Cardiovascular and renal diseases in type 2 diabetes patients: 5-year cumulative incidence of the first occurred manifestation and hospitalization cost: a cohort within the French SNDS nationwide claims database.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, peripheral arterial disease (PAD), heart failure (HF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are common cardiovascular renal diseases (CVRD) manifestations for type 2 diabetes. The objective was to estimate the incidence of the first occurring CVRD manifestation and cumulative hospitalization costs of each CVRD manifestation for type 2 diabetes without CVRD history. METHODS: A cohort study of all type 2 diabetes free of CVRD as of January 1st 2014, was identified and followed-up for 5 years within the French SNDS nationwide claims database. The cumulative incidence of the first occurring CVRD manifestation was estimated using the cumulative incidence function, with death as a competing risk. Cumulative hospitalization costs of each CVRD manifestations were estimated from the perspective of all payers. RESULTS: From 2,079,089 type 2 diabetes without cancer or transplantation, 76.5% were free of CVRD at baseline with a mean age of 65 years, 52% of women and 7% with microvascular complications history. The cumulative incidence of a first CVRD manifestation was 15.3% after 5 years of follow-up with a constant linear increase over time for all CVRD manifestations: The most frequent was CKD representing 40.6% of first occurred CVRD manifestation, followed by HF (23.0%), then PAD (13.5%), stroke (13.2%) and MI (9.7%). HF and CKD together reached about one patient out of ten after 5 years and represented 63.6% of first CVRD manifestations. The 5-year global cost of all CVRD hospitalizations was 3.9 billion euros (B€), i.e. 2,450€ per patient of the whole cohort, with an exponential increase over time for each specific CVRD manifestation. The costliest was CKD (2.0 B€), followed by HF (1.2 B€), then PAD (0.7 B€), stroke (0.6 B€) and MI (0.3 B€). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: While MI, stroke and PAD remain classic major risks of complications for CVRD-free type 2 diabetes, HF and CKD nowadays represent individually a higher risk and cost than each of these classic manifestations, and jointly represents a risk and a cost twice as high as these three classic manifestations all together. This should encourage the development of specific HF and CKD preventive strategies.

Design and validation of algorithms to identify venous thromboembolism in the French National Healthcare Database.

PURPOSE: This paper aims to introduce an algorithm designed to identify Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) in the French National Healthcare Database (SNDS) and to estimate its positive predictive value. METHODS: A case-identifying algorithm was designed using SNDS inpatient and outpatient encounters, including hospital stays with discharge diagnoses, imaging procedures and drugs dispensed, of French patients aged at least 18 years old to whom baricitinib or Tumor Necrosis Factor Inhibitors (TNFi) were dispensed between September 1, 2017, and December 31, 2018. An intra-database validation study was then conducted, drawing 150 cases identified as VTE by the algorithm and requesting four vascular specialists to assess them. Patient profiles used to conduct the case adjudication were reconstituted from de-identified pooled and formatted SNDS data (i.e., reconstituted electronic health records-rEHR) with a 6-month look-back period prior to the supposed VTE onset and a 12-month follow-up period after. The positive predictive value (PPV) with its 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was calculated as the number of expert-confirmed VTE divided by the number of algorithm-identified VTE. The PPV and its 95% CI were then recomputed among the same patient set initially drawn, once the VTE-identifying algorithm was updated based on expert recommendation. RESULTS: For the 150 patients identified with the first VTE-identifying algorithm, the adjudication committee confirmed 92 cases, resulting in a PPV of 61% (95% CI = [54-69]). The final VTE-identifying algorithm including expert suggestions showed a PPV of 92% (95% CI = [86-98]) with a total of 87 algorithm-identified cases, including 80 retrieved from the 92 confirmed by experts. CONCLUSION: The identification of VTE in the SNDS is possible with a good PPV.

Risk of cancer with immunosuppressants compared to immunomodulators in multiple sclerosis: A nested case-control study within the French nationwide claims database.

PURPOSE: The objective was to compare the risk of malignancies in real-world settings between exclusive immunosuppressant (IS) and immunomodulator (IM) use in multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: A nested case-control study was designed within a new-user cohort of all patients with MS who initiated a first IM or IS between 2008 and 2014, and without cancer history, using the information of the SNDS nationwide French claims database. Incident cancer cases were matched with up to six controls on year of birth, sex, initiation date, and disease risk score of cancer. A conditional logistic regression (odds ratio [95% confidence interval]) was used to compare exclusive IS versus IM use during follow-up and according to three use durations. RESULTS: From 28 720 newly treated patients with MS, 407 incident cancers were observed during the follow-up with 2324 matched controls. A significant increase in cancer risk was observed for IS compared with IM (1.36 [1.05, 1.77]), with similar increases for the first 2 years of use but not for ≥2 years (1.06 [0.65, 1.75]). Similar increase was also observed for IS with indications other than MS (1.37 [1.04, 1.81]) but not for IS indicated only in MS (1.03 [0.45, 2.34]). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with IM, a 37% increase in cancer risk was observed for IS with indications other than MS and used for a short duration (≤2 years) but not for IS indicated only in MS. The absence of risk for prolonged exposure of IS with indications other than MS is not in favor of a causal relation with these drugs.

High-dimensional propensity scores for empirical covariate selection in secondary database studies: Planning, implementation, and reporting.

Real-world evidence used for regulatory, payer, and clinical decision-making requires principled epidemiology in design and analysis, applying methods to minimize confounding given the lack of randomization. One technique to deal with potential confounding is propensity score (PS) analysis, which allows for the adjustment for measured preexposure covariates. Since its first publication in 2009, the high-dimensional propensity score (hdPS) method has emerged as an approach that extends traditional PS covariate selection to include large numbers of covariates that may reduce confounding bias in the analysis of healthcare databases. hdPS is an automated, data-driven analytic approach for covariate selection that empirically identifies preexposure variables and proxies to include in the PS model. This article provides an overview of the hdPS approach and recommendations on the planning, implementation, and reporting of hdPS used for causal treatment-effect estimations in longitudinal healthcare databases. We supply a checklist with key considerations as a supportive decision tool to aid investigators in the implementation and transparent reporting of hdPS techniques, and to aid decision-makers unfamiliar with hdPS in the understanding and interpretation of studies employing this approach. This article is endorsed by the International Society for Pharmacoepidemiology.

Incidence and risk of cancer among multiple sclerosis patients: A matched population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Studies have not yet found conclusive results on the risk of cancer in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). This study aimed to compare the incidence of all cancers and of specific types of cancer between MS patients and the general population by age and by sex. METHODS: All prevalent MS patients identified between 2008 and 2014 in the nationwide French health care database (Système National des Données de Santé) and without history of malignancy were included in a cohort study and followed up until cancer occurrence, date of death, or 31 December 2015, whichever came first. MS patients were matched based on sex and year of birth to non-MS controls from the general population without cancer before index date. Incidence rate was reported per 100,000 person-years (PY), and risk of cancer was estimated by type of cancer, age, and sex using a Cox model (hazard ratio [HR] and its 95% confidence interval [CI]). RESULTS: Overall, 576 cancers per 100,000 PY were observed in MS patients versus 424 per 100,000 PY in the control population. The risk of cancer was higher among MS patients than among population controls whether considered overall (HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.29-1.43) or for prostate (HR = 2.08, 95% CI = 1.68-2.58), colorectal and anal (HR = 1.35, 95% CI = 1.16-1.58), trachea, bronchus, and lung (HR = 2.36, 95% CI = 1.96-2.84), and to a lesser extent, breast cancer (HR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.03-1.23). CONCLUSIONS: MS patients were associated with increased risk of cancer compared to population controls.

Comparative effectiveness of dimethyl fumarate in multiple sclerosis.

AIMS: To assess the effectiveness of dimethyl fumarate (DMF) on annual rate of relapse subject to treatment (ARRt) and disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) compared to injectable immunomodulators (IMM), teriflunomide (TERI) and fingolimob (FTY), in real-life setting. METHODS: A population-based cohort study was conducted using data of the French nationwide claims database, SNDS. All patients initiating IMM, TERI, FTY or DMF between 1 July 2015 and 12 December 2017, with 4.5 years of database history and 1-3.5 years of follow-up were included in this study. DMF patients were 1:1 matched to IMM, TERI or FTY using a high dimensional propensity score. Negative binomial regression and a logistic regression model were used to estimate the relative risk (RR ± [95% CI]) of ARRt and the odds ratio (OR ± [95% CI]) of disability progression, respectively. RESULTS: Overall, 9304 subjects were identified: 29.0% initiated DMF, 33.2% TERI, 5.6% FTY and 32.2% an IMM. The matched cohorts consisted of 1779 DMF-IMM patients, 1679 DMF-TERI patients, and 376 DMF-FTY patients. DMF significantly reduced ARRt compared to IMM (RR 0.72 [0.61-0.86]) and TERI (0.81 [0.68-0.96]) and did not show any significant difference when compared with FTY. The risk of the progression of MS-specific disability was not significantly different for any matched cohorts. CONCLUSION: DMF is associated with lower risk of treated relapse for patients with RRMS than other first-line RRMS agents (TERI and IIM).

Patients with stable coronary artery disease and type 2 diabetes but without prior myocardial infarction or stroke and THEMIS-like patients: real-world prevalence and risk of major outcomes from the SNDS French nationwide claims database.

AIM AND HYPOTHESES: The THEMIS randomized trial compared ticagrelor plus aspirin versus placebo plus aspirin for patients with stable coronary artery disease and type 2 diabetes mellitus (CAD-T2DM), and without prior myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke. The aim of the study was to quantify the size of the CAD-T2DM population without prior MI or stroke population in a real-world setting, and more specifically populations with similar THEMIS selection criteria (THEMIS-like and THEMIS-PCI-like populations), as well as their risk of major outcomes in current practice. METHODS: A 2-year follow-up cohort study included all CAD-T2DM without MI/stroke prevalent patients on January 1st, 2014 in the SNDS French nationwide claims database. The THEMIS-like population concerned those ≥ 50 years of age with similar THEMIS inclusion and exclusion criteria. Prevalence was standardized to the European population. The cumulative incidence function was used to estimate the incidence of clinical outcomes (MI, ischemic stroke, and major bleeding according to the TIMI classification) with death as competing risk, and the Kaplan-Meier estimate for all-cause death and a composite outcome of MI, stroke and all-cause death. RESULTS: From a population of about 50 million adults, the prevalence of CAD-T2DM without MI/stroke, THEMIS-like and THEMIS-PCI-like populations was respectively at 6.04, 1.50 and 0.27 per 1000 adults, with a mean age of 72.7, 72.3 and 70.9 years and less comorbidities and diabetic complications for the THEMIS-like and THEMIS-PCI-like population. The 2-year cumulative incidence was respectively 1.7%, 1.3% and 1.6% for MI, 1.7%, 1.5% and 1.4% for stroke, 4.8%, 3.1% and 2.9% for major bleeding, 13.6%, 9.7% and 6.8% for all-cause death, and 16.2%, 12.0% and 9.5% for the composite outcome. CONCLUSION: THEMIS-like prevalence was estimated at 1.50 per 1,000 adults, representing about a quarter of CAD-T2DM without MI/stroke patients, and 0.27 per 1000 adults for the THEMIS-PCI-like populations. In current French practice, the median age of both these populations was about 5-6 years older than in the THEMIS trial, with a 2-year incidence of major outcomes between two or four time above the ones of the placebo arm of the THEMIS trial using very close definitions. Registration No. EUPAS27402 ( http://www.ENCEPP.eu ).

Intra-database validation of case-identifying algorithms using reconstituted electronic health records from healthcare claims data.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosis performances of case-identifying algorithms developed in healthcare database are usually assessed by comparing identified cases with an external data source. When this is not feasible, intra-database validation can present an appropriate alternative. OBJECTIVES: To illustrate through two practical examples how to perform intra-database validations of case-identifying algorithms using reconstituted Electronic Health Records (rEHRs). METHODS: Patients with 1) multiple sclerosis (MS) relapses and 2) metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) were identified in the French nationwide healthcare database (SNDS) using two case-identifying algorithms. A validation study was then conducted to estimate diagnostic performances of these algorithms through the calculation of their positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). To that end, anonymized rEHRs were generated based on the overall information captured in the SNDS over time (e.g. procedure, hospital stays, drug dispensing, medical visits) for a random selection of patients identified as cases or non-cases according to the predefined algorithms. For each disease, an independent validation committee reviewed the rEHRs of 100 cases and 100 non-cases in order to adjudicate on the status of the selected patients (true case/ true non-case), blinded with respect to the result of the corresponding algorithm. RESULTS: Algorithm for relapses identification in MS showed a 95% PPV and 100% NPV. Algorithm for mCRPC identification showed a 97% PPV and 99% NPV. CONCLUSION: The use of rEHRs to conduct an intra-database validation appears to be a valuable tool to estimate the performances of a case-identifying algorithm and assess its validity, in the absence of alternative.

Empirical assessment of case-based methods for identification of drugs associated with acute liver injury in the French National Healthcare System database (SNDS).

PURPOSES: Drug induced acute liver injury (ALI) is a frequent cause of liver failure. Case-based designs were empirically assessed and calibrated in the French National claims database (SNDS), aiming to identify the optimum design for drug safety alert generation associated with ALI. METHODS: All cases of ALI were extracted from SNDS (2009-2014) using specific and sensitive definitions. Positive and negative drug controls were used to compare 196 self-controlled case series (SCCS), case-control (CC), and case-population (CP) design variants, using area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), mean square error (MSE) and coverage probability. Parameters that had major impacts on results were identified through logistic regression. RESULTS: Using a specific ALI definition, AUCs ranged from 0.78 to 0.94, 0.64 to 0.92 and 0.48 to 0.85, for SCCS, CC and CP, respectively. MSE ranged from 0.12 to 0.40, 0.22 to 0.39 and 1.03 to 5.29, respectively. Variants adjusting for multiple drug use had higher coverage probabilities. Univariate regressions showed that high AUCs were achieved with SCCS using exposed time as the risk window. The top SCCS variant yielded an AUC = 0.93 and MSE = 0.22 and coverage = 86%, with 1/7 negative and 13/18 positive controls presenting significant estimates. CONCLUSIONS: SCCS adjusting for multiple drugs and using exposed time as the risk window performed best in generating ALI-related drug safety alert and providing estimates of the magnitude of the risk. This approach may be useful for ad-hoc pharmacoepidemiology studies to support regulatory actions.

Treatment resistant depression incidence and prevalence using the French nationwide claims database.

PURPOSE: To estimate annual incidence and prevalence of Treatment-Resistant Depression (TRD) in France. METHODS: We identified all adult patients (≥ 18 years) with a TRD episode between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2014 in the EGB (Échantillon généraliste des bénéficiaires), a permanent random sample of the French nationwide claims database. After a 6-month washout period without hospitalization for depression or any antidepressants (AD), and after exclusion of psychotic or bipolar affective disorders, Parkinson's disease and dementia, a TRD episode was defined by three successive sequences of different AD over a 3-month treatment period (6 months for a sensitive analysis), with at least 3 weeks before each sequence change and a Medication Possession Ratio ≥ 80%; or by the dispensing of >two different AD together; or of an AD with a potentiator (lithium, antiepileptic drugs, antipsychotic drugs, thyroid hormones) over the same treatment period. The annual incidence rate was estimated from 2012 to 2014 and the prevalence using a Gamma parametric function based on treatment duration and a 30-year prediction. RESULTS: Between 2012 and 2014, 700 patients were identified in EGB with a TRD episode. The mean age was 47.4 years (±15.3); 52.7% were women. Annual incidence and prevalence of TRD were estimated at 5.8 and 25.8 per 10 000 patients, respectively and at 7.8 and 37.6 per 10 000 patients, respectively in the sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSION: This study provides the first population-based estimates for incidence and prevalence of TRD in France.

Use of intravenous iron and risk of anaphylaxis: A multinational observational post-authorisation safety study in Europe.

PURPOSE: This post-authorisation safety study estimated the risk of anaphylaxis in patients receiving intravenous (IV) iron in Europe, with interest in iron dextran and iron non-dextrans. Studies conducted in the United States have reported risk of anaphylaxis to IV iron ranging from 2.0 to 6.8 per 10 000 first treatments. METHODS: Cohort study of IV iron new users, captured mostly through pharmacy ambulatory dispensing, from populations covered by health and administrative data sources in five European countries from 1999 to 2017. Anaphylaxis events were identified through an algorithm that used parenteral penicillin as a positive control. RESULTS: A total of 304 210 patients with a first IV iron treatment (6367 iron dextran), among whom 13-16 anaphylaxis cases were identified and reported as a range to comply with data protection regulations. The pooled unadjusted incidence proportion (IP) ranged from 0.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.2-0.9) to 0.5 (95% CI, 0.3-1.0) per 10 000 first treatments. No events were identified at first dextran treatments. There were 231 294 first penicillin treatments with 30 potential cases of anaphylaxis (IP = 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8-1.7 per 10 000 treatments). CONCLUSION: We found an IP of anaphylaxis from 0.4 to 0.5 per 10 000 first IV iron treatments. The study captured only a fraction of IV iron treatments administered in hospitals, where most first treatments are likely to happen. Due to this limitation, the study could not exclude a differential risk of anaphylaxis between iron dextran and iron non-dextrans. The IP of anaphylaxis in users of penicillin was consistent with incidences reported in the literature.

Use of Nalmefene in Routine Practice: Results from a French Prospective Cohort Study and a National Database Analysis.

AIMS: Two complementary studies were used to assess the real-life use of nalmefene in alcohol-dependent patients and its impact on alcohol use health status. METHODS: USE-PACT was a prospective cohort study designed to evaluate the real-life effectiveness of nalmefene in the management of alcohol dependence, as assessed by total alcohol consumption (TAC) and number of heavy drinking days (HDD) at 1 year. USE-AM was a cohort study using data from the French nationwide claims database and was used to evaluate the external validity of the population in the prospective study. RESULTS: Overall, 256 of 700 new nalmefene users enrolled in the USE-PACT study had valid data at 1 year. After 1 year, patients treated with nalmefene showed a mean ± SD reduction from baseline in TAC (-41.5 ± 57.4 g/day) and number of HDD (-10.7 ± 11.7 days/4 weeks). Patients took a mean ± SD of 20.0 ± 12.0 tablets/4 weeks (median of 1 tablet/day) for the first 3 months and then reduced the dose. The proportion of patients who no longer took nalmefene gradually increased from 5% at 1 month to 52% at 1 year. The USE-AM study identified 486 patients with a first reimbursement for nalmefene in 2016; baseline characteristics confirmed external validity of the USE-PACT study. Overall, 46.3% of initial USE-AM prescriptions were made by GPs; most (91.8%) patients stopped treatment during follow-up. However, 15.2% of patients resumed treatment after stopping. CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis of French routine practice, patients with alcohol dependence treated with nalmefene showed reduced alcohol consumption, and nalmefene was generally well tolerated.

Real-World Outcomes after 36-Month Treatment with Ranibizumab 0.5 mg in Patients with Visual Impairment due to Diabetic Macular Edema (BOREAL-DME).

PURPOSE: To assess the efficacy, safety, and follow-up of 36-month treatment with ranibizumab in patients with diabetic macular edema (DME) in real-life setting. METHODS: This is a prospective phase 4 observational study. Between December 2013 and April 2015, 84 ophthalmologists enrolled a total of 290 adult patients initiating ranibizumab for visual impairment due to DME and treated them according to their routine practice. The primary outcome (mean change in best-corrected visual acuity [BCVA] after 12 months) was previously reported. Here, we present outcomes after 36 months of follow-up for BCVA and change in central subfield thickness (CSFT) and report how participating ophthalmologists treated DME over a 3-year period (number of visits and injections and evolution of treatment strategy). RESULTS: Of the 290 patients enrolled, 187 (64.5%) completed the 36 months of the study (entire cohort). In the entire cohort, 97 patients were treated exclusively with ranibizumab throughout the study, and 90 patients switched to other intravitreal treatments. Mean BCVA was 64.2 (20.1) letters, representing a gain of +4.1 (19.9) letters from baseline to month 36 (M36). CSFT improved over the study, and by M36 had decreased by 127 (138) µm compared to baseline. Over the 36 months of follow-up, patients in the entire cohort paid their ophthalmologists a mean of 30.9 (12.2) visits and had a mean of 7.6 (5.2) any injections. Results for quality of life questionnaires NEI-VFQ25 and HUI-3 remained stable throughout the study. Multivariate analysis on the 145 patients with evaluable BCVA data at M36 found that male gender and milder baseline DME characteristics (BCVA ≥59 and CSFT <500 µm) were predictive factors for achieving a BCVA of ≥70 letters at M36. This study did not find any new safety signals, compared to the known profile of ranibizumab. CONCLUSIONS: Gains in BCVA in this real-life study were lower than those observed in randomized clinical trials with ranibizumab, mainly due to undertreatment. Safety analysis of ranibizumab did not yield any new safety concerns.

Reduced dose of rivaroxaban and dabigatran vs. vitamin K antagonists in very elderly patients with atrial fibrillation in a nationwide cohort study.

AIMS: The real-life benefits and risks of the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants for stroke prevention in very elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are still debated. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cohorts of new users of rivaroxaban 15 mg, dabigatran 110 mg, or vitamin K antagonists (VKA) for AF ≥85 years old in 2013 or 2014 were identified in the nationwide French claims database and followed-up for 1 year. Cohorts were compared after 1:1 matching using high-dimensional propensity score. Compared to VKA use and considering 1-year cumulative incidences, risk of stroke, and systemic embolism was not different with rivaroxaban use [hazard ratio 1.14, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.93-1.40] and lower with dabigatran use (0.77, 95% CI: 0.60-0.99), risk of major bleeding was not different with rivaroxaban use (0.91, 95% CI: 0.74-1.11) and with dabigatran use (0.81, 95% CI: 0.64-1.03), risk of all-cause death was borderline to significance lower with rivaroxaban use (0.91, 95% CI: 0.83-1.00), and lower with dabigatran use (0.87, 95% CI: 0.78-0.97). The risk for a composite of all events above was not different with rivaroxaban use (0.96, 95% CI: 0.88-1.04) and lower with dabigatran use (0.87, 95% CI: 0.79-0.96) as compared with VKA use. The risk for the composite of all events was not different with rivaroxaban use as compared with dabigatran use (1.09, 95% CI: 0.97-1.23). CONCLUSION: This study shows for the first time in more than 25 000 new real-life anticoagulant users for AF aged ≥85 years a neutral overall benefit-risk of rivaroxaban 15 mg vs. VKA and a favourable overall benefit-risk of dabigatran 110 mg vs. VKA on relevant clinical events. STUDY REGISTRATION: European Medicines Agency EUPAS14567 (www.encepp.eu) and Clinicaltrials.gov id NCT02864758.

Empirical assessment of case-based methods for drug safety alert identification in the French National Healthcare System database (SNDS): Methodology of the ALCAPONE project.

OBJECTIVES: To introduce the methodology of the ALCAPONE project. BACKGROUND: The French National Healthcare System Database (SNDS), covering 99% of the French population, provides a potentially valuable opportunity for drug safety alert generation. ALCAPONE aimed to assess empirically in the SNDS case-based designs for alert generation related to four health outcomes of interest. METHODS: ALCAPONE used a reference set adapted from observational medical outcomes partnership (OMOP) and Exploring and Understanding Adverse Drug Reactions (EU-ADR) project, with four outcomes-acute liver injury (ALI), myocardial infarction (MI), acute kidney injury (AKI), and upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB)-and positive and negative drug controls. ALCAPONE consisted of four main phases: (1) data preparation to fit the OMOP Common Data Model and select the drug controls; (2) detection of the selected controls via three case-based designs: case-population, case-control, and self-controlled case series, including design variants (varying risk window, adjustment strategy, etc.); (3) comparison of design variant performance (area under the ROC curve, mean square error, etc.); and (4) selection of the optimal design variants and their calibration for each outcome. RESULTS: Over 2009-2014, 5225 cases of ALI, 354 109 MI, 12 633 AKI, and 156 057 UGIB were identified using specific definitions. The number of detectable drugs ranged from 61 for MI to 25 for ALI. Design variants generated more than 50 000 points estimates. Results by outcome will be published in forthcoming papers. CONCLUSIONS: ALCAPONE has shown the interest of the empirical assessment of pharmacoepidemiological approaches for drug safety alert generation and may encourage other researchers to do the same in other databases.

Empirical assessment of case-based methods for identification of drugs associated with upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the French National Healthcare System database (SNDS).

PURPOSE: Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a severe and frequent drug-related event. In order to enable efficient drug safety alert generation in the French National Healthcare System database (SNDS), we assessed and calibrated empirically case-based designs to identify drug associated with UGIB risk. METHODS: All cases of UGIB were extracted from SNDS (2009-2014) using two definitions. Positive and negative drug controls were used to compare 196 self-controlled case series (SCCS), case-control (CC) and case-population (CP) design variants. Each variant was evaluated in a 1/10th population sample using area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and mean square error (MSE). Parameters that had major impacts on results were identified through logistic regression. Optimal designs were replicated in the unsampled population. RESULTS: Using a specific UGIB definition, AUCs ranged from 0.64 to 0.80, 0.44 to 0.61 and 0.50 to 0.67, for SCCS, CC and CP, respectively. MSE ranged from 0.07 to 0.39, 0.83 to 1.33 and 1.96 to 4.6, respectively. Univariate regressions showed that high AUCs were achieved with SCCS with multiple drug adjustment and a 30-day risk window starting at exposure. The top-performing SCCS variant in the unsampled population yielded an AUC = 0.84 and MSE = 0.14, with 10/36 negative controls presenting significant estimates. CONCLUSIONS: SCCS adjusting for multiple drugs and using a 30-day risk window has the potential to generate UGIB-related alerts in the SNDS and hypotheses on its potential population impact. Negative control implementation highlighted that low systematic error was generated but that protopathic bias and confounding by indication remained unaddressed issues.

Effectiveness and Safety of Rivaroxaban 15 or 20 mg Versus Vitamin K Antagonists in Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation.

Background and Purpose- We compared the 1-year safety and effectiveness of rivaroxaban 15 mg (R15) or rivaroxaban 20 mg (R20) to vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. Methods- New user cohort study of patients dispensed R15 or R20 versus VKA in 2013 or 2014 for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, followed 1 year in the French Système National des Données de Santé (66 million people). R15 and R20 users were matched 1:1 with VKA users on sex, age, date of first drug dispensing, and high-dimensional propensity score. Hazard ratios (95% CIs) for stroke and systemic embolism, major bleeding, and death were computed using Cox proportional hazards or models by Fine and Gray during exposure. Results- In 31 171 matched R20 and VKA, mean age, 71; 62% men; 76% with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2; 5% HAS-BLED >3 (hypertension, abnormal renal and liver function, stroke, bleeding, labile INR, elderly, drugs or alcohol); incidence rates for stroke and systemic embolism were 1.5% and 1.9% (hazard ratio, 0.79 [0.69-0.90]); major bleeding, 1.5% and 2.2% (0.67 [0.59-0.77]); death, 3.9% and 5.8% (0.67 [0.61-0.73]). In 23 314 matched R15 and VKA patients, mean age, 80; 47% men; 93% with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2 and 9% with HAS-BLED >3; incidence rates of stroke and systemic embolism were 2.3% and 2.1% (1.05 [0.92-1.21]); major bleeding, 2.4% and 2.9% (0.84 [0.74-0.96]); death, 9.1% and 10.8% (0.85 [0.79-0.90]). Numbers needed to treat to observe one fewer death (NNT) were 46 for R15 and 61 for R20. Conclusions- In real life in France over 2013 to 2015, R15 and R20 were at least as effective and safer than VKA. Clinical Trial Registration- URL: http://www.encepp.eu. Unique identifier: EUPAS14567.

Comparative effectiveness of direct oral anticoagulants versus low-molecular weight heparins for the prevention of venous thromboembolism after total hip or knee replacement: A nationwide database cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) after total knee or hip replacement (TKR, THR) is usually prevented with low-molecular weight heparin (LMWH), and increasingly by direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC). The aim of the present study was to compare the benefit-risk and medical costs of DOAC vs. LMWH in a real-life setting. METHODS: All patients with THR or TKR in France between Jan-1st 2013 and Sep-30th 2014, discharged to home, were identified and followed-up for 3 months in the French nationwide claims database, SNDS. DOAC users were 1:1 matched with LWMH users on gender, age and propensity score. Relative risks (RR) of hospitalized VTE, hospitalized bleeding and death were estimated using quasi-Poisson models. Medical costs were calculated according to the societal perspective, including total cost for outpatient claims and national DRG costs for hospitalisations. RESULTS: Most DOAC users (≥ 98.8%) were matched to a LMWH patient. For the 63,238 matched THR patients, the 3-month absolute risk of VTE was 0.9‰ with DOAC and 2.5‰ with LMWH (RR = 0.35 [0.23 to 0.54]), of bleeding 1.8‰ and 2.1‰ (0.88 [0.62-1.25]), death 0.7‰ and 1.1‰ (0.68 [0.40-1.15]). For the 31,440 matched TKR patients, risks were 1.6‰ and 2.3‰ (0.69 [0.42-1.16]) for VTE, 2.4‰ and 3.8‰ (0.64 [0.43 to 0.97]) for bleeding, and 0.6‰ and 0.8‰ (0.69 [0.30-1.62]) for all-cause death. Mean medical costs were 28% and 21% lower with DOAC than LMWH for THR and TKR, respectively. This nationwide study found a very low risk of VTE, hospitalized bleeding and death after THR or TKR discharge in patients with VTE prevention in real-life setting, with better benefit-risk profiles of DOAC compared to LMWH, and associated cost savings.

Effectiveness and safety of 110 or 150 mg dabigatran vs. vitamin K antagonists in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

AIMS: We compared the 1-year safety and effectiveness of dabigatran 110 mg (D110) or 150 mg (D150) twice daily to vitamin K antagonists (VKA) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. METHODS: New user cohort study of patients dispensed D110 or D150 vs. VKA in 2013 for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, followed 1 year in the French Système National des Données de Santé (66 million persons). D110 and D150 users were matched 1:1 with VKA users on sex, age, date of first drug dispensing and high-dimensional propensity score. Hazard ratios [HR (95% confidence intervals)] for stroke and systemic embolism (SSE), major bleeding (MB) and death were computed using Cox proportional hazards or Fine and Gray models during exposure. RESULTS: In 14 442 matched D110 and VKA patients, mean age 79, 49% male, 91% with CHA2 DS2 -VASc ≥2 and 8% with HAS-BLED score >3, incidence rates of SSE were 1.9% and 2.6% person-years [HR 0.69 (0.56-0.84)], MB 1.8% and 2.9% [0.62 (0.51-0.76)], death 7.2% and 8.6% [0.84 (0.76-0.94)]. In 8389 matched D150 and VKA patients, mean age 67, 67% male, 65% with CHA2 DS2 -VASC ≥2; < 5% HAS-BLED >3, incidence rates were for SSE 1.4% and 1.9% [0.76 (0.56-1.04)], MB 0.6% and 1.9% [0.30 (0.20-0.46)], death 1.6% and 3.6% [0.46 (0.35-0.59)]. Numbers needed to treat to observe one fewer death were 78 for D110, 88 for D150. CONCLUSION: In real life D110 and D150 were at least as effective, and safer than VKA.

Diagnostic accuracy of the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, codes of heart failure in an administrative database.

PURPOSE: Heart failure (HF) is a common, serious, and still poorly known illness, which might benefit from studies in claims databases. However, to provide reliable estimates, HF patients must be adequately identified. This validation study aimed to estimate the diagnostic accuracy of the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes I50.x, heart failure, in the French hospital discharge diagnoses database. METHODS: This study was performed in two university hospitals, comparing recorded discharge diagnoses and electronic health records (EHRs). Patients with discharge ICD-10 codes 150.x were randomly selected. Their EHRs were reviewed to classify HF diagnosis as definite, potential, or miscoded based on the European Society of Cardiology diagnostic criteria, from which the codes' positive predictive value (PPV) was computed. To estimate sensitivity, patients with an EHR HF diagnosis were identified, and the presence of the I50.x codes was sought for in the hospital discharge database. RESULTS: Two hundred possible cases of HF were selected from the hospital discharge database, and 229 patients with an HF diagnosis were identified from the EHR. The PPV of I50.x codes was 60.5% (95% CI, 53.7%-67.3%) for definite HF and 88.0% (95% CI, 83.5%-92.5%) for definite/potential HF. The sensitivity of I50.x codes was 64.2% (95% CI, 58.0%-70.4%). PPV results were similar in both hospitals; sensitivity depended on the source of EHR: Departments of cardiology had a higher sensitivity than had nonspecialized wards. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnosis codes I50.x in discharge summary databases accurately identify patients with HF but fail to capture some of them.