Differential responses of cerebral and renal oxygenation to altered perfusion conditions during experimental cardiopulmonary bypass in sheep.

We tested whether the brain and kidney respond differently to cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) and to changes in perfusion conditions during CPB. Therefore, in ovine CPB, we assessed regional cerebral oxygen saturation (rSO2 ) by near-infrared spectroscopy and renal cortical and medullary tissue oxygen tension (PO2 ), and, in some protocols, brain tissue PO2 , by phosphorescence lifetime oximetry. During CPB, rSO2 correlated with mixed venous SO2 (r = 0.78) and brain tissue PO2 (r = 0.49) when arterial PO2 was varied. During the first 30 min of CPB, brain tissue PO2 , rSO2 and renal cortical tissue PO2 did not fall, but renal medullary tissue PO2 did. Nevertheless, compared with stable anaesthesia, during stable CPB, rSO2 (66.8 decreasing to 61.3%) and both renal cortical (90.8 decreasing to 43.5 mm Hg) and medullary (44.3 decreasing to 19.2 mm Hg) tissue PO2 were lower. Both rSO2 and renal PO2 increased when pump flow was increased from 60 to 100 mL kg-1 min-1 at a target arterial pressure of 70 mm Hg. They also both increased when pump flow and arterial pressure were increased simultaneously. Neither was significantly altered by partially pulsatile flow. The vasopressor, metaraminol, dose-dependently decreased rSO2 , but increased renal cortical and medullary PO2 . Increasing blood haemoglobin concentration increased rSO2 , but not renal PO2 . We conclude that both the brain and kidney are susceptible to hypoxia during CPB, which can be alleviated by increasing pump flow, even without increasing arterial pressure. However, increasing blood haemoglobin concentration increases brain, but not kidney oxygenation, whereas vasopressor support with metaraminol increases kidney, but not brain oxygenation.

Prolonged Non-Steroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drug Exposure After Pleurodesis Increases Pneumothorax Recurrence: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: The use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAID) in patients undergoing pleurodesis remains controversial. Although many surgeons are comfortable prescribing NSAIDs post-operatively, some oppose this practice due to concerns of suppressing the inflammatory response and quality of pleurodesis. Only a small body of inconsistent publications exists with respect to guiding therapy in this common clinical scenario. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was undertaken assessing effect of NSAID exposure on pleurodesis outcomes. An institutional thoracic surgery database was reviewed yielding 147 patients who underwent pleurodesis for pneumothorax between 2010 and 2018. Medical records and imaging were reviewed for patient characteristics, NSAID exposure, recurrent pneumothorax and other adverse events. RESULTS: There was no overall difference between rates of recurrence and procedural failure of pleurodesis (Relative Risk [RR] 1.67 [95% CI 0.74-3.77]). However, NSAID exposure of >48 hours was associated with increased risk of recurrent pneumothorax (RR 2.16 [95% CI 1.05-4.45]). There was no increased rate of other adverse events related to NSAID usage. CONCLUSIONS: NSAID exposure does not increase failure rates or other adverse events following pleurodesis for pneumothorax. However, prolonged NSAID exposure post-pleurodesis may increase procedural failure rates. Further large volume randomised control trials are required.

Associations Between Systemic and Cerebral Inflammation in an Ovine Model of Cardiopulmonary Bypass.

BACKGROUND: Intraoperative inflammation may contribute to postoperative neurocognitive disorders after cardiac surgery requiring cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). However, the relative contributions of general anesthesia (GA), surgical site injury, and CPB are unclear. METHODS: In adult female sheep, we investigated (1) the temporal profile of proinflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines and (2) the extent of microglia activation across major cerebral cortical regions during GA and surgical trauma with and without CPB (N = 5/group). Sheep were studied while conscious, during GA and surgical trauma, with and without CPB. RESULTS: Plasma tumor necrosis factor-alpha (mean [95% confidence intervals], 3.7 [2.5-4.9] vs 1.6 [0.8-2.3] ng/mL; P = .0004) and interleukin-6 levels (4.4 [3.0-5.8] vs 1.6 [0.8-2.3] ng/mL; P = .029) were significantly higher at 1.5 hours, with a further increase in interleukin-6 at 3 hours (7.0 [3.7-10.3] vs 1.8 [1.1-2.6] ng/mL; P < .0001) in animals undergoing CPB compared with those that did not. Although cerebral oxygen saturation was preserved throughout CPB, there was pronounced neuroinflammation as characterized by greater microglia circularity within the frontal cortex of sheep that underwent CPB compared with those that did not (0.34 [0.32-0.37] vs 0.30 [0.29-0.32]; P = .029). Moreover, microglia had fewer branches within the parietal (7.7 [6.5-8.9] vs 10.9 [9.4-12.5]; P = .001) and temporal (7.8 [7.2-8.3] vs 9.9 [8.2-11.7]; P = .020) cortices in sheep that underwent CPB compared with those that did not. CONCLUSIONS: CPB enhanced the release of proinflammatory cytokines beyond that initiated by GA and surgical trauma. This systemic inflammation was associated with microglial activation across 3 major cerebral cortical regions, with a phagocytic microglia phenotype within the frontal cortex, and an inflammatory microglia phenotype within the parietal and temporal cortices. These data provide direct histopathological evidence of CPB-induced neuroinflammation in a large animal model and provide further mechanistic data on how CPB-induced cerebral inflammation might drive postoperative neurocognitive disorders in humans.

Intraoperative hemodynamics and risk of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury: An observation study and a feasibility clinical trial.

Targeting greater pump flow and mean arterial pressure (MAP) during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) could potentially alleviate renal hypoxia and reduce the risk of postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI). Therefore, in an observational study of 93 patients undergoing on-pump cardiac surgery, we tested whether intraoperative hemodynamic management differed between patients who did and did not develop AKI. Then, in 20 patients, we assessed the feasibility of a larger-scale trial in which patients would be randomized to greater than normal target pump flow and MAP, or usual care, during CPB. In the observational cohort, MAP during hypothermic CPB averaged 68.8 ± 8.0 mmHg (mean ± SD) in the 36 patients who developed AKI and 68.9 ± 6.3 mmHg in the 57 patients who did not (p = 0.98). Pump flow averaged 2.4 ± 0.2 L/min/m2 in both groups. In the feasibility clinical trial, compared with usual care, those randomized to increased target pump flow and MAP had greater mean pump flow (2.70 ± 0.23 vs. 2.42 ± 0.09 L/min/m2 during the period before rewarming) and systemic oxygen delivery (363 ± 60 vs. 281 ± 45 mL/min/m2 ). Target MAP ≥80 mmHg was achieved in 66.6% of patients in the intervention group but in only 27.3% of patients in the usual care group. Nevertheless, MAP during CPB did not differ significantly between the two groups. We conclude that little insight was gained from our observational study regarding the impact of variations in pump flow and MAP on the risk of AKI. However, a clinical trial to assess the effects of greater target pump flow and MAP on the risk of AKI appears feasible.

Association Between Changes in Norepinephrine Infusion Rate and Urinary Oxygen Tension After Cardiac Surgery.

OBJECTIVES: To determine if the administration of norepinephrine to patients recovering from on-pump cardiac surgery is associated with changes in urinary oxygen tension (PO2), an indirect index of renal medullary oxygenation. DESIGN: Single center, prospective observational study. SETTING: Surgical intensive care unit (ICU). PARTICIPANTS: A nonconsecutive sample of 93 patients recovering from on-pump cardiac surgery. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: In the ICU, norepinephrine was the most commonly used vasopressor agent (90% of patients, 84/93), with fewer patients receiving epinephrine (48%, 45/93) or vasopressin (4%, 4/93). During the 30-to-60-minute period after increasing the infused dose of norepinephrine (n = 89 instances), urinary PO2 decreased by (least squares mean ± SEM) 1.8 ± 0.5 mmHg from its baseline level of 25.1 ± 1.1 mmHg. Conversely, during the 30-to-60-minute period after the dose of norepinephrine was decreased (n = 134 instances), urinary PO2 increased by 2.6 ± 0.5 mmHg from its baseline level of 22.7 ± 1.2 mmHg. No significant change in urinary PO2 was detected when the dose of epinephrine was decreased (n = 21). There were insufficient observations to assess the effects of increasing the dose of epinephrine (n = 11) or of changing the dose of vasopressin (n <4). CONCLUSIONS: In patients recovering from on-pump cardiac surgery, changes in norepinephrine dose are associated with reciprocal changes in urinary PO2, potentially reflecting an effect of norepinephrine on renal medullary oxygenation.

Adverse events in the digital age and where to find them.

Exponential growth of health-related data collected by digital tools is a reality within pharmaceutical and medical device research and development. Data generated through digital tools may be categorized as relevant to efficacy and/or safety. The enormity of these data requires the adoption of new approaches for processing and evaluation. Recognition of patterns within the safety data is vital for sponsors seeking regulatory approval for their new products. Nontraditional data sources may contain relevant safety information; early evaluation of these data will help to determine the product safety profile. Advanced technologies have allowed the development of digital tools to screen these data, which in some situations are classified as software as a medical devices and subject to clinical evaluation and post-marketing surveillance. Artificial intelligence may help to reduce or even eliminate noise from within these data, allowing safety experts to focus on the most pertinent evidence. We propose a data typology and provide considerations on how to define adverse events within different types of data, even where no human reporter exists. Proposals are made for the automation of screening processes. We consider validation aspects to support solutions that are proven to produce reliable results, and to deliver trusted outputs to stakeholders.

Intra-operative and early post-operative prediction of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury: Urinary oxygen tension compared with plasma and urinary biomarkers.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious post-operative complication of cardiac surgery. The value of a predictive biomarker is determined not only by its predictive efficacy, but also by how early this prediction can be made. For a biomarker of cardiac surgery-associated AKI, this is ideally during the intra-operative period. Therefore, in 82 adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery requiring cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), we prospectively compared the predictive efficacy of various blood and urinary biomarkers with that of continuous measurement of urinary oxygen tension (UPO2 ) at pre-determined intra- and post-operative time-points. None of the blood or urine biomarkers we studied showed predictive efficacy for post-operative AKI when measured intra-operatively. When treated as a binary variable (≤ or > median for the whole cohort), the earliest excess risk of AKI was predicted by an increase in urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) at 3 h after entry into the intensive care unit (odds ratio [95% confidence limits], 2.86 [1.14-7.21], p = 0.03). Corresponding time-points were 6 h for serum creatinine (3.59 [1.40-9.20], p = 0.008), and 24 h for plasma NGAL (4.54 [1.73-11.90], p = 0.002) and serum cystatin C (6.38 [2.35-17.27], p = 0.001). In contrast, indices of intra-operative urinary hypoxia predicted AKI after weaning from CPB, and in the case of a fall in UPO2 to ≤10 mmHg, during the rewarming phase of CPB (3.00 [1.19-7.56], p = 0.02). We conclude that continuous measurement of UPO2 predicts AKI earlier than plasma or urinary NGAL, serum cystatin C, or early post-operative changes in serum creatinine.

Dynamic responses of renal oxygenation at the onset of cardiopulmonary bypass in sheep and man.

INTRODUCTION: The renal medulla is susceptible to hypoxia during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), which may contribute to the development of acute kidney injury. But the speed of onset of renal medullary hypoxia remains unknown. METHODS: We continuously measured renal medullary oxygen tension (MPO2) in 24 sheep, and urinary PO2 (UPO2) as an index of MPO2 in 92 patients, before and after induction of CPB. RESULTS: In laterally recumbent sheep with a right thoracotomy (n = 20), even before CPB commenced MPO2 fell from (mean ± SEM) 52 ± 4 to 41 ±5 mmHg simultaneously with reduced arterial pressure (from 108 ± 5 to 88 ± 5 mmHg). In dorsally recumbent sheep with a medial sternotomy (n = 4), MPO2 was even more severely reduced (to 12 ± 12 mmHg) before CPB. In laterally recumbent sheep in which a crystalloid prime was used (n = 7), after commencing CPB, MPO2 fell abruptly to 24 ±6 mmHg within 20-30 minutes. MPO2 during CPB was not improved by adding donor blood to the prime (n = 13). In patients undergoing cardiac surgery, UPO2 fell by 4 ± 1 mmHg and mean arterial pressure fell by 7 ± 1 mmHg during the 30 minutes before CPB. UPO2 then fell by a further 12 ± 2 mmHg during the first 30 minutes of CPB but remained relatively stable for the remaining 24 minutes of observation. CONCLUSIONS: Renal medullary hypoxia is an early event during CPB. It starts to develop even before CPB, presumably due to a pressure-dependent decrease in renal blood flow. Medullary hypoxia during CPB appears to be promoted by hypotension and is not ameliorated by increasing blood hemoglobin concentration.

Intraoperative renal hypoxia and risk of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common after cardiac surgery requiring cardiopulmonary bypass. Renal hypoxia may precede clinically detectable AKI. We compared the efficacy of two indices of renal hypoxia, (i) intraoperative urinary oxygen tension (UPO2 ) and (ii) the change in plasma erythropoietin (pEPO) during surgery, in predicting AKI. We also investigated whether the performance of these prognostic markers varies with preoperative patient characteristics. METHODS: In 82 patients undergoing on-pump cardiac surgery, blood samples were taken upon induction of anesthesia and upon entry into the intensive care unit. UPO2 was continuously measured throughout surgery. RESULTS: Thirty-two (39%) patients developed postoperative AKI. pEPO increased during surgery, but this increase did not predict AKI, regardless of risk of postoperative mortality assessed by EuroSCORE-II. For patients categorized at higher risk by EuroSCORE-II >1.98 (median score for the cohort), UPO2 ≤10 mmHg at any time during surgery predicted a 4.04-fold excess risk of AKI (p = .04). However, UPO2 did not significantly predict AKI in lower-risk patients. UPO2 significantly predicted AKI in patients who were older, had previous myocardial infarction, diabetes, lower preoperative serum creatinine, or shorter bypass times. pEPO and UPO2 were only weakly correlated. CONCLUSIONS: Intraoperative change in pEPO does not predict AKI. However, UPO2 shows promise, particularly in patients with higher risk of operative mortality. The disparity between these two markers of renal hypoxia may indicate that UPO2 reflects medullary oxygenation whereas pEPO reflects cortical oxygenation.

Renal functional reserve: from physiological phenomenon to clinical biomarker and beyond.

Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is acutely increased following a high-protein meal or systemic infusion of amino acids. The mechanisms underlying this renal functional response remain to be fully elucidated. Nevertheless, they appear to culminate in preglomerular vasodilation. Inhibition of the tubuloglomerular feedback signal appears critical. However, nitric oxide, vasodilator prostaglandins, and glucagon also appear important. The increase in GFR during amino acid infusion reveals a "renal reserve," which can be utilized when the physiological demand for single nephron GFR increases. This has led to the concept that in subclinical renal disease, before basal GFR begins to reduce, renal functional reserve can be recruited in a manner that preserves renal function. The extension of this concept is that once a decline in basal GFR can be detected, renal disease is already well progressed. This concept likely applies both in the contexts of chronic kidney disease and acute kidney injury. Critically, its corollary is that deficits in renal functional reserve have the potential to provide early detection of renal dysfunction before basal GFR is reduced. There is growing evidence that the renal response to infusion of amino acids can be used to identify patients at risk of developing either chronic kidney disease or acute kidney injury and as a treatment target for acute kidney injury. However, large multicenter clinical trials are required to test these propositions. A renewed effort to understand the renal physiology underlying the response to amino acid infusion is also warranted.

Renal hemodynamics and oxygenation during experimental cardiopulmonary bypass in sheep under total intravenous anesthesia.

Renal medullary hypoxia may contribute to the pathophysiology of acute kidney injury, including that associated with cardiac surgery requiring cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). When performed under volatile (isoflurane) anesthesia in sheep, CPB causes renal medullary hypoxia. There is evidence that total intravenous anesthesia (TIVA) may preserve renal perfusion and renal oxygen delivery better than volatile anesthesia. Therefore, we assessed the effects of CPB on renal perfusion and oxygenation in sheep under propofol/fentanyl-based TIVA. Sheep (n = 5) were chronically instrumented for measurement of whole renal blood flow and cortical and medullary perfusion and oxygenation. Five days later, these variables were monitored under TIVA using propofol and fentanyl and then on CPB at a pump flow of 80 mL·kg-1·min-1 and target mean arterial pressure of 70 mmHg. Under anesthesia, before CPB, renal blood flow was preserved under TIVA (mean difference ± SD from conscious state: -16 ± 14%). However, during CPB renal blood flow was reduced (-55 ± 13%) and renal medullary tissue became hypoxic (-20 ± 13 mmHg versus conscious sheep). We conclude that renal perfusion and medullary oxygenation are well preserved during TIVA before CPB. However, CPB under TIVA leads to renal medullary hypoxia, of a similar magnitude to that we observed previously under volatile (isoflurane) anesthesia. Thus use of propofol/fentanyl-based TIVA may not be a useful strategy to avoid renal medullary hypoxia during CPB.

Adult and Paediatric Cardiac Intervention in Timor-Leste: Disease Burden, Demographics and Clinical Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: The East Timor Hearts Fund (ETHF) is a charitable organisation of Australian cardiologists providing outreach screening in Timor-Leste. For patients requiring intervention, ETHF arranges logistics, procedures, and postoperative care. The aim of this project is to evaluate outcomes of patients requiring intervention. METHODS: The ETHF database of all patients was utilised to identify patients with disease warranting surgical or percutaneous intervention. Both patients who underwent intervention and those who did not proceed to intervention were included in this study. Patients who had intervention arranged by other organisations but have then had follow-up with ETHF were also included. Overall demographics and pre and postoperative factors were assessed, with sub-group analysis of adult and paediatric patients to identify any differences in care. RESULTS: Of 221 patients requiring intervention, 101 patients underwent intervention, receiving 22 different operations or procedures. Patients were predominantly young (median age 17.5 years) and female (64.7%), with rheumatic heart disease (63.8%). Twenty-four (24) (33.3%) women aged 15-45 years old with cardiac disease warranting intervention were documented as pregnant or breastfeeding at time of clinic assessment. Of patients who did not proceed to intervention, adults were more likely to be lost to follow-up (42.4% vs 18.5%) while paediatric patients were more likely to experience progression of disease (18.5% vs 7.5%, p=0.005). Median waitlist time was 5 months, with no significant difference between adults and children, correlating with a preoperative mortality rate of 5.4%. For patients who underwent intervention, post-procedure mortality was extremely low (0.9%) and attendance of at least one post-procedure review was excellent (99.0%). Eleven (11) (10.9%) patients have required repeat intervention, with no difference in rates between adult and paediatric patients. Length of follow-up extends up to 20 years for some patients. CONCLUSION: The Timor-Leste interventional cohort was predominantly a young female population with rheumatic and congenital cardiac disease. There were also high rates of pregnancy amongst female patients with severe cardiac disease. Delayed access to intervention may result in preoperative adverse events and mortality, and is a key target for improvement. Patients who undergo intervention have very low post-procedural mortality, good adherence to early medical follow-up and good long-term outcomes.

Strategies that improve renal medullary oxygenation during experimental cardiopulmonary bypass may mitigate postoperative acute kidney injury.

Renal medullary hypoxia may contribute to cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (AKI). However, the effects of cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) on medullary oxygenation are poorly understood. Here we tested whether CPB causes medullary hypoxia and whether medullary oxygenation during CPB can be improved by increasing pump flow or mean arterial pressure (MAP). Twelve sheep were instrumented to measure whole kidney, medullary, and cortical blood flow and oxygenation. Five days later, under isoflurane anesthesia, CPB was initiated at a pump flow of 80 mL kg-1min-1 and target MAP of 70 mm Hg. Pump flow was then set at 60 and 100 mL kg-1min-1, while MAP was maintained at approximately 70 mm Hg. MAP was then increased by vasopressor (metaraminol, 0.2-0.6 mg/min) infusion at a pump flow of 80 mL kg-1min-1. CPB at 80 mL kg-1min-1 reduced renal blood flow (RBF), -61% less than the conscious state, perfusion in the cortex (-44%) and medulla (-40%), and medullary Po2 from 43 to 27 mm Hg. Decreasing pump flow from 80 to 60 mL kg-1min-1 further decreased RBF (-16%) and medullary Po2 from 25 to 14 mm Hg. Increasing pump flow from 80 to 100 mL kg-1min-1 increased RBF (17%) and medullary Po2 from 20 to 29 mm Hg. Metaraminol (0.2 mg/min) increased MAP from 63 to 90 mm Hg, RBF (47%), and medullary Po2 from 19 to 39 mm Hg. Thus, the renal medulla is susceptible to hypoxia during CPB, but medullary oxygenation can be improved by increasing pump flow or increasing target MAP by infusion of metaraminol.

Urinary hypoxia: an intraoperative marker of risk of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury.

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common after cardiac surgery and profoundly affects postoperative mortality and morbidity. There are no validated methods to assess risk of AKI intraoperatively. Methods: We determined the association between postoperative AKI and intraoperative urinary oxygen tension (PO2), measured via a fiber optic probe in the tip of the urinary catheter, in 65 patients undergoing high-risk cardiac surgery requiring cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). AKI was diagnosed by modified Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria. Results: Urinary PO2 fell during the operation, often reaching its nadir during rewarming or after weaning from CPB. Nadir urinary PO2 was lower in the 26 patients who developed AKI (mean ± SD, 8.9 ± 5.6 mmHg) than in the 39 patients who did not (14.9 ± 10.2 mmHg, P = 0.008). Patients who developed AKI had longer periods of urinary PO2 ≤15 and 10 mmHg than patients who did not. Odds of AKI increased when urinary PO2 fell to ≤10 mmHg {3.60 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.27-10.21]} or ≤5 mmHg [3.60 (95% CI 1.04-12.42), P = 0.04] during the operation. When urinary PO2 fell to ≤15 mmHg, for more than or equal to the median duration for all patients (4.8 min/h surgery), the odds of AKI were 4.85 (95% CI 1.64-14.40), P = 0.004. The area under the receiver-operator curve for this parameter alone was 0.69, and was 0.89 when other variables with P ≤ 0.10 in univariable analysis were included in the model. Conclusion: Low urinary PO2 during adult cardiac surgery requiring CPB predicts AKI, so may identify patients in which intervention to improve renal oxygenation might reduce the risk of AKI.

Rheumatic heart disease in Timor-Leste school students: an echocardiography-based prevalence study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence of rheumatic heart disease (RHD) in school-aged children and young people in Timor-Leste. DESIGN: Prospective cross-sectional survey. Echocardiography was performed by Australian cardiologists to determine the presence of RHD. Demographic data were also collected. Patients in whom RHD was detected were entered into a register to allow monitoring of adherence to secondary prophylaxis; the first dose of benzathine penicillin G (BPG) was administered on the day of screening. SETTING: Schools in urban (Dili) and rural (Ermera) Timor-Leste. PARTICIPANTS: School students aged 5-20 years. OUTCOME MEASURES: Definite and borderline RHD, as defined by World Heart Federation echocardiographic criteria. RESULTS: 1365 participants were screened; their median age was 11 years (IQR, 9-14 years), and 53% were girls. The estimated prevalence of definite RHD was 18.3 cases per 1000 population (95% CI, 12.3-27.0 per 1000), and of definite or borderline RHD 35.2 per 1000 (95% CI, 26.5-46.4 per 1000). Definite (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 3.5; 95% CI, 1.3-9.4) and definite or borderline RHD (aOR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.4-5.2) were more prevalent among girls than boys. Eleven children (0.8%) had congenital heart disease. Of the 25 children in whom definite RHD was identified, 21 (84%) received education and a first dose of BPG on the day of screening; all 25 have since received education about primary care for RHD and have commenced penicillin prophylaxis. CONCLUSIONS: The rates of RHD in Timor-Leste are among the highest in the world, and prevalence is higher among girls than boys. Community engagement is essential for ensuring follow-up and the effective delivery of secondary prophylaxis.

Missing Value Imputation Improves Mortality Risk Prediction Following Cardiac Surgery: An Investigation of an Australian Patient Cohort.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of missing values on the prediction performance of the model predicting 30-day mortality following cardiac surgery as an example. METHODS: Information from 83,309 eligible patients, who underwent cardiac surgery, recorded in the Australia and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons (ANZSCTS) database registry between 2001 and 2014, was used. An existing 30-day mortality risk prediction model developed from ANZSCTS database was re-estimated using the complete cases (CC) analysis and using multiple imputation (MI) analysis. Agreement between the risks generated by the CC and MI analysis approaches was assessed by the Bland-Altman method. Performances of the two models were compared. RESULTS: One or more missing predictor variables were present in 15.8% of the patients in the dataset. The Bland-Altman plot demonstrated significant disagreement between the risk scores (p<0.0001) generated by MI and CC analysis approaches and showed a trend of increasing disagreement for patients with higher risk of mortality. Compared to CC analysis, MI analysis resulted in an average of 8.5% decrease in standard error, a measure of uncertainty. The MI model provided better prediction of mortality risk (observed: 2.69%; MI: 2.63% versus CC: 2.37%, P<0.001). CONCLUSION: 'Multiple imputation' of missing values improved the 30-day mortality risk prediction following cardiac surgery.

Social Media Use among United Kingdom Vascular Surgeons: A Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Engagement with social media (SM) is increasing within the general population and medical professionals. Overall, SM engagement is divided between closed, private networks and open, public platforms, such as LinkedIn and Twitter. As engagement with SM is known to vary between specialties, this study was undertaken to evaluate the uptake of SM among vascular surgeons and to describe user demographics associated with SM engagement. METHODS: Vascular surgeons were identified from the 2013 Vascular Society of Great Britain and Ireland Quality Improvement Project and cross-referenced with the General Medical Council registry. Identified individual surgeons were manually searched for on common SM platforms and via Google to identify both SM profiles and personal/partnership practice websites. RESULTS: In total, 472 surgeons (442 men, 93.6%) from 112 National Health Service Trusts were identified. Three hundred forty (63.7%) graduated from UK universities with a mean graduating year of 1987 (range 1969-2000). Cumulatively, they performed 36,300 procedures (mean 72/surgeon; range 3-257). Overall, SM engagement was 47.4%; 217 (46.0%) had LinkedIn accounts and 23 (4.8%) had Twitter profiles. LinkedIn users had a mean of 69 connections (range 0-500+) and had a mean graduating year of 1988 (range 1969-2000). Twitter users had a mean of 258 followers (range 2-2424) and had tweeted a mean of 450 times (range 0-2865); they graduated more recently than their non-Twitter engaged colleagues (mean graduation 1991 vs. 1987, P = 0.006). Overall, SM usage was associated with a more recent graduation (P = 0.038) and with working in the private sector (21.4% vs. 13.7%, P = 0.029). There were demographic differences between those who had LinkedIn and Twitter accounts. CONCLUSIONS: Twitter and LinkedIn engagement among vascular surgeons is higher than that of other surgical specialties. There is a significant link between the experience of the surgeon and with SM use.

When is 'Urgent' Really Urgent and Does it Matter? Misclassification of Procedural Status and Implications for Risk Assessment in Cardiac Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Many patients classified as "urgent" in Australia New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons (ANZSCTS) registry contradict the prescribed definition (surgery within 72hours of angiogram or unplanned admission). The aim was to examine the impacts of this misclassification on the prediction of 30-day mortality following cardiac surgery. METHODS: The 'reported clinical status' was compared with a 'corrected clinical status' following reclassification based on the standard definition calculated from raw data. Observed-to-predicted risk ratios (OPRs) of 30-day mortality were calculated for the model using reported status and corrected status and compared. A Bland-Altman plot was generated to examine the level of agreement between the two OPRs. RESULTS: Of 18496 cases reported as urgent, 49.9% were operated after 72hours, leading to misclassification of 14.6% in the registry. Misclassified patients had significantly higher mortality (3.5%) than true urgent patients (2.9%). Underweight (OR:1.6,CI:1.2-2.1), dialysis (OR:1.4,CI:1.1-1.7), endocarditis (OR:2.1,CI:1.7-2.5), shock (OR:1.6,CI:1.3-2.0) and poor ejection fraction (OR:1.2,CI:1.1-1.4) were significant predictors of misclassification. Bland- Altman plot demonstrates significant disagreement between two risk estimates (P<0.001). Misclassification results in overestimation of risk by 9.1%. Observed-to-predicted risk increased with corrected definition (0.8975 vs 0.9875), suggesting poorer calibration with reported status. CONCLUSIONS: In the ANZSCTS database, misclassification prevalence is 14.6%. Misclassification compromises the discrimination capacity and calibration of the model and results in overestimation of mortality risk.

Characterising the Role of Perioperative Erythropoietin for Preventing Acute Kidney Injury after Cardiac Surgery: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The role of perioperative erythropoietin (EPO) for preventing cardiac surgery associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI) remains uncertain with published trials producing conflicting results. Perspective into the factors at work is needed, due to ongoing uncertainty. METHODS: We undertook the systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised-controlled trials (RCTs) using random-effects modelling. The primary outcome was safety and efficacy of perioperative EPO to prevent CSA-AKI and the secondary outcomes were change in serum creatinine, urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, time in ICU, rates of postoperative transfusions, haemodialysis, and mortality. Subgroup analysis explored the effect of the timing of the EPO dose in relation to surgery, the dose response, and the impact of the preoperative risk for CSA-AKI for the patient group. RESULTS: Six RCTs were included, which totalled 473 participants. Erythropoietin administration did not reduce the incidence of CSA-AKI compared with controls (OR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.35 to 1.36, P=0.28; I2=64%, P=0.001), however, subgroup analysis suggested administrating EPO before anaesthesia was correlated with a reduction in CSA-AKI (OR: 0.27, 95% CI: 0.13 to 0.54, P=0.0002; I2=0%, P=0.98). Additionally, in low risk populations, perioperative EPO administration correlated with significant reduction in CSA-AKI when compared to controls (OR: 0.25, 95% CI: 0.11 to 0.56, P=0.0008; I2=0%, P=0.86). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that administering EPO before anaesthesia is emerging as an important factor for efficacy. Erythropoietin may have a role in preventing CSA-AKI, however, additional high-quality prospective studies are warranted, particularly aimed at describing the methodological components, such as the timing and size of the dose, which potentiate the cytoprotective effect of EPO in the clinical setting.