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BACKGROUND: This study investigated whether the chronic use of adaptive servo-ventilation (ASV) reduces all-cause mortality and the rate of urgent rehospitalization in patients with heart failure (HF). METHODSâANDâRESULTS: This multicenter prospective observational study enrolled patients hospitalized for HF in Japan between 2019 and 2020 who were treated either with or without ASV therapy. Of 845 patients, 110 (13%) received chronic ASV at hospital discharge. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death and urgent rehospitalization for HF, and was observed in 272 patients over a 1-year follow-up. Following 1:3 sequential propensity score matching, 384 patients were included in the subsequent analysis. The median time to the primary outcome was significantly shorter in the ASV than in non-ASV group (19.7 vs. 34.4 weeks; P=0.013). In contrast, there was no significant difference in the all-cause mortality event-free rate between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic use of ASV did not impact all-cause mortality in patients experiencing recurrent admissions for HF.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Readmisión del Paciente , Humanos , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/terapia , Anciano , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Readmisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Japón/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
This study retrospectively evaluated the mid-term outcomes of surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) using a stented porcine aortic valve bioprosthesis (Mosaic; Medtronic Inc., Minneapolis, MN, USA) with concomitant mitral valve (MV) repair. From 1999 to 2014, 157 patients (median [interquartile range] age, 75 [70-79] years; 47% women) underwent SAVR with concomitant MV repair (SAVR + MV repair), and 1045 patients (median [interquartile range] age, 76 [70-80] years; 54% women) underwent SAVR only at 10 centers in Japan as part of the long-term multicenter Japan Mosaic valve (J-MOVE) study. The 5-year overall survival rate was 81.5% ± 4.1% in the SAVR + MV repair group and 85.1% ± 1.4% in the SAVR only group, and the 8-year overall survival rates were 75.2% ± 5.7% and 78.1% ± 2.1%, respectively. Cox proportional hazards analysis showed no significant difference in the survival rates between the two groups (hazard ratio, 0.87; 95% confidence interval, 0.54-1.40; P = 0.576). Among women with mild or moderate mitral regurgitation who were not receiving dialysis, those who underwent SAVR + MV repair, were aged > 75 years, and had a preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction of 30-75% tended to have a lower mortality risk. In conclusion, this subgroup analysis of the J-MOVE cohort showed relevant mid-term outcomes after SAVR + MV repair.
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Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica , Bioprótesis , Implantación de Prótesis de Válvulas Cardíacas , Prótesis Valvulares Cardíacas , Humanos , Femenino , Porcinos , Animales , Anciano , Masculino , Válvula Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagen , Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis de Válvulas Cardíacas/efectos adversos , Volumen Sistólico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Válvula Mitral/diagnóstico por imagen , Válvula Mitral/cirugía , Resultado del Tratamiento , Función Ventricular Izquierda , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Over the past decade, liquid-based cytology has replaced conventional cytology for cervical cancer screening in many countries, including Japan. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of liquid-based cytology using a large database and compare two major liquid-based cytology platforms, SurePath and ThinPrep, to conventional cytology. METHODS: Cervical cancer screening data were collected from the Japan Cancer Society between 2015 and 2019. The efficacy of liquid-based and conventional cytology in detecting cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) was evaluated. Detection rates and positive predictive values were compared using a Poisson regression model. RESULTS: We collected data of 3,918,149 participants, including 2,248,202 conventional cytology, 874,807 SurePath and 795,140 ThinPrep smears. The detection rate of CIN2 or more was 1.14 times higher using SurePath than that using conventional cytology (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-1.20; p < 0.001). Contrastingly, the detection rate of CIN2 or more was 0.91 times lower using ThinPrep (95% CI, 0.86-0.96; p < 0.001). The detection rates of CIN3 or more did not differ significantly between SurePath and conventional cytology (detection rate ratio, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.97-1.12; p = 0.224). The positive predictive value ratios of CIN2 or more were 0.80 using SurePath (95% CI, 0.76-0.84; p < 0.001) and 0.83 using ThinPrep (95% CI, 0.79-0.87; p < 0.001) compared with conventional cytology. CONCLUSIONS: Liquid-based cytology, particularly SurePath, was useful for detecting CIN2 or higher in population-based cervical cancer screening. Further widespread use of liquid-based cytology methods would lead to efficient detection of cervical precancerous lesions.
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In oncology, Phase II studies are crucial for clinical development plans as such studies identify potent agents with sufficient activity to continue development in the subsequent Phase III trials. Traditionally, Phase II studies are single-arm studies, with the primary endpoint being short-term treatment efficacy. However, drug safety is also an important consideration. In the context of such multiple-outcome designs, predictive probability-based Bayesian monitoring strategies have been developed to assess whether a clinical trial will provide enough evidence to continue with a Phase III study at the scheduled end of the trial. Therefore, we propose a new simple index vector to summarize the results that cannot be captured by existing strategies. Specifically, we define the worst and most promising situations for the potential effect of a treatment, then use the proposed index vector to measure the deviation between the two situations. Finally, simulation studies are performed to evaluate the operating characteristics of the design. The obtained results demonstrate that the proposed method makes appropriate interim go/no-go decisions.
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BACKGROUND: Transcatheter arterial embolization (TAE) has long been used for hemostasis of traumatic or postoperative hemorrhage and embolization of tumors. Previous retrospective studies of TAE for painful bone metastases showed 60%-80% pain reduction with a median time to response of 1-2 days. Compared with radiotherapy and bisphosphonates, time to response appeared earlier than that of radiotherapy or bone-modifying agents. However, few prospective studies have examined TAE for this indication. Here, we describe the protocol for a confirmatory study designed to clarify the efficacy and safety profile of TAE. METHODS: This study will be a multicenter, single-arm confirmatory study (phase 2-3 design). Patients with painful bone metastases from any primary tumor are eligible for enrollment. TAE will be the main intervention. Following puncture of the femoral artery under local anesthesia and insertion of an angiographic sheath, angiography will confirm that the injected region includes tumor vasculature. Catheter position will be adjusted so that the embolization range does not include non-target tissues. Spherical embolic material will then be slowly injected into the artery to embolize it. The primary endpoint (efficacy) is the proportion of subjects with pain relief at 72 h after TAE and the secondary endpoint (safety) is the incidence of all NCI Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0 Grade 4 adverse events and Grade ≥ 3 necrosis of the central nervous system. DISCUSSION: If the primary and secondary endpoints are met, TAE can be a treatment choice for painful bone metastases. Trial registry number is UMIN-CTR ID: UMIN000040794. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study is ongoing, and patients are currently being enrolled. Enrollment started in March 2021. A total of 36 patients have participated as of Aug 2022. PROTOCOL VERSION: Ver1.4, 13/07/2022.
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Neoplasias Óseas , Embolización Terapéutica , Manejo del Dolor , Humanos , Arterias , Neoplasias Óseas/complicaciones , Neoplasias Óseas/terapia , Embolización Terapéutica/efectos adversos , Estudios Multicéntricos como Asunto , Dolor/etiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como Asunto , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto , Manejo del Dolor/métodosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To explore the predictive value of the Thompson score during the first 4 days of life for estimating short-term adverse outcomes in neonatal encephalopathy. METHODS: This observational study evaluated infants with neonatal encephalopathy (≥36 weeks of gestation) registered in a multicenter cohort of cooled infants in Japan. The Thompson score was evaluated at 0-24, 24-48, 48-72, and 72-90 h of age. Adverse outcomes included death, survival with respiratory impairment (requiring tracheostomy), or survival with feeding impairment (requiring gavage feeding) at discharge. RESULTS: Of the 632 infants, 21 (3.3%) died, 59 (9.3%) survived with respiratory impairment, and 113 (17.9%) survived with feeding impairment. The Thompson score throughout the first 4 days accurately predicted death, respiratory impairment, or feeding impairment. The 72-90 h score showed the highest accuracy. A cutoff of ≥15 had a sensitivity of 0.85 and specificity of 0.92 for death or respiratory impairment, while a cutoff of ≥14 had a sensitivity of 0.71 and a specificity of 0.92 for death, respiratory or feeding impairment. CONCLUSION: A high Thompson score during the first 4 days of life, especially at 72-90 h could thus be useful for estimating the need for prolonged life support. IMPACT: The Thompson score on days 1-4 of age was useful in predicting death and respiratory or feeding impairments. The 72-90 h Thompson score showed the highest predictive capability. Owing to the rarity of withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment in Japan, 43% of infants with persistent severe encephalopathy with a Thompson score of ≥15 at 72-90 h of age could regain spontaneous breathing, be extubated, and survive without tracheostomy. Meanwhile, approximately 50% of infants who survived without tracheostomy required gavage feeding. Our results could provide useful information for clinical decision making regarding infants with persistent severe encephalopathy.
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Encefalopatías , Hipotermia Inducida , Enfermedades del Recién Nacido , Recién Nacido , Lactante , Humanos , Hipotermia Inducida/métodos , Enfermedades del Recién Nacido/terapia , Encefalopatías/diagnóstico , Encefalopatías/terapia , Toma de Decisiones Clínicas , JapónRESUMEN
In modern medicine, medical tests are used for various purposes including diagnosis, disease screening, prognosis, and risk prediction. To quantify the performance of the binary medical test, we often use sensitivity, specificity, and negative and positive predictive values as measures. Additionally, the F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -score, which is defined as the harmonic mean of precision (positive predictive value) and recall (sensitivity), has come to be used in the medical field due to its favorable characteristics. The F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -score has been extended for multi-class classification, and two types of F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -scores have been proposed for multi-class classification: a micro-averaged F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -score and a macro-averaged F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -score. The micro-averaged F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -score pools per-sample classifications across classes and then calculates the overall F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -score, whereas the macro-averaged F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -score computes an arithmetic mean of the F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -scores for each class. Additionally, Sokolova and Lapalme 1 $$ {}^1 $$ gave an alternative definition of the macro-averaged F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -score as the harmonic mean of the arithmetic means of the precision and recall over classes. Although some statistical methods of inference for binary and multi-class F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -scores have been proposed, the methodology development of hypothesis testing procedure for them has not been fully progressing yet. Therefore, we aim to develop hypothesis testing procedure for comparing two F 1 $$ {F}_1 $$ -scores in paired study design based on the large sample multivariate central limit theorem.
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Técnicas y Procedimientos Diagnósticos , Pronóstico , Humanos , Técnicas y Procedimientos Diagnósticos/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
Aims: Physicians determine the treatment regimen for metastatic colorectal cancer on a case-by-case bases, according to the individual disease characteristics. We retrospectively compared the baseline characteristics and efficacies of first-line treatment among patients with metastatic colorectal cancer who received intensive therapy involving fluoropyrimidine plus oxaliplatin and/or irinotecan, potentially with molecularly targeted agents as well, versus less intensive fluoropyrimidine and/or bevacizumab therapy. Materials & methods: Data were collected from a medical claims database. The efficacy outcomes were: time to treatment failure, time to first subsequent therapy and overall survival. Results: The less intensive therapy group (n = 633) had higher median age, lower daily activity levels and shorter time to treatment failure, time to first subsequent therapy and overall survival than the intensive therapy group (n = 3829). Combination therapy with molecularly targeted agents and bevacizumab improved treatment efficacy outcomes in the intensive and less intensive groups, respectively. Conclusion: Patient age and daily activity levels were important factors for determining treatment intensity.
In this study we performed a real-world data analysis of treatment for advanced colorectal cancer that had spread to other parts of patients' bodies, by investigating the medical records of 4462 patients. We wanted to see how well different treatments worked and what kinds of patients received them. We found that the most important factors when choosing between different treatments were the patient's age and how well they could perform their everyday tasks. We found that using specialized medicines in the intensive treatment group, and a drug called bevacizumab in the less intensive group, resulted in better patient outcomes.
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Antineoplásicos , Neoplasias del Colon , Neoplasias Colorrectales , Neoplasias del Recto , Humanos , Bevacizumab , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Fluorouracilo/uso terapéutico , Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias del Colon/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias del Recto/tratamiento farmacológico , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/efectos adversos , Camptotecina/uso terapéutico , Leucovorina/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
Importance: For patients with RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer, adding anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (anti-EGFR) or anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (anti-VEGF) monoclonal antibodies to first-line doublet chemotherapy is routine, but the optimal targeted therapy has not been defined. Objective: To evaluate the effect of adding panitumumab (an anti-EGFR monoclonal antibody) vs bevacizumab (an anti-VEGF monoclonal antibody) to standard first-line chemotherapy for treatment of RAS wild-type, left-sided, metastatic colorectal cancer. Design, Setting, and Participants: Randomized, open-label, phase 3 clinical trial at 197 sites in Japan in May 2015-January 2022 among 823 patients with chemotherapy-naive RAS wild-type, unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer (final follow-up, January 14, 2022). Interventions: Panitumumab (n = 411) or bevacizumab (n = 412) plus modified fluorouracil, l-leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (mFOLFOX6) every 14 days. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point, overall survival, was tested first in participants with left-sided tumors, then in the overall population. Secondary end points were progression-free survival, response rate, duration of response, and curative (defined as R0 status) resection rate. Results: In the as-treated population (n = 802; median age, 66 years; 282 [35.2%] women), 604 (75.3%) had left-sided tumors. Median follow-up was 61 months. Median overall survival was 37.9 months with panitumumab vs 34.3 months with bevacizumab in participants with left-sided tumors (hazard ratio [HR] for death, 0.82; 95.798% CI, 0.68-0.99; P = .03) and 36.2 vs 31.3 months, respectively, in the overall population (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.72-0.98; P = .03). Median progression-free survival for panitumumab vs bevacizumab was 13.1 vs 11.9 months, respectively, for those with left-sided tumors (HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.83-1.20) and 12.2 vs 11.4 months overall (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.90-1.24). Response rates with panitumumab vs bevacizumab were 80.2% vs 68.6%, respectively, for left-sided tumors (difference, 11.2%; 95% CI, 4.4%-17.9%) and 74.9% vs 67.3% overall (difference, 7.7%; 95% CI, 1.5%-13.8%). Median duration of response with panitumumab vs bevacizumab was 13.1 vs 11.2 months for left-sided tumors (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.70-1.10) and 11.9 vs 10.7 months overall (HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.74-1.06). Curative resection rates with panitumumab vs bevacizumab were 18.3% vs 11.6% for left-sided tumors; (difference, 6.6%; 95% CI, 1.0%-12.3%) and 16.5% vs 10.9% overall (difference, 5.6%; 95% CI, 1.0%-10.3%). Common treatment-emergent adverse events were acneiform rash (panitumumab: 74.8%; bevacizumab: 3.2%), peripheral sensory neuropathy (panitumumab: 70.8%; bevacizumab: 73.7%), and stomatitis (panitumumab: 61.6%; bevacizumab: 40.5%). Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer, adding panitumumab, compared with bevacizumab, to standard first-line chemotherapy significantly improved overall survival in those with left-sided tumors and in the overall population. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02394795.
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Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica , Bevacizumab , Neoplasias Colorrectales , Panitumumab , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/administración & dosificación , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/efectos adversos , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/uso terapéutico , Antineoplásicos/administración & dosificación , Antineoplásicos/efectos adversos , Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/efectos adversos , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Bevacizumab/administración & dosificación , Bevacizumab/efectos adversos , Bevacizumab/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias del Colon/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias del Colon/genética , Neoplasias Colorrectales/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/genética , Fluorouracilo/administración & dosificación , Leucovorina/administración & dosificación , Panitumumab/administración & dosificación , Panitumumab/efectos adversos , Panitumumab/uso terapéutico , Oxaliplatino/administración & dosificación , Receptores ErbB/antagonistas & inhibidores , Factores de Crecimiento Endotelial Vascular/antagonistas & inhibidoresRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: This study retrospectively evaluated the long-term patient outcomes and durability of the Mosaic mitral porcine bioprosthesis in the Japan Mosaic valve long-term multicenter study.MethodsâandâResults:The medical records of 390 patients who underwent mitral valve replacement with the Mosaic bioprosthesis at 10 centers in Japan (1999-2014) were reviewed. Patient data were collected using the Research Electronic Data Capture software. Patient survival was determined using the Kaplan-Meier method. Freedom from structural valve deterioration (SVD) and valve-related reoperation and death were determined using actuarial methods. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) age of the cohort was 73 (69-77) years. The median (IQR) follow-up period was 4.83 (1.84-8.26) years. The longest follow-up period was 15.8 years. The 30-day mortality rate was 5.4%. The 12-year actuarial survival rate was 54.1±4.5%, and the freedom from valve-related death was 85.3±3.4%. The freedom from reoperation at 12 years was 74.3±5.7%. The freedom from SVD at 12 years was 81.4±6.6% for patients aged ≥65 years and 71.6±11.1% for those aged <65 years. The median (IQR) mean pressure gradient was 4.1 (3.0-6.0) and 5.6 (4.0-6.7) mmHg at 1 and 10 years, respectively. The median (IQR) effective orifice area was 1.7 (1.4-2.0) and 1.4 (1.2-1.6) cm2at 1 and 10 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The Mosaic porcine bioprosthesis offered satisfactory long-term outcomes for up to 12 years.
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Bioprótesis , Implantación de Prótesis de Válvulas Cardíacas , Prótesis Valvulares Cardíacas , Animales , Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Japón , Falla de Prótesis , Reoperación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Programas Informáticos , PorcinosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Although childhood undervaccination among single mother families is a concern for child healthcare, their association is still under debate. This study aimed to investigate the association between maternal marital status and the risk of childhood undervaccination and determine the mediating effect of household income. METHODS: We utilised prospective birth cohort from the Japan Environment and Children's Study (JECS). Of 104,062 foetal records (children) from 97,413 mothers, 82,462 that included mothers recruited between 2011 and 2014, were analysed. Childhood undervaccination was defined as not having been vaccinated with at least one routine vaccine. A log-binomial regression analysis was used to estimate the risk ratio (RR) for the association between maternal marital status and the risk of childhood undervaccination. A causal mediation analysis was further performed to investigate the proportion of the association mediated by household income. RESULTS: Among 82,462 children, 3188 and 79,274 had unmarried and married mothers, respectively. Childhood undervaccination was observed in 1053 (33.0%) and 16,901 (21.3%) children of unmarried and married mothers, respectively. Maternal marital status was associated with a higher risk of childhood undervaccination (adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 1.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27 to 1.41). Compared with married and older mothers, both unmarried and older (aRR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.35 to 1.77) and unmarried and younger (aRR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.54 to 1.79) mothers were associated with a higher risk of childhood undervaccination. The causal mediation analysis showed that the proportion mediated by household income was 10.5% (95% CI, 9.9 to 11.0%). CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide, prospective, large-scale birth cohort study found that a household with a single mother was associated with an increased risk of childhood undervaccination, and 10% of this association was explained by household income. These findings underscore the importance of improving the social environment among single mother families, including not only poverty but also working conditions.
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Cohorte de Nacimiento , Madres , Niño , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Japón , Estudios ProspectivosRESUMEN
This study investigated the incidence and risk factors of perioperative clinical seizure and epilepsy in children after operation for CHD. We included 777 consecutive children who underwent operation from January 2013 to December 2016 at Kanagawa Children's Medical Center, Kanagawa, Japan. Perinatal, perioperative, and follow-up medical data were collected. Elastic net regression and mediation analysis were performed to investigate risk factors of perioperative clinical seizure and epilepsy. Anatomic CHD classification was performed based on the preoperative echocardiograms; cardiac surgery was evaluated using Risk Adjustment in Congenital Heart Surgery 1. Twenty-three (3.0%) and 15 (1.9%) patients experienced perioperative clinical seizure and epilepsy, respectively. Partial regression coefficient with epilepsy as the objective variable for anatomical CHD classification, Risk Adjustment in Congenital Heart Surgery 1, and the number of surgeries was 0.367, 0.014, and 0.142, respectively. The proportion of indirect effects on epilepsy via perioperative clinical seizure was 22.0, 21.0, and 33.0%, respectively. The 15 patients with epilepsy included eight cases with cerebral infarction, two cases with cerebral haemorrhage, and three cases with hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy; white matter integrity was not found. Anatomical complexity of CHD, high-risk cardiac surgery, and multiple cardiac surgeries were identified as potential risk factors for developing epilepsy, with a low rate of indirect involvement via perioperative clinical seizure and a high rate of direct involvement independently of perioperative clinical seizure. Unlike white matter integrity, stroke and hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy were identified as potential factors for developing epilepsy.
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Epilepsia , Cardiopatías Congénitas , Hipoxia-Isquemia Encefálica , Niño , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hipoxia-Isquemia Encefálica/complicaciones , Convulsiones/etiología , Convulsiones/complicaciones , Epilepsia/epidemiología , Epilepsia/cirugía , Epilepsia/etiología , Cardiopatías Congénitas/complicaciones , Cardiopatías Congénitas/cirugía , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: For suspected common bile duct stone (CBDS) missed on computed tomography (CT), there is no clear evidence on whether endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) or magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) is the better diagnostic tool. We aimed to compare the diagnostic accuracy of EUS and MRCP for cases of missed CBDS on CT. METHODS: Patients suspected of having CBDS were enrolled and randomly allocated to the EUS or MRCP group. Upon the initial examination, those having CBDS or sludge formation underwent endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), while those who were CBDS-negative underwent a second examination with either MRCP or EUS, which was distinct from the initial diagnostic procedure. The primary outcome was diagnostic accuracy, and the secondary outcomes were diagnostic ability, detection rate and characteristics of CBDS in the second examination, and the frequency of adverse events. RESULTS: Between April 2019 and January 2021, 50 patients were enrolled in the study. The accuracy was 92.3% for EUS and 68.4% for MRCP (P = 0.055). EUS showed 100% sensitivity, 88.2% specificity, 81.8% positive predictive value, and 100% negative predictive value, and MRCP showed 33.3% sensitivity, 84.6% specificity, 50% positive predictive value, and 73.3% negative predictive value. The CBDS detection rate in the second examination was 0% for MRCP after a negative EUS and 35.7% for EUS after a negative MRCP (P = 0.041). No adverse events occurred in any of the patients. CONCLUSIONS: Endoscopic ultrasound may be a superior diagnostic tool compared to MRCP for the detection of CBDS that are undetected on CT. (UMIN000036357).
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Coledocolitiasis , Cálculos Biliares , Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica/métodos , Pancreatocolangiografía por Resonancia Magnética/métodos , Conducto Colédoco , Endosonografía/métodos , Cálculos Biliares/diagnóstico por imagen , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos XRESUMEN
A binary classification problem is common in medical field, and we often use sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, negative and positive predictive values as measures of performance of a binary predictor. In computer science, a classifier is usually evaluated with precision (positive predictive value) and recall (sensitivity). As a single summary measure of a classifier's performance, F 1 score, defined as the harmonic mean of precision and recall, is widely used in the context of information retrieval and information extraction evaluation since it possesses favorable characteristics, especially when the prevalence is low. Some statistical methods for inference have been developed for the F 1 score in binary classification problems; however, they have not been extended to the problem of multi-class classification. There are three types of F 1 scores, and statistical properties of these F 1 scores have hardly ever been discussed. We propose methods based on the large sample multivariate central limit theorem for estimating F 1 scores with confidence intervals.
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BACKGROUND: Naples prognostic score (NPS) is a scoring system based on albumin, cholesterol concentration, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio reflecting host systemic inflammation, malnutrition, and survival for several malignancies. This study was designed to assess the prognostic significance of NPS in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and to compare its prognostic accuracy with that of other systemic inflammatory and nutritional index. METHODS: We retrospectively examined 165 patients with locally advanced ESCC who underwent neoadjuvant therapy followed by curative resection between January 2011 and September 2019. Patients were divided into three groups based on their NPS before neoadjuvant therapy (Group 0: NPS = 0; Group 1: NPS = 1-2; Group 2: NPS = 3-4). We compared the clinicopathological characteristics and survival rates among the groups. RESULTS: The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were significantly different between the groups (P < 0.001). The NPS was superior to other systemic inflammatory and nutritional index for predicting prognoses, as determined using area under the curves (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the NPS was a significant predictor of poor RFS (Group 1: hazard ratio [HR] 1.897, P = 0.049; Group 2: HR 3.979, P < 0.001) and OS (Group 1: HR 2.152, P = 0.033; Group 2: HR 3.239, P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: The present study demonstrated that NPS was an independent prognostic factor in patients with locally advanced ESCC and more reliable and accurate than the other systemic inflammatory and nutritional index.
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Neoplasias Esofágicas , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Esófago , Neoplasias Esofágicas/terapia , Humanos , Linfocitos , Pronóstico , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The lymph node (LN) ratio (LNR) and the log odds of positive LNs (LODDS) have been proposed as sensitive prognosticators in patients with primary gastric cancer, especially in patients with an insufficient number of harvested LNs. We investigated the association of LNR and LODDS with survival in patients with remnant gastric cancer (RGC) and explored whether these staging methods are prognostic factors in patients with an insufficient number of harvested LNs. METHODS: The present study retrospectively examined 95 patients with RGC who received gastrectomy between January 2000 and December 2018. The patients were classified according to the adjusted X-tile cutoff for LNR and LODDS. The association between survival rates and clinicopathological features was investigated. The predictive accuracy of the LNR and LODDS was compared with that of the Union for International Cancer Control pathological N factor. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis revealed that the LNR and LODDS were independent risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) [hazard ratio (HR) 2.623, p = 0.020; HR 3.404, p = 0.004, respectively] and overall survival (OS) (HR 3.694, p = 0.003; HR 2.895, p = 0.022, respectively) in patients with RGC. Moreover, even in patients with 15 or fewer harvested LNs, only the LNR was a significant independent risk factor for RFS (HR 21.890, p < 0.001) and OS (HR 6.597, p = 0.002). The receiver operating characteristic curves revealed that the prognostic accuracy of the three methods was comparable (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: LNR has significant prognostic value for patients with RGC, including those with an insufficient number of harvested LNs.
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Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Escisión del Ganglio Linfático , Ganglios Linfáticos/patología , Ganglios Linfáticos/cirugía , Metástasis Linfática , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Gástricas/patología , Neoplasias Gástricas/cirugíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Gastroesophageal reflux may exacerbate chronic lung disease in preterm infants. We evaluated the short-term effects of transpyloric feeding on respiratory status in preterm infants during mechanical ventilation. METHODS: We retrospectively collected data from the hospital information management system. To evaluate the effect of transpyloric feeding on oxygenation, we compared changes in SpO2/FiO2 ratios before and after commencing transpyloric feeding by a piecewise linear regression model. RESULTS: We examined 33 infants (median gestational age, 25.4 weeks; median birth weight, 656 g) who underwent transpyloric feeding. All tubes were placed at the bedside without fluoroscopy. No cases of unsuccessful placement, gastroduodenal perforation, or tracheal misinsertion occurred. Transpyloric feeding began at a median age of 18 (interquartile range, 15-23) days. Mean SpO2/FiO2 (±SD) ratios were 391 (±49), 371 (±51), 365 (±56), and 366 (±53) 72-96 h before, 0-24 h before, 48-72 h after, and 96-120 h after starting transpyloric feeding, respectively. The rate of change per hour of SpO2/FiO2 ratios increased 48-120 h after compared with 0-96 h before transpyloric feeding (0.03 [95% confidence interval, -0.10 to 0.17] vs. -0.29 [-0.47 to -0.12]) (p=0.007). No apparent changes occurred in the mean airway pressure, amplitude pressure, or pCO2. CONCLUSIONS: Transpyloric feeding during mechanical ventilation can prevent the deterioration of oxygenation without major complications at the stage of respiratory exacerbation in preterm infants.
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Nutrición Enteral , Reflujo Gastroesofágico , Hipoxia , Enfermedades del Prematuro , Enfermedades Pulmonares , Respiración Artificial , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Nutrición Enteral/efectos adversos , Nutrición Enteral/instrumentación , Nutrición Enteral/métodos , Femenino , Reflujo Gastroesofágico/complicaciones , Reflujo Gastroesofágico/terapia , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Hipoxia/diagnóstico , Hipoxia/etiología , Hipoxia/prevención & control , Recién Nacido , Recien Nacido Prematuro , Enfermedades del Prematuro/epidemiología , Enfermedades del Prematuro/fisiopatología , Enfermedades del Prematuro/terapia , Japón/epidemiología , Enfermedades Pulmonares/fisiopatología , Enfermedades Pulmonares/terapia , Masculino , Sistemas de Atención de Punto , Respiración Artificial/efectos adversos , Respiración Artificial/métodos , Ajuste de Riesgo/métodos , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: the prevalence of intracranial aneurysms and arachnoid cysts is higher in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) than in the general population. A genotype correlation was reported for intracranial aneurysms, but it is unclear for arachnoid cysts. Therefore, the genotype correlation with intracranial aneurysms and arachnoid cysts was investigated in ADPKD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: intracranial aneurysms and arachnoid cysts were screened by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and PKD genotypes were examined using next-generation sequencing for 169 patients with ADPKD. RESULTS: PKD1-, PKD2- and no-mutation were identified in 137, 24 and 8 patients, respectively. Intracranial aneurysms and arachnoid cysts were found in 34 and 25 patients, respectively, with no significant difference in frequency. Genotype, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate and age at ADPKD diagnosis significantly affected the age at brain MRI. The proportional hazard risk analyzed using the age at brain MRI adjusted by these four variables was 5.0-times higher in the PKD1 group than in the PKD2 group for arachnoid cysts (P = 0.0357), but it was not different for intracranial aneurysms (P = 0.1605). Arachnoid cysts were diagnosed earlier in the PKD1 group than in the PKD2 group (54.8 vs 67.7 years, P = 0.0231), but no difference was found for intracranial aneurysms (P = 0.4738) by Kaplan-Meier analysis. CONCLUSIONS: this study demonstrated the correlation between arachnoid cysts and PKD1 mutation. The reported association of arachnoid cysts with advanced renal disease may be due to the common correlation of these factors with PKD1 mutation.
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Quistes Aracnoideos/genética , Aneurisma Intracraneal/genética , Mutación , Riñón Poliquístico Autosómico Dominante/genética , Canales Catiónicos TRPP/genética , Adulto , Anciano , Quistes Aracnoideos/diagnóstico por imagen , Angiografía Cerebral , Análisis Mutacional de ADN , Femenino , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Secuenciación de Nucleótidos de Alto Rendimiento , Humanos , Aneurisma Intracraneal/diagnóstico por imagen , Angiografía por Resonancia Magnética , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Fenotipo , Riñón Poliquístico Autosómico Dominante/complicaciones , Riñón Poliquístico Autosómico Dominante/diagnóstico , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
ObjectivesãWe investigated the 5-year disease-related mortality risk, including that associated with neoplasms, mental/behavioral/neurodevelopmental disorders, and diseases of the circulatory system and respiratory system,in ambulatory frail Japanese older adults.MethodsãWe retrospectively analyzed long-term care and health insurance claims data in this cohort study performed between April 2012 and March 2017. The primary outcome was mortality, and the secondary outcome was care-need level decline. Risk factors were determined based on the International Statistical Classification of Disease and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision codes, hospitalization, and institutionalization. The study included 1,239 ambulatory frail older adults newly certified as needing Support-Level care at baseline (April 2012-March 2013) across three Japanese municipalities.ResultsãOf the 1,239 participants, 454 (36.6%) died. Neoplasms (hazard ratio [HR] 2.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.97-3.68) or respiratory system diseases (HR 1.62, 95%CI 1.26-2.08) were independently associated with mortality. Mental/behavioral/neurodevelopmental disorders (HR 1.39, 95%CI 1.17-1.66) or diseases of the respiratory system(HR 86, 95%CI 75-99) were independently associated with care-need level decline.ConclusionsãThis study suggests that neoplasms or respiratory system diseases were associated with a high mortality risk and that mental/behavioral/neurodevelopmental disorders were associated with care-need level decline among ambulatory frail older adults. Optimal disease management and effective long-term care are important to delay the onset of these events in older adults certified as needing Support-Level care.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Anciano Frágil/estadística & datos numéricos , Trastornos Mentales/mortalidad , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Enfermedades Respiratorias/mortalidad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Pueblo Asiatico , Femenino , Humanos , Japón , Masculino , Manejo de Atención al Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Riesgo , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Lymph node ratio (LNR), defined as the ratio of metastatic nodes to the total number of examined lymph nodes, has been proposed as a sensitive prognostic factor in patients with gastric cancer (GC). We investigate its association with survival in pathological stage (pStage) II/III GC and explore whether this is a prognostic factor in each Union for International Cancer Control pStage (7th edition). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively examined 838 patients with pStage II/III GC who underwent curative gastrectomy between June 2000 and December 2018. Patients were classified into low-LNR (L-LNR), middle-LNR (M-LNR), and high-LNR (H-LNR) groups according to adjusted X-tile cutoff values of 0.1 and 0.25 for LNR, and their clinicopathological characteristics and survival rates were compared. RESULTS: The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) rates postsurgery showed significant differences among the groups (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that LNR was a significant predictor of poor RFS [M-LNR: hazard ratio (HR) 3.128, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.254-4.342, P < 0.001; H-LNR: HR 5.148, 95% CI 3.546-7.474, P < 0.001] and OS (M-LNR: HR 2.749, 95% CI 2.038-3.708, P < 0.001; H-LNR: HR 4.654, 95% CI 3.288-6.588, P < 0.001). On subset analysis stratified by pStage, significant differences were observed between the groups in terms of the RFS curves of pStage II and III GC (P < 0.001 and < 0.001, respectively) and OS curves of pStage II and III GC (P = 0.001 and < 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: High LNR is a predictor of worse prognosis in pStage II/III GC, including each substage.