A Multimodal Strategy to Reduce the Risk of Hospitalization/death in Ambulatory Patients with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Different interventions have been implemented worldwide for the house-hold monitoring of patients with mild COVID-19 to reduce the burden of healthcare systems and guarantee quality of care. Telephone follow up and treatment kits have not been evaluated in the context of a national-wide primary care program. AIM OF THE STUDY: To compare the risk of hospitalization and death for COVID-19 between ambulatory patients who received and those who did not receive a treatment kit and telephone follow-up in a developing country METHODS: A two-group comparative analysis was conducted using data from the medical information systems of the Mexican Institute of Social Security. We included a total of 28,048 laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 patients: 7,898 (28.2%) received a medical kit and 20,150 (71.8%) did not. The incidence rates of hospitalization and death combined were calculated. To identify significant associations between hospitalization or death and treatment medical kits, we calculated the risk ratios using a multivariate logistic model. RESULTS: The incidence of hospitalization was 6.14% in patients who received a kit and 11.71% in those who did not. Male sex, age, and a medical history of obesity, hypertension, diabetes, immunosuppression, or kidney disease were associated with increased risk of hospitalization or death. The risk rates were reduced in patients who received a medical kit or telephone follow-up. In the multivariate model, receiving a medical kit was associated with a lower risk of hospitalization or death from COVID-19: adjusted risk ratio 0.41 (95% confidence interval 0.36-0.47). CONCLUSION: Use of a multimodal strategy may reduce the risk of hospitalization and death in adult outpatients with mild COVID-19.