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1.
Viruses ; 16(7)2024 Jun 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39066188

RESUMEN

We conducted a multicountry retrospective study using data from COVID-19 national surveillance databases to analyze clinical profiles, hospitalization rates, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, utilization of ventilatory support, and mortality rates in five Latin American countries in the context of COVID-19 vaccination implementation. We analyzed the sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities, clinical outcomes, and vaccination status of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases from January 2021 to December 2022. We calculated the yearly and quarterly hospitalization rates per 1000 confirmed COVID-19 cases and ICU admissions, use of mechanical ventilators, and mortality rates per 1000 hospitalized cases, with their corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) of 38,852,831 confirmed COVID-19 cases. Rates of hospitalization, ICU admission, ventilatory support, and death were higher among males than among females (38.2 vs. 32.4, 148.4 vs. 117.7, 282.9 vs. 236.2, and 346.9 vs. 320.1 per 1000, respectively); higher in 2021 than in 2022 (50.7 vs. 19.9, 207.8 vs. 58.2, 441.5 vs. 114.9, and 352.5 vs. 285.2 per 1000, respectively); and in the >50 age group (range: 5.7-18.6, 20.1-71.5, 12.2-67.9, and 353.1-577.4, per 1000) than the <50 age group (range: 2.2-9.3, 5.4-33.2, 41.4-135.8, and 22-243.5 per 1000). Hypertension and diabetes mellitus were the most common comorbidities in Mexico and Colombia. Prevention and treatment strategies for these case profiles could bring benefits from a public health perspective.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Hospitalización , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/mortalidad , Masculino , Femenino , América Latina/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto , Anciano , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Comorbilidad , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Respiración Artificial/estadística & datos numéricos
2.
BMJ Open ; 14(1): e081019, 2024 01 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38296298

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Understanding disease seasonality can help predict the occurrence of outbreaks and inform public health planning. Respiratory diseases typically follow seasonal patterns; however, knowledge regarding the seasonality of COVID-19 and its impact on the seasonality of influenza remains limited. The objective of this study was to provide more evidence to understand the circulation of SARS-CoV-2, the virus responsible for COVID-19, in an endemic scenario to guide potential preventive strategies. DESIGN: In this study, a descriptive analysis was undertaken to describe seasonality trends and/or overlap between COVID-19 and influenza in 12 low-income and middle-income countries using Our World in Data and FluMart data sources. Plots of COVID-19 and influenza cases were analysed. SETTING: Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, the Philippines, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, Morocco, Bahrain, Qatar and Saudi Arabia. OUTCOME MEASURES: COVID-19 cases and influenza cases. RESULTS: No seasonal patterns of SARS-CoV-2 or SARS-CoV-2/influenza cocirculation were observed in most countries, even when considering the avian influenza pandemic period. CONCLUSIONS: These results can inform public health strategies. The lack of observed seasonal behaviour highlights the importance of maintaining year-round vaccination rather than implementing seasonal campaigns. Further research investigating the influence of climate conditions, social behaviour and year-round preventive measures could be fundamental for shaping appropriate policies related to COVID-19 and respiratory viral disease control in low-income and middle-income countries as COVID-19 variant data and epidemiologic patterns accrue over time.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Gripe Humana , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Estaciones del Año , América Latina/epidemiología , Países en Desarrollo , Medio Oriente , Tailandia
3.
Front Pediatr ; 12: 1352260, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38606369

RESUMEN

Background: Limited data are available on the clinical impact and economic burden of COVID-19 in the pediatric population in Argentina. We aimed to estimate the disease and economic burden of COVID-19 on children and adolescents. Methods: We analyzed official national databases and conducted a supplemental systematic review of the published literature with meta-analysis in children aged 0-18. The period of interest was from March 2020 to August 2021, before the introduction of vaccination in this age group as a national strategic plan. In addition, we used a cost of illness analysis to estimate the direct medical costs associated with COVID-19. All costs are reported in US dollars 2023. Results: A total of 450,503 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 180 multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C) were reported in Argentina in the study period. Fourteen observational clinical studies were identified. The meta-analyses of severity level from hospital patients showed that according to different studies 15%-28% of cases were asymptomatic, 68%-88% were mild or moderate, and 3%-10% were severe or critical. About 28% of children had an underlying disease. In addition, the estimated economic burden associated with COVID-19 was 80 million dollars and 4 million dollars corresponded to MISC. Conclusion: Significant impact of COVID-19 on the healthcare system and substantial economic implications for the pediatric population in Argentina were identified. The findings should help policymakers to make informed decisions and allocate resources effectively.

4.
J Glob Health ; 14: 05005, 2024 Mar 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38547496

RESUMEN

Background: Positive viral severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cultures indicate shedding of infectious virus and corresponding transmission risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The research question of this systematic review was: Is there a discernible pattern in the timing of SARS-CoV-2 virus isolation, and what is the proportion of positive and negative results for isolation of SARS-CoV-2 virus with viral culture relative to the onset of clinical symptoms or the day of diagnosis, as indicated by longitudinal studies? Methods: We systematically searched PubMed and Embase from inception to 16 February 2023 for English-language studies with serial viral culture testing within symptomatic or asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infected persons during the post-vaccination period. Outcomes of interest were the daily culture status per study and the overall daily culture positivity rate of SARS-CoV-2. We critically appraised the selected studies using the Newcastle-Ottawa quality assessment scale. Results: We included 14 viral shedding studies in this systematic review. Positive viral SARS-CoV-2 cultures were detected in samples ranging from 4 days before to 18 days after symptom onset. The daily culture SARS-CoV-2 positivity rate since symptom onset or diagnosis showed a steep decline between day 5 and 9, starting with a peak ranging from 44% to 50% on days -1 to 5, decreasing to 28% on day 7 and 11% on day 9, and finally ranging between 0% and 8% on days 10-17. Conclusions: Viral shedding peaked within 5 days since symptom onset or diagnosis and the culture positivity rate rapidly declined hereafter. This systematic review provides an overview of current evidence on the daily SARS-CoV-2 culture positivity rates during the post-vaccination period. These findings could be used to estimate the effectiveness of public health control measures, including treatment and preventive strategies, to reduce the spread of COVID-19.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Esparcimiento de Virus , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/diagnóstico , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , Factores de Tiempo
5.
Expert Rev Vaccines ; 23(1): 750-760, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39176448

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 vaccines adapted to newly emerging circulating variants are necessary to better protect the population due to the evolving nature of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The South African population was stratified by age and risk (defined by comorbidities such as diabetes, obesity, smoking, cancer, and asthma), and HIV status. The outcomes of different vaccination strategies based on age, risk, and HIV status were estimated using a Markov-decision tree model based on age-specific inputs derived from the literature and South African surveillance data. RESULTS: Vaccinating older adults and those with comorbidities was estimated to avert 111,179 infections 18,281 hospitalizations, and 3,868 deaths, resulting in savings of ZAR 1,260 million (USD 67 million) and ZAR 3,205 million (USD 170 million) in direct and indirect costs, respectively. Similar results were obtained when considering strategies targeting older adults and the HIV population. Expanding vaccination to 75% of the standard-risk population prevented more infections (401%), hospitalizations (167%), and deaths (67%) and increased the direct (232%) and indirect (455%) cost savings compared to the base case. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing widespread vaccination strategies that utilize a vaccine adapted to the prevailing circulating variant in South Africa would result in significant public health and economic gains.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Salud Pública , Vacunación , Humanos , Sudáfrica/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/epidemiología , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/economía , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/inmunología , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Vacunación/economía , Vacunación/métodos , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Hospitalización/economía , Adulto Joven , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Adolescente , Cadenas de Markov , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Masculino , Femenino
6.
Expert Rev Vaccines ; 23(1): 16-26, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38047434

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) causing COVID-19 has been a dynamically changing virus, requiring the development of adapted vaccines. This study estimated the potential public health impact alternative vaccination strategies for COVID-19 in Singapore. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The outcomes of alternative vaccination strategies with a future adapted vaccine were estimated using a combined Markov decision tree model. The population was stratified by high- and standard-risk. Using age-specific inputs informed by local surveillance data and published sources, the model estimated health (case numbers, hospitalizations, and deaths) and economic (medical costs and productivity losses) outcomes in different age and risk subpopulations. RESULTS: Booster vaccination in only the elderly and high-risk subpopulation was estimated to avert 278,614 cases 21,558 hospitalizations, 239 deaths, Singapore dollars (SGD) 277 million in direct medical costs, and SGD 684 million in indirect medical costs. These benefits increased as vaccination was expanded to other subpopulations. Increasing the booster vaccination coverage to 75% of the standard-risk population averted more deaths (3%), hospitalizations (29%), infections (145%), direct costs (90%), and indirect costs (192%) compared to the base case. CONCLUSIONS: Broader vaccination strategies using an adapted booster vaccine could have substantial public health and economic impact in Singapore.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Vacunas , Anciano , Humanos , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , Salud Pública , Singapur/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacunación
7.
J Glob Health ; 14: 05003, 2024 Mar 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38419461

RESUMEN

Methods: We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Global Health, CINAHL, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang, CQvip, and the World Health Organization (WHO) COVID-19 global literature databases for primary studies recruiting children aged ≤18 years with a diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed either by molecular or antigen tests. We used the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tools to appraise the study quality and conducted meta-analyses using the random effects model for all outcomes except for race/ethnicity as risk factors of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Results: We included 237 studies, each reporting at least one of the study outcomes. Based on data from 117 studies, the pooled SARS-CoV-2 positivity rate was 9.30% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 7.15-11.73). Having a comorbidity was identified as a risk factor for SARS-CoV-2 infection (risk ratio (RR) = 1.33; 95% CI = 1.04-1.71) based on data from 49 studies. Most cases in this review presented with mild disease (n = 50; 52.47% (95% CI = 44.03-60.84)). However, 20.70% of paediatric SARS-CoV-2 infections were hospitalised (67 studies), 7.19% required oxygen support (57 studies), 4.26% required intensive care (93 studies), and 2.92% required assisted ventilation (63 studies). The case fatality ratio (n = 119) was 0.87% (95% CI = 0.54-1.28), which included in-hospital and out-of-hospital deaths. Conclusions: Our data showed that children were at risk for SARS-CoV-2 infections and severe outcomes in the pre-Omicron era. These findings underscore the need for effective vaccination strategies for the paediatric population to protect against the acute and long-term sequelae of COVID-19. Registration: PROSPERO: CRD42022327680.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Niño , Adolescente , Salud Global , Factores de Riesgo , Comorbilidad , Preescolar , Lactante
8.
BMJ Open ; 14(1): e077886, 2024 01 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38233057

RESUMEN

Post-COVID-19 conditions (PCC) is an umbrella term that encompasses a range of signs, symptoms and conditions present weeks after the acute phase of a SARS-CoV-2 infection. This systematic literature review summarises the heterogeneous methodology used to measure PCC across real-world studies and highlights trends by region, age group, PCC follow-up period and data source. METHODS: Medline, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library were searched and supplemented with conference and grey literature searches. Eligible studies included individuals with (1) PCC or (2) a positive SARS-CoV-2 test or COVID-19 diagnosis who were followed over time. Included studies were published in English between 1 January 2020 and 14 November 2022. FINDINGS: Of 291 publications included, 175 (60%) followed individuals with confirmed COVID-19 over time for PCC and 116 (40%) used a prespecified PCC definition. There was substantial heterogeneity in study design, geography, age group, PCC conditions/symptoms assessed and their classification and duration of follow-up. Among studies using a prespecified PCC definition, author-defined criteria (51%) were more common than criteria recommended by major public health organisations (19%). Measurement periods for PCC outcomes from date of acute COVID-19 test were primarily 3 to <6 months (39.2%), followed by 6 to <12 months (27.5%) and <3 months (22.9%). When classified by organ/system, constitutional-related PCC were the most frequently assessed in adult (86%) and paediatric (87%) populations. Within constitutional symptoms, fatigue was most frequently assessed in adult (91.6%) and paediatric (95.0%) populations, followed by fever/chills (37.9% and 55%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: PCC definitions are heterogenous across real-world studies, which limits reliable comparisons between studies. However, some similarities were observed in terms of the most frequently measured PCC-associated symptoms/conditions, which may aid clinical management of patients with PCC.CRD42022376111.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , Niño , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Prueba de COVID-19 , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19
9.
Immunol Lett ; 269: 106903, 2024 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39069096

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To estimate original wild-type BNT162b2 effectiveness against symptomatic Omicron infection among children 5-11 years of age. METHODS: This prospective test-negative, case-control study was conducted in Toledo, southern Brazil, from June 2022 to July 2023. Patients were included if they were aged 5-11 years, sought care for acute respiratory symptoms in the public health system, and were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. In the primary analysis, we determined the effectiveness of two doses of original wild-type BNT162b2 against symptomatic COVID-19. The reference exposure group was the unvaccinated. RESULTS: A total of 757 children were enrolled; of these, 461 (25 cases; 436 controls) were included in the primary analysis. Mean age was 7.4 years, 49.7 % were female, 34.6 % were obese, and 14.1 % had chronic pulmonary disease. Omicron accounted for 100 % of all identified SARS-CoV-2 variants with BA.5, BQ.1, and XBB.1 accounting for 35.7 %, 21.4 % and 21.4 %, respectively. The adjusted estimate of two-dose vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic Omicron was 3.1 % (95 % CI, -133.7 % to 61.8 %) after a median time between the second dose and the beginning of COVID-19 symptoms of 192.5 days (interquartile range, 99 to 242 days). CONCLUSION: In this study with children 5-11 years of age, a two dose-schedule of original wild-type BNT162b2 was not associated with a significant protection against symptomatic Omicron infection after a median time between the second dose and the beginning of COVID-19 symptoms of 192 days, although the study may have been underpowered to detect a clinically important difference. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05403307 (https://classic. CLINICALTRIALS: gov/ct2/show/NCT05403307).


Asunto(s)
Vacuna BNT162 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Humanos , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/inmunología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Vacuna BNT162/administración & dosificación , Vacuna BNT162/inmunología , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , SARS-CoV-2/fisiología , Preescolar , Niño , Estudios Prospectivos , Brasil/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles
10.
Biomedicines ; 11(2)2023 Jan 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36830907

RESUMEN

COVID-19 has taken a severe toll on the global population through infections, hospitalizations, and deaths. Elucidating SARS-CoV-2 infection-derived immunity has led to the development of multiple effective COVID-19 vaccines and their implementation into mass-vaccination programs worldwide. After ~3 years, a substantial proportion of the human population possesses immunity from infection and/or vaccination. With waning immune protection over time against emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants, it is essential to understand the duration of protection, breadth of coverage, and effects on reinfection. This targeted review summarizes available research literature on SARS-CoV-2 infection-derived, vaccination-elicited, and hybrid immunity. Infection-derived immunity has shown 93-100% protection against severe COVID-19 outcomes for up to 8 months, but reinfection is observed with some virus variants. Vaccination elicits high levels of neutralizing antibodies and a breadth of CD4+ and CD8+ T-cell responses. Hybrid immunity enables strong, broad responses, with high-quality memory B cells generated at 5- to 10-fold higher levels, versus infection or vaccination alone and protection against symptomatic disease lasting for 6-8 months. SARS-CoV-2 evolution into more transmissible and immunologically divergent variants has necessitated the updating of COVID-19 vaccines. To ensure continued protection against SARS-CoV-2 variants, regulators and vaccine technical committees recommend variant-specific or bivalent vaccines.

11.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 19(1): 2165856, 2023 12 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36727201

RESUMEN

Introduction of primary COVID-19 vaccination has helped reduce severe disease and death caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Understanding the protection conferred by heterologous booster regimens informs alternative vaccination strategies that enable programmatic resilience and can catalyze vaccine confidence and coverage. Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines are among the most widely used vaccines worldwide. This review synthesizes the available evidence identified as of May 26, 2022, on the safety, immunogenicity, and effectiveness of a heterologous BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) mRNA vaccine booster dose after an inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine primary series, to help protect against COVID-19. Evidence showed that the heterologous BNT16b2 mRNA vaccine booster enhances immunogenicity and improves vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19, and no new safety concerns were identified with heterologous inactivated primary series with mRNA booster combinations.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Humanos , Vacuna BNT162 , SARS-CoV-2 , Eficacia de las Vacunas , COVID-19/prevención & control , Vacunas de ARNm
12.
Expert Rev Vaccines ; 22(1): 860-870, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37779484

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) causing COVID-19 has continuously evolved, requiring the development of adapted vaccines. This study estimated the impact of the introduction and increased coverage of an Omicron-adapted bivalent booster vaccine in Thailand. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The outcomes of booster vaccination with an Omicron-adapted bivalent vaccine versus no booster vaccination were estimated using a combined cohort Markov decision tree model. The population was stratified into high- and standard-risk subpopulations. Using age-specific inputs informed by published sources, the model estimated health (case numbers, hospitalizations, and deaths) and economic (medical costs and productivity losses) outcomes in different age and risk subpopulations. RESULTS: Booster vaccination in only the elderly and high-risk subpopulation was estimated to avert 97,596 cases 36,578 hospitalizations, 903 deaths, THB 3,119 million in direct medical costs, and THB 10,589 million in indirect medical costs. These benefits increased as vaccination was expanded to other subpopulations. Increasing the booster vaccination coverage to 75% of the standard-risk population averted more deaths (95%), hospitalizations (512%), infections (782%), direct costs (550%), and indirect costs (687%) compared to the base case. CONCLUSIONS: Broader vaccination with an Omicron-adapted bivalent booster vaccine could have significant public health and economic benefits in Thailand.


Asunto(s)
Salud Pública , Vacunación , Anciano , Humanos , Vacunas Combinadas , Tailandia/epidemiología , Cobertura de Vacunación , SARS-CoV-2
13.
Expert Rev Vaccines ; 22(1): 714-725, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37548520

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) case numbers have increased following the emergence of the Omicron variant. This study estimated the impact of introducing and increasing the coverage of an Omicron-adapted bivalent booster vaccine in Malaysia. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A combined cohort Markov decision tree model was used to compare booster vaccination with an Omicron-adapted bivalent COVID-19 vaccine versus no booster vaccination in Malaysia. The model utilized age-specific data from January 2021 to March 2022 derived from published sources. The outcomes of interest included case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths, medical costs, and productivity losses. The population was stratified into high-risk and standard-risk subpopulations, and the study evaluated the benefits of increased coverage in different age and risk groups. RESULTS: Vaccinating only high-risk individuals and those aged ≥ 65 years was estimated to avert 274,313 cases, 33229 hospitalizations, 2,434 deaths, Malaysian ringgit (MYR) 576 million in direct medical costs, and MYR 579 million in indirect costs. Expanding vaccination coverage in the standard-risk population to 75% was estimated to avert more deaths (31%), hospitalizations (155%), infections (206%), direct costs (206%), and indirect costs (281%). CONCLUSIONS: These findings support broader population Omicron-adapted bivalent booster vaccination in Malaysia with potential for significant health and economic gains.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Humanos , Malasia/epidemiología , Salud Pública , Vacunación , COVID-19/prevención & control , Vacunas Combinadas
14.
J Med Econ ; 26(1): 1201-1211, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37735817

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has imposed significant burden on Brazil's health system. This study aimed to examine clinical characteristics, overall vaccine uptake, and to assess healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs associated with acute COVID-19 in Brazil during the Omicron predominant period. METHODS: A nationwide retrospective study was conducted using various Brazilian databases including, COVID-19 related databases, public health systems, and other surveillance/demographic datasets. Individuals with positive COVID-19 test results between January 1 2022 and April 30 2022, during Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave, were identified. Patients' demographics, vaccine uptake, HCRU and corresponding costs were described by age groups. RESULTS: A total of 8,160,715 (3.80%) COVID-19 cases were identified in the study cohort, ranging from 2.43% in <5 years to 62.05% in 19-49 years. The uptake of partial (Dose 1) or full immunization (Dose 2) was less than 0.1% in children aged <5 years, whereas in individuals ≥ 19 years, it exceeded 89.78% for Dose 1 and 84.07% for Dose 2. Overall booster vaccine uptake was 38.06%, which was significantly higher among individuals aged ≥ 65 years, surpassing 74.79%. Regardless of vaccination status, 87.2% cases were symptomatic, and 1.48% were hospitalized due to acute COVID-19 (<5 years: 2.33%, 5-11 years: 0.99%, 12-18 years: 0.32%, 19-49 years: 0.40%; 50-64 years: 1.50%, 65-74 years: 5.43%, and ≥ 75 years: 17.89%). Among the hospitalized patients (n = 120,450), 32.57% were admitted to ICU, of whom 31,283 (79.75%) individuals required mechanical ventilation (MV) support. The average cost per day in normal ward and ICU without MV in public/general hospital settings was $104.36 and $302.81, respectively. While average cost per day in normal ward and ICU with MV was $75.91 and $301.22 respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study quantified the burden of COVID-19 in Brazil, suggesting substantial healthcare resources required to manage the COVID-19 pandemic.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Vacunas , Niño , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Pandemias , Estudios Retrospectivos
15.
Front Public Health ; 11: 1252719, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37818298

RESUMEN

Introduction: Epidemiological modeling is widely used to offer insights into the COVID-19 pandemic situation in Asia. We reviewed published computational (mathematical/simulation) models conducted in Asia that assessed impacts of pharmacological and non-pharmacological interventions against COVID-19 and their implications for vaccination strategy. Methods: A search of the PubMed database for peer-reviewed, published, and accessible articles in English was performed up to November 2022 to capture studies in Asian populations based on computational modeling of outcomes in the COVID-19 pandemic. Extracted data included model type (mechanistic compartmental/agent-based, statistical, both), intervention type (pharmacological, non-pharmacological), and procedures for parameterizing age. Findings are summarized with descriptive statistics and discussed in terms of the evolving COVID-19 situation. Results: The literature search identified 378 results, of which 59 met criteria for data extraction. China, Japan, and South Korea accounted for approximately half of studies, with fewer from South and South-East Asia. Mechanistic models were most common, either compartmental (61.0%), agent-based (1.7%), or combination (18.6%) models. Statistical modeling was applied less frequently (11.9%). Pharmacological interventions were examined in 59.3% of studies, and most considered vaccination, except one study of an antiviral treatment. Non-pharmacological interventions were also considered in 84.7% of studies. Infection, hospitalization, and mortality were outcomes in 91.5%, 30.5%, and 30.5% of studies, respectively. Approximately a third of studies accounted for age, including 10 that also examined mortality. Four of these studies emphasized benefits in terms of mortality from prioritizing older adults for vaccination under conditions of a limited supply; however, one study noted potential benefits to infection rates from early vaccination of younger adults. Few studies (5.1%) considered the impact of vaccination among children. Conclusion: Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, non-pharmacological interventions helped to mitigate the health burden of COVID-19; however, modeling indicates that high population coverage of effective vaccines will complement and reduce reliance on such interventions. Thus, increasing and maintaining immunity levels in populations through regular booster shots, particularly among at-risk and vulnerable groups, including older adults, might help to protect public health. Future modeling efforts should consider new vaccines and alternative therapies alongside an evolving virus in populations with varied vaccination histories.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Vacunas , Niño , Humanos , Anciano , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Pandemias , Asia/epidemiología , Vacunación , Simulación por Computador
16.
J Glob Health ; 13: 06051, 2023 Nov 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37994839

RESUMEN

Background: With the emergence of new variants and sub-lineages of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), reinfections can significantly impact herd immunity, vaccination policies, and decisions on other public health measures. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to synthesise the global evidence on SARS-CoV-2 reinfections in the pre-Omicron era. Methods: We searched five global databases (MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL Plus, Global Health, WHO COVID-19) on 12 May 2022 and 28 July 2023 and three Chinese databases (CNKI, Wanfang, CQvip) on 16 October 2022 for articles reporting incidence and outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection before the period of Omicron (B.1.1.529) predominance. We assessed risk of bias using Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tools and conducted meta-analyses with random effects models to estimate the proportion of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection among initially infected cases and hospitalisation and mortality proportions among reinfected ones. Results: We identified 7593 studies and extracted data from 64 included ones representing 21 countries. The proportion of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection was 1.16% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01-1.33) based on 11 639 247 initially infected cases, with ≥45 days between the two infections. Healthcare providers (2.28%; 95% CI = 1.37-3.40) had a significantly higher risk of reinfection than the general population (1.00%; 95% CI = 0.81-1.20), while young adults aged 18 to 35 years (1.01%; 95% CI = 0.8-1.25) had a higher reinfection burden than other age groups (children <18 years old: 0.57%; 95% CI = 0.39-0.79, older adults aged 36-65 years old: 0.53%; 95% CI = 0.41-0.65, elderly >65 years old: 0.37%; 95% CI = 0.15-0.66). Among the reinfected cases, 8.12% (95% CI = 5.30-11.39) were hospitalised, 1.31% (95% CI = 0.29-2.83) were admitted to the intensive care unit, and 0.71% (95% CI = 0.02-2.01) died. Conclusions: Our data suggest a relatively low risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection in the pre-Omicron era, but the risk of hospitalisation was relatively high among the reinfected cases. Considering the possibility of underdiagnosis, the reinfection burden may be underestimated. Registration: PROSPERO: CRD42023449712.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Reinfección , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven , COVID-19/epidemiología , Incidencia , Reinfección/epidemiología , Reinfección/virología , SARS-CoV-2
17.
Infect Dis Ther ; 12(5): 1237-1264, 2023 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37097556

RESUMEN

The rapid rollout of vaccines to combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic over the past 2 years has resulted in the use of various vaccine platforms and regional differences in COVID-19 vaccine implementation strategies. The aim of this narrative review was to summarize evolving COVID-19 vaccine recommendations in countries in Latin America, Asia, and Africa and the Middle East across various vaccine platforms, age groups, and specific subpopulations. Nuances in primary and booster vaccination schedules were evaluated, and the preliminary impact of such diverse vaccination strategies are discussed, including key vaccine effectiveness data in the era of Omicron-lineage variants. Primary vaccination rates for included Latin American countries were 71-94% for adults and between 41% and 98% for adolescents and children; rates for first booster in adults were 36-85%. Primary vaccination rates for adults in the included Asian countries ranged from 64% in the Philippines to 98% in Malaysia, with corresponding booster rates varying from 9% in India to 78% in Singapore; for adolescents and children, primary vaccination rates ranged from 29% in the Philippines to 93% in Malaysia. Across included African and Middle Eastern countries, primary vaccination rates in adults varied widely from 32% in South Africa to 99% in the United Arab Emirates; booster rates ranged from 5% in South Africa to 60% in Bahrain. Evidence from the regions studied indicates preference of using an mRNA vaccine as a booster on the basis of safety and effectiveness of observed real-world data, especially during circulation of Omicron lineages. Vaccination against COVID-19 remains of paramount importance to reduce the burden of disease; strategies to overcome vaccine inequity, fatigue, hesitancy, and misinformation and to ensure adequate access and supply are also important.

18.
Vaccine ; 41(37): 5461-5468, 2023 08 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37507274

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Evidence regarding effectiveness of BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine against Omicron in Latin America is limited. We estimated BNT162b2 effectiveness against symptomatic COVID-19 in Brazil when Omicron was predominant. METHODS: This prospective test-negative, case-control study was conducted in Toledo, Brazil, following a mass COVID-19 vaccination with BNT162b2. Patients were included if they were aged ≥12 years, sought care for acute respiratory symptoms in the public health system between November 3, 2021 and June 20, 2022, and were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using RT-PCR. In the primary analysis, we determined the effectiveness of two doses of BNT162b2 against symptomatic COVID-19. RESULTS: A total of 4,574 were enrolled; of these, 1,758 patients (586 cases and 1,172 controls) were included in the primary analysis. Mean age was 27.7 years, 53.8 % were women, and 90.1 % had a Charlson comorbidity index of zero. Omicron accounted for >97 % of all identified SARS-CoV-2 variants, with BA.1 and BA.2 accounting for 84.3 % and 12.6 %, respectively. Overall adjusted estimate of two-dose vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic COVID-19 was 46.7 % (95 %CI, 19.9 %-64.6 %) after a median time between the second dose and the beginning of COVID-19 symptoms of 94 days (IQR, 60-139 days). Effectiveness waned from 77.7 % at 7-29 days after receipt of a second dose to <30 % (non-significant) after ≥120 days. CONCLUSION: In a relatively young and healthy Brazilian population, two doses of BNT162b2 provided protection against symptomatic Omicron infection. However, this protection waned significantly over time, underscoring the need for boosting with variant-adapted vaccines in this population prior to waves of disease activity. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05052307 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05052307).


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , Femenino , Adulto , Masculino , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , Vacuna BNT162 , Brasil/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Estudios Prospectivos , Programas de Inmunización
19.
Am J Reprod Immunol ; 88(1): e13550, 2022 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35452552

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: More than 325,000 cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been reported among pregnant women in the Americas. AIMS: This review examines the impact of COVID-19 in pregnant women and describes available evidence on the safety, effectiveness, and immune response(s) to vaccination among pregnant and lactating women. CONTENT: Multiple studies indicate that pregnant women are more susceptible to adverse COVID-19 outcomes, including hospitalization, intensive care unit admission, and invasive ventilation than non-pregnant women with COVID-19. Furthermore, COVID-19 in pregnancy is associated with adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes. Adverse COVID-19 outcomes appear to disproportionately affect pregnant women from low- and middle-income countries, likely reflecting inequities in access to quality healthcare. Despite the absence of safety and efficacy data from randomized clinical trials in this subpopulation, observational studies and data from pregnancy registries thus far have demonstrated that vaccination of pregnant or lactating women against COVID-19 is safe, effective, and results in robust immune responses including transfer of antibodies to the newborn via the placenta and breast milk, respectively. IMPLICATIONS: These data support vaccination recommendations intending to help protect these vulnerable individuals against COVID-19 and its sequelae. Randomized clinical studies will further evaluate the safety and immunogenicity of COVID-19 vaccines in these populations. This review examines the impact of COVID-19 in pregnant women and describes available evidence on the safety, effectiveness, and immune response(s) to vaccination among pregnant and lactating women.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/uso terapéutico , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Lactancia , Embarazo , Vacunación
20.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 18(1): 1917237, 2022 12 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33908816

RESUMEN

This communication seeks to address the questions and criticisms issued by Gomez and colleagues in their letter on our original study "Cost-effectiveness analysis of replacing the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in Brazil infants." Gomez and colleagues are concerned that the assumptions used in our model may have unintended negative impacts for Brazil decision-making and we intend to clarify any potential misinterpretation of our assessment.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Neumocócicas , Brasil , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Humanos , Lactante , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Vacunas Neumococicas , Vacunas Conjugadas
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