Association between prediagnostic prostate-specific antigen and prostate cancer probability in Black and non-Hispanic White men.

BACKGROUND: Although Black men are more likely than non-Hispanic White men to develop and die from prostate cancer, limited data exist to guide prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening protocols in Black men. This study investigated whether the risk for prostate cancer was higher than expected among self-identified Black than White veterans based on prebiopsy PSA level. METHODS: Multivariable logistic regression models were estimated to predict the likelihood of prostate cancer diagnosis on first biopsy for 75,295 Black and 207,658 White male veterans. Self-identified race, age at first PSA test, prebiopsy PSA, age at first biopsy, smoking status, statin use, and socioeconomic factors were used as predictors. The adjusted predicted probabilities of cancer detection on first prostate biopsy from the logistic models at different PSA levels were calculated. RESULTS: After controlling for PSA and other covariates, Black veterans were 50% more likely to receive a prostate cancer diagnosis on their first prostate biopsy than White veterans (odds ratio [OR], 1.50; 95% CI, 1.47-1.53; p < .001). At a PSA level of 4.0 ng/mL, the probability of prostate cancer for a Black man was 49% compared with 39% for a White man. This model indicated that Black veterans with a PSA of 4.0 ng/mL have an equivalent risk of prostate cancer as White veterans with a PSA of 13.4 ng/mL. CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate that, at any given PSA level, Black men are more likely to harbor prostate cancer than White men. Prospective studies are needed to better evaluate risks and benefits of PSA screening in Black men and other high-risk populations.

Adrenal-Permissive Germline HSD3B1 Allele and Prostate Cancer Outcomes.

Importance: The adrenal androgen-metabolizing 3ß-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase-1 enzyme, encoded by the HSD3B1 gene, catalyzes the rate-limiting step necessary for synthesizing nontesticular testosterone and dihydrotestosterone production. The common adrenal-permissive HSD3B1(1245C) allele is responsible for encoding the 3ß-HSD1 protein with decreased susceptibility to degradation resulting in higher extragonadal androgen synthesis. Retrospective studies have suggested an association of the HSD3B1 adrenal-permissive homozygous genotype with androgen deprivation therapy resistance in prostate cancer. Objective: To evaluate differences in mortality outcomes by HSD3B1 genetic status among men with prostate cancer. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study of patients with prostate cancer who were enrolled in the Million Veteran Program within the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) system between 2011 and 2023 collected genotyping and phenotyping information. Exposure: HSD3B1 genotype status was categorized as AA (homozygous adrenal-restrictive), AC (heterozygous adrenal-restrictive), or CC (homozygous adrenal-permissive). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome of this study was prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM), defined as the time from diagnosis to death from prostate cancer, censored at the date of last VHA follow-up. Secondary outcomes included incidence of metastases and PCSM in predefined subgroups. Results: Of the 5287 participants (median [IQR] age, 69 [64-74] years), 402 (7.6%) had the CC genotype, 1970 (37.3%) had the AC genotype, and 2915 (55.1%) had the AA genotype. Overall, the primary cause of death for 91 patients (1.7%) was prostate cancer. Cumulative incidence of PCSM at 5 years after prostate cancer diagnosis was higher among men with the CC genotype (4.0%; 95% CI, 1.7%-6.2%) compared with the AC genotype (2.1%; 95% CI, 1.3%-2.8%) and AA genotype (1.9%; 95% CI, 1.3%-2.4%) (P = .02). In the 619 patients who developed metastatic disease at any time, the cumulative incidence of PCSM at 5 years was higher among patients with the CC genotype (36.0%; 95% CI, 16.7%-50.8%) compared with the AC genotype (17.9%; 95% CI, 10.5%-24.7%) and AA genotype (18.5%; 95% CI, 12.0%-24.6%) (P = .01). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of US veterans undergoing treatment for prostate cancer at the VHA, the HSD3B1 CC genotype was associated with inferior outcomes. The HSD3B1 biomarker may help identify patients who may benefit from therapeutic targeting of 3ß-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase-1 and the androgen-signaling axis.

Development and Validation of a Tool to Identify Patients Diagnosed With Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer.

PURPOSE: Several novel therapies for castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) have been approved with randomized phase III studies with continuing observational research either planned or ongoing. Accurately identifying patients with CRPC in electronic health care data is critical for quality observational research, resource allocation, and quality improvement. Previous work in this area has relied on either structured laboratory results and medication data or natural language processing (NLP) methods. However, a computable phenotype using both structured data and NLP identifies these patients with more accuracy. METHODS: The Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW) of the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) was used to collect PCa diagnoses, prostate-specific antigen test results, and information regarding patient characteristics and medication use. The final system used for validation and subsequent analysis combined the NLP system and an algorithm of structured laboratory and medication data to identify patients as being diagnosed with CRPC. Patients with both a documented diagnosis of CRPC and a documented diagnosis of metastatic PCa were classified as having mCRPC by this system. RESULTS: Among 1.2 million veterans with PCa, the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 diagnosis code for CRPC (Z19.2) identifies 3,791 patients from 2016 when the code was created until 2022, compared with the combined algorithm which identifies 14,103, 10,312 more than ICD-10 codes alone, from 2016 to 2022. The combined algorithm showed a sensitivity of 97.9% and a specificity of 99.2%. CONCLUSION: ICD-10 codes proved to be insufficient for capturing CRPC in the VHA CDW data. Using both structured and unstructured data identified more than double the number of patients compared with ICD-10 codes alone. Application of this combined approach drastically improved identification of real-world patients and enables high-quality observational research in mCRPC.

Polygenic risk of any, metastatic, and fatal prostate cancer in the Million Veteran Program.

BACKGROUND: Genetic scores may provide an objective measure of prostate cancer risk and thus inform screening decisions. We evaluated whether a polygenic hazard score based on 290 genetic variants (PHS290) is associated with prostate cancer risk in a diverse population, including Black men, who have higher average risk of prostate cancer death but are often treated as a homogeneously high-risk group. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of the Million Veteran Program, a national, population-based cohort study of US military veterans conducted 2011-2021. Cox proportional hazards analyses tested for association of genetic and other risk factors (including self-reported race and ethnicity and family history) with age at death from prostate cancer, age at diagnosis of metastatic (nodal or distant) prostate cancer, and age at diagnosis of any prostate cancer. RESULTS: A total of 590 750 male participants were included. Median age at last follow-up was 69 years. PHS290 was associated with fatal prostate cancer in the full cohort and for each racial and ethnic group (P < .001). Comparing men in the highest 20% of PHS290 with those in the lowest 20% (based on percentiles from an independent training cohort), the hazard ratio for fatal prostate cancer was 4.42 (95% confidence interval = 3.91 to 5.02). When accounting for guideline-recommended risk factors (family history, race, and ethnicity), PHS290 remained a strong independent predictor of any, metastatic, and fatal prostate cancer. CONCLUSIONS: PHS290 stratified US veterans of diverse ancestry for lifetime risk of prostate cancer, including metastatic and fatal cancer. Predicting genetic risk of lethal prostate cancer with PHS290 might inform individualized decisions about prostate cancer screening.