Predictability comparison of sizing parameters for postoperative vault after implantable Collamer lens implantation.

PURPOSE: This study aims to assess the accuracy of three parameters (white-to-white distance [WTW], angle-to-angle [ATA], and sulcus-to-sulcus [STS]) in predicting postoperative vault and to formulate an optimized predictive model. METHODS: In this retrospective study, a cohort of 465 patients (comprising 769 eyes) who underwent the implantation of the V4c implantable Collamer lens with a central port (ICL) for myopia correction was examined. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and classification models were used to predict postoperative vault. The influences of WTW, ATA, and STS on predicting the postoperative vault and ICL size were analyzed and compared. RESULTS: The dataset was randomly divided into training (80%) and test (20%) sets, with no significant differences observed between them. The screened variables included only seven variables which conferred the largest signal in the model, namely, lens thickness (LT, estimated coefficients for logistic least absolute shrinkage of -0.20), STS (-0.04), size (0.08), flat K (-0.006), anterior chamber depth (0.15), spherical error (-0.006), and cylindrical error (-0.0008). The optimal prediction model depended on STS (R2=0.419, RMSE=0.139), whereas the least effective prediction model relied on WTW (R2=0.395, RMSE=0.142). In the classified prediction models of the vault, classification prediction of the vault based on STS exhibited superior accuracy compared to ATA or WTW. CONCLUSIONS: This study compared the capabilities of WTW, ATA, and STS in predicting postoperative vault, demonstrating that STS exhibits a stronger correlation than the other two parameters.

A prognostic nomogram integrating carcinoembryonic antigen levels for predicting overall survival in elderly patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer.

Background: With the aging of the population, colorectal surgeons will have to face more elderly colorectal cancer (CRC) patients in the future. We aim to analyze independent risk factors affecting overall survival in elderly (age ≥65 years) patients with stage II-III CRC and construct a nomogram to predict patient survival. Methods: A total of 3,016 elderly CRC patients with stage II-III were obtained from the SEER database. Univariate Cox regression and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses were used to screen independent prognostic factors, and a survival prediction nomogram was constructed based on the results. The consistency index (C-index), decision curve analysis (DCA), Akaike information criterion (AIC), and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were used to compare the predictive ability between the nomogram and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage system. All patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups based on risk scores calculated by nomogram. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to compare the survival differences between two groups. Results: The 3- and 5-year area under the curve (AUC) values of the prediction nomogram model were 76.6% and 74.8%, respectively. The AIC, BIC, and C-index values of the nomogram model were 6,032.502, 15,728.72, and 0.707, respectively, which were better than the TNM staging system. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a significant survival difference between high-risk and low-risk groups (P<0.0001). Conclusions: We constructed a prediction nomogram for stage II-III elderly CRC patients by combining pre-treatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, which can accurately predict patient survival. This facilitates clinicians to accurately assess patient prognosis and identify high-risk patients to adopt more aggressive and effective treatment strategies.

Establishment and verification of a prediction model based on clinical characteristics and computed tomography radiomics parameters for distinguishing benign and malignant pulmonary nodules.

Background: The radiographic classification of pulmonary nodules into benign versus malignant categories is a pivotal component of early lung cancer diagnosis. The present study aimed to investigate clinical and computed tomography (CT) clinical-radiomics nomogram for preoperative differentiation of benign and malignant pulmonary nodules. Methods: This retrospective study included 342 patients with pulmonary nodules who underwent high-resolution CT (HRCT) examination. We assigned them to a training dataset (n=239) and a validation dataset (n=103). There are 1781 tumor characteristics quantified by extracted features from the lesion segmented from patients' CT images. The features with poor reproducibility and high redundancy were removed. Then a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model with 10-fold cross-validation was used to further select features and build radiomics signatures. The independent predictive factors were identified by multivariate logistic regression. A radiomics nomogram was developed to predict the malignant probability. The performance and clinical utility of the clinical-radiomics nomogram was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: After dimension reduction by the LASSO algorithm and multivariate logistic regression, four radiomic features were selected, including original_shape_Sphericity, exponential_glcm_Maximum Probability, log_sigma_2_0_mm_3D_glcm_Maximum Probability, and ogarithm_firstorder_90Percentile. Multivariate logistic regression showed that carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) [odds ratio (OR) 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.40 (1.09-1.88)], CT rad score [OR (95% CI): 2.74 (2.03-3.85)], and cytokeratin-19-fragment (CYFRA21-1) [OR (95% CI): 1.80 (1.14-2.94)] were independent influencing factors of malignant pulmonary nodule (all P<0.05). The clinical-radiomics nomogram combining CEA, CYFRA21-1 and radiomics features achieved an area of curve (AUC) of 0.85 and 0.76 in the training group and verification group for the prediction of malignant pulmonary nodules. The clinical-radiomics nomogram demonstrated excellent agreement and practicality, as evidenced by the calibration curve and DCA. Conclusions: The clinical-radiomics nomogram combined of CT-based radiomics signature, along with CYFRA21-1 and CEA, demonstrated strong predictive ability, calibration, and clinical usefulness in distinguishing between benign and malignant pulmonary nodules. The use of CT-based radiomics has the potential to assist clinicians in making informed decisions prior to biopsy or surgery while avoiding unnecessary treatment for non-cancerous lesions.

A prognostic nomogram based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression in patients with pulmonary large-cell neuroendocrine carcinoma.

Background: Pulmonary large-cell neuroendocrine carcinoma (LCNEC) is a rare subtype of breast cancer with a poor prognosis. Despite its rarity, it is important to gain a better understanding of the epidemiological, clinical, and prognostic features of pulmonary LCNEC. The purpose of this study was to design, construct, and validate a new nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) in patients with pulmonary LCNEC. Methods: In total, the data of 1,864 LCNEC patients were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, which is maintained by the National Cancer Institute in the United States and serves as a comprehensive source of cancer-related information. Of these patients, 556 served as the validation group and 1,308 served as the training cohort. We constructed a new nomogram with the training cohort that included the independent factors for OS as identified by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression. Five independent factors were ultimately selected by the stepwise regression. Every factor of the Cox regression was included in the nomogram. Analyses of the calibration curve, decision curve, area under the curve, and concordance index (C-index) values were performed to assess the effectiveness and discriminative ability of the nomogram. Results: Five optimal predictive factors for OS were selected and merged to construct a 3- and 5-year OS nomogram. The nomogram had C-index values of 0.716 and 0.708 in the training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. The actual OS rates and the calibration curves showing the predictions of the nomogram were in good agreement. Conclusions: The prognostic nomogram may be very helpful in estimating the OS of patients with pulmonary LCNEC.

Development and validation of a prognostic model for predicting post-discharge mortality risk in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI).

BACKGROUND: Accurately predicting post-discharge mortality risk in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) remains a complex and critical challenge. The primary objective of this study was to develop and validate a robust risk prediction model to assess the 12-month and 24-month mortality risk in STEMI patients after hospital discharge. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on 664 STEMI patients who underwent PPCI at Xiangtan Central Hospital Chest Pain Center between 2020 and 2022. The dataset was randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 464) and a validation cohort (n = 200) using a 7:3 ratio. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality following hospital discharge. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was employed to identify the optimal predictive variables. Based on these variables, a regression model was constructed to determine the significant predictors of mortality. The performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: The prognostic model was developed based on the LASSO regression results and further validated using the independent validation cohort. LASSO regression identified five important predictors: age, Killip classification, B-type natriuretic peptide precursor (NTpro-BNP), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and the usage of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers/angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ACEI/ARB/ARNI). The Harrell's concordance index (C-index) for the training and validation cohorts were 0.863 (95% CI: 0.792-0.934) and 0.888 (95% CI: 0.821-0.955), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for the training cohort at 12 months and 24 months was 0.785 (95% CI: 0.771-0.948) and 0.812 (95% CI: 0.772-0.940), respectively, while the corresponding values for the validation cohort were 0.864 (95% CI: 0.604-0.965) and 0.845 (95% CI: 0.705-0.951). These results confirm the stability and predictive accuracy of our model, demonstrating its reliable discriminative ability for post-discharge all-cause mortality risk. DCA analysis exhibited favorable net benefit of the nomogram. CONCLUSION: The developed nomogram shows potential as a tool for predicting post-discharge mortality in STEMI patients undergoing PPCI. However, its full utility awaits confirmation through broader external and temporal validation.

Establishment and risk factor assessment of the abnormal body temperature probability prediction model (ABTP) for dairy cattle.

The study aims to develop an abnormal body temperature probability (ABTP) model for dairy cattle, utilizing environmental and physiological data. This model is designed to enhance the management of heat stress impacts, providing an early warning system for farm managers to improve dairy cattle welfare and farm productivity in response to climate change. The study employs the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) algorithm to analyze environmental and physiological data from 320 dairy cattle, identifying key factors influencing body temperature anomalies. This method supports the development of various models, including the Lyman Kutcher-Burman (LKB), Logistic, Schultheiss, and Poisson models, which are evaluated for their ability to predict abnormal body temperatures in dairy cattle effectively. The study successfully validated multiple models to predict abnormal body temperatures in dairy cattle, with a focus on the temperature-humidity index (THI) as a critical determinant. These models, including LKB, Logistic, Schultheiss, and Poisson, demonstrated high accuracy, as measured by the AUC and other performance metrics such as the Brier score and Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test. The results highlight the robustness of the models in capturing the nuances of heat stress impacts on dairy cattle. The research develops innovative models for managing heat stress in dairy cattle, effectively enhancing detection and intervention strategies. By integrating advanced technologies and novel predictive models, the study offers effective measures for early detection and management of abnormal body temperatures, improving cattle welfare and farm productivity in changing climatic conditions. This approach highlights the importance of using multiple models to accurately predict and address heat stress in livestock, making significant contributions to enhancing farm management practices.

Further Clarification of Pain Management Complexity in Radiotherapy: Insights from Modern Statistical Approaches.

BACKGROUND: The primary objective of this study was to assess the adequacy of analgesic care in radiotherapy (RT) patients, with a secondary objective to identify predictive variables associated with pain management adequacy using a modern statistical approach, integrating the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) algorithm and the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis. METHODS: This observational, multicenter cohort study involved 1387 patients reporting pain or taking analgesic drugs from 13 RT departments in Italy. The Pain Management Index (PMI) served as the measure for pain control adequacy, with a PMI score < 0 indicating suboptimal management. Patient demographics, clinical status, and treatment-related factors were examined to discern the predictors of pain management adequacy. RESULTS: Among the analyzed cohort, 46.1% reported inadequately managed pain. Non-cancer pain origin, breast cancer diagnosis, higher ECOG Performance Status scores, younger patient age, early assessment phase, and curative treatment intent emerged as significant determinants of negative PMI from the LASSO analysis. Notably, pain management was observed to improve as RT progressed, with a greater discrepancy between cancer (33.2% with PMI < 0) and non-cancer pain (73.1% with PMI < 0). Breast cancer patients under 70 years of age with non-cancer pain had the highest rate of negative PMI at 86.5%, highlighting a potential deficiency in managing benign pain in younger patients. CONCLUSIONS: The study underscores the dynamic nature of pain management during RT, suggesting improvements over the treatment course yet revealing specific challenges in non-cancer pain management, particularly among younger breast cancer patients. The use of advanced statistical techniques for analysis stresses the importance of a multifaceted approach to pain management, one that incorporates both cancer and non-cancer pain considerations to ensure a holistic and improved quality of oncological care.

Exploring the Role of Neutrophil-Related Genes in Osteosarcoma via an Integrative Analysis of Single-Cell and Bulk Transcriptome.

BACKGROUND: The involvement of neutrophil-related genes (NRGs) in patients with osteosarcoma (OS) has not been adequately explored. In this study, we aimed to examine the association between NRGs and the prognosis as well as the tumor microenvironment of OS. METHODS: The OS data were obtained from the TARGET-OS and GEO database. Initially, we extracted NRGs by intersecting 538 NRGs from single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data between aneuploid and diploid groups, as well as 161 up-regulated differentially expressed genes (DEGs) from the TARGET-OS datasets. Subsequently, we conducted Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (Lasso) analyses to identify the hub genes for constructing the NRG-score and NRG-signature. To assess the prognostic value of the NRG signatures in OS, we performed Kaplan-Meier analysis and generated time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Gene enrichment analysis (GSEA) and gene set variation analysis (GSVA) were utilized to ascertain the presence of tumor immune microenvironments (TIMEs) and immunomodulators (IMs). Additionally, the KEGG neutrophil signaling pathway was evaluated using ssGSEA. Subsequently, PCR and IHC were conducted to validate the expression of hub genes and transcription factors (TFs) in K7M2-induced OS mice. RESULTS: FCER1G and C3AR1 have been identified as prognostic biomarkers for overall survival. The findings indicate a significantly improved prognosis for OS patients. The effectiveness and precision of the NRG signature in prognosticating OS patients were validated through survival ROC curves and an external validation dataset. The results clearly demonstrate that patients with elevated NRG scores exhibit decreased levels of immunomodulators, stromal score, immune score, ESTIMATE score, and infiltrating immune cell populations. Furthermore, our findings substantiate the potential role of SPI1 as a transcription factor in the regulation of the two central genes involved in osteosarcoma development. Moreover, our analysis unveiled a significant correlation and activation of the KEGG neutrophil signaling pathway with FCER1G and C3AR1. Notably, PCR and IHC demonstrated a significantly higher expression of C3AR1, FCER1G, and SPI1 in Balb/c mice induced with K7M2. CONCLUSIONS: Our research emphasizes the significant contribution of neutrophils within the TIME of osteosarcoma. The newly developed NRG signature could serve as a good instrument for evaluating the prognosis and therapeutic approach for OS.

CDKN1A regulation on chondrogenic differentiation of human chondrocytes in osteoarthritis through single-cell and bulk sequencing analysis.

Objective: Chondrocyte death is the hallmark of cartilage degeneration during osteoarthritis (OA). However, the specific pathogenesis of cell death in OA chondrocytes has not been elucidated. This study aims to validate the role of CDKN1A, a key programmed cell death (PCD)-related gene, in chondrogenic differentiation using a combination of single-cell and bulk sequencing approaches. Design: OA-related RNA-seq data (GSE114007, GSE55235, GSE152805) were downloaded from Gene Expression Omnibus database. PCD-related genes were obtained from GeneCards database. RNA-seq was performed to annotate the cell types in OA and control samples. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) among those cell types (scRNA-DEGs) were screened. A nomogram of OA was constructed based on the featured genes, and potential drugs targeting the featured genes were predicted. The presence of key genes was confirmed using Real-Time Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-qPCR), Western blot (WB), and immunohistochemistry (IHC). Micromass culture and Alcian blue staining were used to determine the effect of CDKN1A on chondrogenesis. Results: Six cell types, namely HomC, HTC, RepC, preFC, FC, and RegC, were annotated in scRNA-seq data. Five featured genes (JUN, CDKN1A, HMGB2, DDIT3, and DDIT4) were screened by multiple biological information analysis methods. TAXOTERE had the highest ability to dock with DDIT3. Functional analysis indicated that CDKN1A was enriched in processes related to collagen catabolism and acts as a positive regulator of autophagy. Additionally, CDKN1A was found to be associated with several KEGG pathways, including those involved in acute myeloid leukemia and autoimmune thyroid disease. CDKN1A was confirmed down-regulated in the joint tissues of OA mouse model and OA model cell. Inhibiting the expression of CDKN1A can significantly suppress the differentiation of OA chondrocytes. Conclusion: Our findings highlight the critical role of CDKN1A in promoting cartilage formation in both in vivo and in vitro and suggest its potential as a therapeutic target for OA treatment.

Dendritic cell-related hub genes in head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma: implications for prognosis and immunotherapy.

Background: In the context of head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), dendritic cells (DCs) assume pivotal responsibilities, acting as architects of antigen presentation and conductors of immune checkpoint modulation. In this study, we aimed to identify hub genes associated with DCs in HNSCC and explore their prognostic significance and implications for immunotherapy. Methods: Integrated clinical datasets from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-HNSCC and GSE65858 cohorts underwent meticulous analysis. Employing weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA), we delineated candidate genes pertinent to DCs. Through the application of random survival forest and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox's regression, we derived key genes of significance. Lisa (epigenetic Landscape In Silico deletion Analysis and the second descendent of MARGE) highlighted transcription factors, with Dual-luciferase assays confirming their regulatory role. Furthermore, immunotherapeutic sensitivity was assessed utilizing the Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion online tool. Results: This study illuminated the functional intricacies of HNSCC DC subsets to tailor innovative therapeutic strategies. We leveraged clinical data from the TCGA-HNSCC and GSE65858 cohorts. We subjected the data to advanced analysis, including WGCNA, which revealed 222 DC-related candidate genes. Following this, a discerning approach utilizing random survival forest analysis and LASSO Cox's regression unveiled seven genes associated with the prognostic impact of DCs, notably ACP2 and CPVL, associated with poor overall survival. Differential gene expression analysis between ACP2 + and ACP2 - DC cells revealed 208 differential expressed genes. Lisa analysis identified the top five significant transcription factors as STAT1, SPI1, SMAD1, CEBPB, and IRF1. The correlation between STAT1 and ACP2 was confirmed through quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) and Dual-luciferase assays in HEK293T cells. Additionally, TP53 and FAT1 mutations were more common in high-risk DC subgroups. Importantly, the sensitivity to immunotherapy differed among the risk clusters. The low-risk cohorts were anticipated to exhibit favorable responses to immunotherapy, marked by heightened expressions of immune system-related markers. In contrast, the high-risk group displayed augmented proportions of immunosuppressive cells, suggesting a less conducive environment for immunotherapeutic interventions. Conclusions: Our research may yield a robust DC-based prognostic system for HNSCC; this will aid personalized treatment and improve clinical outcomes as the battle against this challenging cancer continues.