Effects of anthropogenic disturbance on primate density at the landscape scale.

Accurate estimations of the abundance of threatened animal populations are required for assessment of species' status and vulnerability and conservation planning. However, density estimation is usually difficult and resource demanding, so researchers often collect data at local scales. However, anthropogenic pressures most often have landscape-level effects, for example, through habitat loss and fragmentation. We applied hierarchical distance sampling (HDS) to transect count data to determine the effect of habitat and anthropogenic factors on the density of 3 arboreal primate species inhabiting 5 distinct tropical forests across a landscape of 19,000 km2 in the Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania. We developed a novel, multiregion extension of HDS that allowed us to model density and detectability jointly across forests without losing site-specific information. For all species, the effect of anthropogenic disturbance on density was overwhelmingly negative among metapopulations: -0.63 Angolan colobus (Colobus angolensis palliatus) (95% Bayesian CI -1.03 to -0.27), -0.54 Udzungwa red colobus (Procolobus gordonorum) (-0.89 to -0.22), and -0.33 Sykes' monkey (Cercopithecus mitis monoides) (-0.63 to -0.07). Some responses to habitat factors were shared, notably the negative effect of elevation and the positive effect of climber coverage. These results are important for conservation science and practice because: the among-populations negative responses to anthropogenic disturbance provides a foundation for development of conservation plans that hold at the landscape scale, which is a comprehensive and cost-efficient approach; the among-species consistency in responses suggests conservation measures may be generalized at the guild level, which is especially relevant given the functional importance of primates in tropical rainforests; and the greater primate densities in areas at low elevation, which are closer to human settlements, point to specific management recommendations, such as the creation of buffer zones and prioritization of areas for protection.

Efectos de la Perturbación Antropogénica sobre la Densidad de Primates a Escala de Paisaje Resumen Se requieren estimaciones correctas del tamaño de las poblaciones de animales amenazados para evaluar el estado y la vulnerabilidad de las especies y así planear su conservación. Sin embargo, la estimación de la densidad es usualmente complicada y demanda recursos, así que los investigadores con frecuencia recolectan la información a escala local, a pesar de que la presión antropogénica suele tener efectos a nivel del paisaje; por ejemplo, la pérdida del hábitat y la fragmentación. Aplicamos un muestro jerárquico a distancia (HDS, en inglés) para contar datos por transecto y determinar el efecto de los factores del hábitat y los factores antropogénicos sobre la densidad de tres especies de primates arbóreos en un paisaje de 19,000 km2 en las montañas de Udzungwa en Tanzania. Desarrollamos una novedosa extensión multiregión de HDS que nos permitió modelar en conjunto la densidad y la facilidad de detección en los bosques sin perder información específica del sitio. Para todas las especies, el efecto de la perturbación antropogénica sobre la densidad fue abrumadoramente negativa entre las metapoblaciones: −0.63 para el colobo angoleño (Colobus angolensis palliatus) (95% bayesiano CI de −1.03 a −0.27), −0.54 para el colobo rojo de Udzungwa (Procolobus gordonorum) (de −0.89 a −0.22), y −0.33 para el mono de Syke (Cercopithecus mitis monoides) (de −0.63 a −0.07). Los monos compartieron algunas respuestas a los factores de hábitat, notoriamente los efectos negativos de la elevación y el efecto positivo de la cobertura de plantas trepadoras. Estos resultados son importantes para la ciencia y práctica de la conservación ya que: las respuestas negativas a las perturbaciones antropogénicas entre las poblaciones proporcionan los cimientos para el desarrollo de planes de conservación que serán válidos a nivel de paisaje, la cual es una estrategia completa y rentable; la consistencia de las respuestas entre las especies sugiere que las medidas de conservación pueden estar generalizadas a nivel de gremio, lo cual es de suma relevancia dada la importancia funcional de los primates en los bosques tropicales; y la densidad mayor de primates en áreas con elevación baja, las cuales están próximas a los asentamientos humanos, señalan hacia recomendaciones específicas de manejo, como la creación de zonas de amortiguamiento y la priorización de áreas para proteger.

Integrating field and satellite data for spatially explicit inference on the density of threatened arboreal primates.

Spatially explicit models of animal abundance are a critical tool to inform conservation planning and management. However, they require the availability of spatially diffuse environmental predictors of abundance, which may be challenging, especially in complex and heterogeneous habitats. This is particularly the case for tropical mammals, such as nonhuman primates, that depend on multi-layered and species-rich tree canopy coverage, which is usually measured through a limited sample of ground plots. We developed an approach that calibrates remote-sensing imagery to ground measurements of tree density to derive basal area, in turn used as a predictor of primate density based on published models. We applied generalized linear models (GLM) to relate 9.8-ha ground samples of tree basal area to various metrics extracted from Landsat 8 imagery. We tested the potential of this approach for spatial inference of animal density by comparing the density predictions for an endangered colobus monkey, to previous estimates from field transect counts, measured basal area, and other predictors of abundance. The best GLM had high accuracy and showed no significant difference between predicted and observed values of basal area. Our species distribution model yielded predicted primate densities that matched those based on field measurements. Results show the potential of using open-access and global remote-sensing data to derive an important predictor of animal abundance in tropical forests and in turn to make spatially explicit inference on animal density. This approach has important, inherent applications as it greatly magnifies the relevance of abundance modeling for informing conservation. This is especially true for threatened species living in heterogeneous habitats where spatial patterns of abundance, in relation to habitat and/or human disturbance factors, are often complex and, management decisions, such as improving forest protection, may need to be focused on priority areas.

Optimizing field and analytical procedures for estimating densities of arboreal and threatened primates in tropical rainforest.

The application of distance sampling to primate density estimation is challenging and susceptible to estimation biases, mainly due to the difficulties of properly accounting for variation in species' detectability and of accurately sampling the spread of the social groups. We apply a hierarchical distance sampling approach to primate data, to account for a comprehensive set of environmental covariates of both detectability and abundance, and we propose a novel field routine to measure the spread of groups during transect sampling. We confirm the good potential of this approach, given we obtained refined estimates of primate density (as measured by the Akaike Information Criterion) in comparison to estimates from models without covariates.

A landscape-scale assessment of tropical mammals reveals the effects of habitat and anthropogenic disturbance on community occupancy.

With biodiversity facing unparalleled threats from anthropogenic disturbance, knowledge on the occurrences of species and communities provides for an effective and fast approach to assess their status and vulnerability. Disturbance is most prominent at the landscape-level, for example through habitat loss from large-scale resource extraction or agriculture. However, addressing species responses to habitat changes at the landscape-scale can be difficult and cost-ineffective, hence studies are mostly conducted at single areas or habitat patches. Moreover, there is a relative lack of studies on communities, as opposed to focal species, despite the former may carry more comprehensive information. Here, we used a multi-region, multi-species hierarchical occupancy model to study a meta-community of mammals detected by camera traps across five distinct areas within a heterogeneous landscape in Tanzania, and aimed to assess responses to human disturbance and environmental variables. Estimated species richness did not vary significantly across different areas, even though these held broadly different habitats. Moreover, we found remarkable consistency in the positive effect of distance to human settlements, a proxy for anthropogenic disturbance, on community occupancy. The positive effect of body size and the positive effect of proximity to rivers on community occupancy were also shared by communities. Results yield conservation relevance because: (1) the among-communities consistency in responses to anthropogenic disturbance, despite the heterogeneity in sampled habitats, indicates that conservation plans designed at the landscape-scale may represent a comprehensive and cost-efficient approach; (2) the consistency in responses to environmental factors suggests that multi-species models are a powerful method to study ecological patterns at the landscape-level.

Primates in Human-Modified and Fragmented Landscapes: The Conservation Relevance of Modelling Habitat and Disturbance Factors in Density Estimation.

Accurate density estimations of threatened animal populations is essential for management and conservation. This is particularly critical for species living in patchy and altered landscapes, as is the case for most tropical forest primates. In this study, we used a hierarchical modelling approach that incorporates the effect of environmental covariates on both the detection (i.e. observation) and the state (i.e. abundance) processes of distance sampling. We applied this method to already published data on three arboreal primates of the Udzungwa Mountains of Tanzania, including the endangered and endemic Udzungwa red colobus (Procolobus gordonorum). The area is a primate hotspot at continental level. Compared to previous, 'canonical' density estimates, we found that the inclusion of covariates in the modelling makes the inference process more informative, as it takes in full account the contrasting habitat and protection levels among forest blocks. The correction of density estimates for imperfect detection was especially critical where animal detectability was low. Relative to our approach, density was underestimated by the canonical distance sampling, particularly in the less protected forest. Group size had an effect on detectability, determining how the observation process varies depending on the socio-ecology of the target species. Lastly, as the inference on density is spatially-explicit to the scale of the covariates used in the modelling, we could confirm that primate densities are highest in low-to-mid elevations, where human disturbance tend to be greater, indicating a considerable resilience by target monkeys in disturbed habitats. However, the marked trend of lower densities in unprotected forests urgently calls for effective forest protection.