Caloric reductions needed to achieve obesity goals in Mexico for 2030 and 2040: A modeling study.

BACKGROUND: In Mexico, obesity prevalence among adults increased from 23% in 2000 to 36% in 2018, approximately. Mexico has not defined short- or long-term obesity goals, obscuring the level of effort required to achieve a relevant impact. We aimed to explore potential obesity goals for 2030 and 2040 in Mexico and to estimate the required caloric reductions to achieve them. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We obtained anthropometric and demographic information on the Mexican adult population (age ≥20 years) from the Health and Nutrition Surveys conducted in 2000, 2006, 2012, 2016, and 2018 (n = 137,907). Each survey wave is cross-sectional, multistage, and representative of the Mexican population at the national, regional, and urban/rural levels. Obesity prevalence was projected for 2030 and 2040 by combining population projections of energy intake by socioeconomic status (SES) with a weight-change microsimulation model taking into account individual-level information on sex, age, physical activity, and initial body weight and height. If current trends continue, Mexico's obesity prevalence is expected to increase from 36% (95% CI 35% to 37%) in 2018 to 45% (uncertainty interval [UI] 41% to 48%) in 2030 and to 48% (UI 41% to 55%) in 2040. Based on expert opinion, we identified 3 obesity goals scenarios: (1) plausible (38% in 2030 and 36% in 2040); (2) intermediate (33% in 2030 and 29% in 2040); and (3) ideal based on the average prevalence of Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development countries (OECD; 19%). We estimated the caloric reductions needed to achieve the goal scenarios using the microsimulation model. Obesity was projected to increase more rapidly in the low SES (around 34% in 2018 to 48% (UI 41% to 55%) in 2040), than in the middle (around 38% to 52% (UI 45% to 56%)), or high SES group (around 36% to 45% (UI 36% to 54%)). Caloric reductions of 40 (UI 13 to 60), 75 (UI 49 to 95), and 190 (UI 163 to 215) kcal/person/day would be needed to reach the plausible, intermediate, and the ideal (OECD) average scenarios for 2030, respectively. To reach the 2040 goals, caloric reductions of 74 (UI 28 to 114), 124 (UI 78 to 169), and 209 (UI 163 to 254) kcal/person/day would be required, respectively. Study limitations include assuming a constant and sedentary physical activity level, not considering cohort-specific differences that could occur in the future, and assuming the same caloric trends under no intervention and the obesity goal scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: To reach the 3 obesity goals in 2040, caloric reductions between 74 and 209 kcal/day/person would be needed in Mexico. A package of new and stronger interventions should be added to existing efforts such as food taxes and warning labels on non-nutritious food.

Prophylactic cancer vaccines: development and challenges for HBV and HPV vaccines in Latin America.

Vaccines against hepatitis B virus (HBV) and human papillomaviruses (HPV) are two safe and highly effective vaccines that were developed at the end of the 20th century and can prevent human cancer. HBV vaccine prevents liver cancer, and HPV prevents cervical and other HPV-related cancers. Starting with the immunogen identification, 15 years were necessary to reach the industrial production of HBV vaccine, and 20 years, for the HPV vaccines. However, while HBV vaccines have been commercially available for over 40 years and are used in most countries, there are still significant challenges to achieve universal childhood immunization against hepatitis B. Similarly, HPV vaccines have been commercially available for 17 years, and yet, countries with higher cervical cancer still have the lowest HPV vaccination rates. We describe the development of HBV and HPV vaccines and discuss the challenges to reaching equitable access to these vaccines in Latin America.

The Omicron wave in Mexico: vaccine protection against progression to severe Covid-19 in SARS-CoV-2-infected workers.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effectiveness of seven Covid-19 vaccines in preventing disease progression (DP) using data from national private sector workers during the Omicron wave in Mexico from January 2 to March 5, 2022. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study employed an administrative retrospective cohort design, analyzing DP (hospitalization or death due to respiratory disease) among workers who filed a respiratory short-term disability claim and tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Risk ratios (RRadj) were estimated using Poisson regression models adjusted for various factors. RESULTS: Vaccinated individuals had a lower risk of hospitalization and death compared with unvaccinated individuals. The overall RRadj for hospitalization and death were 0.36 (95%CI 0.32, 0.41) and 0.24 (0.17, 0.33), respectively. When evaluating vaccines individually, the RRadj for hospitalization were as follows Pfizer BioNTech 0.27 (95%CI 0.22, 0.33), Moderna 0.29 (95%CI 0.15, 0.57), Sinovac 0.32 (95%CI 0.25, 0.41), AstraZeneca 0.39 (95%CI 0.34, 0.46), Sputnik 0.39 (95%CI 0.28, 0.53), CanSino 0.41 (95%CI 0.24, 0.7), and Janssen 0.53 (95%CI 0.39, 0.72). The RRadj for death were as follows: Pfizer BioNTech 0.12 (95%CI 0.07, 0.19), Sputnik 0.15 (95%CI 0.06, 0.38), Sinovac 0.29 (95%CI 0.16, 0.53), AstraZeneca 0.30 (95%CI 0.20, 0.44), CanSino 0.38 (95%CI 0.1, 1.4), and Janssen 0.50 (95%CI 0.26, 0.97). CONCLUSION: Covid-19 vaccines significantly reduced the risk of severe disease during the Omicron wave in Mexico.

Expression of Surfactant Protein D Distinguishes Severe Pandemic Influenza A(H1N1) from Coronavirus Disease 2019.

The differentiation between influenza and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) could constitute a diagnostic challenge during the ongoing winter owing to their clinical similitude. Thus, novel biomarkers are required to enable making this distinction. Here, we evaluated whether the surfactant protein D (SP-D), a collectin produced at the alveolar epithelium with known immune properties, was useful to differentiate pandemic influenza A(H1N1) from COVID-19 in critically ill patients. Our results revealed high serum SP-D levels in patients with severe pandemic influenza but not those with COVID-19. This finding was validated in a separate cohort of mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19 who also showed low plasma SP-D levels. However, plasma SP-D levels did not distinguish seasonal influenza from COVID-19 in mild-to-moderate disease. Finally, we found that high serum SP-D levels were associated with death and renal failure among severe pandemic influenza cases. Thus, our studies have identified SP-D as a unique biomarker expressed during severe pandemic influenza but not COVID-19.

A bioinformatic prediction of antigen presentation from SARS-CoV-2 spike protein revealed a theoretical correlation of HLA-DRB1*01 with COVID-19 fatality in Mexican population: An ecological approach.

SARS-CoV-2 infection is causing a pandemic disease that is reflected in challenging public health problems worldwide. Human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-based epitope prediction and its association with disease outcomes provide an important base for treatment design. A bioinformatic prediction of T cell epitopes and their restricted HLA Class I and II alleles was performed to obtain immunogenic epitopes and HLA alleles from the spike protein of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 virus. Also, a correlation with the predicted fatality rate of hospitalized patients in 28 states of Mexico was done. Here, we describe a set of 10 highly immunogenic epitopes, together with different HLA alleles that can efficiently present these epitopes to T cells. Most of these epitopes are located within the S1 subunit of the spike protein, suggesting that this area is highly immunogenic. A statistical negative correlation was found between the frequency of HLA-DRB1*01 and the fatality rate in hospitalized patients in Mexico.

Revisión rápida: monitoreo de la presencia e infectividad del virus SARS-CoV-2 y otros coronavirus en aguas residuales.

Objetivo. Describir la evidencia sobre la presencia e infectividad de SARS-CoV-2 y otros coronavirus en aguas residuales y su potencial uso como herramienta de vigilancia epidemiológica. Material y métodos. Búsqueda de publicaciones en PubMed y medRxiv desde enero 2003 hasta el 8 de junio de 2020 de acuerdo con la guía de revisiones rápidas de Cochrane. Resultados. Se incluyeron 29 publicaciones. El ARN de SARS-CoV-2 no infectivo se encontró en agua residual hospitalaria, agua residual cruda, tratada y lodos de plantas de tratamiento. Los niveles cuantitativos de ARN viral en agua residual presentan relación con el número de casos de Covid-19. SARS-CoV-1 y otros coronavirus permanecieron infectivos en agua residual cruda hasta por dos días. Conclusiones. Hasta esta revisión no existe evidencia sobre la presencia de virus infectivos de SARS-CoV-2 en agua residual cruda o tratada. La cuantificación de ARN de SARS-CoV-2 en agua residual es útil para la vigilancia epidemiológica.

The effect of a booster dose of HPV tetravalent vaccine after 51 months: implications for extended vaccination schedules.

OBJECTIVE: To asses the non-inferiority between two differ- ent vaccination schedules one month after the administration of the third dose. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We evaluated the anti-HPV 16/18 antibody titers induced by quadrivalent HPV vaccine administered using two different schedules in girls 9 to 10-year-old girls: a traditional (0-2-6) and an alterna- tive (0-6-50). Blood samples were collected at month 7, 21 and 51. RESULTS: The antibody geometric mean titer ratios one month after the application of the third dose -month 51 for the alternative and month 7 for the traditional- were 1.55 for HPV16 (95%CI, 1.15-2.08) and 1.53 for HPV18 (95%CI, 1.12-2.09). The seropositive rate was above 99% in both groups. CONCLUSIONS: The application of an alternative 3-dose schedule in 9 to 10-year-old girls induces a non-inferior immune response compared to the standard one month after the last dose. Further research is needed to understand the minimal number of doses and their timing to provide the best coverage for HPV infection.

OBJETIVO: Evaluar la no inferioridad entre dos diferentes esquemas de vacunación un mes después de la administración de la tercera dosis. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se evaluaron los títulos de anticuerpos anti-VPH 16/18 inducidos por la vacuna contra VPH tetravalente administrada en niñas de 9 a 10 años utilizando dos esquemas diferentes: tradicional (0-2-6) y alternativo (0-6-50). Se recolectaron muestras en los meses 7, 21 y 51. RESULTADOS: La media geométrica de títulos de anticuerpos un mes después de la aplicación de la tercera dosis ­mes 51 para la alternativa y mes 7 para el tradicional­ fueron 1.55 para HPV16 (95% IC 1.15-2.08) y 1.53 para HPV18 (95% IC 1.12-2.09). La tasa de seropositividad fue superior a 99% en ambos grupos. CONCLUSIONES: la aplicación de un esquema alternativo de tres dosis (0-6-50 meses) en niñas parece inducir una respuesta inmune no inferior al esquema tradicional un mes después de la última dosis. Se necesitan más estudios para determinar las dosis mínimas e intervalos óptimos para obtener la mejor cobertura para la infección por VPH.

A Complete and State of the Art Pre-mortem Diagnostic Approach to Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease: A Case Report.

Sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (sCJD) is a fatal and rapidly progressive form of dementia caused by the spread of a prion protein within the brain. Its real incidence is unknown since its definitive diagnosis requires histopathological analysis of brain specimens. However, novel tests that detect prion proteins in cerebrospinal fluid samples, such as the real-time quaking-induced conversion (RT-QuIC) technique, now allow the pre-mortem diagnosis of sCJD. Here, we report the first case of sCJD confirmed by RT-QuIC in Latin America, providing evidence of its diagnostic performance and clinical correlation.

A case report of an intramedullary cervical teratoma in an adult patient with cervical spondylotic radiculopathy.

Spinal cord teratomas are rare. There are few reports of teratomas affecting the cervical spine and their association with spondylotic radiculopathy has not been described. A 59-year-old woman with history of fecal incontinence attended with cervical radicular pain radiating to upper limbs. Physical examination showed distal muscle hypotrophy and abolishment of bicipital, tricipital, and brachioradialis reflexes of the right arm, preserving proximal strength. Also, hiporreflexia and loss of proprioception in the right lower limb was observed. Magnetic resonance imaging showed an intramedullary mass at C7-T1, accompanied by intervertebral disk protrusions and dural sac compressions at the same level. One-stage posterior-anterior operative approach for tumor resection, decompression of the radiculopathy and replacement of intervertebral discs was performed. The histopathological diagnosis was for a mature teratoma. We described the first case of an intramedullary cervical teratoma associated with radiculopathy in an adult, providing evidence of rare long-lasting teratomas affecting the cervical spine.

Revisión rápida: monitoreo de la presencia e infectividad del virus SARS-CoV-2 y otros coronavirus en aguas residuales / Quick review: monitoring the presence and infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 and other coronaviruses in wastewater

Resumen: Objetivo: Describir la evidencia sobre la presencia e infectividad de SARS-CoV-2 y otros coronavirus en aguas residuales y su potencial uso como herramienta de vigilancia epidemiológica. Material y métodos: Búsqueda de publicaciones en PubMed y medRxiv desde enero 2003 hasta el 8 de junio de 2020 de acuerdo con la guía de revisiones rápidas de Cochrane. Resultados: Se incluyeron 29 publicaciones. El ARN de SARS-CoV-2 no infectivo se encontró en agua residual hospitalaria, agua residual cruda, tratada y lodos de plantas de tratamiento. Los niveles cuantitativos de ARN viral en agua residual presentan relación con el número de casos de Covid-19. SARS-CoV-1 y otros coronavirus permanecieron infectivos en agua residual cruda hasta por dos días. Conclusiones: Hasta esta revisión no existe evidencia sobre la presencia de virus infectivos de SARS-CoV-2 en agua residual cruda o tratada. La cuantificación de ARN de SARS-CoV-2 en agua residual es útil para la vigilancia epidemiológica.

Abstract: Objective: To describe the current evidence on the presence and infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 and other coronaviruses in wastewater; and its potential use as an epidemiological surveillance tool. Materials and methods: A search was performed in PubMed and medRxiv databases from January 2003 to June 8, 2020 according to the Cochrane Rapid Review Guide. Results: Twenty-nine publications were included. Non-infective RNA of SARS-CoV-2 has been detected in hospital sewage; raw and treated wastewater, and primary sludges from sewage treatment plants. Quantitative levels of viral RNA in wastewater are related with the number of Covid-19 cases. SARS-CoV-1 and other coronaviruses remained infective in wastewater up to two days. Conclusions: Currently, there is no evidence of the presence of infective SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater and its inactivation through treatment/disinfection has been proven. Quantification of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in wastewater can be a useful epidemiological surveillance tool.

Enfermedad vascular cerebral isquémica: revisión extensa de la bibliografía para el médico de primer contacto / Ischemic cerebrovascular disease: extensive review of the literature for the first contact physician

Resumen La enfermedad vascular cerebral isquémica constituye una causa importante de morbilidad y mortalidad, así como de discapacidad en todo el mundo. Su incidencia ha aumentado en países subdesarrollados en los que ocurren al menos dos tercios de todos los casos reportados anualmente. Los factores de riesgo de sufrir un evento cerebrovascular isquémico están relacionados con la obesidad y el sedentarismo; sin embargo, el principal factor implicado en la ocurrencia de la enfermedad es la hipertensión arterial. El pronóstico depende directamente del tiempo que transcurre entre el inicio de los síntomas y la instauración del tratamiento adecuado. En años recientes se han realizado avances importantes en el manejo médico e intervencionista del evento vascular cerebral isquémico, lo que ha resultado en menor tasa de fallecimientos y mejor funcionalidad a corto plazo; sin embargo, algunos tratamientos no están disponibles en todos los centros hospitalarios y muchos pacientes no son aptos para someterse a procedimientos endovasculares porque acuden de forma tardía o existe retraso en la identificación y el diagnóstico del padecimiento. Por tanto, es de mayor importancia que los médicos en formación y especialistas encargados del cuidado de pacientes con deterioro neurológico conozcan las herramientas diagnósticas y terapéuticas útiles en el abordaje y manejo del evento cerebrovascular isquémico para mejorar el pronóstico de los sujetos afectados. En este artículo se revisa el abordaje clínico del paciente con enfermedad vascular cerebral isquémica y una actualización del tratamiento con un enfoque dirigido a la práctica de la medicina basada en evidencias.

Abstract Vascular cerebral ischemic disease constitutes a leading cause of morbidity and mortality as well as of disability worldwide. Its incidence has risen in developing countries in which it is estimated that two thirds of all cases occur annually. Risk factors for ischemic stroke are related with obesity and sedentary lifestyle; nonetheless, hypertension is the main factor involved in the occurrence of the disease. The prognosis depends directly on the time since the onset of the symptoms and the establishment of an optimal treatment. In recent years, important advances in the medical and interventionist treatment of ischemic stroke has been made which has resulted in a lower rate of deaths and an improvement in functionality at the short term; however, some of the therapeutic options are not available in most of the hospital centers and many patients are not eligible for endovascular procedures as they attend late or there is a delay in the identification and diagnosis of the disease. Therefore, it is of major importance that physicians and specialists taking care of patients with neurological impairment know diagnostic and therapeutic tools useful in the approach and management of ischemic stroke to improve the prognosis of the affected individuals. In this article we review the clinical approach to patients with vascular cerebral ischemic disease and make an update of the treatment with a focus on the practice of evidence-based medicine.

Probióticos ¿coadyuvantes en el tratamiento médico? / Probiotics: Adjuvant in the medical treatment?

Resumen La microbiota juega un papel importante en el mantenimiento de la homeostasia de mucosas e influye en la función de órganos y sistemas del cuerpo humano. Diferentes factores pueden producir una disbiosis que resulte en diversas enfermedades. La potencial administración de probióticos para restablecer la microbiota aún es un tema poco familiar para la mayoría de los médicos. En consecuencia, es de vital importancia conocer y analizar la información a favor del uso de ciertas cepas de bacterias intestinales como coadyuvantes del tratamiento médico con el objetivo de regular y aprobar su prescripción mediante un enfoque basado en la evidencia.

Abstract Microbiome plays an important role in the maintenance of the mucosae homeostasis and it can exert an influence in the function of organs and systems of the human body. Several factors can lead to dysbiosis which can result in different pathologies. The potential use of probiotics for the re-establishment of gut microbiome is still unfamiliar for most medical doctors. Consequently, it is of major relevance to know and analyze the information in favor of the use of different intestinal bacteria strains as adjuvants in the medical treatment with the aim to regulate and approve their employment by an evidence-based approach.

The effect of a booster dose of HPV tetravalent vaccine after 51 months: implications for extended vaccination schedules / El efecto de un refuerzo de la vacuna tetravalente de VPH después de 51 meses: implicaciones para un esquema de vacunación extendido

Abstract: Objective: To asses the non-inferiority between two different vaccination schedules one month after the administration of the third dose. Materials and methods: We evaluated the anti-HPV 16/18 antibody titers induced by quadrivalent HPV vaccine administered using two different schedules in girls 9 to 10-year-old girls: a traditional (0-2-6) and an alternative (0-6-50). Blood samples were collected at month 7, 21 and 51. Results: The antibody geometric mean titer ratios one month after the application of the third dose -month 51 for the alternative and month 7 for the traditional- were 1.55 for HPV16 (95%CI, 1.15-2.08) and 1.53 for HPV18 (95%CI, 1.12-2.09). The seropositive rate was above 99% in both groups. Conclusions: The application of an alternative 3-dose schedule in 9 to 10-year-old girls induces a non-inferior immune response compared to the standard one month after the last dose. Further research is needed to understand the minimal number of doses and their timing to provide the best coverage for HPV infection.

Resumen: Objetivo: Evaluar la no inferioridad entre dos diferentes esquemas de vacunación un mes después de la administración de la tercera dosis. Material y métodos: Se evaluaron los títulos de anticuerpos anti-VPH 16/18 inducidos por la vacuna contra VPH tetravalente administrada en niñas de 9 a 10 años utilizando dos esquemas diferentes: tradicional (0-2-6) y alternativo (0-6-50). Se recolectaron muestras en los meses 7, 21 y 51. Resultados: La media geométrica de títulos de anticuerpos un mes después de la aplicación de la tercera dosis -mes 51 para la alternativa y mes 7 para el tradicional- fueron 1.55 para HPV16 (95% IC 1.15-2.08) y 1.53 para HPV18 (95% IC 1.12-2.09). La tasa de seropositividad fue superior a 99% en ambos grupos. Conclusiones: la aplicación de un esquema alternativo de tres dosis (0-6-50 meses) en niñas parece inducir una respuesta inmune no inferior al esquema tradicional un mes después de la última dosis. Se necesitan más estudios para determinar las dosis mínimas e intervalos óptimos para obtener la mejor cobertura para la infección por VPH.