Validation of the obesity paradox by body mass index and waist circumference in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: The paradoxical association of obesity with mortality, named the "obesity paradox", has been inconsistent, possibly due to a difference between body mass index (BMI) and central obesity, estimated by waist circumference (WC) as patterns of adiposity. SUBJECTS/METHODS: We enrolled 8513 participants from the Kumamoto Intervention Conference Study, a multicenter registry that included consecutive patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at 18 centers between 2008 and 2017 in Japan. Patients were divided into quartiles in ascending order of the BMI or WC. The primary endpoints were all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death within a year. RESULTS: There were 186 deaths (case fatality rate, 22.1/1000 person-years) during the follow-up period. The lowest group (1st quartile) of BMI or WC had the worst prognosis among the quartiles (1st quartile, 4.2%; 2nd quartile, 1.9%; 3rd quartile, 1.5%; 4th quartile, 1.1%; P < 0.001 (χ2) and 1st quartile, 4.1%; 2nd quartile, 2.3%; 3rd quartile, 1.2%; 4th quartile, 1.5%; P < 0.001 (χ2), respectively). Similar results were obtained for cardiovascular death. In a multivariable analysis adjusted by nine conventional factors, the lowest group (1st quartile) of BMI (hazards ratio, 2.748; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.712-4.411) and WC (hazards ratio, 2.340; 95% CI, 1.525-3.589) were independent prognostic factors for all-cause mortality. By dividing the participants into two groups according to either the BMI or WC based on the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III and World Health Organization classification, the highest mortality was observed in the lower group. However, the C-statistic after adding BMI (quartile) to conventional factors was found to be slightly higher than BMI (two categories) and WC (two categories) (0.735 vs. 0.734). CONCLUSIONS: The obesity paradox was observed in patients after PCI, and single-use of BMI (or WC) was sufficient to predict the prognosis of patients after PCI.

Human epididymis protein 4 is a useful predictor of post-operative prognosis in patients with severe aortic stenosis.

AIMS: The human epididymis protein 4 (HE4), a novel fibrosis marker, is expressed only in activated fibroblasts and is thought to reflect ongoing left ventricular (LV) fibrosis. LV fibrosis is a feature of severe aortic stenosis (AS) and is related to the post-operative outcome of patients with AS. We investigated the relationship between serum levels of HE4 and the post-operative prognosis of patients with severe AS. METHODS AND RESULTS: We measured the serum HE4 levels of 55 participants (80.8 ± 8.0 years old, male n = 26, 46%) with severe AS prior to surgical aortic valve replacement (n = 31, 56%) or transcatheter aortic valve implantation (n = 24, 44%) at Kumamoto University Hospital in 2018. We followed them for cardiovascular (CV) death or hospitalization for heart failure (HF) for 3 years. Serum HE4 levels were positively correlated with computed tomography-extracellular volume (CT-ECV) values (r = 0.53, P = 0.004). Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated a significantly higher probability of hospitalization for HF or CV-related death in the patients with high HE4 (greater than the median HE4 value) compared with the patients with low HE4 (lower than the median HE4 value) (log-rank P = 0.003). Multivariate analysis showed HE4 (log(HE4)) to be an independent prognostic factor [hazard ratio (HR): 7.50; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.81-31.1; P = 0.005]. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis suggested that HE4 is a marker of increased risk of CV-related death or hospitalization for HF at 3 years after surgery, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.62-0.90; P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: We found that HE4 is a potentially useful biomarker for predicting future CV events in patients scheduled for AS surgery. Measuring serum HE4 values could help consider AS surgery.

Periprocedural Thrombogenicity Change Is Associated With Subclinical Leaflet Thrombosis Progression in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation.

Background: Subclinical leaflet thrombosis occasionally occurs after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI), but its exact etiology and relationship with thrombogenicity remain unknown. Methods and Results: This study enrolled 35 patients who underwent TAVI. Thrombogenicity was evaluated using a total thrombus-formation analysis system (T-TAS) to compute the thrombus-formation area under the curve (PL18-AUC10 and AR10-AUC30). Periprocedural thrombogenic parameters including T-TAS were investigated at pre-TAVI, 2 days, 7 days, and 3 months post-TAVI. Hypoattenuated leaflet thickening (HALT) and maximum leaflet thickness (MLT) were evaluated using contrast-enhanced computed tomography 7 days and 3 months post-TAVI. The associations between thrombogenicity and HALT or MLT were assessed. T-TAS parameters consistently decreased at 2 and 7 days post-TAVI, followed by improvement at 3 months. HALT was detected in 20% and 17% of patients at 7 days and 3 months, respectively, post-TAVI. The median MLT value was 1.60 mm at 7 days and 3 months post-TAVI. A significant positive correlation was observed between the decrease in the AR10-AUC30 and MLT at 7 days post-TAVI. Univariate linear regression analysis revealed a decrease in the AR10-AUC30 and an increase in the D-dimer level as a significant predictor of MLT deterioration. Conclusions: The findings suggested that a transient decrease in thrombogenicity following TAVI predicts leaflet thrombosis, implying that monitoring thrombogenicity may be useful for predicting progression of leaflet thrombosis.