Drop-out, adherence, and compliance in randomized controlled trials of exercise training in multiple sclerosis: Short report.

We documented reporting and rates of drop-out, adherence, and compliance from 40 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) included in our meta-analysis on safety of exercise training (ET) in MS. We adopted definitions and metrics of adherence and compliance provided by the MoXFo adherence group. Drop-out was reported in 100% of the RCTs and approximated 10% for intervention and control conditions. Adherence and compliance were reported in approximately 50% and 10% of the RCTs, respectively, and approximated 80% and 70%, respectively. Standardized metrics for reporting adherence and compliance are important in future RCTs for understanding the impact on outcomes and translation of research evidence into practice.

Attitudes towards COVID-19 vaccination in adults with haematological malignancies.

INTRODUCTION: Despite people with haematological malignancies being particularly vulnerable to severe COVID-19 infection and complications, vaccine hesitancy may be a barrier to optimal vaccination. This study explored attitudes towards COVID-19 vaccination in people with haematological malignancies. METHODS: People with haematological malignancies at nine Australian health services were surveyed between June and October, 2021. Sociodemographic and clinical characteristics were collected. Attitudes towards COVID-19 vaccination were explored using the Oxford COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy Scale, the Oxford COVID-19 Vaccine Confidence and Complacency Scale, and the Disease Influenced Vaccine Acceptance Scale-Six. Open-ended comments were qualitatively analysed. RESULTS: A total of 869 people with haematological malignancies (mean age 64.2 years, 43.6% female) participated. Most participants (85.3%) reported that they had received at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose. Participants who were younger, spoke English as a non-dominant language, and had a shorter time since diagnosis were less likely to be vaccinated. Those who were female or spoke English as their non-dominant language reported greater vaccine side-effects concerns. Younger participants reported greater concerns about the vaccine impacting their treatment. CONCLUSION: People with haematological malignancies reported high vaccine uptake, however, targeted education for specific participant groups may address vaccine hesitancy concerns, given the need for COVID-19 vaccine boosters.

Safety of exercise training in multiple sclerosis: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: A review of the safety profile of exercise training in multiple sclerosis (MS) has not been conducted since 2013. OBJECTIVE: We undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of exercise training published since 2013 and quantified estimated population risks of clinical relapse, adverse events (AE) and serious adverse event (SAE). METHODS: Articles reporting safety outcomes from comparisons of exercise training with non-exercise among persons with MS were identified. The risk of bias was established from study's internal validity assessed using Physiotherapy Evidence Database (PEDro). Rates and estimated mean population relative risks (RRs; 95% confidence interval (CI)) of safety outcomes were calculated, and random-effects meta-analysis estimated the mean RR. RESULTS: Forty-six interventions from 40 RCTs (N = 1780) yielded 46, 40 and 39 effects for relapse, AE, adverse effects and SAE, respectively. The mean population RRs ((95% CI), p-value) for relapse, AE and SAE were 0.95 ((0.61, 1.48), p = 0.82), 1.40 ((0.90, 2.19), p = 0.14) and 1.05 ((0.62, 1.80), p = 0.85), respectively. No significant heterogeneity is observed for any outcome. CONCLUSION: In studies that reported safety outcomes, there was no higher risk of relapse, AE, adverse effects or SAE for exercise training than the comparator. Exercise training may be promoted as safe and beneficial to persons with MS.

Hospital facility characteristics and socioeconomic factors on outcomes and treatment in patients with multiple myeloma: National Cancer Database analysis.

Previous studies have shown that socioeconomic factors play an important role in multiple myeloma (MM) health outcomes. We postulated that the type of treatment facilities and their volume of cases also affect overall survival, utilization of various therapies including palliative care services in newly diagnosed MM. Using the National Cancer Database (NCDB), we analyzed 174,551 newly diagnosed MM participants from across the country. We found that at high volume facility centers (over 90th percentile of new patient volume from 2004 to 2016), the median overall survival (OS) was 62.3 months versus 35.3 months at lower volume facilities (p <0.001). Similarly, high volume academic cancer centers had an improved median OS of 66.4 months (65.3-67.4 CI) versus 39.2 months (37.9-40.4 months CI) in lower volume academic centers (p <0.001). The odds of utilizing chemotherapy, immunotherapy, and autologous transplants were higher in academic cancer centers compared to community cancer centers, after adjusting for demographic and socioeconomic factors (OR 1.10, 1.23, and 2.06 respectively, all with p<0.001). There was significantly decreased odds of receiving palliative care (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.85-0.93) in high volume facilities compared to low volume. Palliative care services were more frequently utilized at integrated network cancers and comprehensive community cancer centers compared to community cancer centers, with similar odds of receiving palliative care between community and academic facility types. Our results likely reflect increased provider experience and resources in higher volume and academic facilities. This highlights the need to integrate resources and improve access to community programs.

Carboplatin dose calculations for patients with lung cancer: significant dose differences found depending on dosing equation choice.

BACKGROUND: Carboplatin is the backbone cytotoxic agent for many chemotherapy regimens for lung cancer. Dosing of carboplatin is complicated due to its relationship to renal function and narrow therapeutic index. Overestimation of renal function may lead to supratherapeutic dosing and toxicity, while underestimation may lead to underdosing and therapeutic failure. Although the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) and the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations have higher accuracy in estimating glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), the Cockcroft Gault (CG) formula has been historically used for carboplatin dosing internationally. METHODS: We compared these formulae to identify patient profiles that were associated with significant carboplatin dose variation by retrospectively analysing the carboplatin dosing of 96 patients with lung cancer. Carboplatin doses were calculated using eGFR generated by MDRD, CKD-EPI 2009 and CKD-EPI 2021 equations. These three hypothetical doses were compared to actual CG-based doses prescribed. RESULTS: MDRD and CKD-EPI equations resulted in comparable carboplatin doses; however, CG doses diverged markedly with up to 17% of the patients receiving a carboplatin dose that was at least 20% higher than a non-CG formula would have predicted, and 20% received a dose that was at least 20% lower than a non-CG formula would have predicted. Our data suggest CG use overestimates kidney function in patients with a higher bodyweight and body surface area (BSA) while underestimating it in patients with a lower bodyweight and BSA. Importantly, we demonstrate potential real-world benefit as CKD-EPI predicted lower doses for patients whose (CG-derived) carboplatin dose was later reduced following clinical assessment prior to infusion. CONCLUSIONS: We have therefore confirmed significant differences in carboplatin dosing depending on the equation used in our modern patient population and suggest that use of CKD-EPI provides the most clinically appropriate carboplatin dosing and should be implemented as the new standard of care internationally.

Psychosocial well-being and supportive care needs of cancer patients and survivors living in rural or regional areas: a systematic review from 2010 to 2021.

PURPOSE: To summarise what is currently known about the psychosocial morbidity, experiences, and needs of people with cancer and their informal caregivers, who live in rural or regional areas of developed countries. METHODS: Eligible studies dating from August 2010 until May 2021 were identified through several online databases, including MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsychINFO, and RURAL (Rural and Remote Health Database). Results were reported according to the PRISMA guidelines and the protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42020171764). RESULTS: Sixty-five studies were included in this review, including 20 qualitative studies, 41 quantitative studies, and 4 mixed methods studies. Qualitative research demonstrated that many unique psychosocial needs of rural people remain unmet, particularly relating to finances, travel, and accessing care. However, most (9/19) quantitative studies that compared rural and urban groups reported no significant differences in psychosocial needs, morbidity, or quality of life (QOL). Five quantitative studies reported poorer psychosocial outcomes (social and emotional functioning) in urban cancer survivors, while three highlighted poorer outcomes (physical functioning, role functioning, and self-reported mental health outcomes) in the rural group. CONCLUSION: Recent research shows that rural people affected by cancer have unique unmet psychosocial needs relating to rurality. However, there was little evidence that rural cancer survivors report greater unmet needs than their urban counterparts. This contrasts to the findings from a 2011 systematic review that found rural survivors consistently reported worse psychosocial outcomes. More population-based research is needed to establish whether uniquely rural unmet needs are due to general or cancer-specific factors.

Prolyl isomerization of FAAP20 catalyzed by PIN1 regulates the Fanconi anemia pathway.

The Fanconi Anemia (FA) pathway is a multi-step DNA repair process at stalled replication forks in response to DNA interstrand cross-links (ICLs). Pathological mutation of key FA genes leads to the inherited disorder FA, characterized by progressive bone marrow failure and cancer predisposition. The study of FA is of great importance not only to children suffering from FA but also as a model to study cancer pathogenesis in light of genome instability among the general population. FANCD2 monoubiquitination by the FA core complex is an essential gateway that connects upstream DNA damage signaling to enzymatic steps of repair. FAAP20 is a key component of the FA core complex, and regulated proteolysis of FAAP20 mediated by the ubiquitin E3 ligase SCFFBW7 is critical for maintaining the integrity of the FA complex and FA pathway signaling. However, upstream regulatory mechanisms that govern this signaling remain unclear. Here, we show that PIN1, a phosphorylation-specific prolyl isomerase, regulates the integrity of the FA core complex, thus FA pathway activation. We demonstrate that PIN1 catalyzes cis-trans isomerization of the FAAP20 pSer48-Pro49 motif and promotes FAAP20 stability. Mechanistically, PIN1-induced conformational change of FAAP20 enhances its interaction with the PP2A phosphatase to counteract SCFFBW7-dependent proteolytic signaling at the phosphorylated degron motif. Accordingly, PIN1 deficiency impairs FANCD2 activation and the DNA ICL repair process. Together, our study establishes PIN1-dependent prolyl isomerization as a new regulator of the FA pathway and genomic integrity.

Chemoradiotherapy Using Carboplatin plus Paclitaxel versus Cisplatin plus Fluorouracil for Esophageal or Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Trimodality therapy (TMT) with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) using concurrent carboplatin plus paclitaxel (CP) followed by surgery is the standard of care for locoregional esophageal or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) cancers. Alternatively, nCRT with cisplatin plus fluorouracil (CF) can be used. Definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) with CP or CF can be used if surgery is not planned. In the absence of comparative trials, we aimed to evaluate outcomes of CP and CF in the settings of TMT and dCRT. METHODS: A single-site, retrospective cohort study was conducted at the Princess Margaret Cancer Centre to identify all patients who received CRT for locoregional esophageal or GEJ cancer. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariable Cox regression model. The inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) method was used for sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: Between 2011 and 2015, 93 patients with esophageal (49%) and GEJ (51%) cancers underwent nCRT (n = 67; 72%) or dCRT (n = 26; 28%). Median age was 62.3 years and 74% were male. Median follow-up was 23.9 months. Comparing CP to CF in the setting of TMT, the OS and DFS rates were similar. In the setting of dCRT, CP was associated with significantly inferior 3-year OS (36 vs. 63%; p = 0.001; HR 3.1; 95% CI: 1.2-7.7) and DFS (0 vs. 41%; p = 0.004; HR 3.6; 95% CI: 1.4-8.9) on multivariable and IPTW sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: TMT with CF and CP produced comparable outcomes. However, for dCRT, CF may be a superior regimen.

Discovery of potent azaindazole leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 (LRRK2) inhibitors possessing a key intramolecular hydrogen bond - Part 2.

The discovery of disease-modifying therapies for Parkinson's Disease (PD) represents a critical need in neurodegenerative medicine. Genetic mutations in LRRK2 are risk factors for the development of PD, and some of these mutations have been linked to increased LRRK2 kinase activity and neuronal toxicity in cellular and animal models. As such, research towards brain-permeable kinase inhibitors of LRRK2 has received much attention. In the course of a program to identify structurally diverse inhibitors of LRRK2 kinase activity, a 5-azaindazole series was optimized for potency, metabolic stability and brain penetration. A key design element involved the incorporation of an intramolecular hydrogen bond to increase permeability and potency against LRRK2. This communication will outline the structure-activity relationships of this matched pair series including the challenge of obtaining a desirable balance between metabolic stability and brain penetration.

Comparative evaluation of 11 in silico models for the prediction of small molecule mutagenicity: role of steric hindrance and electron-withdrawing groups.

The goal of this investigation was to perform a comparative analysis on how accurately 11 routinely-used in silico programs correctly predicted the mutagenicity of test compounds that contained either bulky or electron-withdrawing substituents. To our knowledge this is the first study of its kind in the literature. Such substituents are common in many pharmaceutical agents so there is a significant need for reliable in silico programs to predict precisely whether they truly pose a risk for mutagenicity. The predictions from each program were compared to experimental data derived from the Ames II test, a rapid reverse mutagenicity assay with a high degree of agreement with the traditional Ames assay. Eleven in silico programs were evaluated and compared: Derek for Windows, Derek Nexus, Leadscope Model Applier (LSMA), LSMA featuring the in vitro microbial Escherichia coli-Salmonella typhimurium TA102 A-T Suite (LSMA+), TOPKAT, CAESAR, TEST, ChemSilico (±S9 suites), MC4PC and a novel DNA docking model. The presence of bulky or electron-withdrawing functional groups in the vicinity of a mutagenic toxicophore in the test compounds clearly affected the ability of each in silico model to predict non-mutagenicity correctly. This was because of an over reliance on the part of the programs to provide mutagenicity alerts when a particular toxicophore is present irrespective of the structural environment surrounding the toxicophore. From this investigation it can be concluded that these models provide a high degree of specificity (ranging from 71% to 100%) and are generally conservative in their predictions in terms of sensitivity (ranging from 5% t o 78%). These values are in general agreement with most other comparative studies in the literature. Interestingly, the DNA docking model was the most sensitive model evaluated, suggesting a potentially useful new mode of screening for mutagens. Another important finding was that the combination of a quantitative structure-activity relationship and an expert rules system appeared to offer little advantage in terms of sensitivity, despite of the requirement for such a screening paradigm under the ICH M7 regulatory guideline.

Improving Outcomes in Resectable Gastric Cancer: A Review of Current and Future Strategies.

Gastric cancer is a highly fatal malignancy, and surgery alone often does not provide a cure, even for relatively early stages of disease. Various approaches have been adopted around the world to improve surgical outcomes; however, there currently is no global consensus with regard to the extent of surgery or the timing and choice of chemotherapy and radiation. Here we review the evidence supporting current approaches to resectable gastric cancer, including discussion of the optimal extent of surgery and lymphadenectomy, adjuvant chemotherapy, postoperative chemotherapy with chemoradiation, and perioperative chemotherapy. Additionally, we discuss novel approaches, including intensified chemotherapy (in neoadjuvant, perioperative, and adjuvant settings), pre- and postoperative chemoradiation in combination with chemotherapy, and the role of biologics and targeted therapy. Finally, we examine the promise of molecular subtyping and potential biomarkers for improved patient selection. Upcoming and future trials should help answer questions regarding the optimal sequencing and choice of treatments, in order to further improve survival and move us towards ultimately curing more patients with resectable gastric cancer.

Do teleoncology models of care enable safe delivery of chemotherapy in rural towns?

OBJECTIVES: To compare the dose intensity and toxicity profiles for patients undergoing chemotherapy at the Townsville Cancer Centre (TCC), a tertiary cancer centre in northern Queensland, with those for patients treated in Mount Isa, supervised by the same medical oncologists via teleoncology. DESIGN: A quasi-experimental design comparing two patient groups. SETTING: TCC and Mount Isa Hospital, which both operate under the auspices of the Townsville Teleoncology Network (TTN). PARTICIPANTS: Eligible patients who received chemotherapy at TCC or Mt Isa Hospital between 1 May 2007 and 30 April 2012. INTERVENTION: Teleoncology model for managing cancer patients in rural towns. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Dose intensity (doses, number of cycles and lines of treatment) and toxicity rates (rate of serious side effects, hospital admissions and mortality). RESULTS: Over 5 years, 89 patients received a total of 626 cycles of various chemotherapy regimens in Mount Isa. During the same period, 117 patients who received a total of 799 cycles of chemotherapy at TCC were eligible for inclusion in the comparison group. There were no significant differences between the Mount Isa and TCC patients in most demographic characteristics, mean numbers of treatment cycles, dose intensities, proportions of side effects, and hospital admissions. There were no toxicity-related deaths in either group. CONCLUSION: It appears safe to administer chemotherapy in rural towns under the supervision of medical oncologists from larger centres via teleoncology, provided that rural health care resources and governance arrangements are adequate.

Capecitabine-Induced Genital Hand-Foot Syndrome Treated With Topical Tacrolimus.

We describe a rare case of capecitabine-induced palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia (PPE), or hand-foot syndrome (HFS), involving the genitals, which resolved with tacrolimus therapy, in a patient with cT3dN3 stage IIIc moderately differentiated proximal rectal adenocarcinoma who was undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Given its severe impact on the quality of life, HFS often requires independent local anti-inflammatory treatment and subsequent dose delay and/or modification of the patient's chemotherapy. We believe that our findings in this report can aid clinicians in the early recognition and management of capecitabine-associated HFS resulting in balanitis, as prompt treatment may reduce morbidity and avoid prolonged interruption of chemotherapy in these patients.

Influence of Income, Education, and Medicaid Expansion on Palliative Care in Acute Myeloid Leukemia Using the National Cancer Database.

Palliative care is integral to symptom management, and we examined its relationship with income, education, and Medicaid expansion in acute myeloid leukemia. This was a retrospective cross-sectional study using the National Cancer Database that included patients with acute myeloid and monocytic leukemias > 18 years of age treated at Commission on Cancer facilities from 2004 to 2016. Univariate and multivariate models were adjusted for demographic variables and facility characteristics. There were 124,988 patients, but only 106,495 had palliative care data, and of this 4111 (3%) received palliative care. The most educated had the highest odds of receiving palliative care (odds ratio, OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.08-1.41; P = 0.002), but the highest income bracket (≥ $63,333) had the lowest odds (OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.72-0.93; P = 0.003). Residence in states with Medicaid expansion (January 2014 onward) had greater palliative care utilization. Palliative care use was associated with higher education but underutilized with higher incomes. Increased access with Medicaid expansion suggests the importance of public insurance.

Early Stage Preclinical Formulation Strategies to Alter the Pharmacokinetic Profile of Two Small Molecule Therapeutics.

Early stage chemical development presents numerous challenges, and achieving a functional balance is a major hurdle, with many early compounds not meeting the clinical requirements for advancement benchmarks due to issues like poor oral bioavailability. There is a need to develop strategies for achieving the desired systemic concentration for these compounds. This will enable further evaluation of the biological response upon a compound-target interaction, providing deeper insight into the postulated biological pathways. Our study elucidates alternative drug delivery paradigms by comparing formulation strategies across oral (PO), intraperitoneal (IP), subcutaneous (SC), and intravenous (IV) routes. While each modality boasts its own set of merits and constraints, it is the drug's formulation that crucially influences its pharmacokinetic (PK) trajectory and the maintenance of its therapeutic levels. Our examination of model compounds G7883 and G6893 highlighted their distinct physio-chemical attributes. By harnessing varied formulation methods, we sought to fine-tune their PK profiles. PK studies showcased G7883's extended half-life using an SC oil formulation, resulting in a 4.5-fold and 2.5-fold enhancement compared with the IP and PO routes, respectively. In contrast, with G6893, we achieved a prolonged systemic coverage time above the desired target concentration through a different approach using an IV infusion pump. These outcomes underscore the need for tailored formulation strategies, which are dictated by the compound's innate properties, to reach the optimal in vivo systemic concentrations. Prioritizing formulation and delivery optimization early on is pivotal for effective systemic uptake, thereby facilitating a deeper understanding of biological pathways and expediting the overall clinical drug development timeline.

Urine cytology in the detection of renal cell carcinomas - a territory-wide multi-institutional retrospective review of more than 2 decades.

INTRODUCTION: Compared with urothelial lesions of the upper urinary tract, the diagnostic performance of urine cytology in detection of renal cell carcinomas is underreported. This study aims to establish the role of urine cytology in the assessment of renal carcinomas by a multi-institute review of urine cytology from nephrectomy confirmed renal cell carcinomas, referenced against renal urothelial and squamous cell carcinomas. METHODS: Records of nephrectomy performed from the 1990s to 2020s at three hospitals were retrieved and matched to urine cytology specimens collected within 1 year prior. Patient demographics, specimen descriptors, and histology and staging parameters were reviewed and compared against cytologic diagnoses. RESULTS: There were 1147 cases of urine cytology matched with renal cell carcinomas, with 666 renal urothelial/squamous carcinomas for comparison. The detection rate for urothelial/squamous (atypia or above [C3+]: 63.1%; suspicious or above [C4+]: 24.0%) were higher than renal cell carcinoma (C3+: 13.1%; C4+: 1.5%) (p < 0.001). The positive rate for upper tract urine exceeded other collection methods at 45.0% (C3+) and 10.0% (C4+) (p < .01). Other factors associated with increased positive rates were male sex, collecting duct carcinoma histology, nuclear grade, and renal/sinus involvement (p < .05). Multivariate analysis revealed additional positive correlations with presence of sarcomatoid tumor cells, lymphovascular invasion, and perinephric fat involvement (p < .05). Larger lesion size and higher urine volume did not improve detection rates (p < .05). CONCLUSIONS: The detection rate of renal cell carcinomas is suboptimal compared with urothelial carcinomas, although urine samples collected from cystoscopy or percutaneous nephrostomy significantly outperformed voided urine specimens.

Identification of GNE-293, a potent and selective PI3Kδ inhibitor: navigating in vitro genotoxicity while improving potency and selectivity.

In an effort to identify potent and isoform selective inhibitors of PI3Kδ, GNE-293 (34) was identified. Inhibitor 2 was found to induce micronuclei formation in both the MNT and HCA in vitro assays. Compounds testing negative for genotoxicity were successfully identified through modifications of the 2-benzimidazole substituent and the methylene moiety to disrupt planarity. A variety of heteroatom linkers were explored to examine their effect on potency and isoform selectivity by restricting torsional angles to favor ligand interactions with PI3Kδ's Trp760. These modifications also resulted in an improved in vivo pharmacokinetic profile.

Case report: An exceptional responder of low-dose continuous 5-FU in a patient with de-novo stage IV triple-negative breast cancer with liver and bone marrow failure.

Continuous low-dose 5-FU was popularized as a therapy for pretreated metastatic breast cancer for the past few decades, spurred by the advent of the electronic infusion pump. Capecitabine, otherwise known by its trade name Xeloda, is a prodrug of 5-fluorouracil (5-FU), which is administered orally in many chemotherapy regimens, and plays a role in metastatic breast cancer treatment refractory to traditional anthracyclines and taxane therapy. In this case presentation, we describe a unique case of refractory de-novo stage IV triple-negative breast cancer presented with right breast primary invasive ductal carcinoma, extensive lymphadenopathy, with biopsy proven bone marrow infiltration, diffuse hepatomegaly, splenomegaly, significant hyperbilirubinemia, and bone marrow failure treated with continuous 5-FU infusion and subsequently oral capecitabine after initial treatment failure with nab-paclitaxel and sacituzimab govitecan. With this case presentation, the authors aim to showcase the versatility of 5-FU and its prodrug in treatment of metastatic triple-negative breast cancer with severe bone marrow and liver involvement while highlighting key physiologic and pharmacologic mechanisms.

Factors Influencing COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy among Patients with Serious Chronic Illnesses during the Initial Australian Vaccine Rollout: A Multi-Centre Qualitative Analysis Using the Health Belief Model.

Background: People with chronic illnesses have increased morbidity and mortality associated with COVID-19 infection. The influence of a person's serious and/or comorbid chronic illness on COVID-19 vaccine uptake is not well understood. Aim: To undertake an in-depth exploration of factors influencing COVID-19 vaccine uptake among those with various serious and/or chronic diseases in the Australian context, using secondary data analysis of a survey study. Methods: Adults with cancer, diabetes and multiple sclerosis (MS) were recruited from 10 Australian health services to undertake a cross-sectional online survey (30 June to 5 October 2021) about COVID-19 vaccine uptake, vaccine hesitancy, confidence and complacency and disease-related decision-making impact. Free-text responses were invited regarding thoughts and feelings about the interaction between the participant's disease, COVID-19, and vaccination. Qualitative thematic analysis was undertaken using an iterative process and representative verbatim quotes were chosen to illustrate the themes. Results: Of 4683 survey responses (cancer 3560, diabetes 842, and MS 281), 1604 (34.3%) included free-text comments for qualitative analysis. Participants who provided these were significantly less likely to have received a COVID-19 vaccination than those who did not comment (72.4% and 86.2%, respectively). People with diabetes were significantly less likely to provide free-text comments than those with cancer or MS (29.0%, 35.1% and 39.9%, respectively). Four key themes were identified from qualitative analysis, which were similar across disease states: (1) having a chronic disease heightened perceived susceptibility to and perceived severity of COVID-19; (2) perceived impact of vaccination on chronic disease management and disease-related safety; (3) uncertain benefits of COVID-19 vaccine; and (4) overwhelming information overload disempowering patients. Conclusions: This qualitative analysis highlights an additional layer of complexity related to COVID-19 vaccination decision making in people with underlying health conditions. Appreciation of higher susceptibility to severe COVID-19 outcomes appears to be weighed against uncertain impacts of the vaccine on the progression and management of the comorbid disease. Interactions by clinicians addressing individual factors may alleviate concerns and maximise vaccine uptake in people with significant underlying health conditions.

Epidemiological waves - Types, drivers and modulators in the COVID-19 pandemic.

Introduction: A discussion of 'waves' of the COVID-19 epidemic in different countries is a part of the national conversation for many, but there is no hard and fast means of delineating these waves in the available data and their connection to waves in the sense of mathematical epidemiology is only tenuous. Methods: We present an algorithm which processes a general time series to identify substantial, significant and sustained periods of increase in the value of the time series, which could reasonably be described as 'observed waves'. This provides an objective means of describing observed waves in time series. We use this method to synthesize evidence across different countries to study types, drivers and modulators of waves. Results: The output of the algorithm as applied to epidemiological time series related to COVID-19 corresponds to visual intuition and expert opinion. Inspecting the results of individual countries shows how consecutive observed waves can differ greatly with respect to the case fatality ratio. Furthermore, in large countries, a more detailed analysis shows that consecutive observed waves have different geographical ranges. We also show how waves can be modulated by government interventions and find that early implementation of NPIs correlates with a reduced number of observed waves and reduced mortality burden in those waves. Conclusion: It is possible to identify observed waves of disease by algorithmic methods and the results can be fruitfully used to analyse the progression of the epidemic.