The utility of P-I-R classification in predicting the on-treatment histological and clinical outcomes of patients with hepatitis B and advanced liver fibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The predominantly progressive, indeterminate, and predominantly regressive (P-I-R) classification extends beyond staging and provides information on dynamic changes of liver fibrosis. However, the prognostic implication of P-I-R classification is not elucidated. Therefore, in the present research, we investigated the utility of P-I-R classification in predicting the on-treatment clinical outcomes. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In an extension study on a randomized controlled trial, we originally enrolled 1000 patients with chronic hepatitis B and biopsy-proven histological significant fibrosis, and treated them for more than 7 years with entecavir-based therapy. Among the 727 patients with a second biopsy at treatment week 72, we compared P-I-R classification and Ishak score changes in 646 patients with adequate liver sections for the histological evaluation. Progressive, indeterminate, and regressive cases were observed in 70%, 17%, and 13% of patients before treatments and 20%, 14%, and 64% after 72-week treatment, respectively, which could further differentiate the histological outcomes of patients with stable Ishak scores. The 7-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 1.5% for the regressive cases, 4.3% for the indeterminate cases, and 22.8% for the progressive cases ( p <0.001). After adjusting for age, treatment regimen, platelet counts, cirrhosis, Ishak fibrosis score changes, and Laennec staging, the posttreatment progressive had a HR of 17.77 (vs. posttreatment regressive; 95% CI: 5.55-56.88) for the incidence of liver-related events (decompensation, HCC, and death/liver transplantation). CONCLUSIONS: The P-I-R classification can be a meaningful complement to the Ishak fibrosis score not only in evaluating the histological changes but also in predicting the clinical outcomes.

Regression of Liver Fibrosis in Patients on Hepatitis B Therapy Is Associated With Decreased Liver-Related Events.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B can regress with successful antiviral therapy. However, the long-term clinical benefits of fibrosis regression have not been fully elucidated. This study investigated the association between biopsy-proven fibrosis regression by predominantly progressive, indeterminate, and predominantly regressive (P-I-R) score and liver-related events (LREs) in chronic hepatitis B patients. METHODS: Patients with on-treatment liver biopsy and significant fibrosis/cirrhosis (Ishak stage ≥3) were included in this analysis. Fibrosis regression was evaluated according to the P-I-R score of the Beijing Classification. LREs were defined as decompensations, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, or death. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine associations of fibrosis regression with LREs. RESULTS: A total of 733 patients with Ishak stages 3/4 (n = 456; 62.2%) and cirrhosis (Ishak stages 5/6; n = 277; 37.8%) by on-treatment liver biopsy were enrolled. According to the P-I-R score, fibrosis regression, indeterminate, and progression were observed in 314 (42.8%), 230 (31.4%), and 189 (25.8%) patients, respectively. The 7-year cumulative incidence of LREs was 4.1%, 8.7%, and 18.1% in regression, indeterminate, and progression, respectively (log-rank, P < .001). Compared with patients with fibrosis progression, those with fibrosis regression had a lower risk of LREs (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.16-0.99; P = .047), followed by the indeterminate group (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.40-1.85; P = .691). Notably, this favorable association also was observed in patients with cirrhosis or low platelet counts (<150 × 109/L). CONCLUSIONS: Antiviral therapy-induced liver fibrosis regression assessed by P-I-R score is associated with reduced LREs. This shows the utility of histologic fibrosis regression assessed by on-treatment P-I-R score as a surrogate endpoint for clinical events in patients with hepatitis B virus-related fibrosis or early cirrhosis.

Carvedilol Plus NUC for Patients With HBV-Compensated Cirrhosis Under Virological Suppression: A Randomized Open-Label Trial.

INTRODUCTION: Portal hypertension progression can be relieved after controlling the etiology of liver cirrhosis. Whether beta-blockers could additionally enhance the effects during treatment, particularly for small esophageal varices (EV), was unclear. This study aims to assess the efficacy of add-on carvedilol to delay EV progression during anti-hepatitis B virus (HBV) treatment in HBV-related cirrhosis. METHODS: This randomized controlled trial enrolled patients with virologically suppressed HBV-compensated cirrhosis and small/medium EV. The participants were randomly assigned to receive nucleos(t)ide analog (NUC) or carvedilol 12.5 mg plus NUC (1:1 allocation ratio). The primary end point was the progression rate of EV at 2 years of follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 238 patients (small EV, 77.3%) were randomized into 119 NUC and 119 carvedilol plus NUC (carvedilol [CARV] combination group). Among them, 205 patients (86.1%) completed paired endoscopies. EV progression rate was 15.5% (16/103) in the NUC group and 12.7% (13/102) in the CARV combination group (relative risk = 0.79, 95% confidence interval 0.36-1.75, P = 0.567). Subgroup analysis on medium EV showed the CARV combination group had a more favorable effect in promoting EV regression (43.5% vs 13.1%, P = 0.022) than NUC alone, but not in small cases ( P = 0.534). The incidence of liver-related events (decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, or death/liver transplantation) within 2 years was similar between the 2 groups (11.2% vs 10.4%, P = 0.881). DISCUSSION: The overall results did not show statistically significant differences between the added carvedilol strategy and NUC monotherapy in preventing EV progression in patients with virologically suppressed HBV-compensated cirrhosis. However, the carvedilol-added approach might offer improved outcomes specifically for patients with medium EV (NCT03736265).

Multiple Low-Level Viraemia Suggest Hindered Liver Fibrosis Regression in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients During Antiviral Therapy.

Low-level viraemia (LLV) occurs in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients despite antiviral treatment, which may cause failed histological regression. Our study aimed to investigate the impact of different LLV types on fibrosis regression. The prospective study enrolled CHB patients with paired liver biopsies before and after 260 weeks of entecavir treatment. Fibrosis regression was defined by the Ishak score or P-I-R system. Patients were grouped as the SVR (HBV DNA < 20 IU/mL persistently) or LLV (HBV DNA between 20 and 2000 IU/mL), which were further grouped as very low-level viraemia (VLLV, HBV DNA < 50 IU/mL), occasionally LLV (OLLV, HBV DNA ≥ 50 IU/mL only once) and multiple LLV (MLLV, HBV DNA ≥ 50 IU/mL more than once). Logistic regression models were used to calculate the adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The analysis included 111 CHB patients. In the SVR group (n = 54), 39 (72.2%) patients had fibrosis regression, which was higher than the LLV (56.1%, p = 0.080). The fibrosis regression rates for VLLV (30 patients), OLLV (17 patients) and MLLV (10 patients) were 70.0%, 52.9% and 30.0%, respectively. Compared with SVR, VLLV (aOR = 0.78; 95% CI: 0.28-2.21; p = 0.644) was not associated with fibrosis regression, but patients with non-VLLV (aOR = 0.27; 95% CI: 0.09-0.85; p = 0.025), especially with MLLV (aOR = 0.19; 95% CI: 0.04-0.97; p = 0.046) is significantly associated with hindered fibrosis regression. Our study suggests that patients with detectable serum HBV DNA levels higher than 50 IU/mL need to be monitored carefully, especially in those with more than once. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers NCT01938781 and NCT01938820.

Matrisome gene-based subclassification of patients with liver fibrosis identifies clinical and molecular heterogeneities.

BACKGROUND AIMS: Excessive deposition and crosslinking of extracellular matrix increases liver density and stiffness, promotes fibrogenesis, and increases resistance to fibrinolysis. An emerging therapeutic opportunity in liver fibrosis is to target the composition of the extracellular matrix or block pathogenic communication with surrounding cells. However, the type and extent of extracellular changes triggering liver fibrosis depend on the underlying etiology. Our aim was to unveil matrisome genes not dependent on etiology, which are clinically relevant to liver fibrosis. APPROACH RESULTS: We used transcriptomic profiles from liver fibrosis cases of different etiologies to identify and validate liver fibrosis-specific matrisome genes (LFMGs) and their clinical and biological relevance. Dysregulation patterns and cellular landscapes of LFMGs were further explored in mouse models of liver fibrosis progression and regression by bulk and single-cell RNA sequencing. We identified 35 LFMGs, independent of etiology, representing an LFMG signature defining liver fibrosis. Expression of the LFMG signature depended on histological severity and was reduced in regressive livers. Patients with liver fibrosis, even with identical pathological scores, could be subclassified into LFMG Low and LFMG High , with distinguishable clinical, cellular, and molecular features. Single-cell RNA sequencing revealed that microfibrillar-associated protein 4 + activated HSC increased in LFMG High patients and were primarily responsible for the LFMG signature expression and dysregulation. CONCLUSIONS: The microfibrillar-associated protein 4 + -activated HSC-derived LFMG signature classifies patients with liver fibrosis with distinct clinical and biological characteristics. Our findings unveil hidden information from liver biopsies undetectable using traditional histologic assessments.

Long-term antiviral therapy is associated with changes in the profile of transcriptionally active HBV integration in the livers of patients with CHB.

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) integration exists throughout the clinical course of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study investigated the effects of long-term antiviral therapy on the level and profiles of transcriptionally active HBV integration. Serial liver biopsies and paired blood samples were obtained from 16, 16, and 22 patients with CHB at baseline, 78, and 260 weeks of entecavir monotherapy or combined with pegylated interferon alfa, respectively. Serum HBV biomarkers were longitudinally assessed. RNA-seq and HIVID2 program was used to identify HBV-host chimeric RNAs transcribed from integrated DNA. The counts of HBV integration reads were positively related to both serum HBV DNA levels (r = 0.695, p = 0.004) and HBeAg titers (r = 0.724, p = 0.021) at baseline, but the positive correlation exited only to the serum HBsAg levels after 260 weeks of antiviral therapy (r = 0.662, p = 0.001). After 78 weeks of antiviral therapy, the levels of HBV integration expression decreased by 12.25 folds from baseline. The viral junction points were enriched at the S and HBx genes after the long-term antiviral therapy. HBs-FN1 became one of the main transcripts, with the mean proportion of HBs-FN1 in all integrated expression increased from 2.79% at baseline to 10.54% at Week 260 of antiviral treatment. Antiviral therapy may reduce but not eliminate the HBV integration events and integration expression. Certain integration events, such as HBs-FN1 can persist in long-term antiviral treatment.

The Mechanism of Short-Circuit Oscillations in Automotive-Grade Multi-Chip Parallel Power Modules and an Effective Mitigation Approach.

This paper presents an in-depth analysis of the oscillation phenomenon occurring in multi-chip parallel automotive-grade power modules under short-circuit conditions and investigates three suppression methods. We tested and analyzed two commercial automotive-grade power modules, one containing two chips and the other containing a single chip, and found that short-circuit gate oscillations were more likely to occur in multi-chip parallel packaged modules than in single-chip packaged modules. Through experimental and simulation analyses, we observed that gate oscillations were mainly caused by the interaction between internal parasitic parameters of the module and the external drive circuit, and we found that high drive resistance and low common emitter inductance between parallel chips could effectively suppress gate voltage oscillations. We also analyzed the two mainstream suppression schemes, increasing the drive gate resistance and placing the drive capacitors in parallel. Unfortunately, we found that these suppression schemes were not ideal solutions because both schemes changed the switching characteristics of the power module. As an alternative, we propose a simple and effective solution that involves adding parallel connections between the parallel chips. Simulation calculations showed that this optimized method reduced the emitter inductance between parallel chips in the upper bridge arm by about 30% and in the lower bridge arm by 35%. Through short-circuit experiments conducted at different DC bus voltages, it has been verified that the new optimized solution effectively resolves gate oscillation issues without affecting the switching characteristics of the power module.

Persistent steatosis correlates with decreased fibrosis regression during anti-HBV treatment in patients with chronic HBV infection.

Despite the increasing prevalence of steatosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), whether the changes in steatosis impact fibrosis regression during antiviral therapy remain unclear. We aimed to identify the association between histological changes of steatosis and fibrosis in patients undergone antiviral treatment. Patients with paired liver biopsies before and after 78 weeks of antiviral therapy were enrolled in this study. Liver fibrosis was assessed by the Ishak score combined with Beijing Classification predominantly progressive, indeterminate, and predominately regressive score. Steatosis was evaluated by the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score. Collagen in each site was quantitated by second harmonic generation/two photon excitation fluorescence technology. Serum proteomic changes after treatment were characterized by mass-based spectrometry. A total of 239 CHB patients were included and divided into four groups according to the changes in steatosis: 162 (67.8%) had no steatosis throughout, 24 (10.0%) developed new-onset steatosis, 21 (8.8%) had initial steatosis which disappeared, and 32 (13.4%) had persistent steatosis. The persistent steatosis group showed the lowest rate of fibrosis regression (14/32, 43.8%). Persistent steatosis correlated with decreased fibrosis regression significantly after adjusting for age, sex, fibrosis stage, and metabolic factors at baseline, as well as the viral response (adjusted odds ratio = 0.380, 95% confidence interval 0.145-0.996, p = 0.049). This decreased fibrosis regression was associated with accumulated collagen in the perisinusoidal area. Patients with persistent steatosis showed unique changes in glycolipid metabolism according to the serum proteomic atlas. Persistent steatosis correlated with decreased fibrosis regression during antiviral therapy in patients with CHB.

A new glutamine synthetase index to evaluate hepatic lobular restoration in advanced fibrosis during anti-HBV therapy.

Hepatic lobular architecture distortion is a deleterious turning point and a crucial histological feature of advanced liver fibrosis in chronic liver diseases. Regression of fibrosis has been documented in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. However, whether lobular architecture could be restored following fibrosis regression after antiviral therapy is still unclear. Glutamine synthetase (GS) is generally expressed by perivenular hepatocytes around hepatic veins (HV). In this study, we defined abnormal lobular architecture (GSPT ) as GS expressing in the vicinity of portal tracts (PT), which denotes parenchymal extinction and lobular collapse. We defined normal lobular architecture (GSHV ) as GS positivity area not approximating PTs. Therefore, we propose a new GS-index, defined as the percentage of GSHV /(GSHV + GSPT ), to evaluate the extent of architectural disruption and restoration. We evaluated 43 CHB patients with advanced fibrosis (Ishak stage ≥4). Posttreatment liver biopsy was performed after 78 weeks of anti-HBV therapy. The median GS-index improved from 7% (interquartile range [IQR]: 0%-23%) at baseline to 36% (IQR: 20%-57%) at Week 78 (p < 0.001). Totals of 22 patients (51%) had significant GS-index improvement from 0% (IQR: 0%-13%) to 55% (IQR: 44%-81%), while the other half had almost no change between 17% (IQR: 0%-33%) to 20% (IQR: 12%-31%). When GS-index78w ≥ 50% was used to define hepatic lobular restoration, 37% of patients (16/43) achieved lobular restoration, with much improvement in alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels (median value of ∆/Baseline in ALT: restored vs. nonrestored was 79.1% vs. 48.8%, p = 0.018; median value of ∆/Baseline in AST: restored vs. nonrestored was 69.1% vs. 32.5%, p = 0.005). More importantly, lobular restoration correlated with fibrosis regression (median value of ∆/Baseline in Ishak stage: restored vs. nonrestored was 25.0% vs. 0%, p = 0.008). Therefore, in the era of antiviral therapy for CHB, restoration of hepatic lobular architecture is achievable in patients with advanced fibrosis. GS-index provides additional insight into fibrosis regression that goes beyond collagen degradation.

The activation of CaN/NFAT signaling pathway in macrophages aggravated Lactobacillus casei cell wall extract-induced Kawasaki disease vasculitis.

OBJECTIVES: By using GWAS(genome-wide association studies) and linkage disequilibrium analysis to investigate the susceptibility genes of KD(Kawasaki disease), previous studies have identified that the CaN(calcineurin)-NFAT(the nuclear factor of activated T cell) signal pathway were significantly associated with susceptibility to KD. However, little is known about the molecular basis of the CaN/NFAT pathway involved in KD. Therefore, in our study we investigate the role of Ca2+/CaN/NFAT signaling pathway in macrophages in vitro and in vivo on coronary artery lesions induced by LCWE (Lactobacillus casei cell wall extract). METHODS AND RESULTS: We observed that LCWE could increase the expression of NFAT1 and NFAT2 in macrophages in vitro, and also enhance the transcriptional activity of NFAT by promoting the nucleus translocation. Similarly, in LCWE-induced mice model, the expression of NFAT1 and NFAT2 and associated proinflammatory factors were increased significantly. In addition, by knocking down or overexpressing NFAT1 or NFAT2 in macrophages, the results indicated that NFAT signaling pathway mediated LCWE-induced immune responses in macrophages and regulated the synthesis of IL(interleukin)-6, IL-1ß and TNF(tumor necrosis factor)-α in LCWE-induced macrophage activation. As well, we found that this process could be suppressed by CaN inhibitor CsA(cyclosporinA). CONCLUSIONS: Therefore, the CaN/NFAT signaling pathway mediated LCWE-induced immune responses in macrophages, and also participated in the LCWE-induced CALs(coronary artery lesions). And also the inhibitory effect of CsA in LCWE-induced cell model towards a strategy to modulate the CaN/NFAT pathway during the acute course of KD might be helpful in alleviate KD-induced CALs.

Two-year free of complications during antiviral therapy predicts stable re-compensation in immediate-treatment HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Disease progression could be altered or even reversed in decompensated patients with HBV-related cirrhosis once they initiate antiviral therapy. However, little is known about the stable re-compensation in these patients. METHODS: In this retrospective study, HBV-related liver cirrhosis patients were consecutively enrolled at the first decompensated event of ascites or variceal hemorrhage (VH), and divided into immediate-treatment, on-treatment and delayed/no treatment groups. Patients were followed up to at least presence of second decompensation event or to June 2021. Re-compensation was defined as patients who did not occur second (further) decompensation during follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 130 HBV-related decompensated cirrhotic patients were included with a median follow-up of 61.0 (41.6, 72.0) months. The cumulative incidence of re-compensation at year 6 was 39.0, 9.8 and 6.6 in immediate-treatment, on-treatment and delayed/no treatment group (p = 0.001). Among 87 patients in immediate-treatment group, thirty-seven (37/87, 42.5%) were recognized as stable re-compensation. Seventy percent (35/50) of second decompensated events occurred in the first 2 years. In patients free of 2-year decompensated complications, about 71.2% (37/52) maintained stable re-compensation. The cumulative incidence of death (and/or transplantation) and HCC in patients free of 2-year decompensated complications or not was 2.9 vs. 27.3% (HR 9.4, 95% CI 2.2-40.0, p = 0.002) and 12.6 vs. 37.7% (HR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5-13.3, p = 0.006), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In decompensated patients with HBV-related cirrhosis, about 40% in immediate-treatment group maintained stable re-compensation during 6 years of antiviral therapy. Two-year free of complications could predict stable re-compensation.

Comparative Performance of 14 HCC Prediction Models in CHB: A Dynamic Validation at Serial On-Treatment Timepoints.

INTRODUCTION: To assess comparative performance of 14 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients using on-treatment values at different timepoints. METHODS: Based on a nationwide prospective cohort of 986 treatment-naive CHB patients undergoing entecavir therapy with every 26-week follow-up, 14 HCC risk scores were calculated using on-treatment values at week 26, 52, 78, and 104, respectively. Model performance predicting 3-year HCC was assessed using time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration index. Model cutoffs were validated through common diagnostic accuracy measures. RESULTS: During median 4.7-year follow-up, 56 (7.5%) developed HCC. Discrimination using on-treatment values within first 2 years was generally acceptable for most models (AUCs ranging from 0.68 to 0.81), except for REACH-B, NGM-HCC, and PAGE-B, although AUCs slightly decreased from week 26 to 104. Of these, REAL-B, CAMD, GAG-HCC, AASL-HCC, LSM-HCC, mPAGE-B, and mREACH-BII showed highest discrimination with AUCs ranging from 0.76 to 0.81, 0.72 to 0.76, 0.70 to 0.76, and 0.71 to 0.74 when reassessment at week 26, 52, 78, and 104, respectively. With reassessment within first 2 years, both REAL-B and CAMD calibrated well (Brier score ranging from 0.037 to 0.052). Of 9 models reporting cutoffs, REAL-B, AASL-HCC, and mPAGE-B using on-treatment values could identify 30%-40% of patients as low risk with minimal HCC incidence in the low-risk group (0.40% [REAL-B]-1.56% [mPAGE-B]). DISCUSSION: In this undergoing antiviral treatment CHB cohort, most HCC prediction models performed well even using on-treatment values during first 2 years, particularly REAL-B, AASL-HCC, CAMD, and mPAGE-B model.

Development of a multiplex droplet digital PCR assay for detection of enterovirus, parechovirus, herpes simplex virus 1 and 2 simultaneously for diagnosis of viral CNS infections.

BACKGROUND: Enterovirus (EV), parechovirus (HPeV), herpes simplex virus 1 and 2 (HSV1/2) are common viruses leading to viral central nervous system (CNS) infections which are increasingly predominant but exhibit deficiency in definite pathogen diagnosis with gold-standard quantitative PCR method. Previous studies have shown that droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) has great potential in pathogen detection and quantification, especially in low concentration samples. METHODS: Targeting four common viruses of EV, HPeV, HSV1, and HSV2 in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), we developed a multiplex ddPCR assay using probe ratio-based multiplexing strategy, analyzed the performance, and evaluated it in 97 CSF samples collected from patients with suspected viral CNS infections on a two-channel ddPCR detection system. RESULTS: The four viruses were clearly distinguished by their corresponding fluorescence amplitude. The limits of detection for EV, HPeV, HSV1, and HSV2 were 5, 10, 5, and 10 copies per reaction, respectively. The dynamic range was at least four orders of magnitude spanning from 2000 to 2 copies per reaction. The results of 97 tested clinical CSF specimens were identical to those deduced from qPCR/qRT-PCR assays using commercial kits. CONCLUSION: The multiplex ddPCR assay was demonstrated to be an accurate and robust method which could detect EV, HPeV, HSV1, and HSV2 simultaneously. It provides a useful tool for clinical diagnosis and disease monitoring of viral CNS infections.

Histological assessment based on liver biopsy: the value and challenges in NASH drug development.

Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is increasingly recognized as a serious disease that can lead to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and death. However, there is no effective drug to thwart the progression of the disease. Development of new drugs for NASH is an urgent clinical need. Liver biopsy plays a key role in the development of new NASH drugs. Histological findings based on liver biopsy are currently used as the main inclusion criteria and the primary therapeutic endpoint in NASH clinical trials. However, there are inherent challenges in the use of liver biopsy in clinical trials, such as evaluation reliability, sampling error, and invasive nature of the procedure. In this article, we review the advantages and value of liver histopathology based on liver biopsy in clinical trials of new NASH drugs. We also discuss the challenges and limitations of liver biopsy and identify future drug development directions.

Rapid Identification of Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis Genes Using Direct PCR Amplification and Oxford Nanopore Technology Sequencing.

Mycobacterium tuberculosis antimicrobial resistance has been continually reported and is a major public health issue worldwide. Rapid prediction of drug resistance is important for selecting appropriate antibiotic treatments, which significantly increases cure rates. Gene sequencing technology has proven to be a powerful strategy for identifying relevant drug resistance information. This study established a sequencing method and bioinformatics pipeline for resistance gene analysis using an Oxford Nanopore Technologies sequencer. The pipeline was validated by Sanger sequencing and exhibited 100% concordance with the identified variants. Turnaround time for the nanopore sequencing workflow was approximately 12 h, facilitating drug resistance prediction several weeks earlier than that of traditional phenotype drug susceptibility testing. This study produced a customized gene panel assay for rapid bacterial identification via nanopore sequencing, which improves the timeliness of tuberculosis diagnoses and provides a reliable method that may have clinical application.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prediction Models in Chronic Hepatitis B: A Systematic Review of 14 Models and External Validation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The aim of our study was to characterize the performance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients through meta-analysis followed by external validation. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of current literature, followed by external validation in independent multi-center cohort with 986 patients with CHB undergoing entecavir treatment (median follow-up: 4.7 years). Model performance to predict HCC within 3, 5, 7, and 10 years was assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and calibration index. Subgroup analysis were conducted by treatment status, cirrhotic, race and baseline alanine aminotransferase. RESULTS: We identified 14 models with 123,885 patients (5,452 HCC cases), with REACH-B, CU-HCC, GAG-HCC, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B models being broadly externally validated. Discrimination was generally acceptable for all models, with pooled AUC ranging from 0.70 (95% CI, 0.63-0.76 for REACH-B) to 0.83 (95% CI, 0.78-0.87 for REAL-B) for 3-year, 0.68 (95% CI, 0.64-0.73 for REACH-B) to 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77-0.85 for REAL-B) for 5-year and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.58-0.80 for PAGE-B) to 0.81 (95% CI, 0.78-0.84 for REAL-B and 0.77-0.86 for AASL-HCC) for 10-year prediction. However, calibration performance was poorly reported in most studies. In external validation cohort, REAL-B showed highest discrimination with 0.76 (95% CI, 0.69-0.83) and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.70-0.81) for 3 and 5-year prediction. The REAL-B model was also well calibrated in the external validation cohort (3-year Brier score 0.066). Results were consistent in subgroup analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In a systematic review of available HCC models, the REAL-B model exhibited best discrimination and calibration.

Screening varices in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis on antiviral therapy: Platelet alone or together with LSM.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive assessment criteria to rule out high-risk varices (HRV) in compensated hepatitis B virus (HBV) cirrhosis on antiviral therapy remains unclear. METHODS: HBV-related compensated cirrhotic patients who underwent screening endoscopy during antiviral therapy were enrolled and randomly divided into the derivation and validation sets. HRV were defined as medium to large varices or small varices with red signs. Univariate and multivariate logistic analysis were used to determine the parameters associated with HRV. RESULTS: A total of 436 HBV-related compensated cirrhotic patients screened for varices were enrolled, the median duration of antiviral therapy was 4 years (IQR: 2.5-5.5 years). In the derivation set (N = 290, 17.2% with HRV), only platelet (PLT) count (OR = 0.972, 95% CI 0.961-0.984, P < .05) was independently associated with HRV, whereas liver stiffness measurement was not associated with the presence of HRV. With a PLT count cut-off value of 105 × 109 /L, unnecessary endoscopies could be spared in 56.9% patients, with a 3.6%. risk of missing HRV. In the validation cohort (N = 146, 16.4% with HRV), the proportion of patients that could safely spare endoscopies (61.0%) identified by this PLT count cut-off value was higher than that obtained by using Baveno VI criteria (34.9%), with an acceptable risk of missing HRV (3.4%). CONCLUSION: Compared with the 'Baveno VI criteria or beyond' criteria, PLT count higher than 105 × 109 /L could safely spare more screening endoscopies without increasing the risk of missing HRV in patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis on antiviral therapy.

PSMP/MSMP promotes hepatic fibrosis through CCR2 and represents a novel therapeutic target.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: C-C motif chemokine receptor 2 (CCR2) has been recognized as a promising target for the treatment of liver fibrosis. PC3-secreted microprotein (PSMP)/microseminoprotein (MSMP) is a novel chemotactic cytokine and its receptor is CCR2. In the present study we investigated the expression and role of PSMP in liver fibrosis/cirrhosis. METHODS: PSMP expression was studied in patients with fibrosis/cirrhosis and in 3 murine models of liver fibrosis, including mice treated with carbon tetrachloride (CCl4), bile-duct ligation, or a 5-diethoxycarbonyl-1,4-dihydrocollidine diet. The role of PSMP was evaluated in Psmp-/- mice and after treatment with a PSMP antibody in wild-type mice. The direct effects of PSMP on macrophages and hepatic stellate cells were studied in vitro. RESULTS: In this study, we found that PSMP was highly expressed in fibrotic/cirrhotic tissues from patients with different etiologies of liver disease and in the 3 experimental mouse models of fibrosis. Damage-associated molecular pattern molecules HMGB-1 and IL-33 induced hepatocytes to produce PSMP. PSMP deficiency resulted in a marked amelioration of hepatic injury and fibrosis. In CCl4-induced hepatic injury, the infiltration of macrophages and CCR2+ monocytes into the liver was significantly decreased in Psmp-/- mice. Consistent with the decreased levels of intrahepatic macrophages, proinflammatory cytokines were significantly reduced. Moreover, adeno-associated virus-8 vectors successfully overexpressing human PSMP in Psmp-/- mouse livers could reverse the attenuation of liver injury and fibrosis induced by CCl4 in a CCR2-dependent manner. Treatment with a specific PSMP-neutralizing antibody, 3D5, prevented liver injury and fibrosis induced by CCl4 in mice. At the cellular level, PSMP directly promoted M1 polarization of macrophages and activation of LX-2 cells. CONCLUSION: PSMP enhances liver fibrosis through its receptor, CCR2. PSMP is a potentially attractive therapeutic target for the treatment of patients with liver fibrosis. LAY SUMMARY: Our present study identifies the essential role of the protein PSMP for the development and progression of liver fibrosis in humans and mice. PSMP promotes liver fibrosis through inflammatory macrophage infiltration, polarization and production of proinflammatory cytokines, as well as direct activation of hepatic stellate cells via its receptor CCR2. A PSMP antibody can significantly reduce liver fibrosis development in vivo. These findings indicate that PSMP is a potential therapeutic target and its antibody is a potential therapeutic agent for the treatment of liver fibrosis.

Persistent Low Level of Hepatitis B Virus Promotes Fibrosis Progression During Therapy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Progression of liver fibrosis still occurs in some patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection despite antiviral therapy. We aimed to identify risk factors for fibrosis progression in patients who received antiviral therapy. METHODS: We conducted a longitudinal study of patients with chronic HBV infection and liver biopsies collected before and after 78 weeks of anti-HBV therapy. Fibrosis progression was defined as Ishak stage increase ≥ 1 or as predominantly progressive classified by P-I-R system (Beijing Classification). Levels of HBV DNA and HBV RNA in blood samples were measured by real-time quantitative PCR. HBV RNA in liver tissue was detected by in situ hybridization. RESULTS: A total of 239 patients with chronic HBV infection with paired liver biopsies were included. Among the 163 patients with significant fibrosis at baseline (Ishak ≥ stage 3), fibrosis progressed in 22 patients (13%), was indeterminate in 24 patients (15%), and regressed in 117 patients (72%). Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that independent risk factors for fibrosis progression were higher rate of detected HBV DNA at week 78 (odds ratio, 4.84; 95% CI, 1.30-17.98; P = .019) and alcohol intake (odds ratio, 23.84; 95% CI, 2.68-212.50; P = .004). HBV DNA was detected in blood samples from a significantly higher proportion of patients with fibrosis progression (50%) at week 78 than patients with fibrosis regression (19%) or indeterminate fibrosis (26%) (P = .015), despite low viremia (20-200 IU/mL) in all groups. The decrease of serum HBV RNA from baseline in the fibrosis regression group was larger than that in the fibrosis progression group. CONCLUSIONS: In a longitudinal study of patients with chronic HBV infection, we associated liver fibrosis progression at week 78 of treatment with higher rates of detected HBV DNA. We propose that a low level of residual HBV may still promote fibrosis progression, and that patients' levels of HBV DNA should be carefully monitored.

The Prevalence of Lean/Nonobese Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The prevalence of lean/nonobese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) ranges widely in studies. Thus, here, we aimed to perform a meta-analysis on NAFLD prevalence in the lean or nonobese population to give clarity. MATERIALS AND METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library databases were systematically searched to identify studies reporting NAFLD prevalence in the lean/nonobese population. Lean or nonobese was defined by body mass index cutoffs reported by authors in original studies. NAFLD prevalence based on community, population, or health checkups was combined with random-effect model after logit transformation. Subgroup analysis and meta-regression were further performed to investigate the heterogenicity. RESULTS: A total of 45 studies were enrolled in the final analysis, with 55,936 lean/nonobese subjects included, among whom 7351 NAFLD patients were diagnosed. Overall, the pooled NAFLD prevalence of the lean or nonobese population was 10.2% (95% confidence interval: 7.6%-13.6%) and 15.7% (95% confidence interval: 12.5%-19.6%), respectively. Compared with western studies, the NAFLD prevalence in the lean or nonobese population was lower in eastern studies. In addition, the NAFLD prevalence in both the lean and nonobese population showed a general upward trend during recent years. The prevalence was similar in community-based and health checkup-based studies. Lean/nonobese NAFLD patients had significantly lower rates of hypertension, lower uric acid and fasting plasma glucose, and a higher level of high-density lipoprotein than nonlean/obese patients. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of NAFLD in the lean/nonobese population is not rare in either the western or eastern regions of the world. This meta-analysis of prevalence assessment and clinical characteristics should enable higher confidence in more specific interventions and health care standards for these patients.