St Gallen 2019 guidelines understage the axilla in lobular breast cancer: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The St Gallen 2019 guidelines for primary therapy of early breast cancer recommend omission of completion axillary lymph node dissection (cALND), regardless of histological type, in patients with one or two sentinel lymph node (SLN) metastases. Concurrently, adjuvant chemotherapy is endorsed for luminal A-like disease with four or more axillary lymph node (ALN) metastases. The aim of this study was to estimate the proportion of patients with invasive lobular cancer (ILC) versus invasive ductal cancer of no special type (NST) with one or two SLN metastases for whom cALND would have led to a recommendation for adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: Patients with ILC and NST who had surgery between 2014 and 2017 were identified in the National Breast Cancer Register of Sweden. After exclusion of patients with incongruent or missing data, those who fulfilled the St Gallen 2019 criteria for cALND omission were included in the population-based study cohort. RESULTS: Some 1886 patients in total were included in the study, 329 with ILC and 1507 with NST. Patients with ILC had a higher metastatic nodal burden and were more likely to have a luminal A-like subtype than those with NST. The prevalence of at least four ALN metastases was higher in ILC (31.0 per cent) than NST (14.9 per cent), corresponding to an adjusted odds ratio of 2.26 (95 per cent c.i. 1.59 to 3.21). Luminal A-like breast cancers with four or more ALN metastases were over-represented in ILC compared with NST, 52 of 281 (18.5 per cent) versus 43 of 1299 (3.3 per cent) (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with ILC more often have luminal A-like breast cancer with at least four nodal metastases. Omission of cALND in patients with luminal A-like invasive lobular cancer and one or two SLN metastases warrants future attention as there is a risk of nodal understaging and undertreatment in one-fifth of patients.

Nowadays patients who have breast cancer with one to two metastases in the first draining axillary lymph nodes are not recommended to undergo completion surgery of the axilla if they have breast-conserving surgery and will have adequate postoperative oncological treatment. Lobular breast cancer is the second most common type of breast cancer, and this study shows that patients with this type have an increased risk of having lymph node metastases remaining if completion surgery is omitted. The diagnosis of additional lymph node metastases is importance for guidance regarding adjuvant oncological therapy in lobular cancer with a hormonally sensitive low proliferative subtype.

Cosmetic Outcomes and Symmetry Comparison in Patients Undergoing Bilateral Therapeutic Mammoplasty for Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Breast-reduction techniques are increasingly used in oncoplastic breast surgery. Bilateral therapeutic mammoplasty has the benefit of decreasing breast volume, enabling resection of larger tumors, and the potential to assure good postoperative symmetry. The aims of this study were to objectively asses the cosmetic outcomes of therapeutic mammoplasty in patients with breast cancer, using the breast cancer conservative treatment cosmetic results (BCCT.core) software, to compare this score with the surgeon's score and the patient's assessment, and to evaluate if other defined parameters have an impact on cosmetic outcomes. The secondary aim was to compare breast symmetry pre- and postoperatively. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We enrolled 146 consecutive patients with primary breast cancer who underwent therapeutic mammoplasty between 2011 and 2018 in Kristianstad Central Hospital, Sweden. We retrospectively collected data from patients' records. We analyzed the BCCT.core score using postoperative photographs to objectively evaluate cosmetic outcomes on a four-grade scale and compared with preoperative photographs to evaluate symmetry. Cosmetic outcomes were also assessed subjectively by patients and surgeons, using a 10-point Likert scale. RESULTS: The majority of patients (89%) had good or excellent BCCT.core scores, which correlated with surgeons' scores, rs = - 0.22 (p < 0.001). Overall, patients were more satisfied with the cosmetic outcomes than the surgeons (p < 0.001). Evidence supporting an association between the defined clinicopathological variables, for example, tumor size, and cosmetic outcomes, was weak. CONCLUSION: Therapeutic mammoplasty yields a very good cosmetic outcome, evaluated both by subjective and objective measurements. Importantly, symmetry can be improved in patients with asymmetry.

Randomized phase III trial of low-molecular-weight heparin enoxaparin in addition to standard treatment in small-cell lung cancer: the RASTEN trial.

Background: Coagulation activation and venous thromboembolism (VTE) are hallmarks of malignant disease and represent a major cause of morbidity and mortality in cancer. Coagulation inhibition with low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) may improve survival specifically in small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients by preventing VTE and tumor progression; however, randomized trials with well-defined patient populations are needed to obtain conclusive data. The aim of RASTEN was to investigate the survival effect of LMWH enoxaparin in a homogenous population of SCLC patients. Patients and methods: We carried out a randomized, multicenter, open-label trial to investigate the addition of enoxaparin at a supraprophylactic dose (1 mg/kg) to standard treatment in patients with newly diagnosed SCLC. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), and secondary outcomes were progression-free survival (PFS), incidence of VTE and hemorrhagic events. Results: In RASTEN, 390 patients were randomized over an 8-year period (2008-2016), of whom 186 and 191 were included in the final analysis in the LMWH and control arm, respectively. We found no evidence of a difference in OS or PFS by the addition of enoxaparin [hazard ratio (HR), 1.11; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.89-1.38; P = 0.36 and HR, 1.18; 95% CI 0.95-1.46; P = 0.14, respectively]. Subgroup analysis of patients with limited and extensive disease did not show reduced mortality by enoxaparin. The incidence of VTE was significantly reduced in the LMWH arm (HR, 0.31; 95% CI 0.11-0.84; P = 0.02). Hemorrhagic events were more frequent in the LMWH-treated group but fatal bleedings occurred in both arms. Conclusion: LMWH enoxaparin in addition to standard therapy did not improve OS in SCLC patients despite being administered at a supraprophylactic dose and despite resulting in a significant reduction in VTE incidence. Addition of LMWH cannot be generally recommended in the management of SCLC patients, and predictive biomarkers of VTE and LMWH-associated bleeding in cancer patients are warranted.

Prognostic and predictive importance of the estrogen receptor coactivator AIB1 in a randomized trial comparing adjuvant letrozole and tamoxifen therapy in postmenopausal breast cancer: the Danish cohort of BIG 1-98.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the estrogen receptor coactivator amplified in breast cancer 1 (AIB1) as a prognostic marker, as well as a predictive marker for response to adjuvant tamoxifen and/or aromatase inhibitors, in early estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. METHOD: AIB1 was analyzed with immunohistochemistry in tissue microarrays of the Danish subcohort (N = 1396) of the International Breast Cancer Study Group's trial BIG 1-98 (randomization between adjuvant tamoxifen versus letrozole versus the sequence of the two drugs). RESULTS: Forty-six percent of the tumors had a high AIB1 expression. In line with previous studies, AIB1 correlated to a more aggressive tumor-phenotype (HER2 amplification and a high malignancy grade). High AIB1 also correlated to higher estrogen receptor expression (80-100 vs. 1-79%), and ductal histological type. High AIB1 expression was associated with a poor disease-free survival (univariable: hazard ratio 1.35, 95% confidence interval 1.12-1.63. Multivariable: hazard ratio 1.29, 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.58) and overall survival (univariable: hazard ratio 1.34, 95% confidence interval 1.07-1.68. Multivariable: hazard ratio 1.25, 95% confidence interval 0.99-1.60). HER2 did not seem to modify the prognostic effect of AIB1. No difference in treatment effect between tamoxifen and letrozole in relation to AIB1 was found. CONCLUSIONS: In a subset of the large international randomized trial BIG 1-98, we confirm AIB1 to be a strong prognostic factor in early breast cancer. Hence, although tumor AIB1 expression does not seem to be useful for the choice of tamoxifen versus an aromatase inhibitor in postmenopausal endocrine-responsive breast cancer, AIB1 is an interesting target for new anti-cancer therapies and further investigations of this biomarker is warranted.

Nomograms for preoperative prediction of axillary nodal status in breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Axillary staging in patients with breast cancer and clinically node-negative disease is performed by sentinel node biopsy (SLNB). The aim of this study was to integrate feasible preoperative variables into nomograms to guide clinicians in stratifying treatment options into no axillary staging for patients with non-metastatic disease (N0), SLNB for those with one or two metastases, and axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) for patients with three or more metastases. METHODS: Patients presenting to Skåne University Hospital, Lund, with breast cancer were included in a prospectively maintained registry between January 2009 and December 2012. Those with a preoperative diagnosis of nodal metastases were excluded. Patients with data on hormone receptor status, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 and Ki-67 expression were included to allow grouping into surrogate molecular subtypes. Based on logistic regression analyses, nomograms summarizing the strength of the associations between the predictors and each nodal status endpoint were developed. Predictive performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Bootstrap resampling was performed for internal validation. RESULTS: Of the 692 patients eligible for analysis, 248 were diagnosed with node-positive disease. Molecular subtype, age, mode of detection, tumour size, multifocality and vascular invasion were identified as predictors of any nodal disease. Nomograms that included these predictors demonstrated good predictive abilities, and comparable performances in the internal validation; the area under the ROC curve was 0·74 for N0 versus any lymph node metastasis, 0·70 for one or two involved nodes versus N0, and 0·81 for at least three nodes versus two or fewer metastatic nodes. CONCLUSION: The nomograms presented facilitate preoperative decision-making regarding the extent of axillary surgery.

St Gallen molecular subtypes in screening-detected and symptomatic breast cancer in a prospective cohort with long-term follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosis by screening mammography is considered an independent positive prognostic factor, although the data are not fully in agreement. The aim of the study was to explore whether the mode of detection (screening-detected versus symptomatic) adds prognostic information to the St Gallen molecular subtypes of primary breast cancer, in terms of 10-year cumulative breast cancer mortality (BCM). METHODS: A prospective cohort of patients with primary breast cancer, who had regularly been invited to screening mammography, were included. Tissue microarrays were constructed from primary tumours and lymph node metastases, and evaluated by two independent pathologists. Primary tumours and lymph node metastases were classified into St Gallen molecular subtypes. Cause of death was retrieved from the Central Statistics Office. RESULTS: A total of 434 patients with primary breast cancer were included in the study. Some 370 primary tumours and 111 lymph node metastases were classified into St Gallen molecular subtypes. The luminal A-like subtype was more common among the screening-detected primary tumours (P = 0·035) and corresponding lymph node metastases (P = 0·114) than among symptomatic cancers. Patients with screening-detected tumours had a lower BCM (P = 0·017), and for those diagnosed with luminal A-like tumours the 10-year cumulative BCM was 3 per cent. For patients with luminal A-like lymph node metastases, there was no BCM. In a stepwise multivariable analysis, the prognostic information yielded by screening detection was hampered by stage and tumour biology. CONCLUSION: The prognosis was excellent for patients within the screening programme who were diagnosed with a luminal A-like primary tumour and/or lymph node metastases. Stage, molecular pathology and mode of detection help to define patients at low risk of death from breast cancer.

A prospective, multicenter validation study of a prognostic index composed of S-phase fraction, progesterone receptor status, and tumour size predicts survival in node-negative breast cancer patients: NNBC, the node-negative breast cancer trial.

BACKGROUND: In a retrospective study on node-negative breast cancer, a prognostic index consisting of a proliferation factor, S-phase fraction (SPF), progesterone receptor status (PR), and tumour size identified one-third of patients as high risk, with a sixfold increased risk of breast cancer death. This prospective multicenter cohort study was set up to validate the index. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In 576 T1-2N0 patients <60 years, prospective analyses of PR and SPF were carried out. High risk was defined as ≥2 of the following: size >20 mm, PR-negativity, and high SPF (in the absence of SPF, Bloom-Richardson grade 3). Median follow-up was 17.8 years. RESULTS: Thirty-one percent were high risk. In univariate analysis, the index was prognostic for breast cancer-specific survival after 5 years [hazard ratio (HR) = 4.7, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 2.5-8.9], 10 years (HR = 2.2, 95% CI 1.5-3.3), and 15 years (HR = 1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.5), and remained significant after adjustment for adjuvant medical treatment and age. In the 37% of patients with no risk factors, only one patient died of breast cancer the first 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: This prospective study validates a prognostic index consisting of a proliferation factor, PR-status, and tumour size. The index may be helpful for prognostic considerations and for selection of patients in need of adjuvant therapy.

A prospective cohort study identifying radiologic and tumor related factors of importance for breast conserving surgery after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

INTRODUCTION: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is an established treatment option for early breast cancer, potentially downstaging the tumor and increasing the eligibility for breast-conserving surgery (BCS). The primary aim of this study was to assess the rate of BCS after NAC, and the secondary aim was to identify predictors of application of BCS after NAC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was an observational prospective cohort study of 226 patients in the SCAN-B (Clinical Trials NCT02306096) neoadjuvant cohort during 2014-2019. Eligibility for BCS was assessed at baseline and after NAC. Uni- and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed using covariates with clinical relevance and/or those associated with outcome (BCS versus mastectomy), including tumor subtype, by gene expression analysis. RESULTS: The overall BCS rate was 52%, and this rate increased during the study period (from 37% to 52%). Pathological complete response was achieved in 69 patients (30%). Predictors for BCS were smaller tumor size on mammography, visibility on ultrasound, histological subtype other than lobular, benign axillary status, and a diagnosis of triple-negative or HER2-positive subtype, with a similar trend for gene expression subtypes. Mammographic density was negatively related to BCS in a dose-response pattern. In the multivariable logistic regression model, tumor stage at diagnosis and mammographic density showed the strongest association with BCS. CONCLUSION: The rate of BCS after NAC increased during the study period to 52%. With modern treatment options for NAC the potential for tumor response and BCS eligibility might further increase.

Towards optimised information about clinical trials; identification and validation of key issues in collaboration with cancer patient advocates.

Clinical trials are crucial to improve cancer treatment but recruitment is difficult. Optimised patient information has been recognised as a key issue. In line with the increasing focus on patients' perspectives in health care, we aimed to study patients' opinions about the written information used in three clinical trials for breast cancer. Primary data collection was done in focus group interviews with breast cancer patient advocates. Content analysis identified three major themes: comprehensibility, emotions and associations, and decision making. Based on the advocates' suggestions for improvements, 21 key issues were defined and validated through a questionnaire in an independent group of breast cancer patient advocates. Clear messages, emotionally neutral expressions, careful descriptions of side effects, clear comparisons between different treatment alternatives and information about the possibility to discontinue treatment were perceived as the most important issues. Patients' views of the information in clinical trials provide new insights and identify key issues to consider in optimising future written information and may improve recruitment to clinical cancer trials.

Validation of the Skåne University Hospital nomogram for the preoperative prediction of a disease-free axilla in patients with breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Axillary staging via sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) is performed for clinically node-negative (N0) breast cancer patients. The Skåne University Hospital (SUS) nomogram was developed to assess the possibility of omitting SLNB for patients with a low risk of nodal metastasis. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.74. The aim was to validate the SUS nomogram using only routinely collected data from the Swedish National Quality Registry for Breast Cancer at two breast cancer centres during different time periods. METHOD: This retrospective study included patients with primary breast cancer who were treated at centres in Lund and Malmö during 2008-2013. Clinicopathological predictors in the SUS nomogram were age, mode of detection, tumour size, multifocality, lymphovascular invasion and surrogate molecular subtype. Multiple imputation was used for missing data. Validation performance was assessed using AUC and calibration. RESULTS: The study included 2939 patients (1318 patients treated in Lund and 1621 treated in Malmö). Node-positive disease was detected in 1008 patients. The overall validation AUC was 0.74 (Lund cohort AUC: 0.75, Malmö cohort AUC: 0.73), and the calibration was satisfactory. Accepting a false-negative rate of 5 per cent for predicting N0, a possible SLNB reduction rate of 15 per cent was obtained in the overall cohort. CONCLUSION: The SUS nomogram provided acceptable power for predicting a disease-free axilla in the validation cohort. This tool may assist surgeons in identifying and counselling patients with a low risk of nodal metastasis on the omission of SLNB staging.

Validated prediction model for positive resection margins in breast-conserving surgery based exclusively on preoperative data.

BACKGROUND: Positive margins after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) and subsequent second surgery are associated with increased costs and patient discomfort. The aim of this study was to develop a prediction model for positive margins based on risk factors available before surgery. METHODS: Patients undergoing BCS for in situ or invasive cancer between 2015 and 2016 at site A formed a development cohort; those operated during 2017 in site A and B formed two validation cohorts. MRI was not used routinely. Preoperative radiographic and tumour characteristics and method of operation were collected from patient charts. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop a prediction model for positive margins including variables with discriminatory capacity identified in a univariable model. The discrimination and calibration of the prediction model was assessed in the validation cohorts, and a nomogram developed. RESULTS: There were 432 patients in the development cohort, and 190 and 157 in site A and B validation cohorts respectively. Positive margins were identified in 77 patients (17.8 per cent) in the development cohort. A non-linear transformation of mammographic tumour size and six variables (visible on mammography, ductal carcinoma in situ, lobular invasive cancer, distance from nipple-areola complex, calcification, and type of surgery) were included in the final prediction model, which had an area under the curve of 0.80 (95 per cent c.i. 0.75 to 0.85). The discrimination and calibration of the prediction model was assessed in the validation cohorts, and a nomogram developed. CONCLUSION: The prediction model showed good ability to predict positive margins after BCS and might, after further validation, be used before surgery in centres without the routine use of preoperative MRI.Presented in part to the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, San Antonio, Texas, USA, December 2018 and the Swedish Surgical Society Annual Meeting, Helsingborg, Sweden, August 2018.

AIB1 is a predictive factor for tamoxifen response in premenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials implicate the estrogen receptor (ER) coactivator amplified in breast cancer 1 (AIB1) to be a prognostic and a treatment-predictive factor, although results are not unanimous. We have further investigated this using a controlled randomised trial of tamoxifen versus control. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 564 premenopausal women were entered into a randomised study independent of ER status. Using a tissue microarray, AIB1 and ER were analysed by immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: AIB1 scores were obtained from 349 women. High AIB1 correlated to factors of worse prognosis (human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, Nottingham histological grade 3, and lymph node metastases) and to ER negativity. In the control arm, high AIB1 was a negative prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival (RFS) (P = 0.02). However, ER-positive patients with high AIB1 responded significantly to tamoxifen treatment (P = 0.002), increasing RFS to the same level as for systemically untreated patients with low AIB1. Although ER-positive patients with low AIB1 had a better RFS from the beginning, this was not further improved by tamoxifen (P = 0.8). CONCLUSIONS: In the control group, high AIB1 was a negative prognostic factor. However, ER-positive patients with high AIB1 responded significantly to tamoxifen. This implicates high AIB1 to be an independent predictive factor of improved response to tamoxifen and not, as has previously been discussed, a factor predicting tamoxifen resistance.

Low-molecular-weight heparin adherence and effects on survival within a randomised phase III lung cancer trial (RASTEN).

BACKGROUND: Coagulation activation is a hallmark of cancer, and anticoagulants have shown tumour-inhibiting properties. However, recent trials have failed to demonstrate improved survival with low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) in cancer populations. This has raised the question of suboptimal adherence as a possible explanation for the lack of benefit. Still, there is no standardised method to directly monitor LMWH in patient plasma. Here, we directly determine LMWH levels in patients using the Heparin Red assay to objectively assess adherence and how this associates with the patient outcome in the RASTEN trial. METHODS: RASTEN is a multicentre, randomised phase III trial investigating if the addition of LMWH to standard therapy can improve survival in small-cell lung cancer. LMWH was measured in plasma (N = 258) by the Heparin Red assay and compared with the anti-factor Xa (anti-FXa) activity assay. RESULTS: Both methods could differentiate patients in the LMWH arm from the control arm and patients receiving therapeutic LMWH owing to thrombosis. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis yielded adherence rates of 85% for anti-FXa and 68% for Heparin Red. No survival benefits were found in the adherent subgroup compared with the control arm (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95-1.67; P = 0.105 and HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 0.89-1.60; P = 0.248 for anti-FXa and Heparin Red, respectively). Heparin Red could define patients with high probability of adherence to LMWH treatment, which warrants prospective studies for further validation. Our finding that the LMWH-adherent subpopulation did not show improved survival excludes that the negative outcome of RASTEN was due to poor adherence.

Genomic profiling of malignant melanoma using tiling-resolution arrayCGH.

Malignant melanoma is an aggressive, heterogeneous disease where new biomarkers for diagnosis and clinical outcome are needed. We searched for chromosomal aberrations that characterize its pathogenesis using 47 different melanoma cell lines and tiling-resolution bacterial artificial chromosome-arrays for comparative genomic hybridization. Major melanoma genes, including BRAF, NRAS, CDKN2A, TP53, CTNNB1, CDK4 and PTEN, were examined for mutations. Distinct copy number alterations were detected, including loss or gain of whole chromosomes but also minute amplifications and homozygous deletions. Most common overlapping regions with losses were mapped to 9p24.3-q13, 10 and 11q14.1-qter, whereas copy number gains were most frequent on chromosomes 1q, 7, 17q and 20q. Amplifications were delineated to oncogenes such as MITF (3p14), CCND1 (11q13), MDM2 (12q15), CCNE1 (19q12) and NOTCH2 (1p12). Frequent findings of homozygous deletions on 9p21 and 10q23 confirmed the importance of CDKN2A and PTEN. Pair-wise comparisons revealed distinct sets of alterations, for example, mutually exclusive mutations in BRAF and NRAS, mutual mutations in BRAF and PTEN, concomitant chromosome 7 gain and 10 loss and concomitant chromosome 15q22.2-q26.3 gain and 20 gain. Moreover, alterations of the various melanoma genes were associated with distinct chromosomal imbalances suggestive of specific genomic programs in melanoma development.

Coagulation biomarkers and prediction of venous thromboembolism and survival in small cell lung cancer: A sub-study of RASTEN - A randomized trial with low molecular weight heparin.

Coagulation activation and venous thromboembolism (VTE) are hallmarks of cancer; however, there is an unmet need of improved biomarkers for individualized anticoagulant treatment. The present sub-study of the RASTEN trial was designed to explore the role of coagulation biomarkers in predicting VTE risk and outcome in a homogenous cancer patient population. RASTEN is a multicenter, randomized phase-3 trial investigating the survival effect of low molecular weight heparin enoxaparin when added to standard treatment in newly diagnosed small cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients. Plasma collected at baseline, during treatment, and at follow-up was used in this ad hoc sub-study (N = 242). Systemic coagulation was assessed using four assays reflecting various facets of the coagulation system: Total tissue factor (TF); extracellular vesicle associated TF (EV-TF); procoagulant phospholipids (PPL); and thrombin generation (TG). We found small variations of biomarker levels between baseline, during treatment and at follow-up, and appeared independent on low molecular weight heparin treatment. Overall, none of the measured biomarkers at any time-point did significantly associate with VTE incidence, although increased total TF at baseline showed significant association in control patients not receiving low molecular weight heparin (P = 0.03). Increased TG-Peak was significantly associated with decreased overall survival (OS; P = 0.03), especially in patients with extensive disease. Low baseline EV-TF predicted a worse survival in the low molecular weight heparin as compared with the control group (HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.04-1.95; P = 0.03; P for interaction = 0.12). We conclude that the value of the analyzed coagulation biomarkers for the prediction of VTE risk was very limited in SCLC patients. The associations between TG-Peak and EV-TF with patient survival and response to low molecular weight heparin therapy, respectively, warrant further studies on the role of coagulation activation in SCLC aggressiveness.

S-phase fraction and urokinase plasminogen activator are better markers for distant recurrences than Nottingham Prognostic Index and histologic grade in a prospective study of premenopausal lymph node-negative breast cancer.

PURPOSE: Histologic grade, Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI), estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) status, and tumor size have previously been shown to be important prognostic indicators for distant recurrence of breast cancer. The purpose of this study was to compare the prognostic value of these factors with flow cytometric S-phase fraction (SPF), urokinase plasminogen activator (uPA), and plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1 (PAI-1) in premenopausal patients with lymph node-negative breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In 237 consecutive premenopausal patients with lymph node-negative breast cancer and freshly frozen tumor material available, SPF, ER and PgR status, uPA and its inhibitor PAI-1, histologic grade, and NPI were evaluated. RESULTS: SPF was univariately the most powerful prognostic factor for distant recurrence, followed by uPA, histologic grade, PgR, age, ER, NPI, and PAI-1, the latter being nonsignificant. Multivariate analysis revealed that neither NPI nor histologic grade was significant after adjustment for SPF, a fact that may be explained by the strong association between these factors. uPA was, however, an independent prognostic factor in addition to SPF, NPI, or histologic grade. CONCLUSION: In this prospective study, SPF and uPA were found to be independent prognostic factors in premenopausal women with lymph node-negative breast cancer. We suggest that SPF, if performed under standardized conditions, can replace histologic grade as a selection instrument for adjuvant medical treatment. The value of the combination of SPF and uPA needs to be confirmed in an independent prospective trial.

Haplotype analysis in Icelandic and Finnish BRCA2 999del5 breast cancer families.

The 999del5 mutation is the single, strong BRCA2 founder mutation in Iceland and the most common BRCA1/2 founder mutation in Finland. To evaluate the origin and time since spreading of the 999del5 mutation in Iceland and in Finland, we constructed haplotypes with polymorphic markers within and flanking the BRCA2 gene in a set of 18 Icelandic and 10 Finnish 999del5 breast cancer families. All Icelandic families analysed shared a common core haplotype of about 1.7 cM. The common ancestors for the Icelandic families studied were estimated to trace back to 340-1000 years, not excluding the possibility that the mutation was brought to Iceland during the settlement of the country. Analysis of the Finnish families revealed two distinct haplotypes. A rare one, found in three families in the old settlement region in southwestern Finland, shared a four-marker (0.5 cM) core haplotype with the Icelandic 999del5 haplotype. A distinct approximately 6 cM haplotype was shared by seven 999del5 Finnish families estimated to have a common ancestry 140-300 years ago. These families cluster in two geographical regions in Finland, in the very same area as those with the rare haplotype and also in the most eastern, late settlement region of Finland. The results may indicate a common ancient origin for the 999del5 mutation in Iceland and in Finland, but distinct mutational events cannot be ruled out. The surprising finding of the same mutation in two completely different haplotypes in a sparsely populated area in Finland may suggest gene conversion.

Comparison of mathematical formulas used for estimation of DNA synthesis time of bromodeoxyuridine-labelled cell populations with different proliferative characteristics.

Growth kinetic data of human tumours, obtained by flow cytometric analysis of cells labelled with bromodeoxyuridine (BrdUrd) might provide prognostic information and allow prediction of response to radio- and chemotherapy. However, the theoretical models applied for calculation of growth kinetic data are not fully evaluated. The purpose of this study was to investigate the dependence of the estimation of DNA synthesis time (Ts) on sampling time after BrdUrd labelling, using four different mathematical formulas (Begg et al., White & Meistrich, White et al. and Johansson et al.) which have been developed for the evaluation of flow cytometry-derived data of BrdUrd-labelled cells. In addition, we have investigated the influence of the growth kinetic properties of the cell populations using two cultured cell lines (one slow and one fast growing), and two hetero-transplanted human tumours. The dependence of the estimation of Ts on sampling time was more or less pronounced, depending on the cell population examined and on the formula used. In the fast growing cell line, the estimates of Ts did not vary significantly with sampling time when using the formulas by White et al., whereas in the slow growing cell line, the estimates of Ts did not show any significant dependence on sampling time when using the formula by Johansson et al. In the tumours, the estimation of Ts depended on sampling time with all formulas used, although to different degrees. In one of the tumours, this was mainly caused by the influence of mouse cells, as we demonstrate. Our results indicate that the proliferative characteristics of a cell population should be taken into consideration when choosing a mathematical formula in order to attain Ts values that are independent of sampling time.

Urokinase plasminogen activator, a strong independent prognostic factor in breast cancer, analysed in steroid receptor cytosols with a luminometric immunoassay.

Urokinase plasminogen activator (uPA) is involved in the activation of different proteases which participate in the degradation of extracellular matrix, thereby enhancing the invasive capacity of tumour cells. uPA has been shown to be of prognostic importance in breast cancer. We have analysed uPA with a new luminometric immunoassay (LIA), applicable in cytosol samples routinely used for oestrogen-receptor (ER) and progesterone-receptor (PgR) analyses. At a cut-off value of 0.62 ng uPA/mg protein, 33% (230/688) samples were classified as representing high uPA tumours. High uPA content was found to be associated with shorter recurrence-free survival (median observation time: 42 months), ER and PgR negativity, increased p53 expression, DNA non-diploidy and a high S-phase fraction (SPF), but not with lymph node involvement or tumour size (< or = 20 mm versus > 20 mm). In the subgroup of patients not treated with systemic adjuvant therapy, multivariate analysis showed uPA to be an independent prognostic factor together with lymph node status and SPF. If these results can be reproduced, uPA may be a factor suitable for inclusion in a prognostic index.

Association between preoperative plasma levels of tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 1 and rectal cancer patient survival. a validation study.

The level of the tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 1 (TIMP-1) has previously been demonstrated to predict the survival of early stage colorectal cancer patients. The present study was undertaken to further validate plasma TIMP-1 as a prognostic marker in rectal cancer. Preoperative plasma from 352 rectal cancer patients were analysed using an immunoassay for TIMP-1. The TIMP-1 immunoassay demonstrated robustness and good reproducibility with low interassay coefficients of variation (CV). The rectal cancer patients had a mean plasma TIMP-1 level of 184 microg/l (standard deviation (SD): 70 microg/l). There were no significant differences in TIMP-1 levels between patients with Dukes' stage A, B or C disease, whereas Dukes' stage D patients had significantly increased TIMP-1 levels (P<0.0001); however, high levels of TIMP-1 were not restricted to those with advanced disease. Univariate analysis demonstrated an increasing risk of mortality with increasing TIMP-1 levels Hazard Ratio (HR)=2.9; 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.7-5.0; P<0.0001). Including additional covariates, multivariate analysis identified plasma TIMP-1 as an independent prognostic marker (HR=2.2; 95% CI: 1.2-4.1 (P=0.01). This study showed a highly significant and independent association between preoperative plasma TIMP-1 levels and survival in rectal cancer patients, thus confirming our previous findings. Furthermore, the TIMP-1 immunoassay proved to be stable and reproducible in this confirmatory study.