A proof-of-concept study applying machine learning methods to putative risk factors for eating disorders: results from the multi-centre European project on healthy eating.

BACKGROUND: Despite a wide range of proposed risk factors and theoretical models, prediction of eating disorder (ED) onset remains poor. This study undertook the first comparison of two machine learning (ML) approaches [penalised logistic regression (LASSO), and prediction rule ensembles (PREs)] to conventional logistic regression (LR) models to enhance prediction of ED onset and differential ED diagnoses from a range of putative risk factors. METHOD: Data were part of a European Project and comprised 1402 participants, 642 ED patients [52% with anorexia nervosa (AN) and 40% with bulimia nervosa (BN)] and 760 controls. The Cross-Cultural Risk Factor Questionnaire, which assesses retrospectively a range of sociocultural and psychological ED risk factors occurring before the age of 12 years (46 predictors in total), was used. RESULTS: All three statistical approaches had satisfactory model accuracy, with an average area under the curve (AUC) of 86% for predicting ED onset and 70% for predicting AN v. BN. Predictive performance was greatest for the two regression methods (LR and LASSO), although the PRE technique relied on fewer predictors with comparable accuracy. The individual risk factors differed depending on the outcome classification (EDs v. non-EDs and AN v. BN). CONCLUSIONS: Even though the conventional LR performed comparably to the ML approaches in terms of predictive accuracy, the ML methods produced more parsimonious predictive models. ML approaches offer a viable way to modify screening practices for ED risk that balance accuracy against participant burden.

Long-term use of pharmacological treatment in Alzheimer's disease: a retrospective cohort study in real-world clinical practice.

PURPOSE: To assess the impact of long-term use of different drugs commonly prescribed in Alzheimer's disease (AD) on its clinical course and to identify clinical and therapeutic factors associated with a delay in AD progression. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 50 patients visited at the Neurology Unit, Careggi University Hospital (Florence), followed for at least 24 months. AD diagnosis was made according to clinical diagnostic criteria for probable/possible AD dementia, always supported at least by one biomarker. Clinical features, MMSE scores evaluated at diagnosis and every 6 months, and AD drugs used for at least 6 months, were recorded. Cox regression analysis was performed to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for AD progression, assuming as the "final event," the progression to a more severe disease stage, defined as the achievement of an MMSE score less than 10. RESULTS: At baseline, the median MMSE score was 22. During follow-up (median of 41 months), 56% of patients progressed to a more severe disease stage. The use of memantine, either alone (HR 0.24; 95% CI 0.09-0.60) or combined with acetylcholinesterase inhibitors (HR 0.35; 95% CI 0.14-0.88) and a higher MMSE score at baseline (HR 0.82; 95% CI 0.70-0.96) were associated with a significantly lower risk of AD progression. CONCLUSION: Nowadays, effective disease-modifying therapy for AD is missing. Nevertheless, when the diagnosis is established, our results support the advantage of long-term use of available pharmacological treatments, especially in combination, in delaying AD progression to its more severe disease stage.

PER2 C111G polymorphism, cognitive reserve and cognition in subjective cognitive decline and mild cognitive impairment: a 10-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: CLOCK and PER2 genes have been implicated in sleep-wake cycle alterations and neurodegenerative diseases. Our aim was to evaluate the effect of CLOCK T3111C and PER2 C111G on cognitive functioning in subjective cognitive decline (SCD) patients and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) patients at the baseline of a longitudinal study, and the effect of these two polymorphisms on the progression to Alzheimer's disease (AD) of the two groups. METHODS: Sixty-eight subjects (41 SCD and 27 MCI) who underwent clinical evaluation, neuropsychological assessment, CLOCK and PER2 genotyping at baseline and neuropsychological follow-up every 2 years for a mean time of 10 years were included. Subjects who developed AD (SCD-c and MCI-c) and non-converters (SCD-nc, MCI-nc) were considered. RESULTS: CLOCK T3111C was detected in 47% of cases (21 SCD, 11 MCI) and PER2 C111G in 19% of cases (eight SCD and five MCI). PER2 G carriers presented lower premorbid intelligence score (P = 0.049), fewer years of education (P = 0.007) and a lower frequency of family history of AD (P = 0.04) than G non-carriers. MCI PER2 G carriers had worse performance in tests assessing memory, executive function, language and visuospatial abilities at baseline. During follow-up, two SCD and 15 MCI subjects progressed to AD: both of the SCD-c subjects presented the PER2 G allele, while none of the SCD PER2 G non-carriers converted to AD (P = 0.003). CONCLUSION: PER2 seems to have a role in cognitive reserve and cognition in SCD and MCI patients. Nevertheless, further studies are needed to assess the role of PER2 C111G on the risk of progression to AD.

Assessing the effectiveness of subjective cognitive decline plus criteria in predicting the progression to Alzheimer's disease: an 11-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Subjective cognitive decline (SCD) is a self-experienced decline in cognitive capacity with normal performance on standardized cognitive tests and has been shown to increase the risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD). SCD could also be related to other conditions such as normal aging, psychiatric, neurological or medical disorders. The SCD Initiative proposed a set of features (SCD-plus) that increase the likelihood of preclinical AD in individuals with SCD. Our aim was to assess the effect of these features on the risk of conversion from SCD to AD. METHODS: In total 150 SCD subjects who underwent extensive neuropsychological investigation, assessment of cognitive complaints and apolipoprotein E (ApoE) genotyping at baseline and clinical-neuropsychological follow-up for a mean time of 11 years were included. RESULTS: During the follow-up, 20 subjects developed AD. Considering SCD-plus features, age at onset ≥60 years and ApoE ε4 significantly increased the risk of conversion from SCD to AD. When our sample was stratified into three groups (no risk factor, one risk factor, two risk factors), the proportion of conversion was statistically significantly different between the three groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our model allows the risk of AD to be stratified in patients experiencing SCD according to age at onset and ApoE genotype.

Incomplete penetrance in familial Alzheimer's disease with PSEN1 Ala260Gly mutation.

Presenilin1 (PSEN1) gene is the most common known genetic cause of early-onset familial Alzheimer's disease. We describe an Italian family with the known p.Ala260Gly mutation in PSEN1 gene. The presence of an asymptomatic 64-year-old male carrying the mutation provides evidence of a possible incomplete penetrance leading to a wider range of age at onset. In order to evaluate whether or not epigenetic modifications could contribute to the phenotypic heterogeneity, we assessed global DNA methylation levels which resulted significantly higher in the three females than in their presymptomatic brother. The study suggests that DNA methylation can contribute to slowing down or possibly protecting from the manifestation of symptoms even in monogenic diseases, emphasizing the great complexity of familial Alzheimer's disease.

EFNS-ENS/EAN Guideline on concomitant use of cholinesterase inhibitors and memantine in moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Previous studies have indicated clinical benefits of a combination of cholinesterase inhibitors (ChEI) and memantine over ChEI monotherapy in Alzheimer's disease (AD). Our objective was the development of guidelines on the question of whether combined ChEI/memantine treatment rather than ChEI alone should be used in patients with moderate to severe AD to improve global clinical impression (GCI), cognition, behaviour and activities of daily living (ADL). METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials based on a literature search in ALOIS, the register of the Cochrane Dementia and Cognitive Improvement Group, was carried out with subsequent guideline development according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) system. RESULTS: Pooled data from four trials including 1549 AD patients in the moderate to severe disease stage demonstrated significant beneficial effects of combination therapy compared to ChEI monotherapy for GCI [standardized mean difference (SMD) -0.20; 95% confidence interval (CI) -0.31; -0.09], cognitive functioning (SMD -0.27, 95% CI -0.37; -0.17) and behaviour (SMD -0.19; 95% CI -0.31; -0.07). The quality of evidence was high for behaviour, moderate for cognitive function and GCI and low for ADL. Agreement of panellists was reached after the second round of the consensus finding procedure. The desirable effects of combined ChEI and memantine treatment were considered to outweigh undesirable effects. The evidence was weak for cognition, GCI and ADL so that the general recommendation for using combination therapy was weak. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest the use of a combination of ChEI plus memantine rather than ChEI alone in patients with moderate to severe AD. The strength of this recommendation is weak.

Italian Frontotemporal Dementia Network (FTD Group-SINDEM): sharing clinical and diagnostic procedures in Frontotemporal Dementia in Italy.

In the prospect of improved disease management and future clinical trials in Frontotemporal Dementia, it is desirable to share common diagnostic procedures. To this aim, the Italian FTD Network, under the aegis of the Italian Neurological Society for Dementia, has been established. Currently, 85 Italian Centers involved in dementia care are part of the network. Each Center completed a questionnaire on the local clinical procedures, focused on (1) clinical assessment, (2) use of neuroimaging and genetics; (3) support for patients and caregivers; (4) an opinion about the prevalence of FTD. The analyses of the results documented a comprehensive clinical and instrumental approach to FTD patients and their caregivers in Italy, with about 1,000 newly diagnosed cases per year and 2,500 patients currently followed by the participating Centers. In analogy to other European FTD consortia, future aims will be devoted to collect data on epidemiology of FTD and its subtypes and to provide harmonization of procedures among Centers.

Genome-wide haplotype association study identifies the FRMD4A gene as a risk locus for Alzheimer's disease.

Recently, several genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have led to the discovery of nine new loci of genetic susceptibility in Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, the landscape of the AD genetic susceptibility is far away to be complete and in addition to single-SNP (single-nucleotide polymorphism) analyses as performed in conventional GWAS, complementary strategies need to be applied to overcome limitations inherent to this type of approaches. We performed a genome-wide haplotype association (GWHA) study in the EADI1 study (n=2025 AD cases and 5328 controls) by applying a sliding-windows approach. After exclusion of loci already known to be involved in AD (APOE, BIN1 and CR1), 91 regions with suggestive haplotype effects were identified. In a second step, we attempted to replicate the best suggestive haplotype associations in the GERAD1 consortium (2820 AD cases and 6356 controls) and observed that 9 of them showed nominal association. In a third step, we tested relevant haplotype associations in a combined analysis of five additional case-control studies (5093 AD cases and 4061 controls). We consistently replicated the association of a haplotype within FRMD4A on Chr.10p13 in all the data set analyzed (OR: 1.68; 95% CI: (1.43-1.96); P=1.1 × 10(-10)). We finally searched for association between SNPs within the FRMD4A locus and Aß plasma concentrations in three independent non-demented populations (n=2579). We reported that polymorphisms were associated with plasma Aß42/Aß40 ratio (best signal, P=5.4 × 10(-7)). In conclusion, combining both GWHA study and a conservative three-stage replication approach, we characterised FRMD4A as a new genetic risk factor of AD.

Recommendations of the Sleep Study Group of the Italian Dementia Research Association (SINDem) on clinical assessment and management of sleep disorders in individuals with mild cognitive impairment and dementia: a clinical review.

Clinical assessment and management of sleep disturbances in patients with mild cognitive impairment and dementia has important clinical and social implications. Poor sleep results in an increased risk of morbidities and mortality in demented patients and is a source of stress for caregivers. Sleep disturbances show high prevalence in mild cognitive impairment and dementia patients and they are often associated one to another in the same patient. A careful clinical evaluation of sleep disorders should be performed routinely in the clinical setting of individuals with cognitive decline. The Sleep Study Group of the Italian Dementia Research Association (SINDem) reviewed evidence from original research articles, meta-analyses and systematic reviews published up to December 2013. The evidence was classified in quality levels (I, II, III) and strength of recommendations (A, B, C, D, E). Where there was a lack of evidence, but clear consensus, good practice points were provided. These recommendations may not be appropriate for all circumstances and should therefore be adopted only after a patient's individual characteristics have been carefully evaluated.

Genetic evidence for a novel familial Alzheimer's disease locus on chromosome 14.

Familial Alzheimer's disease (FAD) has been shown to be genetically heterogeneous, with a very small proportion of early onset pedigrees being associated with mutations in the amyloid precursor protein (APP) gene on chromosome 21, and some late onset pedigrees showing associations with markers on chromosome 19. We now provide evidence for a major early onset FAD locus on the long arm of chromosome 14 near the markers D14S43 and D14S53 (multipoint lod score z = 23.4) and suggest that the inheritance of FAD may be more complex than had initially been suspected.

Clinical heterogeneity in Italian patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a rare and devastating neurodegenerative disorder. The majority of cases are sporadic ALS (SALS), with 5-10% being familial ALS (FALS), and are inherited mostly as autosomal dominant. Mutations in Cu/Zn superoxide dismutase (SOD1) and the TAR DNA-binding protein (TARDBP) gene are the most commonly known cause of ALS. We analyzed these genes in 61 Italian ALS patients using high-resolution melting analysis to confirm the role of SOD1 and TARDBP in the physiopathology of ALS. The screenings showed a single mutation in SOD1 (Asp109Tyr) and three in TARBDP (Ala382Thr, Gly295Ser, Gly294Val) in five unrelated ALS patients. This report enlarges the spectrum of clinical phenotypes associated with genetic mutations in SOD1 and TARDBP genes confirming the variability of phenotypes associated with the same mutation and emphasizes the importance of genetic analysis. The different genotype-phenotype correlations suggest the implication of other factors possibly influencing clinical manifestation of the disease, such as an epigenetic or epistatic effect with other genes not yet identified.

APOE and Alzheimer disease: a major gene with semi-dominant inheritance.

Apolipoprotein E (APOE) dependent lifetime risks (LTRs) for Alzheimer Disease (AD) are currently not accurately known and odds ratios alone are insufficient to assess these risks. We calculated AD LTR in 7351 cases and 10 132 controls from Caucasian ancestry using Rochester (USA) incidence data. At the age of 85 the LTR of AD without reference to APOE genotype was 11% in males and 14% in females. At the same age, this risk ranged from 51% for APOE44 male carriers to 60% for APOE44 female carriers, and from 23% for APOE34 male carriers to 30% for APOE34 female carriers, consistent with semi-dominant inheritance of a moderately penetrant gene. Using PAQUID (France) incidence data, estimates were globally similar except that at age 85 the LTRs reached 68 and 35% for APOE 44 and APOE 34 female carriers, respectively. These risks are more similar to those of major genes in Mendelian diseases, such as BRCA1 in breast cancer, than those of low-risk common alleles identified by recent GWAS in complex diseases. In addition, stratification of our data by age groups clearly demonstrates that APOE4 is a risk factor not only for late-onset but for early-onset AD as well. Together, these results urge a reappraisal of the impact of APOE in Alzheimer disease.

EFNS-ENS Guidelines on the diagnosis and management of disorders associated with dementia.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The last version of the EFNS dementia guidelines is from 2007. In 2010, the revised guidelines for Alzheimer's disease (AD) were published. The current guidelines involve the revision of the dementia syndromes outside of AD, notably vascular cognitive impairment, frontotemporal lobar degeneration, dementia with Lewy bodies, corticobasal syndrome, progressive supranuclear palsy, Parkinson's disease dementia, Huntington's disease, prion diseases, normal-pressure hydrocephalus, limbic encephalitis and other toxic and metabolic disorders. The aim is to present a peer-reviewed evidence-based statement for the guidance of practice for clinical neurologists, geriatricians, psychiatrists and other specialist physicians responsible for the care of patients with dementing disorders. It represents a statement of minimum desirable standards for practice guidance. METHODS: The task force working group reviewed evidence from original research articles, meta-analyses and systematic reviews, published by June 2011. The evidence was classified (I, II, III, IV) and consensus recommendations graded (A, B, or C) according to the EFNS guidance. Where there was a lack of evidence, but clear consensus, good practice points were provided. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: New recommendations and good practice points are made for clinical diagnosis, blood tests, neuropsychology, neuroimaging, electroencephalography, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analysis, genetic testing, disclosure of diagnosis, treatment of behavioural and psychological symptoms in dementia, legal issues, counselling and support for caregivers. All recommendations were revised as compared with the previous EFNS guidelines. The specialist neurologist together with primary care physicians play an important role in the assessment, interpretation and treatment of symptoms, disability and needs of dementia patients.

EFNS task force: the use of neuroimaging in the diagnosis of dementia.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The European Federation of the Neurological Societies (EFNS) guidelines on the use of neuroimaging in the diagnosis and management of dementia are designed to revise and expand previous EFNS recommendations for the diagnosis and management of patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and to provide an overview of the evidence for the use of neuroimaging techniques in non-AD dementias, as well as general recommendations that apply to all types of dementia in clinical practice. METHODS: The task force working group reviewed evidence from original research articles, meta-analyses and systematic reviews, published before April 2012. The evidence was classified, and consensus recommendations were given and graded according to the EFNS guidance regulations. RESULTS: Structural imaging, which should be performed at least once in the diagnostic work-up of patients with cognitive impairment, serves to exclude other potentially treatable diseases, to recognize vascular lesions and to identify specific findings to help distinguish different forms of neurodegenerative types of dementia. Although typical cases of dementia may not benefit from routine functional imaging, these tools are recommended in those cases where diagnosis remains in doubt after clinical and structural imaging work-up and in particular clinical settings. Amyloid imaging is likely to find clinical utility in several fields, including the stratification of patients with mild cognitive impairment into those with and without underlying AD and the evaluation of atypical AD presentations. CONCLUSIONS: A number of recommendations and good practice points are made to improve the diagnosis of AD and other dementias.

Prevalence of sleep disturbances in mild cognitive impairment and dementing disorders: a multicenter Italian clinical cross-sectional study on 431 patients.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Sleep disturbances are common in the elderly and in persons with cognitive decline. The aim of this study was to describe frequency and characteristics of insomnia, excessive daytime sleepiness, sleep-disordered breathing, REM behavior disorder and restless legs syndrome in a large cohort of persons with mild cognitive impairment or dementia. METHODS: 431 consecutive patients were enrolled in 10 Italian neurological centers: 204 had Alzheimer's disease, 138 mild cognitive impairment, 43 vascular dementia, 25 frontotemporal dementia and 21 Lewy body dementia or Parkinson's disease dementia. Sleep disorders were investigated with a battery of standardized questions and questionnaires. RESULTS: Over 60% of persons had one or more sleep disturbances almost invariably associated one to another without any evident and specific pattern of co-occurrence. Persons with Alzheimer's disease and those with mild cognitive impairment had the same frequency of any sleep disorder. Sleep-disordered breathing was more frequent in vascular dementia. REM behavior disorder was more represented in Lewy body or Parkinson's disease dementia. CONCLUSION: A careful clinical evaluation of sleep disorders should be performed routinely in the clinical setting of persons with cognitive decline. Instrumental supports should be used only in selected patients.

Education and occupation provide reserve in both ApoE ε4 carrier and noncarrier patients with probable Alzheimer's disease.

According to the reserve hypothesis, a high educational/occupational attainment can modulate Alzheimer's disease (AD) clinical expression. The impact of the Apolipoprotein E (ApoE) ε4 allele on the reserve mechanism in AD has not been assessed. Aim of this European multicenter study was to evaluate the metabolic correlates of reserve and ApoE genotype in early probable AD. 51 AD subjects, 27 ε4 carriers, and 24 noncarriers, underwent FDG-PET brain imaging. We used the general linear model as implemented in SPM2 to test for the linear correlation of a reserve index, accounting for both educational and occupational level, with brain glucose metabolism, controlling for demographic variables (age and gender) and for cognitive performance. We found an inverse correlation between a reserve index, accounting for educational/occupational level, and metabolism in the posterior cingulate cortex and precuneus in both ε4 carriers and noncarriers, and no significant difference between the groups. We show that education and occupation act as proxies for reserve in ε4 carriers, compensating for an unfavorable genetic background; we also show that the degree of compensation does not differ significantly by ApoE ε4 status.

IgM monoclonal gammopathy-associated neuropathies with different IgM specificity.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Antibodies directed against myelin-associated glycoprotein (MAG) are believed to be the most frequent biologic marker of the neuropathies associated with IgM monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). The objective of this study was to examine the prevalence of antiganglioside and/or sulfatide-positive patients and their clinical findings, including therapeutic response, compared to anti-MAG-positive or seronegative patients. METHODS: We prospectively followed 46 patients with MGUS who were diagnosed in our tertiary referral centers for polyneuropathy since 1997. All patients underwent nerve conduction studies and were tested for anti-MAG, gangliosides, and sulfatide antibodies. All the anagraphic and clinical data (including symptoms, disability scale, therapy, secondary malignancy development) were recorded in a database and compared between three patients' groups (anti-MAG-positive; antiganglioside/sulfatide-positive; no reactivity). RESULTS: Anti-MAG reactivity was present in 17 (37%) patients; other 17 patients (37%) had antiganglioside/sulfatide reactivity and 12 (26%) had no reactivity. Patients with antiganglioside/sulfatide positivity, although heterogeneous by a clinical and neurophysiological point of view, had the most severe neuropathic manifestations and a higher disability score at nadir (P < 0.001). These patients had a better response to both intravenous immunoglobulin therapy and rituximab. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that antiganglioside/sulfatide-positive patients form a relevant portion of patients with MGUS-associated polyneuropathy seen in tertiary care centers and should be considered in future studies on treatment response.

EFNS guidelines for the diagnosis and management of Alzheimer's disease.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: In 2008 a task force was set up to develop a revision of the European Federation of the Neurological Societies (EFNS) guideline for the diagnosis and management of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and other disorders associated with dementia, published in early 2007. The aim of this revised international guideline was to present a peer-reviewed evidence-based statement for the guidance of practice for clinical neurologists, geriatricians, psychiatrists, and other specialist physicians responsible for the care of patients with AD. Mild cognitive impairment and non-Alzheimer dementias are not included in this guideline. METHODS: The task force working group reviewed evidence from original research articles, meta-analysis, and systematic reviews, published before May 2009. The evidence was classified and consensus recommendations graded (A, B, or C) according to the EFNS guidance. Where there was a lack of evidence, but clear consensus, good practice points were provided. RESULTS: The recommendations for clinical diagnosis, blood tests, neuropsychology, neuroimaging, electroencephalography, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analysis, genetic testing, disclosure of diagnosis, treatment of AD, behavioural and psychological symptoms in dementia, legal issues, counselling and support for caregivers were all revised as compared with the previous EFNS guideline. CONCLUSION: A number of new recommendations and good practice points are made, namely in CSF, neuropsychology, neuroimaging and reviewing non-evidence based therapies. The assessment, interpretation, and treatment of symptoms, disability, needs, and caregiver stress during the course of AD require the contribution of many different professionals. These professionals should adhere to these guideline to improve the diagnosis and management of AD.

ApolipoproteinE epsilon 4 allele is not associated with disease course and severity in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: No study has assessed the association between apolipoproteinE (APOE) and multiple sclerosis (MS) forms grouped by also taking into account cognitive performance. AIMS OF THE STUDY: To assess the relationship between APOE and disease course, particularly focusing on benign MS (BMS), defined as also including cognitive preservation. METHODS: In 173 consecutive patients, we assessed the association between APOE and MS course and severity. RESULTS: Twenty-nine APOE-epsilon4 carriers were identified. The epsilon4 allele was not associated with BMS. Moreover, it was associated neither with other disease courses nor with the time to reach disability milestones and secondary progression. CONCLUSION: Although plausible, the association between APOE and MS course (particularly with BMS defined by including cognitive preservation) and disease severity remains controversial.

Switching to second-line therapies in interferon-beta-treated relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients.

BACKGROUND: Interferon-beta (IFNB) therapies are the most widely used as first-line intervention in the treatment of relapsing-remitting (RR) multiple sclerosis (MS). Despite long-term experience, however, the definition and prediction of response remain controversial. AIM: The objective of this study was to assess the long-term validity of the main clinical definitions of response applied after 1 and 2 years of IFNB therapy in a cohort of RRMS patients followed up for at least 5 years. METHODS: We tested these different definitions against a 'hard' parameter of treatment failure, represented by the need to suspend IFNB and switch to an intravenous immunosuppressive (IVIS) treatment, using Kaplan-Meier and Cox survival analyses. RESULTS: Out of 147 RRMS patients treated with IFNB therapy and followed up for 7.8 +/- 2.1 years, 26 (18%) were switched to an IVIS therapy. On the whole, disability progression as indicated using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and a higher number of relapses in the first 2 years of therapy were related to long-term treatment failure. CONCLUSION: Our study highlights the role of disability and high relapse rate in the first 2 years of treatment in predicting long-term response and the switching to second-line therapies.