Risk prediction of biomarkers for early multiple organ dysfunction in critically ill patients.

BACKGROUND: Shock and organ damage occur in critically ill patients in the emergency department because of biological responses to invasion, and cytokines play an important role in their development. It is important to predict early multiple organ dysfunction (MOD) because it is useful in predicting patient outcomes and selecting treatment strategies. This study examined the accuracy of biomarkers, including interleukin (IL)-6, in predicting early MOD in critically ill patients compared with that of quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA). METHODS: This was a multicenter observational sub-study. Five universities from 2016 to 2018. Data of adult patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome who presented to the emergency department or were admitted to the intensive care unit were prospectively evaluated. qSOFA score and each biomarker (IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, tumor necrosis factor-α, C-reactive protein, and procalcitonin [PCT]) level were assessed on Days 0, 1, and 2. The primary outcome was set as MOD on Day 2, and the area under the curve (AUC) was analyzed to evaluate qSOFA scores and biomarker levels. RESULTS: Of 199 patients, 38 were excluded and 161 were included. Patients with MOD on Day 2 had significantly higher qSOFA, SOFA, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores and a trend toward worse prognosis, including mortality. The AUC for qSOFA score (Day 0) that predicted MOD (Day 2) was 0.728 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.651-0.794). IL-6 (Day 1) showed the highest AUC among all biomarkers (0.790 [95% CI: 0.711-852]). The combination of qSOFA (Day 0) and IL-6 (Day 1) showed improved prediction accuracy (0.842 [95% CI: 0.771-0.893]). The combination model using qSOFA (Day 1) and IL-6 (Day 1) also showed a higher AUC (0.868 [95% CI: 0.799-0.915]). The combination model of IL-8 and PCT also showed a significant improvement in AUC. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of IL-6, IL-8 and PCT to qSOFA scores improved the accuracy of early MOD prediction.

[Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting for In-stent Restenosis Probably Caused by Allergic Response;Report of a Case].

A 58-year-old female presented to our hospital with recurrence of chest pain. She had undergone coronary intervention using biolimus-eluting-stent for total occlusion of the left anterior descending artery(LAD) 3 years before. Since then in-stent restenosis had repeated 4 times in 3 years. In the interim, another everolimus-eluting-stent had been placed on the same lesion. The contact metal allergic patch test revealed the existence of allergic response to nickel and cobalt which were the structural components of these stents. She underwent off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting, and these stents were removed. The invasions of macrophages and eosinophils around the stent-s were pathologically proven. One year after surgery she is doing well without angina or allergic symptom. These observations suggested the allergic reaction of the coronary artery against the stents.

Cardiopulmonary exercise responses in patients with non-ischemic heart failure and a mildly reduced ejection fraction.

Background: The cardiopulmonary response to exercise in patients with heart failure exhibiting a mildly reduced ejection fraction (41% ≤ EF ≤ 49%) remains unclear. Materials & methods: A total of 193 consecutive patients with heart failure (excluding those with coronary artery disease) who underwent cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) tests were examined. CPX variables were compared among patients with reduced, mildly reduced, and preserved EF. Results: The CPX test responses of patients with mildly reduced EF were similar to those of patients with reduced or preserved EF; however, increases in systolic blood pressure during exercise differed significantly (32 ± 26, 50 ± 24, and 41 ± 31 mmHg, respectively; p = 0.016). Grip strength and an increase in systolic blood pressure during exercise were independently associated with peak oxygen uptake in patients with mildly reduced EF (ß = 0.41, 0.35, respectively; p < 0.05). Conclusion: Measurements of grip strength and blood pressure during exercise are useful predictors of prognoses in patients with non-ischemic and mildly reduced EF.

Cardiopulmonary exercise (CPX) test is widely used to evaluate the function related to heart in heart failure patients. The heart failure patients are divided into three groups: with reduced wall motion (HFrEF), with mildly reduced wall motion (HFmrEF) and with preserved wall motion (HFpEF). We compared the cardiopulmonary reaction to exercise among the three groups. The CPX test responses of patients with HFmrEF were similar to those of patients with HFrEF or HFpEF. However, increases in systolic blood pressure during exercise differed (32 ± 26, 50 ± 24, and 41 ± 31 mmHg, respectively; p = 0.016). Grip strength and an increase in systolic blood pressure during exercise were independently associated with peak oxygen uptake, which is an important predictor of rate of death in patients with HFmrEF. Measurements of grip strength and blood pressure during exercise are useful predictors of progress in patients with enough blood supply to the heart and HFmrEF.

Blood Interleukin-6 Levels Predict Multiple Organ Dysfunction in Critically Ill Patients.

BACKGROUND: Predicting multiple organ dysfunction (MOD) in the late phase of critical illnesses is essential. Cytokines are considered biomarkers that can predict clinical outcomes; however, their predictive value for late-phase MOD is unknown. This study aimed to identify the biomarker with the highest predictive value for late-phase MOD. METHODS: This observational study prospectively evaluated data on adult patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome, those who presented to the emergency department or were admitted to intensive care units in five tertiary hospitals (n = 174). Seven blood biomarkers levels (interleukin-6 [IL-6], IL-8, IL-10, tumor-necrosis factor-α, white blood cells, C-reactive protein, and procalcitonin) were measured at three timepoints (days 0, 1, and 2). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was analyzed to evaluate predictive values for MOD (primary outcome, MOD on day 7 [late-phase]; secondary outcome, MOD on day 3 [early-phase]). RESULTS: Of the measured 7 biomarkers, blood IL-6 levels on day 2 had the highest predictive value for MOD on day 7 using single timepoint data (AUC 0.825, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.754-0.879). Using three timepoint biomarkers, blood IL-6 levels had the highest predictive value of MOD on day 7 (AUC 0.838, 95% CI 0.768-0.890). Blood IL-6 levels using three timepoint biomarkers had also the highest predictive value for MOD on day 3 (AUC 0.836, 95% CI 0.766-0.888). CONCLUSION: Of the measured biomarkers, blood IL-6 levels had the highest predictive value for MOD on days 3 and 7. Blood IL-6 levels predict early- and late-phase MOD in critically ill patients.

Accuracy for Mortality Prediction With Additive Biomarkers Including Interleukin-6 in Critically Ill Patients: A Multicenter Prospective Observational Study.

OBJECTIVES: Several inflammation markers have been reported to be associated with unfavorable clinical outcomes in critically ill patients. We aimed to elucidate whether serum interleukin-6 concentration considered with Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score can better predict mortality in critically ill patients. DESIGN: A prospective observational study. SETTING: Five university hospitals in 2016-2018. PATIENTS: Critically ill adult patients who met greater than or equal to two systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria at admission were included, and those who died or were discharged within 48 hours were excluded. INTERVENTIONS: Inflammatory biomarkers including interleukin (interleukin)-6, -8, and -10; tumor necrosis factor-α; C-reactive protein; and procalcitonin were blindly measured daily for 3 days. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score at day 2 according to 28-day mortality was calculated as baseline. Combination models of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and additional biomarkers were developed using logistic regression, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve calculated in each model was compared with the baseline. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Among 161 patients included in the study, 18 (11.2%) did not survive at day 28. Univariate analysis for each biomarker identified that the interleukin-6 (days 1-3), interleukin-8 (days 0-3), and interleukin-10 (days 1-3) were higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors. Analyses of 28-day mortality prediction by a single biomarker showed interleukin-6, -8, and -10 at days 1-3 had a significant discrimination power, and the interleukin-6 at day 3 had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.766 [0.656-0.876]). The baseline area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score predicting 28-day mortality was 0.776 (0.672-0.880). The combination model using additional interleukin-6 at day 3 had higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve than baseline (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.844, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve improvement = 0.068 [0.002-0.133]), whereas other biomarkers did not improve accuracy in predicting 28-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Accuracy for 28-day mortality prediction was improved by adding serum interleukin-6 concentration to Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score.

Prospective comparison of periprocedural coagulation markers among uninterrupted anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation ablation.

BACKGROUND: The difference in coagulation state during the periprocedural period of atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation among patients with uninterrupted anticoagulation has not been fully elucidated. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to compare periprocedural trends in coagulation markers among patients on uninterrupted anticoagulation for AF ablation. METHODS: In total, 275 consecutive patients who underwent AF ablation were evaluated. These patients were divided according to the anticoagulant they received into the dabigatran group (DG) (n = 64); rivaroxaban group (RG) (n = 62); apixaban group (AG) (n = 60); edoxaban group (EG) (n = 59); and warfarin group (WG) (n = 30). The trends in coagulation markers and the rate of silent stroke (SS) confirmed by postoperative magnetic resonance imaging were evaluated. RESULTS: The fibrin monomer complex (FMC) level on postoperative day 1 and the prothrombin fragment 1+2 (PF1+2) levels on the operative day and postoperative day 1 were higher in DG than in the other groups (P <.05, <.001, and <.001, respectively). The incidence of SS in DG (17%) was significantly higher than in RG (6%), AG (3%, EG (7%), or WG (4%) (P <.05). Dabigatran use independently predicted the occurrence of SS (odds ratio 4.12; 95% confidence interval 1.37-12.7; P <.05). CONCLUSION: FMC and PF1+2 levels during the periprocedural period of AF ablation were higher in DG than in the other groups. Dabigatran use independently predicted the occurrence of SS.