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1.
Nature ; 631(8020): 285-288, 2024 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38987499

RESUMEN

Black holes have been found over a wide range of masses, from stellar remnants with masses of 5-150 solar masses (M☉), to those found at the centres of galaxies with M > 105M☉. However, only a few debated candidate black holes exist between 150M☉ and 105M☉. Determining the population of these intermediate-mass black holes is an important step towards understanding supermassive black hole formation in the early universe1,2. Several studies have claimed the detection of a central black hole in ω Centauri, the most massive globular cluster of the Milky Way3-5. However, these studies have been questioned because of the possible mass contribution of stellar mass black holes, their sensitivity to the cluster centre and the lack of fast-moving stars above the escape velocity6-9. Here we report the observations of seven fast-moving stars in the central 3 arcsec (0.08 pc) of ω Centauri. The velocities of the fast-moving stars are significantly higher than the expected central escape velocity of the star cluster, so their presence can be explained only by being bound to a massive black hole. From the velocities alone, we can infer a firm lower limit of the black hole mass of about 8,200M☉, making this a good case for an intermediate-mass black hole in the local universe.

3.
Chemistry ; 30(42): e202401581, 2024 Jul 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38771299

RESUMEN

Transition metal carbides find widespread use throughout industry due to their high strength and resilience under extreme conditions. However, they remain largely limited to compounds formed from the early d-block elements, since the mid-to-late transition metals do not form thermodynamically stable carbides. We report here the high-pressure bulk synthesis of large single crystals of a novel metastable manganese carbide compound, MnCx (P63/mmc), which adopts the anti-NiAs-type structure with significant substoichiometry at the carbon sites. We demonstrate how synthesis pressure modulates the carbon loading, with ~40 % occupancy being achieved at 9.9 GPa.

4.
Clin Infect Dis ; 76(4): 658-666, 2023 02 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35913410

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: We explore severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) antibody lateral flow immunoassay (LFIA) performance under field conditions compared to laboratory-based electrochemiluminescence immunoassay (ECLIA) and live virus neutralization. METHODS: In July 2021, 3758 participants performed, at home, a self-administered Fortress LFIA on finger-prick blood, reported and submitted a photograph of the result, and provided a self-collected capillary blood sample for assessment of immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies using the Roche Elecsys® Anti-SARS-CoV-2 ECLIA. We compared the self-reported LFIA result to the quantitative ECLIA and checked the reading of the LFIA result with an automated image analysis (ALFA). In a subsample of 250 participants, we compared the results to live virus neutralization. RESULTS: Almost all participants (3593/3758, 95.6%) had been vaccinated or reported prior infection. Overall, 2777/3758 (73.9%) were positive on self-reported LFIA, 2811/3457 (81.3%) positive by LFIA when ALFA-reported, and 3622/3758 (96.4%) positive on ECLIA (using the manufacturer reference standard threshold for positivity of 0.8 U mL-1). Live virus neutralization was detected in 169 of 250 randomly selected samples (67.6%); 133/169 were positive with self-reported LFIA (sensitivity 78.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 71.8, 84.6), 142/155 (91.6%; 95% CI: 86.1, 95.5) with ALFA, and 169 (100%; 95% CI: 97.8, 100.0) with ECLIA. There were 81 samples with no detectable virus neutralization; 47/81 were negative with self-reported LFIA (specificity 58.0%; 95% CI: 46.5, 68.9), 34/75 (45.3%; 95% CI: 33.8, 57.3) with ALFA, and 0/81 (0%; 95% CI: 0, 4.5) with ECLIA. CONCLUSIONS: Self-administered LFIA is less sensitive than a quantitative antibody test, but the positivity in LFIA correlates better than the quantitative ECLIA with virus neutralization.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Autoevaluación , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Inmunoensayo/métodos
5.
Am J Public Health ; 113(11): 1201-1209, 2023 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37733993

RESUMEN

Data System. The UK Department of Health and Social Care funded the REal-time Assessment of Community Transmission-2 (REACT-2) study to estimate community prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 IgG (immunoglobulin G) antibodies in England. Data Collection/Processing. We obtained random cross-sectional samples of adults from the National Health Service (NHS) patient list (near-universal coverage). We sent participants a lateral flow immunoassay (LFIA) self-test, and they reported the result online. Overall, 905 991 tests were performed (28.9% response) over 6 rounds of data collection (June 2020-May 2021). Data Analysis/Dissemination. We produced weighted estimates of LFIA test positivity (validated against neutralizing antibodies), adjusted for test performance, at local, regional, and national levels and by age, sex, and ethnic group and area-level deprivation score. In each round, fieldwork occurred over 2 weeks, with results reported to policymakers the following week. We disseminated results as preprints and peer-reviewed journal publications. Public Health Implications. REACT-2 estimated the scale and variation in antibody prevalence over time. Community self-testing and -reporting produced rapid insights into the changing course of the pandemic and the impact of vaccine rollout, with implications for future surveillance. (Am J Public Health. 2023;113(11):1201-1209. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307381).


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Prevalencia , Estudios Transversales , Medicina Estatal , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Inmunoglobulina G , Inglaterra/epidemiología
6.
Am J Public Health ; 113(5): 545-554, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36893367

RESUMEN

Data System. The REal-time Assessment of Community Transmission-1 (REACT-1) Study was funded by the Department of Health and Social Care in England to provide reliable and timely estimates of prevalence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection over time, by person and place. Data Collection/Processing. The study team (researchers from Imperial College London and its logistics partner Ipsos) wrote to named individuals aged 5 years and older in random cross-sections of the population of England, using the National Health Service list of patients registered with a general practitioner (near-universal coverage) as a sampling frame. We collected data over 2 to 3 weeks approximately every month across 19 rounds of data collection from May 1, 2020, to March 31, 2022. Data Analysis/Dissemination. We have disseminated the data and study materials widely via the study Web site, preprints, publications in peer-reviewed journals, and the media. We make available data tabulations, suitably anonymized to protect participant confidentiality, on request to the study's data access committee. Public Health Implications. The study provided inter alia real-time data on SARS-CoV-2 prevalence over time, by area, and by sociodemographic variables; estimates of vaccine effectiveness; and symptom profiles, and detected emergence of new variants based on viral genome sequencing. (Am J Public Health. 2023;113(5):545-554. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307230).


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Salud Pública , Medicina Estatal , Estudios Transversales
7.
J Am Chem Soc ; 144(27): 11943-11948, 2022 Jul 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35767718

RESUMEN

Spin-orbit coupling enables the realization of topologically nontrivial ground states. As spin-orbit coupling increases with increasing atomic number, compounds featuring heavy elements, such as lead, offer a pathway toward creating new topologically nontrivial materials. By employing a high-pressure flux synthesis method, we synthesized single crystals of Ni3Pb2, the first structurally characterized bulk binary phase in the Ni-Pb system. Combining experimental and theoretical techniques, we examined structure and bonding in Ni3Pb2, revealing the impact of chemical substitutions on electronic structure features of importance for controlling topological behavior. From these results, we determined that Ni3Pb2 completes a series of structurally related transition-metal-heavy main group intermetallic materials that exhibit diverse electronic structures, opening a platform for synthetically tunable topologically nontrivial materials.

8.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 37(6): 629-640, 2022 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35595947

RESUMEN

Smoking-related epigenetic changes have been linked to lung cancer, but the contribution of epigenetic alterations unrelated to smoking remains unclear. We sought for a sparse set of CpG sites predicting lung cancer and explored the role of smoking in these associations. We analysed CpGs in relation to lung cancer in participants from two nested case-control studies, using (LASSO)-penalised regression. We accounted for the effects of smoking using known smoking-related CpGs, and through conditional-independence network. We identified 29 CpGs (8 smoking-related, 21 smoking-unrelated) associated with lung cancer. Models additionally adjusted for Comprehensive Smoking Index-(CSI) selected 1 smoking-related and 49 smoking-unrelated CpGs. Selected CpGs yielded excellent discriminatory performances, outperforming information provided by CSI only. Of the 8 selected smoking-related CpGs, two captured lung cancer-relevant effects of smoking that were missed by CSI. Further, the 50 CpGs identified in the CSI-adjusted model complementarily explained lung cancer risk. These markers may provide further insight into lung cancer carcinogenesis and help improving early identification of high-risk patients.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Pulmonares , Fumar , Carcinogénesis , Islas de CpG/genética , Metilación de ADN , Epigénesis Genética , Humanos , Pulmón , Neoplasias Pulmonares/genética , Fumar/efectos adversos
9.
Lancet Oncol ; 22(4): 548-557, 2021 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33794208

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Most uterine cervical high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) infections are transient, with only a small fraction developing into cervical cancer. Family aggregation studies and heritability estimates suggest a significant inherited genetic component. Candidate gene studies and previous genome-wide association studies (GWASs) report associations between the HLA region and cervical cancer. Adopting a genome-wide approach, we aimed to compare genetic variation in women with invasive cervical cancer and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) grade 3 with that in healthy controls. METHODS: We did a GWAS in a cohort of unrelated European individuals using data from UK Biobank, a population-based cohort including 273 377 women aged 40-69 years at recruitment between March 13, 2006, and Oct 1, 2010. We used an additive univariate logistic regression model to analyse genetic variants associated with invasive cervical cancer or CIN3. We sought replication of candidate associations in FinnGen, a large independent dataset of 128 123 individuals. We also did a two-sample mendelian randomisation approach to explore the role of risk factors in the genetic risk of cervical cancer. FINDINGS: We included 4769 CIN3 and invasive cervical cancer case samples and 145 545 control samples in the GWAS. Of 9 600 464 assayed and imputed single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), six independent variants were associated with CIN3 and invasive cervical cancer. These included novel loci rs10175462 (PAX8; odds ratio [OR] 0·87, 95% CI 0·84-0·91; p=1·07 × 10-9) and rs27069 (CLPTM1L; 0·88, 0·84-0·92; p=2·51 × 10-9), and previously reported signals at rs9272050 (HLA-DQA1; 1·27, 1·21-1·32; p=2·51 × 10-28), rs6938453 (MICA; 0·79, 0·75-0·83; p=1·97 × 10-17), rs55986091 (HLA-DQB1; 0·66, 0·60-0·72; p=6·42 × 10-28), and rs9266183 (HLA-B; 0·73, 0·64-0·83; p=1·53 × 10-6). Three SNPs were replicated in the independent Finnish dataset of 1648 invasive cervical cancer cases: PAX8 (rs10175462; p=0·015), CLPTM1L (rs27069; p=2·54 × 10-7), and HLA-DQA1 (rs9272050; p=7·90 × 10-8). Mendelian randomisation further supported the complementary role of smoking (OR 2·46, 95% CI 1·64-3·69), older age at first pregnancy (0·80, 0·68-0·95), and number of sexual partners (1·95, 1·44-2·63) in the risk of developing cervical cancer. INTERPRETATION: Our results provide new evidence for the genetic susceptibility to cervical cancer, specifically the PAX8, CLPTM1L, and HLA genes, suggesting disruption in apoptotic and immune function pathways. Future studies integrating host and viral, genetic, and epigenetic variation, could further elucidate complex host-viral interactions. FUNDING: NIHR Imperial BRC Wellcome 4i Clinician Scientist Training Programme.


Asunto(s)
Proteínas de la Membrana/genética , Proteínas de Neoplasias/genética , Factor de Transcripción PAX8/genética , Displasia del Cuello del Útero/genética , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/genética , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Antígenos HLA/genética , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple/genética , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/patología , Displasia del Cuello del Útero/patología
10.
PLoS Med ; 18(9): e1003777, 2021 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34582457

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Rapid detection, isolation, and contact tracing of community COVID-19 cases are essential measures to limit the community spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). We aimed to identify a parsimonious set of symptoms that jointly predict COVID-19 and investigated whether predictive symptoms differ between the B.1.1.7 (Alpha) lineage (predominating as of April 2021 in the US, UK, and elsewhere) and wild type. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We obtained throat and nose swabs with valid SARS-CoV-2 PCR test results from 1,147,370 volunteers aged 5 years and above (6,450 positive cases) in the REal-time Assessment of Community Transmission-1 (REACT-1) study. This study involved repeated community-based random surveys of prevalence in England (study rounds 2 to 8, June 2020 to January 2021, response rates 22%-27%). Participants were asked about symptoms occurring in the week prior to testing. Viral genome sequencing was carried out for PCR-positive samples with N-gene cycle threshold value < 34 (N = 1,079) in round 8 (January 2021). In univariate analysis, all 26 surveyed symptoms were associated with PCR positivity compared with non-symptomatic people. Stability selection (1,000 penalized logistic regression models with 50% subsampling) among people reporting at least 1 symptom identified 7 symptoms as jointly and positively predictive of PCR positivity in rounds 2-7 (June to December 2020): loss or change of sense of smell, loss or change of sense of taste, fever, new persistent cough, chills, appetite loss, and muscle aches. The resulting model (rounds 2-7) predicted PCR positivity in round 8 with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.77. The same 7 symptoms were selected as jointly predictive of B.1.1.7 infection in round 8, although when comparing B.1.1.7 with wild type, new persistent cough and sore throat were more predictive of B.1.1.7 infection while loss or change of sense of smell was more predictive of the wild type. The main limitations of our study are (i) potential participation bias despite random sampling of named individuals from the National Health Service register and weighting designed to achieve a representative sample of the population of England and (ii) the necessary reliance on self-reported symptoms, which may be prone to recall bias and may therefore lead to biased estimates of symptom prevalence in England. CONCLUSIONS: Where testing capacity is limited, it is important to use tests in the most efficient way possible. We identified a set of 7 symptoms that, when considered together, maximize detection of COVID-19 in the community, including infection with the B.1.1.7 lineage.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Modelos Biológicos , Ageusia/diagnóstico , Ageusia/etiología , Ageusia/virología , Anosmia/diagnóstico , Anosmia/etiología , Anosmia/virología , Apetito , Área Bajo la Curva , COVID-19/virología , Escalofríos/diagnóstico , Escalofríos/etiología , Escalofríos/virología , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Tos/diagnóstico , Tos/etiología , Tos/virología , Inglaterra , Reacciones Falso Positivas , Femenino , Fiebre/diagnóstico , Fiebre/etiología , Fiebre/virología , Humanos , Masculino , Tamizaje Masivo , Mialgia/diagnóstico , Mialgia/etiología , Mialgia/virología , Faringitis/diagnóstico , Faringitis/etiología , Faringitis/virología , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Medicina Estatal
11.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 36(3): 299-309, 2021 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33587202

RESUMEN

Most studies of severe/fatal COVID-19 risk have used routine/hospitalisation data without detailed pre-morbid characterisation. Using the community-based UK Biobank cohort, we investigate risk factors for COVID-19 mortality in comparison with non-COVID-19 mortality. We investigated demographic, social (education, income, housing, employment), lifestyle (smoking, drinking, body mass index), biological (lipids, cystatin C, vitamin D), medical (comorbidities, medications) and environmental (air pollution) data from UK Biobank (N = 473,550) in relation to 459 COVID-19 and 2626 non-COVID-19 deaths to 21 September 2020. We used univariate, multivariable and penalised regression models. Age (OR = 2.76 [2.18-3.49] per S.D. [8.1 years], p = 2.6 × 10-17), male sex (OR = 1.47 [1.26-1.73], p = 1.3 × 10-6) and Black versus White ethnicity (OR = 1.21 [1.12-1.29], p = 3.0 × 10-7) were independently associated with and jointly explanatory of (area under receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC = 0.79) increased risk of COVID-19 mortality. In multivariable regression, alongside demographic covariates, being a healthcare worker, current smoker, having cardiovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes, autoimmune disease, and oral steroid use at enrolment were independently associated with COVID-19 mortality. Penalised regression models selected income, cardiovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes, cystatin C, and oral steroid use as jointly contributing to COVID-19 mortality risk; Black ethnicity, hypertension and oral steroid use contributed to COVID-19 but not non-COVID-19 mortality. Age, male sex and Black ethnicity, as well as comorbidities and oral steroid use at enrolment were associated with increased risk of COVID-19 death. Our results suggest that previously reported associations of COVID-19 mortality with body mass index, low vitamin D, air pollutants, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors may be explained by the aforementioned factors.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Bancos de Muestras Biológicas , COVID-19/mortalidad , Comorbilidad , Ambiente , Femenino , Conductas Relacionadas con la Salud , Humanos , Estilo de Vida , Lípidos/sangre , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , SARS-CoV-2 , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Factores Sexuales , Factores Socioeconómicos , Reino Unido/epidemiología
12.
ACS Mater Au ; 4(4): 393-402, 2024 Jul 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39006398

RESUMEN

High-pressure synthesis in the diamond anvil cell suffers from the lack of a general approach for the control of precursor stoichiometry and homogeneity. Here, we present results from a new method we have developed that uses magnetron cosputtering to prepare stoichiometrically precise and atomically mixed amorphous films of Cr:C. Laser-heated diamond anvil cell experiments carried out on a flake of this sample at pressures between 13.5 and 24.3 GPa lead to the observation of Cr3C (Pnma) over the entire pressure range-in good agreement with our in-house theoretical predictions-but also reveal two other metastable phases that were not expected: a novel monoclinic chromium carbide phase and the NaCl-type CrC (Fm3̅m) phase. The unexpected stability of CrC is investigated by using first-principles methods, revealing a large stabilizing effect tied to substoichiometry at the carbon site. These results offer an important case study into the current limitations of crystal structure prediction methods with regard to phase complexity and bolster the growing need for advanced theoretical approaches that can more completely survey experimentally unexplored phase space.

13.
Cardiovasc Res ; 120(11): 1327-1335, 2024 Sep 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38833617

RESUMEN

AIMS: Evaluate sex differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction, including use of (i) optimal sex-specific risk predictors and (ii) sex-specific risk thresholds. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective cohort study using UK Biobank, including 121 724 and 182 632 healthy men and women, respectively, aged 38-73 years at baseline. There were 11 899 (men) and 9110 (women) incident CVD cases (hospitalization or mortality) with a median of 12.1 years of follow-up. We used recalibrated pooled cohort equations (PCEs; 7.5% 10-year risk threshold as per US guidelines), QRISK3 (10% 10-year risk threshold as per UK guidelines), and Cox survival models using sparse sex-specific variable sets (via LASSO stability selection) to predict CVD risk separately in men and women. LASSO stability selection included 12 variables in common between men and women, with 3 additional variables selected for men and 1 for women. C-statistics were slightly lower for PCE than QRISK3 and models using stably selected variables, but were similar between men and women: 0.67 (0.66-0.68), 0.70 (0.69-0.71), and 0.71 (0.70-0.72) in men and 0.69 (0.68-0.70), 0.72 (0.71-0.73), and 0.72 (0.71-0.73) in women for PCE, QRISK3, and models using stably selected variables, respectively. At current clinically implemented risk thresholds, test sensitivity was markedly lower in women than men for all models: at 7.5% 10-year risk, sensitivity was 65.1 and 68.2% in men and 24.0 and 33.4% in women for PCE and models using stably selected variables, respectively; at 10% 10-year risk, sensitivity was 53.7 and 52.3% in men and 16.8 and 20.2% in women for QRISK3 and models using stably selected variables, respectively. Specificity was correspondingly higher in women than men. However, the sensitivity in women at 5% 10-year risk threshold increased to 50.1, 58.5, and 55.7% for PCE, QRISK3, and models using stably selected variables, respectively. CONCLUSION: Use of sparse sex-specific variables improved CVD risk prediction compared with PCE but not QRISK3. At current risk thresholds, PCE and QRISK3 work less well for women than men, but sensitivity was improved in women using a 5% 10-year risk threshold. Use of sex-specific risk thresholds should be considered in any re-evaluation of CVD risk calculators.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Medición de Riesgo , Anciano , Adulto , Factores Sexuales , Estudios Prospectivos , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Factores de Tiempo , Pronóstico , Incidencia , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas
14.
PLoS One ; 18(1): e0280943, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36701357

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Long COVID is a patient-made term describing new or persistent symptoms experienced following SARS-CoV-2 infection. The Real-time Assessment of Community Transmission-Long COVID (REACT-LC) study aims to understand variation in experiences following infection, and to identify biological, social, and environmental factors associated with Long COVID. We undertook a pilot interview study to inform the design, recruitment approach, and topic guide for the REACT-LC qualitative study. We sought to gain initial insights into the experience and attribution of new or persistent symptoms and the awareness or perceived applicability of the term Long COVID. METHODS: People were invited to REACT-LC assessment centres if they had taken part in REACT, a random community-based prevalence study, and had a documented history of SARS-CoV-2 infection. We invited people from REACT-LC assessment centres who had reported experiencing persistent symptoms for more than 12 weeks to take part in an interview. We conducted face to face and online semi-structured interviews which were transcribed and analysed using Thematic Analysis. RESULTS: We interviewed 13 participants (6 female, 7 male, median age 31). Participants reported a wide variation in both new and persistent symptoms which were often fluctuating or unpredictable in nature. Some participants were confident about the link between their persistent symptoms and COVID-19; however, others were unclear about the underlying cause of symptoms or felt that the impact of public health measures (such as lockdowns) played a role. We found differences in awareness and perceived applicability of the term Long COVID. CONCLUSION: This pilot has informed the design, recruitment approach and topic guide for our qualitative study. It offers preliminary insights into the varied experiences of people living with persistent symptoms including differences in symptom attribution and perceived applicability of the term Long COVID. This variation shows the value of recruiting from a nationally representative sample of participants who are experiencing persistent symptoms.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19 , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , COVID-19/epidemiología , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , SARS-CoV-2 , Investigación Cualitativa
15.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 4957, 2023 08 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37587102

RESUMEN

The value of SARS-CoV-2 lateral flow immunoassay (LFIA) tests for estimating individual disease risk is unclear. The REACT-2 study in England, UK, obtained self-administered SARS-CoV-2 LFIA test results from 361,801 adults in January-May 2021. Here, we link to routine data on subsequent hospitalisation (to September 2021), and death (to December 2021). Among those who had received one or more vaccines, a negative LFIA is associated with increased risk of hospitalisation with COVID-19 (HR: 2.73 [95% confidence interval: 1.15,6.48]), death (all-cause) (HR: 1.59, 95% CI:1.07, 2.37), and death with COVID-19 as underlying cause (20.6 [1.83,232]). For people designated at high risk from COVID-19, who had received one or more vaccines, there is an additional risk of all-cause mortality of 1.9 per 1000 for those testing antibody negative compared to positive. However, the LFIA does not provide substantial predictive information over and above that which is available from detailed sociodemographic and health-related variables. Nonetheless, this simple test provides a marker which could be a valuable addition to understanding population and individual-level risk.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Hospitalización , Prueba de COVID-19
16.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 6588, 2023 10 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37875536

RESUMEN

The COVID-19 pandemic is having a lasting impact on health and well-being. We compare current self-reported health, quality of life and symptom profiles for people with ongoing symptoms following COVID-19 to those who have never tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection and those who have recovered from COVID-19. Overall, 276,840/800,000 (34·6%) of invited participants took part. Mental health and health-related quality of life were worse among participants with ongoing persistent symptoms post-COVID compared with those who had never had COVID-19 or had recovered. In this study, median duration of COVID-related symptoms (N = 130,251) was 1·3 weeks (inter-quartile range 6 days to 2 weeks), with 7·5% and 5·2% reporting ongoing symptoms ≥12 weeks and ≥52 weeks respectively. Female sex, ≥1 comorbidity and being infected when Wild-type variant was dominant were associated with higher probability of symptoms lasting ≥12 weeks and longer recovery time in those with persistent symptoms. Although COVID-19 is usually of short duration, some adults experience persistent and burdensome illness.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , Adulto , Femenino , COVID-19/epidemiología , Pandemias , Calidad de Vida , SARS-CoV-2 , Inglaterra/epidemiología
17.
Arch Dis Child ; 108(7): e12, 2023 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36863848

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of, and associated risk factors for, persistent symptoms post-COVID-19 among children aged 5-17 years in England. DESIGN: Serial cross-sectional study. SETTING: Rounds 10-19 (March 2021 to March 2022) of the REal-time Assessment of Community Transmission-1 study (monthly cross-sectional surveys of random samples of the population in England). STUDY POPULATION: Children aged 5-17 years in the community. PREDICTORS: Age, sex, ethnicity, presence of a pre-existing health condition, index of multiple deprivation, COVID-19 vaccination status and dominant UK circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant at time of symptom onset. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of persistent symptoms, reported as those lasting ≥3 months post-COVID-19. RESULTS: Overall, 4.4% (95% CI 3.7 to 5.1) of 3173 5-11 year-olds and 13.3% (95% CI 12.5 to 14.1) of 6886 12-17 year-olds with prior symptomatic infection reported at least one symptom lasting ≥3 months post-COVID-19, of whom 13.5% (95% CI 8.4 to 20.9) and 10.9% (95% CI 9.0 to 13.2), respectively, reported their ability to carry out day-to-day activities was reduced 'a lot' due to their symptoms. The most common symptoms among participants with persistent symptoms were persistent coughing (27.4%) and headaches (25.4%) in children aged 5-11 years and loss or change of sense of smell (52.2%) and taste (40.7%) in participants aged 12-17 years. Higher age and having a pre-existing health condition were associated with higher odds of reporting persistent symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: One in 23 5-11 year-olds and one in eight 12-17 year-olds post-COVID-19 report persistent symptoms lasting ≥3 months, of which one in nine report a large impact on performing day-to-day activities.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , Niño , Adolescente , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , Estudios Transversales , Inglaterra/epidemiología
18.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 6856, 2022 11 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36369151

RESUMEN

Infection with SARS-CoV-2 virus is associated with a wide range of symptoms. The REal-time Assessment of Community Transmission -1 (REACT-1) study monitored the spread and clinical manifestation of SARS-CoV-2 among random samples of the population in England from 1 May 2020 to 31 March 2022. We show changing symptom profiles associated with the different variants over that period, with lower reporting of loss of sense of smell or taste for Omicron compared to previous variants, and higher reporting of cold-like and influenza-like symptoms, controlling for vaccination status. Contrary to the perception that recent variants have become successively milder, Omicron BA.2 was associated with reporting more symptoms, with greater disruption to daily activities, than BA.1. With restrictions lifted and routine testing limited in many countries, monitoring the changing symptom profiles associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and effects on daily activities will become increasingly important.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Inglaterra/epidemiología
19.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 1957, 2022 04 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35413949

RESUMEN

Long COVID remains a broadly defined syndrome, with estimates of prevalence and duration varying widely. We use data from rounds 3-5 of the REACT-2 study (n = 508,707; September 2020 - February 2021), a representative community survey of adults in England, and replication data from round 6 (n = 97,717; May 2021) to estimate the prevalence and identify predictors of persistent symptoms lasting 12 weeks or more; and unsupervised learning to cluster individuals by reported symptoms. At 12 weeks in rounds 3-5, 37.7% experienced at least one symptom, falling to 21.6% in round 6. Female sex, increasing age, obesity, smoking, vaping, hospitalisation with COVID-19, deprivation, and being a healthcare worker are associated with higher probability of persistent symptoms in rounds 3-5, and Asian ethnicity with lower probability. Clustering analysis identifies a subset of participants with predominantly respiratory symptoms. Managing the long-term sequelae of COVID-19 will remain a major challenge for affected individuals and their families and for health services.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adulto , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19
20.
Environ Int ; 168: 107491, 2022 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36081220

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Exposure to ambient air pollution, even at low levels, is a major environmental health risk. The peripheral blood transcriptome provides a potential avenue for the elucidation of ambient air pollution related biological perturbations. We assessed the association between long-term estimates for seven priority air pollutants and perturbations in peripheral blood transcriptomics data collected in the Dutch National Twin Register (NTR) and Netherlands Study of Depression and Anxiety (NESDA) cohorts. METHODS: In both the discovery (n = 2438) and replication (n = 1567) cohort, outdoor concentration of 7 air pollutants (NO2, NOx, particulate matter (PM2.5, PM2.5abs, PM10, PMcoarse), and ultrafine particles) was predicted with land use regression models. Gene expression was assessed by Affymetrix U219 arrays. Multi-variable univariate mixed-effect models were applied to test for an association between the air pollutants and the transcriptome. Functional analysis was conducted in DAVID. RESULTS: In the discovery cohort, we observed for 335 genes (374 probes with FDR < 5 %) a perturbation in peripheral blood gene expression that was associated with long-term average levels of PM2.5. For 69 genes pooled effect estimates from the NTR and NESDA cohorts were significant. Identified genes play a role in biological pathways related to cell signaling and immune response. Sixty-two out of 69 genes had a similar direction of effect in an analysis in which we regressed the probes on differential PM2.5 exposure within monozygotic twin pairs, indicating that the observed differences in gene expression were likely driven by differences in air pollution, rather than by confounding by genetic factors. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that PM2.5 can elicit a response in cell signaling and the immune system, both hallmarks of environmental diseases. The differential effect that we observed between air pollutants may aid in the understanding of differential health effects that have been observed with these exposures.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Expresión Génica , Humanos , Inmunidad , Material Particulado/análisis , Material Particulado/toxicidad , Transducción de Señal
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