RESUMO
INTRODUCTION: The Brigham and Women's Hospital and the Tübingen cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) stratification systems propose different criteria from the American Joint Committee on Cancer, eighth edition. Our group identified prognostic subgroups within T3 stage according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition's classification, the most common classification for high-risk cutaneous SCCs. OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance and prognostic accuracy of these staging systems in a subset of high-risk cutaneous SCCs. METHODS: Homogeneity, monotonicity, and McNemar tests for pairwise comparisons were assessed. Distinctiveness and relative risk of poor outcome were calculated by stage. Prognostic accuracy was compared with respect to quality (Akaike and Bayesian information criteria), concordance (Harrell C-index and Gönen and Heller concordance probability estimate), and predictive accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value, positive predictive value, and global accuracy). RESULTS: The Brigham and Women's Hospital and Salamanca systems were more distinctive, homogeneous, and monotonic than the Tübingen system. The Tübingen system was the most specific, whereas the Salamanca and Brigham and Women's Hospital systems were more sensitive. Negative predictive value was high in all 3 systems, but positive predictive value and accuracy were low overall. CONCLUSIONS: Alternative staging systems may partially overcome the heterogeneity and low prognostic accuracy of the American Joint Committee on Cancer, eighth edition and enable high-risk cutaneous SCCs to be stratified more reliably, but their prognostic accuracy is still low. Considering the accumulation of risk factors may improve high-risk cutaneous SCC risk stratification.
Assuntos
Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/patologia , Estadiamento de Neoplasias/métodos , Neoplasias Cutâneas/patologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/mortalidade , Suscetibilidade a Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Invasividade Neoplásica , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Neoplasias Cutâneas/mortalidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The new eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system (AJCC-8) incorporates changes regarding cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC). OBJECTIVES: We aimed to compare the AJCC-8 staging system with the previous seventh edition of the AJCC staging system (AJCC-7) and the Brigham and Women's Hospital (BWH) alternative staging system to identify their usefulness and the utility of their risk factors in defining prognostic groups in CSCC. METHODS: A series of 186 CSCCs of the head and neck were retrospectively collected. All 3 staging systems were compared from the standpoint of their ability to predict poor prognosis. Binary logistic regression models were built to determine which risk factors were most relevant. RESULTS: Poor prognosis was mainly associated with stage T2 of the AJCC-7, with stages T2b/T3 of the BWH system, and with stage T3 of the AJCC-8. The AJCC-8 and the BWH staging systems displayed overlap with each another in predicting poor prognosis, and both were superior to the AJCC-7. The new risk factors incorporated into the AJCC-8 and the poor degree of differentiation were independently associated with poor outcome. LIMITATIONS: Retrospective study and few cases with bone invasion. CONCLUSIONS: The AJCC-8 is more distinctive, monotonous, and homogeneous than the AJCC-7 and shows some overlap with the BWH system in stratification of tumors.