A population pharmacokinetics model of balovaptan to support dose selection in adult and pediatric populations.

Balovaptan is a brain-penetrating vasopressin receptor 1a antagonist previously investigated for the core symptoms of autism spectrum disorder (ASD). A population pharmacokinetic (PK) model of balovaptan was developed, initially to assist clinical dosing for adult and pediatric ASD studies and subsequently for new clinical indications including malignant cerebral edema (MCE) and post-traumatic stress disorder. The final model incorporates one-compartment disposition and describes time- and dose-dependent non-linear PK through empirical drug binding and a gut extraction component with turnover. An age effect on clearance observed in children was modeled by an asymptotic function that predicts adult-equivalent exposures at 40% of the adult dose for children aged 2-4 years, 70% for 5-9 years, and at the full adult dose for ≥ 10 years. The model was adapted for intravenous (IV) balovaptan dosing and combined with in vitro and ex vivo pharmacodynamic data to simulate brain receptor occupancy as a guide for dosing in a phase II trial of MCE prophylaxis after acute ischemic stroke. A sequence of three stepped-dose daily infusions of 50, 25 and 15 mg over 30 or 60 min was predicted to achieve a target occupancy of ≥ 80% in ≥ 95% of patients over a 3-day period. This model predicts both oral and IV balovaptan exposure across a wide age range and will be a valuable tool to analyze and predict its PK in new indications and target populations, including pediatric patients.

Immunogenicity dynamics and covariate effects after satralizumab administration predicted with a hidden Markov model.

Immunogenicity is the propensity of a therapeutic protein to generate an immune response to itself. While reporting of antidrug antibodies (ADAs) is increasing, model-based analysis of such data is seldom performed. Model-based characterization of factors affecting the emergence and dissipation of ADAs may inform drug development and/or improve understanding in clinical practice. This analysis aimed to predict ADA dynamics, including the potential influence of individual covariates, following subcutaneous satralizumab administration. Satralizumab is a humanized IgG2 monoclonal recycling IL-6 receptor antagonist antibody approved for treating neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD). Longitudinal pharmacokinetic (PK) and ADA data from 154 NMOSD patients in two pivotal Phase 3 studies (NCT02028884, NCT02073279) and PK data from one Phase 1 study (SA-001JP) in 72 healthy volunteers were available for this analysis. An existing population PK model was adapted to derive steady-state concentration without ADA for each patient. A mixed hidden Markov model (mHMM) was developed whereby three different states were identified: one absorbing Markov state for non-ADA developer, and two dynamic and inter-connected Markov states-transient ADA negative and positive. Satralizumab exposure and body mass index impacted transition probabilities and, therefore, the likelihood of developing ADAs. In conclusion, the mHMM model was able to describe the time course of ADA development and identify patterns of ADA development in NMOSD patients following treatment with satralizumab, which may allow for the formulation of strategies to reduce the emergence or limit the impact of ADA in the clinical setting.

Development of a population pharmacokinetic model to characterize the pharmacokinetics of intrathecally administered tominersen in cerebrospinal fluid and plasma.

Tominersen is an intrathecally administered antisense oligonucleotide targeting huntingtin mRNA which leads to a dose-dependent, reversible lowering of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) mutant huntingtin protein concentration in individuals with Huntington's disease. Nonlinear mixed-effect population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) modeling was conducted to characterize the CSF and plasma pharmacokinetics (PK) of tominersen, and to identify and quantify the covariates that affect tominersen PKs. A total of 750 participants from five clinical studies with a dose range from 10 to 120 mg contributed CSF (n = 6302) and plasma (n = 5454) PK samples. CSF PK was adequately described by a three-compartment model with first-order transfer from CSF to plasma. Plasma PK was adequately described by a three-compartment model with first-order elimination from plasma. Baseline total CSF protein, age, and antidrug antibodies (ADAs) were the significant covariates for CSF clearance. Body weight was a significant covariate for clearances and volumes in plasma. ADAs and sex were significant covariates for plasma clearance. The developed PopPK model was able to describe tominersen PK in plasma and CSF after intrathecal administration across a range of dose levels, and relevant covariate relationships were identified. This model has been applied to guide dose selection for future clinical trials of tominersen in patients with Huntington's disease.