Differential Prognostic Impact of Clinical Congestion between Preserved versus Reduced Ejection Fraction in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure: Findings from the Japanese Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure Registry.

BACKGROUND: Most patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF) present with signs of congestion. Prognostic significance of clinical congestion may vary depending on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). This study aims to investigate the prognostic impact of congestion across different LVEF categories. METHODS AND RESULTS: Composite congestion scores (CCSs; 0-9) derived from the severity of edema, jugular venous pressure, and orthopnea, were analyzed on admission and at discharge in 3787 patients hospitalized for HF (LVEF ≥ 40%: n = 2347, LVEF < 40%: n = 1440). The median admission CCS was 4 in both LVEF strata (P = .64). Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs; 95% confidence interval [CI]) of the moderate (CCS 4-6) and severe congestion [7-9] groups relative to the mild congestion [0-3] group on admission for a composite of all-cause death or HF rehospitalization were 1.20 (1.04-1.39, P = .01) and 1.54 (1.27-1.86, P < .001) in the LVEF ≥ 40% stratum, and 1.20 (1.01-1.44, P = .04) and 0.82 (0.61-1.07, P = .14) in the LVEF < 40% stratum, respectively (Pinteraction< .001). A total of 16% of the patients with LVEF ≥40% and 14% with LVEF <40% had residual congestion (CCS ≥ 1) at discharge, which was associated with a respective adjusted HR of 1.40 (1.18-1.65, P < .001) and 1.25 (0.98-1.58, P = .07) for postdischarge death or HF rehospitalization (Pinteraction = 0.63). CONCLUSION: The severity of clinical congestion on admission was associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with LVEF ≥ 40%, but not in those with LVEF < 40%. These findings warrant further studies to better understand the detailed profile of congestion across the LVEF spectrum.

Non-invasive heart failure monitoring: leveraging smart scales and digital biomarkers to improve heart failure outcomes.

Heart failure (HF) is a significant global concern, impacting patient morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. Guideline-directed medical therapy and various preventive measures have proven effective in improving clinical outcomes and reducing HF hospitalizations. Recent data indicates that remote HF monitoring facilitates early detection of HF decompensation by observing upstream events and parameters before clinical signs and symptoms manifest. Moreover, these innovative devices have been shown to decrease unnecessary HF hospitalizations and, in some cases, provide predictive insights before an actual HF incident. In this review, we aim to explore the data regarding smart scales and digital biomarkers and summarize both FDA-approved devices and emerging technologies by assessing their clinical utility, mechanism of HF decompensation detection, and ongoing trials. Furthermore, we also discuss the future trend of integrating these devices into routine clinical practice to improve patient clinical outcomes.

Rationale and study design of the GOREISAN for heart failure (GOREISAN-HF) trial: A randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: The decongestion strategy using loop diuretics is essential for improving signs and symptoms of heart failure (HF). However, chronic use of loop diuretics in HF has been linked to worsening renal function and adverse clinical outcomes in a dose-dependent manner. Goreisan, a traditional Japanese herbal medicine, has a long history of use in Japan for regulating body fluid homeostasis and has been recognized as causing less adverse outcomes such as dehydration in contrast to loop diuretics in clinical practice. Therefore, we designed the GOREISAN-HF trial to evaluate the long-term effects of a new decongestion strategy adding Goreisan to usual care in patients with HF and volume overload. METHODS: The GOREISAN-HF trial is an investigator-initiated, multicenter, pragmatic, randomized, comparative effectiveness trial in which we will enroll 2,192 patients hospitalized for HF at 68 hospitals in Japan. All study participants will be randomly assigned to either a decongestion strategy that adds Goreisan at a dose of 7.5 g daily on top of usual care or usual care alone. Investigators have the flexibility to change the existing diuretic regimen in both groups. The primary end point is the improvement rate of cardiac edema at 12-month follow-up, and the co-primary end point is a composite of all-cause death or hospitalization up to the end of the planned follow-up period. Secondary end points include longitudinal changes in patient-reported outcomes, loop diuretics dose, and renal function. CONCLUSIONS: The GOREISAN-HF is the first large-scale randomized pragmatic trial to assess the efficacy and safety of a new congestion control strategy adding Goreisan to usual care in patients with HF and volume overload. REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04691700.

Prognostic Value of the Severity of Clinical Congestion in Patients Hospitalized for Decompensated Heart Failure: Findings From the Japanese KCHF Registry.

BACKGROUND: Congestion is a leading cause of hospitalization and a major therapeutic target in patients with heart failure (HF). Clinical practice in Japan is characterized by a long hospital stay, which facilitates more extensive decongestion during hospitalization. We herein examined the time course and prognostic impact of clinical congestion in a large contemporary Japanese cohort of HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Peripheral edema, jugular venous pressure, and orthopnea were graded on a standardized 4-point scale (0-3) in 3787 hospitalized patients in a Japanese cohort of HF. Composite Congestion Scores (CCS) on admission and at discharge were calculated by summing individual scores. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization. The median admission CCS was 4 (interquartile range, 3-6). Overall, 255 patients died during the median hospitalization length of 16 days, and 1395 died or were hospitalized for HF over a median postdischarge follow-up of 396 days. The cumulative 1-year incidence of the primary outcome increased at higher tertiles of congestion on admission (32.5%, 39.3%, and 41.0% in the mild [CCS ≤3], moderate [CCS = 4 or 5], and severe [CCS ≥6] congestion groups, respectively, log-rank P < .001). The adjusted hazard ratios of moderate and severe congestion relative to mild congestion were 1.205 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.065-1.365; P = .003) and 1.247 (95% CI, 1.103-1.410; P < .001), respectively. Among 3445 patients discharged alive, 85% had CCS of 0 (complete decongestion) and 15% had a CCS of 1 or more (residual congestion) at discharge. Although residual congestion predicted a risk of postdischarge death or HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.314 [1.145-1.509]; P < .001), the admission CCS correlated with the risk of postdischarge death or HF hospitalization, even in the complete decongestion group. No correlation was observed for postdischarge death or HF hospitalization between residual congestion at discharge and admission CCS (P for the interaction = .316). CONCLUSIONS: In total, 85% of patients were discharged with complete decongestion in Japanese clinical practice. Clinical congestion, on admission and at discharge, was of prognostic value. The severity of congestion on admission was predictive of adverse outcomes, even in the absence of residual congestion. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02334891 (NCT02334891) https://upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000017241 (UMIN000015238).

Polypharmacy and Clinical Outcomes in Hospitalized Patients With Acute Decompensated Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Polypharmacy is a common problem among patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) who often have multiple comorbidities. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to define the number of medications at hospital discharge and whether it is associated with clinical outcomes at 1 year. METHODS: We evaluated the number of medications in 2578 patients with ADHF who were ambulatory at hospital discharge in the Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure Registry and compared 1-year outcomes in 4 groups categorized by quartiles of the number of medications (quartile 1, ≤ 5; quartile 2, 6-8; quartile 3, 9-11; and quartile 4, ≥ 12). RESULTS: At hospital discharge, the median number of medications was 8 (interquartile range, 6-11) with 81.5% and 27.8% taking more than 5 and more than 10 medications, respectively. The cumulative 1-year incidence of a composite of death or rehospitalization (primary outcome measure) increased incrementally with an increasing number of medications (quartile 1, 30.8%; quartile 2, 31.6%; quartile 3, 39.7%; quartile 4, 50.3%; P < .0001). After adjusting for confounders, the excess risks of quartile 4 relative to those of quartile 1 remained significant ( P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: In the contemporary cohort of patients with ADHF in Japan, polypharmacy at hospital discharge was common, and excessive polypharmacy was associated with a higher risk of mortality and rehospitalizations within a 1-year period. Collaborative disease management programs that include a careful review of medication lists and an appropriate deprescribing protocol should be implemented for these patients.

Starting Neurohormonal Antagonists in Patients With Acute Heart Failure With Mid-Range and Preserved Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: The clinical benefits of neurohormonal antagonists for patients with heart failure (HF) with mid-range and preserved ejection fraction (HFmrEF and HFpEF) are uncertain.Methods and Results: This study analyzed 858 consecutive patients with HFmrEF (EF: 40-49%) or HFpEF (EF ≥50%), who were hospitalized for acute HF, and who were discharged alive, and were not taking angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE)-I/ angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARB) or ß-blockers at admission. The study population was classified into 4 groups according to the status of prescription of ACE-I/ARB and ß-blocker at discharge: no neurohormonal antagonist (n=342, 39.9%), ACE-I/ARB only (n=128, 14.9%), ß-blocker only (n=189, 22.0%), and both ACE-I/ARB and ß-blocker (n=199, 23.2%) groups. The primary outcome measure was a composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization. The cumulative 1-year incidence of the primary outcome measure was 41.2% in the no neurohormonal antagonist group, 34.0% in the ACE-I/ARB only group, 28.6% in the ß-blocker only group, and 16.4% in the both ACE-I/ARB and ß-blocker group (P<0.001). Compared with the no neurohormonal antagonist group, both the ACE-I/ARB and ß-blocker groups were associated with a significantly lower risk for a composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization (HR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.28-0.76, P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized patients with HFmrEF and HFpEF, starting both ACE-I/ARB and a ß-blocker was associated with a reduced risk of the composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization compared with patients not starting on an ACE-I/ARB or ß-blocker.

Instability of rotational activation as atrial fibrillation drivers: Assessment by ExTRa Mapping system.

BACKGROUND: ExTRa Mapping™ has developed to visualize rotational activation as atrial fibrillation (AF) drivers. The current study was sought to evaluate the instability of AF drivers by ExTRa Mapping™. METHODS: Variation of nonpassively activated ratio (%NP) among three-time repetitive recordings before and after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) in left atrium was assessed in 26 persistent AF patients. The recoding time was set at 5 or 8 s for the respective patients. The outcome measures included %NP at each recording, mean value of the three-time recordings, and the instability index, which was defined as maximum difference per mean %NP × 100 (%). RESULTS: Total 683 sites 2049 recordings were assessed. Mean %NP was 33.3(23.3-42.7)%, and higher in sites with severe (≥50%) and patchy low voltage area than those without, but not in those with severe complex fractionated atrial electrogram area. There was significant correlation between actual and mean %NP (R = 0.86, P < .001), but maximum difference among the repetitive recordings was 16(10-24)%. The instability index of %NP was 55.9(30.9-83.6)%, and significantly lower at the recordings of 8 s compared with 5 s (50.6[28.6-78.4]% vs. 60.4[35.0-90.0]%, P = .004). Furthermore, it was higher at sites with lower reliability of the recordings. After PVI, mean %NP significantly decreased (28.7[18.3-36.7]% vs. 37.7[28.7-45.7]%, P < .001), but the instability index significantly increased compared with those before PVI (60.0[35.0-92.7]% vs. 48.9[29.1-75.0]%, P = .001). CONCLUSION: Rotational activation as AF drivers assessed by ExTRa Mapping™ is unstable, and repetitive and longer recording is required for the reliable assessment even after PVI.

Diabetes Mellitus and Long-Term Risk for Heart Failure After Coronary Revascularization.

BACKGROUND: The effect of diabetes mellitus (DM) status on the long-term risk for heart failure (HF) in patients undergoing coronary revascularization has not been adequately evaluated.Methods and Results:In this study, 15,231 patients who underwent coronary revascularization in the CREDO-Kyoto Registry Cohort-2 were divided into 2 groups according to DM status (DM group: n=5,999; Non-DM group: n=9,232). The DM group was further divided into 2 groups according to insulin treatment (insulin-treated DM [ITDM]: n=1,353; non-insulin-treated DM [NITDM]: n=4,646). The primary outcome measure was HF hospitalization. The cumulative 5-year incidence of HF hospitalization was significantly higher in the DM than non-DM group (11.0% vs. 6.6%, respectively; log-rank P<0.0001), and in the ITDM than NITDM group (14.6% vs. 10.0%, respectively; log-rank P<0.0001). After adjusting for confounders, the increased risk of HF hospitalization with DM relative to non-DM remained significant (hazard ratio [HR] 1.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.30-1.67, P<0.0001), whereas the risk associated with ITDM relative to NITDM was not significant (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.96-1.43, P=0.12). CONCLUSIONS: The adjusted long-term risk for HF hospitalization after coronary revascularization was significantly higher in DM than non-DM patients, regardless of revascularization strategy, but did not differ between ITDM and NITDM patients.

Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation vs. Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement for Severe Aortic Stenosis in Real-World Clinical Practice.

BACKGROUND: There are no data comparing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) with surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) outcomes in real clinical practice in Japan. METHODS AND RESULTS: We combined 2 independent registries, the K-TAVI Registry (a 6-center prospective registry of consecutive patients who underwent TAVI) and the CURRENT AS Registry (a large, 27-center registry of 3,815 consecutive patients with severe aortic stenosis [AS]). In the K-TAVI Registry, 338 patients underwent TAVI with SAPIEN XT balloon-expandable valves from October 2013 to January 2016, whereas in the CURRENT AS Registry 237 patients with severe AS underwent SAVR from January 2003 to December 2011. Propensity score matching was conducted, with final cohort comprising 306 patients. The cumulative 2-year incidence of all-cause death and heart failure (HF) hospitalization did not differ significantly between the TAVI and SAVR groups (13.7% vs. 12.4% [P=0.81] and 7.9% vs 3.9% [P=0.13], respectively). After adjusting for residual confounders, there were no significant differences between the TAVI and SAVR groups in the risk for all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35-1.58; P=0.43) or HF hospitalization (HR 1.27; 95% CI 0.40-4.59; P=0.69). CONCLUSIONS: These findings from 2 independent Japanese registries suggest that the 2-year risk of all-cause mortality and HF does not differ significantly between TAVI and SAVR groups in real-world practice in Japan.

Demographics, Management, and In-Hospital Outcome of Hospitalized Acute Heart Failure Syndrome Patients in Contemporary Real Clinical Practice in Japan　- Observations From the Prospective, Multicenter Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure (KCHF) Registry.

BACKGROUND: There is a scarcity of reports on the clinical characteristics and management practice in contemporary all-comer patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). Methods and Results: The Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure (KCHF) registry is a prospective observational cohort study enrolling 4,056 consecutive patients who had hospital admission due to ADHF without any exclusion criteria between October 2014 and March 2016 in the 19 participating hospitals in Japan. Baseline characteristics, clinical presentations, management, and in-hospital outcomes were compared between heart failure (HF) with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF; HFrEF, LVEF <40%), HF with mid-range LVEF (HFmrEF, LVEF 40-49%), and HF with preserved LVEF (HFpEF, LVEF ≥50%). Of the 4,041 patients with documented LVEF, 1,744 (43%) had HFpEF; 746 (19%), HFmrEF; and 1,551 (38%), HFrEF. The median age was 80 years (IQR, 72-86 years) in the entire population, and was higher with increasing LVEF (P<0.001). The in-hospital mortality rate was higher in the HFrEF than in the HFmrEF and HFpEF groups (9.2%, 4.8%, and 5.1%, respectively, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This registry elucidated the clinical features and clinically relevant in-hospital outcomes in contemporary consecutive patients with ADHF in real-world clinical practice in Japan. When classified by LVEF, significant differences in characteristics and in-hospital outcomes existed between patients with HFrEF, HFmrEF, and HFpEF.

Transradial versus transfemoral approach in patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction: insight from the CREDO-Kyoto AMI registry.

Recent randomized clinical trials demonstrated that transradial approach was a preferred approach for primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI). However, clinical outcomes of transradial approach in STEMI have not been adequately evaluated yet in the real-world practice, which includes hemodynamically unstable high-risk patients. We identified 3662 STEMI patients who had primary PCI within 24 h after symptom onset and were treated by transradial (N = 471) or transfemoral (N = 3191) approach in the CREDO-Kyoto AMI registry. In the current analysis, we compared clinical characteristics and long-term outcomes between the 2 groups of patients treated by transradial approach and transfemoral approach. The prevalence of hemodynamically compromised patients (Killip II-IV) was significantly less in the transradial group than in the transfemoral group (19 vs. 25%, P = 0.002). Cumulative 5-year incidences of death/MI/stroke, and major bleeding were not significantly different between the transradial and transfemoral groups (26.7 vs. 25.9%, log-rank P = 0.91, and 11.3 vs. 11.5%, log-rank P = 0.71, respectively). After adjustment for confounders, the risks of the transradial group relative to the transfemoral group were not significant for both death/MI/stroke [Hazard ratio (HR) 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.83-1.59, P = 0.41] and major bleeding (HR 1.29, 95% CI 0.77-2.15, P = 0.34). In the subgroup of hemodynamically compromised patients, there were also no significant differences in the risks for death/MI/stroke and major bleeding between the 2 groups. Clinical outcomes of transradial approach were not different from those of transfemoral approach in primary PCI for STEMI in the real-world practice.

Role of splanchnic circulation in the pathogenesis of heart failure: State-of-the-art review.

A hallmark of heart failure (HF), whether it presents itself during rest or periods of physical exertion, is the excessive elevation of intracardiac filling pressures at rest or with exercise. Many mechanisms contribute to the elevated intracardiac filling pressures, and notably, the concept of volume redistribution has gained attention as a cause of the elevated intracardiac filling pressures in patients with HF, particularly HF with preserved ejection fraction, who often present without symptoms at rest, with shortness of breath and fatigue appearing only during exertion. This phenomenon suggests cardiopulmonary system non-compliance and inappropriate volume distribution between the stressed and unstressed blood volume components. A substantial proportion of the intravascular blood volume is in the splanchnic vascular compartment in the abdomen. Preclinical and clinical investigations support the critical role of the sympathetic nervous system in modulating the capacitance and compliance of the splanchnic vascular bed via modulation of the greater splanchnic nerve (GSN). The GSN activation by stressors such as exercise causes excessive splanchnic vasoconstriction, which may contribute to the decompensation of chronic HF via volume redistribution from the splanchnic vascular bed to the central compartment. Accordingly, for example, GSN ablation for volume management has been proposed as a potential therapeutic intervention to increase unstressed blood volume. Here we provide a comprehensive review of the role of splanchnic circulation in the pathogenesis of HF and potential novel treatment options for redistributing blood volume to improve symptoms and prognosis in patients with HF.

Intracardiac energy inefficiency during decompensated and compensated heart failure.

AIMS: The mechanisms underlying the acute decompensation of heart failure (HF) remain unclear. The present study examined intracardiac dynamics during decompensated HF using echo-vector flow mapping. METHODS AND RESULTS: Fifty patients admitted for decompensated HF were prospectively enrolled, and intracardiac energy loss (EL) was assessed by echo-vector flow mapping at admission (decompensated HF) and discharge (compensated HF). Outcome measures were average EL in the left ventricle (LV) in decompensated and compensated HF and were compared with those in 40 stable non-HF patients with cardiovascular diseases. The mean age of HF patients was 80.8 ± 12.4 years. The prevalence of both females and atrial fibrillation was 48.0%. The prevalence of HF with a reduced ejection fraction (<40%) (HFrEF) was 34.0%. The prevalence of decompensated HF classified into clinical scenario 1 was 33.3%. Blood pressure and NT-proBNP were significantly higher in decompensated HF than in compensated HF, while the ejection fraction (EF) was significantly lower. Average EL was significantly higher in compensated HF patients than in non-HF patients (40 mW/m·L vs. 26 mW/m·L, P = 0.047). A multivariable analysis identified age, systolic blood pressure, LVEF, and the absence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease as independent risk factors for high LV-EL regardless of the presence of HF. Furthermore, average EL in HF patients was significantly higher under acute decompensated conditions than under compensated conditions (55 mE/m·L vs. 40 mE/m·L, [+18 mE/m·L, P = 0.03]). Higher EL under decompensated HF conditions was significant in non-HFrEF (+19 mW/m·L, P = 0.009) and clinical scenario 1 (+23 mW/m·L, P = 0.008). The multivariable analysis identified eGFR as an independent risk factor for a decrease in average LV-EL under decompensated conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Energy inefficiency in LV was apparent even in stable HF patients and significant under acute decompensated conditions, particularly in HF with preserved EF and clinical scenario 1.

Efficacy and safety of Saireito (TJ-114) in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing catheter ablation procedures: A randomized pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Early arrhythmia recurrences commonly occur after atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation because of irritability and inflammation of left atrium. We hypothesized that short-term use of Saireito would be effective in reducing frequent atrial tachyarrhythmias in the early-phase post-ablation. METHODS: One hundred patients undergoing catheter ablation for symptomatic AF were randomly assigned to either a 30-day use of Saireito or control group. The primary endpoint was total number of episodes of frequent atrial tachyarrhythmias including definite recurrent AF and frequent premature atrial contractions during the 30-day treatment period post-ablation. RESULTS: Three (6.0%) out of 50 patients treated with Saireito discontinued the drug because of adverse symptoms. The Saireito group was associated with a numerically lower number of episodes of frequent atrial tachyarrhythmias than the control group (3.1 versus 5.2 times, P = 0.17). The mean daily episodes of frequent atrial tachyarrhythmias were significantly fewer in the Saireito group during Day-6 to Day-10 (0.12/day versus 0.27/day, P = 0.03), and during Day-11 to Day-15 (0.08/day versus 0.24/day, P = 0.001). The prevalence of adverse symptoms during the 30-day treatment period was significantly higher in the Saireito group (18.0% versus 2.0%, P = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Thirty-day use of Saireito following AF ablation was associated with a tendency toward reduced number of episodes of frequent atrial tachyarrhythmias during the treatment period, with more pronounced effect in the first two weeks.

Effectiveness and safety of morphine administration for refractory dyspnoea among hospitalised patients with advanced heart failure: the Morphine-HF study.

OBJECTIVES: Morphine is effective in alleviating dyspnoea in patients with cancer. We aimed to investigate the effectiveness and safety of morphine administration for refractory dyspnoea in patients with advanced heart failure (HF). METHODS: We conducted a multicentre, prospective, observational study of hospitalised patients with advanced HF in whom morphine was administered for refractory dyspnoea. Morphine effectiveness was evaluated by dyspnoea intensity changes, assessed regularly by both a quantitative subjective scale (Visual Analogue Scale (VAS; graded from 0 to 100 mm)) and an objective scale (Support Team Assessment Schedule-Japanese (STAS-J; graded from 0 to 4 points)). Safety was assessed by vital sign changes and new-onset severe adverse events, including nausea, vomiting, constipation and delirium based on the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events. RESULTS: From 15 Japanese institutions between September 2020 and August 2022, we included 28 hospitalised patients with advanced HF in whom morphine was administered (mean age: 83.8±8.7 years, male: 15 (54%), New York Heart Association class IV: 26 (93%) and mean left ventricular ejection fraction: 38%±19%). Both VAS and STAS-J significantly improved from baseline to day 1 (VAS: 67±26 to 50±31 mm; p=0.02 and STAS-J: 3.3±0.8 to 2.6±1.1 points; p=0.006, respectively), and thereafter the improvements sustained through to day 7. After morphine administration, vital signs including blood pressure, pulse rate and oxygen saturation did not change, and no new-onset severe adverse events occurred through to day 7. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggested acceptable effectiveness and safety for morphine administration in treating refractory dyspnoea in hospitalised patients with advanced HF.

Development of interpretable machine learning models to predict in-hospital prognosis of acute heart failure patients.

AIMS: In recent years, there has been remarkable development in machine learning (ML) models, showing a trend towards high prediction performance. ML models with high prediction performance often become structurally complex and are frequently perceived as black boxes, hindering intuitive interpretation of the prediction results. We aimed to develop ML models with high prediction performance, interpretability, and superior risk stratification to predict in-hospital mortality and worsening heart failure (WHF) in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on the Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure registry, which enrolled 4056 patients with AHF, we developed prediction models for in-hospital mortality and WHF using information obtained on the first day of admission (demographics, physical examination, blood test results, etc.). After excluding 16 patients who died on the first or second day of admission, the original dataset (n = 4040) was split 4:1 into training (n = 3232) and test datasets (n = 808). Based on the training dataset, we developed three types of prediction models: (i) the classification and regression trees (CART) model; (ii) the random forest (RF) model; and (iii) the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model. The performance of each model was evaluated using the test dataset, based on metrics including sensitivity, specificity, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Brier score, and calibration slope. For the complex structure of the XGBoost model, we performed SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis, classifying patients into interpretable clusters. In the original dataset, the proportion of females was 44.8% (1809/4040), and the average age was 77.9 ± 12.0. The in-hospital mortality rate was 6.3% (255/4040) and the WHF rate was 22.3% (900/4040) in the total study population. In the in-hospital mortality prediction, the AUC for the XGBoost model was 0.816 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.815-0.818], surpassing the AUC values for the CART model (0.683, 95% CI: 0.680-0.685) and the RF model (0.755, 95% CI: 0.753-0.757). Similarly, in the WHF prediction, the AUC for the XGBoost model was 0.766 (95% CI: 0.765-0.768), outperforming the AUC values for the CART model (0.688, 95% CI: 0.686-0.689) and the RF model (0.713, 95% CI: 0.711-0.714). In the XGBoost model, interpretable clusters were formed, and the rates of in-hospital mortality and WHF were similar among each cluster in both the training and test datasets. CONCLUSIONS: The XGBoost models with SHAP analysis provide high prediction performance, interpretability, and reproducible risk stratification for in-hospital mortality and WHF for patients with AHF.

Intracardiac energy inefficiency during atrial fibrillation rhythm with heart failure: Assessment by echo-vector flow mapping.

AIMS: Intracardiac dynamics during atrial fibrillation(AF) complicated by heart failure(HF) are not fully understood. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of intracardiac dynamics assessed by echo-vector flow mapping on AF complicated by HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled 76 AF patients receiving sinus restoration therapy and assessed energy loss(EL) by echo-vector flow mapping during both AF rhythm and sinus rhythm. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to serum NT-proBNP level: high NT-proBNP group(≥1800 pg/ml during AF rhythm: N = 19), and low NT-proBNP group(N = 57). Outcome measures were average ELs/stroke volume(SV) in left ventricle(LV) and left atrium(LA). Average EL/SVs during AF rhythm in the LV and LA were significantly larger in the high NT-proBNP group than the low NT-proBNP group(54.2 mE/m·L versus 41.2 mE/m·L, P = 0.02; 3.2 mE/m·L versus 1.9 mE/m·L, P = 0.01). The significantly larger EL/SV in the high NT-proBNP group was recorded for maximum EL/SVs. In patients with high NT-proBNP, large vortex formation with extreme EL was detected in the LV and LA during the diastolic phase. After sinus restoration, the average decrease of EL/SV in the LV and LA was larger in the high NT-proBNP group(-21.4 mE/m·L versus +2.6 mE/m·L, P = 0.04; -1.6 mE/m·L versus -0.3 mE/m·L, P = 0.02). Average EL/SV during sinus rhythm did not significantly differ between the high and low NT-proBNP groups in the LV and LA. CONCLUSIONS: High EL during AF rhythm as intracardiac energy inefficiency was associated with high serum NT-proBNP levels and improved after sinus restoration.

Association of intravenous heparin administration with in-hospital clinical outcomes among hospitalized patients with acute heart failure.

BACKGROUNDS: Patients with acute heart failure (AHF) possess a high risk for thromboembolism, and thromboembolism prophylaxis using heparin has been recommended by the guidelines. METHODS: Among 4056 patients enrolled in the KCHF Registry, the current study population consisted of 2525 patients after excluding patients with acute coronary syndrome and oral anticoagulants on admission and those with mechanical circulatory supports. There were 789 patients (31%) with heparin administration within 24 h after admission, and 1736 patients (69%) without. RESULTS: The baseline characteristics included mean age: 78 ± 13 years, New York Heart Association class IV: 51%, ischemic etiology: 30%, atrial fibrillation: 31% and mean left ventricular ejection fraction: 45%. During median hospitalization length of 16 days, 161 patients had all-cause death, 34 patients developed ischemic stroke, and 48 patients developed major bleeding. Multivariable logistic regression analyses demonstrated that heparin administration compared with no heparin administration was not associated with a lower risk for all-cause death (OR: 1.39, 95%CI: 0.90-2.15; P = 0.14), nor for ischemic stroke (OR: 1.14, 95%CI: 0.53-2.43; P = 0.74), but was associated with a higher risk for major bleeding (OR: 2.88, 95%CI: 1.54-5.41; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with AHF, heparin administration within 24 h after admission was not associated with a lower risk of all-cause death and ischemic stroke, but was associated with a higher risk of major bleeding during hospitalization. Our study raises questions about the routine use of heparin for thromboembolism prophylaxis in hospitalized patients with AHF. Further studies are warranted to address the utility of anticoagulant therapy in these patients.

Weight loss during follow-up in patients with acute heart failure: From the KCHF registry.

BACKGROUNDS: The prognostic implication of weight loss after discharge from acute heart failure (AHF) remains unclear. We sought to investigate the association of weight loss between discharge and 6-month visit with subsequent clinical outcomes in patients with AHF. METHODS: We analyzed 686 patients with AHF in the prospective longitudinal follow-up study derived from the Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure registry, and divided them into 2 groups based on the weight loss at 6-month index visit. We defined the weight loss as ≥ 5% decrease in body weight from discharge to 6-month index visit. RESULTS: There were 90 patients (13.1%) with a weight loss at 6-month visit. Patients in the weight loss group compared with those in the no weight loss group had higher body weight at discharge and lower body weight at 6-mont visit. Patients in the weight loss group had a lower systolic blood pressure, higher brain-type natriuretic peptide, lower serum albumin, lower hemoglobin, higher prevalence of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction at 6-month visit, and a lower prescription rate of inhibitors of renin-angiotensin system than those in the no weight loss group. The cumulative 6-month incidence of all-cause death was significantly higher in the weight loss group than in the no weight loss group (14.2% and 4.3%, log-rank P<0.001). The excess adjusted risk of the weight loss group relative to the no weight loss group remained significant for all-cause death (HR 2.39, 95%CI 1.01-5.65, P = 0.048). CONCLUSION: Body weight loss of ≥5% at 6-month visit after discharge was associated with subsequent all-cause death in patients with AHF.