Estimating causal effects for binary outcomes using per-decision inverse probability weighting.

Micro-randomized trials are commonly conducted for optimizing mobile health interventions such as push notifications for behavior change. In analyzing such trials, causal excursion effects are often of primary interest, and their estimation typically involves inverse probability weighting (IPW). However, in a micro-randomized trial, additional treatments can often occur during the time window over which an outcome is defined, and this can greatly inflate the variance of the causal effect estimator because IPW would involve a product of numerous weights. To reduce variance and improve estimation efficiency, we propose two new estimators using a modified version of IPW, which we call "per-decision IPW." The second estimator further improves efficiency using the projection idea from the semiparametric efficiency theory. These estimators are applicable when the outcome is binary and can be expressed as the maximum of a series of sub-outcomes defined over sub-intervals of time. We establish the estimators' consistency and asymptotic normality. Through simulation studies and real data applications, we demonstrate substantial efficiency improvement of the proposed estimator over existing estimators. The new estimators can be used to improve the precision of primary and secondary analyses for micro-randomized trials with binary outcomes.

Association Between SARS-CoV-2 Viral Load and COVID-19 Vaccination in 4 Phase 3 Trials.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines reduce severe disease and mortality and may lessen transmission, measured by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) viral load (VL). Evaluating vaccine associations in VL at COVID-19 diagnosis in 4 phase 3 randomized, placebo-controlled vaccine trials, July 2020 to July 2021, VL reductions were 2.78 log10 copies/mL (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.38-4.18; n = 60 placebo, 11 vaccine) and 2.12 log10 copies/mL (95% CI, 1.44-2.80; n = 594 placebo, 36 vaccine) for NVX-CoV2373 and mRNA-1273, respectively. Associations were not significant for AZD1222 (0.59 log10 copies/mL; 95% CI, -.19 to 1.36; n = 90 placebo, 78 vaccine) or Ad26.COV2.S (0.23 log10 copies/mL; 95% CI, -.01 to .47; n = 916 placebo, 424 vaccine). Thus, vaccines potentially decreased transmission when ancestral SARS-CoV-2 predominated. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT04470427, NCT04505722, NCT04516746, NCT04611802.

Eliminating Medication Copayments for Low-Income Older Adults at High Cardiovascular Risk: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: One in eight people with heart disease has poor medication adherence that, in part, is related to copayment costs. This study tested whether eliminating copayments for high-value medications among low-income older adults at high cardiovascular risk would improve clinical outcomes. METHODS: This randomized 2×2 factorial trial studied 2 distinct interventions in Alberta, Canada: eliminating copayments for high-value preventive medications and a self-management education and support program (reported separately). The findings for the first intervention, which waived the usual 30% copayment on 15 medication classes commonly used to reduce cardiovascular events, compared with usual copayment, is reported here. The primary outcome was the composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularization, and cardiovascular-related hospitalizations over a 3-year follow-up. Rates of the primary outcome and its components were compared using negative binomial regression. Secondary outcomes included quality of life (Euroqol 5-dimension index score), medication adherence, and overall health care costs. RESULTS: A total of 4761 individuals were randomized and followed for a median of 36 months. There was no evidence of statistical interaction (P=0.99) or of a synergistic effect between the 2 interventions in the factorial trial with respect to the primary outcome, which allowed us to evaluate the effect of each intervention separately. The rate of the primary outcome was not reduced by copayment elimination, (521 versus 533 events, incidence rate ratio 0.84 [95% CI, 0.66-1.07], P=0.162). The incidence rate ratio for nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, and cardiovascular death (0.97 [95% CI, 0.67-1.39]), death (0.94 [95% CI, 0.80 to 1.11]), and cardiovascular-related hospitalizations (0.78 [95% CI, 0.57 to 1.06]) did not differ between groups. No significant between-group changes in quality of life over time were observed (mean difference, 0.012 [95% CI, -0.006 to 0.030], P=0.19). The proportion of participants who were adherent to statins was 0.72 versus 0.69 for the copayment elimination versus usual copayment groups, respectively (mean difference, 0.03 [95% CI, 0.006-0.06], P=0.016). Overall adjusted health care costs did not differ ($3575 [95% CI, -605 to 7168], P=0.098). CONCLUSIONS: In low-income adults at high cardiovascular risk, eliminating copayments (average, $35/mo) did not improve clinical outcomes or reduce health care costs, despite a modest improvement in adherence to medications. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT02579655.

Opportunistic Treatment of Hepatitis C Infection Among Hospitalized People Who Inject Drugs (OPPORTUNI-C): A Stepped Wedge Cluster Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of opportunistic treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection among hospitalized people who inject drugs (PWID). METHODS: We performed a pragmatic, stepped wedge cluster randomized trial recruiting HCV RNA positive individuals admitted for inpatient care in departments of internal medicine, addiction medicine, and psychiatry at three hospitals in Oslo, Norway. Seven departments were sequentially randomized to change from control conditions (standard of care referral to outpatient care) to intervention conditions (immediate treatment initiation). The primary outcome was treatment completion, defined as dispensing the final package of the prescribed treatment within six months after enrolment. RESULTS: A total of 200 HCV RNA positive individuals were enrolled between 1 October 2019 and 31 December 2021 (mean age 47.4 years, 72.5% male, 60.5% injected past 3 months, 20.4% cirrhosis). Treatment completion was accomplished by 67 of 98 (68.4% [95% confidence interval {CI}: 58.2-77.4]) during intervention conditions and by 36 of 102 (35.3% [95% CI: 26.1-45.4]) during control conditions (risk difference 33.1% [95% CI: 20.0-46.2]; risk ratio 1.9 [95% CI: 1.4-2.6]). The intervention was superior in terms of treatment completion (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 4.8 [95% CI: 1.8-12.8]; P = .002) and time to treatment initiation (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 4.0 [95% CI: 2.5-6.3]; P < .001). Sustained virologic response was documented in 60 of 98 (61.2% [95% CI: 50.8-70.9]) during intervention and in 66 of 102 (64.7% [95% CI: 54.6-73.9]) during control conditions. CONCLUSIONS: An opportunistic test-and-treat approach to HCV infection was superior to standard of care among hospitalized PWID. The model of care should be considered for broader implementation. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT04220645.

Low-dose acetylsalicylic acid reduces local inflammation and tissue perfusion in dense breast tissue in postmenopausal women.

PURPOSE: One major risk factor for breast cancer is high mammographic density. It has been estimated that dense breast tissue contributes to ~ 30% of all breast cancer. Prevention targeting dense breast tissue has the potential to improve breast cancer mortality and morbidity. Anti-estrogens, which may be associated with severe side-effects, can be used for prevention of breast cancer in women with high risk of the disease per se. However, no preventive therapy targeting dense breasts is currently available. Inflammation is a hallmark of cancer. Although the biological mechanisms involved in the increased risk of cancer in dense breasts is not yet fully understood, high mammographic density has been associated with increased inflammation. We investigated whether low-dose acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) affects local breast tissue inflammation and/or structural and dynamic changes in dense breasts. METHODS: Postmenopausal women with mammographic dense breasts on their regular mammography screen were identified. A total of 53 women were randomized to receive ASA 160 mg/day or no treatment for 6 months. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was performed before and after 6 months for a sophisticated and continuous measure breast density by calculating lean tissue fraction (LTF). Additionally, dynamic quantifications including tissue perfusion were performed. Microdialysis for sampling of proteins in vivo from breasts and abdominal subcutaneous fat, as a measure of systemic effects, before and after 6 months were performed. A panel of 92 inflammatory proteins were quantified in the microdialysates using proximity extension assay. RESULTS: After correction for false discovery rate, 20 of the 92 inflammatory proteins were significantly decreased in breast tissue after ASA treatment, whereas no systemic effects were detected. In the no-treatment group, protein levels were unaffected. Breast density, measured by LTF on MRI, were unaffected in both groups. ASA significantly decreased the perfusion rate. The perfusion rate correlated positively with local breast tissue concentration of VEGF. CONCLUSIONS: ASA may shape the local breast tissue microenvironment into an anti-tumorigenic state. Trials investigating the effects of low-dose ASA and risk of primary breast cancer among postmenopausal women with maintained high mammographic density are warranted. Trial registration EudraCT: 2017-000317-22.

A Phase II randomized controlled trial evaluated antithrombotic treatment with fesomersen in patients with kidney failure on hemodialysis.

Patients with kidney failure on hemodialysis (KF-HD) are at high risk for both atherothrombotic events and bleeding. This Phase IIb study evaluated the dose-response of fesomersen, an inhibitor of hepatic Factor XI expression, versus placebo, for bleeding and atherothrombosis in patients with KF-HD. Patients were randomized to receive fesomersen 40, 80, or 120 mg once-monthly, or matching placebo, for up to 12 months. The primary safety endpoint was a composite of major bleeding and clinically relevant non-major bleeding (MB/CRNMB). Exploratory endpoints included post-dialysis arterio-venous (AV)-access bleeding, major atherothrombotic events (composite of fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, acute limb ischemia/major amputation, systemic embolism, symptomatic venous thromboembolism), AV-access thrombosis, and clotting of the hemodialysis circuit. Of 308 participants randomized, 307 received study treatment and were analyzed. Fesomersen led to a dose-dependent and sustained reduction of steady-state median FXI levels by 53.6% (40 mg group), 71.3% (80 mg group), 86.0% (120 mg group), versus 1.9% in the placebo group. MB/CRNMB events occurred in 6.5% (40 mg group), 5.1% (80 mg group), 3.9% (120 mg group), and in 4.0% of those receiving placebo (pooled fesomersen versus placebo P = 0.78). Major atherothrombotic events occurred in 1 patient (1.3%) in each treatment arm. MB/CRNMB bleeding and post-dialysis AV-access bleeding were not related to predicted FXI levels. Lower predicted FXI levels were associated with reductions in hemodialysis circuit clotting (P = 0.002) and AV-access thrombosis (P = 0.014). In patients with KF-HD, fesomersen produced a dose-dependent reduction in FXI levels associated with similar rates of major bleeding compared with placebo. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; unique identifier: NCT04534114.

The Ottawa Statement implementation guidance document for cluster randomized trials in the hemodialysis setting.

Research teams are increasingly interested in using cluster randomized trial (CRT) designs to generate practice-guiding evidence for in-center maintenance hemodialysis. However, CRTs raise complex ethical issues. The Ottawa Statement on the Ethical Design and Conduct of Cluster Randomized Trials, published in 2012, provides 15 recommendations to address ethical issues arising within 7 domains: justifying the CRT design, research ethics committee review, identifying research participants, obtaining informed consent, gatekeepers, assessing benefits and harms, and protecting vulnerable participants. But applying the Ottawa Statement recommendations to CRTs in the hemodialysis setting is complicated by the unique features of the setting and population. Here, with the help of content experts and patient partners, we co-developed this implementation guidance document to provide research teams, research ethics committees, and other stakeholders with detailed guidance on how to apply the Ottawa Statement recommendations to CRTs in the hemodialysis setting, the result of a 4-year research project. Thus, our work demonstrates how the voices of patients, caregivers, and all stakeholders may be included in the development of research ethics guidance.

Effect of home-based resistance training on chemotherapy relative dose intensity and tolerability in colon cancer: The FORCE randomized control trial.

BACKGROUND: Many patients with colon cancer cannot fully adhere to postoperative chemotherapy due to dose-limiting toxicities, resulting in lower relative dose intensity (RDI) and potentially compromising overall survival. This study examined whether home-based resistance training (RT) during adjuvant chemotherapy improves RDI and patient-reported toxicities versus usual care (UC) in colon cancer patients. METHODS: Multicenter, randomized control trial (RCT) conducted at community and academic practices. Enrollment of patients receiving postoperative chemotherapy for colon cancer occurred between February 23, 2018, and September 29, 2021; final follow-up was March 21, 2022. Participants were randomized to RT (n = 90) or UC (n = 91) for the duration of chemotherapy. Participants in the RT group engaged in twice weekly home-based progressive RT. At the end of the study, UC was given an online exercise program. RESULTS: Among 181 randomized patients (mean age, 55.2 [SD, 12.8] years, 95 [52.5%] were men), there were no differences in the mean RDI among those in RT (79% [SD, 19%]) and those in UC (82% [SD, 19%]); (mean difference -0.04 [95% confidence interval (CI), -0.09 to 0.02]). Assignment to RT did not significantly reduce the number of moderate/severe symptoms per week across follow-up (relative rate: 0.94 [95% CI, 0.72-1.22]). Additionally, time since randomization did not significantly modify the effect of RT on the overall number of symptoms (p = .06). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with colon cancer, these results do not support home-based RT as an adjunct to chemotherapy specifically to improve planned treatment intensity.

Resilience and distress among adolescents and young adults receiving hematopoietic cell transplantation: The Promoting Resilience in Stress Management randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Adolescents and young adults (AYAs) receiving hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) are at high risk of poor psychosocial health. This study aimed to determine whether the Promoting Resilience in Stress Management (PRISM) intervention mitigated these risks during the first 6 months posttransplant. METHODS: This multisite, parallel, randomized trial was conducted from April 2019 to March 2023. Eligible AYAs were aged 12-24 years, English speaking, and within 1 month of HCT for cancer or cancer predisposition syndrome. They were assigned 1:1 to PRISM (a brief, skills-based intervention targeting "resilience resources" [stress management, goal setting, cognitive reframing, and meaning making]) or usual care (UC). Outcomes included total symptoms of depression and anxiety (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale; primary outcome), hope (Snyder Hope Scale), resilience (10-item Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale), and health-related quality of life (HRQOL; Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory Cancer Module). Analyses leveraged multivariable linear regressions; exploratory analyses assessed the influence of baseline depression or anxiety. RESULTS: Of 94 enrolled and randomized AYAs, the mean age was 16.7 years (SD, 4.2); 43 (46%) were female, 56 (60%) were non-Hispanic White, 22 (23%) were Hispanic, and nine (10%) were Black. Most (77%) had leukemia. Of n = 50 randomized to PRISM and n = 44 to UC, 37 (74%) and 33 (73%) completed all study procedures, respectively. In intention-to-treat analyses, PRISM did not affect 6-month depression and anxiety (ß = -1.1; 95% CI, -3.7 to 1.5), hope (ß = 0.83; 95% CI, -3.3 to 4.9), resilience (ß = -0.01; 95% CI, -3.0 to 3.0), or HRQOL (ß = 1.5; 95% CI, -4.7 to 7.9). Among AYAs with preexisting anxiety or depression, PRISM recipients reported greater 6-month improvements in hope (score change, +3.71; SD, 6.9) versus UC recipients (score change, -2.76; SD, 6.5) (p = .04). CONCLUSIONS: Resilience coaching did not influence outcomes in this sample. Exploratory findings suggest it may be more effective when directed toward those with concurrent distress.

Racial disparities in outcomes of patients with stage I-III triple-negative breast cancer after adjuvant chemotherapy: a post-hoc analysis of the E5103 randomized trial.

PURPOSE: Breast cancer mortality is higher in Black women than other racial groups. This difference has been partially attributed to a higher proportion of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). However, it is uncertain if survival disparities exist in racially diverse TNBC patients receiving similar treatments. Here, we examine racial differences in disease-related outcomes in TNBC patients treated on the E5103 clinical trial. METHODS: From 2007 to 2011, 4,994 patients with stage I-III HER2-negative breast cancer were randomized to adjuvant chemotherapy with or without bevacizumab. This analysis was limited to the subset of 1,742 TNBC patients with known self-reported race. Unadjusted Kaplan-Meier curves and adjusted Cox-Proportional Hazards models were used to determine breast cancer events and survival outcomes. RESULTS: Of the analysis population, 51 (2.9%) were Asian, 269 (15.4%) Black, and 1422 (81.6%) White. Median age was 51 years. Patient characteristics, treatment arm, and local therapies were similar across racial groups. White women were more commonly node-negative (56% vs. 49% and 44% in Asian and Black women, respectively; p < 0.01). At a median follow-up of 46 months, unadjusted Kaplan-Meier locoregional and distant recurrence, and disease-free and overall survival, did not differ significantly by race. In Cox models adjusted for patient and tumor characteristics and treatment arm, race was not associated with any disease event. Larger tumor size and nodal involvement were consistently associated with breast cancer events. CONCLUSION: This clinical trial population of similarly treated TNBC patients showed no racial differences in breast cancer outcomes. Disease extent, rather than race, was associated with disease events.

One-year effectiveness of long-term exercise therapy in people with axial spondyloarthritis and severe functional limitations.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of long-term, personalized, supervised exercise therapy on functional ability compared with usual care in people with axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) and severe functional limitations. METHODS: Participants were randomly 1:1 assigned to the intervention(maximal 64 sessions, with 14 additional optional sessions of supervised active exercise therapy(e.g. aerobic and muscle strengthening) with individualized goal-setting, education and self-management regarding physical activity) or usual care(care determined by clinician(s) and participants themselves). Primary end point was the change in the Patient-Specific Complaints activity ranked 1 (PSC1 (0-10)) at 52 weeks. Secondary endpoints were the PSC activities ranked 2 and 3, the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Functional Index, 6-min walk test, Patient Reported Outcome Measurement Information System-Physical Function-10 and the Short Form-36 Physical and Mental Component Summary Score (SF-36 PCS and MCS). Statistical comparisons comprised independent student t-tests and linear mixed models, based on intention-to-treat. RESULTS: 214 participants(49% female, age 52 (SD 12) years), were randomized to the intervention (n = 110) or usual care (N = 104) group. In the intervention group 93% started treatment, using on average 40.5 sessions (SD 15.1). At 52 weeks, the difference in change in PSC1 between groups favored the intervention group (mean difference [95% CI]; -1.8 [-2.4 to -1.2]). additionally, all secondary outcomes, except the SF-36 MSC, showed significantly greater improvements in the intervention group with effect sizes ranging from 0.4-0.7. CONCLUSION: Long-term, supervised exercise therapy proved more effective than usual care in improving functional disability and physical quality of life in people with axSpA and severe functional limitations. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTER NUMBER: Netherlands Trial Register NL8238, included in the International Clinical Trial Registry Platform (ICTRP) (https://trialsearch.who.int/Trial2.aspx?TrialID=NL8238).

A Four-Arm Randomized Clinical Trial of Topical Pain Control for Sentinel Node Radiotracer Injections in Patients with Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Radioactive tracer injections for breast cancer sentinel lymph node mapping can be painful. In this randomized trial, we compared four approaches to topical pain control for radiotracer injections. METHODS: Breast cancer patients were randomized (9 April 2021-8 May 2022) to receive the institutional standard of ice prior to injection (n = 44), or one of three treatments: ice plus a vibrating distraction device (Buzzy®; n = 39), 4% lidocaine patch (n = 44), or 4% lidocaine patch plus ice plus Buzzy® (n = 40). Patients completed the Wong-Baker FACES® pain score (primary outcome) and a satisfaction with pain control received scale (secondary). Nuclear medicine technologists (n = 8) rated perceived pain control and ease of administration for each patient. At study conclusion, technologists rank-ordered treatments. Data were analyzed as intention-to-treat. Wilcoxon rank-sum tests were used to compare pain scores of control versus pooled treatment arms (primary) and then control to each treatment arm individually (secondary). RESULTS: There were no differences in pain scores between the control and treatment groups, both pooled and individually. Eighty-five percent of patients were 'satisfied/very satisfied' with treatment received, with no differences between groups. No differences in providers' perceptions of pain were observed, although providers perceived treatments involving Buzzy© more difficult to administer (p < 0.001). Providers rated lidocaine patch as the easiest, with ice being second. CONCLUSION: In this randomized trial, no differences in patient-reported pain or satisfaction with treatment was observed between ice and other topical treatments. Providers found treatments using Buzzy® more difficult to administer. Given patient satisfaction and ease of administration, ice is a reasonable standard.

Seeing the Truth About Double Blinding.

Randomized clinical trials provide reassurances that confounding factors are balanced at baseline whereas blinding is essential to assure the balance of extraneous factors thereafter. This article provides a three-part taxonomy of pitfalls that can arise because of inadequate blinding in clinical trials. We introduce a cautionary framework for readers interpreting a blinded randomized trial for evidence-based medicine. Each pitfall is illustrated with a relevant example of a potential bias resulting from knowledge of group assignment. Several pitfalls occur during the conduct of the study including inadequate blinding of the intervention group, control group, or responsible clinicians. Additional pitfalls relate to data analysis including unsubstantiated assertions of blinding and subverted tests for blinding. Further pitfalls arise due to surrounding oversight including unblinding of research ethics boards and scientific reviewers. These caveats are sources of misunderstanding when observing the apparent connection between a clinical intervention and patient outcomes. An awareness of specific pitfalls might help advance the interpretation and application of blinded randomized clinical trials to inform evidence-based medical care.

Linking Invasive and Noninvasive Brain Stimulation in Parkinson's Disease: A Randomized Trial.

BACKGROUND: Recent imaging studies identified a brain network associated with clinical improvement following deep brain stimulation (DBS) in Parkinson's disease (PD), the PD response network. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the impact of neuromodulation on PD motor symptoms by targeting this network noninvasively using multifocal transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS). METHODS: In a prospective, randomized, double-blinded, crossover trial, 21 PD patients (mean age 59.7 years, mean Hoehn & Yahr [H&Y] 2.4) received multifocal tDCS targeting the a-priori network. Twenty-minute sessions of tDCS and sham were administered on 2 days in randomized order. Movement Disorder Society-Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale-Part III (MDS-UPDRS-III) scores were assessed. RESULTS: Before intervention, MDS-UPDRS-III scores were comparable in both conditions (stimulation days: 37.38 (standard deviation [SD] = 12.50, confidence interval [CI] = 32.04, 42.73) vs. sham days: 36.95 (SD = 13.94, CI = 30.99, 42.91), P = 0.63). Active stimulation resulted in a reduction by 3.6 points (9.7%) to 33.76 (SD = 11.19, CI = 28.98, 38.55) points, whereas no relevant change was observed after sham stimulation (36.43 [SD = 14.15, CI = 30.38, 42.48], average improvement: 0.5 [1.4%]). Repeated-measures analysis of variance (ANOVA) confirmed significance (main effect of time: F(1,20)=4.35, P < 0.05). Tukey's post hoc tests indicated MDS-UPDRS-III improvement after active stimulation (t [20] = 2.9, P = 0.03) but not after sham (t [20] = 0.42, P > 0.05). In a subset of patients that underwent DBS surgery later, their DBS response correlated with tDCS effects (R = 0.55, P(1) = 0.04). CONCLUSION: Noninvasive, multifocal tDCS targeting a DBS-derived network significantly improved PD motor symptoms. Despite a small effect size, this study provides proof of principle for the successful noninvasive neuromodulation of an invasively identified network. Future studies should investigate repeated tDCS sessions and their utility for screening before DBS surgery. © 2024 The Author(s). Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Similar effectiveness with primary HPV and cytology screening - Long-term follow-up of randomized cervical cancer screening trial.

BACKGROUND: Long-term effects of primary human papillomavirus (HPV) screening on cervical cancer incidence and mortality are still missing. We conducted a long-term follow-up of the Finnish randomized HPV screening trial, the first HPV screening trial run within the routine screening program, to assess these measures. METHODS: During 2003-2008, over 236,000 individuals were randomized (1:1) to HPV and cytology screening arms in Southern Finland. To compare the study arms, we calculated the cervical cancer incidence and mortality rate ratios using Poisson regression. RESULTS: During a total of 3.5 million person-years of follow-up, we observed 129 cervical cancers and 32 cervical cancer deaths in the cytology arm, 139 cervical cancers and 32 cervical cancer deaths in the HPV arm. Compared to the cytology arm, in the HPV arm, the incidence rate ratio was 1.08 (95% CI 0.85-1.37), and the mortality rate ratio was 1.01 (95% CI 0.61-1.64). CONCLUSIONS: We studied the effects of HPV screening on both cervical cancer incidence and mortality for the first time in a setting with an already well-established, high-quality cytology screening program. In this kind of setting with a low incidence of cervical cancer, HPV and cytology screening showed similar effectiveness. HPV screening provides, however, an objective, validated test system and enables self-sampling which can improve screening coverage. More attention is needed yet to ensure the balance between the harms and benefits of HPV screening.

Induction of labor vs expectant management among low-risk patients with 1 prior cesarean delivery.

BACKGROUND: Studies that have compared induction of labor in individuals with 1 prior cesarean delivery to expectant management have shown conflicting results. OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between clinical outcomes and induction of labor at 39 weeks in a national sample of otherwise low-risk patients with 1 prior cesarean delivery. STUDY DESIGN: This cross-sectional study analyzed 2016 to 2021 US Vital Statistics birth certificate data. Individuals with vertex, singleton pregnancies, and 1 prior cesarean delivery were included. Patients with prior vaginal deliveries, delivery before 39 weeks 0 days or after 42 weeks 6 days of gestation, and medical comorbidities were excluded. The primary exposure of interest was induction of labor at 39 weeks 0 days to 39 weeks 6 days compared to expectant management with delivery from 40 weeks 0 days to 42 weeks 6 days. The primary outcome was vaginal delivery. The main secondary outcomes were separate maternal and neonatal morbidity composites. The maternal morbidity composite included uterine rupture, operative vaginal delivery, peripartum hysterectomy, intensive care unit admission, and transfusion. The neonatal morbidity composite included neonatal intensive care unit admission, Apgar score less than 5 at 5 minutes, immediate ventilation, prolonged ventilation, and seizure or serious neurological dysfunction. Unadjusted and adjusted log binomial regression models accounting for demographic variables and the exposure of interest (induction vs expectant management) were performed. Results are presented as unadjusted and adjusted risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: From 2016 to 2021, a total of 198,797 individuals with vertex, singleton pregnancies, and 1 prior cesarean were included in the primary analysis. Of these individuals, 25,915 (13.0%) underwent induction of labor from 39 weeks 0 days to 39 weeks 6 days and 172,882 (87.0%) were expectantly managed with deliveries between 40 weeks 0 days and 42 weeks 6 days. In adjusted analyses, patients induced at 39 weeks were more likely to have a vaginal delivery when compared to those expectantly managed (38.0% vs 31.8%; adjusted risk ratio 1.32, 95% confidence interval 1.28, 1.36). Among those who had vaginal deliveries, induction of labor was associated with increased likelihood of operative vaginal delivery (11.1% vs 10.0; adjusted risk ratio 1.15, 95% confidence interval 1.07, 1.24). The maternal morbidity composite occurred in 0.9% of individuals in both the induction and expectant management groups (adjusted risk ratio 0.92, 95% confidence interval 0.79, 1.06). The rates of uterine rupture (0.3%), peripartum hysterectomy (0.04% vs 0.05%), and intensive care unit admission (0.1% vs 0.2%) were all relatively low and did not differ significantly between groups. There was also no significant difference in the neonatal morbidity composite between the induction and expectant management groups (7.3% vs 6.7%; adjusted risk ratio 1.04, 95% confidence interval 0.98, 1.09). CONCLUSION: When compared to expectant management, elective induction of labor at 39 weeks in low-risk patients with 1 prior cesarean delivery was associated with a significantly higher likelihood of vaginal delivery with no difference in composite maternal and neonatal morbidity outcomes. Prospective studies are needed to better elucidate the risks and benefits of induction of labor in this patient population.

START NOW: a cognitive behavioral skills training for adolescent girls with conduct or oppositional defiant disorder - a randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Conduct disorder (CD) and oppositional defiant disorder (ODD) both convey a high risk for maladjustment later in life and are understudied in girls. Here, we aimed at confirming the efficacy of START NOW, a cognitive-behavioral, dialectical behavior therapy-oriented skills training program aiming to enhance emotion regulation skills, interpersonal and psychosocial adjustment, adapted for female adolescents with CD or ODD. METHODS: A total of 127 girls were included in this prospective, cluster randomized, multi-center, parallel group, quasi-randomized, controlled phase III trial, which tested the efficacy of START NOW (n = 72) compared with standard care (treatment as usual, TAU, n = 55). All female adolescents had a clinical diagnosis of CD or ODD, were 15.6 (±1.5) years on average (range: 12-20 years), and were institutionalized in youth welfare institutions. The two primary endpoints were the change in number of CD/ODD symptoms between (1) baseline (T1) and post-treatment (T3), and (2) between T1 and 12-week follow-up (T4). RESULTS: Both treatment groups showed reduced CD/ODD symptoms at T3 compared with T1 (95% CI: START NOW = -4.87, -2.49; TAU = -4.94, -2.30). There was no significant mean difference in CD/ODD symptom reduction from T1 to T3 between START NOW and TAU (-0.056; 95% CI = -1.860, 1.749; Hedge's g = -0.011). However, the START NOW group showed greater mean symptom reduction from T1 to T4 (-2.326; 95% CI = -4.274, -0.378; Hedge's g = -0.563). Additionally, secondary endpoint results revealed a reduction in staff reported aggression and parent-reported irritability at post assessment. CONCLUSIONS: Although START NOW did not result in greater symptom reduction from baseline to post-treatment compared with TAU, the START NOW group showed greater symptom reduction from baseline to follow-up with a medium effect size, which indicates a clinically meaningful delayed treatment effect.

Incorporating nonparametric methods for estimating causal excursion effects in mobile health with zero-inflated count outcomes.

In mobile health, tailoring interventions for real-time delivery is of paramount importance. Micro-randomized trials have emerged as the "gold-standard" methodology for developing such interventions. Analyzing data from these trials provides insights into the efficacy of interventions and the potential moderation by specific covariates. The "causal excursion effect," a novel class of causal estimand, addresses these inquiries. Yet, existing research mainly focuses on continuous or binary data, leaving count data largely unexplored. The current work is motivated by the Drink Less micro-randomized trial from the UK, which focuses on a zero-inflated proximal outcome, i.e., the number of screen views in the subsequent hour following the intervention decision point. To be specific, we revisit the concept of causal excursion effect, specifically for zero-inflated count outcomes, and introduce novel estimation approaches that incorporate nonparametric techniques. Bidirectional asymptotics are established for the proposed estimators. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed methods. As an illustration, we also implement these methods to the Drink Less trial data.

Ultra-processed foods cause weight gain and increased energy intake associated with reduced chewing frequency: A randomized, open-label, crossover study.

AIM: To elucidate the effects of ultra-processed foods (UPFs) on body weight and ad libitum energy intake compared with non-UPFs. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this randomized, open-label crossover study conducted at the University of Tokyo Hospital, overweight/obese Japanese male participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to start the study with consumption of either UPFs or non-UPFs for 1 week, followed by a 2-week washout period, before crossing over to the alternate food diet for 1 week. Individuals with diabetes, hypertension or any other medical conditions who visited a hospital regularly were excluded. The meals were designed to be matched for the total energy and macronutrient levels. The primary outcome was the difference in the body weight change between the UPF and non-UPF periods. The differences in the average daily energy intake and chewing frequency were assessed as one of the prespecified secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Nine eligible participants were randomly assigned to start the study with either UPFs or non-UPFs. All participants completed the study. During the UPF period, participants gained 1.1 kg more weight (95% confidence interval 0.2 to 2.0; P = .021) and consumed 813.5 kcal more per day (342.4 to 1284.7; P = .0041) compared with during the non-UPF period. Regarding the chewing frequency, the number of chews per calorie was significantly lower during the UPF period (P = .016). CONCLUSIONS: Consumption of UPFs causes significant weight gain. Medical nutritional therapy focused on reducing the consumption of UPFs could be an effective strategy for preventing obesity.

Moderate resistance training reduces intermuscular adipose tissue and risk factors of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease for elderly patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIM: This study aimed to assess the impact of moderate resistance training on intermuscular adipose tissue (IMAT) in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes and the independent effect of IMAT reduction on metabolic outcomes. METHODS: In this randomized controlled trial, 85 patients with type 2 diabetes were assigned to either the resistance training group (42 participants) or the control group (43 participants) for a 6-month intervention. The primary outcome was changes in IMAT measured by computed tomography scan and magnetic resonance imaging using the interactive decomposition of water and fat with echo asymmetry and least squares qualification sequence. Secondary outcomes included changes in metabolic parameters. RESULTS: Thirty-seven participants in each group completed the study. The IMAT area (measured by a computed tomography scan) in the resistance group decreased from 5.176 ± 1.249 cm2 to 4.660 ± 1.147 cm2, which is a change of -0.512 ± 0.115 cm2, representing a 9.89% decrease from the least-squares adjusted mean at baseline, which was significantly different from that of the control group (a change of 0.587 ± 0.115 cm2, a 10.34% increase). The normal attenuation muscle area (representing normal muscle density) in the resistance group increased from 82.113 ± 8.776 cm2 to 83.054 ± 8.761 cm2, a change of 1.049 ± 0.416 cm2, a 1.3% increase, which was significantly different from that of the control group (a change of -1.113 ± 0.416 cm2, a 1.41% decrease). Homeostasis model assessment 2 of beta cell function (HOMA2-ß; increased from 52.291 ± 24.765 to 56.368 ± 21.630, a change of 4.135 ± 1.910, a 7.91% increase from baseline) and ratio of insulin increase to blood glucose increase at 30 min after the oral glucose tolerance test (∆I30/∆G30; increased from 4.616 ± 1.653 to 5.302 ± 2.264, a change of 0.715 ± 0.262, a 15.49% increase) in the resistance group were significantly improved compared with those in the control group, which had a change of -3.457 ± 1.910, a 6.05% decrease in HOMA2-ß, and a change of -0.195 ± 0.262, a 3.87% decrease in ∆I30/∆G30, respectively. Adjusting for sex, age, diabetes duration, baseline IMAT, and the dependent variable at baseline, linear regression showed that the change in IMAT area was not related to the change in HOMA2 insulin resistance (ß = -0.178, p = .402) or the change in HOMA2-ß (ß = -1.891, p = .197), but was significantly related to the changes in ∆I30/∆G30 (ß = -0.439, p = .047), 2-h postprandial glucose (ß = 1.321, p = .026), diastolic blood pressure (ß = 2.425, p = .018), normal attenuation muscle area (ß = -0.907, p = .019) and 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ß = 0.976, p = .002). CONCLUSION: Low-level, moderate resistance training reduces IMAT content. Even a small reduction in IMAT may be related to a decrease in risk factors for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but this small reduction may not be sufficient to reduce insulin resistance.