Implications of CO2 emissions on the main land and forest uses in the Brazilian Amazon.

The emission of soil carbon dioxide (CO2) in agricultural areas is a process that results from the interaction of several factors such as climate, soil, and land management practices. Agricultural practices directly affect the carbon dynamics between the soil and atmosphere. Herein, we evaluated the temporal variability (2020/2021 crop season) of soil CO2 emissions and its relationship with related variables, such as the CO2 flux model, enhanced vegetation index (EVI), gross primary productivity (GPP), and leaf area index (LAI) from orbital data and soil temperature, soil moisture, and soil CO2 emissions from in situ collections from native forests, productive pastures, degraded pastures, and areas of high-yield potential soybean and low-yield potential soybean production. A significant influence (p < 0.01) was observed for all variables and between the different land uses and occupation types. September and October had lower emissions of soil CO2 and low means of soil moisture and soil temperature, and no differences were observed among the treatments. On the other hand, there was a significant effect of the CO2 flux model in productive pastures, high-yield potential soybean areas, and low-yield potential soybean areas. The months with the highest CO2 flux values in the model, regardless of land use and land cover, were October and November, which is the beginning of the rainy season. There were positive correlations between soil CO2 emissions and GPP (0.208), LAI (0.354), EVI (0.363), and soil moisture (0.280) and negative correlations between soil CO2 emissions and soil temperature (-0.240) and CO2 flux model (-0.314) values. Land use and land cover showed negative correlations with these variables, except for the CO2 flux model variable. Soil CO2 emission values were lower for high-yield potential soybean areas (averages from 0.834 to 6.835 µmol m-2 s-1) and low-yield potential soybean areas (from 0.943 to 5.686 µmol m-2 s-1) and higher for native forests (from 2.279 to 8.131 µmol m-2 s-1), whereas the opposite was true for the CO2 flux model.

Twenty-year impact of fire foci and its relationship with climate variables in Brazilian regions.

In recent years, Brazil has become a major global contributor to the occurrence of national fires and greenhouse gas emissions. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the fire foci data of the past 20 years to determine their relationship with climatic variables in various Brazilian regions. The variables evaluated included fire foci, land surface temperature, rainfall, and standardized precipitation index, which were obtained via remote sensing from 2000 to 2019. The data were subjected to trend analyses (Mann-Kendall and Pettitt tests) and a multivariate analysis of canonical variables for evaluation. The results showed that the Midwest and North regions had the highest occurrence of fire foci throughout the study period, and that the North region had the highest accumulated annual rainfall. Thus, these regions require specific public policies to prevent future fires. Overall, the Midwest, Southeast, and South regions exhibit significant increasing fire foci tendencies. Our results reveal that this trend is related to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomena, which alter climatic variables such as precipitation, land surface temperature, and the standardized precipitation index. Finally, the sugarcane growing area had a significant linear relationship with fire foci in the Southeast region, especially in the state of São Paulo, the major national sugarcane producer.

Temporal record and spatial distribution of fire foci in State of Minas Gerais, Brazil.

The objectives of this study are: (i) to evaluate the space-temporal variability of fire foci by environmental satellites, CHIRPS and remote sensing products based on applied statistics, and (ii) to identify the relational pattern between the distribution of fire foci and the environmental, meteorological, and socioeconomic variables in the mesoregions of Minas Gerais (MG) - Brazil. This study used a time series of fire foci from 1998 to 2015 via BDQueimadas. The temporal record of fire foci was evaluated by Mann-Kendall (MK), Pettitt (P), Shapiro-Wilk (SW), and Bartlett (B) tests. The spatial distribution by burned area (MCD64A1-MODIS) and the Kernel density - (radius 20 km) were estimated. The environmental variables analyzed were: rainfall (mm) and maximum temperature (°C), besides proxies to vegetation canopy: NDVI, SAVI, and EVI. PCA was applied to explain the interaction between fire foci and demographic, environmental, and geographical variables for MG. The MK test indicated a significant increasing trend in fire foci in MG. The SW and B tests were significant for non-normality and homogeneity of data. The P test pointed to abrupt changes in the 2001 and 2002 cycles (El Niño and La Niña moderated), which contributes to the annual increase and in winter and spring, which is identified by the Kernel density maps. Burned areas highlighted the northern and northwestern regions of MG, Triângulo Mineiro, Jequitinhonha, and South/Southwest MG, in the 3rd quarter (increased 17%) and the 4th quarter (increased 88%). The PCA resulted in three PCs that explained 71.49% of the total variation. The SAVI was the variable that stood out, with 11.12% of the total variation, followed by Belo Horizonte, the most representative in MG. We emphasize that the applied conceptual theoretical model defined here can act in the environmental management of fire risk. However, public policies should follow the technical-scientific guidelines in the mitigation of the resulting socioeconomic - environmental damages.

Persistent fire foci in all biomes undermine the Paris Agreement in Brazil.

Brazil is one of the world's biggest emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Fire foci across the country contributes to these emissions and compromises emission reduction targets pledged by Brazil under the Paris Agreement. In this paper, we quantify fire foci, burned areas, and carbon emissions in all Brazilian biomes (i.e., Amazon, Cerrado, Caatinga, Atlantic Forest, Pantanal and Pampa). We analyzed these variables using cluster analysis and non-parametric statistics to predict carbon and CO2 emissions for the next decade. Our results showed no increase in the number of fire foci and carbon emissions for the evaluated time series, whereby the highest emissions occur and will persist in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. The Atlantic Forest, Pantanal, Caatinga and Pampa biomes had low emissions compared to the Amazon and Cerrado. Based on 2030 projections, the sum of emissions from fire foci in the six Brazilian biomes will exceed 5.7 Gt CO2, compromising the national GHG reduction targets. To reduce GHG emissions, Brazil will need to control deforestation induced by the expansion of the agricultural frontier in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. This can only be achieved through significant political effort involving the government, entrepreneurs and society as a collective.