Undetected, natural conception pregnancies in luteal phase stimulations-case series and review of literature.

STUDY QUESTION: What is the risk of an undetected natural conception pregnancy during luteal phase ovarian stimulation, and how does it impact the pregnancy's course? SUMMARY ANSWER: The risk for an undetected, natural conception pregnancy in luteal phase ovarian stimulation is low and it appears that ovarian stimulation is unlikely to harm the pregnancy. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Random start ovarian stimulation appears to be similarly effective as early follicular stimulation start; and it allows ovarian stimulation to be started independent of the cycle day and throughout the cycle, in accordance with the patients' and clinics' schedule as long as there is no intention of a fresh embryo transfer in the same cycle. Starting ovarian stimulation in the luteal phase bears the possibility of an-at the timepoint of stimulation start-undetected, natural conception pregnancy that has already occurred. There is scarce data on the incidence of this event as well as on the possible implications of ovarian stimulation on the course of an existing pregnancy. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This retrospective observational study, performed between June 2017 and January 2024, analyzed luteal phase stimulations, in which a natural conception pregnancy was detected during the ovarian stimulation treatment for IVF/ICSI. Luteal phase stimulation was defined as ovarian stimulation started after ovulation and before the next expected menstrual bleeding, with a serum progesterone (P4) level of >1.5 ng/ml on the day of stimulation start or 1 day before. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Women who underwent a luteal phase ovarian stimulation in a tertiary referral ART center. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: A total of 488 luteal phase stimulation cycles were included in the analysis. Luteal phase stimulation was only started after a negative serum hCG measurement on the day or 1 day before commencement of ovarian stimulation. Ten patients (2.1%) had an undetected natural conception pregnancy at the time of luteal phase stimulation start. Eight of these patients underwent an ovarian stimulation in a GnRH-antagonist protocol and two in a progestin-primed stimulation protocol (PPOS). Recombinant FSH was used as stimulation medication for all patients, the patients with a PPOS protocol received additional recombinant LH. One pregnancy (0.2%) was detected after the oocyte retrieval, the other nine pregnancies were detected either due to persistent high serum progesterone levels or due to an increasing progesterone level after an initial decrease before oocyte retrieval. In the cycles with an undetected natural conception pregnancy, the median number of stimulation days was 8 days (range: 6-11 days) and median serum hCG at detection of pregnancy was 59 IU hCG (range: 14.91-183.1). From 10 patients with a pregnancy, three patients delivered a healthy baby, two patients had ongoing pregnancies at the time of summarizing the data, three patients had biochemical pregnancies (patient age: 30, 39, and 42 years), one patient had an ectopic pregnancy which required a salpingectomy, and one patient (age: 34 years) had an early pregnancy loss. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The retrospective study design and the small sample size can limit the accuracy of the estimates. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Overall, there is a small risk of undetected natural conception pregnancies when luteal phase stimulation is undertaken. It appears that there are no adverse effects through either direct effect on the embryo or indirectly through a detrimental effect on the corpus luteum function on the pregnancy in our cohort. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study did not receive funding. The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Case-controlled study of tuberculosis in in-vitro fertilisation-embryo transfer and natural pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: To improve the understanding of the clinical features and imaging characteristics of pregnant women with and without in-vitro fertilisation-embryo transfer combined with pulmonary tuberculosis (TB). METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted involving 50 patients with pregnancy who had pulmonary TB and were admitted to the Third People's Hospital of Kunming (China) between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2021. These patients were divided into an in-vitro fertilisation and embryo transfer (IVF-ET) conception group and a natural conception group according to the conception method. The clinical and imaging data were then collected and compared. RESULTS: The mean age of the IVF-ET group (n = 13, 31.85 ± 5.84 years) was higher than in the natural conception group (n = 37, 27.05 ± 5.5 years). The proportions of fever, haematogenous TB and extrapulmonary TB in the IVF-ET group (92.31%, 84.62% and 76.92%, respectively) were higher than those in the natural conception group (40.54%,16.22%,27.03%,respectively). The percentage of patients with pregnancy who had intracranial TB (76.9%) in the IVF-ET group was higher than in the natural conception group (10.8%). The percentage of pregnancy terminations in the IVF-ET conception group (84.62%) was higher than in the natural conception group (48.65%). All the above results had statistically significant differences (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Overall, IVF-ET conception combined with extensive pulmonary TB lesions lead to heavy systemic toxic symptoms, severe disease and poor pregnancy outcomes. Therefore, screening for TB prior to performing IVF-ET is recommended.

Anthropometric measurements of term singletons at 6 years of age born from fresh and frozen embryo transfer: A multicenter prospective study in Japan.

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to compare anthropometric measurements between term singletons conceived via fresh embryo transfer (FreET) and frozen embryo transfer (FET) and those born via natural conception (NC) or fertility treatments milder than assisted reproductive technology (non-ART) at 6 years of age. Methods: A total of 8149 children were enrolled, and questionnaires about anthropometric measures (weight, height, BMI) were addressed to parents, when the children were 1.5, 3, and 6 years of age. A total of 3299 term singletons were enrolled at birth: 533, 476, 916, and 1374 in the NC, non-ART, FreET, and FET groups, respectively. Results: A total of 1635 term singletons (290, 176, 467, and 702 in the NC, non-ART, FreET, and FET groups respectively) were enrolled until 6 years of age (follow-up rate, approximately 50%). When non-ART group was used as control, the FreET children were 1.0 cm taller than the non-ART children at 6 years of age, after adjusting for confounding factors. However, no differences were observed in the anthropometric data among the non-ART, ART, and NC children at 6 years of age. Conclusion: At 6 years of age, term singletons were taller in the FreET group than in the non-ART group, after adjusting for confounders.

Pre-eclampsia in pregnancies resulting from oocyte donation, natural conception or IVF: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

STUDY QUESTION: What is the prevalence of pre-eclampsia (PE) in pregnancies after oocyte donation (OD) compared to natural conception (NC) and to IVF with autologous oocytes (AO)? SUMMARY ANSWER: Overall the prevalence of PE after OD was 4-5 times higher than after NC and 2-3 times higher than after IVF with AO. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The indication for OD is expanding to lesbian women requesting shared lesbian motherhood. Previous reviews have shown that the risk of PE is higher in pregnancies after OD than after NC and after IVF with AO. Classification on the severity of PE is lacking as is the relationship with known risk factors such as maternal age and multiple gestations. Furthermore the actual prevalence of PE in pregnancies resulting from OD is not known. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted. A literature search was performed using the following databases: PubMed, EMBASE and CINAHL, OpenGrey and Greynet from January 1980 through July 2020. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: We included retrospective and prospective cohort studies. The study population consisted of pregnancies after OD and NC or IVF and data had to be available about prevalence of PE. We compared the risk of (severe) PE in OD versus NC and IVF pregnancies, subgrouped by plurality and maternal age. We calculated individual and pooled odds ratios (OR) and prevalence estimates with 95% CI using a random effect model, while heterogeneity was assessed by the I2. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: In total, 27 studies comprising of 7089 OD pregnancies, 1 139 540 NC pregnancies and 72 742 IVF pregnancies were available for analysis. The risks of PE and severe PE was increased in OD pregnancies compared to NC pregnancies (pooled OR of all subgroups: 5.09, 95% CI: 4.29-6.04; I2 = 19% and OR: 7.42, 95% CI: 4.64-11.88; I2 = 49%, respectively). This suggests that compared to a PE risk of 2.9% with NC, the risk with OD was between 11.5% and 15.4%. Compared to a severe PE risk of 0.5% with NC, the risk with OD was between 2.3% and 5.6%. The pooled adjusted OR for PE was 3.24 (95% 2.74-3.83) for OD versus NC pregnancies. The risks of PE and severe PE were also increased in OD pregnancies compared to IVF pregnancies (pooled OR of all subgroups: 2.97, 95% CI: 2.49-3.53; I2 = 51% and OR: 2.97, 95% CI: 2.15-4.11; I2 = 0%, respectively). This suggests that compared to a PE risk of 5.9% with IVF, the risk with OD was between 13.5% and 18.0%. Compared to a severe PE risk of 3.3% with IVF, the risk with OD was between 6.8% and 12.2%. The pooled adjusted OR for PE was 2.67 (95% 2.28-3.13) for OD versus IVF. The pooled prevalence of PE in singleton pregnancies after OD was 10.7% (95% CI 6.6-15.5) compared to 2.0% (95% CI 1.0-3.1) after NC and 4.1% (95% CI 2.7-5.6) after IVF. The prevalence in multiple pregnancies was 27.8% (95% CI 23.6-32.2) after OD, 7.5% (95% CI 7.2-7.8) after NC and 9.7% (95% CI 6.2-13.9) after IVF. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The precise definition of PE is still a matter of debate. The different criteria could have affected the prevalence estimate. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Nearly one in six women will suffer PE after OD. Although it is uncertain whether these risks are consistent for lesbian couples undergoing shared motherhood, we feel that women who can conceive naturally could be advised to reconsider. In women with primary ovarian insufficiency, we feel that factors that may increase risk of PE ever further, such as double embryo transfer, should be avoided whenever possible. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): No funding or competing interests. REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42020166899.

The predictive value of anti-Müllerian hormone for natural conception leading to live birth in subfertile couples.

RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the predictive value of serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level for natural conception and its clinical effect on subfertile couples? DESIGN: A retrospective cohort of ovulatory women seeking fertility consultation in a private fertility clinic. Couples who had an immediate indication for IVF were excluded. All natural conceptions leading to live birth before the start of assisted reproductive technology were followed within 12 months of the initial consultation. A prediction model was developed by updating the Hunault model with serum AMH to predict the probabilities of achieving a natural conception leading to live birth. RESULTS: A total of 325 couples were included in the final analysis. The estimated cumulative proability of achieving natural conception leading to live birth within 12 months was 20.9% (95% CI 12.9% to 28.2%). The categorical net reclassification improvement of AMH is 7.6%. For couples with a predicted chance of natural conception changed from poor (<30%) by the reference model to good (≥30%) by the updated model, the cumulative natural conception rate leading to live birth was 52.0%. For couples who had predicted chance of natural conception changed from good to poor by the updated model, the rate was 18.9%. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of serum AMH to the routine fertility work-up may improve prognosis-based treatment policy and help to prevent unnecessary costs and stress for couples. Prospective validation of the updated model with AMH is required before clinical application.

The de novo aberration rate of prenatal karyotype was comparable between 1496 fetuses conceived via IVF/ICSI and 1396 fetuses from natural conception.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the cytogenetic risk of assisted reproductive technology (ART) by comparing the incidence of de novo chromosomal abnormalities between fetuses conceived via in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) and natural conception. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Prenatal invasive diagnostic testing (amniocentesis and cytogenetic analysis) was performed on 1496 fetuses conceived via IVF/ICSI (IVF/ICSI group) and 1396 fetuses from natural conception (NC group). The incidence of de novo chromosomal abnormalities (including aneuploidy and chromosomal structure abnormalities) was used to evaluate the cytogenetic risk of ART. For statistical analysis, χ2-test was used for binary dependent variable. The significance level was P < 0.05 and confidence interval was 95%. RESULT(S): The IVF/ICSI group displayed a modest increase in the overall de novo chromosomal abnormality rate compared with that in the NC group but with no statistical significance (6.75% vs. 6.16%; χ2 = 0.42, P > 0.05). The incidence of abnormal karyotypes was also not significantly different between the IVF/ICSI and NC groups in different maternal ages, including ≥ 35 years group (7.55% vs. 9.60%, χ2 = 1.40, P > 0.05) and < 35 years group (6.20% vs. 4.54%, χ2 = 2.51, P > 0.05). Moreover, there was no difference in the proportion of aneuploid and structural abnormalities in detected karyotypes between the IVF/ICSI and NC groups. Logistic regression analysis showed no significant association between the method of pregnancy and de novo chromosomal abnormalities (odds ratio (OR) 1.03; 95% CI 0.71-1.50; P = 0.86) after adjusting for other confounding factors. CONCLUSION(S): Fetuses conceived via IVF/ICSI had a slight but not statistically significant increase in de novo abnormal karyotypes compared to those in naturally conceived fetuses. Our findings indicate no significant association between de novo fetal chromosomal abnormalities and the pregnancy method in high-risk pregnancies in the second trimester. For these pregnancies with a high risk but with a normal karyotype, further genetic testing is required for diagnosis.

A Multidisciplinary Quality of Care Path For Couple Infertility: Development of An Integrated Approach Founded on A Multidisciplinary, Personalistic, and Ecological Model For Couple Fertility.

The Path of Fertile Family (FFP) is a service for couples experiencing infertility, aimed to obtain natural conception, as an alternative to assisted reproductive techniques, developed in 2018 and provided by the Counseling Centre of Centro della Famiglia Foundation, an institute of culture and pastoral care of the Diocese of Treviso, in cooperation with the local socio-health unit. FFP offers to infertile couples a specific multidisciplinary path of care, including the involvement of specific gynecological, andrological, endocrinological, and psycho-relational competences, together with fertility awareness. It represents an "experiential laboratory" for the multidisciplinary diagnosis and treatment of infertility, for understanding relational processes, for the development of operational strategies and above all for the verification of the goodness of a lifestyle that is able to harmonize the couple's project and the family's project, couple satisfaction and parental openness. The setting of the service draws inspiration and reference from three paradigms from which significant ethical choices derive: the ecological perspective of fertility, the relational intimacy of the couple and a multidisciplinary approach. From the three founding paradigms, FFP model has been developed and progressively implemented in order to define a specific FFP Quality of Care Path (QCP) for couple infertility. Although further studies are needed to better clarify the role of each studied variable in a complex monitoring system, we identified for the first time a QCP Path based on 7 variables we present here two illustrative cases: the first one in which a natural conception has been obtained and the second one, in which the focus has been moved from natural conception to the reconstruction of relational competence. Further studies will demonstrate, on large scale, the efficacy of our protocol and of the analyzed variables. Summary: This paper provides an overview of the conceptual and methodological process of implementing the monitoring of the path of infertile couples towards natural conception in harmony with their relational life project. A multi-professional team accompanies couples in overcoming the obstacles to fertility and in the progressive awareness that parenting is not only biological. The result is a range of goals to strive for. The reference paradigms of the service justify the ethical choices of the couple and the team. The operating protocol supports the couple commitment and guides professionals in their effective action if competent and concerted. The variables identified are the monitoring tool that gradually indicates the degree of the path progress.

Preterm delivery risk in infertile women who conceived after reproductive surgery: natural conception versus IVF/ICSI.

STUDY QUESTION: Is preterm delivery an infertility treatment-related adverse outcome in infertile women who conceived after reproductive surgery? SUMMARY ANSWER: Compared with matched fertile women, preterm delivery appears to be a modest infertility treatment-related adverse outcome in infertile women who have reproductive surgery then conceived naturally or after IVF/ICSI. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Most observational studies have shown that women who receive any infertility treatment are more likely to deliver preterm than do fertile women. However, studies on the outcome of pregnancies in infertile women who conceive naturally after reproductive surgery are scarce. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This was a single-centre historical two-part study: cohort and matched cohort study. Anonymized data of 761 infertile women who conceived after reproductive surgery and 758 fertile women were obtained by linking three computerized databases from 1 July 2012 to 31 December 2015. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: In the cohort study, we evaluated the association between the mode of conception and preterm delivery <37 and <32 gestational weeks in 703 infertile women, with a singleton pregnancy who conceived after reproductive surgery, using logistic regression adjusted for relevant co-variates to calculate the adjusted odds ratio with a 95% CI. In the matched cohort study, we evaluated preterm delivery as infertility treatment-related adverse outcome using the propensity score (PS) method. The matched cohort comprised 758 infertile women and 758 fertile women with a twin or singleton pregnancy. Infertile women conceived after reproductive surgery either naturally or through IVF/ICSI. Infertile and fertile women were matched using PS matching. Infertile and fertile women were matched for pre-defined risk factors for preterm delivery. Three infertile women out of an original 761 were not included in the analysis because they lacked all required matching variables. We performed a 1:1 matching with an optimal matching algorithm with a caliper width of the linear predictor of 0.1 standard deviations. The effect of reproductive surgery on preterm delivery was evaluated in the PS-matched sample using Pearson's χ2 test and presented as the odds ratio (OR) with 95% CI. All women delivered at the Department of Perinatology, University Medical Centre Ljubljana, Slovenia. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Among 761 infertile women who conceived after reproductive surgery, 428 (56.2%) women conceived naturally and 333 (43.8%) conceived after IVF/ICSI. The incidence of twin pregnancies was significantly lower after natural conception (2.6% vs 14.1%). Among the 703 infertile women with a singleton pregnancy, 417 (59.3%) conceived naturally and 286 (40.7%) conceived after IVF/ICSI. Adjusted for maternal age and parity in infertile women with singleton pregnancies, IVF/ICSI showed a moderate association with preterm delivery <32 weeks. Compared with natural conception after reproductive surgery, the odds for preterm delivery after IVF/ICSI was 1.07 (95% CI 0.63-1.81) <37 weeks and 2.25 (95% CI 0.80-6.34) <32 weeks. Preterm delivery appears to be a modest infertility treatment-related adverse outcome. Compared with fertile women in the PS-matched sample, infertile women who conceived after reproductive surgery either naturally or after IVF/ICSI the odds of preterm delivery <37 weeks were 1.31 (95% CI 0.97-1.78) and odds of preterm delivery <32 weeks were 1.57 (95% CI 0.78-3.18). However, none of the estimations were statistically significant. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The main limitations of the study were the retrospective design, the heterogeneity of the types of reproductive surgery performed and underlying reproductive pathologies. The low number of preterm deliveries in the present study might influence the precision of estimations. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: The present study aims to alter the prevailing opinion that reproductive surgery should only be considered preceding IVF to increase implantation and pregnancy rates after IVF. It implies that in selected infertile women who have had reproductive surgery, a high rate of natural conception, a low rate of multiple pregnancies, and a modest infertility treatment-related effect on preterm delivery should be the reasons to encourage natural conception after reproductive surgery. Furthermore, by allowing for natural conception, we can avoid a high-cost invasive medical procedure. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): The study received no funding. We have no competing interest to declare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Fertility in patients with untreated rectosigmoid endometriosis.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Several studies have investigated reproductive outcomes following surgical treatment of colorectal endometriosis, mainly segmental colorectal resection. This study examines pregnancy and live birth rates of women with rectosigmoid endometriosis not treated by surgery. DESIGN: A retrospective analysis of data collected between May 2009 and January 2020 related to 215 women affected by rectosigmoid endometriosis wishing to conceive. Patients had a diagnosis of rectosigmoid endometriosis by transvaginal ultrasonography and magnetic resonance imaging enema. Patients with estimated bowel stenosis >70% at computed tomographic colonography and/or subocclusive/occlusive symptoms were excluded. RESULTS: During the median length of follow-up of 31 months (range 13-63 months), the total pregnancy and live birth rates of the study population were 47.9% and 45.1%, respectively. Sixty-two women had a live birth after natural conception (28.8%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 22.8-35.6%) with a median time required to conceive of 10 months (range 2-34 months). Eighty-three women underwent infertility treatments (38.6%, 95% CI 32.1-45.5%); among these, 68 patients underwent IVF either directly (n = 51) or after intrauterine insemination (IUI) failure (n = 17). Time to conception was significantly higher in women having conceived by IVF than in those having conceived naturally (P < 0.001) or by IUI (P = 0.006). In patients undergoing IVF cycles, a worsening of some pain and intestinal symptoms was observed. CONCLUSIONS: At median follow-up of 31 months, women with rectosigmoid endometriosis have a 48% pregnancy rate. However, these patients must be referred to centres specialized in managing endometriosis to properly assess symptoms and degree of bowel stenosis.

Does contemporary ART lead to pre-eclampsia? A cohort study and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: Recent publications suggested that the risk for pre-eclampsia (PE) is higher with frozen-thawed embryo transfers (FETs) compared to fresh transfers (IVF-ETs). These studies were based on old data that reflects outdated practices. In this paper, we wanted to assess the incidence of PE in current assisted reproductive technology (ART) practice. METHODS: In this cohort study, we present the incidence of PE in all births in the province of Ontario, Canada, for the years 2013-2017 for FET, IVF-ET, and natural conceptions (NC). We also compare our findings to previous studies in a meta-analysis that includes over 4 million births. RESULTS: The results of our study show that contemporary practice of ART results in comparable risk for PE between FET and IVF-ET; however, the risk is higher than NC. CONCLUSION: Current ART practice is associated with a lower risk for PE in frozen embryo transfer; this RR can be further attenuated by using ovulatory endometrial preparation for FETs.

Comorbidities, risk factors and maternal/perinatal outcomes in oocyte donation pregnancies.

RESEARCH QUESTION: To evaluate pre-existing comorbidities, obstetric risk factors and adverse obstetric and neonatal outcomes in pregnancies conceived by oocyte donation, compared with naturally conceived pregnancies or by conventional IVF/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI). DESIGN: This retrospective single-centre contemporary cohort study reviewed data from singleton deliveries at the University Hospital of Careggi, Florence, from 2009 to 2017. Maternal and perinatal outcomes were analysed. RESULTS: The study included 25,851 pregnancies and newborns: 276 (1.1%) children were conceived after oocyte donation, 925 (3.6%) after IVF/ICSI and 24,650 (95.4%) after natural conception. Women in the oocyte donation group were significantly older compared with IVF/ICSI and natural conception groups (P < 0.0001) and had a higher prevalence of chronic hypertension compared with the natural conception group (P = 0.0090). They were administered anticoagulant medications more frequently during pregnancy. The incidence of gestational hypertension was significantly higher than in natural conception (aOR 3.6) and IVF/ICSI pregnancies (aOR 2.7). The incidence of Caesarean section in oocyte donation pregnancies was higher than in natural conception and IVF/ICSI groups (aOR 3.4 and 2.3, respectively). An 11-fold increased risk of post-partum haemorrhage (PPH) was found in oocyte donation versus natural conception and an almost four-fold increased risk was found in oocyte donation versus IVF/ICSI; prematurity and low birthweight were more frequent after oocyte donation versus natural conception (aOR 2.4 and 1.8, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing oocyte donation represent a group with increased comorbidities and risk factors for adverse obstetric outcomes. Oocyte donation seems to be independently associated with gestational hypertension and PPH. Pregnancies after oocyte donation warrant clinical surveillance with proper screening and, possibly, preventive strategies.

Comparison of general maternal and neonatal conditions and clinical outcomes between embryo transfer and natural conception.

BACKGROUND: To examine the differences between pregnant women who underwent embryo transfer (ET) and those who conceived naturally, as well as differences in their respective babies, and to determine the causes for these differences, to provide recommendations for women who are planning to undergo ET. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed of women who had received ET and those who had natural conception (NC) who received medical services during pregnancy and had their babies delivered at the Shunde Women and Children's Hospital of Guangdong Medical University, China between January 2016 and December 2018. In line with the requirements of the ethics committee, before the formal investigation, we first explained the content of the informed consent of the patient to the patient, and all the subjects included agreed to the content of the informed consent of the patient. Respondents agreed to visit and analyze their medical records under reasonable conditions. Each case in an ET group of 321 women was randomly matched with three cases of NC (963 cases) who delivered on the same day. The demographic information, past history, pregnancy and delivery history, and maternal and neonatal outcomes of the two groups were compared using univariate analysis. RESULTS: Age, duration of hospitalization, number of pregnancies, number of miscarriages, induced abortion, ectopic pregnancy, gestational diabetes mellitus, preeclampsia, gestational anemia, pregnancy risk, mode of fetal delivery, and number of births were significantly different between the two groups (all P < 0.05). However, there were no significant differences in the disease, allergy, infection and blood transfusion histories of the pregnant women, or differences in prevalence of gestational hypothyroidism, gestational respiratory infection, premature rupture of membrane, placental abruption, fetal death, stillbirth, amniotic fluid volume and amniotic fluid clarity between the two groups (all P > 0.05). The percentages for low birth weight and premature birth were significantly higher in the ET group than in the NC group. In contrast, infant gender and prevalence of fetal macrosomia, fetal anomaly, neonatal asphyxia, and extremely low birth weight were not significantly different between the two groups (all P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The clinical outcomes of mothers and the birth status of infants were better in the NC group than in the ET group. Maternal health must be closely monitored and improved in the ET group to reduce the incidence of gestational comorbidity and enhance the quality of fetal life.

IVF for unexplained subfertility; whom should we treat?

STUDY QUESTION: Which couples with unexplained subfertility can expect increased chances of ongoing pregnancy with IVF compared to expectant management? SUMMARY ANSWER: For couples in which the woman is under 40 years of age, IVF is associated with higher chances of conception than expectant management. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The clinical indications for IVF have expanded over time from bilateral tubal blockage to include unexplained subfertility in which there is no identifiable barrier to conception. Yet, there is little evidence from randomized controlled trials that IVF is effective in these couples. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: We compared outcomes in British couples with unexplained subfertility undergoing IVF (n = 40 921) from registry data to couples with the same type of subfertility on expectant management. Those couples on expectant management (defined as no intervention aside from the advice to have intercourse) comprised a prospective nation-wide Dutch cohort (n = 4875) and a retrospective regional cohort from Aberdeen, Scotland (n = 975). We excluded couples who had tried for <1 year to conceive and also those with anovulation, uni- or bilateral tubal occlusion, mild or severe endometriosis or male subfertility i.e. impaired semen quality according to World Health Organization criteria. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: We matched couples who received IVF and couples on expectant management based on their characteristics to control for confounding. We fitted a Cox proportional hazards model including patient characteristics, IVF treatment and their interactions to estimate the individualized chance of conception over 1 year-either following IVF or expectant management for all combinations of patient characteristics. The endpoint was conception leading to ongoing pregnancy, defined as a foetus reaching a gestational age of at least 12 weeks. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The adjusted 1-year chance of conception was 47.9% (95% CI: 45.0-50.9) after IVF and 26.1% (95% CI: 24.2-28.0) after expectant management. The absolute difference in the average adjusted 1-year chances of conception was 21.8% (95%CI: 18.3-25.3) in favour of IVF. The effectiveness of IVF was influenced by female age, duration of subfertility and previous pregnancy. IVF was effective in women under 40 years, but the 1-year chance of an IVF conception declined sharply in women over 34 years. In contrast, in woman over 40 years of age, IVF was less effective, with an absolute difference in chance compared to expectant management of 10% or lower. Regardless of female age, IVF was also less effective in couples with a short period of secondary subfertility (1 year) who had chances of natural conception of 30% or above. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The 1-year chances of conception were based on three cohorts with different sampling mechanisms. Despite adjustment for the three most important prognostic patient characteristics, namely female age, duration of subfertility and primary or secondary subfertility, our estimates might not be free from residual confounding. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: IVF should be used selectively based on judgements on gain compared to continuing expectant management for a given couple. Our results can be used by clinicians to counsel couples with unexplained subfertility, to inform their expectations and facilitate evidence-based, shared decision making. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This work was supported by Tenovus Scotland [grant G17.04]. Travel for RvE was supported by the Amsterdam Reproduction & Development Research Group [grant V.000296]. SB reports acting as editor-in-chief of HROpen. Other authors have no conflicts.

The therapeutic effect of hysterosalpingography in couples with unexplained subfertility: a post-hoc analysis of a prospective multi-centre cohort study.

RESEARCH QUESTION: Hysterosalpingography (HSG) with an oil-based contrast has been shown to increase ongoing pregnancy rates compared with HSG with water-based contrast, but it remains unclear if an effect of HSG occurs compared with no HSG. DESIGN: A secondary data-analysis of a prospective cohort study among 4556 couples that presented with unexplained subfertility in 38 clinics in the Netherlands between January 2002 and December 2004. A time-varying Cox regression with inverse probability of treatment weighing was used to analyse ongoing pregnancy rates in women after undergoing the HSG procedure (with the use of either water- or oil-based contrast media) compared with women who did not undergo HSG. RESULTS: The probability of natural conception within 24 months after first presentation at the fertility clinic was increased after HSG, regardless of the type of contrast medium used, compared with no HSG (adjusted hazard ratio 1.48, 95% CI 1.26 to 1.73, corresponding to an absolute increase in 6-month pregnancy rate of +6%). When this analysis was limited to HSGs that were made with water-contrast, the treatment effect remained (adjusted hazard ratio 1.40, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.70). CONCLUSIONS: HSG increases the ongoing pregnancy rate of couples with unexplained subfertility compared with no HSG, regardless of the contrast medium used. Results need to be validated in future, preferably randomized, studies.

Efficient treatment of chronic endometritis through a novel approach of intrauterine antibiotic infusion: a case series.

BACKGROUND: Early diagnosis and efficient management of Chronic Endometritis (CE) in patients seeking fertility treatment are two components every practitioner wishes to address. With respect to endometrial restoration, antibiotic treatment appears to perform well. However, regarding the improvement of In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) success rates, literature evidence is inconclusive, and consensus on optimal treatment has yet to be reached. This manuscript uniquely brings to literature the first report on effective employment of intrauterine antibiotic infusion to treat CE and contribute to addressing the infertility related to it. CASE PRESENTATION: In this case series, we present 3 patients reporting numerous previous failed IVF attempts accompanied with diagnosed CE which failed to be properly treated in the past. Following initial assessment in our clinic and verification of CE findings, an oral antibiotic regime was administered based on the infectious agent detected. Re-evaluation concluded slightly improved microbiological environment in the endometrium but persisting inflammation. Antibiotic intrauterine infusion was proposed to the patients as an alternative practice. All our patients achieved a pregnancy shortly following intrauterine treatment with one patient reporting a live birth of twin babies and two patients currently reporting an ongoing pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: The implications of this case series contribute to medical knowledge and extend to both effective treatment of CE and subsequent management of related infertility. The current line of treatment of CE through oral antibiotic regimes highlights the need for exploring new options and calls for larger studies on the clinical implication of their use. This novel approach enabled natural conception for patients presenting with established Recurrent Implantation Failure (RIF) having undergone numerous futile IVF attempts. The clinical impact from the practitioner's perspective is considerable allowing for an alternative line of treatment that merits further investigation.

The Endometriosis Fertility Index Is Useful for Predicting the Ability to Conceive without Assisted Reproductive Technology Treatment after Laparoscopic Surgery, Regardless of Endometriosis.

OBJECTIVE: The endometriosis fertility index (EFI) is a novel index for predicting pregnancy after surgery. We investigated the utility of the EFI for predicting the ability to conceive without assisted reproductive technology (ART) treatment after laparoscopic surgery. METHODS: From July 2011 through December 2012, we recruited 133 infertile patients who underwent laparoscopy, and the EFI was calculated. After surgery, 55 of 133 achieved pregnancy without ART treatment. We evaluated the factors that predicted a naturally successful pregnancy and compared them between the pregnant and non-pregnant subjects. RESULTS: On a univariate linear regression analysis, we found that a younger age, shorter duration of infertility, and higher EFI were positively associated with a successful pregnancy without ART after laparoscopic surgery (p < 0.05). According to 50th percentile EFI, the cutoff EFI predicting a successful pregnancy without ART was 7, the pregnancy rate in the high-EFI group (EFI; 8-10) was significantly higher than that in the low-EFI group (EFI ≤7; p < 0.05), but the duration to natural conception after surgery was similar between the 2 groups. CONCLUSION: The EFI possesses greater predictive power for a successful pregnancy with natural intercourse or intrauterine insemination in infertile patients, regardless of endometriosis, than the Revised-American Society of Reproductive Medicine classification.

Natural conception: repeated predictions over time.

STUDY QUESTION: How can we predict chances of natural conception at various time points in couples diagnosed with unexplained subfertility? SUMMARY ANSWER: We developed a dynamic prediction model that can make repeated predictions over time for couples with unexplained subfertility that underwent a fertility workup at a fertility clinic. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The most frequently used prediction model for natural conception (the 'Hunault model') estimates the probability of natural conception only once per couple, that is, after completion of the fertility workup. This model cannot be used for a second or third time for couples who wish to know their renewed chances after a certain period of expectant management. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A prospective cohort studying the long-term follow-up of subfertile couples included in 38 centres in the Netherlands between January 2002 and February 2004. Couples with bilateral tubal occlusion, anovulation or a total motile sperm count <1 × 106 were excluded. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: The primary endpoint was time to natural conception, leading to an ongoing pregnancy. Follow-up time was censored at the start of treatment or at the last date of contact. In developing the new dynamic prediction model, we used the same predictors as the Hunault model, i.e. female age, duration of subfertility, female subfertility being primary or secondary, sperm motility and referral status. The performance of the model was evaluated in terms of calibration and discrimination. Additionally, we assessed the utility of the model in terms of the variability of the calculated predictions. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Of the 4999 couples in the cohort, 1053 (21%) women reached a natural conception leading to an ongoing pregnancy within a mean follow-up of 8 months (5th and 95th percentile: 1-21). Our newly developed dynamic prediction model estimated the median probability of conceiving in the first year after the completion of the fertility workup at 27%. For couples not yet pregnant after half a year, after one year and after one and a half years of expectant management, the median probability of conceiving over the next year was estimated at 20, 15 and 13%, respectively. The model performed fair in an internal validation. The prediction ranges were sufficiently broad to aid in counselling couples for at least two years after their fertility workup. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The dynamic prediction model needs to be validated in an external population. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This dynamic prediction model allows reassessment of natural conception chances after various periods of unsuccessful expectant management. This gives valuable information to counsel couples with unexplained subfertility that are seen for a fertility workup. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS: This study was facilitated by grant 945/12/002 from ZonMW, The Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development, The Hague, The Netherlands. No competing interests.

Fallopian tube catheterization in the treatment of proximal tubal obstruction: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Study question: What is the chance of clinical pregnancy when fallopian tube catheterization is used for proximal tubal obstruction? Summary answer: The pooled clinical pregnancy rate of tubal catheterization after proximal tubal obstruction is 27% (95% CI 25-30%). What is known already: Restoring fallopian tube patency by performing tubal catheterization has fallen out of favour since the increased availability of IVF. Our study is the first systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate reproductive outcomes following tubal catheterization for proximal tubal obstruction. Study design, size, duration: We undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis of 27 observational studies consisting of 1720 patients undergoing tubal catheterization for proximal tubal obstruction, who attempted to conceive naturally after the procedure. Participants/materials, setting, methods: Systematic literature searches were performed in MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. A total of 2195 titles and abstracts were reviewed. Only studies that reported outcomes when tubal catheterization was performed with no other tubal surgery were included. Twenty-seven cohort studies matched the inclusion criteria for the meta-analysis. Main results and the role of chance: The meta-analysis showed a pooled clinical pregnancy rate of 27% (95% CI 25-30%) after the use of tubal catheterization for unilateral or bilateral proximal tubal obstruction (27 studies, 1556 patients). In women with bilateral obstruction (14 studies, 617 patients), the clinical pregnancy rate was 27% (95% CI 23-32%). Our meta-analysis demonstrated that the pooled cumulative clinical pregnancy rates were 22.3% (95% CI 17.8-27.8%) at 6 months, 25.8% (95% CI 21.1-31.5%) at 9 months, 26.4% (95% CI 23.0-30.2%) at 12 months, 26.0% (95% CI 22.8-29.7%) at 18 months, 27.0% (95% CI 24.0-30.5%) at 24 months, 27.9% (95% CI 24.9-31.3%) at 36 months and 28.5% (95% CI 25.5-31.8%) at 48 months. The pooled live birth rate (14 studies, 551 patients) was 22% (95% CI 18-26%). The pooled ectopic pregnancy rate (27 studies, 1556 patients) was 4% (95% CI 3-5%). The included studies scored satisfactorily on the Newcastle-Ottawa quality assessment scale. Limitations, reasons for caution: The pooled clinical pregnancy rate after tubal catheterization was found to be almost comparable to that after IVF. However, included studies were small, non-comparative series with significant clinical heterogeneity in population characteristics, follow-up and surgical equipment, technique and experience. Wider implications of the findings: These findings suggest fallopian tube catheterization as an alternative strategy to IVF in patients presenting with proximal tubal obstruction. Further research should focus on comparing different surgical techniques of fallopian tube catheterization with IVF and provide cumulative reproductive outcomes over long-term follow-up. Study funding/competing interest(s): No funding was required and the authors have no competing interests to declare. Registration number: N/A.

Constructing the crystal ball: how to get reliable prognostic information for the management of subfertile couples.

Couples in whom the results of an initial fertility workup fail to identify the presence of any obvious barriers to conception are diagnosed with unexplained subfertility. Couples who have tried to conceive for a relatively short time have a good chance of natural conception and thus may not benefit from immediate access to ART. As fertility decreases over time, the main dilemma that clinicians and couples face is when to abandon an expectant approach in favour of active treatment. Several prognostic or predictive models have been used to try to discriminate between couples with high and low chances of conception but have been unable to compare individualized chances of conception associated with ART relative to chances of natural conception at various time points. These models are also unable to recalculate the chances of pregnancy at subsequent time points in those who return after a period of unsuccessful expectant management. In this paper, we discuss currently available models. We conclude that in order to provide accurate, individualized and dynamic fertility prognoses associated with and without treatment at different points in time, we need to develop, validate and update clinical prediction models which are fit for purpose. We suggest several steps to move the field forwards.

The long-term prognosis for live birth in couples initiating fertility treatments.

STUDY QUESTION: What are the long-term chances of having a child for couples starting fertility treatments and how many conceive with ART, IUI and without treatment? SUMMARY ANSWER: Total 5-year live birthrates were strongly influenced by female age and ranged from 80% in women under 35-26% in women ≥40 years, overall, 14% of couples conceived naturally and one-third of couples starting treatments with intrauterine insemination delivered from that treatment. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Few studies report success rates in fertility treatments across a couple's complete fertility treatment history, across clinics, evaluating live births after insemination, ART and natural conceptions. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This register-based national cohort study from Denmark includes all women initiating fertility treatments in public and private clinics with homologous gametes in 2007-2010. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Women were identified in the Danish ART Registry and were cross-linked with the Medical Birth Registry to identify live births. Subfertile couples were followed 2 years (N = 19 884), 3 years (N = 14 445) and 5 years (N = 5165), or until their first live birth. Cumulative live birthrates were estimated 2, 3 and 5 years from the first treatment cycle, in all women, including drop-outs. Birthrates were stratified by type of first treatment (ART/IUI), mode of conception (ART/IUI/natural conception) and female age. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Within 5 years, in women aged <35 years (N = 3553), 35-39 years (N = 1156) and ≥40 years (N = 451), a total of 64%, 49% and 16% had a live birth due to treatment, respectively. Additionally, in women aged < 35 years, 35-39 years and ≥40 years, 16%, 11% and 10% delivered after natural conception, yielding total 5-year birthrates of 80%, 60% and 26%. In women starting treatments with IUI (N = 3028), 35% delivered after IUI within 5 years, 24% delivered after shift to ART treatments and 17% delivered after natural conception. Within 5 years from starting treatments with ART (N = 2137), 53% delivered after ART, 11% delivered after natural conception and 0.6% delivered after IUI. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Birthrates are most likely higher compared to countries without national coverage of treatments and results are influenced by laws and regulations. Information on duration of infertility prior to treatment was not available. Future prospective intervention studies should focus on the role of expectant management. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Our results can provide couples with a comprehensible age-stratified prognosis at start of treatment. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was unconditionally funded by Ferring Pharmaceuticals and the Augustinus foundation. All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare: S.S.M. received an unconditional grant from Ferring Pharmaceuticals; A.A.H. has received personal fees from Ferring Pharmaceuticals not related to this work; A.N.A. reports grants and personal fees from Ferring Pharmaceuticals, personal fees from Merck Serono, grants and personal fees from MSD, outside the submitted work; no financial relationships with any organizations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous 3 years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The study was approved by the Danish Data Protection Agency (J.nr. 2012-41-1330).