Comparison of Mini Nutritional Assessment Tool and Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index in Predicting 12-Y Mortality Among Community-Dwelling Older Persons.

BACKGROUND: Malnutrition is a common and dangerous condition in older adults, which has been associated with increased risk of mortality. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate and compare the abilities of Mini Nutritional Assessment short form (MNA-SF), MNA full form (MNA-FF), and geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) to predict all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality in community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: This research was an observational cohort study conducted in a community setting, with a 12-y follow-up involving 1001 community-living older adults aged 65 y or older who were enrolled in 2009 and followed up until 2021. Nutritional status assessment was carried out in 2009 using MNA-SF, MNA-FF, and GNRI. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was applied to determine adjusted hazard ratios of mortality with 95% CIs. RESULTS: A total of 368 deaths (36.76%) and 122 expanded CVD-related deaths (12.19%) were observed after a median follow-up of 12 y. Compared with normal nutritional status, poor nutritional status assessed by the MNA-SF, MNA-FF, and GNRI was found to be associated with an increased all-cause mortality in older persons. MNA-SF and MNA-FF, but not GNRI, were associated with expanded CVD-related mortality. The MNA-FF showed better discriminatory accuracy for all-cause (C-statistics: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.63, 0.79) and expanded CVD-related mortality (C-statistics: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.70, 0.83) than MNA-SF (C-statistics: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.73-0.79; and C-statistics: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.72-0.81, respectively) and GNRI (C-statistics: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.73-0.79; and C-statistics: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.72-0.80, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that MNA-SF, MNA-FF, and GNRI were all independent predictors of all-cause mortality. In particular, the MNA-FF may be the best nutritional assessment tool for predicting all-cause and CVD-related mortality among older persons residing in community, compared with MNA-SF and GNRI.

Association of time-varying sleep duration and cognitive function with mortality in the elderly: a 12-year community-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Sleeping problems and cognitive impairment are common in elders. Baseline sleep duration and cognitive status are predictors of mortality. But few studies have explored whether longitudinal changes in sleep duration and cognitive function are related to mortality in older adults. The present study investigated the time-varying relationships of sleep duration and cognitive function with subsequent mortality among community-dwelling elders by using 12 years of repeated-measure data. METHODS: Taichung Community Health Study for Elders (TCHS-E) is a retrospective, population-based cohort that started in 2009 (wave 1) with a total of 912 elders aged 65 years or above. Follow up was conducted in 2010 (wave 2), 2018 (wave 3), and 2020 (wave 4). Sleep duration and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) forms were executed at baseline and three visits during follow-up. Time-varying Cox proportional hazards regression estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: During about 12 years (9,396 person-years) follow-up, 329 deaths from all causes were documented, including 102 deaths due to expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD). In the multivariable-adjusted, time-varying Cox proportional hazard model, the adjusted HR values of all-cause mortality were 1.47 (1.02-2.12) for sleep duration > 9 h/day (vs. 7 h/day) and 1.81 (1.26-2.59) for MMSE < 27 (vs. 30). The adjusted HR values of the expanded CVD mortality were 2.91 (1.24-6.83) for MMSE of 29; 2.69 (1.20-6.05) for MMSE of 27-28; and 4.32 (95% CI: 1.92-9.74) for MMSE < 27. The dose-dependent relationship was significant (p < 0.001). The combinations of sleep duration longer than 9 h/day and MMSE < 27 were linked with the highest risks for expanded CVD and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Long sleep duration and low cognitive function were jointly and independently linked with higher risk of mortality in elders residing in community.

Sleep duration predicts subsequent long-term mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: a large single-center cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Sleep duration is associated with mortality. However, prior studies exploring whether sleep duration predicts subsequent long-term mortality in patients with diabetes are limited. This study aims to examine whether metabolic factors affect the associations between baseline sleep duration and subsequent risks of all-cause, expanded, and non-expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortalities among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: A total of 12,526 T2D patients aged 30 years and older, with a follow-up period ≥ 3 years, were identified from the Diabetes Case Management Program of a medical center in Taiwan. Sleep duration was measured using computerized questionnaires by case managers, and the time frame for this question was 1 month prior to the interview date. Sleep duration in relation to subsequent mortality from all causes, expanded CVD, and non-expanded CVD was examined using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Within 10 years of follow-up, 2918 deaths (1328 CVD deaths and 1590 non-CVD deaths) were recorded. A J-shaped association was observed for all-cause, expanded CVD, and non-expanded CVD mortalities, and the lowest risks were observed for patients with 5-7 h of sleep. The significant joint effects included sleep duration of more or less than 7 h with age ≥ 65 years [adjusted HRs: 4.00 (3.49-4.60)], diabetes duration ≥ 5 years [1.60 (1.40-1.84)], age at diabetes diagnosis ≤ 45 years [1.69 (1.38-2.07)], insulin use [1.76 (1.54-2.03)], systolic blood pressure/diastolic blood pressure > 130/85 mmHg [1.24 (1.07-1.43)], triglyceride ≥ 150 mg/dL [1.38 (1.22-1.56)], HbA1c ≥ 7% [1.31 (1.13-1.52)], and body mass index < 27 kg/m2 [1.31 (1.17-1.45)] for all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: A J-shaped association was observed between sleep duration and all-cause and expanded CVD mortality, and a sleep duration of 5-7 h had the lowest mortality risk. Sleep duration also showed significant synergistic interactions with diabetes duration but shared an antagonistic interaction with age and obesity.

Obesity marker trajectories and cognitive impairment in older adults: a 10-year follow-up in Taichung community health study for elders.

BACKGROUND: Obesity and cognitive impairment prevalence increases as age increases. Recent growing evidence finds links between obesity and cognitive impairment in older adults. However, the association between the two is controversial. This study aims to identify obesity marker trajectory patterns, and to assess whether these patterns are associated with cognitive impairment and cognitive decline during a 10-year follow-up period among community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: A total of 626 older adults aged 65 and older were involved in the study, with at least two repeated measurements at baseline, one-year or 10-year follow-up. Cognitive function was measured through the Mini Mental State Examination. Obesity markers included body mass index, waist circumference, waist-to-hip (WHR), fat mass (FM), and abdominal fat (AF) measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to estimate the adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of cognitive impairment and cognitive decline for obesity marker trajectory patterns. RESULTS: After a 10-year follow-up, 168 older adults with incident cognitive impairment and 156 with rapid cognitive decline were defined as the top 25th percentile of cognitive decline. Four distinct trajectory groups of obesity markers were identified. In multivariate logistic regression analyses, a low likelihood of cognitive impairment was observed in the consistently high-level group from FM trajectory (ORs = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.20-0.85); the high-level U-shaped group from WHR trajectory (0.43, 0.22-0.84); and the median-level flat inverse U-shaped, consistently high-level, and low-level flat U-shaped groups from AF trajectory (0.44, 0.26-0.77; 0.33, 0.18-0.61; 0.39, 0.18-0.82). In addition, a low likelihood of rapid decline was found in the low-level, slightly increasing trend group from WHR trajectory (0.43, 0.22-0.85). CONCLUSION: FM and AF trajectories with consistent high levels and WHR trajectory with high level with U-shaped group are associated with low risks of incident cognitive impairment in older adults. Similarly, WHR trajectory with a low but slowly increasing trend is associated with a decreased risk of cognitive decline.

Independent and joint associations of skeletal muscle mass and physical performance with all-cause mortality among older adults: a 12-year prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Decreased skeletal muscle mass and low physical performance are independently associated with increased mortality in elderly individuals. However, little is known about the effects of skeletal muscle mass combined with physical performance on the prediction of mortality risk among community-dwelling older adults. This study aimed to determine the combined effects of skeletal muscle mass and physical performance on total mortality. METHODS: A community-based prospective cohort study was conducted among 641 participants aged 65 and older in 2009. The height-adjusted skeletal muscle index (hSMI) and the weight-adjusted SMI (wSMI) were determined by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry examination. Physical performance tests measured at baseline included gait speed (GS), timed up-and-go (TUG) test, timed chair stand (TCS), weight-adjusted leg press (WaLP), and handgrip strength (HS). Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied to determine the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for baseline skeletal muscle mass, physical performance, and traditional risk factors. RESULTS: During the follow-up of 12 years, 198 (30.89%) participants died. Low hSMI, low GS, high TUG, high TCS, low WaLP, and low HS were associated with high risks of mortality after the adjustment for confounders. The results of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses revealed the values of ROC for models with additional consideration for TUG or all indicators significantly improved the discriminatory ability of mortality compared with the model with traditional factors (all P < 0.05). Elders with low hSMI and low GS (HRs = 4.33, 95% CI: 2.76-6.78), high TUG (4.11, 2.60-6.48), high TCS (2.97, 1.92-4.59), low WaLP (3.19, 2.13-4.79), and low HS (4.08, 2.70-6.17) were associated with high risks of mortality compared with those with high hSMI and their corresponding counterparts. CONCLUSION: The hSMI and physical performance are significantly associated with increased risks of all-cause mortality. The combined use of hSMI and physical performance can provide improved risk stratification, which may be appropriately used as a screening tool targeting high-risk elders for the effective prevention of sarcopenia-related mortality.

Effect of blood lipid variability on mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: a large single-center cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Dyslipidemia is a major cardiovascular risk factor and common in diabetes patients. Most guidelines focus on optimal lipid levels, while variation of lipid profiles is far less discussed. This study aims to investigate the association of visit-to-visit variability in blood lipids with all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We identified 10,583 type 2 diabetes patients aged ≥ 30 years with follow-up ≥ 3 years and who participated in the Diabetes Care Management Program at a medical center in Taiwan. Variability in lipid profiles within 3 years after entry was calculated using coefficient of variation. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate lipid variability in relation to subsequent mortality. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 6.4 years, 1838 all-cause deaths (809 cardiovascular deaths) were observed. For each 10% increase in variability in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and total cholesterol, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of all-cause mortality were 1.30 (1.22-1.37), 1.05 (1.01-1.09), and 1.10 (1.03-1.16), respectively; those of cardiovascular mortality were 1.27 (1.16-1.39), 1.08 (1.02-1.15), and 1.16 (1.07-1.27), respectively. Each 10% increase in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol variability conveyed 31% greater risk of non-cardiovascular mortality. High variability in total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol increased all-cause mortality in subgroups of nonsmoking, regular exercising, non-dyslipidemia, and more severe status of diabetes at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Blood lipid variability except for triglyceride variability was associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Association between glucose variation and lower extremity amputation incidence in individuals with type 2 diabetes: a nationwide retrospective cohort study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Elevated glucose level is one of the risk factors for lower extremity amputation (LEA), but whether glycaemic variability confers independent risks of LEA remains to be elucidated. This study aimed to investigate the association between visit-to-visit glycaemic variability and minor and major LEA risks during 8 years of follow-up in type 2 diabetic individuals aged 50 years and older. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 27,574 ethnic Chinese type 2 diabetic individuals aged ≥50 years from the National Diabetes Care Management Program in Taiwan. Glycaemic variability measures were presented as the CVs of fasting plasma glucose (FPG-CV) and of HbA1c (A1c-CV). The effect of glycaemic variability on the incidence of LEA events was analysed using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 8.9 years, 541 incident cases of LEA with a crude incidence density rate of 2.4 per 1000 person-years were observed. After multivariate adjustment, FPG-CV and A1c-CV were found to be significantly associated with minor LEA, with corresponding HRs of 1.53 (95% CI 1.15, 2.04) and 1.34 (95% CI 1.02, 1.77) for the third tertiles of FPG-CV and A1c-CV, respectively. In addition, these associations were stronger amongst older adults with longer diabetes duration (≥3 years) than amongst those with shorter duration (<3 years) (pinteraction < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our study suggests that visit-to-visit variations in HbA1c and FPG are important predictors of minor LEA amongst older adults with type 2 diabetes, particularly for those with more than 3 years of diabetes duration.

Multimorbidity, mortality, and HbA1c in type 2 diabetes: A cohort study with UK and Taiwanese cohorts.

BACKGROUND: There is emerging interest in multimorbidity in type 2 diabetes (T2D), which can be either concordant (T2D related) or discordant (unrelated), as a way of understanding the burden of disease in T2D. Current diabetes guidelines acknowledge the complex nature of multimorbidity, the management of which should be based on the patient's individual clinical needs and comorbidities. However, although associations between multimorbidity, glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), and mortality in people with T2D have been studied to some extent, significant gaps remain, particularly regarding different patterns of multimorbidity, including concordant and discordant conditions. This study explores associations between multimorbidity (total condition counts/concordant/discordant/different combinations of conditions), baseline HbA1c, and all-cause mortality in T2D. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We studied two longitudinal cohorts of people with T2D using the UK Biobank (n = 20,569) and the Taiwan National Diabetes Care Management Program (NDCMP) (n = 59,657). The number of conditions in addition to T2D was used to quantify total multimorbidity, concordant, and discordant counts, and the effects of different combinations of conditions were also studied. Outcomes of interest were baseline HbA1c and all-cause mortality. For the UK Biobank and Taiwan NDCMP, mean (SD) ages were 60.2 (6.8) years and 60.8 (11.3) years; 7,579 (36.8%) and 31,339 (52.5%) were female; body mass index (BMI) medians (IQR) were 30.8 (27.7, 34.8) kg/m2 and 25.6 (23.5, 28.7) kg/m2; and 2,197 (10.8%) and 9,423 (15.8) were current smokers, respectively. Increasing total and discordant multimorbidity counts were associated with lower HbA1c and increased mortality in both datasets. In Taiwan NDCMP, for those with four or more additional conditions compared with T2D only, the mean difference (95% CI) in HbA1c was -0.82% (-0.88, -0.76) p < 0.001. In UK Biobank, hazard ratios (HRs) (95% CI) for all-cause mortality in people with T2D and one, two, three, and four or more additional conditions compared with those without comorbidity were 1.20 (0.91-1.56) p < 0.001, 1.75 (1.35-2.27) p < 0.001, 2.17 (1.67-2.81) p < 0.001, and 3.14 (2.43-4.03) p < 0.001, respectively. Both concordant/discordant conditions were significantly associated with mortality; however, HRs were largest for concordant conditions. Those with four or more concordant conditions had >5 times the mortality (5.83 [4.28-7.93] p <0.001). HRs for NDCMP were similar to those from UK Biobank for all multimorbidity counts. For those with two conditions in addition to T2D, cardiovascular diseases featured in 18 of the top 20 combinations most highly associated with mortality in UK Biobank and 12 of the top combinations in the Taiwan NDCMP. In UK Biobank, a combination of coronary heart disease and heart failure in addition to T2D had the largest effect size on mortality, with a HR (95% CI) of 4.37 (3.59-5.32) p < 0.001, whereas in the Taiwan NDCMP, a combination of painful conditions and alcohol problems had the largest effect size on mortality, with an HR (95% CI) of 4.02 (3.08-5.23) p < 0.001. One limitation to note is that we were unable to model for changes in multimorbidity during our study period. CONCLUSIONS: Multimorbidity patterns associated with the highest mortality differed between UK Biobank (a population predominantly comprising people of European descent) and the Taiwan NDCMP, a predominantly ethnic Chinese population. Future research should explore the mechanisms underpinning the observed relationship between increasing multimorbidity count and reduced HbA1c alongside increased mortality in people with T2D and further examine the implications of different patterns of multimorbidity across different ethnic groups. Better understanding of these issues, especially effects of condition type, will enable more effective personalisation of care.

Fasting plasma glucose variability and HbA1c are associated with peripheral artery disease risk in type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated whether visit-to-visit fasting plasma glucose (FPG) variability, as measured by the coefficient of variation (CV), increased peripheral artery disease (PAD) risk. METHODS: Individuals with type 2 diabetes from the National Diabetes Care Management Program during the period 2002-2004, ≥ 30 years of age, and free of PAD (n = 30,932) were included and monitored until 2011. Cox proportional hazards regression models were implemented to analyze related determinants of PAD. RESULTS: A total of 894 incident cases of PAD were identified during an average 8.2 years of follow-up, resulting in a crude incidence rate of 3.53 per 1000 person-years. Both FPG-CV and HbA1c were significantly associated with PAD after multivariate adjustment, with corresponding hazard ratios of 1.24 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.47] for FPG-CV in the third tertile and 1.50 (95% CI 1.10-2.04) for HbA1c ≥ 10%. The findings of the sensitivity analysis remained consistent after excluding potential confounders, demonstrating the consistency of the results. CONCLUSIONS: The associations between HbA1c, variability in FPG-CV, and PAD suggest a linked pathophysiological mechanism, suggesting the crucial role of glycemic variability in clinical management and therapeutic goals in preventing PAD in type 2 diabetes.

Cognitive function and its transitions in predicting all-cause mortality among urban community-dwelling older adults.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment is accompanied with high rates of comorbid conditions, leading ultimately to death. Few studies examine the relation between cognitive transition and mortality, especially in Asian population. This study evaluated baseline cognition and cognitive transition in relation to all-cause mortality among community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: We conducted a community-based prospective cohort study among 921 participants of Taichung Community Health Study for Elders in 2009. Cognitive function was evaluated by the Mini-Mental State Examination. Cognitive impairment was considered if the total score is less than 27, 24, and 21 for a participant's educational level of more than 6 years, equal or less than 6 years, and illiteracy, respectively. One-year transition in cognitive function was obtained among 517 individuals who were assessed in both 2009 and 2010. Mortality was followed up until 2016. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to estimate the adjusted hazard ratios of mortality for baseline cognitive impairment and one-year transition in cognitive status. RESULTS: After a follow-up of 6.62 years, 160 deaths were recorded. The multivariate adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for baseline cognitive impairment was 2.08 (1.43, 3.01). Significantly increased mortality risk was observed for cognitively impaired-normal and impaired-impaired subgroups over 1 year as compared with those who remained normal [2.87 (1.25, 6.56) and 3.79 (1.64, 8.73), respectively]. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves demonstrated that baseline cognition and one-year cognitive transition had no differential predictive ability for mortality. Besides, there was an interaction of cognitive impairment and frailty, with an additive mortality risk [5.41 (3.14, 9.35)] for the elders who presented with both. CONCLUSION: Baseline cognitive impairment rather than one-year progression is associated with mortality in a six-year follow-up on older adults.

Independent associations of urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio and serum cystatin C with carotid intima-media thickness in community-living Taiwanese adults.

BACKGROUND: Renal function is a key factor of cardiovascular disease. Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) has been widely used as a marker of early subclinical atherosclerosis. The determinants of cystatin C, a novel marker of renal function, have not been extensively studied in the Asian population. This study aimed to assess the determinants of cystatin C and explore whether carotid thickening was associated with urinary albumin-creatinine ratio and cystatin C in community-living Taiwanese adults. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted on participants from Taichung City, Taiwan. All the participants underwent carotid ultrasonography. Carotid IMT-mean and IMT-maximum were derived. Kidney biomarkers were measured on the basis of urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) and cystatin C. Multiple linear regression analysis was used. RESULTS: A total of 1032 individuals were recruited, and 469 (45.44%) of them were men. An increased cystatin C level was significantly associated with older age, male gender, lack of physical activity, low HDL cholesterol, abdominal obesity, high hs-CRP, and high ACR. The multivariate-adjusted mean carotid IMT-mean and IMT-maximum values significantly increased by 80.49 and 195.23 µm for every one unit of increase in cystatin C level and by 0.07 and 0.14 µm for every one unit of increase in ACR, respectively (all p < 0.001 except ACR on IMT-maximum with p < 0.01). Lack of physical activity, low HDL, abdominal obesity, high hs-CRP, and high ACR were the determinants of cystatin C. CONCLUSION: Cystatin C and ACR were strongly and linearly associated with carotid thickening, a marker of subclinical atherosclerosis.

Frailty, transition in frailty status and all-cause mortality in older adults of a Taichung community-based population.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported the associations of frailty phenotype or its components with mortality. However, studies that explored the effects of transition in frailty status on mortality were far less in Asian or Chinese. The aim of this study was to evaluate baseline frailty status and one-year change of frailty status in relation to all-cause mortality in Taiwanese community-dwelling older adults who participated in the Taichung Community Health Study for Elders. METHODS: We conducted a community-based prospective cohort study. A total of 921 community-dwelling elderly men and women aged 65-99 years in Taichung City were enrolled in 2009-2010 and were followed up through 2016. We adopted the definition of frailty proposed by Fried et al., including five components: shrinking, weakness, poor endurance and energy, slowness, and low physical activity. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for frailty at baseline and one-year change in frailty status. RESULTS: There were 160 deaths during the follow-up period. The mortality rates in groups of robust and frail were 20.26 and 84.66 per 1000 person-years respectively. After multivariate adjustment, the HR (CIs) for baseline frailty was 2.67 (1.73-4.12). Poor endurance and energy [1.88 (1.03-3.42)], slowness [2.60 (1.76-3.83)] and weakness [1.65 (1.16-2.33)] were found to be predictors of mortality. Increased risks in mortality for subgroups of robust-to-frail [2.76 (1.22-6.27)], frail-to-robust [3.87 (1.63, 9.19)], and frail-to-frail [4.08 (1.92-8.66)] over one-year period were observed compared with those remaining robust. CONCLUSION: Baseline frailty status and one-year change in frailty status are associated with 6-year all-cause mortality among Taiwanese elderly adults. Frailty may be useful for identifying older adults at high risks for mortality prevention.

Association of carotid atherosclerosis markers with all-cause and cardiovascular disease-specific mortality in persons with type 2 diabetes: a causal mediation analysis with glucose variation.

AIMS: Glucose variation (GV) is independently associated with mortality in patients with diabetes. However, no study has examined the effects of carotid atherosclerosis markers on mortality after considering GV. Our purpose is to investigate the independent effects of carotid atherosclerosis markers in persons with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) after considering GV and the mediation effects of carotid atherosclerosis markers on associations between GV with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study is a retrospective cohort study including 3628 persons with T2DM who were admitted to a medical center between January 01, 2001 and October 31, 2021. GV was defined as a coefficient of variation (CV) of repeated measurements within a year before the index date (date of first IMT assessment). Carotid atherosclerosis markers included intima-media thickness (IMT), plaque, and stenosis. The outcomes consisted of all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were applied. RESULTS: Among the participants, 286 (7.9%) had IMT ≥ 2 mm, 2834 (78.1%) had carotid plaque, and 464 (12.8%) had carotid stenosis ≥ 50%. When GV was considered, IMT, carotid plaque, and carotid stenosis were significant factors for all-cause mortality (except IMT considering HbA1c-CV) and expanded CVD mortality. IMT was a significant mediator in the associations of fasting plasma glucose (FPG)-CV with all-cause and expanded CVD mortality (2 and 3.19%, respectively), and carotid stenosis was a significant mediator in the association between FPG-CV and expanded CVD mortality (3.83%). CONCLUSIONS: Our statistical evaluations show suggests that carotid atherosclerosis markers are important predictors of CVD mortality in persons with T2DM if GV is considered. In addition, IMT and carotid stenosis were significant mediators in the association between GV and mortality.

Association of echocardiographic parameters with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate associations between echocardiography markers and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: Diabetes Care Management Program database of a medical center was used, including 5612 patients with T2DM aged 30 years and older and who underwent echocardiography assessment between 2001 and 2021. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to evaluate associations of echocardiography abnormalities with all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 5.8 years, 1273 patients died. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of all-cause mortality for each standard deviation increase were presented for the cardiac systolic function indicator of left ventricular ejection fraction (0.77, 0.73-0.81), cardiac structural parameters of left ventricular mass index (1.25, 1.19-1.31) and left atrial volume index (1.31, 1.25-1.37), and cardiac diastolic function of E/A ratio (1.10, 1.07-1.13), E/e' ratio (1.37, 1.30-1.45), and TR velocity (1.25, 1.18-1.32); meanwhile, the values of expanded CVD mortality included left ventricular ejection fraction (0.67, 0.62-0.72), left ventricular mass index (1.35, 1.25-1.45), left atrial volume index (1.40, 1.31-1.50), E/A ratio (1.12, 1.08-1.16), E/e' ratio (1.57, 1.46-1.69), and TR velocity (1.29, 1.19-1.39), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac systolic function indicator of left ventricular ejection fraction, cardiac structural parameters of left ventricular mass index and left atrial volume index, and cardiac diastolic function indicators of E/A ratio, E/e' ratio, and TR velocity are associated with all-cause and expanded CVD mortality in patients with T2DM.

Association of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and diabetic nephropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes: a Mendelian randomization study.

INTRODUCTION: Observational studies support the relationship between C-reactive protein (CRP) level and diabetic nephropathy (DN) in patients with diabetes. The research question regarding whether the relationship between serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) level and DN is causal lacks experimental evidence. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the causality between hsCRP and DN based on Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 2332 participants with type 2 diabetes from the Taiwan Biobank database was analyzed. Genetic risk scores (GRSs), which comprise four validated CRP loci as two instrumental variables, were calculated as unweighted and weighted scores to evaluate the causal relationship of hsCRP with DN risk. The two-stage regression model was used to estimate OR and 95% CI. RESULTS: The analyses of the observational study showed that the hsCRP level was significantly associated with DN after multivariate adjustment (adjusted OR 1.15; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.32). Unweighted/weighted GRSs for log-transformed hsCRP satisfied MR assumptions 1 and 3, respectively; that is, a significant association with hsCRP was observed but that with DN was absent (adjusted OR 1.00, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.09; 1.00, 0.72 to 1.39, respectively). The MR analyses demonstrated that a 1-unit increase in the log-transformed genetically predicted hsCRP by unweighted and weighted GRSs was associated with DN, demonstrating ORs of 1.80 (95% CI 1.51 to 2.14) and 1.67 (95% CI 1.40 to 1.98), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The current study provided experimental evidence that hsCRP level was causally related to DN. These findings suggest that the elevated hsCRP may be a causal risk factor for DN in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Three-year trajectories of sleep duration and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes-a hospital-based retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Most studies have shown that a single item of self-reported sleep duration is related to mortality risk. However, the long-term effect of sleep duration on mortality remains unclear in patients with diabetes. This study aimed to examine the associations of 3-year trajectory patterns of sleep duration with all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Patients with type 2 diabetes and self-reported sleep duration during a 3-year interval were included. Expanded cardiovascular disease was defined as death due to cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and kidney diseases. Cox's proportional hazards models were employed to examine the associations between sleep duration patterns and mortality after controlling for sociodemographic factors, lifestyle behaviors, diabetes-related variables, diabetic complications, and medication use. RESULTS: A total of 7591 patients were included for analysis, and 995 deaths (13.11%) and 424 expanded cardiovascular disease deaths (5.59%) were observed during a mean follow-up of 8.51 years. Five trajectory patterns of sleep duration were identified: cluster 1: "constant 7- to 8-hour group" (50.03%); cluster 2: "constant low group" (19.68%); cluster 3: "high with decreasing trend group" (3.08%); cluster 4: "low with fluctuation group" (1.28%); and cluster 5: "constant high group" (25.93%). Compared with cluster 1, clusters 3 and 4 were associated with increased risks of all-cause mortality (1.41, 1.08-1.84; 1.44, 1.01-2.05), and cluster 5 was associated with high risks of all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease mortality (1.26, 1.08-1.46; 1.42, 1.12-1.79). CONCLUSIONS: Sleep duration trajectories with constant high or unstable patterns may be associated with higher mortality.

Association of body indices and risk of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

INTRODUCTION: A body shape index (ABSI) is independently associated with mortality in general population, but studies on the predictability of ABSI in the risk of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) are limited. We aimed to examine the independent and joint association of ABSI, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), and body roundness index (BRI) with mortality in patients with T2D. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The study included 11 872 patients (46.5% women) aged 30 years and older and who took part in diabetes care management program of a medical center in Taiwan. Body indices were evaluated by anthropometric measurements at baseline between 2001 and 2016, and their death status was followed up through 2021. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to assess the effect of body indices on mortality. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 10.2 years, 560 cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths and 3043 deaths were recorded. For ABSI, WC, WHR, WHtR and BRI, all-cause mortality rates were statistically significantly greater in Q4 versus Q2. For BMI and WHtR, all-cause mortality rates were also statistically significantly greater in Q1 versus Q2. The combination of BMI and ABSI exhibited a superiority in identifying risks of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality (HRs: 1.45 and 1.37, both p<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Combined use of ABSI and BMI can contribute to the significant explanation of the variation in death risk in comparison with the independent use of BMI or other indices.

Prediction of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality using ankle-brachial index and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Ankle-brachial index (ABI) and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) are used as non-invasive indicators for detecting atherosclerosis and arterial stiffness, two well-known predictors of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). ABI and baPWV have independent associations with mortality; however, their joint and interactive effects on mortality have not been assessed in patients with T2DM. This work aims to evaluate the independent, joint, and interactive associations of ABI and baPWV with all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in patients with T2DM. This observational study included 2160 patients with T2DM enlisted in the Diabetes Care Management Program database of China Medical University Hospital from 2001 to 2016 and then followed their death status until August 2021. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the independent, joint, and interactive effects of ABI and baPWV on the risk of all-cause and expanded CVD mortality. A total of 474 patient deaths occurred after a mean follow-up of 8.4 years, and 268 of which were attributed to cardiovascular events. Abnormal ABI (≤ 0.9) and highest baPWV quartile were independently associated with increased risks of all-cause [ABI: hazard ratio (HR) 1.67, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.30-2.11; baPWV: 1.63, 1.16-2.27] and expanded CVD mortality (ABI: 2.21, 1.62-3.02; baPWV: 1.75, 1.09-2.83). The combination of abnormal ABI (≤ 0.9) and highest baPWV quartile was associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause (4.51, 2.50-8.11) and expanded CVD mortality (9.74, 4.21-22.51) compared with that of the combination of normal ABI and lowest baPWV quartile. Significant interactions were observed between ABI and baPWV in relation to all-cause and expand CVD mortality (both p for interaction < 0.001). Through their independent, joint, and interactive effects, ABI and baPWV are significant parameters that can improve the prediction of all-cause and expanded CVD mortality in patients with T2DM and help identify high-risk patients who may benefit from diabetes care.

Effect of blood pressure trajectory and variability on new-onset chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes.

This study aimed to evaluate the effects of BP trajectory and variability on chronic kidney disease (CKD) incidence in patients with type 2 diabetes. This retrospective longitudinal study included 4,560 participants with type 2 diabetes, aged ≥30 years, free of CKD, with ≥3 years of follow-up, and who attended the Diabetes Care Management Program in 2001-2013. The follow-up period ended in 2016. The adverse outcome was a new-onset CKD event, which was determined using eGFR and albuminuria. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the associations. At the end of the follow-up, 1255 participants had developed CKD, with a mean follow-up of 4.3 ± 3.2 years. Three trajectory subgroups of BP, i.e., Cluster 1: "moderate-stable" for SBP and "moderate-downward" for DBP, Cluster 2: "low-upward-downward" for both SBP and DBP, and Cluster 3: "high-downward-upward" for both SBP and DBP, were generated. The BP variability was grouped into three classes on the basis of tertiles. For the BP trajectory, patients in Cluster 3 of DBP had a higher CKD risk than those in Cluster 1 (HR = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.03-1.50). For the BP variability, patients in Tertile 3 had a significantly higher CKD risk than those in Tertile 1 (SBP: 1.28, 1.11-1.47; DBP: 1.17, 1.02-1.34). Persons with type 2 diabetes who achieved a small reduction in DBP after participating in the education program but rebounded and those who had the highest variation in both SBP and DBP faced the highest increase in CKD risk.

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for chronic kidney disease among individuals with type 2 diabetes.

Many studies had established the chronic kidney disease (CKD) prediction models, but most of them were conducted on the general population and not on patients with type 2 diabetes, especially in Asian populations. This study aimed to develop a risk prediction model for CKD in patients with type 2 diabetes from the Diabetes Care Management Program (DCMP) in Taiwan. This research was a retrospective cohort study. We used the DCMP database to set up a cohort of 4,601 patients with type 2 diabetes without CKD aged 40-92 years enrolled in the DCMP program of a Taichung medical center in 2002-2016. All patients were followed up until incidences of CKD, death, and loss to follow-up or 2016. The dataset for participants of national DCMP in 2002-2004 was used as external validation. The incident CKD cases were defined as having one of the following three conditions: ACR data greater than or equal to 300 (mg/g); both eGFR data less than 60 (ml/min/1.73 m2) and ACR data greater than or equal to 30 (mg/g); and eGFR data less than 45 (ml/min/1.73 m2). The study subjects were randomly allocated to derivation and validation sets at a 2:1 ratio. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify the risk factors of CKD in the derivation set. Time-varying area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the performance of the risk model. After an average of 3.8 years of follow-up period, 3,067 study subjects were included in the derivation set, and 786 (25.63%) were newly diagnosed CKD cases. A total of 1,534 participants were designated to the validation set, and 378 (24.64%) were newly diagnosed CKD cases. The final CKD risk factors consisted of age, duration of diabetes, insulin use, estimated glomerular filtration rate, albumin-to-creatinine ratio, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride, diabetes retinopathy, variation in HbA1c, variation in FPG, and hypertension drug use. The AUC values of 1-, 3-, and 5-year CKD risks were 0.74, 0.76, and 0.77 in the validation set, respectively, and were 0.76, 0.77, and 0.76 in the sample for external validation, respectively. The value of Harrell's c-statistics was 0.76 (0.74, 0.78). The proposed model is the first CKD risk prediction model for type 2 diabetes patients in Taiwan. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year CKD risk prediction models showed good prediction accuracy. The model can be used as a guide for clinicians to develop medical plans for future CKD preventive intervention in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes.