Policy, practice, and prediction: model-based approaches to evaluating N. gonorrhoeae antibiotic susceptibility test uptake in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) represents a significant threat to global health with Neisseria gonorrhoea emerging as a key pathogen of concern. In Australia, the Australian Gonococcal Surveillance Program (AGSP) plays a critical role in monitoring resistance patterns. However, antibiotic susceptibility test (AST) uptake - a crucial component for effective resistance surveillance - remains to be a limiting factor. The study aims to model the processes involved in generating AST tests for N. gonorrhoea isolates within the Australian healthcare system and assess the potential impact of systematic and policy-level changes. METHODS: Two models were developed. The first model was a mathematical stochastic health systems model (SHSM) and a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) to simulate the clinician-patient dynamics influencing AST initiation. Key variables were identified through systematic literature review to inform the construction of both models. Scenario analyses were conducted with the modification of model parameters. RESULTS: The SHSM and BBN highlighted clinician education and the use of clinical support tools as effective strategies to improve AST. Scenario analysis further identified adherence to guidelines and changes in patient-level factors, such as persistence of symptoms and high-risk behaviours, as significant determinants. Both models supported the notion of mandated testing to achieve higher AST initiation rates but with considerations necessary regarding practicality, laboratory constraints, and culture failure rate. CONCLUSION: The study fundamentally demonstrates a novel approach to conceptualising the patient-clinician dynamic within AMR testing utilising a model-based approach. It suggests targeted interventions to educational, support tools, and legislative framework as feasible strategies to improve AST initiation rates. However, the research fundamentally highlights substantial research gaps in the underlying understanding of AMR.

Therapeutic efficacy of pyronaridine-artesunate (Pyramax®) against uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum infection at Hamusit Health Centre, Northwest Ethiopia.

BACKGROUND: Early case detection and prompt treatment are important malaria control and elimination strategies. However, the emergence and rapid spread of drug-resistant strains present a major challenge. This study reports the first therapeutic efficacy profile of pyronaridine-artesunate against uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum in Northwest Ethiopia. METHODS: This single-arm prospective study with 42-day follow-up period was conducted from March to May 2021 at Hamusit Health Centre using the World Health Organization (WHO) therapeutic efficacy study protocol. A total of 90 adults ages 18 and older with uncomplicated falciparum malaria consented and were enrolled in the study. A standard single-dose regimen of pyronaridine-artesunate was administered daily for 3 days, and clinical and parasitological outcomes were assessed over 42 days of follow-up. Thick and thin blood films were prepared from capillary blood and examined using light microscopy. Haemoglobin was measured and dried blood spots were collected on day 0 and on the day of failure. RESULTS: Out of 90 patients, 86/90 (95.6%) completed the 42-day follow-up study period. The overall PCR-corrected cure rate (adequate clinical and parasitological response) was very high at 86/87 (98.9%) (95% CI: 92.2-99.8%) with no serious adverse events. The parasite clearance rate was high with fast resolution of clinical symptoms; 86/90 (95.6%) and 100% of the study participants cleared parasitaemia and fever on day 3, respectively. CONCLUSION: Pyronaridine-artesunate was highly efficacious and safe against uncomplicated P. falciparum in this study population.

A scoping review of modifiable and behavioural drivers of infectious gastroenteritis among children in high-income countries.

BACKGROUND: Globally, gastroenteritis (GE) significantly impacts children's health and contributes to societal, economic, and health burdens. Previous studies reporting risk factors of GE in children in high-income settings mainly rely on outbreak investigations, which inherently capture only a fractional representation of the overall spectrum of GE occurrences. In addition, there is paucity of comprehensive information pertaining to modifiable risk factors of GE. This scoping review aims to synthesize existing evidence concerning modifiable and behavioural risk factors associated with GE among children in high-income countries. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, and Scopus were the databases from which articles were retrieved. A descriptive synthesis of the evidence was performed, following the Arksey and O'Malley scoping studies framework and enhanced by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis extension for Scoping Reviews checklist (PRISMA-ScR). RESULTS: The systematic search identified 13,395 journal articles, which were subsequently screened, and duplicates removed, resulting in 19 articles for inclusion in the review. The majority of these studies (63.2%) employed a case-control design and were predominantly conducted in community settings (68.4%). Factors such as parental literacy, contact with individuals exhibiting gastrointestinal symptoms, and nappy-wearing were identified as significantly associated with childhood GE within domestic environments. Childcare-related variables, including enrolment size, mixing of personnel between child groups, the presence of central cleaning stations, and the implementation of hygiene and disease prevention policies, showed significant association with GE. In addition, the presence of sand pits, paddling pools, and animals in childcare centers correlated with increased incidences of GE among attending children. CONCLUSIONS: The scoping review reveals a complex and varied research landscape on factors influencing gastroenteritis (GE) for children in high-income countries. The findings suggest that while some variables are closely linked to specific pathogens, others may not be, highlighting variability across GE aetiology. The significant association between various household level and childcare-related factors and childhood GE points to a valuable direction for future research and public health intervention.

Malaria surveillance, outbreak investigation, response and its determinant factors in Waghemra Zone, Northeast Ethiopia: unmatched case-control study.

Malaria is a major global public health concern, with around half of the world's population at risk of infection. It is one of the most common epidemic-prone diseases, resulting in on-going epidemics and significant public health problems. On September 12, 2022, Waghemra Zone malaria monitoring data revealed that the district was suffering an unusually high number of malaria cases. Therefore, the aim of this study was to assess the occurrence of malaria outbreaks and investigate contracting factors in Waghemra Zone, Northeast Ethiopia. A community-based case-control study with a 1:1 ratio was employed at Waghemra Zone from September 14 to November 27, 2022. A total of 260 individuals (130 cases and 130 controls) were included in the study. A structured questionnaire was used to collect the data. Malaria cases were confirmed by either microscopy or malaria rapid diagnostic tests. The magnitude of the outbreak was described by place, person, and time. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify malaria risk factors. A total of 13,136 confirmed cases of malaria were detected in the Waghemra zone, with an overall attack rate of 26.5 per 1000 and slide positivity rate was 43.0%. The predominant species was Plasmodium falciparum accounting for 66.1%. Children under five years old (AOR = 5.1; 95% CI 2.6-23.0), the presence of artificial water-holding bodies (AOR: 2.7; 95% CI 1.340-5.420), intermittent rivers closer to the living house (AOR = 4.9; 95% CI 2.51-9.62), sleeping outside a home (AOR = 4.9; 95% CI 2.51-9.62), and a lack of knowledge about malaria transmission and prevention (AOR: 9.7; 95% CI 4.459-20.930) were factors associated with malaria contraction. The overall attack rate for malaria during this outbreak was high. Children less than five years, the presence of mosquito breeding sites, staying outdoors overnight, and a lack of knowledge on malaria transmission and prevention were predictors of malaria. Early management of local vector breeding places, as well as adequate health education on malaria transmission and prevention methods, should be provided to the community to prevent such outbreaks in the future.

Performance evaluation of laboratory professionals on malaria microscopy at health facilities in Bahir Dar city administration, Northwest Ethiopia.

BACKGROUND: Microscopic diagnosis of Giemsa stained thick and thin blood films by skilled microscopists has remained the gold standard laboratory method for the diagnosis of malaria. However, there is a scarcity of qualified laboratory professionals for correctly diagnosing malaria using microscopy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of laboratory professionals on malaria microscopy at health facilities in Bahir Dar city administration, Northwest Ethiopia. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted from January to March 2017 in Bahir Dar City. A total of 87 laboratory professionals participated in the selected health facilities, with a response rate of (100%). Standardized pre-validated slide panels and questionnaire were distributed to laboratory professionals by the principal investigator. The panel slides were comprised of 5 positives and 3 negative blood films. The laboratory professionals were requested to report the parasite density using semi-quantitative (+) and per micro-liter methods. Their performances of slide readings were compared with the experts' readings. Agreement in detecting malaria parasites between laboratory professionals and expert was estimated using the kappa score. RESULTS: The overall sensitivity and specificity of the laboratory professionals in detecting malaria parasites were 83% and 97%, respectively. Similarly, positive predictive values of 98.1% and negative predictive values of 77.7% were reported. The percent agreement between laboratory professionals and expert microscopist in the detection of malaria parasites was 88.5% with a Kappa index of 0.78. Percent agreement in species identification and reporting of Pf/Pv mixed infections were 27.2% and 22.4%, respectively. About 62.2% of the laboratory professionals reported parasite density using semi-quantitative method. While none of them reported per micro-liter method. CONCLUSIONS: The current study showed that laboratory professionals had good performance in parasite detection. However, poor performance was seen in both species identification and reporting of Pf/Pv mixed infections.