Temporal trends in anticoagulation use and clinical outcomes among medicare beneficiaries with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.

PURPOSE: Oral anticoagulants effectively prevent stroke/systemic embolism among patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation but remain under-prescribed. This study evaluated temporal trends in oral anticoagulant use, the incidence of stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding, and economic outcomes among elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc scores ≥ 2. METHODS: Retrospective analyses were conducted on Medicare claims data from January 1, 2012 through December 31, 2017. Non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients aged ≥ 65 years with CHA2DS2-VASc scores ≥ 2 were stratified by calendar year (2013-2016) of care to create calendar-year cohorts. Patient characteristics were evaluated across all cohorts during the baseline period (12 months before diagnosis). Treatment patterns and clinical and economic outcomes were evaluated during the follow-up period (from diagnosis through 12 months). RESULTS: Baseline patient characteristics remained generally similar between 2013 and 2016. Although lack of oral anticoagulant prescriptions among eligible patients remained relatively high, utilization did increase progressively (53-58%). Among treated patients, there was a progressive decrease in warfarin use (79-52%) and a progressive increase in overall direct oral anticoagulant use (21-48%). There were progressive decreases in the incidence of stroke/systemic embolism 1.9-1.4 events per 100 person years) and major bleeding (4.6-3.3 events per 100 person years) as well as all-cause costs between 2013 and 2016. CONCLUSIONS: The proportions of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation who were not prescribed an oral anticoagulant decreased but remained high. We observed an increase in direct oral anticoagulant use that coincided with decreased incidence of clinical outcomes as well as decreasing total healthcare costs.

Geographic variation in clinical outcomes and anticoagulation among medicare beneficiaries with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.

Oral anticoagulants (OACs) have been used to prevent stroke/systemic embolism (SE) among patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). To evaluate baseline clinical characteristics, incidence rates of stroke/SE and hospitalization for bleeding, and OAC use among elderly patients with NVAF in the US by geographic region. Patients with NVAF were selected from the US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services claims database (01JAN2013-31DEC2016). Twelve months of health plan enrollment was required before and after the NVAF diagnosis to evaluate baseline characteristics and outcomes, respectively. Each patient was assigned to a 3-digit zip code based on their primary residence, and geographic variation was visualized using ArcGIS Pro software. Over 2.8 million patients with NVAF were identified. Large geographic variation was observed in clinical characteristics, stroke/SE, hospitalization for bleeding, and OAC use among patients across the US. The zip codes with the highest mean CHA2DS2-VASc scores and frequency of prior bleeding also had the highest incidence of stroke/SE and hospitalization for bleeding. Across 3-digit zip codes, 35-63% of patients were untreated. Overall, the incidence of stroke/SE and hospitalization for bleeding were higher and OAC treatment was less frequent in zip codes located in the Southern US. Baseline clinical characteristics, incidence rates of stroke/SE and hospitalization for bleeding, and OAC usage vary considerably by 3-digit zip code in the US. The additional granularity provided in this study may help clinicians to identify small regions with high-risk of stroke/SE and hospitalization for bleeding and low use of OAC that may benefit from targeted care strategies.

Electrocardiographic parameters associated with pacemaker induced cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Chronic right ventricular (RV) pacing can induce left ventricular (LV) dyssynchrony and cause pacemaker induced cardiomyopathy (PiCM). Identifying which patients are at risk for PiCM is limited. METHODS: Patients receiving RV-only permanent pacemakers (PPMs) at Duke University Medical Center between 2011 and 2017 who had normal baseline ejection fractions (EFs) were identified. Patients who developed a subsequent decrease in EF, died, or underwent cardiac resynchronization therapy, left ventricular assist device, or heart transplant without a competing cause were considered as the primary endpoint. Pre-PPM and post-PPM electrocardiograms (ECGs) were analyzed to extract scalar measurements including the lead one ratio (LOR) as well as advanced-ECG (A-ECG) features to identify predictors of PiCM. Traditional and penalized Cox regression were used to identify variables predictive of the primary endpoint. RESULTS: Pre-PPM ECGs were evaluated for 404 patients of whom 140 (35%) experienced the primary endpoint. Predictors included female sex (hazard ratio [HR] 1.14), a T' wave in V6 (HR 1.31), a P' wave in aVL (HR 0.88), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (HR 0.88). Post-PPM ECGs were evaluated for 228 patients for whom 94 (41%) experienced the primary endpoint. Predictors included female sex (HR 0.50), age (HR 1.06), and a history of congestive heart failure (HR 1.63). Neither LOR nor A-ECG parameters were strong predictors of the primary endpoint. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline and paced ECG data provide limited insight into which patients are at high risk for developing PiCM.

The development of the extravascular defibrillator with substernal lead placement: A new Frontier for device-based treatment of sudden cardiac arrest.

INTRODUCTION: The extravascular implantable cardioverter-defibrillato (EV ICD) system with substernal lead placement is a novel nontransvenous alternative to current commercially available ICD systems. The EV ICD provides defibrillation and pacing therapies without the potential long-term complications of endovascular lead placement but requires a new procedure for implantation with a safety profile under evaluation. METHODS: This paper summarizes the development of the EV ICD, including the preclinical and clinical evaluations that have contributed to the system and procedural refinements to date. RESULTS: Extensive preclinical research evaluations and four human clinical studies with >140 combined acute and chronic implants have enabled the development and refinement of the EV ICD system, currently in worldwide pivotal study. CONCLUSION: The EV ICD may represent a clinically valuable solution in protecting patients from sudden cardiac death while avoiding the long-term consequences of transvenous hardware. The EV ICD offers advantages over transvenous and subcutaneous systems by avoiding placement in the heart and vasculature; relative to subcutaneous systems, EV ICD requires less energy for defibrillation, enabling a smaller device, and provides pacing features such as antitachycardia and asystole pacing in a single system.

Acute echocardiographic and hemodynamic response to his-bundle pacing in patients with first-degree atrioventricular block.

BACKGROUND: Atrial pacing and right ventricular (RV) pacing are both associated with adverse outcomes among patients with first-degree atrioventricular block (1°AVB). His-bundle pacing (HBP) provides physiological activation of the ventricle and may be able to improve both atrioventricular (AV) and inter-ventricular synchrony in 1°AVB patients. This study evaluates the acute echocardiographic and hemodynamic effects of atrial, atrial-His-bundle sequential (AH), and atrial-ventricular (AV) sequential pacing in 1°AVB patients. METHODS: Patients with 1°AVB undergoing atrial fibrillation ablation were included. Following left atrial (LA) catheterization, patients underwent atrial, AH- and AV-sequential pacing. LA/left ventricular (LV) pressure and echocardiographic measurements during the pacing protocols were compared. RESULTS: Thirteen patients with 1°AVB (mean PR 221 ± 26 ms) were included. The PR interval was prolonged with atrial pacing compared to baseline (275 ± 73 ms, p = .005). LV ejection fraction (LVEF) was highest during atrial pacing (62 ± 11%), intermediate with AH-sequential pacing (59 ± 7%), and lowest with AV-sequential pacing (57 ± 12%) though these differences were not statistically significant. No significant differences were found in LA or LV mean pressures or LV dP/dT. LA and LV volumes, isovolumetric times, electromechanical delays, and global longitudinal strains were similar across pacing protocols. CONCLUSION: Despite pronounced PR prolongation, the acute effects of atrial pacing were not significantly different than AH- or AV-sequential pacing. Normalizing atrioventricular and/or inter-ventricular dyssynchrony did not result in acute improvements in cardiac output or loading conditions.

Left bundle-branch block is associated with asimilar dyssynchronous phenotype in heart failure patients with normal and reduced ejection fractions.

BACKGROUND: Few therapies improve outcomes in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). If left bundle-branch block (LBBB) is associated with left ventricular dyssynchrony and impaired cardiac performance in HFpEF, cardiac resynchronization therapy could be a promising treatment. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional analysis of selected patients with HFpEF (ejection fraction ≥50%) with and without LBBB (normal conduction, NC) and patients with HFrEF and LBBB who were suitable cardiac resynchronization therapy candidates to describe and contextualize the mechanical phenotype of LBBB in HFpEF. Systolic and diastolic isovolumic times, ejection time(ET), and diastolic filling time(DFT) were measured on spectral tissue Doppler echocardiographic images and indexed to the heart rate. Dyssynchrony pattern was assessed using speckle-tracked longitudinal strain patterns. Comparisons were performed using analysis of variance and χ2 test with posthoc pairwise comparisons as indicated. RESULTS: Eighty-two HFpEF (50 with NC, 32 with LBBB) and 149 HFrEF (all with LBBB) patients met criteria. Overall, 84.4% with HFpEF/LBBB and 91.3% with HFrEF/LBBB had demonstrable mechanical dyssynchrony compared to 0% with HFpEF/NC. Compared to HFpEF/NC, HFpEF/LBBB had significantly prolonged isovolumetric contraction time (ICT), isovolumetric relaxation time (IRT), and total isovolumetric time and significantly shorter ET (all indexed). LBBB/HFrEF patients, compared to LBBB/HFpEF patients, had increased ICT and IRT with decreased DFT but similar ET. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with HFpEF and LBBB frequently have an LBBB dyssynchrony phenotype, prolonged ICT and IRT, and reduced ET compared to HFpEF patients with NC. The electromechanical dyssynchrony and disordered cardiac timing of HFpEF with LBBB are similar to HFrEF with LBBB.

Association between vectorcardiographic QRS area and incident heart failure diagnosis and mortality among patients with left bundle branch block: A register-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: QRS duration and morphology including left bundle branch block (LBBB) are the most widely used electrocardiogram (ECG) markers for assessing ventricular dyssynchrony and predicting heart failure (HF). However, the vectorcardiographic QRS area may more accurately identify delayed left ventricular activation and HF development. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the association between QRS area and incident HF risk in patients with LBBB. METHODS: By crosslinking data from Danish nationwide registries, we identified patients with a first-time digital LBBB ECG between 2001 and 2015. The vectorcardiographic QRS area was derived from a 12­lead ECG using the Kors transformation method and grouped into quartiles. The endpoint was a composite of HF diagnosis, filled prescriptions for loop diuretics, or death from HF. Cause-specific multivariable Cox regression was used to compute hazard ratios(HR) with 95% confidence intervals(CI). RESULTS: We included 3316 patients with LBBB free from prior HF-related events (median age, 72 years; male, 40%). QRS area quartiles comprised Q1, 36-98 µVs; Q2, 99-119 µVs; Q3, 120-145 µVs; and Q4, 146-295 µVs. During a 5-year follow-up, 31% of patients reached the composite endpoint, with a rate of 39% in the highest quartile Q4. A QRS area in quartile Q4 was associated with increased hazard of the composite endpoint (HR:1.48, 95%CI:1.22-1.80) compared with Q1. CONCLUSIONS: Among primary care patients with newly discovered LBBB, a large vectorcardiographic QRS area (146-295 µVs) was associated with an increased risk of incident HF diagnosis, filling prescriptions for loop diuretics, or dying from HF within 5-years.

Safety and efficacy outcomes of left atrial posterior wall isolation compared to pulmonary vein isolation and pulmonary vein isolation with linear ablation for the treatment of persistent atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary wall isolation (PWI) is increasingly used as an adjunctive lesion set to compliment pulmonary vein isolation (PVI), especially in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (AF). The objective was to compare outcomes of catheter ablation in patients with persistent AF undergoing PVI with and without adjunctive PWI. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of 558 patients who underwent de novo and repeat ablation for persistent AF. Subjects were matched using propensity score adjustments. Outcomes were freedom from recurrent atrial arrhythmia and adverse events. RESULTS: Among 558 patients who underwent ablation for persistent AF, 78 (14%) underwent PVI + PWI, 255 (46%) underwent PVI, and 225 (40%) underwent PVI + linear ablation. Stratified logistic regression analysis with propensity matching revealed higher odds of recurrent arrhythmia with PVI + PWI when compared to PVI (odds ratio [OR] 2.25, 95% CI 1.08-4.69, P = .030) and when compared to PVI + linear (OR 2.31, 95% CI 1.01-5.28, P = .048). Within the PVI + PWI group, 57.7% of subjects were in normal sinus rhythm at 6 months compared to 73.9% and 72.2% in PVI and PVI + linear groups, respectively. Adverse events were rare, with 19 events total identified across all groups. CONCLUSIONS: PVI + PWI does not appear to be as effective as PVI or PVI + linear ablation in reducing the recurrence of arrhythmia within 6 months of the index procedure in patients with persistent AF. A prospective, randomized controlled trial comparing these ablation techniques is needed to clarify the role of extensive substrate modification for treatment of persistent AF. CONDENSED ABSTRACT: PWI is increasingly used as an adjunctive lesion set to compliment PVI in patients with persistent AF. We performed a retrospective study of 558 patients who underwent de novo and repeat ablation for persistent AF to compare the outcomes between PVI with and without adjunctive PWI. We found an increased incidence in recurrence of AF and other atrial arrhythmias at 6 months in the PVI + PWI cohort compared to PVI with or without additional linear ablation. A prospective, randomized controlled trial comparing these ablation techniques is needed to clarify the role of extensive substrate modification for treatment of persistent AF.

Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator lead revision following left ventricular assist device implantation.

INTRODUCTION: Lead dysfunction can lead to serious consequences including failure to treat ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation (VT/VF). The incidence and mechanisms of lead dysfunction following left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation are not well-described. We sought to determine the incidence, mechanisms, timing, and complications of right ventricular lead dysfunction requiring revision following LVAD implantation. METHODS: Retrospective observational chart review of all LVAD recipients with pre-existing implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) from 2009 to 2018 was performed including device interrogation reports, laboratory and imaging data, procedural reports, and clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Among 583 patients with an ICD in situ undergoing LVAD implant, the median (interquartile range) age was 62.5 (15.7) years, 21% were female, and the types of LVADs included HeartWare HVAD (26%), HeartMate II (52%), and HeartMate III (22%). Right ventricular lead revision was performed in 38 patients (6.5%) at a median (25th, 75th) of 16.4 (3.6, 29.2) months following LVAD. Mechanisms of lead dysfunction included macrodislodgement (n = 4), surgical lead injury (n = 4), recall (n = 3), insulation failure (n = 8) or conductor fracture (n = 7), and alterations in the lead-myocardial interface (n = 12). Undersensing requiring revision occurred in 22 (58%) cases. Clinical sequelae of undersensing included failure to detect VT/VF (n = 4) and pacing-induced torsade de pointes (n = 1). Oversensing occurred in 12 (32%) and sequelae included inappropriate antitachycardia pacing ([ATP], n = 8), inappropriate ICD shock (n = 6), and ATP-induced VT (n = 1). CONCLUSION: The incidence of right ventricular lead dysfunction following LVAD implantation is significant and has important clinical sequelae. Physicians should remain vigilant for lead dysfunction after LVAD surgery and test lead function before discharge.

VVI pacing with normal QRS duration and ventricular function: MOST trial findings relevant to leadless pacemakers.

BACKGROUND: Leadless pacemakers (LPs) provide ventricular pacing without the risks associated with transvenous leads and device pockets. LPs are appealing for patients who need pacing, but do not need defibrillator or cardiac resynchronization therapy. Most implanted LPs provide right ventricular pacing without atrioventricular synchrony (VVIR mode). The Mode Selection Trial in Sinus Node Dysfunction (MOST) showed similar outcomes in patients randomized to dual-chamber (DDDR) versus ventricular pacing (VVIR). We compared outcomes by pacing mode in LP-eligible patients from MOST. METHODS: Patients enrolled in the MOST study with an left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >35%, QRS duration (QRSd) <120 ms and no history of ventricular arrhythmias or prior implantable cardioverter defibrillators were included (LP-eligible population). Cox proportional hazards models were used to test the association between pacing mode and death, stroke or heart failure (HF) hospitalization and atrial fibrillation (AF). RESULTS: Of the 2010 patients enrolled in MOST, 1284 patients (64%) met inclusion criteria. Baseline characteristics were well balanced across included patients randomized to DDDR (N = 630) and VVIR (N = 654). Over 4 years of follow-up, there was no association between pacing mode and death, stroke or HF hospitalization (VVIR HR 1.28 [0.92-1.75]). VVIR pacing was associated with higher risk of AF (HR 1.32 [1.08-1.61], P = .007), particularly in patients with no history of AF (HR 2.38 [1.52-3.85], P < .001). CONCLUSION: In patients without reduced LVEF or prolonged QRSd who would be eligible for LP, DDDR, and VVIR pacing demonstrated similar rates of death, stroke or HF hospitalization; however, VVIR pacing significantly increased the risk of AF development.

Lead one ratio in left bundle branch block predicts poor cardiac resynchronization therapy response.

BACKGROUND: A low electrocardiogram (ECG) lead one ratio (LOR) of the maximum positive/negative QRS amplitudes is associated with lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and worse outcomes in left bundle branch block (LBBB); however, the impact of LOR on cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) outcomes is unknown. We compared clinical outcomes and echocardiographic changes after CRT implantation by LOR. METHODS: Consecutive CRT-defibrillator recipients with LBBB implanted between 2006 and 2015 at Duke University Medical Center were included (N = 496). Time to heart transplant, left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation, or death was compared among patients with LOR <12 vs ≥12 using Cox-proportional hazard models. Changes in LVEF and LV volumes after CRT were compared by LOR. RESULTS: Baseline ECG LOR <12 was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.69 (95% CI: 1.12-2.40, P = .01) for heart transplant, LVAD, or death. Patients with LOR <12 had less reduction of LV end diastolic volume (ΔLVEDV -4 ± 21 vs -13 ± 23%, P = .04) and LV end systolic volume (ΔLVESV -9 ± 27 vs -22 ± 26%, P = .03) after CRT. In patients with QRS duration (QRSd) ≥150 ms, LOR <12 was associated with an adjusted HR of 2.01 (95% CI 1.21-3.35, P = .008) for heart transplant, LVAD, or death, compared with LOR ≥12. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline ECG LOR <12 portends worse outcomes after CRT implantation in patients with LBBB, specifically among those with QRSd ≥150 ms. This ECG ratio may identify patients with a class I indication for CRT implantation at high risk for poor postimplantation outcomes.

Concomitant changes in ventricular depolarization and repolarization and long-term outcomes of biventricular pacing.

BACKGROUND: Biventricular (BiV) pacing increases transmural repolarization heterogeneity due to epicardial to endocardial conduction from the left ventricular (LV) lead. However, limited evidence is available on concomitant changes in ventricular depolarization and repolarization and long-term outcomes of BiV pacing. Therefore, we investigated associations of BiV pacing-induced concomitant changes in ventricular depolarization and repolarization with mortality (i.e., LV assist device, heart transplantation, or all-cause mortality) and sustained ventricular arrhythmia endpoints. METHODS: Consecutive BiV-defibrillator recipients with digital preimplantation and postimplantation electrocardiograms recorded between 2006 and 2015 at Duke University Medical Center were included. We calculated changes in QRS duration and corrected JT (JTc) interval and split them by median values. For simplicity, these variables were named QRSdecreased (≤ -12 ms), QRSincreased (> -12 ms), JTcdecreased (≤22 ms), and JTcincreased (> 22 ms) and subsequently used to construct four mutually exclusive groups. RESULTS: We included 528 patients (median age, 68 years; male, 69%). No correlation between changes in QRS duration and JTc interval was observed (P = .295). Compared to QRSdecreased /JTcincreased , increased risk of the composite mortality endpoint was associated with QRSdecreased /JTcdecreased (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.09-2.43), QRSincreased /JTcdecreased (HR = 1.86; 95% CI = 1.27-2.71), and QRSincreased /JTcincreased (HR = 2.25; 95% CI = 1.52-3.35). No QRS/JTc group was associated with excess sustained ventricular arrhythmia risk (P = .400). CONCLUSION: Among BiV-defibrillator recipients, QRSdecreased /JTcincreased was associated with the most favorable long-term survival free of LV assist device, heart transplantation, and sustained ventricular arrhythmias. Our findings suggest that improved electrical resynchronization may be achieved by assessing concomitant changes in ventricular depolarization and repolarization.

Catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation in cardiac amyloidosis.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac amyloidosis is a progressive infiltrative disease involving deposition of amyloid fibrils in the myocardium and cardiac conduction system that frequently manifests with heart failure (HF) and arrhythmias, most frequently atrial fibrillation (AF), atrial flutter (AFL), and atrial tachycardia (AT). METHODS: We performed an observational retrospective study of patients with a diagnosis of cardiac amyloid who underwent catheter ablation at our institution between January 1, 2011 and December 1, 2018. Patient demographics, procedural characteristics, and outcomes were determined by manual chart review. RESULTS: A total of 13 catheter ablations were performed over the study period in patients with cardiac amyloidosis, including 10 AT/AF/AFL ablations and three atrioventricular nodal ablations. Left ventricular ejection fraction was lower at the time of AV node ablation than catheter ablation of AT/AF/AFL (23% vs 40%, P = .003). Cardiac amyloid was diagnosed based on the results of preablation cardiac MRI results in the majority of patients (n = 7, 70%). The HV interval was prolonged at 60 ± 15 ms and did not differ significantly between AV nodal ablation patients and AT/AF/AFL ablation patients (69 ± 18 ms vs 57 ± 14 ms, P = .36). The majority of patients undergoing AT/AF/AFL ablation had persistent AF (n = 7, 70%) and NYHA class II (n = 5, 50%) or III (n = 5, 50%) HF symptoms, whereas patients undergoing AV node ablation were more likely to have class IV HF (n = 2, 66%, P = .014). Arrhythmia-free survival in CA patients after catheter ablation of AT/AF/AFL was 40% at 1 year and 20% at 2 years. CONCLUSIONS: Catheter ablation of AT/AF/AFL may be a feasible strategy for appropriately selected patients with early to mid-stage CA, whereas AV node ablation may be more appropriate in patients with advanced-stage CA.

Changes in the optimal cardiac resynchronization therapy pacing configuration during physiologic stress.

BACKGROUND: Some patients with ongoing heart failure symptoms after treatment with cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) demonstrate QRS prolongation during exercise. We investigated whether the optimal CRT pacing configuration changes during dobutamine stress. METHODS: Seven patients undergoing CRT implantation underwent invasive LV dP/dTmax measurement during CRT pacing in 10 configurations to determine the optimal baseline pacing configuration (OPC). Measurements were repeated during dobutamine infusion. Differences in mean LV dP/dTmax between pacing configurations were compared. RESULTS: Baseline OPC differed from stress OPC in 6/7 patients. The mean (SD) LV dP/dTmax obtained during dobutamine infusion was 1140 (377) mmHg/s in AAI pacing, 1458 (448) mmHg/s in the baseline OPC, and 1656 (435) mmHg/s in the dobutamine OPC (p < 0.001 for differences). The mean increase in LV dP/dTmax obtained by changing from baseline OPC to dobutamine OPC during dobutamine infusion was 197 (338) mmHg/s (13%). The QRS duration, QRS morphology, QLV and QRV intervals did not change significantly during dobutamine infusion (all P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The optimal CRT pacing configuration changes during dobutamine infusion while LV and RV activation timing does not. Further studies investigating the usefulness of automated dynamic changes to CRT pacing configuration according to physiologic condition may be warranted.

Incidence of heart failure after pacemaker implantation: a nationwide Danish Registry-based follow-up study.

AIMS: The objective of the current study is to investigate the risk of heart failure (HF) after implantation of a pacemaker (PM) with a right ventricular pacing (RVP) lead in comparison to a matched cohort without a PM and factors associated with this risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: All patients without a known history of HF who had a PM implanted with an RVP lead between 2000 and 2014 (n = 27 704) were identified using Danish nationwide registries. An age- and gender-matched control cohort (matched 1:5, n = 138 520) without PM and HF was identified to compare the risk. Outcome was the cumulative incidence of HF including fatal HF within the first 2 years of PM implantation, with all-cause mortality and myocardial infarction (MI) as competing risks. Due to violation of proportional hazards, the follow-up period was divided into three time-intervals: <30 days, 30-180 days, and >180 days-2 years. The cumulative incidence of HF including fatal HF was observed in 2937 (10.6%) PM patients. Risks for the three time-intervals were <30 days [hazard ratio (HR) 5.98, 95% CI 5.19-6.90], 30-180 days (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.71-1.98), and >180 days (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.04-1.17). Among patients with a PM device, factors associated with increased risk of HF were male sex (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.24-1.43), presence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.29-2.09), and prior MI (1.77, 95% 1.50-2.09). CONCLUSIONS: Pacemaker with an RVP lead is strongly associated with risk of HF specifically within the first 6 months. Patients with antecedent history of MI and CKD had substantially increased risk.

Non-invasively quantified changes in left ventricular activation predict outcomes in patients undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy.

BACKGROUND: Changes in left ventricular (LV) activation after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) influence survival but are difficult to quantify noninvasively. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 527 CRT patients to assess whether noninvasive quantification of changes in LV activation, defined by change (Δ) in QRS area (QRSA), can predict outcomes after CRT. The study outcome was time until LV assist device(LVAD), cardiac transplant, or death. The three-dimensional QRSA was measured from clinical 12 lead ECGs which were transformed into vectorcardiograms using the Kors method. QRSA was calculated as (QRSx2 + QRSy2 + QRSz2 )1/2 ; ΔQRSA was calculated as post-QRSA minus pre-QRSA, where a negative value represents a reduction in LV activation delay. Kaplan-Meier plots and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to relate ΔQRSA area with outcomes after stratifying the population into quartiles of ΔQRSA. The median baseline QRSA of 93.6 µVs decreased to 59.7 µVs after CRT. Progressive reductions in QRSA with CRT were associated with a lower rate of LVAD, transplant, or death across patient quartiles (P < .001). In Cox regression analyses, ΔQRSA was associated with outcomes independent of QRS morphology and other clinical variables (Q1[greatest decrease] vs Q4[smallest change=reference], HR 0.45, CI, 0.30-0.70, P < .001). There was no interaction between ΔQRSA and QRS morphology. CONCLUSIONS: CRT induced ΔQRSA was associated with clinically meaningful changes in event-free survival. ΔQRSA may be a novel target to guide lead implantation and device optimization.

Low lead one ratio predicts clinical outcomes in left bundle branch block.

INTRODUCTION: We evaluated the association between a novel electrocardiographic (ECG) marker of late, rightward electrocardiographic forces (termed the lead one ratio [LOR]), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), myocardial scar, and clinical outcomes in patients with left bundle branch block (LBBB). METHODS AND RESULTS: LOR was calculated in patients with LBBB from a derivation cohort (n = 240) and receiver operator characteristic curves identified optimal threshold values for predicting myocardial scar and LVEF less than 35%. An independent validation cohort of patients with LBBB (n = 196) was used to test the association of LOR with the myocardial scar, LVEF, and the likelihood of death, heart transplant or left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. The optimal thresholds in the derivation cohort were LOR less than 13.7 for identification of scar (sensitivity 55%, specificity 80%), and LOR less than 12.1 for LVEF less than 35% (sensitivity 49%, specificity 80%). In the validation cohort, LOR less than 13.7 was not associated with scar size or presence (P > 0.05 for both). LOR less than 12.1 was associated with lower LVEF (30 [20-40] versus 40 [25-55]%; P = 0.002) and predicted LVEF less than 35% in univariable (odds ratio [OR], 2.2 [1.2-4.1]; P = 0.01) and multivariable analysis (OR, 2.2 [1.2-4.3]; P = 0.02). LOR less than 12.1 was associated with scar presence when patients with nonischemic cardiomyopathy were excluded (OR = 7.2 [1.5-33.2]; P = 0.002). LOR less than 12.1 had an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.53 ([1.05-2.21]; P = 0.03) for death, transplant or LVAD implantation. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, ECG LOR less than 12.1 predicts reduced-LV systolic function and poorer prognosis in patients with LBBB.

PR Prolongation predicts inadequate resynchronization with biventricular pacing in left bundle branch block.

BACKGROUND: PR interval prolongation is associated with poor outcome after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) among patients with left bundle branch block (LBBB) but the mechanisms are unknown. We investigated clinical outcomes, electrocardiogram (ECG), and echocardiogram changes after CRT by PR interval. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of CRT recipients with a baseline ejection fraction ≤35% and ECG showing sinus rhythm and LBBB. Patients were stratified by baseline PR interval quartile and the primary combined endpoint was time to heart transplantation, left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation, or death. ECG, echocardiogram, and clinical variables were compared to identify mechanisms for observed differences in outcomes. RESULTS: Of 291 eligible patients, the mean age was 65 years, 60% were male, and 19% had prior atrial fibrillation. Patients with PR prolongation (quartile 4, PR > 200 ms) more frequently had a history of atrial fibrillation, coronary artery bypass graft surgery, prior implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation, and use of amiodarone than patients in PR quartiles 1-3. A PR > 200ms was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.7 (95% CI: 1.1-2.5) for the primary endpoint. Patients with PR > 200 ms had less reduction in QRS duration and QRS area after CRT while having more increase in QT and QTc intervals than patients with PR ≤ 200 ms. No major differences were observed in echocardiography by baseline PR interval quartiles. CONCLUSIONS: PR prolongation predicts shorter survival free of heart transplantation or LVAD implantation in patients with LBBB. This may be due to inadequate ventricular resynchronization.

Predicting atrial fibrillation recurrence after ablation in patients with heart failure: Validity of the APPLE and CAAP-AF risk scoring systems.

BACKGROUND: Compared with medical therapy, catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with heart failure (HF) improves cardiovascular outcomes. Risk scores (CAAP-AF and APPLE) have been developed to predict the likelihood of AF recurrence after ablation, have not been validated specifically in patients with AF and HF. METHODS: We analyzed baseline characteristics, risk scores, and rates of AF recurrence 12 months postablation in a cohort of 230 consecutive patients with AF and HF undergoing PVI in the Duke Center for Atrial Fibrillation registry from 2009-2013. RESULTS: During a follow-up period of 12 months, 76 of 230 (33%) patients with HF experienced recurrent AF after ablation. The median APPLE and CAAP-AF scores were 1.5 ([Q1, Q3]: [1.0, 2.0]) and 4.0 ([Q1, Q3]: [3.0, 5.0]), respectively and were not different from those patients with and without recurrent AF. Freedom from AF was not different according to APPLE and CAAP-AF scores. Discrimination for recurrent AF with the CAAP-AF score was modest with a C-statistic of 0.60 (95% CI 0.52-0.67). Discrimination with the APPLE score was similarly modest, with a C-statistic of 0.54 (95% CI: 0.47-0.62). CONCLUSIONS: Validated predictive risk scores for recurrent AF after catheter ablation exhibit limited predictive ability in cohorts of AF and HF. Additional tools are needed to facilitate risk stratification and patient selection for AF ablation in patients with concomitant HF.

The Association of a classical left bundle Branch Block Contraction Pattern by vendor-independent strain echocardiography and outcome after cardiac resynchronization therapy.

BACKGROUND: The association of a Classical left bundle branch block (LBBB) contraction pattern and better outcome after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) has only been studied using vendor-specific software for echocardiographic speckle-tracked longitudinal strain analysis. The purpose of this study was to assess whether a Classical LBBB contraction pattern on longitudinal strain analysis using vendor-independent software is associated with clinical outcome in CRT recipients with LBBB. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study including CRT recipients with LBBB, heart failure, and left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction ≤35%. Speckle-tracked echocardiographic longitudinal strain analysis was performed retrospectively on echocardiograms using vendor-independent software. The presence of a Classical LBBB contraction pattern was determined by consensus of two readers. The primary end point was a composite of time to death, heart transplantation or LV assist device implantation. Secondary outcome was ≥15% reduction in LV end-systolic volume. Intra- and inter-reader agreement of the longitudinal strain contraction pattern was assessed by calculating Cohen's κ. RESULTS: Of 283 included patients, 113 (40%) were women, mean age was 66 ± 11 years, and 136 (48%) had ischemic heart disease. A Classical LBBB contraction pattern was present in 196 (69%). The unadjusted hazard ratio for reaching the primary end point was 1.93 (95% confidence interval, 1.36-2.76, p < 0.001) when comparing patients without to patients with a Classical LBBB contraction pattern. Adjusted for ischemic heart disease and QRS duration < 150 milliseconds the hazard ratio was 1.65 (95% confidence interval, 1.12-2.43, p = 0.01). Of the 123 (43%) patients with a follow-up echocardiogram, 64 of 85 (75%) of patients with a Classical LBBB contraction pattern compared to 13 of 38 (34%) without, had ≥15% reduction in LV end-systolic volume (p < 0.001). Cohen's κ were 0.86 (95% confidence interval, 0.71-1.00) and 0.42 (95% confidence interval, 0.30-0.54) for intra- and inter-reader agreement, respectively. CONCLUSION: Using vendor-independent strain software, a Classical LBBB contraction pattern is associated with better outcome in CRT recipients with LBBB, but inter-reader agreement for the classification of contraction pattern is only moderate.