Population cycles of autumnal moth, Epirrita autumnata, in relation to birch mast seeding.

We investigated the relationship between flowering peaks of the mountain birch, Betula pubescens ssp. czerepanovii, and population levels of the autumnal moth Epirrita autumnata in Ammarnäs, Swedish Lapland, during 1968-2000, and in Budal, Central Norway, during 1972-2000. There was a significant correlation between the two moth series, both of which showed three well-defined population cycles during the study period. In both areas, the population growth index of the moth was negatively related to population size, but also to the number of years since the previous flowering peak of mountain birch. In the northern study area, Ammarnäs, there was an additional positive effect of the winter temperature index, probably due to increased mortality of moth eggs during cold winters. No significant relationships were found between the number of birch female catkins and larval density in the previous 2 years. Both in Ammarnäs and in an area without moth outbreaks in south-eastern Norway, birch flowering was positively related to temperatures during flower bud formation and to the number of years since the previous flowering peak. The results support the idea of a lower content of chemical defence compounds in birch leaves after a mast reproduction, though we cannot exclude the possibility that the negative relationship between flowering and moth population levels was influenced or caused by stress associated with defoliation during moth outbreaks.