A new insight into fecal hemoglobin concentration-dependent predictor for colorectal neoplasia.

We sought to assess how much of the variation in incidence of colorectal neoplasia is explained by baseline fecal hemoglobin concentration (FHbC) and also to assess the additional predictive value of conventional risk factors. We enrolled subjects aged 40 years and over who attended screening for colorectal cancer with the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) in Keelung community-based integrated screening program. The accelerated failure time model was used to train the clinical weights of covariates in the prediction model. Datasets from two external communities were used for external validation. The area under curve (AUC) for the model containing only FHbC was 83.0% (95% CI: 81.5-84.4%), which was considerably greater than the one containing only conventional risk factors (65.8%, 95% CI: 64.2-67.4%). Adding conventional risk factors did not make significant additional contribution (p = 0.62, AUC = 83.5%, 95% CI: 82.1-84.9%) to the predictive model with FHbC only. Males showed a stronger linear dose-response relationship than females, yielding gender-specific FHbC predictive models. External validation confirms these results. The high predictive ability supported by a dose-dependent relationship between baseline FHbC and the risk of developing colorectal neoplasia suggests that FHbC may be useful for identifying cases requiring closer postdiagnosis clinical surveillance as well as being an early indicator of colorectal neoplasia risk in the general population. Our findings may also make contribution to the development of the FHbC-guided screening policy but its pros and cons in connection with cost and effectiveness of screening should be evaluated before it can be applied to population-based screening for colorectal cancer.

Neither diabetes mellitus nor overweight is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma in a dual HBV and HCV endemic area: community cross-sectional and case-control studies.

OBJECTIVES: Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections are well-known risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma, and diabetes mellitus (DM) and overweight have also been reported as risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We tried to elucidate the roles of DM and overweight in HCC development in a dual HBV and HCV endemic area of southern Taiwan. METHODS: In 2004, a community-based comprehensive screening program was conducted in Tainan County. Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), anti-HCV, alpha-fetoprotein, complete blood counts, triglyceride, cholesterol, and glucose levels were examined. DM was defined as fasting blood sugar >126 mg per 100 ml, and overweight was defined as a body mass index >24 kg m(-2). Subjects with thrombocytopenia (platelet count <150 x 10(9) l(-1)) and elevated alpha-fetoprotein (>20 ng ml(-1)) underwent ultrasonographic screening for HCC. A total of 56,307 adults (>40 years old) participated, and 72 new HCC cases were detected and confirmed. RESULTS: In comparisons of all 72 HCC cases with the other 144 individual age-, sex-, residency-, HBsAg-, and anti-HCV-matched controls, only thrombocytopenia and high alanine transaminase (ALT) levels were shown to be independent risk factors. Neither DM nor overweight was shown to be significant in any of the analyses. CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of the community-based cross-sectional and case-controlled studies, neither DM nor overweight was a risk factor for HCC in a dual HBV and HCV endemic area. However, male gender, age (> or =65 years), HBsAg, anti-HCV, thrombocytopenia, and high ALT levels were independent risk factors for HCC.

Costs of cervical cancer and precancerous lesions treatment in a publicly financed health care system.

PURPOSE: Although cervical cancer is the most frequent cancer for women in Taiwan, no examination of its treatment costs has yet been undertaken. This study aimed to investigate the costs of cervical cancer and precancerous lesion treatment in Taiwan. METHODS: A total of 7,398 cases of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) lesions were identified from the Taiwan Cervical Cancer Screening Registration System in 2003. A further 1,469 cases of invasive cervical cancer (ICC) were also identified from a survey on cervical cancer staging information conducted by the Taiwan Cancer Registration Task Force. Resource usage covering the first 6 months after CIN diagnosis and the 5 years after ICC diagnosis were extracted from the National Health Insurance claims database. The duration of each visit and the transportation costs were collected by means of personal interviews with CIN/ICC patients. The mean and standard deviation of the treatment and indirect costs were estimated. RESULTS: The average total costs for CIN patients were NT$4,201 for CIN1, NT$8,623 for CIN2 and NT$14,406 for CIN3, with the indirect costs accounting for 25-33% of the total. The total costs for ICC patients were NT$210,230 for Stage 1, NT$392,387 for Stage 2, NT$433,969 for Stage 3 and NT$464,701 for Stage 4, with the indirect costs accounting for about 14-17% of the total. CONCLUSIONS: CIN and ICC treatment resulted in considerable costs to the healthcare system in Taiwan. Indirect costs associated with such treatment were also substantial and cannot be ignored.

Community-based mass ultrasonographic screening of hepatocellular carcinoma among thrombocytopenic adults.

Thrombocytopenia has been reported as a valid surrogate for liver cirrhosis and could be used to identify groups at high risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for ultrasonographic (US) screening. We designed this two-stage community-based screening for HCC. In 2004, subjects (ages > or =40 years) were invited to undergo comprehensive health examinations, with 17,551 men (ages 63.0 +/- 11.5 years) and 39,151 women (ages 59.9 +/- 11.7 years) participating. Subjects with platelet counts <150 x 10(9)/L or alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >20 ng/mL were enrolled for the second-stage US screening; 3,242 subjects (5.7%; male/female, 1,415/1,827; age 66 +/- 10 years) were candidates for US screening and 2,983 (92.2%) responded. Of 137 suspected cases, 124 (90.5%) complied with referral for confirmation and 72 (58.1%) were confirmed to be HCC cases (male/female, 41/31; age 68.1 +/- 8.8 years). Screening with AFP, thrombocytopenia, or both could identify 0.64% (n = 364), 5.33% (n = 3,205), and 5.7% (n = 3,242) of the high-risk subjects from the population, estimated to include 50.5%, 54.5%, and 71.3% of all HCC cases. Among confirmed patients, tumor diameters were <3 cm for the 27 (37.5%) patients and 3 to 5 cm for the 23 (31.9%) patients. Only 5 (6.9%) patients' conditions were too advanced to be actively treated. This study enrolled only 5.7% of the participants for US, which cover 64.7% to 71.3% of the HCC cases. Most (93%) of the detected cases were caught early enough to undergo effective treatment modalities. This HCC screening protocol should be feasible, economical, and effective.

Population-based family case-control proband study on familial aggregation of metabolic syndrome: finding from Taiwanese people involved in Keelung community-based integrated screening (KCIS no. 5).

A population-based case-control proband study was undertaken to elucidate familial aggregation, independent environmental factors, and the interaction between them. A total of 7308 metabolic syndrome (MET-S) cases were identified from the Keelung community-based integrated screening programme between 1999 and 2002. The study has a case-control/family sampling design. A total of 1417 case probands were randomly selected from 3225 metabolic syndrome cases and the corresponding 2458 controls selected from 16,519 subjects without metabolic syndrome by matching on sex, age (+/-3 years) and place of residence. The generalized estimation equation model was used to estimate odds ratios and corresponding 95% confidence intervals. The risk for having metabolic syndrome among family members for cases versus control probands was 1.56-fold (1.29-1.89) after controlling for significant environmental factors. Higher risk of metabolic syndrome was found in parents than spouse. Low education against high education had 2.06-fold (1.36-3.13) risk for metabolic syndrome. Betel quid chewing was positively associated with the risk of MET-S, with 1.99-fold (1.13-3.53) risk for 1-9 pieces and 1.76-fold (0.96-3.23) risk for >or=10 pieces compared with non-chewer. Moderate and high intensity of non-occupational exercise led to 21.0% (OR=0.79 (0.63-0.98)) and 26.0% (OR=0.74 (0.59-0.94)) reduction in the risk for metabolic syndrome, respectively. The frequent consumption of vegetable reduced 24.0% (OR=0.76 (0.62-0.92)) risk for MET-S. The frequent consumption of coffee was associated the increased risk for metabolic syndrome (OR=1.32 (1.07-1.64)). The present study confirmed the risk of metabolic syndrome not only has the tendency towards familial aggregation but is affected by independent effect of environmental or individual correlates.

Identifying hepatitis C virus: endemic areas and estimating the viral antibody prevalence based on the prevalence of ALT elevation.

To evaluate the validity of predicting the prevalence of antibodies to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) based on the prevalence of alanine transaminase (ALT) elevation (>40IU/l), we conducted a community-based study. In total, 56698 individuals underwent health examinations in 2004. Another 43738 subjects in 2005 were the validation set. It should be valid to predict the prevalence of anti-HCV in villages (>25 participants) by the prevalence of ALT elevation. The equation was anti-HCV (%)=(% of ALT elevation - 6%)/65% (n=487 villages, R(2)=0.58). Villages with prevalence of ALT elevation >13% had a high probability of being HCV-endemic (anti-HCV >10%). The sensitivity and specificity were 73.6 and 74.6%, respectively. By the validation set, the positive and negative predictive values were 52.0% and 79.4%, respectively. Clinical and epidemiological deductions of the equation were that baseline of ALT elevation was 6% and two-thirds of anti-HCV-positive subjects had elevated ALT.

Excess mortality of hepatocellular carcinoma and morbidity of liver cirrhosis and hepatitis in HCV-endemic areas in an HBV-endemic country: geographic variations among 502 villages in southern Taiwan.

AIMS: The aim of this study was to investigate excess mortality for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and prevalence of hepatitis and liver cirrhosis (LC) in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-endemic areas in Taiwan, which is a hepatitis B virus (HBV)-endemic country. METHODS: Tainan County, located in southern Taiwan, consists of 533 villages in 31 townships. A total of 56 702 subjects >or= 40 years old (mean age, 60.9 +/- 11.8 years) were enrolled from 502 of the 533 villages between April and November 2004 (n >or= 20/village). Serum blood HBV surface antigen (HBsAg), antibody to HCV (anti-HCV) and alanine transaminase (ALT) levels and platelet counts were measured. Township-specific mortality for liver cancer (ICD = 155) for both sexes between 1992 and 2001 were obtained from official publications. RESULTS: The prevalence of anti-HCV in Tainan County was 10.2% (township range, 2.6-30.9%; village range, 0-90.5%). The prevalence of HBsAg was 10.9% (township range, 5.5-17.2%; village range, 0-30.8%). The prevalence of hypertransaminemia (serum ALT > 40 IU/L) was 12.8%. At township levels, prevalence of anti-HCV (r2 = 0.92, P < 0.001), HBsAg and anti-HCV (multiple r2 = 0.94) were correlated with hypertransaminemia prevalence by single and multiple linear analysis, respectively. At village levels, prevalence of anti-HCV (r2 = 0.52, P < 0.001), HBsAg and anti-HCV (multiple r2 = 0.53) were each correlated with prevalence of hypertransaminemia, respectively. The prevalence of thrombocytopenia (<150,000 platelets/microL) was 5.5%, and adopted as a surrogate prevalence for LC. At township levels, prevalence of anti-HCV (r2 = 0.58) was the only factor correlated by multivariate analysis with prevalence of thrombocytopenia. At village levels, prevalence of anti-HCV and female-to-male ratio (multiple r2 = 0.43) were each independently associated with prevalence of thrombocytopenia. At township levels, HBsAg prevalence (r2 = 0.42) was more correlated with HCC mortality than anti-HCV prevalence (r2 = 0.28) for male subjects, while anti-HCV prevalence (r2 = 0.45) was more correlated with HCC mortality than HBsAg prevalence (r2 = 0.14) for female subjects. Prevalence of HBV and HCV infection were associated by multivariate analysis with both male (multiple r2 = 0.62) and female (multiple r2 = 0.53) HCC mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of anti-HCV showed significant correlations with prevalence of hypertransaminemia, thrombocytopenia and liver cancer mortality. The findings indicate excessive mortality due to HCC, and LC and hepatitis prevalence in HCV-endemic areas in Taiwan, an HBV-endemic country.