidemiological management. The prediction trends indicate that the confirmed cases in the USA may exceed than other contemporaries. Based on the findings of this study, it remains plausible to recommend that more robust health surveillance strategy is required to control the transmission flow of the virus especially in USA.

Allicin May Promote Reversal of T-Cell Dysfunction in Periodontitis via the PD-1 Pathway.

We evaluated the role of allicin in periodontitis using an in silico and in vitro design. An in silico docking analysis was performed to assess the plausible interactions between allicin and PD-L1. The cytokine profile of gingival crevicular fluid (GCF) samples obtained from periodontitis patients was estimated by cytometric bead array. CD3+ lymphocytes isolated from the peripheral blood were sorted and characterized using immunomagnetic techniques. Cultured and expanded lymphocytes were treated with the GCF samples to induce T-cell exhaustion. Optimum concentrations of allicin were added to exhausted lymphocytes to compare the expression of TIM-3 and LAG-3 gene expression at baseline and post-treatment. Allicin was found to bind to the PD-L1 molecule as revealed by the in-silico experiment, which is possibly an inhibitory interaction although not proven. GCF from periodontitis patients had significantly higher concentrations of TNF-α, CCL2, IL-6, IFN-γ, and CXCL8 than controls. GCF treatment of CD3+ lymphocytes from the periodontitis patients significantly increased expression of T-cell exhaustion markers TIM-3 and LAG-3. Allicin administration with GCF treatment resulted in significant lowering of the expression of exhaustion markers. Allicin may exert an immunostimulatory role and reverse immune-destructive mechanisms such as T-cell exhaustion.

Immediate versus delayed loading of mandibular implant-retained overdentures: A 60-month follow-up of a randomized clinical trial.

AIM: The purpose of this observational, post-trial follow-up study was to evaluate 60-month outcomes of a randomized controlled clinical trial that compared immediately and delayed loaded two unsplinted implants, supporting a locator-retained mandibular overdenture. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients from a randomized controlled clinical trial, treated with either immediate or delayed loading of two implants, supporting a locator-retained mandibular overdenture, were recalled for 60-month evaluation. Patients underwent a clinical and radiographic examination to evaluate the peri-implant soft tissue parameters and bone. Prosthetic maintenance needs and complications were also recorded. RESULTS: Twenty three of the 30 patients were available for the 60-month follow-up. The mean radiographic bone level change measured using standardized periapical radiographs from baseline to 60 months was 0.89 mm (±0.74) and 0.18 (±0.41) for delayed loading and immediate loading groups, respectively. A statistically significant difference was observed at 60 months with a smaller radiographic bone level change in the immediate loading group. No implants were lost between 12 and 60 months. At 60 months, per-protocol implant survival rate was 100% for both the groups. No difference was found in the peri-implant soft tissue parameters and prosthetic needs between the groups. CONCLUSION: Both immediately and delayed loaded implants supporting a locator-retained mandibular overdenture showed similar clinical outcomes.

Clinical outcomes of lithium disilicate single crowns and partial fixed dental prostheses: a systematic review.

STATEMENT OF PROBLEM: Lithium disilicate is a relatively new and popular restorative material for esthetic and functional rehabilitations, but the evidence for clinical outcomes is not clear. PURPOSE: The purpose of this systematic review was to analyze the short-term (1- to 5-year) and medium-term (5- to 10-year) survival rates of lithium disilicate single crowns and partial fixed dental prostheses. MATERIAL AND METHODS: An electronic search for articles in the English-language literature published between January 1998 and June 2013 was performed with the PubMed search engine. The specific search terms used were lithium disilicate, lithium silicate, IPS e max, IPS Empress, CAD CAM, pressed ceramic, monolithic, and bilayer. After applying predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria, the definitive list of selected articles was suitable only for calculating the interval survival rate and cumulative survival rate. RESULTS: The electronic search resulted in 2033 titles. The systematic application of inclusion and exclusion criteria resulted in 12 clinical studies that addressed the clinical outcomes of lithium disilicate restorations. Of these, 2 were randomized controlled trials, 5 were prospective studies, 1 was a retrospective study, and 4 studies were descriptive in nature. All 12 studies reported on tooth-retained lithium disilicate restorations. The 2-year cumulative survival rate for single crowns was 100%, and the 5-year cumulative survival rate was 97.8%. The 2-year cumulative survival rate for fixed dental prostheses was 83.3%, and the 5-year cumulative survival rate was 78.1%. The cumulative survival rate over a 10-year period, primarily owing to data from 1 study, was 96.7% for single crowns and 70.9% for fixed dental prostheses. CONCLUSIONS: For lithium disilicate single crowns, the existing evidence indicates excellent short-term survival rates, but the evidence for medium-term survival is limited. For lithium disilicate fixed dental prostheses, the evidence for short-term survival is fair, although limited, but the evidence for medium-term survival is not promising. The majority of failures in both types of restorations were reported in the posterior region.

Exploring the synergistic effect of carboxymethyl cellulose and chitosan in enhancing thermal stability of polyurethanes through statistical mixture design approach.

The thermal stability of polyurethanes, known for its limitations, was addressed in this research by seeking improvement through the introduction of carbohydrate-based chain extenders. In this research paper, we systematically sought to improve the thermal resistance of polyurethanes by incorporating carboxymethyl cellulose and chitosan, representing a pioneering application of the mixture design approach in their preparation. In this synthesis, hydroxyl-terminated polybutadiene and isophorone diisocyanate (IPDI) were reacted to prepare -NCO terminated prepolymer, which was subsequently reacted with varying mole ratios of CMC and CSN to develop a series of five PU samples. The prepared PU samples were characterized using the Fourier-transformed infrared spectroscopic technique. Thermal pyrolysis of PU samples was examined using thermal gravimetric analysis (TGA). It was observed that, among all the samples, PUS-3 showed remarkable thermal stability over a wide temperature range. A comprehensive statistical analysis was conducted to substantiate the experimental findings. It was estimated that CMC and CSN significantly enhance the thermal stability of the samples when involved in an interaction fashion. The ANOVA Table for the mixture design demonstrates that over 90 % of the total variation in thermal stability is explained by the mixture model across a wide temperature range. Moreover, PSU-3 exhibited 4 % more thermal stability over a wide range of temperatures on average, as compared to contemporary samples.

Gingival pedicle with split-thickness tunnel technique: A retrospective case series for single mandibular anterior recessions.

INTRODUCTION: Gingival recessions in the mandibular anterior sextant are a common clinical finding, but mucogingival treatment in this location is particularly challenging, due to several anatomical and surgical difficulties. In the present case series, a novel technique, called gingival pedicle with split-thickness tunnel (GPST), was retrospectively evaluated. CASE SERIES: Fifteen patients presenting with a single buccal RT1 or RT2 gingival recession of a depth of ≥3 mm in the mandibular anterior sextant were treated by means of the GPST technique. Clinical periodontal parameters at baseline and at the last follow-up evaluation visit (6-84 months) were compared. Early healing was uneventful in all cases, and no complications such as flap dehiscence or loss of connective tissue graft were observed. Mean root coverage (mRC) was 98.1% ± 7.38%, corresponding to a statistically significant recession reduction (ΔRD) of 4.53 ± 1.19 mm. Complete root coverage was achieved in 14 of 15 cases. The gain in keratinized tissue width amounted to 3.13 ± 0.99 mm and was statistically significant, whereas no significant change in periodontal probing depth was observed after treatment. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, treatment with GPST technique seems to achieve a favorable and predictable clinical improvement in gingival recessions on mandibular anterior teeth. Why are these cases new information? Limited information is available about the management of isolated deep labial recessions in the mandibular anterior teeth. A novel surgical approach, called GPST technique, is described in a case series to specifically address this type of defect. What are the keys to successful management of these cases? Horizontal incision ≥ RECwidth Cut-back preparation helps to mobilize the flap without tension. CTG width ≥ 3 times RECwidth CTG height ≥ RECdepth Proper graft and flap stabilization need to be achieved. What are the primary limitations to success in these cases? Limited mesio-distal dimensions, which do not allow to obtain a pedicle with adequate horizontal width Very thin biotype may not be suitable because of the risk of inadequate flap vascularization.

Immediate Loading of Four Guided Unsplinted Narrow Implants Supporting a Maxillary Overdenture: A Minimally Invasive Approach.

INTRODUCTION: Little evidence is available on the loading protocols for implant-supported overdentures in the treatment of the edentulous maxilla. There are only a few case-reports available to document the feasibility of immediate loading for maxillary overdenture, and the majority of the publications include the use of splinted implants. This paper presents a case report of immediately loaded narrow diameter implants supporting a maxillary overdenture using Locator abutments. CASE PRESENTATION: A 64-year-old, fully edentulous patient presented with a maxillary complete removable denture. A dual cone beam computed tomography scan was obtained, and the surgical planning was performed. Four 3.3 mm diameter implants were placed at the lateral incisor and second premolar positions, using a guided and flapless approach. Locator abutments were placed, and the denture was connected immediately. The patient was instructed not to remove the prosthesis for 1 week and to follow a soft diet regimen for 2 weeks. Clinical and radiographic evaluation showed positive results at 12 months, with neither prosthetic nor implant complications. CONCLUSION: This is a proof of principle case report, which demonstrates the possibility of immediately loading four guided narrow diameter implants supporting a maxillary overdenture using a Locator retention system.

Computer-Guided Surgery Using Human Allogenic Bone Ring With Simultaneous Implant Placement: A Case Report.

INTRODUCTION: The allogenic bone ring technique allows for horizontal and vertical bone augmentation with simultaneous implant placement in severely compromised sites. The aim of this report is to present a modified protocol for simultaneous placement of implant and allogenic bone ring graft using a computer-guided surgery technique. CASE PRESENTATION: Patient's chief complaint was to replace a missing lateral incisor. The implant site presented both vertical and horizontal tissue deficiencies. Study models and wax-ups were digitally scanned to stl files and merged with the existing CBCT data in the implant planning software. A 3D representation of an allogenic bone ring was developed, and two digitally designed guides were created: a 5 mm sleeve guide for the implant site and a 7 mm sleeve guide for the allogenic bone ring trephine. Both the implant site and the allogenic bone ring recipient site were prepared using the computer-generated guides. Once the ring was adapted into the recipient site, the implant was inserted through the allogenic bone ring. The healing was monitored and the implant was restored at 12 months. The accuracy of implant placement was measured and the difference in the final positioning was as follows: 0.6 mm at entry point, 0.55 mm vertical displacement, 1.94 mm at the apex, and angle discrepancy 6.1°. CONCLUSION: The use of computer-guided technology for planning and placement of an allograft bone block with simultaneous implant insertion allows for a prosthetically driven team approach to compromised site grafting in addition to improving precision and accuracy when compared with non-guided techniques.

Novel Surgical Approach for Root Coverage of Single Deep Recessions on Mandibular Incisors: Gingival Pedicle With Split-Thickness Tunnel Technique.

INTRODUCTION: Gingival recession is a very common mucogingival defect in the adult population, with mandibular central and lateral incisors being the most frequently affected teeth. Limited information is available about the management of isolated deep recession lesions in the mandibular anterior area, where the predictability of the root coverage is reduced by unfavorable anatomical conditions. The purpose of this case report is to present a novel surgical technique for deep labial recessions on mandibular incisors, based on a gingival pedicle with split-thickness tunneling (GPST), in combination with connective tissue graft (CTG). CASE PRESENTATION: A 25-year-old female patient presented with a Class II Miller isolated buccal recession on #24, 5 × 3 mm. The recipient site design consisted of a laterally positioned flap with a width of 4 mm, in combination with a split-thickness tunnel preparation that reached the mesial line angle of #25 and extended beyond the mucogingival junction. A CTG (13 × 7 mm) was harvested from the palate and properly adapted over the root surface. Graft and flap were secured with internal mattress and single-interrupted sutures. Complete root coverage was obtained and maintained at 6 months with excellent esthetic outcomes. CONCLUSION: This novel surgical approach, based on the combination of laterally displaced pedicle flap and tunneling in addition to CTG, seems to lead to promising results for the treatment of single deep mandibular anterior recessions.

An unusual presentation of generalized aggressive periodontitis with multiple impacted supernumerary teeth.

Aggressive periodontitis is a rare condition that progresses rapidly but affects only a small percentage of population. Most of the cases are familial. The presence of supernumerary teeth is also rather rare and often familial. Therefore, a concomitant presentation of aggressive periodontitis and supernumerary teeth in an individual has generated a great interest among clinicians. Here, we report a rare nonsyndromic case of generalized aggressive periodontitis with multiple impacted supernumerary teeth.

Narrow diameter implant in posterior region.

Dental implants placement can sometimes be limited due to physical conditions, wherein the horizontal space is limited by adjacent teeth and roots or situations in which there is narrow alveolar ridge, By using a narrow diameter implant (NDI), the need for bone augmentation can be avoided. In situations where there is limited horizontal space, a NDI may be the only option to replace a missing tooth.