A Novel Online Calculator to Predict Risk of Microvascular Invasion in the Preoperative Setting for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Curative-Intent Surgery.
Ann Surg Oncol
; 30(2): 725-733, 2023 Feb.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-36103014
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) has been highlighted as an important determinant of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis. We sought to build and validate a novel model to predict MVI in the preoperative setting.METHODS:
Patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using a multi-institutional database. Preoperative predictive models for MVI were built, validated, and used to develop a web-based calculator.RESULTS:
Among 689 patients, MVI was observed in 323 patients (46.9%). On multivariate analysis in the test cohort, preoperative parameters associated with MVI included α-fetoprotein (AFP; odds ratio [OR] 1.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-1.83), imaging tumor burden score (TBS; hazard ratio [HR] 1.11, 95% CI 1.04-1.18), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR; OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.03-1.35). An online calculator to predict MVI was developed based on the weighted ß-coefficients of these three variables ( https//yutaka-endo.shinyapps.io/MVIrisk/ ). The c-index of the test and validation cohorts was 0.71 and 0.72, respectively. Patients with a high risk of MVI had worse disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) compared with low-risk MVI patients (3-year DFS 33.0% vs. 51.9%, p < 0.001; 5-year OS 44.2% vs. 64.8%, p < 0.001). DFS was worse among patients who underwent an R1 versus R0 resection among those patients at high risk of MVI (R0 vs. R1 resection 3-year DFS, 36.3% vs. 16.1%, p = 0.002). In contrast, DFS was comparable among patients at low risk of MVI regardless of margin status (R0 vs. R1 resection 3-year DFS, 52.9% vs. 47.3%, p = 0.16).CONCLUSION:
Preoperative assessment of MVI using the online tool demonstrated very good accuracy to predict MVI.
Texto completo:
1
Bases de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Carcinoma Hepatocelular
/
Neoplasias Hepáticas
Tipo de estudio:
Etiology_studies
/
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Límite:
Humans
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Ann Surg Oncol
Asunto de la revista:
NEOPLASIAS
Año:
2023
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Estados Unidos