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BACKGROUND: Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a highly malignant and easily metastatic bile duct tumor with poor prognosis. We aimed at studying the associated risk factors affecting distal metastasis of CCA and using nomogram to guide clinicians in predicting distal metastasis of CCA. METHODS: Based on inclusion and exclusion criteria, 345 patients with CCA were selected from the Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital and were divided into distal metastases (N = 21) and non-distal metastases (N = 324). LASSO regression models were used to screen for relevant parameters and to compare basic clinical information between the two groups of patients. Risk factors for distal metastasis were identified based on the results of univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. The nomogram was established based on the results of multivariate logistic regression, and we drawn the corresponding correlation heat map. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration plots. The utility of the model in clinical applications was illustrated by applying decision curve analysis (DCA), and overall survival(OS) analysis was performed using the method of Kaplan-meier. RESULTS: This study identified 4 independent risk factors for distal metastasis of CCA, including CA199, cholesterol, hypertension and margin invasion, and developed the nomogram based on this. The result of validation showed that the model had significant accuracy for diagnosis with the area under ROC (AUC) of 0.882 (95% CI: 0.843-0.914). Calibration plots and DCA showed that the model had high clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: This study established and validated a model of nomogram for predicting distal metastasis in patients with CCA. Based on this, it could guide clinicians to make better decisions and provide more accurate prognosis and treatment for patients with CCA.
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Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Humanos , Modelos Estadísticos , Pronóstico , Conductos Biliares IntrahepáticosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is critical for the treatment regimen and prognosis. We aim to develop and validate machine learning (ML)-based predictive models for LNM in patients with ICC. METHODS: A total of 345 patients with clinicopathological characteristics confirmed ICC from Jan 2007 to Jan 2019 were enrolled. The predictors of LNM were identified by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic analysis. The selected variables were used for developing prediction models for LNM by six ML algorithms, including Logistic regression (LR), Gradient boosting machine (GBM), Extreme gradient boosting (XGB), Random Forest (RF), Decision tree (DT), Multilayer perceptron (MLP). We applied 10-fold cross validation as internal validation and calculated the average of the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to measure the performance of all models. A feature selection approach was applied to identify importance of predictors in each model. The heat map was used to investigate the correlation of features. Finally, we established a web calculator using the best-performing model. RESULTS: In multivariate logistic regression analysis, factors including alcoholic liver disease (ALD), smoking, boundary, diameter, and white blood cell (WBC) were identified as independent predictors for LNM in patients with ICC. In internal validation, the average values of AUC of six models ranged from 0.820 to 0.908. The XGB model was identified as the best model, the average AUC was 0.908. Finally, we established a web calculator by XGB model, which was useful for clinicians to calculate the likelihood of LNM. CONCLUSION: The proposed ML-based predicted models had a good performance to predict LNM of patients with ICC. XGB performed best. A web calculator based on the ML algorithm showed promise in assisting clinicians to predict LNM and developed individualized medical plans.
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Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Humanos , Metástasis Linfática , Modelos Estadísticos , Pronóstico , Aprendizaje Automático , Conductos Biliares IntrahepáticosRESUMEN
PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model for predicting the risk of new osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF) in patients who underwent percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP) and to create a user-friendly web-based calculator for clinical use. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients undergoing percutaneous vertebroplasty: A retrospective analysis of patients treated with PVP between June 2016 and June 2018 at Liuzhou People's Hospital was performed. The independent variables of the model were screened using Boruta and modelled using 9 algorithms. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC_AUC), and clinical utility was assessed by clinical decision curve analysis (DCA). The best models were analysed for interpretability using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and the models were deployed visually using a web calculator. RESULTS: Training and test groups were split using time. The SVM model performed best in both the training group tenfold cross-validation (CV) and validation group AUC, with an AUC of 0.77. DCA showed that the model was beneficial to patients in both the training and test sets. A network calculator developed based on the SHAP-based SVM model can be used for clinical risk assessment ( https://nicolazhang.shinyapps.io/refracture_shap/ ). CONCLUSIONS: The SVM-based ML model was effective in predicting the risk of new-onset OVCF after PVP, and the network calculator provides a practical tool for clinical decision-making. This study contributes to personalised care in spinal surgery.
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Aprendizaje Automático , Fracturas Osteoporóticas , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral , Vertebroplastia , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Fracturas Osteoporóticas/cirugía , Fracturas Osteoporóticas/etiología , Fracturas Osteoporóticas/diagnóstico , Femenino , Anciano , Masculino , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral/cirugía , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral/etiología , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral/diagnóstico , Medición de Riesgo , Vertebroplastia/métodos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Internet , Fracturas por Compresión/cirugía , Fracturas por Compresión/etiología , Anciano de 80 o más AñosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Heart failure (HF) imposes significant global health costs due to its high incidence, readmission, and mortality rate. Accurate assessment of readmission risk and precise interventions have become important measures to improve health for patients with HF. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict 30-day unplanned readmissions in older patients with HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study collected data on hospitalized older patients with HF from the medical data platform of Chongqing Medical University from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2021. A total of 5 candidate algorithms were selected from 15 ML algorithms with excellent performance, which was evaluated by area under the operating characteristic curve (AUC) and accuracy. Then, the 5 candidate algorithms were hyperparameter tuned by 5-fold cross-validation grid search, and performance was evaluated by AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and recall. Finally, an optimal ML model was constructed, and the predictive results were explained using the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework. A total of 14,843 older patients with HF were consecutively enrolled. CatBoost model was selected as the best prediction model, and AUC was 0.732, with 0.712 accuracy, 0.619 sensitivity, and 0.722 specificity. NT.proBNP, length of stay (LOS), triglycerides, blood phosphorus, blood potassium, and lactate dehydrogenase had the greatest effect on 30-day unplanned readmission in older patients with HF, according to SHAP results. CONCLUSIONS: The study developed a CatBoost model to predict the risk of unplanned 30-day special-cause readmission in older patients with HF, which showed more significant performance compared with the traditional logistic regression model.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Readmisión del Paciente , Humanos , Anciano , Estudios Retrospectivos , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/terapia , Tiempo de Internación , Modelos LogísticosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Established prediction models of Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) are limited to the analysis of clinical research data or general population data and do not consider hospital visits. Construct a 3-year diabetic kidney disease risk prediction model in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) using machine learning, based on electronic medical records (EMR). METHODS: Data from 816 patients (585 males) with T2DM and 3 years of follow-up at the PLA General Hospital. 46 medical characteristics that are readily available from EMR were used to develop prediction models based on seven machine learning algorithms (light gradient boosting machine [LightGBM], eXtreme gradient boosting, adaptive boosting, artificial neural network, decision tree, support vector machine, logistic regression). Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) was used to interpret the results of the best performing model. RESULTS: The LightGBM model had the highest AUC (0.815, 95% CI 0.747-0.882). Recursive feature elimination with random forest and SHAP plot based on LightGBM showed that older patients with T2DM with high homocysteine (Hcy), poor glycemic control, low serum albumin (ALB), low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and high bicarbonate had an increased risk of developing DKD over the next 3 years. CONCLUSIONS: This study constructed a 3-year DKD risk prediction model in patients with T2DM and normo-albuminuria using machine learning and EMR. The LightGBM model is a tool with potential to facilitate population management strategies for T2DM care in the EMR era.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Nefropatías Diabéticas , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Nefropatías Diabéticas/epidemiología , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Aprendizaje Automático , MasculinoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to establish and validate a clinical prediction model for assessing the risk of metastasis and patient survival in Ewing's sarcoma (ES). METHODS: Patients diagnosed with ES from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database for the period 2010-2016 were extracted, and the data after exclusion of vacant terms was used as the training set (n=767). Prediction models predicting patients' overall survival (OS) at 1 and 3 years were created by cox regression analysis and visualized using Nomogram and web calculator. Multicenter data from four medical institutions were used as the validation set (n=51), and the model consistency was verified using calibration plots, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) verified the predictive ability of the model. Finally, a clinical decision curve was used to demonstrate the clinical utility of the model. RESULTS: The results of multivariate cox regression showed that age, , bone metastasis, tumor size, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors of ES patients. Internal and external validation results: calibration plots showed that the model had a good agreement for patient survival at 1 and 3 years; ROC showed that it possessed a good predictive ability and clinical decision curve proved that it possessed good clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: The tool built in this paper to predict 1- and 3-year survival in ES patients ( https://drwenleli0910.shinyapps.io/EwingApp/ ) has a good identification and predictive power.
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Sarcoma de Ewing , Humanos , Modelos Estadísticos , Nomogramas , Pronóstico , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Retrospectivos , Programa de VERF , Sarcoma de Ewing/diagnósticoRESUMEN
PURPOSE: The aim of this work was to investigate the risk factors for cement leakage and new-onset OVCF after Percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP) and to develop and validate a clinical prediction model (Nomogram). METHODS: Patients with Osteoporotic VCF (OVCF) treated with PVP at Liuzhou People's Hospital from June 2016 to June 2018 were reviewed and met the inclusion criteria. Relevant data affecting bone cement leakage and new onset of OVCF were collected. Predictors were screened using univariate and multi-factor logistic analysis to construct Nomogram and web calculators. The consistency of the prediction models was assessed using calibration plots, and their predictive power was assessed by tenfold cross-validation. Clinical value was assessed using Decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact plots. RESULTS: Higher BMI was associated with lower bone mineral density (BMD). Higher BMI, lower BMD, multiple vertebral fractures, no previous anti-osteoporosis treatment, and steroid use were independent risk factors for new vertebral fractures. Cement injection volume, time to surgery, and multiple vertebral fractures were risk factors for cement leakage after PVP. The development and validation of the Nomogram also demonstrated the predictive ability and clinical value of the model. CONCLUSIONS: The established Nomogram and web calculator (https://dr-lee.shinyapps.io/RefractureApp/) (https://dr-lee.shinyapps.io/LeakageApp/) can effectively predict the occurrence of cement leakage and new OVCF after PVP.
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Fracturas por Compresión , Fracturas Osteoporóticas , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral , Vertebroplastia , Cementos para Huesos/efectos adversos , Fracturas por Compresión/epidemiología , Fracturas por Compresión/cirugía , Humanos , Modelos Estadísticos , Nomogramas , Fracturas Osteoporóticas/epidemiología , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral/etiología , Resultado del Tratamiento , Vertebroplastia/efectos adversosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The prognosis of lung metastasis (LM) in patients with chondrosarcoma was poor. The aim of this study was to construct a prognostic nomogram to predict the risk of LM, which was imperative and helpful for clinical diagnosis and treatment. METHODS: Data of all chondrosarcoma patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 was queried from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. In this retrospective study, a total of 944 patients were enrolled and randomly splitting into training sets (n = 644) and validation cohorts(n = 280) at a ratio of 7:3. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the prognostic nomogram. The predictive ability of the nomogram model was assessed by calibration plots and receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) curve, while decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) were applied to measure predictive accuracy and clinical practice. Moreover, the nomogram was validated by the internal cohort. RESULTS: Five independent risk factors including age, sex, marital, tumor size, and lymph node involvement were identified by univariate and multivariable logistic regression. Calibration plots indicated great discrimination power of nomogram, while DCA and CIC presented that the nomogram had great clinical utility. In addition, receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) curve provided a predictive ability in the training sets (AUC = 0.789, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.789-0.808) and the validation cohorts (AUC = 0.796, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.744-0.841). CONCLUSION: In our study, the nomogram accurately predicted risk factors of LM in patients with chondrosarcoma, which may guide surgeons and oncologists to optimize individual treatment and make a better clinical decisions. TRIAL REGISTRATION: JOSR-D-20-02045, 29 Dec 2020.
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Neoplasias Óseas , Condrosarcoma , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Neoplasias Óseas/epidemiología , Condrosarcoma/diagnóstico , Condrosarcoma/epidemiología , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Programa de VERFRESUMEN
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a severe global health problem. There is increasing evidence for the important roles of long noncoding RNAs in tumorigenesis and metastasis in HCC. In this study, we identified and characterized a novel long noncoding RNA, LINC02580, involved in HCC. LINC02580 was highly downregulated in HCC cohorts and was identified as a tumor suppressor. Low LINC02580 expression in patients with HCC was correlated with poor prognosis. Functional assays indicated that LINC02580-deficient cells show enhanced colony formation, migration, and invasion in vitro and promote subcutaneous tumor formation and distant lung metastasis in vivo. With respect to the underlying mechanism, we found that LINC02580 modulates the epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) associated pathway in HCC cells by specifically binding to serine and arginine-rich splicing factor 1 (SRSF1). In summary, our findings illustrated that LINC02580 is a metastasis-suppressing lncRNA in HCC, and provided vital clues of how LINC02580 performs its biological functions. Further, this lncRNA may be a potential target in the prognosis and treatment of HCC.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular/metabolismo , Transición Epitelial-Mesenquimal/genética , Neoplasias Hepáticas/metabolismo , Neoplasias Pulmonares/metabolismo , ARN Largo no Codificante/metabolismo , Factores de Empalme Serina-Arginina/metabolismo , Animales , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/genética , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/mortalidad , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Línea Celular Tumoral , Movimiento Celular/genética , Proliferación Celular/genética , Regulación hacia Abajo , Regulación Neoplásica de la Expresión Génica/genética , Humanos , Hibridación Fluorescente in Situ , Neoplasias Hepáticas/genética , Neoplasias Hepáticas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/genética , Neoplasias Pulmonares/secundario , Masculino , Ratones , Ratones Endogámicos BALB C , Ratones Desnudos , Pronóstico , ARN Largo no Codificante/genética , ARN Interferente Pequeño , Factores de Empalme Serina-Arginina/genética , Ensayos Antitumor por Modelo de XenoinjertoRESUMEN
Background: Both HIV and TB are chronic infectious diseases requiring long-term treatment and follow-up, resulting in extensive electronic medical records. With the exponential growth of health and medical big data, effectively extracting and analyzing these data has become the research hotspot. As a fundamental aspect of artificial intelligence, machine learning has been extensively applied in medical research, encompassing diagnosis, treatment, patient monitoring, drug development, and epidemiological investigations. This significantly enhances medical information systems and facilitates the interoperability of medical data. Methods: In our study, we analyzed longitudinal data from the electronic health records of 4540 patients, gathered from the National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases in Shenzhen, China, spanning from 2017 to 2021. Initially, we employed the fine-tuned ChatGLM to structure the electronic medical records. Subsequently, we utilized a multi-layer perceptron to classify each patient and determined the presence of tuberculosis in HIV patients. Using machine learning-based natural language processing, we structured these records to build a specialized database for HIV and TB co-infection. We studied the epidemiological characteristics, focusing on incidence patterns, patient characteristics, and influencing factors, to uncover the transmission characteristics of these diseases in Shenzhen. Additionally, we used Long Short-Term Memory to create a predictive model for TB co-infection among HIV patients, based on their medical records. This model predicted the risk of TB co-infection, providing scientific evidence for clinical decision-making and enabling early detection and precise intervention. Results: Based on the refined ChatGLM model tailored for structured electronic health records, the accuracy of symptom extraction consistently surpassed 0.95 precision. Key symptoms such as diarrhea and normal showed precision rates exceeding 0.90. High scores were also achieved in recall and F1 scores. Among 4540 HIV patients, 758 were diagnosed with concurrent tuberculosis, indicating a 16.7% co-infection rate, while syphilis co-infection affected 25.1%, underscoring the prevalence of concurrent infections among HIV patients. Utilizing electronic health records, a Multilayer Perceptron classifier was developed as a benchmark against Long Short-Term Memory to predict high-risk groups for HIV and tuberculosis co-infections. The Multilayer Perceptron classifier demonstrated predictive ability with AUROC values ranging from 0.616 to 0.682 on the test set, suggesting opportunities for further optimization and generalization despite its accuracy in identifying HIV-TB co-infections. In tuberculosis intelligent diagnosis based on laboratory results, the Long Short-Term Memory showed consistent performance across 5-fold cross-validation, with AUROC values ranging from 0.827 to 0.850, indicating reliability and consistency in tuberculosis prediction. Furthermore, by optimizing classification thresholds, the model achieved an overall accuracy of 81.18% in distinguishing HIV co-infected tuberculosis from simple HIV infection. Conclusion: Combining the Multilayer Perceptron classifier with Long Short-Term Memory represented an advanced approach for effectively extracting electronic health records and utilizing it for disease prediction. This underscored the superior performance of deep learning techniques in managing both structured and unstructured medical data. Models leveraging laboratory time-series data demonstrated notably better performance compared to those relying solely on electronic health records for predicting tuberculosis incidence. This emphasized the benefits of deep learning in handling intricate medical data and provided valuable insights for healthcare providers exploring the use of deep learning in disease prediction and management.
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BACKGROUND: Large language model (LLM)-powered chatbots have become increasingly prevalent in healthcare, while their capacity in oncology remains largely unknown. To evaluate the performance of LLM-powered chatbots compared to oncology physicians in addressing to colorectal cancer queries. METHODS: This study was conducted between August 13, 2023, and January 5, 2024. A total of 150 questions were designed, and each question was submitted three times to eight chatbots: ChatGPT-3.5, ChatGPT-4, ChatGPT-4 Turbo, Doctor GPT, Llama-2-70B, Mixtral-8x7B, Bard, and Claude 2.1. No feedback was provided to these chatbots. The questions were also answered by nine oncology physicians, including three residents, three fellows, and three attendings. Each answer was scored based on its consistency with guidelines, with a score of 1 for consistent answers and 0 for inconsistent answers. The total score for each question was based on the number of corrected answers, ranging from 0 to 3. The accuracy and scores of the chatbots were compared to those of the physicians. RESULTS: Claude 2.1 demonstrated the highest accuracy, with an average accuracy of 82.67%, followed by Doctor GPT at 80.45%, ChatGPT-4 Turbo at 78.44%, ChatGPT-4 at 78%, Mixtral-8x7B at 73.33%, Bard at 70%, ChatGPT-3.5 at 64.89%, and Llama-2-70B at 61.78%. Claude 2.1 outperformed residents, fellows, and attendings. Doctor GPT outperformed residents and fellows. Additionally, Mixtral-8x7B outperformed residents. In terms of scores, Claude 2.1 outperformed residents and fellows. Doctor GPT, ChatGPT-4 Turbo and ChatGPT-4 outperformed residents. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that LLM-powered chatbots can provide more accurate medical information compared to oncology physicians.
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Autoimmune diseases refer to a group of conditions where the immune system produces an immune response against self-antigens, resulting in tissue damage. These diseases have profound impacts on the health of patients. In recent years, with the rapid development in the field of biomedicine, engineered exosomes have emerged as a noteworthy class of biogenic nanoparticles. By precisely manipulating the cargo and surface markers of exosomes, engineered exosomes have gained enhanced anti-inflammatory, immunomodulatory, and tissue reparative abilities, providing new prospects for the treatment of autoimmune diseases. Engineered exosomes not only facilitate the efficient delivery of bioactive molecules including nucleic acids, proteins, and cytokines, but also possess the capability to modulate immune cell functions, suppress inflammation, and restore immune homeostasis. This review mainly focuses on the applications of engineered exosomes in several typical autoimmune diseases. Additionally, this article comprehensively summarizes the current approaches for modification and engineering of exosomes and outlines their prospects in clinical applications. In conclusion, engineered exosomes, as an innovative therapeutic approach, hold promise for the management of autoimmune diseases. However, while significant progress has been made, further rigorous research is still needed to address the challenges that engineered exosomes may encounter in the therapeutic intervention process, in order to facilitate their successful translation into clinical practice and ultimately benefit a broader population of patients.
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Enfermedades Autoinmunes , Exosomas , Exosomas/inmunología , Humanos , Enfermedades Autoinmunes/terapia , Enfermedades Autoinmunes/inmunología , Animales , Nanopartículas/químicaRESUMEN
Background: The implementation of family doctor contract service is a pivotal measure to enhance primary medical services and execute the hierarchical diagnosis and treatment system. Achieving service coordination among various institutions is both a fundamental objective and a central element of contract services. Objective: The study aims to assess residents' evaluations and determining factors related to the coordination of health services within primary medical institutions across different regions of Shandong Province. The findings intend to serve as a reference for enhancing the coordination services offered by these institutions. Methods: The study employed a multi-stage stratified random sampling method to select three prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province with different economic levels. Within each city, three counties (districts) were randomly sampled using the same method. Within each county (district), three community health service centers and township health centers implementing family doctor contract services were selected randomly. Face-to-face questionnaire surveys were conducted with contracted residents using the coordination dimension of the revised Primary Care Assessment Tools Scale (PCAT) developed by the research team. Data analysis was conducted using such methods as one-way analysis of variance and multiple linear regression. Results: The sample included 3,859 contracted residents. The coordination dimension score of primary medical institutions averaged 3.41 ± 0.18, with the referral service sub-dimension scoring 3.60 ± 0.58 and the information system sub-dimension scoring 3.34 ± 0.65. The overall score of the referral service sub-dimension surpassed that of the information system sub-dimension. Regression results indicated that the city's economic status, the type of contracted institutions, gender, education, marital status, income, occupation, health status, and endowment insurance payment status significantly influenced the coordinated service score of primary medical institutions (p < 0.05). Conclusion: The coordination of primary medical institutions in Shandong Province warrants further optimization. Continued efforts should focus on refining the referral system, expediting information infrastructure development, enhancing the service standards of primary medical institutions, and fostering resident trust. These measures aim to advance the implementation of the hierarchical diagnosis and treatment and two-way referral system.
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Atención Primaria de Salud , Humanos , China , Atención Primaria de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Femenino , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Servicios Contratados/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Gastric cancer (GC) is a highly aggressive malignancy with a heterogeneous nature, which makes prognosis prediction and treatment determination difficult. Inflammation is now recognized as one of the hallmarks of cancer and plays an important role in the aetiology and continued growth of tumours. Inflammation also affects the prognosis of GC patients. Recent reports suggest that a number of inflammatory-related biomarkers are useful for predicting tumour prognosis. However, the importance of inflammatory-related biomarkers in predicting the prognosis of GC patients is still unclear. AIM: To investigate inflammatory-related biomarkers in predicting the prognosis of GC patients. METHODS: In this study, the mRNA expression profiles and corresponding clinical information of GC patients were obtained from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database (GSE66229). An inflammatory-related gene prognostic signature model was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model based on the GEO database. GC patients from the GSE26253 cohort were used for validation. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to determine the independent prognostic factors, and a prognostic nomogram was established. The calibration curve and the area under the curve based on receiver operating characteristic analysis were utilized to evaluate the predictive value of the nomogram. The decision curve analysis results were plotted to quantify and assess the clinical value of the nomogram. Gene set enrichment analysis was performed to explore the potential regulatory pathways involved. The relationship between tumour immune infiltration status and risk score was analysed via Tumour Immune Estimation Resource and CIBERSORT. Finally, we analysed the association between risk score and patient sensitivity to commonly used chemotherapy and targeted therapy agents. RESULTS: A prognostic model consisting of three inflammatory-related genes (MRPS17, GUF1, and PDK4) was constructed. Independent prognostic analysis revealed that the risk score was a separate prognostic factor in GC patients. According to the risk score, GC patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups, and patients in the high-risk group had significantly worse prognoses according to age, sex, TNM stage and Lauren type. Consensus clustering identified three subtypes of inflammation that could predict GC prognosis more accurately than traditional grading and staging. Finally, the study revealed that patients in the low-risk group were more sensitive to certain drugs than were those in the high-risk group, indicating a link between inflammation-related genes and drug sensitivity. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, we established a novel three-gene prognostic signature that may be useful for predicting the prognosis and personalizing treatment decisions of GC patients.
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Background: Osteosarcoma (OSA) is the most prevalent form of malignant bone tumor in children and adolescents, producing osteoid and immature bone. Numerous high quality studies have been published in the OSA field, however, no bibliometric study related to this area has been reported thus far. Therefore, the present study retrieved the published data from 2000 to 2022 to reveal the dynamics, development trends, hotspots and future directions of the OSA. Methods: Publications regard to osteogenic sarcoma and prognosis were searched in the core collection on Web of Science database. The retrieved publications were analyzed by publication years, journals, categories, countries, citations, institutions, authors, keywords and clusters using the two widely available bibliometric visualization tools, VOS viewer (Version 1.6.16), Citespace (Version 6.2. R1). Results: A total of 6260 publications related to the current topic were retrieved and analyzed, revealing exponential increase in the number of publications with an improvement in the citations on the OSA over time, in which China and the USA are the most productive nations. Shanghai Jiao Tong University, University of Texas System and Harvard University are prolific institutions, having highest collaboration network. Oncology Letters and Journal of Clinical Oncology are the most productive and the most cited journals respectively. The Wang Y is a prominent author and articles published by Bacci G had the highest number of citations indicating their significant impact in the field. According to keywords analysis, osteosarcoma, expression and metastasis were the most apparent keywords whereas the current research hotspots are biomarker, tumor microenvironment, immunotherapy and DNA methylation. Conclusion: Our findings offer valuable information for researchers to understand the current research status and the necessity of future research to mitigate the mortality of the OS patients.
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We aimed to develop a machine-learning based predictive model to identify 30-day readmission risk in Acute heart failure (AHF) patients. In this study 2232 patients hospitalized with AHF were included. The variance inflation factor value and 5-fold cross-validation were used to select vital clinical variables. Five machine learning algorithms with good performance were applied to develop models, and the discrimination ability was comprehensively evaluated by sensitivity, specificity, and area under the ROC curve (AUC). Prediction results were illustrated by SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values. Finally, the XGBoost model performs optimally: the greatest AUC of 0.763 (0.703-0.824), highest sensitivity of 0.660, and high accuracy of 0.709. This study developed an optimal XGBoost model to predict the risk of 30-day unplanned readmission for AHF patients, which showed more significant performance compared with traditional logistic regression (LR) model.
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OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to identify the risk factors that influence metastasis and prognosis in patients with nodular melanoma (NM), as well as to develop and validate a prognostic model using artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms. METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for 4,727 patients with NM based on the inclusion/exclusion criteria. Their clinicopathological characteristics were retrospectively reviewed, and logistic regression analysis was utilized to identify risk factors for metastasis. This was followed by employing Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Adaptive Boosting (AB), Bagging (BAG), logistic regression (LR), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) algorithms to develop metastasis models. The performance of the six models was evaluated and compared, leading to the selection and visualization of the optimal model. Through integrating the prognostic factors of Cox regression analysis with the optimal models, the prognostic prediction model was constructed, validated, and assessed. RESULTS: Logistic regression analyses identified that marital status, gender, primary site, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, system management, and N stage were all independent risk factors for NM metastasis. MLP emerged as the optimal model among the six models (AUC = 0.932, F1 = 0.855, Accuracy = 0.856, Sensitivity = 0.878), and the corresponding network calculator (https://shimunana-nm-distant-m-nm-m-distant-8z8k54.streamlit.app/) was developed. The following were examined as independent prognostic factors: MLP, age, marital status, sequence number, laterality, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, system management, T stage, and N stage. System management and surgery emerged as protective factors (HR < 1). To predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS), a nomogram was created. The validation results demonstrated that the model exhibited good discrimination and consistency, as well as high clinical usefulness. CONCLUSION: The developed prediction model more effectively reflects the prognosis of patients with NM and differentiates between the risk level of patients, serving as a useful supplement to the classical American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system and offering a reference for clinically stratified individualized treatment and prognosis prediction. Furthermore, the model enables clinicians to quantify the risk of metastasis in NM patients, assess patient survival, and administer precise treatments.
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Inteligencia Artificial , Melanoma , Humanos , Melanoma/patología , Melanoma/mortalidad , Femenino , Masculino , Pronóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano , Estudios Retrospectivos , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Programa de VERF , Adulto , Algoritmos , Neoplasias Cutáneas/patología , Neoplasias Cutáneas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Cutáneas/terapia , Modelos LogísticosRESUMEN
Objective: To develop and evaluate a nomogram prediction model for recurrence of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) within one year. Method: Patients with AIS treated at the second affiliated hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from August 2017 to July 2019 were enrolled. Clinical data such as demographic data, risk factors, laboratory tests, TOAST etiological types, MRI features, and treatment methods were collected. Cox regression analysis was done to determine the parameters for entering the nomogram model. The performance of the model was estimated by receiver operating characteristic curves, decision curve analysis, calibration curves, and C-index. Result: A total of 645 patients were enrolled in this study. Side of hemisphere (SOH, Bilateral, HR = 0.35, 95 % CI = 0.15-0.84, p = 0.018), homocysteine (HCY, HR = 1.38, 95 % CI = 1.29-1.47, p < 0.001), c-reactive protein (CRP, HR = 1.04, 95 % CI = 1.01-1.07, p = 0.013) and stroke severity (SS, HR = 3.66, 95 % CI = 2.04-6.57, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors. The C-index of the nomogram model was 0.872 (se = 0.016). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC)curve at one-year recurrence was 0.900. Calibration curve, decision curve analysis showed good performance of the nomogram. The cutoff value for low or high risk of recurrence score was 1.73. Conclusion: The nomogram model for stroke recurrence within one year developed in this study performed well. This useful tool can be used in clinical practice to provide important guidance to healthcare professionals.
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Problem: Chest radiography is a crucial tool for diagnosing thoracic disorders, but interpretation errors and a lack of qualified practitioners can cause delays in treatment. Aim: This study aimed to develop a reliable multi-classification artificial intelligence (AI) tool to improve the accuracy and efficiency of chest radiograph diagnosis. Methods: We developed a convolutional neural network (CNN) capable of distinguishing among 26 thoracic diagnoses. The model was trained and externally validated using 795,055 chest radiographs from 13 datasets across 4 countries. Results: The CNN model achieved an average area under the curve (AUC) of 0.961 across all 26 diagnoses in the testing set. COVID-19 detection achieved perfect accuracy (AUC 1.000, [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.000 to 1.000]), while effusion or pleural effusion detection showed the lowest accuracy (AUC 0.8453, [95% CI, 0.8417 to 0.8489]). In external validation, the model demonstrated strong reproducibility and generalizability within the local dataset, achieving an AUC of 0.9634 for lung opacity detection (95% CI, 0.9423 to 0.9702). The CNN outperformed both radiologists and nonradiological physicians, particularly in trans-device image recognition. Even for diseases not specifically trained on, such as aortic dissection, the AI model showed considerable scalability and enhanced diagnostic accuracy for physicians of varying experience levels (all P < 0.05). Additionally, our model exhibited no gender bias (P > 0.05). Conclusion: The developed AI algorithm, now available as professional web-based software, substantively improves chest radiograph interpretation. This research advances medical imaging and offers substantial diagnostic support in clinical settings.
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Purpose: The aim of this study was to systematically establish a comprehensive tumour microenvironment (TME)-relevant prognostic gene and target miRNA network for breast cancer patients. Methods: Based on a large-scale screening of TME-relevant prognostic genes (760 genes) for breast cancer patients, the prognostic model was established. The primary TME prognostic genes were selected from the constructing database and verified in the testing database. The internal relationships between the potential TME prognostic genes and the prognosis of breast cancer patients were explored in depth. The associated miRNAs for the TME prognostic genes were generated, and the functions of each primary TME member were investigated in the breast cancer cell line. Results: Compared with sibling controls, breast cancer patients showed 55 differentially expressed TME prognostic genes, of which 31 were considered as protective genes, while the remaining 24 genes were considered as risk genes. According to the lambda values of the LASSO Cox analysis, the 15 potential TME prognostic genes were as follows: ENPEP, CCDC102B, FEZ1, NOS2, SCG2, RPLP2, RELB, RGS3, EMP1, PDLIM4, EPHA3, PCDH9, VIM, GFI1, and IRF1. Among these, there was a remarkable linear internal relationship for CCDC102B but non-linear relationships for others with breast cancer patient prognosis. Using the siRNA technique, we silenced the expression of each TME prognostic gene. Seven of the 15 TME prognostic genes (NOS2, SCG2, RGS3, EMP1, PDLIM4, PCDH9, and GFI1) were involved in enhancing cell proliferation, destroying cell apoptosis, promoting cell invasion, or migration in breast cancer. Six of them (CCDC102B, RPLP2, RELB, EPHA3, VIM, and IRF1) were favourable for maintaining cell invasion or migration. Only two of them (ENPEP and FEZ1) were favourable for the processes of cell proliferation and apoptosis. Conclusions: This integrated study hypothesised an innovative TME-associated genetic functional network for breast cancer patients. The external relationships between these TME prognostic genes and the disease were measured. Meanwhile, the internal molecular mechanisms were also investigated.