Clinical trials and late-stage drug development for Alzheimer's disease: an appraisal from 1984 to 2014.

The modern era of drug development for Alzheimer's disease began with the proposal of the cholinergic hypothesis of memory impairment and the 1984 research criteria for Alzheimer's disease. Since then, despite the evaluation of numerous potential treatments in clinical trials, only four cholinesterase inhibitors and memantine have shown sufficient safety and efficacy to allow marketing approval at an international level. Although this is probably because the other drugs tested were ineffective, inadequate clinical development methods have also been blamed for the failures. Here, we review the development of treatments for Alzheimer's disease during the past 30 years, considering the drugs, potential targets, late-stage clinical trials, development methods, emerging use of biomarkers and evolution of regulatory considerations in order to summarize advances and anticipate future developments. We have considered late-stage Alzheimer's disease drug development from 1984 to 2013, including individual clinical trials, systematic and qualitative reviews, meta-analyses, methods, commentaries, position papers and guidelines. We then review the evolution of drugs in late clinical development, methods, biomarkers and regulatory issues. Although a range of small molecules and biological products against many targets have been investigated in clinical trials, the predominant drug targets have been the cholinergic system and the amyloid cascade. Trial methods have evolved incrementally: inclusion criteria have largely remained focused on mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's disease criteria, recently extending to early or prodromal Alzheimer disease or 'mild cognitive impairment due to Alzheimer's disease', for drugs considered to be disease modifying. The duration of trials has remained at 6-12 months for drugs intended to improve symptoms; 18- to 24-month trials have been established for drugs expected to attenuate clinical course. Cognitive performance, activities of daily living, global change and severity ratings have persisted as the primary clinically relevant outcomes. Regulatory guidance and oversight have evolved to allow for enrichment of early-stage Alzheimer's disease trial samples using biomarkers and phase-specific outcomes. In conclusion, validated drug targets for Alzheimer's disease remain to be developed. Only drugs that affect an aspect of cholinergic function have shown consistent, but modest, clinical effects in late-phase trials. There is opportunity for substantial improvements in drug discovery and clinical development methods.

Advances in the prevention of Alzheimer's disease and dementia.

BACKGROUND: Definitions and diagnostic criteria for all medical conditions are regularly subjected to reviews and revisions as knowledge advances. In the field of Alzheimer's disease (AD) research, it has taken almost three decades for diagnostic nomenclature to undergo major re-examination. The shift towards presymptomatic and pre-dementia stages of AD has brought prevention and treatment trials much closer to each other than before. METHODS: Here we discuss: (i) the impact of diagnostic reliability on the possibilities for developing preventive strategies for AD; (ii) the scientific evidence to support moving from observation to action; (iii) ongoing intervention studies; and (iv) the methodological issues and prospects for balancing strategies for high-risk individuals with those for broad population-based prevention. RESULTS: The associations between neuropathology and cognition are still not entirely clear. In addition, the risk factors for AD dementia and the neuropathological hallmarks of AD may not necessarily be the same. Cognitive impairment has a clearer clinical significance and should therefore remain the main focus of prevention. Risk/protective factors for dementia/AD need to be studied from a life-course perspective. New approaches in prevention trials include enrichment strategies based on genetic risk factors or beta-amyloid biomarkers (at least four ongoing pharmacological trials), and multidomain interventions simultaneously targeting various vascular and lifestyle-related risk factors (at least three ongoing trials). Experience from prevention programmes in other chronic diseases can provide additional methodological improvements. CONCLUSIONS: Building infrastructures for international collaborations is necessary for managing the worldwide public health problem of AD and dementia. The International Database on Aging and Dementia (IDAD) and the European Dementia Prevention Initiative (EDPI) are examples of ongoing international efforts aiming to improve the methodology of preventive studies and provide the basis for larger intervention trials.

Use of elephant grass for energy production in Campos dos Goytacazes-RJ, Brazil.

Elephant grass is a tropical forage plant widely distributed throughout Brazil. It was first exclusively used in the livestock sector as cattle feed. The grass is characterized by its high productivity and photosynthetic capacity and is considered as an alternative source of renewable energy. Here, we estimated the general combining ability of the parents and specific combining ability of the hybrids based on morpho-agronomic biomass-quality traits. The experiment was conducted in a randomized block design with 3 replicates. The diallel was composed of 16 hybrids and 2 groups of genitors. In the diallel analysis of variance, we observed a significant difference among treatments. A significant difference was observed among genitors for dry matter production (DMP). For the general combining ability of group 1, the traits leaf blade width, DMP, height, percentage of neutral detergent fiber, percentage of hemicellulose, percentage of lignin, percentage of acid detergent fiber, and percentage of cellulose were significant. For the estimates of general combining ability of DMP, parents Porto Rico 534-B, Vruckwona, Taiwan A-146, and Mercker S. E. A. were 0.4748, 3.2819, 1.1659, and 0.4317. The parents of Mercker S. E. A. and Porto Rico 534-B produced the highest percentage of detergent fiber and percentage of lignin with values of 0.1482 and 0.0856. Thus, parents Vruckwona, Porto Rico 534-B, and Taiwan A-146 are promising for integration into breeding programs. The best hybrid combinations for DMP were 1 x 5, 1 x 8, 2 x 6, 3 x 7, and 4 x 5.

Baseline Findings of PreventE4: A Double-Blind Placebo Controlled Clinical Trial Testing High Dose DHA in APOE4 Carriers before the Onset of Dementia.

INTRODUCTION: Lower blood levels of the omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) are correlated with worse cognitive functions, particularly among APOE ε4 carriers. Whether DHA supplementation in APOE ε4 carriers with limited DHA consumption and dementia risk factors can delay or slow down disease progression when started before the onset of clinical dementia is not known. METHODS: PreventE4 is a double-blind, single site, randomized, placebo-controlled trial in cognitively unimpaired individuals with limited omega-3 consumption and dementia risk factors (n=368). Its objectives are to determine (1) whether carrying the APOE ε4 allele is associated with lower delivery of DHA to the brain; and (2) whether high dose DHA supplementation affects brain imaging biomarkers of AD and cognitive function. RESULTS: 365 cognitively unimpaired individuals between 55 and 80 (mean age 66) were randomized to 2 grams of DHA per day or identically appearing placebo for a period of 2 years. Half the participants were asked to complete lumbar punctures at baseline and 6-month visits to obtain cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). The primary trial outcome measure is the change in CSF DHA to arachidonic acid ratio after 6 months of the intervention (n=181). Secondary trial outcomes include the change in functional and structural connectivity using resting state functional MRI at 24 months (n=365). Exploratory outcomes include the change in Repeatable Battery of the Assessment of Neuropsychological Status at 24 months (n=365). CONCLUSIONS: Findings from PreventE4 will clarify the brain delivery of DHA in individuals carrying the APOE ε4 allele with implications for dementia prevention strategies. Trial was registered as NCT03613844.

A Polymorphism Cluster at the 2q12 locus May Predict Response to Piromelatine in Patients with Mild Alzheimer's Disease.

BACKGROUND: Piromelatine is a novel melatonin MT1/2/3 and serotonin 5-HT-1A/1D receptors agonist developed for mild Alzheimer's disease (AD). In a randomized, placebo-controlled, dose-ranging study (ReCognition) of piromelatine (5, 20, and 50 mg daily for 6 months) in participants with mild dementia due to AD (n=371, age 60-85 years), no statistically significant differences were found between the piromelatine and placebo-treated groups on the primary (i.e., computerized neuropsychological test battery (cNTB)) and secondary outcomes (ADCS-CGIC, ADCS-MCI-ADL, ADAS-cog14, NPI, and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI)) nor were there safety concerns (https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02615002). OBJECTIVES: This study was aimed at identifying genetic markers predicting piromelatine treatment response using a genome-wide association approach (GWAS). DESIGN: Variant genotyping of a combined whole genome and whole exome sequencing was performed using DNA extracted from lymphocytes from consenting participants. The general case-control allelic test was performed on piromelatine-treated participants, taking "responders" (i.e., >0.125 change from baseline in the cNTB) as cases and "non responders" as controls, using a Cochran-Armitage trend test. SETTING: 58 outpatient clinics in the US. PARTICIPANTS: 371 participants were randomized in the trial; 107 provided informed consent for genotyping. RESULTS: The GWAS sample did not differ from the full study cohort in demographics, baseline characteristics, or response to piromelatine. Six single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in chromosome 2q12 (2:107,510,000-107,540,000) were associated with response (p-value < 1x10 -4 each). Post hoc analyses suggested that the carriers of the 2q12 polymorphism cluster (27% of the GWAS sample) improved significantly on the cNTB on piromelatine as compared to placebo but significantly worsened on the ADAS-Cog14 and PSQI. By contrast, "non-carriers" improved significantly with piromelatine compared to placebo on the ADAS-Cog14 ( 2.91 (N=23) with piromelatine 20 mg vs 1.65 (N=19) with placebo (p=0.03)) and PSQI. CONCLUSIONS: The 2q12 (2:107,510,000-107,540,000) 5-6 SNPs cluster may predict efficacy of piromelatine for mild AD. These findings warrant further investigation in a larger, prospective early-stage AD clinical trial for patients who are non-carriers of the 2q12 polymorphism cluster.

Adjudicating Mild Cognitive Impairment Due to Alzheimer's Disease as a Novel Endpoint Event in the TOMMORROW Prevention Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: The onset of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is an essential outcome in Alzheimer's disease (AD) prevention trials and a compelling milestone for clinically meaningful change. Determining MCI, however, may be variable and subject to disagreement. Adjudication procedures may improve the reliability of these determinations. We report the performance of an adjudication committee for an AD prevention trial. METHODS: The TOMMORROW prevention trial selected cognitively normal participants at increased genetic risk for AD and randomized them to low-dose pioglitazone or placebo treatment. When adjudication criteria were triggered, a participant's clinical information was randomly assigned to a three-member panel of a six-member independent adjudication committee. Determination of whether or not a participant reached MCI due to AD or AD dementia proceeded through up to three review stages - independent review, collaborative review, and full committee review - requiring a unanimous decision and ratification by the chair. RESULTS: Of 3494 participants randomized, the committee adjudicated on 648 cases from 386 participants, resulting in 96 primary endpoint events. Most participants had cases that were adjudicated once (n = 235, 60.9%); the rest had cases that were adjudicated multiple times. Cases were evenly distributed among the eight possible three-member panels. Most adjudicated cases (485/648, 74.8%) were decided within the independent review (stage 1); 14.0% required broader collaborative review (stage 2), and 11.1% needed full committee discussion (stage 3). The primary endpoint event decision rate was 39/485 (8.0%) for stage 1, 29/91 (31.9%) for stage 2, and 28/72 (38.9%) for stage 3. Agreement between the primary event outcomes supported by investigators' clinical diagnoses and the decisions of the adjudication committee increased from 50% to approximately 93% (after around 100 cases) before settling at 80-90% for the remainder of the study. CONCLUSIONS: The adjudication process was designed to provide independent, consistent determinations of the trial endpoints. These outcomes demonstrated the extent of uncertainty among trial investigators and agreement between adjudicators when the transition to MCI due to AD was prospectively assessed. These methods may inform clinical endpoint determination in future AD secondary prevention studies. Reliable, accurate assessment of clinical events is critical for prevention trials and may mean the difference between success and failure.

Normal bone mass in bulimic women.

The aim of this study was to examine the relationship among exercise, menstrual function, and bone mineral density (BMD) in different groups of age-matched patients with eating disorders. Dieting and eating disorder history, physical activity history, and menstrual history were assessed by clinical interview in 43 bulimic and 13 anorectic young women as well as in 17 healthy control subjects (18-29 yr). BMD was assessed by dual x-ray absorptiometry. All the anorectics but only 30% of the bulimics exercised regularly from the onset of their eating disorder (P < 0.01), mainly using aerobic dancing and running. All of the anorectics had been amenorrheic since the start of their symptoms, and 68% of the bulimics had a history of menstrual dysfunction. Within the exercise subgroups of bulimic patients, there was no significant relationship between BMD and current or previous menstrual function. Anorectic patients had lower BMD than bulimics and controls in all skeletal regions studied (P < 0.01). Bulimic patients who had exercised regularly during their illness had higher total body BMD than bulimics classified as sedentary (P < 0.01). Bulimics who had exercised regularly or intermittently since the onset of their eating disorder had higher BMD than sedentary bulimics in the lumbar vertebrae, femoral neck, and legs (P < 0.05). It appears that weight-bearing exercise can prevent or attenuate bone loss at specific skeletal sites in normal weight bulimic patients, but not in anorectics.

Quantitative, waking EEG research on depression.

Research published in the past decade that used quantitative indices to evaluate the waking EEG characteristics of depressed patients is reviewed. Methodological problems that make results of different research laboratories difficult to compare include diagnostic heterogeneity of depressed groups, lack of inclusion of control subjects, and differences in the EEG techniques. Despite interpretive problems that arise from such substantial variation, consistencies nevertheless emerge. Unmedicated, actively depressed patients appear to exhibit elevated EEG alpha and beta compared to control subjects. Delta and theta distinguished depressed patients from controls in some single studies, but variation in age, specific diagnostic depression categories, and EEG acquisition and analysis techniques rendered these results less definitive. Quantitative EEG differences that may distinguish depressed subject samples from those with other psychiatric disorders are considered. Factors that limit comparability of the findings are discussed in conjunction with strategies that deserve systematic study in future research.

Platelet [3H]imipramine binding in generalized anxiety disorder, panic disorder, and agoraphobia with panic attacks.

The density of platelet [3H]imipramine binding sites is reported to be decreased in unipolar depression and, hence, is a putative biological marker. There is considerable evidence for a phenomenological and biological relationship of panic disorder with affective disorder. We studied platelet [3H]imipramine binding site density in unmedicated subjects with generalized anxiety disorder (GAD; n = 55), panic disorder (PD) with and without agoraphobia (n = 52), and normal controls (n = 26) in order to determine whether or not patients with panic disorder differed from controls in this biological assay. We found no differences in binding site density (Bmax) or affinity (Kd) among the PD, PD with agoraphobia, GAD, and control groups. Nor did we find a relationship between Bmax or Kd and the severity of depressive symptoms or the presence of a family history of affective disorder. In view of two conflicting prior studies, the use of [3H]imipramine binding in panic disorder remains problematic.

Platelet monoamine oxidase activity in elderly depressed outpatients.

Platelet monoamine oxidase (MAO) activity was assayed in 42 unmedicated, elderly, RDC depressed, unipolar outpatients over 60 years of age, 17 nondepressed controls, and 17 younger volunteers without psychiatric illness. Elderly depressed women (n = 22) had significantly higher MAO activity than sex- and age-comparable controls. No significant relationships between MAO activity and duration of current depressive episode, duration of illness, or family history of affective disorder were obtained. These results extend to elderly female outpatients the finding that depression is associated with increased platelet MAO activity, exceeding the normal age-related increase.

Visual evoked potentials in dementia: a meta-analysis and empirical study of Alzheimer's disease patients.

A meta-analytic review of flash and pattern reversal visual evoked potential research indicates that elderly demented patients have longer P100 latencies than age-matched control subjects. In the present empirical research, patients with research diagnoses of probable Alzheimer's disease were compared with sex- and age-matched control subjects using P100 latencies of visual evoked potentials (VEP) elicited by flash and pattern reversal. As compared to control subjects, Alzheimer's disease patients showed significantly longer P100 latencies of the VEP elicited by pattern reversal; the flash P100 only marginally distinguished them. These findings are discussed within the context of VEP recording practices, patient selection, sex and age matching of control subjects, and the visual system.

Therapy with l-deprenyl (selegiline) and relation to abuse liability.

This article briefly reviews the clinical aspects and rationale for therapy with l-deprenyl for several neuropsychiatric conditions, including major depression, Alzheimer's disease, and Parkinson's disease. The rationale for the use of l-deprenyl in these conditions is discussed, and evidence for efficacy is reviewed. Lastly, there is a review of the lack of evidence for l-deprenyl's abuse potential and its use as putative nonspecific cognitive enhancer, a so-called "smart drug." Although l-deprenyl itself appears to have no abuse potential, it is theoretically possible that it might potentiate the actions and frequency of dosage and use of various drugs of abuse or dependence. This is as yet an underresearched area, and more work is required.

A double-blind crossover pilot study of l-deprenyl (selegiline) combined with cholinesterase inhibitor in Alzheimer's disease.

The potential efficacy of oral l-deprenyl (5 mg b.i.d.) added to the regimen of 10 patients with Alzheimer's disease receiving either tacrine or physostigmine was assessed in a double-blind, placebo-controlled, 4-week, two-period crossover pilot study. l-Deprenyl was associated with significant improvement in scores on the cognitive subscale of the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale, suggesting possible additive effects of l-deprenyl to the effects of cholinesterase inhibitors.

Overview of clinical trials of hydergine in dementia.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the overall effect of Hydergine (a combination drug called ergoloid mesylates) on patients with possible dementia and to investigate potential moderators of an effect. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and two proprietary databases were searched for reports of clinical trials. STUDY SELECTION: Included were randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, parallel-group trials in subjects with symptoms consistent with dementia performed with specified outcome instruments and sufficient statistical information to calculate effect sizes. Forty-seven (31%) of 151 trials reviewed met selection criteria. DATA EXTRACTION: Potential moderating variables were extracted from each trial: sample size, inpatient-outpatient status, trial duration, age, gender, medication dose, publication year, and diagnostic grouping. Outcome measures were extracted with their associated statistics. DATA SYNTHESIS: The overall combined treatment effects ("adjusted d") for three types of outcome measures were calculated. Overall, Hydergine was more effective than placebo as assessed by comprehensive ratings (d = 0.47; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.38 to 0.56; P = .0001), clinical global ratings (d = 0.56; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.68; P = .0001), and combined neuropsychological measures (d = 0.27; 95% CI, 0.22 to 0.32; P = .0001). Inpatient status, daily doses of 4 mg or more, and vascular dementia were generally associated with larger effects. The effect in patients with possible Alzheimer's dementia was significant only for combined neuropsychological measures in five trials (d = 0.30; 95% CI, 0.16 to 0.44; P = .0001; and with a dose-response, P = .001). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, ergoloid mesylates were more effective than placebo. However, the effect in patients with possible Alzheimer's dementia was very modest at best. The dose-response relation suggests that potentially effective doses may be higher than the currently approved. The circumstances of the efficacy of Hydergine remain inadequately defined.

Extrapyramidal signs and psychiatric symptoms predict faster cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease.

OBJECTIVE: To identify clinical predictors of cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease. DESIGN: A cohort of patients was followed up longitudinally and the likelihood of arriving at two cognitive end points was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards model and eight explanatory variables. SETTING: Subjects were chosen from patients examined for memory loss at two medical centers affiliated with the University of Southern California, Los Angeles. PATIENTS: The sample included 135 patients who met National Institute for Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke-Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association criteria for probable or definite Alzheimer's disease, had initial Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores of 14 or greater, and had been seen on at least two occasions. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The time to reach either of two end points, ie, MMSE score of 8 and a decline of six points on the MMSE, was assessed. RESULTS: After controlling for initial severity of dementia (eg, by dividing the sample into mild and moderate dementia subgroups or by using the individually defined end point of a six-point decline on the MMSE), the presence at baseline of extrapyramidal signs (risk-hazard ratio, 10.34; 95% confidence interval, 2.76 to 38.68; P = .0005), agitation (risk-hazard ratio, 2.98; 95% confidence interval, 1.35 to 6.61; P = .007), and hallucinations (risk-hazard ratio, 3.85; 95% confidence interval, 1.35 to 11; P = .01) predicted a shorter time to reach an end point. CONCLUSIONS: After controlling for initial severity of dementia, the presence of extrapyramidal signs and behavioral symptoms (agitation and hallucinations) significantly predict faster cognitive decline. These findings may reflect the effects of neuroleptic medication, the presence of underlying diffuse Lewy body disease, or alterations in biogenic amine systems.

Effects of estrogen replacement therapy on response to tacrine in patients with Alzheimer's disease.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether estrogen replacement therapy (ERT) affects clinical and cognitive responses to tacrine in women with Alzheimer's disease (AD). DESIGN: A 30-week, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, multicenter clinical trial of tacrine in which a subgroup of women were receiving ERT prior to randomization. PATIENTS: Women with mild to moderate-stage AD, at least 50 years of age, who were enrolled in the previously reported trial. INTERVENTIONS: Randomized assignment to placebo or to one of three ascending-dosage regimens of tacrine: maximum dosages of 80 mg/d, 120 mg/d or 160 mg/d. OUTCOME MEASURES: Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Scale (ADASc), Clinician Interview-Based Impression of change (CIBI), Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Caregiver's Impression of Change (CIC). RESULTS: Of 318 women with evaluable data 14.5% were receiving ERT. Women completing the trial taking ERT and tacrine improved more than women not receiving ERT who were randomly assigned to tacrine or to placebo as assessed by the ADASc (p < 0.01), the CIBI (p = 0.02), the CIC (p = 0.006), and the MMSE (p = 0.07). They improved significantly on the ADASc (p = 0.01) using an intent-to-treat analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Prior and continuing ERT may enhance response to tacrine in women with AD. Randomized trials are needed.

Treatment of agitation in AD: a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of agitation is a crucial problem in the care of patients with AD. Although antipsychotic and antidepressant medications and behavior management techniques (BMT) have each been used to treat agitation, clinical trials of these treatments have been characterized by small sample sizes and uncontrolled treatment designs. OBJECTIVE: To compare haloperidol, trazodone, and BMT with placebo in the treatment of agitation in AD outpatients. METHODS: A total of 149 patients with AD and their caregivers participated in a randomized, placebo-controlled, multicenter trial. Blind assessment was conducted at baseline and after 16 weeks of treatment. The three active treatments were haloperidol, trazodone, and BMT. The Alzheimer's Disease Cooperative Study Clinical Global Impression of Change was the primary outcome measure. Secondary outcomes included patient agitation, cognition, and function, and caregiver burden. RESULTS: Thirty-four percent of subjects improved relative to baseline. No significant differences on outcome were obtained between haloperidol (mean dose, 1.8 mg/d), trazodone (mean dose, 200 mg/d), BMT, or placebo. Significantly fewer adverse events of bradykinesia and parkinsonian gait were evident in the BMT arm. No other significant difference in adverse events was seen. Symptoms did not respond differentially to the different treatments. CONCLUSIONS: Comparable modest reductions in agitation occurred in patients receiving haloperidol, trazodone, BMT, and placebo. More effective pharmacologic, nonpharmacologic, and combination treatments are needed.