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BACKGROUND: Although ROX index is frequently used to assess the efficacy of high-flow nasal cannula treatment in acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) patients, the relationship between the ROX index and the mortality remains unclear. Therefore, a retrospective cohort study was conducted to evaluate the ability of the ROX index to predict mortality risk in patients with AHRF. METHOD: Patients diagnosed with AHRF were extracted from the MIMIC-IV database and divided into four groups based on the ROX index quartiles. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, while in-hospital mortality and follow-up mortality were secondary outcomes. To investigate the association between ROX index and mortality in AHRF patients, restricted cubic spline curve and COX proportional risk regression were utilized. RESULT: A non-linear association (L-shaped) has been observed between the ROX index and mortality rate. When the ROX index is below 8.28, there is a notable decline in the 28-day mortality risk of patients as the ROX index increases (HR per SD, 0.858 [95%CI 0.794-0.928] P < 0.001). When the ROX index is above 8.28, no significant association was found between the ROX index and 28-day mortality. In contrast to the Q1 group, the mortality rates in the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups had a substantial reduction (Q1 vs. Q2: HR, 0.749 [0.590-0.950] P = 0.017; Q3: HR, 0.711 [0.558-0.906] P = 0.006; Q4: HR, 0.641 [0.495-0.830] P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The ROX index serves as a valuable predictor of mortality risk in adult patients with AHRF, and that a lower ROX index is substantially associated with an increase in mortality.
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Cánula , Insuficiencia Respiratoria , Adulto , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Administración Intranasal , Bases de Datos Factuales , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/terapia , Terapia por Inhalación de OxígenoRESUMEN
Ecto-5'-nucleotidase/CD73 enzyme plays a key role in the regulation of extracellular adenosine levels, thereby exerting influence on adenosine homeostasis. Emerging evidence suggests that perturbations in purines and ecto-5'-nucleotidase activity are associated with an augmented susceptibility to schizophrenia. However, the precise impact of genetic variations in CD73 on individuals with schizophrenia remains poorly understood. Here, our study demonstrated that rs3734442 allele and rs4431401 heterozygote were conferred a significant risk of schizophrenia disease (rs3734442: odds ratio, 0.556; 95% CI, 0.375 to 0.825; p = 0.004; rs4431401: odds ratio, 1.881, 95% CI, 1.117 to 3.166; p = 0.020). Comparing different genders, we observed a significant association between rs3734442 genotypes and male cases (rs3734442: odds ratio, 0.452; 95% CI, 0.257 to 0.796; p = 0.007). Likewise, there was a significant association between rs4431401 genotypes and male patients (rs4431401: odds ratio, 2.570; 95% CI, 1.196 to 5.522; p = 0.015). Based on family history and antipsychotics medication usage, our data reveals that the rs9444348 allele exhibits the most significant association with familial susceptibility to schizophrenia (odds ratio, 1.541; 95% CI, 1.009 to 2.353; p = 0.048 for A vs G). Moreover, individuals carrying variants of rs6922, rs2229523, and rs2065114 while being treated with clozapine demonstrate a higher frequency proportion compared to those receiving risperidone treatment (p = 0.035; p = 0.049; p = 0.027 respectively). Additionally, our results indicate that patients with GG genotype of rs9444348 had significantly higher likelihood of using clozapine instead of sulpiride (p = 0.048). Overall, our data strongly suggest that genetic variations in CD73 are significantly associated with schizophrenia risk and may serve as valuable resources for identifying therapeutic targets.
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BACKGROUND: Prior studies have reported inconsistent results regarding the association between driving pressure-guided ventilation and postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs). We aimed to investigate whether driving pressure-guided ventilation is associated with a lower risk of PPCs. METHODS: We systematically searched electronic databases for RCTs comparing driving pressure-guided ventilation with conventional protective ventilation in adult surgical patients. The primary outcome was a composite of PPCs. Secondary outcomes were pneumonia, atelectasis, and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Meta-analysis and subgroup analysis were conducted to calculate risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Trial sequential analysis (TSA) was used to assess the conclusiveness of evidence. RESULTS: Thirteen RCTs with 3401 subjects were included. Driving pressure-guided ventilation was associated with a lower risk of PPCs (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.56-0.87, P=0.001), as indicated by TSA. Subgroup analysis (P for interaction=0.04) found that the association was observed in non-cardiothoracic surgery (nine RCTs, 1038 subjects, RR 0.61, 95% CI 0.48-0.77, P< 0.0001), with TSA suggesting sufficient evidence and conclusive result; however, it did not reach significance in cardiothoracic surgery (four RCTs, 2363 subjects, RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.67-1.10, P=0.23), with TSA indicating insufficient evidence and inconclusive result. Similarly, a lower risk of pneumonia was found in non-cardiothoracic surgery but not in cardiothoracic surgery (P for interaction=0.046). No significant differences were found in atelectasis and ARDS between the two ventilation strategies. CONCLUSIONS: Driving pressure-guided ventilation was associated with a lower risk of postoperative pulmonary complications in non-cardiothoracic surgery but not in cardiothoracic surgery. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW PROTOCOL: INPLASY 202410068.
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Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Humanos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/etiología , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/epidemiología , Respiración con Presión Positiva/métodos , Enfermedades Pulmonares/etiología , Enfermedades Pulmonares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Pulmonares/prevención & control , Respiración Artificial/métodos , Atelectasia Pulmonar/prevención & control , Atelectasia Pulmonar/etiología , Atelectasia Pulmonar/epidemiología , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Neumonía/epidemiología , Neumonía/etiología , Neumonía/prevención & controlRESUMEN
Purinergic signalling adenosine and its A1 receptors have been demonstrated to get involved in the mechanism of acupuncture (needling therapy) analgesia. However, whether purinergic signalling would be responsible for the local analgesic effect of moxibustion therapy, the predominant member in acupuncture family procedures also could trigger analgesic effect on pain diseases, it still remains unclear. In this study, we applied moxibustion to generate analgesic effect on complete Freund's adjuvant (CFA)-induced inflammatory pain rats and detected the purine released from moxibustioned-acupoint by high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) approach. Intramuscular injection of ARL67156 into the acupoint Zusanli (ST36) to inhibit the breakdown of ATP showed the analgesic effect of moxibustion was increased while intramuscular injection of ATPase to speed up ATP hydrolysis caused a reduced moxibustion-induced analgesia. These data implied that purinergic ATP at the location of ST36 acupoint is a potentially beneficial factor for moxibustion-induced analgesia.
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Moxibustión , Ratas , Animales , Ratas Sprague-Dawley , Modelos Animales de Enfermedad , Dolor/tratamiento farmacológico , Puntos de Acupuntura , Analgésicos , Adenosina TrifosfatoRESUMEN
Both microRNAs (miRNAs) and purinergic signalling are widely and respectively expressed in various tissues of different organisms and play vital roles in a variety of physiological and pathological processes. Here, we reviewed the current publications contributed to the relationship of miRNAs and purinergic signalling in cardiovascular diseases, gastrointestinal diseases, neurological diseases, and ophthalmic diseases. We tried to decode the miRNAs-purinergic signalling network of purinergic signalling involved diseases. The evidence indicated that more than 30 miRNAs (miR-22, miR-30, miR-146, miR-150, miR-155, miR-187, etc.) directly or indirectly modulate P1 receptors (A1, A2A, A2B, A3), P2 receptors (P2X1, P2X3, P2X4, P2X7, P2Y2, P2Y6, P2Y12), and ecto-enzymes (CD39, CD73, ADA2); P2X7 and CD73 could be modulated by multiple miRNAs (P2X7: miR-21, miR-22, miR-30, miR-135a, miR-150, miR-186, miR-187, miR-216b; CD73: miR-141, miR-101, miR-193b, miR-340, miR-187, miR-30, miR-422a); miR-187 would be the common miRNA to modulate P2X7 and CD73.
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MicroARNs , Adenosina Trifosfato , Transducción de Señal , Receptores Purinérgicos P2X7RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have investigated the mean arterial pressure in patients with sepsis, and many meaningful results have been obtained. However, few studies have measured the systolic blood pressure (SBP) multiple times and established trajectory models for patients with sepsis with different SBP trajectories. METHODS: Data from patients with sepsis were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III database for inclusion in a retrospective cohort study. Ten SBP values within 10 h after hospitalization were extracted, and the interval between each SBP value was 1 h. The SBP measured ten times after admission was analyzed using latent growth mixture modeling to construct a trajectory model. The outcome was in-hospital mortality. The survival probability of different trajectory groups was investigated using Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis, and the relationship between different SBP trajectories and in-hospital mortality risk was investigated using Cox proportional-hazards regression model. RESULTS: This study included 3034 patients with sepsis. The median survival time was 67 years (interquartile range: 56-77 years). Seven different SBP trajectories were identified based on model-fit criteria. The in-hospital mortality rates of the patients in trajectory classes 1-7 were 25.5%, 40.5%, 11.8%, 18.3%, 23.5%, 13.8%, and 10.5%, respectively. The K-M analysis indicated that patients in class 2 had the lowest probability of survival. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that, with class 1 as a reference, patients in class 2 had the highest in-hospital mortality risk (P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis indicated that a nominal interaction occurred between age group and blood pressure trajectory in the in-hospital mortality (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Maintaining a systolic blood pressure of approximately 140 mmHg in patients with sepsis within 10 h of admission was associated with a lower risk of in-hospital mortality. Analyzing data from multiple measurements and identifying different categories of patient populations with sepsis will help identify the risks among these categories.
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Sepsis , Humanos , Presión Sanguínea/fisiología , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Estudios Retrospectivos , Modelos de Riesgos ProporcionalesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Trials have demonstrated lower rates of acute kidney injury in critically ill patients receiving magnesium supplementation, but they have yielded conflicting results regarding mortality. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study based on the MIMIC-IV (Medical Information Mart in Intensive Care-IV) database. Adult critically ill patients with sepsis were included in the analysis. The exposure was magnesium sulfate use during ICU stay. The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted at a 1:1 ratio. Multivariable analyses were used to adjust for confounders. RESULTS: The pre-matched and propensity score-matched cohorts included 10 999 and 6052 patients, respectively. In the PSM analysis, 28-day all-cause mortality rate was 20.2% (611/3026) in the magnesium sulfate use group and 25.0% (757/3026) in the no use group. Magnesium sulfate use was associated with lower 28-day all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.70; 95% CI, 0.61-0.79; P<0.001). Lower mortality was observed regardless of baseline serum magnesium status: for hypomagnesaemia, HR, 0.64; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.45-0.93; P=0.020; for normomagnesaemia, HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.61-0.80; P<0.001. Magnesium sulfate use was also associated with lower ICU mortality (odds ratio [OR], 0.52; 95% CI, 0.42-0.64; P<0.001), lower in-hospital mortality (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.55-0.77; P<0.001), and renal replacement therapy (OR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.52-0.87; P=0.002). A sensitivity analysis using the entire cohort also demonstrated lower 28-day all-cause mortality (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.56-0.69; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Magnesium sulfate use was associated with lower mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis. Prospective studies are needed to verify this finding.
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Sulfato de Magnesio , Sepsis , Adulto , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sulfato de Magnesio/uso terapéutico , Estudios de Cohortes , Magnesio , Enfermedad Crítica/terapia , Puntaje de Propensión , Sepsis/tratamiento farmacológico , Unidades de Cuidados IntensivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Previous studies have indicated that the ratio of lactate/albumin (L/A) has predictive value for the prognosis of critically ill patients with heart failure. Some studies have also indicated that a low serum bicarbonate concentration is inversely related to the mortality risk of patients with cardiogenic shock. However, the value of bicarbonate and the L/A ratio for predicting the mortality risk of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is still unclear. We therefore conducted a retrospective study to research this problem. METHODS: The subjects of this study were patients with AMI, and the data source was the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database. The primary endpoint was 30-day all-cause mortality after admission. The Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to compare the predictive value of L/A ratio, lactate and albumin for end-point events. The effects of different L/A ratio levels and different bicarbonate concentrations on 7-day and 30-day all-cause mortality were compared using Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves. Hazard ratios for different L/A ratio and different bicarbonate concentrations were investigated using COX proportional hazards models. RESULTS: The Area Under Curve (AUC) of L/A ratio, lactate, and albumin were 0.736, 0.718, and 0.620, respectively. (1) L/A ratio: The patients were divided into three groups according to their L/A ratio: tertile T1 (L/A ratio ≤ 0.47), tertile T2 (L/A ratio ≤ 0.97), and tertile T3 (L/A ratio > 0.97). The T2 and T3 groups had higher 30-day all-cause mortality risks than the T1 group. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) model indicated that there was a nonlinear relationship between L/A ratio and 30-day mortality (P < 0.05). (2) Bicarbonate concentration: The patients were also divided into three groups based on their bicarbonate concentration: G1 (22-27 mmol/L), G2 (< 22 mmol/L), and G3 (> 27 mmol/L). The G2 and G3 groups had higher 30-day all-cause mortality risks than the G1 group. The RCS model indicated that there was a nonlinear relationship between bicarbonate concentration and 30-day mortality (P < 0.05). The RCS model indicated that there was a nonlinear relationship between hemoglobin level and 30-day all-cause mortality (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: L/A ratio and bicarbonate concentration and hemoglobin level have predictive value for predicting 30-day mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction.
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Bicarbonatos , Infarto del Miocardio , Humanos , Ácido Láctico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Albúminas , HemoglobinasRESUMEN
Extracellular adenosine 5'-triphosphate (ATP) in the brain is suggested to be an etiological factor of major depressive disorder (MDD). It has been assumed that stress-released ATP stimulates P2X7 receptors (Rs) at the microglia, thereby causing neuroinflammation; however, other central nervous system (CNS) cell types such as astrocytes also possess P2X7Rs. In order to elucidate the possible involvement of the MDD-relevant hippocampal astrocytes in the development of a depressive-like state, we used various behavioral tests (tail suspension test [TST], forced swim test [FST], restraint stress, inescapable foot shock, unpredictable chronic mild stress [UCMS]), as well as fluorescence immunohistochemistry, and patch-clamp electrophysiology in wild-type (WT) and genetically manipulated rodents. The TST and FST resulted in learned helplessness manifested as a prolongation of the immobility time, while inescapable foot shock caused lower sucrose consumption as a sign of anhedonia. We confirmed the participation of P2X7Rs in the development of the depressive-like behaviors in all forms of acute (TST, FST, foot shock) and chronic stress (UCMS) in the rodent models used. Further, pharmacological agonists and antagonists acted in a different manner in rats and mice due to their diverse potencies at the respective receptor orthologs. In hippocampal slices of mice and rats, only foot shock increased the current responses to locally applied dibenzoyl-ATP (Bz-ATP) in CA1 astrocytes; in contrast, TST and restraint depressed these responses. Following stressful stimuli, immunohistochemistry demonstrated an increased co-localization of P2X7Rs with a microglial marker, but no change in co-localization with an astroglial marker. Pharmacological damage to the microglia and astroglia has proven the significance of the microglia for mediating all types of depression-like behavioral reactions, while the astroglia participated only in reactions induced by strong stressors, such as foot shock. Because, in addition to acute stressors, their chronic counterparts induce a depressive-like state in rodents via P2X7R activation, we suggest that our data may have relevance for the etiology of MDD in humans.
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Depresión/psicología , Hipocampo/metabolismo , Receptores Purinérgicos P2X7/metabolismo , Estrés Psicológico/psicología , Adenosina Trifosfato/metabolismo , Animales , Astrocitos/metabolismo , Depresión/etiología , Depresión/metabolismo , Modelos Animales de Enfermedad , Hipocampo/citología , Masculino , Ratones , Microglía/metabolismo , Ratas , Estrés Psicológico/etiología , Estrés Psicológico/metabolismoRESUMEN
Acute kidney injury (AKI) may develop in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and is associated with in-hospital death. We investigated the incidence of AKI in 223 hospitalized COVID-19 patients and analyzed the influence factors of AKI. The incidence of cytokine storm syndrome and its correlation with other clinicopathologic variables were also investigated. We retrospectively enrolled adult patients with virologically confirmed COVID-19 who were hospitalized at three hospitals in Wuhan and Guizhou, China between February 13, 2020, and April 8, 2020. We included 124 patients with moderate COVID-19 and 99 with severe COVID-19. AKI was present in 35 (15.7%) patients. The incidence of AKI was 30.3% for severe COVID-19 and 4.0% for moderate COVID-19 (p < 0.001). Furthermore, cytokine storm was found in 30 (13.5%) patients and only found in the severe group. Kidney injury at admission (odds ratio [OR]: 3.132, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.150-8.527; p = 0.025), cytokine storm (OR: 4.234, 95% CI: 1.361-13.171; p = 0.013), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (OR: 7.684, 95% CI: 2.622-22.523; p < 0.001) were influence factors of AKI. Seventeen (48.6%) patients who received invasive mechanical ventilation developed AKI, of whom 64.7% (11/17) died. Up to 86.7% of AKI patients with cytokine storms may develop a secondary bacterial infection. The leukocyte counts were significantly higher in AKI patients with cytokine storm than in those without (13.0 × 109/L, interquartile range [IQR] 11.3 vs. 8.3 × 109/L, IQR 7.5, p = 0.005). Approximately 1/6 patients with COVID-19 eventually develop AKI. Kidney injury at admission, cytokine storm and ARDS are influence factors of AKI. Cytokine storm and secondary bacterial infections may be responsible for AKI development in COVID-19 patients.
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Lesión Renal Aguda/etiología , Infecciones Bacterianas/etiología , COVID-19/complicaciones , Síndrome de Liberación de Citoquinas/complicaciones , Adulto , Anciano , China , Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Respiración Artificial/efectos adversos , Respiración Artificial/estadística & datos numéricos , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/complicaciones , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
A 22-year-old man suffered from acute pulmonary hemorrhage and deteriorated renal function occurred within 3 days after traumatic brain injury. Mechanical ventilation cannot correct his severe hypoxemia, therefore, venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) support was initiated and finally resolved his hypoxemia. Concomitantly, continuous renal replacement therapy was performed to improve his kidney function. Although no anti-glomerular basement membrane (anti-GBM) antibody was detected in serum, Goodpasture's syndrome was considered. After treated with methylprednisolone pulse therapy and plasmapheresis, his renal function was significantly improved. ECMO was eventually discontinued after 60 hours of treatment and extubated on day 10. He was discharged home with normal pulmonary and renal functions.
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Enfermedad por Anticuerpos Antimembrana Basal Glomerular/terapia , Lesiones Traumáticas del Encéfalo/terapia , Oxigenación por Membrana Extracorpórea , Metilprednisolona/administración & dosificación , Plasmaféresis , Adulto , Humanos , MasculinoRESUMEN
Background: Several studies have confirmed the direct relationship between extracellular acidification and the occurrence of pain. As an effective pain management approach, the mechanism of electroacupuncture (EA) treatment of acidification-induced pain is not fully understood. The purpose of this study was to assess the analgesic effect of EA in this type of pain and to explore the underlying mechanism(s). Methods: We used plantar injection of the acidified phosphate-buffered saline (PBS; pH 6.0) to trigger thermal hyperalgesia in male Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats aged 6-8 weeks. The value of thermal withdrawal latency (TWL) was quantified after applying EA stimulation to the ST36 acupoint and/or chemogenetic control of astrocytes in the hindlimb somatosensory cortex. Results: Both EA and chemogenetic astrocyte activation suppressed the acid-induced thermal hyperalgesia in the rat paw, whereas inhibition of astrocyte activation did not influence the hyperalgesia. At the same time, EA-induced analgesia was blocked by chemogenetic inhibition of astrocytes. Conclusion: The present results suggest that EA-activated astrocytes in the hindlimb somatosensory cortex exert an analgesic effect on acid-induced pain, although these astrocytes might only moderately regulate acid-induced pain in the absence of EA. Our results imply a novel mode of action of astrocytes involved in EA analgesia.
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A new layered metal sulfide, namely (C6H15N3)1.3(NH4)1.5H1.5In3SnS8 (1, C6H15N3 = N-(2-aminoethyl) piperazine), has been solvothermally synthesized and characterized. Compound 1 crystallizes in the monoclinic space group C2/c. Its structure features a two-dimensional layer of {In3SnS8}n3n- with the (4,4) topology net, which is formed by interlinking supertetrahedral T2 clusters as secondary building units. Band structure calculations revealed that 1 had a band gap of 2.7 eV. The photoelectric response of 1 showed steady and reversible on/off cycles with an "on" state of 121.13 nA cm-2. Moreover, the activation of 1 by replacing the sluggish organic cations with harder K+ ions endowed the material with improved adsorption performances for Sr2+ ions from aqueous solutions.
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We used low and high molecular weight fluorescence tracers to investigate the entry of foreign solutes into the brain parenchyma and their exit from it by the glymphatic system, during experimentally induced depressive-like behavior in rats. The tail suspension test (TST), as an acute stressor, is known to induce such a type of behavior, considered to model the human major depressive disorder (MDD). Electroacupuncture (EAP) relieves both depressive-like behavior in rodents and the symptoms of MDD in humans. Here we report that 180 min after the intracisternal injection of the low molecular weight tracer Fluorescein-5-Isothiocianate Conjugated Dextran (FITC-d3), a 15-min duration TST tended to increase the control fluorescence in the brain of rats. Both EAP and sham EAP decreased the fluorescence of FITC-d3 in comparison with the TST, but not the control value. In addition, EAP and sham EAP counteracted the effects of TST. The high molecular weight tracer Ovalbumin Alexa Fluor 555 Conjugate (OA-45) failed to enter the brain parenchyma and accumulated at more superficial sites; however, EAP or sham EAP modified the distribution of fluorescence under TST application in a similar manner as that observed during the use of FITC-d3. It is concluded that EAP is possibly a valid treatment to slow down the entry of foreign solutes into the brain; in view of the comparable effects of EAP on FITC-d3 and OA-45 distribution, EAP seems to act before FITC-d3 passes the astroglial aquaporin-4 water channels, which are a critical constituent of the glymphatic system.
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Background: Ventricular septal defect is a common congenital heart disease. As the disease progresses, the likelihood of lung infection and heart failure increases, leading to prolonged hospital stays and an increased likelihood of complications such as nosocomial infections. We aimed to develop a nomogram for predicting hospital stays over 14 days in pediatric patients with ventricular septal defect and to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram. We hope that nomogram can provide clinicians with more information to identify high-risk groups as soon as possible and give early treatment to reduce hospital stay and complications. Methods: The population of this study was pediatric patients with ventricular septal defect, and data were obtained from the Pediatric Intensive Care Database. The resulting event was a hospital stay longer than 14 days. Variables with a variance inflation factor (VIF) greater than 5 were excluded. Variables were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso), and the selected variables were incorporated into logistic regression to construct a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) and calibration curve. Finally, the importance of variables in the model is calculated based on the XGboost method. Results: A total of 705 patients with ventricular septal defect were included in the study. After screening with VIF and Lasso, the variables finally included in the statistical analysis include: Brain Natriuretic Peptide, bicarbonate, fibrinogen, urea, alanine aminotransferase, blood oxygen saturation, systolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, heart rate. The AUC values of nomogram in the training cohort and validation cohort were 0.812 and 0.736, respectively. The results of the calibration curve and DCA also indicated that the nomogram had good performance and good clinical application value. Conclusion: The nomogram established by BNP, bicarbonate, fibrinogen, urea, alanine aminotransferase, blood oxygen saturation, systolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, heart rate has good predictive performance and clinical applicability. The nomogram can effectively identify specific populations at risk for adverse outcomes.
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Background: Heart failure (HF) is the terminal stage of various heart diseases. Conventional treatments have poor efficacy, and diuretic resistance can present. Previous studies have found that the use of glucocorticoids can enhance the diuretic effect of patients with heart failure and reduce heart failure symptoms. However, the relationship between glucocorticoid use and mortality in patients with heart failure in intensive care units is unclear. Objectives: The aim of this study was to determine the association between glucocorticoid use and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with heart failure. Methods: The information on patients with heart failure in this study was extracted from the MIMIC-III (Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III) database. Patients in the glucocorticoid and non-glucocorticoid groups were matched using propensity scores. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to explore the difference in survival probability between the two groups. A Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to analyze the hazard ratios (HRs) for the two patient groups. Subgroup analyses were performed with prespecified stratification variables to demonstrate the robustness of the results. Results: The study included 9,482 patients: 2,099 in the glucocorticoid group and 7,383 in the non-glucocorticoid group. There were 2,055 patients in each group after propensity-score matching. The results indicated that the non-glucocorticoid group was not significantly associated with reduced mortality in patients with heart failure during the 14-day follow-up period [HRs = .901, 95% confidence interval (CI) = .767-1.059]. During the follow-up periods of 15-30 and 15-90 days, the mortality risk was significantly lower in the non-glucocorticoid group than in the glucocorticoid group (HRs = .497 and 95% CI = .370-.668, and HRs = .400 and 95% CI = .310-.517, respectively). Subgroup analyses indicated no interaction among each stratification variable and glucocorticoid use. Conclusion: Glucocorticoid use was associated with an increased mortality risk in critically ill patients with heart failure.
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BACKGROUND: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a disease caused by blood clots, tumor embolism, and other emboli within the pulmonary arteries. Various scoring scales are used for PE. One such same is the PESI, but it has 12 variables, making it inconvenient for clinical application. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to develop a new simple nomogram model to assess 30-day survival in PE patients. The new nomogram makes it easier and faster for clinicians to assess the prognosis of patients with PE. METHODS: We collected data about the patients with PE from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database and used the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, area under the ROC curve (AUROC), calibration plot, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the predictive power of the new model, and compared these with the PESI. RESULTS: According to the multivariable Cox regression model results, alongside the actual clinical conditions, we included the following seven variables: race, bicarbonate, age, tumor, systolic blood pressure (SBP), body temperature, and oxygen saturation (Spo2). The AUROC of the new model was greater than 0.70. Its IDI exceeded 0, but with P-value>0.05. CONCLUSION: The predictive performance of the new model was not worse than the PESI, but the new model only has seven variables, and is therefore more convenient for clinicians to use.