Radiomics signature for the prediction of progression-free survival and radiotherapeutic benefits in pediatric medulloblastoma.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To develop and validate a radiomics signature for progression-free survival (PFS) and radiotherapeutic benefits in pediatric medulloblastoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 253 consecutive children with medulloblastoma from two hospitals. A total of 1294 radiomic features were extracted from the region of tumor on the T1-weighted and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (CE-T1w) MRI. Radiomic feature selection and machine learning modelling were performed to build radiomics signature for the prediction of PFS on the training set. Moreover, the prognostic performance of the clinical parameters was investigated for PFS. The Concordance index (a value of 0.5 indicates no predictive discrimination, and a value of 1 indicates perfect predictive discrimination) was used to measure and compare the prognostic performance of these models. RESULTS: The radiomics signature for the prediction of the PFS yielded Concordance indices of 0.711, 0.707, and 0.717 on the training and held-out test sets 1 and 2, respectively. The radiomics nomogram integrating the radiomics signature, age, and metastasis performed better than the nomogram incorporating only clinicopathological factors (C-index, 0.723 vs. 0.665 and 0.722 vs. 0.677 on the held-out test sets 1 and 2, respectively), which was also validated by the good calibration and decision curve analysis. Further analysis demonstrated that patients with lower value of radiomics signature were associated with better clinical outcomes after postoperative radiotherapy (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The radiomics signature and nomogram performed well for the prediction of PFS and could stratify patients underwent postoperative radiotherapy into the high- and low-risk groups with significantly different clinical outcomes.