Cost analysis of re-exploration for bleeding after coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

BACKGROUND: Re-exploration for bleeding after cardiac surgery is an indicator of substantial haemorrhage and is associated with increased hospital resource utilization. This study aimed to analyse the costs of re-exploration and estimate the costs of haemostatic prophylaxis. METHODS: A total of 4232 patients underwent isolated, first-time, coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery during 2005-8. Each patient re-explored for bleeding (n=127) was matched with two controls not requiring re-exploration (n=254). Cost analysis was based on resource utilization from completion of CABG until discharge. A mean cost per patient for re-exploration was calculated. Based on this, the net cost of prophylactic treatment with haemostatic drugs for preventing re-exploration was calculated. RESULTS: Patients undergoing re-exploration had higher exposure to clopidogrel before operation, prolonged stays in the intensive care unit, and more blood transfusions than controls. The mean incremental cost for re-exploration was €6290 [95% confidence interval (CI) €3408-€9173] per patient, of which 48% [€3001 (95% CI €249-€2147)] was due to prolonged stay, 31% [€1928 (95% CI €1710-€2147)] to the cost of surgery/anaesthesia, 20% [€1261 (95% CI €1145-€1378)] to the increased number of blood transfusions, and <2% [€100 (95% CI €39-€161)] to the cost of haemostatic drugs. A cost model, at an estimated 50% efficacy for recombinant activated clotting factor VIIa and a 50% expected risk for re-exploration without prophylaxis, demonstrated that to be cost neutral, prophylaxis of four patients needed to result in one avoided re-exploration. CONCLUSIONS: The resource utilization costs were substantially higher in patients requiring re-exploration for bleeding. From a strict cost-effectiveness perspective, clinical interventions to prevent haemorrhage might be underutilized.

Is early invasive treatment of unstable coronary artery disease equally effective for both women and men? FRISC II Study Group Investigators.

BACKGROUND: The Fragmin and fast Revascularization during InStability in Coronary artery disease (FRISC II) trial compared the effectiveness of an early invasive versus a noninvasive strategy in terms of the incidence of death and myocardial infarction (MI) in patients with unstable coronary artery disease (CAD). OBJECTIVES: In this subanalysis, we sought to evaluate gender differences in the effect of these different strategies. METHODS: The patients (749 women and 1,708 men) were randomized to early invasive or noninvasive strategies. Coronary angiography was performed within the first 7 days in 96% and 10% of the invasive and noninvasive groups, respectively, and revascularization was performed within the first 10 days in 71% and 9% of the invasive and noninvasive groups, respectively. RESULTS: Women presenting with unstable CAD were older, but fewer had previous infarctions, left ventricular dysfunction and elevated troponin T levels. Women had fewer angiographic changes. There was no difference in MI or death at 12 months among women in the invasive and noninvasive groups (12.4% vs. 10.5%, respectively), in contrast to the favorable effect in the invasively treated group of men (9.6% vs. 15.8%, p < 0.001). In an interaction analysis, there was a different effect of the early invasive strategy for the two genders (p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Women with symptoms and/or signs of unstable CAD are older, but still have less severe CAD and a better prognosis compared with men. In contrast to its beneficial effect in men, an early invasive strategy did not reduce the risk of future events among women. Further research is warranted to identify the most appropriate treatment strategy in women with unstable CAD.

Observed and relative survival after aortic valve replacement.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to evaluate the effects of a number of factors that can potentially determine the optimal time for aortic valve replacement (AVR) and the observed and relative survival after the operation. BACKGROUND: Aortic valve replacement is performed in patients within a wide age span, but the proportion of elderly patients is increasing. In survival analyses, adjustment for the effects of age is therefore essential. Analysis of relative survival provides additional information on excess or disease-specific mortality and its risk factors. METHODS: Survival was analyzed in 2,359 patients (1,442 without and 917 with concomitant coronary artery bypass graft surgery) undergoing their first AVR. By relating observed survival to that expected among the general Swedish population stratified by age, gender and five-year calendar period, the relative survival and disease-specific survival were estimated. RESULTS: Early mortality after AVR (death within 30 days) was 5.6%. Relative survival rates (excluding early deaths) after 5, 10 and 15 years were 94.6%, 84.7% and 74.9%, respectively. There was an excess risk of dying during the entire follow-up period. Advanced New York Heart Association functional class, preoperative atrial fibrillation and pure aortic regurgitation were independent risk factors for observed and relative survival. Patients in the oldest age group showed decreased observed survival but excellent relative survival. CONCLUSIONS: Old age was not a risk factor for excess mortality after AVR, whereas atrial fibrillation decreased relative survival substantially.

Pharmacokinetics and extracellular distribution to blood, brain, and muscle of alovudine (3'-fluorothymidine) and zidovudine in the rat studied by microdialysis.

Microdialysis was applied to sample the free drug concentration in the extracellular fluid in brain, muscle, and blood of rats given alovudine (n = 6) (3'-fluorothymidine) or zidovudine (n = 5) (25 mg/kg s.c.). Alovudine and zidovudine were analyzed by means of high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) with UV detection. The assay for zidovudine was validated by a radioimmunoassay. In addition, the plasma protein binding of the drugs was measured by microdialysis in vitro. The concentrations attained in blood and muscle were similar for each drug, with a Cmax of 57 microM (blood) and 54 microM (muscle) for alovudine and 38 and 46 microM, respectively, for zidovudine. In contrast the Cmax in brain was 8 microM for alovudine and 4 microM for zidovudine. The peak concentration was attained 20-40 min after injection in blood and muscle and 40-60 min after injection in the brain. The half-lives of zidovudine in both blood and muscle were 37 min and in brain 69 min. For alovudine the corresponding half-lives were significantly longer: 61, 58, and 105 min, respectively. The ratio of the AUC0-180 brain/blood was 0.257 for alovudine and 0.186 for zidovudine. The plasma protein binding of zidovudine was 10%, while alovudine was virtually unbound.

Antiviral effects of 3'-fluorothymidine and 3'-azidothymidine in cynomolgus monkeys infected with simian immunodeficiency virus.

An acute infection with simian immunodeficiency virus (SIVSM) in cynomolgus monkeys was used to evaluate the antiviral effects of 3'-fluorothymidine (FLT) and 3'-azidothymidine [zidovudine (ZDV)]. Neither compound prevented the infection despite dosing prior to virus inoculation. FLT was about ten times more potent than ZDV in delaying the appearance of SIVSM antigen in the monkeys. The serum half-life of FLT was longer than that of ZDV and ZDV was bound to plasma proteins to about 60% while FLT was virtually unbound. It is proposed that the in vivo difference in potency between ZDV and FLT could, at least partly, be explained as the combined effects of a longer plasma half-life and a higher free concentration of FLT and possibly a higher intracellular concentration of the triphosphate of FLT.

Can mortality from rectal and rectosigmoid carcinoma be predicted from histopathological variables in the diagnostic biopsy?

The prognostic information provided by histopathological variables in the diagnostic biopsy was evaluated retrospectively in 276 consecutive patients "potentially curable" by surgery using criteria recently proposed by Jass et al. concerning the main specimen. In 252 (91%) cases, the biopsy material was appropriate for the intended assessment. The majority of tumours were tubular (67%), tubular configuration mostly irregular (76%) and the tumour cells usually had small nuclei (81%). Remnants of adenomatous structures were identified in 21%. Most tumours were moderately differentiated (57%), and poorly differentiated tumours were somewhat more common (27%) than highly differentiated ones (16%). There was no real correlation between these histopathological variables, as expressed in biopsy, and Dukes' stage. Patients with a well-differentiated tumour had somewhat better survival than those with a moderately or poorly differentiated one (p = 0.04). Tumour type tended to influence cancer-specific mortality in that patients with papillary tumour had a slightly better prognosis than those with a different type. An attempt was also made to classify the patients into two groups on the basis of the observers' subjective impression of the tumour pattern and the expected outcome. Among the 143 patients in whom the over-all subjective impression was an "aggressive tumour pattern", 43% died (median follow-up 47 months). The cancer-specific death rate in patients in whom the tumour pattern was "non-aggressive" was 27% (p = 0.04). In summary, the extent to which these variables predicted mortality was far from clinically useful.

Isoenzymes of alkaline phosphatases in seminomas. An immunohistochemical and biochemical study.

Placental alkaline phosphatase (the PLAP-like isoenzyme) and liver alkaline phosphatase (LAP) were demonstrated immunohistochemically by use of monoclonal antibodies in the tumor cells of twelve seminomas and one seminoma metastasis. Intestinal alkaline phosphatase (IAP) was not found. The PLAP-like and LAP enzymes showed high catalytic activities compared to normal testis. This is the first occasion that LAP has been demonstrated by immunochemistry in seminoma cells. The results suggest that demonstration of these tumor enzymes may be useful markers for seminomas in histopathological specimens.

Solid phase ELISA for determination of the virus dose dependent sensitivity of human cytomegalovirus to antiviral drugs in vitro.

The main problems in determining the true in vivo susceptibility of human cytomegalovirus (CMV) to antiviral compounds are the influence of the size of the viral inoculum, the variation in the replication capacity of different CMV strains and the subjective evaluation of the inhibition of viral growth in the plaque assay. In this study, a specific assay was developed which reproducibly determines the sensitivity of primary isolates of CMV. The assay includes simultaneous virus titration and determination of the antiviral sensitivity. When individual virus doses were evaluated, the IC50 was generally dependent on the virus dose, except for resistant isolates, where the IC50 did not change irrespective of the dose of virus. The novel method of IC50 calculation takes into account all values derived from the linear part of the inhibition curve. This may better reflect the in vivo conditions, where the antiviral drug encounters different amounts of virus in different organs. Two human fibroblast-derived cell lines showed similar results.

Routes and sources of Staphylococcus aureus transmitted to the surgical wound during cardiothoracic surgery: possibility of preventing wound contamination by use of special scrub suits.

OBJECTIVES: To trace the routes of transmission and sources of Staphylococcus aureus found in the surgical wound during cardiothoracic surgery and to investigate the possibility of reducing wound contamination, with regard to total counts of bacteria and S. aureus, by wearing special scrub suits. METHODS: A total of 65 elective operations for coronary artery bypass graft with or without concomitant valve replacement were investigated. All staff present in the operating room wore conventional scrub suits during 33 operations and special scrub suits during 32 operations. Bacteriological samples were taken from the hands of the scrubbed team after surgical scrub but before putting on sterile gowns and gloves and from the patients' skin (incisional area of sternum and vein harvesting area of legs) after preoperative skin preparation with chlorhexidine gluconate. Air samples were taken during operations. Bacteriological samples also were taken from the subcutaneous walls of the surgical wound just before closing the wound. Total counts of bacteria on sternal skin and wound walls (colony-forming units [CFUs]/cm2) were calculated, as well as total counts of bacteria in the air (CFUs/m3). Strains of S. aureus recovered from the different sampling sites were compared by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). RESULTS: Special scrub suits significantly reduced total counts of bacteria in air compared to conventional scrub suits (P=.002). The number of air samples in which S. aureus was found was significantly reduced by special scrub suits compared with conventional scrub suits (P=.016; relative risk, 4.4; 95% confidence interval [CI95], 1.3-14.91). By use of PFGE, it was possible to identify two cases of possible airborne transmission of S. aureus when wearing conventional scrub suits, whereas no case was found when wearing special scrub suits. When exposed to airborne S. aureus, the concomitant sternal carriage of S. aureus was a risk factor for having S. aureus in the wound. CONCLUSIONS: Use of tightly woven special scrub suits reduces the dispersal of total counts of bacteria and of S. aureus from staff in the operating room, thus possibly reducing the risk of airborne contamination of surgical wounds. The importance of careful preoperative disinfection of the patient's skin should be stressed.

Influence of left ventricular function on survival after coronary artery bypass grafting.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative left ventricular function is a most important predictor for survival in patients with ischemic heart disease. To elucidate the optimal timing of recommended coronary artery bypass grafting, we investigated the influence of different aspects of preoperative left ventricular function on relative survival. METHODS: To calculate the relative survival and estimate the disease-specific survival, we compared 6,514 patients who survived the first month after primary coronary artery bypass grafting with the general Swedish population stratified by age, sex, and 5-year calendar period. In particular we studied the relation between relative survival and different aspects of left ventricular performance, namely left ventricular function at rest, New York Heart Association functional class, and number of previous myocardial infarctions. RESULTS: The three variables (left ventricular function at rest, New York Heart Association functional class, and number of previous myocardial infarctions) as well as age and follow-up year gave independent information concerning relative survival. The results from this multivariate analysis were used to define a risk score for each patient. Patients were categorized into different risk groups. Patients in the low-risk group (30% of the total) showed a survival better than that of the population at large for 9 years after operation. The medium-risk group had no or low excess mortality for about 7 years, and the high-risk group (25%) showed increased excess mortality immediately after operation. CONCLUSIONS: If primary coronary artery bypass grafting is performed before the left ventricular function and physical performance deteriorate, survival is excellent.

Early appearance of simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV) antigen and antibodies as variables in evaluating antiviral drugs in macaques.

SIV infection in macaques has become an important animal model for HIV-1 infection in humans. An antibody assay was therefore developed and compared to a commercially available antigen assay with respect to their usefulness to monitor the course of simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV) infection in cynomolgus monkeys. A peptide, JB6T, consisting of 21 amino acids with the sequence NSWGCAFRQVCHTTVPWVNDS corresponding to a segment in the env protein of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 2 was used as antigen in an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). JB6T was found to detect IgG and IgM antibodies to viral antigens with high specificity. The earliest anti-SIV IgM antibodies were detected at days 13-16, with a maximum at day 20 and subsequently the levels fell. Specific IgG antibody levels increased at day 16-20 after SIV infection and reached a plateau at day 60. The commercially available HIV-1 p24/26 antigen test could, due to cross-reactivity, be employed to detect SIV antigen delay, peak and duration.

Effect of resistance on combination chemotherapy for human immunodeficiency virus infection.

The effect of 3 drug combinations (AZT/FLT, AZT/ddI and FLT/ddI) upon the replication of AZT-sensitive and -resistant human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) was studied. The 3 combinations synergistically inhibited drug sensitive virus. However, AZT resistant virus showed an altered response to the combinations containing AZT: synergy was replaced by addition or antagonism. Thus, the susceptibility to a drug may affect the synergistic effect of combinations containing that drug. Other drug combinations may not be affected, since the AZT resistant virus retained a synergistic response to the combination of FLT/ddI. The synergistic effect could be regained upon reversion of resistance; a viral isolate taken after cessation of therapy, which had reverted to sensitivity to AZT, regained the synergistic response to drug combinations containing AZT. These results have implications for the use of combination chemotherapy to treat infection with HIV. Drug combinations will be most useful if the virus is sensitive to all components in the combination. It might be preferable to avoid the inclusion in combinations of drugs to which there is resistance, since we saw an antagonistic effect for combinations containing AZT in AZT resistant virus. Other combinations not containing the drug to which resistance has arisen may maintain their synergistic effect and remain good choices. Thus, a strategy of monitoring drug sensitivity and altering the combination therapy accordingly would appear to offer promise for the treatment of HIV infection.

Source and route of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus epidermidis transmitted to the surgical wound during cardio-thoracic surgery. Possibility of preventing wound contamination by use of special scrub suits.

The objective of this study was to trace the source and route of transmission of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus epidermidis (MRSE) in the surgical wound during cardio-thoracic surgery, and to investigate the possibility of reducing wound contamination by wearing special scrub suits. In total 65 elective operations for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) with or without concomitant valve replacement were investigated. All staff present in the operating room wore conventional scrub suits during 33 operations and special scrub suits during 32 operations. Samples were taken from the hands of the scrubbed team after surgical scrub but before putting on sterile gowns and gloves, and from patients' skin (incisional area of sternum and vein harvesting area of legs) after preoperative skin preparation with chlorhexidine gluconate. Air samples were taken during operations. Samples were also taken from the wound just before closure. Total counts of bacteria on sternal skin and from the wound (cfu/cm2) were calculated as well as total counts of bacteria in the air (cfu/m3). Strains of MRSE recovered from the different sampling sites were compared by pulsed field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). It was found that wearing special scrub suits did not reduce the number of air-samples where MRSE was found compared with conventional scrub suits. The risk factor most strongly associated with MRSE in the wound at the end of the operation was preoperative carriage of MRSE on sternal skin; RR 2.42 [95% CI 1.43-4.10], P= 0.021. By use of PFGE, it was possible to identify the probable source for four MRSE isolates recovered from the wound. In three cases the source was the patients own skin. Finding MRSE in air-samples, or on the hands of the scrubbed team, were not risk factors for the recovery of MRSE in the wound at the end of operation. In conclusion, with a total bacterial air count around 20 cfu/m3 and a low proportion of MRSE, the reduction of total air counts by use of tightly woven special scrub suits did not reduce air counts of MRSE or wound contamination with MRSE. The patients' sternal skin was the main source for wound contamination with MRSE

Dispersal of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus epidermidis by staff in an operating suite for thoracic and cardiovascular surgery: relation to skin carriage and clothing.

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus epidermidis (MRSE) is a common cause of deep sternal infections. The aim of the present investigation was to evaluate staff in an operating suite for thoracic and cardiovascular surgery as a possible source of MRSE and the possibility of reducing the amount of MRSE shed into the air by wearing tightly woven scrub suits. A second aim was to compare the results of dispersal obtained in a test chamber with those from an operating room. We studied carriage of MRSE in the nose and on different skin sites and made an experimental study of dispersal of MRSE during exercise in a test chamber and during operations, using two different types of scrub suits. Dispersal of MRSE [defined as > 1% of the total count of colony forming units (CFU) shed into the air] occurred in 25% of women and 43% of men. Nasal carriage was found among 28% in women and 33% in men. Among five skin-sampling sites, carriage of MRSE was most frequent on the cheek (50%) and in the axilla (24%) and least frequent in the perineum (5%). Dispersal of MRSE was however more strongly associated with carriage in the perineum (P = 0.097) than on the cheek (P = 0.5) and in the axilla (P = 0.21). With regard to shedding of bacteria into the air, there was a significant difference in favour of the tightly woven clothes regarding total counts of CFU both in the test chamber (P = 0.02) and the operating theatre (P = 0.002). Regarding MRSE, no such difference was found. We found there were too many dispersers of MRSE among operating department staff to exclude them from work. Although tightly woven scrub suits significantly reduced the amount of bacteria shed into the air, the amount of MRSE was not significantly reduced. Full-scale experiments in operating rooms are not needed when evaluating the protective capacity of different scrub suits as results from a test chamber give conclusive information.

Neoglycolipid conjugates of foscarnet with enhanced antiviral activity in cells infected with human cytomegalovirus and herpes simplex virus type 1.

The synthesis of a series of neoglycolipid conjugates of foscarnet as potential drug targeting forms or lipophilic prodrugs of foscarnet is described. The compounds were obtained from suitably protected neoglycolipids, in which the lipid chain consisted of 12 to 20 carbon atoms, by ethoxycarbonylphosphonylation at the 6-hydroxyl or 4-hydroxyl group followed by deprotection. The in vitro antiviral activity of the compounds was determined in human foetal lung cells infected with human cytomegalovirus (HCMV) or herpes simplex virus type 1 (HSV-1). Compounds in which the lipid chain consisted of 14 to 20 carbon atoms showed pronounced antiviral activity against HCMV and HSV-1, the highest activity being shown by trans-9-octadecen-1-yl 6-O-carboxyphosphonyl-alpha-D-glucopyranoside against HCMV (approximately 50 times that of foscarnet) and by eicosyl 6-O-carboxyphosphonyl-beta-D-galactopyranoside against HSV-1 (approximately 15 times that of foscarnet). Cytotoxicity was determined by assessing the capability of mitochondrial enzymes to metabolise MTT and gave TC50 values for the compounds that were 30 to 350 times higher than their IC50 values against HCMV and 5 to 15 times higher than their IC50 values against HSV-1. Foscarnet was not liberated on incubation of n-tetradecyl 6-O-carboxyphosphonyl-alpha-D-glucopyranoside with rat liver or intestine homogenate, neither could the neoglycolipid conjugate nor foscarnet be detected in rat plasma following oral administration. Further metabolic and pharmacokinetic studies are required in order to determine whether neoglycolipid conjugates of foscarnet can find a use as drug targeting forms of foscarnet.

Preoperative serum markers in carcinoma of the rectum and rectosigmoid. I. Prediction of tumour stage.

Preoperative serum concentrations of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), tissue polypeptide antigen (TPA) and a monoclonal-antibody-defined carcinoma-associated carbohydrate antigen, CA-50, were measured in 272 consecutive patients with histopathologically proven rectal carcinoma. The levels of all three tumour markers correlated directly to the stage of the disease. The serum TPA reflected both the local tumour burden and any metastatic spread, as shown by analysing mean levels of S-TPA and by the use of a Walker and Duncan regression model. S-CA-50 separated patients with and without distant metastases, but not with regard to the local tumour burden. Although the level of S-CEA correlated to the tumour stage, it did not discriminate patients with respect to locally advanced growth or generalized disease. In a multivariate analysis, the serum level of TPA was found to be the most informative preoperatively. Both S-CA-50 and S-CEA gave information additional to that provided by S-TPA in the prediction of the tumour stage (Dukes' stage A-D), and S-CA-50 was also useful in the prediction of metastatic disease.

Preoperative serum markers in carcinoma of the rectum and rectosigmoid. II. Prediction of prognosis.

The prognostic value of a single preoperative determination of the serum (S) concentration of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), tissue polypeptide antigen (TPA) and the carcinoma-associated carbohydrate antigen CA-50, either alone or in combination was evaluated in 327 consecutive patients with carcinoma of the rectum. A strong correlation was found between the serum level of each of these tumour markers separately, and prognosis, both in terms of crude survival in all patients and in disease-free survival in 'potentially cured' patients. The prognostic information provided by S-TPA and S-CA-50 was stronger, however, than that given by S-CEA. In a multivariate approach, S-TPA was found to be most informative. With use of the Cox regression model, the critical serum values that best separated patients in regard to mortality were CEA 18 micrograms/l, TPA 120 U/l and S-CA-50 40 U/ml. The critical values that best discriminated disease-free survival in 'potentially cured' patients were CEA 12 micrograms/l, TPA 110 U/l and S-CA-50 28 U/ml. The clinical usefulness of these and other cut-off levels is discussed.

Long-term follow up study on 64 elderly patients after balloon aortic valvuloplasty.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS OF THE STUDY: The aims of this study were to evaluate symptomatic improvement and event-free/overall survival after balloon aortic valvulotomy in patients with significant sclerotic aortic valve stenosis. METHODS: Sixty-four patients with calcified aortic stenosis, in NYHA class III-IV, and of mean age 79.0 years, underwent a total of 75 scheduled attempts at balloon aortic valvulotomy, with single balloon catheters between December 1987 and June 1993. Patients were either considered as poor surgical candidates or themselves preferred such valvulotomy. RESULTS: Periprocedural major complications, including death in 6%, occurred in association with 16% of the procedures. Among 57 patients in whom initial dilatation was successful, the average period of symptom relief was 9.4 months (median 7.0, range: 0 to 47 months). Independent predictors for longer duration of symptom relief and survival were systolic arterial pressure > 115 mmHg and female gender; ejection fraction > or = 30% was only predictive of survival. Actuarial survival rates at one, two and three years were 77, 48 and 36% respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Balloon aortic valvulotomy is followed by a short period of symptomatic relief and carries a low periprocedural mortality, but considerable morbidity. By comparison, aortic valve replacement patients aged over 70 and with serious physical limitations (NYHA class IIIB-IV) showed much better overall survival. As contraindications to surgery are in most cases relative, aortic valve replacement should always be considered as the only choice in the surgical decision-making.

Long-term relative survival after primary heart valve replacement.

OBJECTIVE: Determination of the optimal timing of primary heart valve replacement is an important issue. The present paper provides a synopsis over early and late survival after primary heart valve replacement, including an evaluation of the excess mortality among heart valve replacement patients compared with the general population. METHODS: Survival was analyzed in 2365 patients (1568 without and 797 with concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG)) who underwent their first heart valve replacement. Observed survival was related to that expected among persons from the general Swedish population stratified by age, sex, and 5-year calendar period, to calculate the relative survival and estimate the disease-specific survival. RESULTS: Early mortality (death within 30 days after surgery) was 5.9% after aortic valve replacement, 10.4% after mitral valve replacement and 10.6% after combined aortic and mitral valve replacement. Relative survival rates (excluding early deaths) were 84% 10 years after aortic, 68.5% after mitral and 80.9% after both aortic and mitral valve replacement. A multivariate model based on observed survival rates was produced for each group, using the Cox proportional hazards model. Concomitant CABG, advanced New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, preoperative atrial fibrillation, pure aortic regurgitation and higher age increased the late observed survival after aortic valve replacement. NYHA class was the only factor independently related to observed late deaths after mitral valve replacement, and mitral insufficiency the only corresponding factor after both aortic and mitral valve surgery. CONCLUSION: The use of relative survival rates tended to modify the difference between subgroups compared with observed survival rates. Relative survival rates reduced the effect of concomitant CABG on survival, but enhanced for example the effect of aortic regurgitation. In patients > or = 70 years of age and patients submitted to aortic or mitral valve replacement with mild or no symptoms, the survival rate was similar for many years to that in the Swedish population at large.

Outcome after lung cancer surgery. Factors predicting early mortality and major morbidity.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to assess mortality, complications and major morbidity during the first 30 days after lung cancer surgery and to estimate the significance of presurgical risk factors. METHODS: The study was based on all patients referred for surgery for primary lung cancer from 1 January 1987 to 1 September 1999. There were in total 616 patients with primary lung cancer. Three-hundred and ninety-four were men and 222 women. Postoperative events studied were divided into major and minor complications or death during the first 30 days after surgery. The significance of risk factors for an adverse outcome (defined as death or major complication in the first 30 days postoperatively) was assessed by uni- and multivariate logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: During the study period an increasing number of women and of patients older than 70 years underwent surgery. Overall 30-day mortality was 2.9, 0.6% after single lobectomy and 5.7% after pneumonectomy. Major complications occurred in 54 patients (8.8%). Fifty-eight patients (9.5%) had an adverse outcome during the first 30 days. Male gender, smoker, FEV(1)< or =70% of expected value, squamous cell carcinoma and pneumonectomy were risk factors predicting adverse outcome in the univariate model. Pneumonectomy and FEV(1)< or =70%, were the only independently significant factors for adverse outcome. Only pneumonectomy was independently associated with an increased risk for early death. CONCLUSION: Our results show low mortality and morbidity after lung cancer surgery. However, patients with reduced lung capacity and those undergoing pneumonectomy should be treated with great care, as they run a considerable risk of major complications or death during the first 30 days postoperatively. Older age (>70 years) does not appear to be a contraindication to lung cancer surgery, but patients in this group should undergo careful preoperative evaluation.